Gravis-Nevada Poll 10-3 by gravismarketing

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									                                                                Nevada Results
                                                                      For 10/3/2012

 Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407-242-1870
                                     Executive Summary
                                     Last evening, October
                                     3rd, Gravis Marketing,
                                     a non-partisan
                                     research firm
                                     conducted a survey of
                                     1,006 likely voters in
                                     Nevada regarding
                                     their likely vote for a
                                     given presidential
                                     candidate. The poll
                                     carries a margin of
                                     error of 3.1%.
                                      Overall, among
                                     likely voters, Obama
                                     holds a 1.1% lead at
                                     48.9% compared to
                                     Romney’s 47.8%,
                                     with 3.3% of likely
                                     voters still undecided.
                                     In the Senate race,
                                     Heller holds a 52.5%
to 35.8% advantage.
A summary of the results is presented in the following pages.




                                                1
Survey Questions
1. Are you registered to vote? (Yes, No)
No crosstabs available for this question because if an individual answered no, the questionnaire
stopped.
2. How likely are you to vote in this year’s presidential elections? (Very unlikely, Unlikely,
Somewhat unlikely, Somewhat likely, Likely, Very likely)




                                                           % of Total
% of Total




                                                           % of Total
                                                           % of Total
             Somewhat likely




                               Likely




                                         Very likely




                                                                                Romney
                                                                        Obama




                                                                                            Other
Notes: Each label represents a given candidates’ take of the overall row, while the size of the dot
represents the overall percent of the total sample. Essentially, Obama has a 49% to 48.4% lead
among “very likely” voters, and this category is by far the largest group.




                                                       2
3. In which party are you either registered to vote or do you consider yourself a member of?
(Democrat, Republican, independent or minority party)
Obama holds the lead among Independents (48.9% to 43.6%), while Romney holds a lead among
party switchers (12.7% to 10.3%).




                                        31.9%




                                                          % of Total
                          33.1%
Party




                                                          % of Total
            35.1%




                                                          % of Total
                          Republican
            Democrat




                                        Other




                                                                                Romney
                                                                       Obama




                                                                                           Other




                                                3
                                            % of Total


                                                                              Other)

      White                                                          68.2%




      Black         10.3%




    Hispanic                15.6%




      Other      6.0%




4
               % of Total           % of Total      % of Total   % of Total




     Obama




    Romney




      Other
                                                                              4. What race do you identify yourself as? (White/Caucasian, African-American, Hispanic, Asian,
5. Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation? (Roman Catholic,
Protestant/other non-denominational Christian, Jewish, Muslim, Other/no affiliation)




                                                                    % of Total
                           37.8%




                                                                    % of Total
                                                        29.0%
             25.8%
% of Total




                                                                    % of Total
                                                                    % of Total
                                      4.4%




                                                                    % of Total
                                               3.0%
                                               Muslim
             Catholic




                        Protestant/
                             Other
                         Christian




                                      Jewish




                                                        Other




                                                                                         Romney
                                                                                 Obama




                                                                                                  Other




                                                                5
                          % of Total Count of Age group




6
                                                                          6. How old are you? (18-29, 30-49, 50-64, Over 65)




             % of Total       % of Total        % of Total   % of Total




    Obama




    Romney




     Other
                          % of Total
                                                    7. What is your Gender? (Male, Female)




7
             % of Total                % of Total




    Obama




    Romney




     Other
8. If the presidential election were held today, whom would you vote for? (Very likely Obama,
Likely Obama, Somewhat likely Obama, Undecided, Somewhat likely Romney, Likely Romney,
Very likely Romney)

                                      Presidential race



                                50%



                                40%



                                30%



                                20%



                                10%


                                 0%




                                              8
                               % of Total




      Approve                               43.5%




    Disapprove                                      49.1%




       Unsure         7.3%
                                                            9. Approve of Obama’s job performance?




9
                 % of Total   % of Total    % of Total




    Obama




    Romney




     Other
10. If you had $1 million that needed to be managed, whom would you trust to manage your
money more?




                        50.0%




                                                     % of Total
             38.5%
% of Total




                                                     % of Total
                                      11.5%




                                                     % of Total
                        Romney
             Obama




                                      Other




                                                                          Romney
                                                                  Obama




                                                                                      Other




                                              10
11. Is the U.S. headed in the right or wrong direction?




                                                          % of Total
                                                          % of Total
% of Total




                                                          % of Total




                                                                               Romney
                                                                       Obama




                                                                                        Other




                                               11
12. If the election were held today for Nevada Senate between Democrat Shelley Berkley and
Republican Dean Heller, whom would you vote for?
      % of Total
      % of Total




                                                % of Total
      % of Total




                            Romney
                   Obama




                                       Other




                                               12
13. Do you approve of Brian Sandoval’s job performance?



             46.3%




                                                          % of Total
                                       37.7%
% of Total




                                                          % of Total
                         16.0%




                                                          % of Total
             Approve




                         Disapprove




                                       Unsure




                                                                               Romney
                                                                       Obama




                                                                                          Other
Note: the statistical methodology comprised weighing sex and age for anticipated voting
proportions for the 2012 General Election.




                                                13
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012     Thursday October 4 18:49:58 2012    Page 1




 opened on:     4 Oct 2012, 18:48:56

. tab2 party race religiousaffiliation agegroup sex presidentoverall approveobamasjobperformance manag
> es1mbetter usdirection senateoverall approveofsandoval, cell chi2 column lrchi2 nofreq row

-> tabulation of party by race


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                                           Race
              Party      Black      Hispanic      Other      White           Total

          Democrat        14.19         20.95        4.50       60.36       100.00
                          47.73         47.21       26.67       30.25        34.42
                           4.88          7.21        1.55       20.78        34.42

Independent/Other         13.29         13.29        6.52       66.91       100.00
                          41.67         27.92       36.00       31.26        32.09
                           4.26          4.26        2.09       21.47        32.09

        Republican         3.24         11.34        6.48       78.94       100.00
                          10.61         24.87       37.33       38.49        33.49
                           1.09          3.80        2.17       26.43        33.49

              Total       10.23         15.27        5.81       68.68       100.00
                         100.00        100.00      100.00      100.00       100.00
                          10.23         15.27        5.81       68.68       100.00

          Pearson chi2( 6) =      59.2753   Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =      65.2592   Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by religiousaffiliation


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                                        Religious affiliation
              Party   Catholic        Jewish     Muslim       Other   Protestan      Total

          Democrat        32.42          3.88        2.05       31.74       29.91    100.00
                          44.38         28.81       24.32       37.87       27.07     34.57
                          11.21          1.34        0.71       10.97       10.34     34.57

