0940-TCWC_Wellington-Ready by shitingting

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									1st IBTrACS Workshop




              National Climate Data Center
                 Asheville, North Carolina
                             Steve Ready
Wellington (New Zealand) TC area of responsibility




                                     25⁰S
                                     40⁰S
                        160⁰E      120⁰W




       Wellington – furtherest TCWC from the equator
Wellington TC AoR in red



  Wellington AoR
  for ALL warnings
  = Subtropic +
  Pacific +
  Southern +
  Forties – yellow
  strip (Australian
  area)
   Relevant to tracking TCs in Wellington AoR (1)

 TC cloud system is normally well-sheared at 25S i.e.
  Nadi/Wellington boundary

 Nearly all TCs have been reclassified as a “depression formerly
  cyclone…” before crossing 30S

 A few TCs cross into Wellington AoR with a distinguishable eye
  but remains of CDO have normally merged with main cloud-band
  on the poleward side at 30S
  Reclassification after TC crosses Nadi/Wellington boundary




TC Meena near boundary             Life as an XTC begins
                                                 +
            +




                                   Remains of CDO merges with
                                   cloud-band on poleward side
   Relevant to tracking TCs in Wellington AoR (2)

 Wellington AoR is nearly all oceanic and very data sparse


 Rely on QuikSCAT data for winds around cyclone circulation

 Microwave imagery very useful for locating the low cloud centre
  in a shearing TC especially overnight

 25S 160E represents a point where Brisbane, Nadi and Wellington
  TC areas of responsibility converge
TC near Brisbane/Nadi/Wellington boundary triple point

          160E
                        0000 UTC 13-Jan-2005

                                                Brisbane warning
                                25S              copied by both
  25S                                          Nadi and Wellington


    Triple point
    (25S 160E)
Historical Overview of Wellington’s TC database

 Pre-1998: Operational tracks produced on a paper chart. Track re-analysis
  completed on a separate chart. Best track data keyed into a very basic
  database.

 1998 to 2005: Operational and best track data entered into a stand-alone
  database developed in-house and called “CyTRACK”

 2006 onwards: A lot of CyTRACK’s functionality was integrated into
  SNOWIE allowing access to a range of observational, analysis and NWP
  data.

 SNOWIE: System for Natural Onscreen Weather Information Exploitation -
  forecasters’ interactive chart analysis and diagnostic tool
                    Pre-1998




Re-analysis was carried out on paper
before track points were keyed in
1998 to 2005: Old stand-alone CyTRACK
2006 onwards…




          3 windows in SNOWIE for
          gathering data over
          networking & databasing
          work
                Current Database (1)

 Access via SNOWIE tool

 Operational track copied as a starting point

 All observations (synops, ships, metars, buoys, 3000ft winds,
  scatterometer) displayed

 Satellite imagery (in SNOWIE)

 Other satellite data on NRL Monterey Tropical Cyclone Page
                 Current Database (2)
 Independent TC analysis bulletins obtained off GTS

 Original MSLP analysis displayed & able to be modified

 Possibly additional ship information e.g. barograph

 Near common boundaries – best track checked against Brisbane’s
  and Nadi’s

 Best tracks examined for irregularities & inconsistencies
Can’t beat Wellington on a good day even if the breeze is
more than you wish for.




                                      Care for a dip in
                                      Wellington harbour?
                                      17C? you might be
                                      lucky!

								
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