Amajuba PTP Report Draft 4

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							Amajuba District
Municipality
Amajuba District
Municipality : Public
Transport Plan
Review Report
Black




FINAL DRAFT
                                              Amajuba District
                                              Municipality
                                              Amajuba District
                                              Municipality : Public
                                              Transport Plan
                                              Review Report



                                              November 2008




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                                                                                                     Final Draft   7 November 2008
Amajuba District Municipality                                             Amajuba District Municipality : Public Transport Plan
                                                                                                                 Review Report



       Contents
                                                                                                                            Page
       1         INTRODUCTION                                                                                                  1
                 1.1            Background                                                                                        1
                 1.2            Objective of the Report                                                                           2
                 1.3            Scope of the Study                                                                                2
                 1.4            Study Approach                                                                                    3
                 1.5            Chapter Overview                                                                                  4
       2         METHODOLOGY                                                                                                      5
                 2.1            Review of Terms of Reference                                                                      5
                 2.2            Methodology Description                                                                           5
                 2.3            Issues To Be Addressed                                                                            5
       3         SPATIAL FRAMEWORK AND ORIENTATION                                                                                5
                 3.1            Location                                                                                          5
                 3.2            Demographics                                                                                      6
                 3.3            Road Linkage                                                                                      8
                 3.4            Local Municipalities                                                                              8
                 3.5            Settlements and Urbanisation                                                                      8
                 3.6            Integrated Development Plan (IDP)                                                                 9
                 3.7            Land Use Information                                                                            11
                 3.8            Physical Attributes                                                                             12
                 3.9            Social Facilities                                                                               14
       4         PUBLIC TRANSPORT STATUS QUO                                                                                    15
                 4.1            General Factors Affecting Travel Demand Patterns                                                15
                 4.2            Supply of Travel Facilities: Public Transport Interchanges (Ranks)                              16
                 4.3            Supply of Travel Facilities: Public Transport Corridors                                         19
                 4.4            Supply of Travel Facilities: Fare and Costs                                                     27
                 4.5            Passenger Travel Characteristics                                                                27
                 4.6            Institutional Arrangements and Responsibilities                                                 30
                 4.7            Commuter Rail Service                                                                           31
       5         PUBLIC TRANSPORT VISION, GOALS AND OBJECTIVES                                                                  31
                 5.1            Introduction                                                                                    31
                 5.2            Vision                                                                                          31
                 5.3            Goals                                                                                           31
                 5.4            Objectives                                                                                      32
       6         NEEDS ASSESSMENT                                                                                               33
                 6.1            Factors Affecting Future Travel Demand Patterns                                                 33
                 6.2            Public Transport Demand Patterns                                                                33

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                                                                                                       Final Draft   7 November 2008
Amajuba District Municipality                                            Amajuba District Municipality : Public Transport Plan
                                                                                                                Review Report


                 6.3            Cost Model Assessment                                                                          38
       7         INITIAL PUBLIC TRANSPORT PROPOSAL                                                                             40
                 7.1            Introduction                                                                                   40
                 7.2            Operating Licence Strategy                                                                     40
                 7.3            Rationalisation Strategy                                                                       44
                 7.4            Assistance to Local municipalities                                                             46
                 7.5            Public Transport Facility Improvements                                                         47
                 7.6            Road Infrastructure Improvements                                                               47
                 7.7            Additional Planning Projects                                                                   48
       8         STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION                                                                                      48
                 8.1            Consultations and Workshops                                                                    48
       9         PRIORITISED PUBLIC TRANSPORT PROPOSALS                                                                        49
       10        FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS                                                                                        49




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                                                                                                      Final Draft   7 November 2008
Amajuba District Municipality                                    Amajuba District Municipality : Public Transport Plan
                                                                                                        Review Report



       1         INTRODUCTION
                 1.1            Background

                 Arup (Pty) Ltd in Joint Venture with Paruk Consulting were appointed by Amajuba District
                 Municipality (ADM) to prepare a Current Public Transport Records (CPTR) for the whole of
                 Amajuba District for Phase 1 and 2. The CPTR’s for the two phases were completed in May
                 2003 and March 2004, respectively.
                 Subsequently, Arup (Pty) Ltd in Joint Venture with UWP Consulting were appointed by the
                 ADM to prepare a Public Transport Plan (PTP) for the whole district. The PTP was
                 successfully completed in November 2005.
                 Arup (Pty) Ltd was once again appointed in September 2007 by the ADM to review the
                 current PTP and hence this report. Figure 1 shows the location of the Amajuba District
                 Municipality in the KwaZulu Natal Region.
                 Figure 1: Extent of the Study Area