Independent/Other         22.03          8.42        3.71       32.43       33.42    100.00
                          27.81         57.63       40.54       35.69       27.89     31.89
                           7.02          2.68        1.18       10.34       10.66     31.89

        Republican        20.94          1.88        3.06       22.82       51.29    100.00
                          27.81         13.56       35.14       26.43       45.04     33.54
                           7.02          0.63        1.03        7.66       17.21     33.54

              Total       25.26          4.66        2.92       28.97       38.20    100.00
                         100.00        100.00      100.00      100.00      100.00    100.00
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012    Thursday October 4 18:49:58 2012   Page 2

                         25.26             4.66       2.92     28.97      38.20    100.00

          Pearson chi2( 8) =     73.3123      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =     71.8361      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by agegroup


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                                        Age group
            Party        18-29        30-49       50-64       65+         Total

          Democrat       20.46         34.94         27.36     17.24      100.00
                         45.88         27.64         38.26     37.50       34.66
                          7.09         12.11          9.48      5.98       34.66

Independent/Other        13.00         56.25         20.25     10.50      100.00
                         26.80         40.91         26.05     21.00       31.87
                          4.14         17.93          6.45      3.35       31.87

        Republican       12.62         41.19         26.43     19.76      100.00
                         27.32         31.45         35.69     41.50       33.47
                          4.22         13.78          8.84      6.61       33.47

            Total        15.46         43.82         24.78     15.94      100.00
                        100.00        100.00        100.00    100.00      100.00
                         15.46         43.82         24.78     15.94      100.00

          Pearson chi2( 6) =     50.0586      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =     49.9864      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by sex


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                               Sex
            Party          Men        Women          Total

          Democrat       42.76         57.24         100.00
                         30.29         38.91          34.69
                         14.83         19.86          34.69

Independent/Other        54.25         45.75         100.00
                         35.34         28.59          31.90
                         17.30         14.59          31.90

        Republican       50.36         49.64         100.00
                         34.36         32.50          33.41
                         16.83         16.59          33.41

            Total        48.96         51.04         100.00
                        100.00        100.00         100.00
                         48.96         51.04         100.00
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012     Thursday October 4 18:49:58 2012   Page 3

          Pearson chi2( 2) =      11.5015   Pr = 0.003
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =      11.5322   Pr = 0.003

-> tabulation of party by presidentoverall


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                             President overall
            Party         Obama     Romney     Unsure           Total

          Democrat        85.71         12.67       1.61       100.00
                          62.10          9.39      17.07        35.40
                          30.34          4.49       0.57        35.40

Independent/Other         48.94         43.62       7.45       100.00
                          30.72         27.99      68.29        30.67
                          15.01         13.38       2.28        30.67

        Republican        10.34         88.22       1.44       100.00
                           7.18         62.63      14.63        33.93
                           3.51         29.93       0.49        33.93

            Total         48.86         47.80       3.34       100.00
                         100.00        100.00     100.00       100.00
                          48.86         47.80       3.34       100.00

          Pearson chi2( 4) = 529.9408       Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 583.5391       Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by approveobamasjobperformance


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                      Approve Obama's job performance?
            Party            No Undecided         Yes           Total

          Democrat         7.09          7.33      85.58       100.00
                           5.03         34.83      68.43        34.81
                           2.47          2.55      29.79        34.81

Independent/Other         52.66         10.37      36.97       100.00
                          33.17         43.82      26.28        30.95
                          16.30          3.21      11.44        30.95

        Republican        88.70          4.57       6.73       100.00
                          61.81         21.35       5.29        34.24
                          30.37          1.56       2.30        34.24

            Total         49.14          7.33      43.54       100.00
                         100.00        100.00     100.00       100.00
                          49.14          7.33      43.54       100.00

          Pearson chi2( 4) = 599.6361       Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 695.6682       Pr = 0.000
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012   Thursday October 4 18:49:58 2012   Page 4

-> tabulation of party by manages1mbetter


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                           Manages $1 M better
            Party        Obama     Romney Undecided           Total

          Democrat        81.19         8.33     10.48       100.00
                          73.65         5.81     31.88        34.91
                          28.35         2.91      3.66        34.91

Independent/Other         28.42       54.69      16.89       100.00
                          22.89       33.89      45.65        31.01
                           8.81       16.96       5.24        31.01

        Republican         3.90       88.54       7.56       100.00
                           3.46       60.30      22.46        34.08
                           1.33       30.17       2.58        34.08

            Total         38.49       50.04      11.47       100.00
                         100.00      100.00     100.00       100.00
                          38.49       50.04      11.47       100.00

          Pearson chi2( 4) = 620.6496     Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 711.4752     Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by usdirection


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                              U.S. direction?
            Party     Right dir     Unsure Wrong dir          Total

          Democrat        80.24       11.90       7.86       100.00
                          70.21       50.51       5.33        35.06
                          28.13        4.17       2.75        35.06

Independent/Other         34.50        7.55      57.95       100.00
                          26.67       28.28      34.73        30.97
                          10.68        2.34      17.95        30.97

        Republican         3.69        5.16      91.15       100.00
                           3.13       21.21      59.94        33.97
                           1.25        1.75      30.97        33.97

            Total         40.07        8.26      51.67       100.00
                         100.00      100.00     100.00       100.00
                          40.07        8.26      51.67       100.00

          Pearson chi2( 4) = 599.8661     Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 716.0935     Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by senateoverall
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012   Thursday October 4 18:49:58 2012   Page 5


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                              Senate overall
            Party      Berkley     Heller      Unsure         Total

          Democrat       67.71        20.57      11.72       100.00
                         65.66        13.60      34.62        34.69
                         23.49         7.14       4.07        34.69

Independent/Other        29.29        50.89      19.82       100.00
                         25.00        29.60      51.54        30.53
                          8.94        15.54       6.05        30.53

        Republican        9.61        85.71       4.68       100.00
                          9.34        56.80      13.85        34.78
                          3.34        29.81       1.63        34.78

            Total        35.77        52.48      11.74       100.00
                        100.00       100.00     100.00       100.00
                         35.77        52.48      11.74       100.00

          Pearson chi2( 4) = 377.9536     Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 396.8720     Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of party by approveofsandoval


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                           Approve of Sandoval
            Party      Approve Disapprov       Unsure         Total

          Democrat       30.29        26.37      43.34       100.00
                         22.88        57.71      40.19        34.98
                         10.59         9.22      15.16        34.98

Independent/Other        43.03        13.95      43.03       100.00
                         28.60        26.86      35.11        30.78
                         13.24         4.29      13.24        30.78

        Republican       65.60         7.20      27.20       100.00
                         48.52        15.43      24.70        34.25
                         22.47         2.47       9.32        34.25

