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					Smart Investor’s Preference
સમજદાર રોકાણકાર ની પસંદગી

(SIP)
એસ આઇ પી

What is the Average Age when one starts Earning?
વ્યક્તી સરે રાશ કેટ઱ી ઉંમર કમવા નુ શરુ કરે છે ?

25 Years

What is the Average Retirement Age?
વ્યક્તી સરે રાશ કેટ઱ી ઉંમરે નીવ ૃત થાય છે ?

60 Years

What is an Average Income of an Middle-Class House-hold?
ઍક મધ્યમ વગગ પરીવાર ની સરે રાશ માસીક આવક કેટ઱ી હોય?

Rs.15,000/- p.m.

How much can a person save on a regular basis?

Rs.5,000/- p.m.

If a person can save Rs.5,000/- per month What will be his wealth when he retires?
Assuming: He increases his investments by 5% every year Invests in an Asset class that gives returns of 20%

At Age 60 his wealth would have been

Rs.27 Crores

Starting Early
Ram
Savings Starting Age Savings - Monthly SIP Saving Years till age 60 25 Rs.5,000/35 years

Shyam
40 Rs.15,000/20 years

27 Crores*

Total Amount Saved (appx.)

Rs.57 lacs

Rs.62 lacs

Give time to your investments Give time to your investments rather than timing rather than timing

4.90 Crores*

25 years

40 years

60 years

Assumptions: (a) Savings grows at 5% annually (b) Returns assumed at 20% CAGR

Invest Regularly
• Builds wealth over the long term – Just Rs. 1500 per month invested for 17 years @10% would grow to Rs. 8 lacs…could be used for your daughter’s marriage • Take advantage of market volatility – Buy more when the markets are down
Rs. 10,000 worth of Gold bought every month
7000
6650

Price per 10 grams

6500 6000
5400

Highest price Lowest quantity
6100 5900 5400 6100

20 grams
5600 5000

6000 5800 5700

6070

15 grams

5500 5000 4500 4000
Jan Feb

Lowest price Highest quantity
M ar Apr M ay Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Invest Regularly
• Myth: Timing is essential to generate high returns • Reality : It is the time and not the timing that matters Invested a fixed amount in BSE Sensex annually for 25 yrs On the worst day to buy (highest sensex each yr) On the best day to buy (lowest sensex each yr) The result

15% p.a. 17% p.a.

Is it worth the risk or the tension? Who can time the market to perfection? Not even the experts can !!

Invest Regularly
• It is the small drops that make an ocean!! • Relieves you of the last minute pressure • Slow and steady wins the race – E.g. Split your Sec 80C investments into smaller amounts and invest every month • Reduces the risk of investing at the wrong time – Difficult to predict the market and know when is the right time We earn regularly; We spend regularly Shouldn’t we also invest regularly?

Invest Regularly
• …….It all adds up!
Rs.21.7 lakhs Rs.1000 invested every month for 30 years @10%

30

A small amount invested regularly can grow to substantial lumpsum

EARN MORE
• Earn more…it can make a big difference
One time investment of Rs.1 lakh invested for 30 yrs

@ 6% 5.7 lakhs

@ 10% 17.45 lakhs

@ 15% 66.2 lakhs

EARN MORE
Power of Compounding - QUIZ
• Rs. 10,000 invested every month for a period of 30 years At 8% 1.5 crores Postal Recurring

At 15% -

7.0 crores

??????

At 20% -

23 crores

??????

The Formula for Creating Wealth

6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0
1990- 1991- 1992- 1993- 1994- 1995- 1996- 1997- 1998- 1999- 2000- 2001- 2002- 2003- 200491 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05

Start Early

Invest Regularly

Earn More

Create Wealth

Make your money work hard for you

The Million Dollar Question
I am convinced that I should save and invest regularly, but the million dollar question is…

Where should I invest?

Risk Return Spectrum
High

Equity Real Estate

Return potential

Gold

Debt Funds PPF, NSC, KVP, PO Deposits, RBI Bonds Liquid Funds Savings Bank/ FD

Low

Low

Risk

High

Note:The above chart is for illustrative purpose only and is not marked to scale. The chart is based on our perception of the risk and return potential of various investment avenues

Equities- The Most Attractive Asset Class
Equities have outperformed all other asset classes in the long run globally as well as in India
18.25%

10.64% 7.47% 7.12%

10.27%

Inflation

Gold

G Secs

Bank FD Equities
Source : CLSA

Cumulative annualised returns (1980 - 2004)

Which product among all above has the potential to create greatest wealth for you?

Equities …

Do you agree?

Risk??