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                                                                                                             Review Report


                 The changing nature of public transport in South Africa in recent years and the shift from
                 providing public transport based on the demand for public transport supply, resulted in the
                 KwaZulu Natal Department of Transport (KZNDoT) developing a planning approach to
                 accommodate this shift.
                 According to the Spatial Representation of Amajuba District : Profile 2006, it is shown that
                 approximately 62% of people make their work trips by foot, approximately 10% of
                 passengers are transported by car, approximately 8% of passengers are transported by taxi,
                 then approximately 5% of passengers by bus and the remainder is made up of train and
                 other (see the graph in profile for the discrepancy) .
                 Comparing the three dominant modes of public transport for work trips, it is shown that 59%
                 of passengers are transported by taxi, followed by bus at 39% and then train at 2%.
                 The recent Public Transport surveys as well as the information contained in the CPTR
                 shows that 1 670 public transport vehicles within Amajuba District transport approximately
                 40 000 passengers. The surveys results also showed that 66% of passengers are
                 transported by minibus-taxis, 22% by bus and the remaining 12% by bakkie or 4 + 1
                 vehicles. The details relating to these surveys and the status quo of public transport in ADM
                 are described in this report.

                 1.2            Objective of the Report

                 The aim of this report is to review the current PTP and to identify changes and recommend
                 those changes that will benefit everyone in the ADM. The objective of this report can be
                 summarised as follows:
                      Determine the extent of outstanding public transport information regarding the current
                       and planned services within the Amajuba area;

                      Re-define and confirm the vision, statement for Public Transport in Amajuba and
                       reassess if the goals and objectives which will enable Amajuba District Municipality to
                       attain the vision has changed since the completion of the PTP;

                      Confirming which of the proposals and projects for the short, medium and long term that
                       has been identified through the initial PTP has been implemented and which project
                       should be included in the review of the PTP;

                      Focus on the finalisation of the of the Operating Licensing Strategy (OLS) that will keep
                       the PTP focussed together with a Rationalisation Strategy that will ensure an affordable
                       Public Transport Service for all the people in Amajuba;

                      Reassess the Implementation and Financial Plan agreed to by all stakeholders during
                       the first PTP and include the costs for short and medium terms in the IDP;
                      The inclusion of the new and relevant data;

                      The assessment of the current Public Transport Service in Amajuba;
                      An analysis of land use and public transport integration; and

                      Prepare a final PTP Review document to be submitted to the MEC for comment and/or
                       approval and to be implemented in Amajuba and part of the development of the area.

                 1.3            Scope of the Study

                 The purpose of this report is to review the current PTP of the ADM. As part of this review
                 there is a need to analyses the land use and assess the public transport system of the
                 Amajuba to determine the functioning and efficiency. The assessment of the public
                 transport system will evaluate general factors that influence travel demand, facilities, fares
                 and costs, and finally an appraisal of the supply and demand patterns


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                 1.4            Study Approach

                 The National Land Transport Transition Act (NLTTA), Act 22 of 2000, requires that each
                 planning authority, and in this case Amajuba, compile a package of plans to give effect to
                 the provisions of the NLTTA.
                 The KZNDoT in turn has embarked on a process to provide a provincial framework for the
                 implementation of these plans in a practical and consistent manner.
                 The guiding objective for all transport planning in the province is
                 “to endeavour to minimise the cost of transport that is necessary to satisfy people’s
                 requirements for carrying out activities.”
                 With this objective as background, the following principles have been adopted to guide the
                 PTP process as it did with the CPTR process;
                      “Actions taken in the short term should not conflict with/compromise long term plans.
                      Transport is about moving people between Origin and Destinations (O-D).

                      The actual pattern of movement (ito # of person trips between each O-D pair) will be a
                       direct function of the pattern of land use development and the transport
                       systems/services provided.

                      Before a long-term movement pattern can be established, it is necessary to start with
                       knowledge of the current movement pattern.

                      This shows what people ARE doing at the moment and it provides the basis for
                       identifying inefficiencies (primarily high costs) in the current pattern of land use
                       development and transport services.

                      Having identified these inefficiencies the land use and any other changes needed to
                       increase efficiencies can be evolved.”