            Total        46.30        15.98      37.72       100.00
                        100.00       100.00     100.00       100.00
                         46.30        15.98      37.72       100.00

          Pearson chi2( 4) = 113.7218     Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 114.6374     Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by religiousaffiliation
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012    Thursday October 4 18:49:58 2012       Page 6


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                             Religious affiliation
        Race   Catholic    Jewish     Muslim       Other      Protestan              Total

     Black        16.28      10.08         14.73         15.50      43.41            100.00
                   6.56      22.03         51.35          5.45      11.57             10.18
                   1.66       1.03          1.50          1.58       4.42             10.18

  Hispanic        49.74       3.14          2.62         25.65      18.85            100.00
                  29.69      10.17         13.51         13.35       7.44             15.07
                   7.50       0.47          0.39          3.87       2.84             15.07

     Other        21.92       0.00          4.11         57.53      16.44            100.00
                   5.00       0.00          8.11         11.44       2.48              5.76
                   1.26       0.00          0.24          3.31       0.95              5.76

     White        21.51       4.58          1.14         29.29      43.48            100.00
                  58.75      67.80         27.03         69.75      78.51             68.98
                  14.84       3.16          0.79         20.21      29.99             68.98

     Total        25.26       4.66          2.92         28.97      38.20            100.00
                 100.00     100.00        100.00        100.00     100.00            100.00
                  25.26       4.66          2.92         28.97      38.20            100.00

         Pearson chi2( 12) = 203.0238      Pr = 0.000
likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) =        .

-> tabulation of race by agegroup


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                              Age group
        Race      18-29     30-49       50-64           65+          Total

     Black        25.58      44.19         21.71          8.53      100.00
                  17.01      10.36          9.00          5.50       10.28
                   2.63       4.54          2.23          0.88       10.28

  Hispanic        25.13      58.12         12.57          4.19      100.00
                  24.74      20.18          7.72          4.00       15.22
                   3.82       8.84          1.91          0.64       15.22

     Other        16.44      41.10         32.88          9.59      100.00
                   6.19       5.45          7.72          3.50        5.82
                   0.96       2.39          1.91          0.56        5.82

     White        11.72      40.84         27.26         20.19      100.00
                  52.06      64.00         75.56         87.00       68.69
                   8.05      28.05         18.73         13.86       68.69

     Total        15.46      43.82         24.78         15.94      100.00
                 100.00     100.00        100.00        100.00      100.00
                  15.46      43.82         24.78         15.94      100.00
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012       Thursday October 4 18:49:59 2012   Page 7

          Pearson chi2( 9) =     87.4118      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 9) =     93.8048      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by sex


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                         Sex
        Race          Men      Women           Total

     Black        33.33         66.67         100.00
                   7.00         13.44          10.29
                   3.43          6.86          10.29

  Hispanic        46.60         53.40         100.00
                  14.50         15.94          15.23
                   7.10          8.13          15.23

     Other        69.86         30.14         100.00
                   8.31          3.44           5.82
                   4.07          1.75           5.82

     White        50.06         49.94         100.00
                  70.20         67.19          68.66
                  34.37         34.29          68.66

     Total       48.96          51.04         100.00
                100.00         100.00         100.00
                 48.96          51.04         100.00

          Pearson chi2( 3) =     26.2121      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 3) =     26.8034      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by presidentoverall


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                    President overall
        Race     Obama     Romney     Unsure               Total

     Black        58.73         34.13          7.14        100.00
                  12.35          7.34         21.95         10.28
                   6.04          3.51          0.73         10.28

  Hispanic        62.83         37.17          0.00        100.00
                  20.03         12.12          0.00         15.58
                   9.79          5.79          0.00         15.58

     Other        30.14         65.75          4.11        100.00
                   3.67          8.19          7.32          5.95
                   1.79          3.92          0.24          5.95

     White        45.81         50.72          3.47        100.00
                  63.94         72.35         70.73         68.19
                  31.24         34.58          2.37         68.19
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012       Thursday October 4 18:49:59 2012   Page 8


     Total         48.86        47.80          3.34        100.00
                  100.00       100.00        100.00        100.00
                   48.86        47.80          3.34        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 6) =     44.8084      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =           .

-> tabulation of race by approveobamasjobperformance


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


               Approve Obama's job performance?
        Race          No Undecided         Yes             Total

     Black         37.30         5.56         57.14        100.00
                    7.87         7.87         13.61         10.37
                    3.87         0.58          5.93         10.37

  Hispanic         40.22        14.67         45.11        100.00
                   12.40        30.34         15.69         15.14
                    6.09         2.22          6.83         15.14

     Other         56.16         9.59         34.25        100.00
                    6.87         7.87          4.73          6.01
                    3.37         0.58          2.06          6.01

     White         52.28         5.77         41.95        100.00
                   72.86        53.93         65.97         68.48
                   35.80         3.95         28.72         68.48

     Total         49.14         7.33         43.54        100.00
                  100.00       100.00        100.00        100.00
                   49.14         7.33         43.54        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 6) =     33.7379      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =     30.9646      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by manages1mbetter


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                     Manages $1 M better
        Race       Obama     Romney Undecided              Total

     Black         51.59        38.10         10.32        100.00
                   14.04         7.97          9.42         10.47
                    5.40         3.99          1.08         10.47

  Hispanic         48.91        35.87         15.22        100.00
                   19.44        10.96         20.29         15.30
                    7.48         5.49          2.33         15.30

     Other         35.62        54.79          9.59        100.00
                    5.62         6.64          5.07          6.07
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012       Thursday October 4 18:49:59 2012   Page 9

                    2.16         3.33          0.58          6.07

     White         34.39        54.63         10.98        100.00
                   60.91        74.42         65.22         68.16
                   23.44        37.24          7.48         68.16

     Total         38.49        50.04         11.47        100.00
                  100.00       100.00        100.00        100.00
                   38.49        50.04         11.47        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 6) =     32.1099      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =     32.1277      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by usdirection


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                       U.S. direction?
        Race   Right dir     Unsure Wrong dir              Total

     Black         50.79         3.97         45.24        100.00
                   13.33         5.05          9.21         10.52
                    5.34         0.42          4.76         10.52

  Hispanic         43.48        15.22         41.30        100.00
                   16.67        28.28         12.28         15.36
                    6.68         2.34          6.34         15.36

     Other         32.39         5.63         61.97        100.00
                    4.79         4.04          7.11          5.93
                    1.92         0.33          3.67          5.93

     White         38.31         7.59         54.10        100.00
                   65.21        62.63         71.41         68.20
                   26.13         5.18         36.89         68.20

