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					                                                                                            Industry Report
                                                                                            November 29, 2012




  Our Call                                                                                  Coal, Metals & Mining,
  We believe US coal equities are oversold as investor sentiment rivals depths              Engineering & Construction
  of 2002's US power market despair. Despite suffering post-election blues, some            Michael S. Dudas, CFA
  encouraging signs supportive of gas, industrial production rebound in Asia and            (646) 376-5329
  additional global investment/output restraint should aid valuation. We continue to        mdudas@sterneagee.com
  find shares underpriced and reflecting a much more onerous long-term thermal and          Satyadeep Jain, CFA
  met coal pricing and volume scenario. We would add to positions.                          (646) 376-5357
                                                                                            sjain@sterneagee.com
  Thoughts on Price Action - Coal stocks in our coverage universe have dropped
  nearly 20% on average since November 7, with JRCC and ANR down more
  than 30%, while CNX losing 10%. We contend global macro factors have been                 Mentioned Companies:
                                                                                            Symbol           Rating     Price
  dominating the coal trade, while industry fundamentals have not deteriorated in           ACI               Buy       $6.47
  recent weeks, and we find in some cases improving. We believe the elections               ANR               Buy       $7.00
  heightened "cliff" fears and more onerous regulation - events that could still impact     BTU               Buy      $24.75
  the sector. However, we note that international data surrounding coal continue            CNX               Buy      $31.97
                                                                                            JRCC              Buy       $3.21
  to strike a more positive, hopeful tone. Global coal mining majors continue               WLT              Neutral   $28.46
  to announce supply rationalization, and recent Chinese economic data appears
  supportive for met coal demand.
  Coal companies have accelerated financings to support focused free-cash goals
  during 2013. We have viewed the equity sell-off as non-discriminatory for the most
  part, not fully reflecting quality, liquidity and product mix differentials. Supportive
  natural gas pricing, proactive capital and resource management, expected fiscal
  and monetary improvement among emerging market economies that remain reliant
  on imported thermal and coking coals and expected accommodative US monetary
  policy should support coal equities into 2013. Among thermal oriented names,
  we suggest Consol, Arch and James River, while Peabody and Alpha should
  benefit from global economic recovery trends.

  Re-election. The market will keep watch for additional EPA regulatory activity
  targeting carbon and other particulate emissions. While new coal and industrial
  plant targets preclude new coal plants, the risk would be if current operating
  industrial and electricity plants could potentially face onerous emissions targets.
  However, coal fired plant utilization remains below 60% with fleet potential in
  the mid to upper 70s, allowing for ample room for demand growth if natural gas
  pricing and spark spread/demand economics improve.

  Trends Remain in Place - While near-term export flows face difficult comps and
  little current pricing room, current US East, Gulf and other export capacity could
  allow for a 40% improvement from current levels as European and Asian thermal
  and coking coal demand recovers. Producers' 2013 operating and financial profiles
  remain committed to a pullback in production, shutting down uneconomic output
  and a continued sharp focus on capital preservation.
  Recent Debt Financings - In the past few days, we have witnessed several
  coal companies, including ACI, WLT and BTU, enhance liquidity and financial
  flexibility by issuing/refinancing debt and/or modifying financial covenants. We
  note that ANR and ACI had undertaken similar capital structure initiatives during
  Q2. Even before these recent debt financings, we had estimated all coal companies
  in our coverage universe had enough liquidity to survive through 2014.



   Important Disclosures regarding Price Target Risks, Valuation Methodology, Regulation Analyst Certification,
Investment Banking, Ratings Definitions, and potential conflicts of interest begin on Page I of the Appendix Section.
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Recent measures undertaken by coal companies to enhance liquidity and financial flexibility indicate
a level of discretion and caution while preparing a solid war chest for the worst-case scenario, just in
case met coal prices remain sub $180/t and CAPP thermal coal prices sub $65/t though 2014. Most
US coal companies were already over-levered coming on heels of recent acquisitions at the top of
cycle in 2010-11. With these recent financings, leverage ratios for coal companies have swooned to
near all-time highs. The most recent debt issues have been expensive with yields to maturity nearing
or exceeding 10%. High fixed costs for companies in a cyclical/volatile industry can be burdensome.
However, we note that coal companies can prepay a part of this new debt if and when conditions
improve. We believe the market is underappreciating coal companies' long-term earnings power and
hence capital valuations and therefore expect the market to better reflect the liquidity and financial
flexibility to survive the current downturn, and emerge in a stronger position to enhance shareholder
returns when fundamentals improve during the next 12-18 months.

