Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation Trends to 2015 Presentation

							  Interpreting the Scottish
Index of Multiple Deprivation
    in an Urban Context

Presentation to the ScotStat Analysts Network
               30th June 2010

                               James Arnott
         Development & Regeneration Services
                        Glasgow City Council
              SIMD 2009
   Highlighted reduction in Glasgow’s
    share of Scotland’s deprivation
   SIMD04: 308,000 in 1%-15%
   SIMD09: 243,000 in 1%-15%
   Main drivers: expanding local
    economy, retention of employed
    working-age population, improved
    housing choice
Change between 2004 & 2009

SIMD        2004      2009

1%-15%     307,997   243,110

16%-50%    150,636   183,492

51%-100%   119,236   157,638
Change between 2004 & 2009

SIMD       % Change   Change

1%-15%      -21.1%    -65,000

16%-50%    +21.8%     +32,900

51%-100%   +32.2%     +38,400
Greater Pollok LCPP: Change
   between 2004 & 2009
SIMD       % Change   Change

1%-15%      -16.4%    -4,500

16%-50%    +39.0%     +4,000

51%-100%   +23.0%     +3,800
        SIMD 2009: 4 Trends

   Areas moving out of deprivation:
    -21.1% population fall
   Areas moving into 51%-100%:
    +32.2% population increase
   Persistent deprivation involving
    108,525 persons
   Areas losing ground
          Further Analysis

   Capacity of Glasgow to withstand
    current recession
   Continuated City Centre expansion
   Areas of persistent deprivation
   Stable areas facing decline
1. Withstanding the Recession

   Broad-based economy
   Infrastructural improvements: M74,
    Clyde Gateway, Clyde Waterfront,
    Commonwealth Games
   Centralisation and displacement
   Demographics and age profile
   Relative not absolute improvement
    2a. City Centre Expansion

   East to Dennistoun
   North to Speirs Wharf
   West towards West End, Anderston,
    Kelvinhaugh
   Deprived areas into 16%-50%, non-
    deprived into 51%-100%
   No major employment expansion
    2b. City Centre/West End

   Along the 4 main linking routes
   Associated with increased working-
    age population
   Possibly also single person hholds
   Westward expansion stops at
    Whiteinch
   North Kelvinside & Woodside
    3. Persistent Deprivation

   137 dzones in 1%-5% in 04,06 & 09
   No major loss of population
   Based around SIPs but a new
    geography within them
   Continuing employability
    programmes for hard-to-reach
    during a recession
4. Stable Areas facing Decline

   Not threatened with deprivation, but
    losing ground
   Issues around displacement and
    competing neighbourhoods
   Inter-war housing stock, Western
    Heritable, RtBs
   Early action possible
             Conclusions

   Different neighbourhood geography
   Changed role of River Clyde and City
    Centre
   Widening inequalities with ex-SIPs
   Displacement within the city
    conurbation
            Way Forward

   Widen the debate around these and
    other issues
   Most suitable way of monitoring and
    reviewing these trends
   Use of policy to steer or stop