     Total         40.07         8.26         51.67        100.00
                  100.00       100.00        100.00        100.00
                   40.07         8.26         51.67        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 6) =     27.6765      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =     26.2865      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of race by senateoverall


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012       Thursday October 4 18:49:59 2012   Page 10

                      Senate overall
        Race   Berkley     Heller          Unsure          Total

     Black        47.17         46.23          6.60        100.00
                  12.63          8.43          5.38          9.58
                   4.52          4.43          0.63          9.58

  Hispanic        34.64         48.04         17.32        100.00
                  15.66         14.80         23.85         16.17
                   5.60          7.77          2.80         16.17

     Other        22.22         61.90         15.87        100.00
                   3.54          6.71          7.69          5.69
                   1.26          3.52          0.90          5.69

     White        35.57         53.62         10.80        100.00
                  68.18         70.05         63.08         68.56
                  24.39         36.77          7.41         68.56

     Total       35.77          52.48         11.74        100.00
                100.00         100.00        100.00        100.00
                 35.77          52.48         11.74        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 6) =     18.4792      Pr = 0.005
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =     18.3950      Pr = 0.005

-> tabulation of race by approveofsandoval


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                   Approve of Sandoval
        Race   Approve Disapprov       Unsure              Total

     Black        46.23         26.42         27.36        100.00
                   9.66         16.00          7.02          9.68
                   4.47          2.56          2.65          9.68

  Hispanic        54.19         15.08         30.73        100.00
                  19.13         15.43         13.32         16.35
                   8.86          2.47          5.02         16.35

     Other        40.68         11.86         47.46        100.00
                   4.73          4.00          6.78          5.39
                   2.19          0.64          2.56          5.39

     White        44.87         15.05         40.08        100.00
                  66.47         64.57         72.88         68.58
                  30.78         10.32         27.49         68.58

     Total       46.30          15.98         37.72        100.00
                100.00         100.00        100.00        100.00
                 46.30          15.98         37.72        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 6) =     19.4173      Pr = 0.004
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =     18.5287      Pr = 0.005

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by agegroup
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012       Thursday October 4 18:49:59 2012      Page 11


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                                               Age group
Religious affiliation          18-29         30-49       50-64       65+                Total

            Catholic            15.72         41.19         27.04     16.04         100.00
                                25.77         23.82         27.65     25.50          25.34
                                 3.98         10.44          6.85      4.06          25.34

               Jewish            8.62         56.90         22.41     12.07         100.00
                                 2.58          6.00          4.18      3.50           4.62
                                 0.40          2.63          1.04      0.56           4.62

               Muslim            8.11         67.57         18.92      5.41         100.00
                                 1.55          4.55          2.25      1.00           2.95
                                 0.24          1.99          0.56      0.16           2.95

                Other           18.23         51.93         19.06     10.77         100.00
                                34.02         34.18         22.19     19.50          28.84
                                 5.26         14.98          5.50      3.11          28.84

Protestant/Oth.Christ           14.58         36.04         28.33     21.04         100.00
                                36.08         31.45         43.73     50.50          38.25
                                 5.58         13.78         10.84      8.05          38.25

                Total           15.46         43.82         24.78     15.94         100.00
                               100.00        100.00        100.00    100.00         100.00
                                15.46         43.82         24.78     15.94         100.00

         Pearson chi2( 12) =     50.2423      Pr = 0.000
likelihood-ratio chi2( 12) =     51.3596      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by sex


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                                    Sex
Religious affiliation            Men         Women          Total

            Catholic            42.45         57.55         100.00
                                21.99         28.59          25.36
                                10.77         14.59          25.36

               Jewish           71.93         28.07         100.00
                                 6.68          2.50           4.55
                                 3.27          1.28           4.55

               Muslim           29.73         70.27         100.00
                                 1.79          4.06           2.95
                                 0.88          2.07           2.95

                Other           55.80         44.20         100.00
                                32.90         25.00          28.87
                                16.11         12.76          28.87
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012       Thursday October 4 18:49:59 2012   Page 12

Protestant/Oth.Christ           46.88         53.13         100.00
                                36.64         39.84          38.28
                                17.94         20.33          38.28

                Total           48.96         51.04         100.00
                               100.00        100.00         100.00
                                48.96         51.04         100.00

          Pearson chi2( 4) =     30.5132      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =     31.1004      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by presidentoverall


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                                  President overall
Religious affiliation          Obama     Romney     Unsure            Total

            Catholic            58.86         39.24          1.90    100.00
                                31.05         21.16         14.63     25.77
                                15.17         10.11          0.49     25.77

               Jewish           62.96         33.33          3.70    100.00
                                 5.68          3.07          4.88      4.40
                                 2.77          1.47          0.16      4.40

               Muslim           16.22         67.57         16.22    100.00
                                 1.00          4.27         14.63      3.02
                                 0.49          2.04          0.49      3.02

                Other           52.68         42.54          4.79    100.00
                                31.22         25.77         41.46     28.96
                                15.25         12.32          1.39     28.96

Protestant/Oth.Christ           40.09         57.76          2.16    100.00
                                31.05         45.73         24.39     37.85
                                15.17         21.86          0.82     37.85

                Total           48.86         47.80          3.34    100.00
                               100.00        100.00        100.00    100.00
                                48.86         47.80          3.34    100.00

          Pearson chi2( 8) =     71.5280      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =     65.4509      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by approveobamasjobperformance


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012       Thursday October 4 18:49:59 2012   Page 13

                         Approve Obama's job performance?
Religious affiliation           No Undecided         Yes              Total

            Catholic            38.29          8.23         53.48    100.00
                                20.27         29.21         31.95     26.01
                                 9.96          2.14         13.91     26.01

               Jewish           33.33         22.22         44.44    100.00
                                 3.02         13.48          4.54      4.44
                                 1.48          0.99          1.98      4.44

               Muslim           67.57         16.22         16.22    100.00
                                 4.19          6.74          1.13      3.05
                                 2.06          0.49          0.49      3.05

                Other           47.29          8.83         43.87    100.00
                                27.81         34.83         29.11     28.89
                                13.66          2.55         12.67     28.89

Protestant/Oth.Christ           58.42          3.06         38.51    100.00
                                44.72         15.73         33.27     37.61
                                21.98          1.15         14.49     37.61

                Total           49.14          7.33         43.54    100.00
                               100.00        100.00        100.00    100.00
                                49.14          7.33         43.54    100.00

          Pearson chi2( 8) =     70.4463      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =     68.6167      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by manages1mbetter


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                                 Manages $1 M better
Religious affiliation          Obama     Romney Undecided             Total

