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Michigan Senate Poll- 3 way Race Boman, Stabenow, and Hoefstra

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Michigan Senate Poll- 3 way Race Boman, Stabenow, and Hoefstra Powered By Docstoc
					                                                                    Michigan Results
                                                                  For 10/5/2012 – 10/6/2012

Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407-242-1870
Executive Summary
On October 5 – 6, 2012, Gravis Marketing, a non-partisan research firm, on behalf of Scotty
Boman For US Senate Michigan, conducted a survey of 970 likely voters in Michigan regarding
their vote for a given Senate candidate.




In a race between just Stabenow and Boman, Stabenow leads 49.0% to 29.6%, with 21.6% of
respondents unsure or voting for another candidate.
In a race between Boman and Hoekstra, Hoekstra comes out ahead 41.0% to 22.5%, with 36.5%
of likely voters still undecided or voting for another candidate.
In the question containing all three candidates, Stabenow comes out ahead at 48.0% to
Hoekstra’s 39.3% and Boman’s 7.0%, with 5.7% of likely voters still undecided or voting for
another candidate.
A summary of the results and the crosstabs is presented in the following pages.




                                                1
               Results Summary
            Party            Percent of Total
Other                            38.1%
Democrat                         33.6%
Republican                       28.3%
            Race
White                            84.0%
Black                            11.8%
Other                             4.2%
    Religious Affiliation
Protestant/Other Christian       45.0%
Catholic                         27.3%
Other                            21.6%
Jewish                            3.5%
Muslim                            2.6%
         Age Group
30-49                            35.6%
50-64                            27.0%
18-29                            19.8%
65+                              17.6%
             Sex
Men                              48.4%
Women                            51.6%
    Stabenow vs. Boman
Stabenow                         49.0%
Bowman                           29.6%
Unsure/Other                     21.4%
   Boman vs. Hoeckstra
Hoeckstra                        41.0%
Unsure/Other                     36.5%
Bowman                           22.5%
   All Senate Candidates
Stabenow                         48.0%
Hoeckstra                        39.3%
Bowman                            7.0%
Unsure/Other                      5.7%




                      2
Survey Questions
1. Are you registered to vote? (Yes, No)
2. How likely are you to vote in this year’s presidential elections? (Very unlikely, Unlikely,
Somewhat unlikely, Somewhat likely, Likely, Very likely)
3. In which party are you either registered to vote or do you consider yourself a member of?
(Democrat, Republican, independent or minority party)
4. What race do you identify yourself as? (White/Caucasian, African-American, Hispanic, Asian,
Other)

5. Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation? (Roman Catholic,
Protestant/other non-denominational Christian, Jewish, Muslim, Other/no affiliation)
7. What is your Gender? (Male, Female)
8. If the election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were Democrat Debbie
Stabenow or Libertarian Scotty Boman, whom would you vote for?
9. If the election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were Republican Pete
Hoekstra or Libertarian Scotty Boman, whom would you vote for?
9. If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, whom would you vote for (Democrat Debbie
Stabenow, Republican Pete Hoekstra or Scotty Boman)
Note: the statistical methodology comprised weighing the polled groups for anticipated voting
proportions for the 2012 General Election.




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Description: In a race between just Stabenow and Boman, Stabenow leads 49.0% to 29.6%, with 21.6% of respondents unsure or voting for another candidate. In a race between Boman and Hoekstra, Hoekstra comes out ahead 41.0% to 22.5%, with 36.5% of likely voters still undecided or voting for another candidate. In the question containing all three candidates, Stabenow comes out ahead at 48.0% to Hoekstra’s 39.3% and Boman’s 7.0%, with 5.7% of likely voters still undecided or voting for another candidate.