                 The PTP should provide an assessment of the trilogy of movements as illustrated below:
                 Part 1: Existing Public Transport (PT) services
                 Part 2: People’s existing OD patterns
                 Part 3: Long term desired OD patterns
                 Figure 1.2: The KZNDoT Trilogy of Movement




                                                                WORK




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                 1.5            Chapter Overview

                 This report is divided into several chapters and can be summarised as follows:
                 Chapter 1: Introduction
                 This chapter provides an overview of the study, the objective of the study, the scope of the
                 study and the study approach followed. This section also provides a background on
                 previous work and the inclusion thereof in the report.
                 Chapter 2: Methodology
                 This chapter provides an insight into the methodology followed in the review of the PTP, the
                 relevance of this report in relation to the broader public transport planning process and the
                 problems identified during the execution of the study.
                 Chapter 3: Spatial Framework and Orientation
                 This section will focus on the study area and will provide general information on Amajuba.
                 This section will also address demographic information, information on roads, local
                 municipalities, land use, physical attributes, social facilities and public transport facilities.
                 Chapter 4: Public Transport Status Quo
                 This chapter of the report focuses on the public transport status quo and will address the
                 following aspects relating to the Public Transport Service in Amajuba:
                 Public Transport Facilities;
                 Road Infrastructure;
                 Public Transport Corridors;
                 Public Transport Supply and Utilisation;
                 Public Transport Demand; and
                 Roles and Responsibilities.

                 Chapter 5: Public Transport Vision, Goals and Objectives
                 Public Transport in Amajuba requires a vision. This chapter will provide a vision for public
                 transport in Amajuba. This vision will be guided through the development of goals and
                 objectives. The vision, goals and objectives are developed through a public participation
                 process. The vision, goals and objectives will however developed taking into account the
                 National and Provincial vision and goals as covered in the NLTTA, provincial policy and
                 PLTF.
                 Chapter 6: Needs Assessment
                 Chapter 6 is aimed at examining the new land use as obtained from the most up to date
                 information and the impact it will have on the provision of a Public Transport System. Any
                 changes to the Public Transport system will also be evaluated to determine its effect on land
                 use. Factors affecting travel demand patterns, cost of service as well as shortcomings will
                 be addressed in this chapter.
                 Chapter 7: Public Transport Proposal
                 The minimum requirements prescribed in the NLTTA and guidelines for preparing the PTP
                 requires that an Operating Strategy and Rationalisation Strategy be developed. These
                 strategies will form the basis for the public transport proposals. These proposals will
                 address any shortcomings and issues discussed in Chapter 6. This chapter will further
                 contain a concise Operating and Rationalisation Strategy.
                 Chapter 8: Stakeholder Consultation
                 This chapter will discuss the extent of the public participation process and the stakeholder
                 involvement in preparing the PTP.

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                 Chapter 9: Prioritised Public Transport Proposals and Implementation Programme
                 A prioritised list of public transport proposals together with a proposed implementation
                 programme will be discussed as part of this chapter. This list of proposals and projects will
                 link with the implementation programme of the Integrated Development Plan (IDP).
                 Chapter 10: Financial Implications
                 The financial implication of the prioritised list of proposals will be discussed in this chapter.
                 No detailed cost assessment will be included in the PTP but reference is made to the
                 assumptions used in determining the cost of implementing the proposals. The financial
                 implications of Public Transport Proposals will form part of the IDP process and budget and
                 will be reviewed on an annual basis.

       2         METHODOLOGY
                 2.1            Review of Terms of Reference

                 The Terms of Reference received, for the initial PTP, from Amajuba and the associated
                 KZNDoT guidelines clearly states that consultants are responsible to assist both District and
                 Local Municipalities with the following:
                 “an analysis of planning requirements or current transport plans, an operating licence
                 strategy, rationalisation plan and a PTP in terms of the NLTTA, 2000 and the assessment of
                 these requirements in terms of other existing or concurrent national and provincial
                 legislation.”
                 “determination of the practical provincial and municipal implementation of planning
                 requirements, including but not limited to the utilisation of planning in the delivery
                 requirements of the Local Road Transportation Board,”
                 “an investigation into the most cost-effective data collection and modelling methodologies to
                 assist the Department with the practical implementation of planning requirements and
                 development of an operating licensing strategy.”