            Catholic            52.85         38.92          8.23    100.00
                                36.07         20.43         18.84     26.27
                                13.88         10.22          2.16     26.27

               Jewish           35.19         51.85         12.96    100.00
                                 4.10          4.65          5.07      4.49
                                 1.58          2.33          0.58      4.49

               Muslim           16.22         83.78          0.00    100.00
                                 1.30          5.15          0.00      3.08
                                 0.50          2.58          0.00      3.08

                Other           40.82         41.69         17.49    100.00
                                30.24         23.75         43.48     28.51
                                11.64         11.89          4.99     28.51

Protestant/Oth.Christ           28.92         61.15          9.93    100.00
                                28.29         46.01         32.61     37.66
                                10.89         23.03          3.74     37.66

                Total           38.49         50.04         11.47    100.00
                               100.00        100.00        100.00    100.00
                                38.49         50.04         11.47    100.00
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012       Thursday October 4 18:49:59 2012   Page 14

          Pearson chi2( 8) =     84.3413      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =           .

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by usdirection


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                                 U.S. direction?
Religious affiliation    Right dir     Unsure Wrong dir               Total

            Catholic            50.63          9.81         39.56    100.00
                                33.33         31.31         20.19     26.38
                                13.36          2.59         10.43     26.38

               Jewish           46.30          5.56         48.15    100.00
                                 5.21          3.03          4.20      4.51
                                 2.09          0.25          2.17      4.51

               Muslim           16.22          0.00         83.78    100.00
                                 1.25          0.00          5.01      3.09
                                 0.50          0.00          2.59      3.09

                Other           39.23         12.39         48.38    100.00
                                27.71         42.42         26.49     28.30
                                11.10          3.51         13.69     28.30

Protestant/Oth.Christ           34.51          5.09         60.40    100.00
                                32.50         23.23         44.10     37.73
                                13.02          1.92         22.79     37.73

                Total           40.07          8.26         51.67    100.00
                               100.00        100.00        100.00    100.00
                                40.07          8.26         51.67    100.00

          Pearson chi2( 8) =     58.9312      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =           .

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by senateoverall


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                                    Senate overall
Religious affiliation      Berkley       Heller        Unsure         Total

            Catholic            39.39         46.13         14.48    100.00
                                29.55         23.58         33.08     26.83
                                10.57         12.38          3.88     26.83

               Jewish           56.25         41.67          2.08    100.00
                                 6.82          3.44          0.77      4.34
                                 2.44          1.81          0.09      4.34

               Muslim           35.14         56.76          8.11    100.00
                                 3.28          3.61          2.31      3.34
                                 1.17          1.90          0.27      3.34
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012       Thursday October 4 18:49:59 2012   Page 15


                Other           38.59         44.37         17.04    100.00
                                30.30         23.75         40.77     28.09
                                10.84         12.47          4.79     28.09

Protestant/Oth.Christ           28.74         64.01          7.25    100.00
                                30.05         45.61         23.08     37.40
                                10.75         23.94          2.71     37.40

                Total           35.77         52.48         11.74    100.00
                               100.00        100.00        100.00    100.00
                                35.77         52.48         11.74    100.00

          Pearson chi2( 8) =     51.6726      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =     53.0361      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of religiousaffiliation by approveofsandoval


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                               Approve of Sandoval
Religious affiliation      Approve Disapprov       Unsure             Total

            Catholic            55.25         18.64         26.10    100.00
                                32.15         31.43         18.64     26.94
                                14.89          5.02          7.03     26.94

               Jewish           41.67         35.42         22.92    100.00
                                 3.94          9.71          2.66      4.38
                                 1.83          1.55          1.00      4.38

               Muslim           91.89          8.11          0.00    100.00
                                 6.71          1.71          0.00      3.38
                                 3.11          0.27          0.00      3.38

                Other           27.30         15.79         56.91    100.00
                                16.37         27.43         41.89     27.76
                                 7.58          4.38         15.80     27.76

Protestant/Oth.Christ           50.36         12.65         36.98    100.00
                                40.83         29.71         36.80     37.53
                                18.90          4.75         13.88     37.53

                Total           46.30         15.98         37.72    100.00
                               100.00        100.00        100.00    100.00
                                46.30         15.98         37.72    100.00

          Pearson chi2( 8) = 121.0885         Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 8) =        .

-> tabulation of agegroup by sex


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012       Thursday October 4 18:50:00 2012   Page 16

                         Sex
 Age group            Men      Women           Total

     18-29        37.11         62.89         100.00
                  11.73         19.06          15.47
                   5.74          9.73          15.47

     30-49        55.09         44.91         100.00
                  49.35         38.59          43.86
                  24.16         19.70          43.86

     50-64        48.06         51.94         100.00
                  24.27         25.16          24.72
                  11.88         12.84          24.72

        65+       45.00         55.00         100.00
                  14.66         17.19          15.95
                   7.18          8.77          15.95

     Total       48.96          51.04         100.00
                100.00         100.00         100.00
                 48.96          51.04         100.00

          Pearson chi2( 3) =     20.5227      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 3) =     20.6738      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of agegroup by presidentoverall


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                    President overall
 Age group       Obama     Romney     Unsure               Total

     18-29        40.72         47.94         11.34        100.00
                  13.19         15.87         53.66         15.82
                   6.44          7.59          1.79         15.82

     30-49        54.19         44.69          1.12        100.00
                  48.58         40.96         14.63         43.80
                  23.74         19.58          0.49         43.80

     50-64        47.32         50.00          2.68        100.00
                  23.54         25.43         19.51         24.31
                  11.50         12.15          0.65         24.31

        65+       44.67         52.79          2.54        100.00
                  14.69         17.75         12.20         16.07
                   7.18          8.48          0.41         16.07

     Total       48.86          47.80          3.34        100.00
                100.00         100.00        100.00        100.00
                 48.86          47.80          3.34        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 6) =     54.8432      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =     43.3801      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of agegroup by approveobamasjobperformance
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012       Thursday October 4 18:50:00 2012   Page 17


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


              Approve Obama's job performance?
 Age group           No Undecided         Yes              Total

     18-29        43.32          8.56         48.13        100.00
                  13.57         17.98         17.01         15.39
                   6.67          1.32          7.41         15.39

     30-49        50.47          8.82         40.71        100.00
                  45.06         52.81         41.02         43.87
                  22.14          3.87         17.86         43.87

     50-64        48.32          5.70         45.97        100.00
                  24.12         19.10         25.90         24.53
                  11.85          1.40         11.28         24.53

        65+       52.28          4.57         43.15        100.00
                  17.25         10.11         16.07         16.21
                   8.48          0.74          7.00         16.21