Returns are unsure! Equity – owners’ risk Volatility of returns

Market Risk
Sentiments in ST, Herd Mentality

Investor’s Psyche - Wrong emotion dominates at wrong time

Greed

Fear

Hope

The Cycle of Fear, Greed & Hope

Simply put …

Selecting Right Asset Class
Equity market (represented by BSE Sensex) has outperformed all other investment avenues
6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0
1990- 1991- 1992- 1993- 1994- 1995- 1996- 1997- 1998- 1999- 2000- 2001- 2002- 2003- 200491 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05

Sensex
Company Deposits Bank Deposits

Inflation Gold

Past Performance (BSE Sensex)

Year 1979 2006

Sensex 100 13,000

Investment Rs. 1,00,000 1,30,00,000

In past 27 years BSE Sensex has given about 19.5% returns
This is in spite of … • Two wars • At least 3 recessionary periods • At least three major financial scandals • 10 different governments and • Assassination of 2 prime ministers • An unfair share of natural disasters

Years 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27

YEAR END 31-Mar-79 31-Mar-80 31-Mar-81 31-Mar-82 31-Mar-83 31-Mar-84 31-Mar-85 31-Mar-86 31-Mar-87 31-Mar-88 31-Mar-89 31-Mar-90 31-Mar-91 31-Mar-92 31-Mar-93 31-Mar-94 31-Mar-95 31-Mar-96 31-Mar-97 31-Mar-98 31-Mar-99 31-Mar-00 31-Mar-01 31-Mar-02 31-Mar-03 31-Mar-04 31-Mar-05 31-Mar-06

SENSEX level 100.00 128.57 173.44 217.71 211.51 245.33 353.86 574.11 510.36 398.37 713.60 781.05 1167.97 4285.00 2280.52 3778.99 3260.96 3366.61 3360.89 3892.75 3739.96 5001.28 3604.38 3469.35 3048.72 5590.60 6492.82 11279

1 year 28.57% 34.90% 25.52% -2.85% 15.99% 44.24% 62.24% -11.10% -21.94% 79.13% 9.45% 49.54% 266.88% -46.78% 65.71% -13.71% 3.24% -0.17% 15.82% -3.92% 33.73% -27.93% -3.75% -12.12% 83.38% 16.14% 73.71% 10/27

3 years

5 years

7 years

10 years

15 years

29.61% 18.05% 12.25% 17.58% 39.49% 27.66% 4.03% 7.52% 15.24% 43.12% 81.76% 42.93% 47.90% -8.70% 13.86% -3.83% 6.08% 3.57% 14.17% -2.53% -2.47% -15.21% 15.76% 23.23% 54.66% 5/25 19.66% 22.44% 27.05% 18.58% 13.50% 23.81% 17.16% 15.26% 53.04% 41.76% 39.57% 33.09% 23.58% -4.74% 11.29% -0.21% 8.93% 1.37% 0.64% -4.77% 8.37% 5.36% 25.62% 3/23 28.36% 21.77% 12.61% 18.48% 20.52% 24.97% 42.80% 21.78% 33.11% 35.03% 24.81% 23.18% 18.77% -1.92% 11.87% -0.67% 0.89% -1.41% 7.54% 7.58% 17.08% 3/21 21.72% 19.77% 21.01% 34.71% 26.84% 31.45% 24.87% 19.35% 20.74% 25.60% 18.02% 20.40% 11.93% -2.09% 2.95% 3.99% 7.13% 12.85% 1/18 27.40% 24.05% 21.86% 20.02% 21.43% 19.92% 19.31% 13.03% 13.63% 14.53% 14.71% 15.16% 16.32% 0/13

Probability of Loss

Using the Wisdom
We can direct our savings in such a manner that we create wealth, the way we wish

DISCIPLINED SAVINGS + SUFFICIENT TIME + RIGHT ASSET CLASS = Smart Investor’s Preference

What is SIP
• Invest a fixed amount, at regular, predetermined intervals and use the market fluctuations to your benefit
Dates 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
11.981

Monthly Investment 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000

NAV 10 8 6 18 22 12 19 14 17 14 10 14

Units Alloated 100.00 125.00 166.67 55.56 45.45 83.33 52.63 71.43 58.82 71.43 100.00 71.43

1-Jan-05 1-Feb-05 1-Mar-05 1-Apr-05 1-May-05 1-Jun-05 1-Jul-05 1-Aug-05 1-Sep-05 1-Oct-05 1-Nov-05 1-Dec-05

9 10 11 12

TOTAL

12000

1001.75

Average NAV Average Cost per unit

13.67 11.98

A Snapshot of poor performing schemes
Scheme Name Pru Tech Fund Alliance New Millenium Amount Invested through SIP(Rs. 1000 p.m.) from March 2000 61,000 61,000 Amount Invested One Time Pru Tech Fund Alliance New Millenium 61,000 61,000 Current Value As on 31-03-2005 105,930 106,347 Current Value 41,480 33,673 SIP Returns 22.06% 22.22% Annualised Returns -7.34% -11.08%

A Snapshot of better performing schemes
Scheme Name Amount Invested through SIP(Rs. 1000 p.m.) from March 2000 61,000 61,000 Amount Invested One Time HDFC Equity Reliance Growth 61,000 61,000 Current Value As on 31-03-2005 161,209 226,349 Current Value 146,501 167,023 SIP Returns 39.69% 54.64% Annualised Returns 18.90% 22.02%

HDFC Equity Reliance Growth

Start an SIP today and Sit back and Relax


				
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Description: Who to take decesion regarding the Mutual Fund planning and Investments