                 2.2            Methodology Description

                 As in any project, the first step would have been to set up a project management team.
                 Since this is a review of an existing PTP, the project management team for the current PTP
                 will remain as it is. The project management team will still include officials from Amajuba
                 District Municipality and the three local municipalities of Newcastle, Dannhauser and
                 Utrecht, representatives from KZNDoT as well as member of the Amajuba Public Transport
                 Forum. The consulting team is responsible for the management of the process and
                 ensuring continuous progress of the project.
                 A meeting was held on Tuesday, 22 January 2008 with Amajuba District Municipality
                 officials to discuss their latest Spatial Development Framework and planned land use
                 changes.

                 2.3            Issues To Be Addressed

                 No problems have been identified that will have a significant impact on the outcome of the
                 review of the PTP.

       3         SPATIAL FRAMEWORK AND ORIENTATION
                 3.1            Location

                 The Amajuba District Municipality is located in the north-western corner of KwaZulu Natal
                 Province, as shown in Figure 1 and comprises of the three local municipalities.
                 The Amajuba District Municipality is constituted of the following three local municipalities:

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                                                                                                           Review Report


                      Newcastle (KZ252);
                      Utrecht (KZ253); and
                      Dannhauser (KZ254).

                 Figure 3.1: Study area of Amajuba District Municipality with Local Municipalities




                 In the Spatial Representation of Amajuba District : Profile 2006 it is shown that the ADM is
                 6 912 km² in size with Utrecht being the largest municipality occupying an area of 3 540 km²
                 with Newcastle and Dannhauser occupying 1 856 km² and 1 516 km², respectively.
                 The main transportation routes linking the District to its surroundings includes the N11 which
                 is the alternative route to Johannesburg from Durban, and the rail line which is the main line
                 from the Durban harbour to Gauteng. The R34 also bisects the District in an east-west
                 direction and provides a linkage from the port city of Richard Bay to the interior.

                 3.2            Demographics

                 According to the Amajuba Integrated Development Plan (IDP) First Draft of 2007/8, the
                 Amajuba District comprises areas of northern portions of the former uMzinyathi Regional
                 Council, the former Transitional Local Councils of Dannhauser, Newcastle, Hattingspruit and
                 Utrecht, and the Tribal Authority area of Buhle-Bomzinyathi and Nyanyadu.
                 Table 3.1 and Table 3.2 shows the general demographic information for Amajuba District as
                 given in the IDP and Spatial Representation of Amajuba District : Profile 2006 as well as the
                 breakdown of male and female representation, respectively.

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                 As shown in the Spatial Representation of Amajuba District : Profile 2006, Newcastle has
                 the highest population of 376 111 people followed by Dannhauser with 1043 711 and then
                 Utrecht with 42 514. As shown in the Spatial Representation of Amajuba District : Profile
                 2006, Amajuba DM contributes to 5.03% of the total population of KwaZulu Natal. The 2006
                 Profile shows that the majority of the people in Amajuba are between the ages of 20 to 64.
                 Table 3.1: Demographic Information per Local Municipality

                                                                                                    FIGURES
                                 BASIC FACTS                                                                                 2006
                                                                                  2001
                                                                                                                       (Profile 2006)
                   Total Population                                              468 037                                   522 340

                   Amajuba population as % of KZN                                 4.97%                                     5.03%

                                                                      Newcastle – 332 981 (71%)                Newcastle – 376 111 (72%)
                   Total population of DC25 per K Z area            Dannhauser – 102 779 (22%)                Dannhauser – 103 715 (20%)
                                                                         Utrecht – 32 277 (7%)                      Utrecht – 42 514 (8%)
                   % of total population urbanised                                  57%

                                                                             < 14     35.4%                            0-4       12.17%

                   Age profile                                               15-34 35.2%                               5 - 19 36.33%
                                                                             35-64    24.9%                           20 - 64     47.63%
                                                                             Over 65 4.5%                              Over 65 3.87%
                   Unemployment                                               41% in 1996;
                   (% of income earning population)                           55% in 2001
                 (Source – Amajuba District Municipality: Integrated Development Plan, 2002 and Spatial Representation of Amajuba District :
                 Profile 2006)

                 According to the Spatial Representation of Amajuba District : Profile 2006, there has been
                 an increase in the total population of all of the municipalities in the period 2001 to 2006.
                 Utrecht reflects the highest growth rate of 2.6% per annum.
                 In terms of the growth rate, the rate for the period 2001 to 2005 is lower than the growth rate
                 for the period 1996 to 2001 which shows a stabilisation in the District. This may also relate
                 to the high prevalence of HIV and Aids in the DM or due to levels of migration to other cities.
                 Table 3.2: Male and Female Distribution per Local Municipality