     Total        49.14          7.33         43.54        100.00
                 100.00        100.00        100.00        100.00
                  49.14          7.33         43.54        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 6) =      9.3348      Pr = 0.156
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =      9.6515      Pr = 0.140

-> tabulation of agegroup by manages1mbetter


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                    Manages $1 M better
 Age group        Obama     Romney Undecided               Total

     18-29        45.99         42.78         11.23        100.00
                  18.57         13.29         15.22         15.54
                   7.15          6.65          1.75         15.54

     30-49        36.43         50.28         13.28        100.00
                  41.47         44.02         50.72         43.81
                  15.96         22.03          5.82         43.81

     50-64        41.02         51.53          7.46        100.00
                  26.13         25.25         15.94         24.52
                  10.06         12.64          1.83         24.52

        65+       32.99         54.12         12.89        100.00
                  13.82         17.44         18.12         16.13
                   5.32          8.73          2.08         16.13

     Total        38.49         50.04         11.47        100.00
                 100.00        100.00        100.00        100.00
                  38.49         50.04         11.47        100.00
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012       Thursday October 4 18:50:00 2012   Page 18

          Pearson chi2( 6) =     14.0771      Pr = 0.029
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =     14.5824      Pr = 0.024

-> tabulation of agegroup by usdirection


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                      U.S. direction?
 Age group    Right dir     Unsure Wrong dir               Total

     18-29        36.61         16.39         46.99        100.00
                  13.96         30.30         13.89         15.28
                   5.59          2.50          7.18         15.28

     30-49        42.13          4.74         53.13        100.00
                  46.25         25.25         45.23         43.99
                  18.53          2.09         23.37         43.99

     50-64        38.98          9.49         51.53        100.00
                  23.96         28.28         24.56         24.62
                   9.60          2.34         12.69         24.62

        65+       39.38          8.29         52.33        100.00
                  15.83         16.16         16.32         16.11
                   6.34          1.34          8.43         16.11

     Total        40.07          8.26         51.67        100.00
                 100.00        100.00        100.00        100.00
                  40.07          8.26         51.67        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 6) =     25.2967      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =     23.4588      Pr = 0.001

-> tabulation of agegroup by senateoverall


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                      Senate overall
 Age group     Berkley     Heller          Unsure          Total

     18-29        21.85         56.29         21.85        100.00
                   8.33         14.63         25.38         13.64
                   2.98          7.68          2.98         13.64

     30-49        34.01         54.45         11.54        100.00
                  42.42         46.30         43.85         44.63
                  15.18         24.30          5.15         44.63

     50-64        42.12         50.18          7.69        100.00
                  29.04         23.58         16.15         24.66
                  10.39         12.38          1.90         24.66

        65+       42.33         47.62         10.05        100.00
                  20.20         15.49         14.62         17.07
                   7.23          8.13          1.72         17.07
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012       Thursday October 4 18:50:00 2012   Page 19


     Total       35.77          52.48         11.74        100.00
                100.00         100.00        100.00        100.00
                 35.77          52.48         11.74        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 6) =     33.3043      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =     32.2384      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of agegroup by approveofsandoval


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                   Approve of Sandoval
 Age group     Approve Disapprov       Unsure              Total

     18-29        45.95          7.43         46.62        100.00
                  13.41          6.29         16.71         13.52
                   6.21          1.00          6.30         13.52

     30-49        52.05         11.48         36.48        100.00
                  50.10         32.00         43.10         44.57
                  23.20          5.11         16.26         44.57

     50-64        39.19         26.74         34.07        100.00
                  21.10         41.71         22.52         24.93
                   9.77          6.67          8.49         24.93

        65+       41.94         18.82         39.25        100.00
                  15.38         20.00         17.68         16.99
                   7.12          3.20          6.67         16.99

     Total       46.30          15.98         37.72        100.00
                100.00         100.00        100.00        100.00
                 46.30          15.98         37.72        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 6) =     45.2968      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 6) =     44.1287      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of sex by presidentoverall


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                    President overall
        Sex      Obama     Romney     Unsure               Total

        Men       46.82         50.33          2.84        100.00
                  46.74         51.37         41.46         48.78
                  22.84         24.55          1.39         48.78

     Women        50.80         45.38          3.82        100.00
                  53.26         48.63         58.54         51.22
                  26.02         23.25          1.96         51.22

     Total       48.86          47.80          3.34        100.00
                100.00         100.00        100.00        100.00
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012       Thursday October 4 18:50:00 2012   Page 20

                  48.86         47.80          3.34        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 2) =      3.4392      Pr = 0.179
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =      3.4448      Pr = 0.179

-> tabulation of sex by approveobamasjobperformance


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


              Approve Obama's job performance?
        Sex          No Undecided         Yes              Total

        Men       52.53          9.93         37.54        100.00
                  52.26         66.29         42.16         48.89
                  25.68          4.86         18.35         48.89

     Women        45.89          4.83         49.28        100.00
                  47.74         33.71         57.84         51.11
                  23.46          2.47         25.19         51.11

     Total        49.14          7.33         43.54        100.00
                 100.00        100.00        100.00        100.00
                  49.14          7.33         43.54        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 2) =     23.1046      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =     23.3223      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of sex by manages1mbetter


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                    Manages $1 M better
        Sex       Obama     Romney Undecided               Total

        Men       32.48         52.65         14.87        100.00
                  41.04         51.16         63.04         48.63
                  15.79         25.60          7.23         48.63

     Women        44.17         47.57          8.25        100.00
                  58.96         48.84         36.96         51.37
                  22.69         24.44          4.24         51.37

     Total        38.49         50.04         11.47        100.00
                 100.00        100.00        100.00        100.00
                  38.49         50.04         11.47        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 2) =     23.7085      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =     23.8809      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of sex by usdirection
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012       Thursday October 4 18:50:00 2012   Page 21


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                      U.S. direction?
        Sex   Right dir     Unsure Wrong dir               Total

        Men       38.38          6.37         55.25        100.00
                  46.46         37.37         51.86         48.50
                  18.61          3.09         26.79         48.50

     Women        41.65         10.05         48.30        100.00
                  53.54         62.63         48.14         51.50
                  21.45          5.18         24.87         51.50

     Total        40.07          8.26         51.67        100.00
                 100.00        100.00        100.00        100.00
                  40.07          8.26         51.67        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 2) =      8.5019      Pr = 0.014
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =      8.5652      Pr = 0.014

-> tabulation of sex by senateoverall


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                      Senate overall
        Sex    Berkley     Heller          Unsure          Total

        Men       32.54         54.66         12.80        100.00
                  44.95         51.46         53.85         49.41
                  16.08         27.01          6.32         49.41

