Venture Capital and U.S. Trade Competitiveness
How Does Innovation Translate Into American Jobs?
April 4, 2005 Council on Foreign Relations
Karen G. Mills
kmills@mmpgroupinc.com
How does innovation translate into American jobs?
DISCOVERY
BUSINESS FORMATION
JOB CREATION
Basic Research
Invention Commercialization Innovation Growth
• Growth Capital and Expertise
• Small Business • Entrepreneurship
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Each quarter the U.S. economy creates over 7 million jobs
Millions
Private Sector Gross Job Gains and Losses 1993-2003 Job Gains Job Losses
10
9
8
7
6
1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor
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New jobs come from business expansions and from newly formed firms
Millions
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Components of Private Sector Gross Job Gains and Job Losses 1994-2003 Expansions Openings Contractions Closings
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor
4
The United States is losing manufacturing jobs
Employment - Manufacturing Industry (1994-2003) Job Gains Job Losses 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0
Millions
1.2
1994
1997
2000
Year
Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics
2003
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Job losses and job creation are influenced by different forces
Job Losses
Job Creation • New business openings • Business expansions
– Small business – Venture backed businesses
• Business Closures
• Productivity • Offshore transfers
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New firms and the expansion of small businesses create most of the jobs
Percent of Total New Jobs Created by Firm Type 1991-2001
24%
61%
18%
19%
New Firms
Small Firm Expansion <20 Employees
Small Firm Expansion 20-500 Employees
Total New Jobs New/Small Firms
Source: Small Business Administration; MMP Analysis
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Entrepreneurs launch over 500,000 new firms annually
Numbers of New Employer Firms Launched 1990-2001 (Thousands) 620 600 580 560 540 520 500
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics
2001
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Successful Venture Capital backed businesses have a large economic impact
• 1970-2003 Venture Capitalists invested:
$340 billion invested 21,600 companies
• VC backed companies represent 9% of total U.S. jobs and revenues
10.1 million jobs 1.8 trillion in revenues
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Growth capital transforms innovation into commercial enterprises and jobs
DISCOVERY
BUSINESS FORMATION
JOB CREATION
Basic Research
Invention Commercialization Growth
Innovation
• • •
R&D Funding University Support Government
• •
Private Equity Bank Debt
• •
Public Equity Public Debt
•
•
Personal Savings
Corporate Profits
•
Company Profits Reinvested
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Over $250 billion is currently in the hands of U.S. Venture funds
120 100 80 60 40 20 0
Capital Commitments to U.S. Venture Funds ($ Billions)
1980
1985
1990
1995
300 250 200 150 100 50 0
Capital Under Management U.S. Venture Funds ($ Billions)
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2000
Source: NVCA Yearbook
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Venture Capital backed companies grow faster and create more jobs
Venture Backed Growth
2000-2003 Percentage Change
Sales Growth
12%
Job Growth
5 pp
7% 7%
9 pp
Venture Backed
Total U.S.
Venture Backed
-2%
Total U.S.
Source: National Venture Capital Association; Global Insights study
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This growth occurred in a number of important industries
Employment Growth at Venture Capital Backed Companies vs. Total by Industry Sector (2000-2003)
Semiconductors
Computer Hardware and Services Industrial/Energy Business/Financial
-10% -26% -14% -9% -1% -18% -1% 1% 4% 5% 10% 9% -1% 12% 16% 17% 23% 5%
VC Employment Growth Total Employment Growth
Communications
Healthcare Services Retailing and Media Healthcare Products Computer Software Biotechnology
-2% -8%
-30%
-15%
0%
15%
30%
Source: National Venture Capital Association; Global Insights study
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Venture capital funding spurs innovation more powerfully than R&D
VC Spending as a percent of R&D (1983-1992)
3%
Percent of Industrial Innovation* accounted for by VC Backed Firms (1983-1992)
8%
Percent accounted for in 1999
14%
* Innovation is measured by patent production
Source: Samuel Kortum and Josh Lerner, RAND Journal of Economics, Winter 2000
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The Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) Program had similar results
Change in Sales ($ Millions)
Change in Employment (# of employees)
Comparable Firms
$1.1
Comparable Firms
5.8
SBIR Awardees
$4.0
SBIR Awardees
26.2
Note: The SBIR program provided $7 billion to small high technology firms between 1983 and 1997
Source: J. Lerner, Harvard University and National Bureau of Economic Research
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Venture intensive industries had higher wage growth
Wage Growth 2000-2003
Venture Intensive Industries Non-Venture Intensive Industries
Healthcare Products Computer Software SemiConductors
11%
Retail and Media
9%
14%
Industrial/Energy
11%
16%
Healthcare Services
13%
Biotechnology
18%
Communications
18%
Business/Financial
13%
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Private equity now funds the growth of private companies at all sizes and stages
Average Investment
$0-3 mil $3-10 mil $10-50 mil $50-100 mil $100-500 mil $500+ mil
Start up/Seed
Early Stage
Later Stage
Growth Capital
Mid Market Buyout
Large Buyout
Venture Capital
Buyout/Mezzanine
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Last year $57 billion was invested in Private Equity
250
Capital Commitments To Private Equity Funds 1979-2003
Other Private Equity Capital Buyouts and Mezzanine Capital Venture Capital
200
150
100
50
0
1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Source: 2004 NVCA Year Book
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Buyouts and Mezzanine Capital is also being used to grow businesses
Capital Commitments to Private Equity Funds
100%
Other Private Equity Capital
75%
Buyouts and Mezzanine Capital
50%
25%
Venture Capital
0%
1979 1985 1991 1997 2003
Year
Source: 2004 NVCA Year Book
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Institutions not individuals provide most of the funds
Private Equity Commitments By Limited Partner Type 250 Corporations Endowments & Foundations 200 Individuals & Families Financial & Insurance
($ Billions)
150
Pension Funds
100
50
0 1999 2000 2001 Year 2002 2003
Source: 2004 NVCA Year Book
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Conclusion: Venture Capital and U.S. Trade Competitiveness
•
America’s spirit of entrepreneurship, entrepreneurial capital and expertise are important competitive assets
•
Private equity is a major new source of growth capital and expertise that did not exist in this fashion 20 years ago
This risk capital plays a disproportionately important role in driving economic growth
•
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Karen Gordon Mills
Karen Gordon Mills was a Founder and Managing Director of Solera Capital, a private equity fund based in New York City. She has been in the industry since 1983 and is an expert in investing and growing companies in traditional U.S. based industries such as food, textiles, media and industrial components. Some of these companies and brands include Telex Communications, Mrs. Fields Cookies, Bruce Hardwood Floors and Annie’s Macaroni and Cheese. Her background also includes consulting for McKinsey & Co. and product management at General Foods. Ms. Mills received her A.B. from Harvard University in Economics in 1975 and her MBA from Harvard Business School in 1977, where she was a Baker Scholar. She currently serves on the Boards of the Scotts Company and Arrow Electronics and is Vice-Chair of the Harvard Overseers.
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