                                                                                           2001                                 2005
                     Local                                      % of
                                         Population                                              Female                                 Female
                   Municipality                                District        Male (%)                             Male (%)
                                                                                                   (%)                                    (%)

                   Newcastle                351 075              72%                N/A             N/A              46.1%               53.9%
                   Dannhauser               104 065              21%                N/A             N/A              45.4%               54.6%
                   Utrecht                   35 962               7%                N/A             N/A              48.2%               51.8%
                   Amajuba DM               491 102             100%             47.6%            52.6%              46.2%               53.8%

                 (Source – Amajuba District municipality: Integrated Development Plan, 2002 and 2007 First Draft)

                 The 2005 data shows that all municipalities are dominated by females. For Utrecht, this
                 may be due to the fact that up to 2001, the economy was largely dominated by Coal Mining
                 and around 2000 to 2001, a number of these mines closed down. After the mine closures,
                 these skilled and semi-skilled workers may have left the municipality for other coal mines.
                 The impact of HIV and Aids may not be discounted as well.




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                 3.3            Road Linkage

                 The study area is mainly served by the N11 North-South corridor between Ladysmith,
                 Newcastle and Volksrus. The P37 provincial road to the north of Newcastle provides further
                 access to Utrecht and Vryheid. The P483 provincial road forms the major access road from
                 Newcastle to Madadeni, Osizweni and Utrecht all located to the east of Newcastle. The rest
                 of Amajuba are served by lower order provincial surfaced roads as well as gravel roads.
                 Detailed description of the road infrastructure in Amajuba can be found in Chapter 4 of this
                 report.

                 3.4            Local Municipalities

                 Before 2001 local government elections, both Utrecht and Dannhauser were Transitional
                 Local Councils (TLCs) under the jurisdiction of Umzinyathi Regional Council. The previous
                 Councils of Utrecht and Dannhauser were responsible for the urban areas whilst services in
                 the rural areas were provided by the Umzinyathi Regional Council. Since local government
                 elections in December 2001, the larger portions of the Utrecht Municipal area now falls
                 under the jurisdiction of Utrecht Local Council. The same applies to Dannhauser Local
                 Municipality. Regional Councils have been replaced by District Councils and Utrecht,
                 Dannhauser and Newcastle Local Municipality are now falling under Amajuba District
                 Municipality (DC25).
                 Amajuba comprises of three Local Municipalities as shown in Figure 3.1.
                 Newcastle Municipality (KZ252). Newcastle is the main economic hub within Amajuba
                 with predominant urban population. The traditional townships of Madadeni and Osizweni
                 also fall within the Newcastle Municipal area.
                 Utrecht Municipality (KZ253). Utrecht is predominantly a rural area. The town of Utrecht
                 is situated in a nature reserve. The P37 provincial road is the main access road to Utrecht.
                 Dannhauser Municipality (KZ254). Dannhauser is situated halfway between Newcastle
                 and Dundee and has the same characteristics as that of Utrecht. Mdakane settlement to
                 the east of Dannhauser houses a large portion of the population of Dannhauser
                 Municipality.

                 3.5            Settlements and Urbanisation

                 Mostly rural settlement areas are scattered throughout the Amajuba region in 146
                 communities. The urban rural split is shown in Figure 3.2, overleaf. The main
                 concentration of rural settlements is between Mdakane and Osizweni with wider spread
                 throughout the rest of the district.




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                 Figure 3.2: Urban and Rural Settlements




                 The informal and tribal settlements have 35.2% of the total population within the majority
                 living within the urban areas of Newcastle, Utrecht and Dannhauser. The demographic in
                 formation earlier in the report clearly shows that Utrecht has the smallest population and
                 Newcastle the largest population.

                 3.6            Integrated Development Plan (IDP)

                 The 2007/8 IDP saw the updating of the Vision, Mission and the inclusion of Values.
                 The Vision for the ADM is as follows:
                 “Amajuba will be a fully developed district, with a vibrant and sustainable economy, a better
                 quality of life, preserved within its own cultural and traditional values”.
                 The amended Mission is as follows:
                 “The ADM will, through governance and management, strive to achieve its vision within the
                 legal framework by:
                      Promoting shared and integrated service delivery;
                      Creating an enabling environment for economic development;
                      Increasing opportunities for previously disadvantaged communities;
                      Providing and maintaining integrated, affordable, equitable and sustainable services;
                      Facilitating access to land and social services;
                      Promoting development of a safe and healthy environment; and
                      Effective planning of infrastructure and technical services.”