     Women        38.93         50.36         10.71        100.00
                  55.05         48.54         46.15         50.59
                  19.69         25.47          5.42         50.59

     Total        35.77         52.48         11.74        100.00
                 100.00        100.00        100.00        100.00
                  35.77         52.48         11.74        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 2) =      5.1551      Pr = 0.076
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =      5.1621      Pr = 0.076

-> tabulation of sex by approveofsandoval


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012       Thursday October 4 18:50:00 2012   Page 22

                    Approve of Sandoval
        Sex     Approve Disapprov       Unsure             Total

        Men       45.20         18.27         36.53        100.00
                  48.32         56.57         47.94         49.50
                  22.37          9.04         18.08         49.50

     Women        47.38         13.74         38.88        100.00
                  51.68         43.43         52.06         50.50
                  23.93          6.94         19.63         50.50

     Total        46.30         15.98         37.72        100.00
                 100.00        100.00        100.00        100.00
                  46.30         15.98         37.72        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 2) =      4.1826      Pr = 0.124
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 2) =      4.1912      Pr = 0.123

-> tabulation of presidentoverall by approveobamasjobperformance


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


 President    Approve Obama's job performance?
   overall           No Undecided         Yes              Total

     Obama         9.46          9.46         81.08        100.00
                   9.38         62.92         90.74         48.72
                   4.61          4.61         39.51         48.72

    Romney        90.03          3.44          6.53        100.00
                  87.77         22.47          7.18         47.90
                  43.13          1.65          3.13         47.90

    Unsure        41.46         31.71         26.83        100.00
                   2.85         14.61          2.08          3.37
                   1.40          1.07          0.91          3.37

     Total        49.14          7.33         43.54        100.00
                 100.00        100.00        100.00        100.00
                  49.14          7.33         43.54        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 4) = 814.6144         Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 922.8992         Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of presidentoverall by manages1mbetter


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012    Thursday October 4 18:50:00 2012   Page 23

 President         Manages $1 M better
   overall       Obama     Romney Undecided             Total

     Obama        73.04      10.75         16.21        100.00
                  92.44      10.47         68.84         48.71
                  35.58       5.24          7.90         48.71

    Romney         5.21      90.28          4.51        100.00
                   6.48      86.38         18.84         47.88
                   2.49      43.23          2.16         47.88

    Unsure        12.20      46.34         41.46        100.00
                   1.08       3.16         12.32          3.41
                   0.42       1.58          1.41          3.41

     Total       38.49       50.04         11.47        100.00
                100.00      100.00        100.00        100.00
                 38.49       50.04         11.47        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 4) = 790.0393      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 894.7536      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of presidentoverall by usdirection


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


 President           U.S. direction?
   overall   Right dir     Unsure Wrong dir             Total

     Obama        76.03      11.82         12.16        100.00
                  92.50      69.70         11.47         48.75
                  37.06       5.76          5.93         48.75

    Romney         4.70       4.00         91.30        100.00
                   5.63      23.23         84.81         48.00
                   2.25       1.92         43.82         48.00

    Unsure        23.08      17.95         58.97        100.00
                   1.88       7.07          3.72          3.26
                   0.75       0.58          1.92          3.26

     Total       40.07        8.26         51.67        100.00
                100.00      100.00        100.00        100.00
                 40.07        8.26         51.67        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 4) = 748.5122      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 868.3381      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of presidentoverall by senateoverall


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012    Thursday October 4 18:50:00 2012   Page 24

 President            Senate overall
   overall     Berkley     Heller       Unsure          Total

     Obama        68.27      14.58         17.16        100.00
                  93.43      13.60         71.54         48.96
                  33.42       7.14          8.40         48.96

    Romney         4.11      90.47          5.42        100.00
                   5.56      83.30         22.31         48.33
                   1.99      43.72          2.62         48.33

    Unsure        13.33      60.00         26.67        100.00
                   1.01       3.10          6.15          2.71
                   0.36       1.63          0.72          2.71

     Total       35.77       52.48         11.74        100.00
                100.00      100.00        100.00        100.00
                 35.77       52.48         11.74        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 4) = 647.3316      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 743.3969      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of presidentoverall by approveofsandoval


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


 President         Approve of Sandoval
   overall     Approve Disapprov       Unsure           Total

     Obama        25.98      28.22         45.79        100.00
                  27.42      86.29         59.32         48.86
                  12.69      13.79         22.37         48.86

    Romney        66.98       4.15         28.87        100.00
                  70.02      12.57         37.05         48.40
                  32.42       2.01         13.97         48.40

    Unsure        43.33       6.67         50.00        100.00
                   2.56       1.14          3.63          2.74
                   1.19       0.18          1.37          2.74

     Total       46.30       15.98         37.72        100.00
                100.00      100.00        100.00        100.00
                 46.30       15.98         37.72        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 4) = 216.3974      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 230.4813      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of approveobamasjobperformance by manages1mbetter


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012       Thursday October 4 18:50:00 2012   Page 25

   Approve
   Obama's
       job
performanc         Manages $1 M better
        e?       Obama     Romney Undecided                Total

         No        0.68         92.54          6.78        100.00
                   0.86         90.70         28.99         49.04
                   0.33         45.39          3.33         49.04

 Undecided        26.97         39.33         33.71        100.00
                   5.18          5.81         21.74          7.40
                   2.00          2.91          2.49          7.40

        Yes       83.02          4.01         12.98        100.00
                  93.95          3.49         49.28         43.56
                  36.16          1.75          5.65         43.56

     Total        38.49         50.04         11.47        100.00
                 100.00        100.00        100.00        100.00
                  38.49         50.04         11.47        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 4) = 979.7951         Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 1.2e+03          Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of approveobamasjobperformance by usdirection


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


   Approve
   Obama's
       job
performanc            U.S. direction?
        e?    Right dir     Unsure Wrong dir               Total

         No        0.68          2.04         97.27        100.00
                   0.83         12.12         92.25         49.00
                   0.33          1.00         47.66         49.00

 Undecided        20.69         42.53         36.78        100.00
                   3.75         37.37          5.17          7.26
                   1.50          3.09          2.67          7.26

        Yes       87.40          9.54          3.05        100.00
                  95.42         50.51          2.58         43.74
                  38.23          4.17          1.34         43.74

     Total        40.07          8.26         51.67        100.00
                 100.00        100.00        100.00        100.00
                  40.07          8.26         51.67        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 4) =     1.2e+03      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =     1.4e+03      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of approveobamasjobperformance by senateoverall
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012    Thursday October 4 18:50:00 2012   Page 26


