36    Southern Farmer ◆ March 2006

Kentucky                                       Charolais                           Expect pork prices
                Saturday, March 4, 2006
   Show: 12 Noon EST         Sale: 4:00 p.m. EST
                                                                                   to decline in 2006
Kentucky Fair & Exposition Center, Louisville, Kentucky
                      35 Superior Lots
         Herd Sire Prospects • Open Heifers • Bred Heifers
             Cow/Calf Pairs • Show Heifer Prospects
                                                                                   T      WO years of solid profits, low feed
                                                                                          costs, expectations that profits
                                                                                          will continue, more packing
                                                                                   capacity and improved production
                                                                                   efficiency would normally bring hog ex-
                                                                                   pansion. But producers are showing re-                     By JOHN OTTE
                                                                                   markable restraint. They told USDA they
                                             2006 Donation Heifer
                          e                                                        had a mere 42,000 or 0.7% more sows on      He uses USDA’s Agicultural Marketing
                     of th 005             presented by Three Trees
                pick       2                                                       Dec. 1, 2005, than a year earlier.          Service base price as a benchmark.
          in g a s of the ion
      Sell sister      ham
                            p               Ranch, Sharpsburg, GA -                   The all-hog and market-hog inven-           “The 2005 annual average was just
         nal       nC
    mater America ed by                      all proceeds will go to               tories were up 0.3%. The September-         a bit less than $66,” he says. “For 2006,
         h         sir                                                             November 2005 pig crop was up 1% from       we expect an annual average in the low
     Nort Female g Wind                    the Kentucky Jr. Charolais
                omin                                                               a year earlier. Those numbers suggest       $60s, roughly 6% to 7% below 2005.
             Wy                                    Association                     first-half 2006 hog slaughter should be      First-quarter prices may only be down
                                                                                   up no more than 1%, even after adding       4% to 5%. Fourth-quarter prices may be
                                                                                   hogs imported from Canada. That’s not       8% to 9% below 2005.”
                                                                                   enough extra supply to adversely affect
                  Featuring the in uence of Breed Leading Sires!                   prices.                                     Export demand holds strong
                                                                                      “Strong consumer demand fueled           Pork has benefited from rapid export
 Sponsored by:                                  For Sale Information Contact:
                                                                                   by low-carbohydrate diets held 2004         growth. Through October, exports were
 Kentucky Charolais Association                       John E. Chism                and early 2005 hog prices higher than       up 24% compared to 2004. When Japan
 Kentucky Department of Agriculture,              1442 Lillies Ferry Rd.
 Commissioner Richie Farmer                                                        we would have expected based on sup-        stopped buying beef, everyone thought
                                                  Winchester KY 40391              plies,” says Jim Mintert, Kansas State      Japan would buy a lot more pork. But                                  (859) 744-8909                University economist.                       pork exports to Japan are only up 16%.
                                                                                      “Our analysis suggests third-quarter     With total exports up 24%, that means
                                                                                   2005 pork demand was down 8% to 9%          a lot of other countries are buying a lot
                                                                                   from a year earlier. We think fourth-       more U.S. pork.
                Please tell our advertisers                                        quarter demand was down a similar              Still, exports seem unlikely to absorb
               that you saw their ad in the                                        amount,” he says.                           enough extra pork to keep prices from
                                                                                      Softening demand is the main reason      sagging with weakening domestic
                    Southern Farmer.                                               Mintert expects lower hog prices in 2006.   demand.

                                                           THE ANGUS GOLD
                                                                      Joint Production Sale
                 Saturday                   March 25, 2006                                                           Noon (EST)
                                                          Elizabethtown, KY

                    SELLING 100 HEAD
      36 Bulls                          6 Open Heifers                                    22 Cows                         15 Bred Heifers
        14 Spring Yearlings                                                              13 with Fall 2004 Calves                     4 Spring Calving
                                              Yearlings Ready to Breed
 22 Fall Yearlings 2 Herd Bulls                                                             19 Spring Calving
   All bulls sell with a rst year                                                                                                      11 Fall Calving
       breeding guarantee.
                                        Performance bred cattle produced under practical conditions
                                                       for pro t-minded cattlemen.
                                                                                                                                             Dievert Sales Service
                                                                                                                                                 Tim Dievert
       SALE LOCATION:                         AUCTIONEER:                       SALE DAY PHONES                     SALE MANAGER                  478 Dry Fork Road
COPPER COIN FARM                               Eddie Burks                        (270) 787-2978                                                 Danville, KY 40422
                                                                                                                                                 Off: (859) 236-4591
 3.5 miles south of Elizabethtown, KY                                           Sale Manager’s Cell                                             Res. (859) 332-4591
      on Gaither Station Road.                                                                                                                   Cell: (859) 238-3195
                                                                                  (859-238-3195                                                  Fax: (859) 236-2640
Online sale books available after March 1, 2006 at                                                            

                                        Sponsored By
Thomas Academy Farm                                        middle creek angus                                        copper coin farm
              Rick & Donna Thomas                                     Vince & Nance Hartlage                          Mike, Nancy, Kelly, Bill & Ginny Kean
    6770 St. John Rd, Elizabethtown, KY 42701                4697 Old E-Town Rd, Hodgenville, KY 42748          3400 Gaither Station Rd, Elizabethtown, KY 42701
       (270) 862-3601 • Fax (270) 862-5246                        (270) 358-0032 • (270) 765-2101                      (270) 737-2978 • (270) 234-6898

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