Capex Reductions - We expect 2013 capital expenditure for coal companies to be significantly
below 2011-12 levels. We believe it is imperative for coal companies to keep a close eye on cash
flow and liquidity in these market conditions, and are pleased to see management teams taking steps
in the right direction. Peabody has reduced its capital expenditure budget by $250 million since the
beginning of year, to $1.0-$1.1 billion. We would expect potential 2013 capital spending budget
targets could be significantly below current year levels. Arch expects 2013 capital spending at $350
million, $60-$80 million lower y/y. Alpha expects 2013 capex to be in the range of $300-350M
(including an LBA payment of approximately $45M) vs $450-$600M in 2012E. For Walter, we
expect capital expenditure of only $220M in 2013, a remarkable drop from almost $400M in 2012E.

Global Coal Production cuts - Anglo American (LON:AAL, GBX, 1695, NR) recently announced
its intention to scale back workforce at its Australian coal operations. Rio Tinto (RIO, $47.42, NR) is
targeting over $7 billion in spending cuts and savings, with the bulk of the cuts expected to be focused
on struggling aluminum and coal businesses. Xstrata (LON: XTA, GBX 1000, NR), BHP Billiton
(BHP, $71.25, NR) and other global majors have also announced such measures. Coal producers
all over the world have so far announced met coal production cuts of nearly 30-35 million tonnes
(MTPA) on an annualized basis, amounting to more than 12% of global seaborne market. At current
met coal prices, we believe more than 1/3rd of seaborne met coal production could be uneconomic,
leaving room for more production cuts if met coal prices do not increase from current levels. Thermal
coal producers have also intentionally (as a result of lower prices, higher taxes, labor, carbon costs)
or unintentionally (labor unrest in Colombia and South Africa) scaled back production. We believe
the global supply response, combined with renewed expectations of infrastructure spending in China,
could bring coal markets closer to balance in the near term.

Improvement in Chinese data - Recent Chinese economic data point to improvement. The latest
Chinese purchasing manager's index, industrial production, fixed asset investment, all show signs
of recovery. Chinese steel production reached 59.1 million tonnes in October, up 2% sequentially
and 8% y/y. Chinese hot rolled coil (HRC) prices have climbed from Sept 7 lows after government
announced plans to spend on infrastructure. Baoshan Iron & Steel Co. (SHA:600019, CNY 4.64,
NR), China's biggest publicly traded mill also raised prices for its cold rolled products recently, for
the first time in three months.




                                                                                               Page 2
                                                                                                                     November 29, 2012




Regulation Analyst Certification:
I, Michael S. Dudas and Satyadeep Jain, hereby certify the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views
about the subject security(ies) or issuer(s). I further certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly,
related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by me in this report.

Research Disclosures:
Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc. makes a market in the following subject companies Arch Coal, Alpha Natural Resources, Peabody Energy,
Consol Energy, James River Coal and Walter Energy
Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc.'s research analysts receive compensation that is based upon various factors, including Sterne, Agee & Leach,
Inc.'s total revenues, a portion of which is generated by investment banking activities.
Sterne Agee & Leach, Inc. expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services from the subject company
and/or companies in the next three months.