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


   Approve
   Obama's
       job
performanc            Senate overall
        e?     Berkley     Heller       Unsure          Total

         No        8.54      85.77          5.69        100.00
                  12.12      82.96         24.62         50.77
                   4.34      43.54          2.89         50.77

 Undecided        30.00      47.50         22.50        100.00
                   6.06       6.54         13.85          7.23
                   2.17       3.43          1.63          7.23

        Yes       69.68      13.12         17.20        100.00
                  81.82      10.50         61.54         42.01
                  29.27       5.51          7.23         42.01

     Total       35.77       52.48         11.74        100.00
                100.00      100.00        100.00        100.00
                 35.77       52.48         11.74        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 4) = 560.1597      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 620.9346      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of approveobamasjobperformance by approveofsandoval


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


   Approve
   Obama's
       job
performanc         Approve of Sandoval
        e?     Approve Disapprov       Unsure           Total

         No       63.72       7.58         28.70        100.00
                  69.63      24.00         38.50         50.59
                  32.24       3.84         14.52         50.59

 Undecided        51.25       6.25         42.50        100.00
                   8.09       2.86          8.23          7.31
                   3.74       0.46          3.11          7.31

        Yes       24.51      27.77         47.72        100.00
                  22.29      73.14         53.27         42.10
                  10.32      11.69         20.09         42.10

     Total       46.30       15.98         37.72        100.00
                100.00      100.00        100.00        100.00
                 46.30       15.98         37.72        100.00
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012       Thursday October 4 18:50:00 2012   Page 27

          Pearson chi2( 4) = 177.9122         Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 184.1550         Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of manages1mbetter by usdirection


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


Manages $1           U.S. direction?
  M better   Right dir     Unsure Wrong dir                Total

     Obama        87.69          9.72          2.59        100.00
                  84.58         45.45          1.94         38.65
                  33.89          3.76          1.00         38.65

    Romney         2.50          2.00         95.49        100.00
                   3.13         12.12         92.41         50.00
                   1.25          1.00         47.75         50.00

 Undecided        43.38         30.88         25.74        100.00
                  12.29         42.42          5.65         11.35
                   4.92          3.51          2.92         11.35

     Total       40.07           8.26         51.67        100.00
                100.00         100.00        100.00        100.00
                 40.07           8.26         51.67        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 4) =     1.0e+03      Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) =     1.2e+03      Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of manages1mbetter by senateoverall


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


Manages $1            Senate overall
  M better     Berkley     Heller          Unsure          Total

     Obama        66.67         14.84         18.49        100.00
                  69.19         10.50         58.46         37.13
                  24.75          5.51          6.87         37.13

    Romney         8.97         86.03          5.00        100.00
                  13.13         85.89         22.31         52.39
                   4.70         45.08          2.62         52.39

 Undecided        60.34         18.10         21.55        100.00
                  17.68          3.61         19.23         10.48
                   6.32          1.90          2.26         10.48

     Total       35.77          52.48         11.74        100.00
                100.00         100.00        100.00        100.00
                 35.77          52.48         11.74        100.00

          Pearson chi2( 4) = 555.1288         Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 614.7316         Pr = 0.000
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012            Thursday October 4 18:50:00 2012         Page 28

-> tabulation of manages1mbetter by approveofsandoval


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


Manages $1            Approve of Sandoval
  M better        Approve Disapprov       Unsure                      Total

     Obama          28.71            29.44            41.85           100.00
                    23.27            69.14            41.65            37.53
                    10.78            11.05            15.71            37.53

    Romney          64.16             6.82            29.02           100.00
                    72.39            22.29            40.19            52.24
                    33.52             3.56            15.16            52.24

 Undecided          19.64            13.39            66.96           100.00
                     4.34             8.57            18.16            10.23
                     2.01             1.37             6.85            10.23

     Total          46.30            15.98            37.72           100.00
                   100.00           100.00           100.00           100.00
                    46.30            15.98            37.72           100.00

          Pearson chi2( 4) = 199.8985                Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 199.8857                Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of usdirection by senateoverall


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                                Senate overall
U.S. direction?        Berkley       Heller             Unsure                Total

Right direction             67.51            15.10            17.39        100.00
                            74.49            11.36            58.46         39.48
                            26.65             5.96             6.87         39.48

         Unsure             61.33            16.00            22.67        100.00
                            11.62             2.07            13.08          6.78
                             4.16             1.08             1.54          6.78

Wrong direction              9.24            84.54             6.22        100.00
                            13.89            86.57            28.46         53.75
                             4.97            45.44             3.34         53.75

          Total          35.77            52.48            11.74           100.00
                        100.00           100.00           100.00           100.00
                         35.77            52.48            11.74           100.00

          Pearson chi2( 4) = 540.5770                Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 597.0307                Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of usdirection by approveofsandoval
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012            Thursday October 4 18:50:01 2012         Page 29


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


                           Approve of Sandoval
U.S. direction?        Approve Disapprov       Unsure                         Total

Right direction             25.69            28.44            45.87        100.00
                            22.09            70.86            48.43         39.82
                            10.23            11.32            18.26         39.82

         Unsure             30.67             4.00            65.33        100.00
                             4.54             1.71            11.86          6.85
                             2.10             0.27             4.47          6.85

Wrong direction             63.70             8.22            28.08        100.00
                            73.37            27.43            39.71         53.33
                            33.97             4.38            14.98         53.33

          Total          46.30            15.98            37.72           100.00
                        100.00           100.00           100.00           100.00
                         46.30            15.98            37.72           100.00

          Pearson chi2( 4) = 190.4737                Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 192.5834                Pr = 0.000

-> tabulation of senateoverall by approveofsandoval


  Key

   row percentage
  column percentage
   cell percentage


    Senate            Approve of Sandoval
   overall        Approve Disapprov       Unsure                      Total

   Berkley          21.99            34.27            43.73           100.00
                    16.96            76.57            41.40            35.71
                     7.85            12.24            15.62            35.71

    Heller          66.03             4.18            29.79           100.00
                    74.75            13.71            41.40            52.42
                    34.61             2.19            15.62            52.42

    Unsure          32.31            13.08            54.62           100.00
                     8.28             9.71            17.19            11.87
                     3.84             1.55             6.48            11.87

     Total          46.30            15.98            37.72           100.00
                   100.00           100.00           100.00           100.00
                    46.30            15.98            37.72           100.00

          Pearson chi2( 4) = 259.3247                Pr = 0.000
 likelihood-ratio chi2( 4) = 266.5361                Pr = 0.000
Nevada Crosstabs, October 3, 2012   Thursday October 4 18:50:01 2012   Page 30

.


    closed on:   4 Oct 2012, 18:49:29

								
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