VIEWS: 18 PAGES: 10 POSTED ON: 1/26/2013
Selection Question: What are the circumstances surrounding EU membership? Performance Question: What is the effect of EU membership on economic growth? EU-15 Member Countries France, United Kingdom New EU Member Countries Poland, Slovakia EU Candidate Countries Turkey, Croatia Non-EU Countries Russia, Switzerland Measure of economic growth: change in GDP per capita per year using Chain model % in 2005 Constant Prices Calculate average change in GDP/capita/year before and after joining EU Specific years varied for each country Compare Calculate average change in GDP/capita/year for 5 years before becoming an EU candidate and: Turkey (1999): 8 years after Croatia (2004): 3 years after Macedonia (2005): 2 years after Compare Calculate average change in GDP/capita/year from 1991-2007 Compare to average change for EU member countries and EU candidate countries Member v. Non-Member (Performance) Growth Rate Member Non-Member Difference Average Before 3.16 2.84 0.32 Average After 4.29 2.84 1.45 Member v. Candidate (Selection) Growth Rate Member Candidate Difference Average Before 3.16 1.74 1.42 Average After 4.29 4.24 0.05 Member v. Non-Member 1.45 1.60 1.40 1.20 1.00 0.80 0.32 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00 Average Before Average After Member v. Candidate 4.50 4.00 3.50 3.00 2.50 Member Candidate 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 Average Before Average After EU membership = GOOD! BUT Conditions surrounding membership or the membership itself?
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