What is the effect of EU membership on economic development_

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What is the effect of EU membership on economic development_ Powered By Docstoc
					   Selection Question:
        What are the circumstances surrounding
                    EU membership?

   Performance Question:
          What is the effect of EU membership
                 on economic growth?
       EU-15 Member Countries
        France, United Kingdom
       New EU Member Countries
        Poland, Slovakia
       EU Candidate Countries
        Turkey, Croatia
       Non-EU Countries
        Russia, Switzerland
   Measure of economic growth: change in GDP per
    capita per year using Chain model
       % in 2005 Constant Prices


   Calculate average change in GDP/capita/year before
    and after joining EU
       Specific years varied for each country


   Compare
   Calculate average change in GDP/capita/year for 5
    years before becoming an EU candidate and:
       Turkey (1999): 8 years after
       Croatia (2004): 3 years after
       Macedonia (2005): 2 years after


   Compare
   Calculate average change in GDP/capita/year
    from 1991-2007

   Compare to average change for EU member
    countries and EU candidate countries
   Member v. Non-Member (Performance)
      Growth Rate     Member   Non-Member   Difference
     Average Before    3.16       2.84        0.32
     Average After     4.29       2.84        1.45


   Member v. Candidate (Selection)
      Growth Rate     Member    Candidate   Difference
     Average Before    3.16       1.74         1.42
      Average After    4.29       4.24         0.05
          Member v. Non-Member


                               1.45
1.60
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.80
               0.32
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00

       Average Before   Average After
                        Member v. Candidate


4.50

4.00

3.50

3.00

2.50                                               Member
                                                   Candidate
2.00

1.50

1.00

0.50

0.00
       Average Before              Average After
     EU membership = GOOD!


               BUT

Conditions surrounding membership or
         the membership itself?

				
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