IT Trends

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					 IT-Trends
2005-2010
          4.12.2002
http://www.fraber.de/
      Radical improvement after a number
                                           My Guess
               of incremental steps



        No major new
   Disruptive Technologies
           anymore


Competitiveness depends on the
 capability to implement projects
                                 Some Trends

General Trends           Specific Trends
 Moore’s Law             Importance of Security
 Globalization            (every computer connected
                           to the Internet needs
 Digitalization           security)
 Mobility (GRPS&WiFi)    Machine-to-machine
 Knowledge Value          communication

 IT Commoditization      Open Source Software



 Read it everywhere!
                          Conceptual Model:
                         Extended Company
                                       Technologies
Providers     Manufacturer   Clients    Collaboration
                                         & Project
                                         Rooms
                                        Web Services
                                        Extranet/VPN
                                        Sales Support
                                        CRM/SCM/…
                                        Collaborative
Sub-                                     Forecasting
contractors
                                        ...
                                 My Guess


          No major new
     Disruptive Technologies
             anymore
 Ideas have been tested during the
  Dot.Com era
 “Applications à la carte” methodologies
 “Value patterns” (supply chain,
  integration, network, …) have become
  common knowledge
                                Disruptions à la Carte

How to define my IT-
     Strategy?



   Clients             Put here:
   Providers            where you are
                        where you want to go and
   Partners             what applications to use
   Employees
   Investors
   Media
   ...
                                       Implementation Jam
How to implement my IT-
    18m Strategy?
                                 B2C Product
 ROI                               Catalog
                                                          Procurement

                         Data                  B2B Catalog
    12m                Consolidat.             & Order Track



                                                          Production
                                                           Tracking
     6m     Intranet                    Demand
             & KM.                     Forecasting
                                                               Bench-
                         Data                                  marking
                       Warehouse
                                                                         Dependency
      0m
                           250k€           500k€               1M€            2M€
                                                                             Cost
                                      My Guess


          No major new
     Disruptive Technologies
             anymore
 Disruptive Technologies have to be easy to
  learn in order to be successful
 Disruptive Technologies have to satisfy basic
  needs
                                                      The Limits of
                                           Disruptive Technologies


                                                                                                     ERP
                                                                       Force people            SCM
                                                                           to use it
Learning Effort




                                                                       Project
                                                                                          People
                                                                       Rooms
                                                                                          like it
                                   Messenger   Intranet
                                                        Google
                          Audio                  WWW
                  Video
                    unstructured                   indexed                             formalized
                                               Content Formalization
                             The Limits of
                  Disruptive Technologies
 Build around existing processes
 Supported by innovative management
  practices
 Limited by learning complexity
 Implemented by digitalizing existing processes

 Look at your processes and digitalize them

 Examples:
    Volkswagen/Seat Project
    Recent announcement by General Electric
    ...
                                                    My Guess 2010

                                                                           B2C Product
                                           18m                               Catalog
                                                                                                         3rd Party
                                                                                                       Procurement
                                         ROI
                                                                Demand                     B2B Catalog
                                                               Consolidat.                 & Order Track
Clients     Put here:                      12m
Providers    where you are
                                                                                                       Production
             where you want to go and
                                                                                                        Tracking
Partners     what applications to use              Intranet                      Demand
                                                     & KM.                       Forecasting
                                                                                                             Outlet
Employees                                  6m
                                                                 Data                                      Benchmark
                                                               Warehouse
Investors
Media                                                                                                                  Dependency
                                               0m
...                                                                 250k€                500k€               1M€            2M€
                                                                                                                           Cost




 Competitiveness depends on the
  capability to implement projects
                          Capability to
                    Implement Projects


 Look at your processes and digitalize them


Critical Factors                Standardization?
 IT Infrastructure
                                IBM – PwC Deal?
 IT Strategy
 Change Management
 Project Management
                                                Standardized
                 Just an idea...
                                              Infrastructure?
Shared Systems                            Shared Services
 Firewall                                 Maintenance Support
 VPN Access                               Firewall Security
 Web Server with                          Web Server Security
  Intranet/Extranet                        Incident Tracking
 File Server (VPN)                        Backup
 Email                                    VPN Clients


 Develop a service around the standard
                                                         xDSL
                                   Web/
      ...         ERP                                           Internet
 PC         PC                     Mail       FW   Router


                         Local Area Network        DMZ

				
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