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					Press release                                                                                                              Gdynia, 26 May 2009


                                        Container traffic on the Baltic Sea in
                                         The Baltic Container Outlook 2009

The global financial crisis has an impact on the sea transport and that of course influences the
container business. According to the new report on container traffic on the Baltic Sea in 2008, The
Baltic Container Outlook 2009, due to the 3% slow-down of the growth of the seaborne trade to 3%,
the global container traffic increased only by 5.1%, and in the Baltic region by 7.2%. At the moment it
is estimated that the global and Baltic container business will plummet by 20-30%.

The present difficult situation of the container trade arises from the problems of the global economy. The
prices of oil and non-oil primary commodities rose sharply in the first half of 2008, and the trend drastically
changed in the middle of 2008. As a result, the sea transport growth in relation to 2007 decreased from 4.8%
to 3% and the global container business from 10.8% to 5.1%. Only at the beginning of 2009 the forecast for
the running year was 3.1% but now no one expects such optimistic results.

The difficulties of the world container shipping resulted also from rapidly increasing capacity of the container
ships (in 2008 the total capacity growth rate was 14%). Due to the demand, the ship owners ordered bigger
vessels. According to the order book the rapid growth of the total capacity is expected to keep till 2015,
despite the fact that the order book is being reduced at the moment. Compared to the increase in fleet
capacity, the fall in demand is lethal for sea transport. After the collapse in all-in rates, the number of idle
ships is growing. According to the data from the beginning of March the part of about 11.3% of the global
fleet is not freighted. In spite of that, the top ten list of world container shipping lines does not change,
however, some changes were noted on the Baltic. The Baltic operators try to adjust their strategies to the
changing situation. Some call at the higher number of seaports, which means they start to compete with ro-
ro operators (f.e. Unifeeder, Fresco or OOCL). Others are trying to concentrate on selected connections
increasing the number of calls due to increased loading factor. This strategy is applied by f.e. Maersk, MSC
and Team Lines.

The Baltic container fleet diminished by 28 ships and its total capacity dropped by 11.9%.In spite of that, the
average vessel size increases due to the fact that bigger vessels are launched. Containerships is the only
company on the Baltic which has increased its fleet in the past year by an additional 2 vessels. Unifeeder
launched 3 vessels indeed, but at the same time stopped using smaller units and, as a consequence, its total
number of ships diminished.

The growth of the Baltic container traffic reached 7.2% in 2008, which is about 9% less than in 2007. – “If we
take into account only 25 biggest Baltic ports, the growth reached only 6.5%.” – explains the author of the
Baltic Container Outlook 2009, Maciej Matczak, the senior consultant at Actia Consulting. – “The highest
tempo of traffic growth has been achieved in Lithuania, Russia and Poland – respectively by 16, 13.6 and
11.9%. Also the ranking of container seaports on the Baltic Sea has changed. Gdynia, in 2007 remaining at
      rd                          th
the 3 position, dropped to the 4 , and the first three have been taken by St. Petersburg, Goeteborg and
                    th                               th
Kotka. Gdansk is 11 and Szczecin-Swinoujscie 18 .”

The Baltic Container Outlook 2009 is the second report issued by Actia Consulting. It is a wide analysis of
container business especially in the Baltic Sea region. The Outlook contains data regarding the Baltic
container fleet and statistics on container traffic in Baltic seaports and each container terminal including all
Russian market.

“We decided to issue this kind of report every year.” – says Bogdan Oldakowski, the CEO of Actia
Consulting. – “Despite the crisis, the container trade is one of the most rapidly developing segments of
transport trade. The advantages are not only for seaports and container terminals but also for logistics and
intermodal operators, transport and forwarding agents. Our report is intended for the managers of such
companies. It is a very rapidly changing market, even at the time of recession, and managers need
information on trends and perspectives in the trade. Their investment and managing decisions are based on
this information. Apart from that, it is useful just to know what is going on.”




                                                           Ac t i a F o r u m S p . z o . o .
            u l . P u ł a s k i e g o 8 , 8 1 - 3 6 8 G d yn i a ● t e l . + 4 8 5 8 6 2 7 - 2 4 - 6 7 ● f a x + 4 8 5 8 6 2 7 - 2 4 - 2 7
                     office@actiaforum.pl ● www.actiaforum.pl ● www.actiaconsulting.pl
First Container Terminal in St. Petersburg was the leading container terminal on the Baltic in 2008. What is
important, the terminal has broken the record of 1m TEU in 2008. The following position in the ranking is
occupied by Container Terminal Göteborg. The third main Baltic container terminal (Mussalo) is located in
Kotka. A deeper drop in traffic was experienced by BCT Gdynia (-53 thou. TEU) and Helsingborg (-45 thou.
TEU). The terminal with the largest percentage traffic increase was DCT Gdansk but this results form the fact
the terminal started its operation only in mid-2007.

The Baltic Container Outlook has been prepared by the team of consultants from Actia Consulting, which is a
part of Actia Forum. The details regarding the Outlook can be found at www.actiaconsulting.pl.

More information:
Edyta L. Szczesniak
Actia Forum Ltd.
mob. +48 502-557-535
edyta@actiaforum.pl

Attached are some figures and tables from The Baltic Container Outlook 2009. If you are going to publish
data from the press release or form attachments please specify the source of information.




                                                          Ac t i a F o r u m S p . z o . o .
           u l . P u ł a s k i e g o 8 , 8 1 - 3 6 8 G d yn i a ● t e l . + 4 8 5 8 6 2 7 - 2 4 - 6 7 ● f a x + 4 8 5 8 6 2 7 - 2 4 - 2 7
                    office@actiaforum.pl ● www.actiaforum.pl ● www.actiaconsulting.pl

				
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