Price Target Risks & Related Risk Factors:
Investment risks associated with the achievement of the price target include, but are not limited to, a company's failure to achieve
Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc., earnings and revenue estimates; unforeseen macroeconomic and/or industry events that adversely affect
demand for a company's products or services; product obsolescence; changes in investor sentiment regarding the specific company or
industry; intense and rapidly changing competitive pressures; the continuing development of industry standards; the company's ability
to recruit and retain competent personnel; and adverse market conditions. For a complete discussion of the risk factors that could
affect the market price of a company's shares, refer to the most recent Form 10-Q or 10-K that a company has filed with the Securities
Exchange Commission.
Valuation Methodology:
Methodology for assigning ratings and target prices includes qualitative and quantitative factors including an assessment of industry
size, structure, business trends and overall attractiveness; management effectiveness; competition; visibility; financial condition; and
expected total return, among other factors. These factors are subject to change depending on overall economic conditions or industry
or company-specific occurrences. Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc., analysts base valuations on a combination of forward looking earnings
multiples, price-to-revenue multiples, and enterprise-value-to-revenue ratios. Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc., believes this accurately reflects
the strong absolute value of earnings, the strong earnings growth rate, the inherent profitability, and adjusted balance sheet factors.
Additional company-specific valuation methodology is available through Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc.

Definition of Investment Ratings:
BUY: We expect this stock to outperform the industry over the next 12 months.
NEUTRAL: We expect this stock to perform in line with the industry over the next 12 months.
UNDERPERFORM: We expect this stock to underperform the industry over the next 12 months.
RESTRICTED: Restricted list requirements preclude comment.

Ratings Distribution:
                                                                                                         IB Serv./ Past 12Mos.
Rating Category                        Count                     Percent                  Count                     Percent
Buy                                    218                       47.81%                   18                        8.26%
Neutral                                220                       48.25%                   14                        6.36%
Underperform                           18                        3.95%                    0                         0.00%

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AVAILABLE UPON REQUEST: Contact Robert Hoehn at 1-212-338-4731.
Other Disclosures:
Opinions expressed are our present opinions only. This material is based upon information that we consider reliable, but we do not
represent that it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc., its affiliates, or one or
more of its officers, employees, or consultants may, at times, have long or short or options positions in the securities mentioned herein
and may act as principal or agent to buy or sell such securities.


                                                                                                            Appendix Section, Page I
                                                                                                            November 29, 2012

Copyright © 2012 Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
To receive price charts or other disclosures on the companies mentioned in this report, please visit our website at https://
sterneagee.bluematrix.com/sellside/Disclosures.action or contact Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc. toll-free at (800) 240-1438 or
(205) 949-3689.




                                                                                                   Appendix Section, Page II
                       Founded in 1901, Sterne Agee has been providing investors like you with high-quality investment opportunities for over a century. During the
                       early years, our founders prominently established themselves in the financial securities industry in the southeastern United States. Today, we
                       have expanded to serve all regions of the country. Sterne, Agee is headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama with offices in 22 states. Sterne
                       Agee is one of the largest independent firms in the country. Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc. is a division of Sterne Agee Group, Inc., which also
                       includes The Trust Company of Sterne, Agee & Leach, Inc.; Sterne Agee Asset Management, Inc.; Sterne Agee Clearing, Inc.; and Sterne Agee
                       Financial Services, Inc.—www.sterneagee.com

                                                              EQUITY CAPITAL MARKETS
                                         Ryan Medo             Managing Dir., Eq. Cap. Mkts.              (205) 949-3623


                      INSTITUTIONAL SALES                                                                     INSTITUTIONAL TRADING
William Jump       Director of Institutional Sales            (404) 814-3960           JT Cacciabaudo        Head of Trading                           (212) 763-8288
Jon Schenk         Assoc. Director of Inst. Sales             (212) 763-8221

                                                                    EQUITY RESEARCH
                                         Robert Hoehn           Director of Research                      (212) 338-4731
CONSUMER                                                                               INDUSTRIALS
 Interactive Entertainment / Internet                                                    Aerospace & Defense
  Arvind Bhatia, CFA                   Mng. Dir.              (214) 702-4001              Peter Arment                         Mng. Dir.               (646) 376-5336
  Brett Strauser                       VP, Analyst            (214) 702-4009              Josh W. Sullivan                     Sr. Analyst             (646) 376-5337

  Footwear & Apparel
                                                                                          Auto, Auto Parts and Auto Retailers
  Sam Poser                            Mng. Dir.              (212) 763-8226
                                                                                          Michael P. Ward, CFA                 Mng. Dir.               (646) 376-5375
  Ben Shamsian                         Analyst                (212) 338-4721

  Leisure & Entertainment                                                                 Coal, Metals & Mining, Engineering & Construction
  David Bain                           Mng. Dir.              (949) 721-6651              Michael S. Dudas, CFA                Mng. Dir.               (646) 376-5329
                                                                                          Satyadeep Jain, CFA                  Analyst                 (646) 376-5357
  Restaurants                                                                             Patrick Uotila, CPA                  Analyst                 (646) 376-5358
  Lynne Collier                        Mng. Dir.              (214) 702-4045
                                                                                          Construction Materials & Diversified Industrials
ENERGY                                                                                    Todd Vencil, CFA                     SVP, Sr. Analyst       (804) 282-7385
  Exploration & Production                                                                Kevin Bennett, CFA                   VP, Analyst            (804) 282-4506
  Tim Rezvan, CFA                      Sr. Analyst            (212) 338-4736
                                                                                       HEALTHCARE
  Oilfield Services & Equipment                                                           Pharmaceutical Services
  Stephen D. Gengaro                   Mng. Dir.              (646) 376-5331              Greg T. Bolan                        Mng. Dir.              (615) 760-1469
  Grant Fox                            Analyst                (212) 338-4723              Himanshu Rastogi, PhD, CFA           VP, Analyst            (615) 760-1478
FINANCIAL SERVICES                                                                     TECHNOLOGY
  Asset Management                                                                       Data Networking and Storage
  Jason Weyeneth, CFA                  SVP, Sr. Analyst       (212) 763-8293              Alex Kurtz                           Mng. Dir                (415) 402-6015
                                                                                          Amelia Harris                        Analyst                 (415) 402-6018
  Banks & Thrifts
  Matthew Kelley                       Mng. Dir.              (207) 699-5800              Financial Technology
  Matthew Breese                       Analyst                (207) 699-5800              Greg Smith                           Mng. Dir                (818) 615-2029
  Brett Rabatin, CFA                   Mng. Dir.              (615) 760-1466              Jennifer Dugan                       Analyst                 (415) 402-6051
  Kenneth James                        VP, Sr. Analyst        (615) 760-1474
  Peyton Green                         Mng. Dir.              (877) 492-2663              Hardware, Mobile Devices, IT Supply Chain
  Zachary Wollam                       VP, Analyst            (615) 760-1468              Shaw Wu                              SVP, Sr. Analyst        (415) 362-7431
  Todd L. Hagerman                     Mng. Dir.              (212) 338-4744
  Robert Greene                        VP, Analyst            (212) 763-8296              LED Supply Chain
                                                                                          Andrew Huang                         Mng. Dir.               (415) 362-6143
  Life Insurance                                                                          John Shen                            Analyst                 (415) 402-6052
  John M. Nadel                        Mng. Dir.              (212) 338-4717
  Alex Levine                          Analyst                (212) 338-4748              Semiconductors
                                                                                          Vijay Rakesh                         Mng. Dir.               (312) 525-8431
  Mortgage Finance & Specialty Finance
  Henry J. Coffey, Jr., CFA            Mng. Dir.              (615) 760-1472           TRANSPORTATION, SERVICES & EQUIPMENT
  Jason Weaver, CFA                    VP, Sr. Analyst        (615) 760-1475              Jeffrey A. Kauffman                  Mng. Dir.              (212) 338-4765
  Calvin Hotrum                        Analyst                (615) 760-1476              Sal Vitale                           VP, Sr. Analyst        (212) 338-4766
                                                                                          Ryan Mueller                         Analyst                (212) 338-4732
  Property/Casualty Insurance
  Dan Farrell                          Mng. Dir.              (212) 338-4782
  Nitin Chhabra, FCAS                  Analyst                (212) 338-4779




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