                 The following Values to be followed by the organisation were identified;

                      Accountability – we will discharge our responsibilities with the appreciation that we are
                       public servants and will hold ourselves accountable to them.
                      Transparency – we will make the necessary information available to our stakeholders.
                      Democracy – we will consult our stakeholders as prescribed.
                      Developmental Approach – we will seek, develop and implement solutions that will
                       contribute to the development o f our society.
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                 The IDP forms the basis for future planning in Amajuba. The constant review of the PTP will
                 always ensure the importance of providing reliable and efficient public transport to people of
                 Amajuba and should therefore feedback to the IDP process. The integration of public
                 transport and land use forms a critical part in the future development of Amajuba.
                 During this review process, the IDP was therefore, once again used as the starting point for
                 the public transport and land use integration as part of the status quo assessment. Special
                 attention was also given to the Amajuba District Municipality Spatial Development
                 Framework (ADMSDF) to determine future land development initiatives. The primary
                 purpose of a SDF is to provide spatial framework reference regarding public investment in
                 the medium to short term timeframes. The SDF is also used to inform:


                     Private decisions on location, intensity of development and land use;
                     Indicate the location of future physical development and the spatial implications of all
                      IDP programmes; and
                     Manage spatial change through integration.

                 The development nodes and corridors are shown in Figure 3.3.

                 Figure 3.3: Development Nodes and Corridors




                 By identifying a settlement hierarchy in the IDP and the Spatial Framework, which directly
                 influences the capital investment in the municipality over a five year period, urban sprawl is
                 discouraged and integrated settlements are encouraged.
                 The delineation of the urban edge again discourages urban sprawl and leads to greater
                 compaction and integration. These both impact positively on the natural environment. A
                 detail map showing the settlement hierarchy is available in the Spatial Development
                 Framework and is included in Appendix A. Therefore, public transport operations should
                 be aimed at settlement hubs and public transport facilities should focus around those
                 already identified hubs.


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                 3.7            Land Use Information

                 Figure 3.4 illustrates the land use distribution throughout Amajuba. Large areas of Amajuba
                 are still unoccupied land with limited economic activity. Forestry and cultivated land forms
                 only a small portion of Amajuba and are concentrated around the northern areas of
                 Amajuba. Subsistence farming mainly occurs between the Mdakane and Osizweni areas.
                 Two large dams are also located in Amajuba namely, Chelmsford Dam to the south of
                 Newcastle and Zaaihoek Dam south east of Volksrus.
                 Due to the past apartheid policies, the settlement patterns of the Amajuba District
                 Municipality is characterised by the concentration of a large number of the population of
                 Amajuba in Madadeni and Osizweni. Other people are settled in the Buffalo flats between
                 nodes of Utrecht and Dannhauser. The major sources of employment within Amajuba are
                 found in and around Newcastle, which are often a distance from the Buffalo Flats
                 community.
                 In Utrecht Municipality there are some emerging developments of the Amantungwa
                 Development Trust area as part of Land Reform project. In Dannhauser Municipality
                 integration should be encouraged on the road linking Dannhauser and Mdakane node. For
                 the Newcastle Municipality, greater integration is required to link the Newcastle West and
                 East through mix used development activity along MR483 corridor.
                 Figure 3.4: Land Use Patterns




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                 3.8            Physical Attributes

                 Amajuba has limited natural resources in terms of agricultural development but provide
                 large number of historical tourist attractions. Detail physical attributes discussed in this
                 section includes:
                      Topography;
                      Rainfall; and
                      Soil Conditions.

                 3.8.1          Topography

                 The topography features of Amajuba are complex and include flat areas around Newcastle,
                 Dannhauser and Utrecht towns. The terrain becomes more extreme towards the northern,
                 north-eastern and western areas of Amajuba with altitudes increasing to 1,900m above sea
                 level. The topography and slope of Amajuba is presented in Figure 3.5 and Figure 3.6
                 respectively. Due to the extreme slopes and the scarcity of formal roads in the mountainous
                 areas, many communities have to cover great distances and/or very steep slopes to get
                 access to a road.
                 Much of the central portion is characterised by slopes less than 1:20, while slopes steeper
                 than1:5 can be found in the northern ‘Combination’ formations, extending along the higher
                 lying western boundaries.
                 Topography has influenced the settlement pattern in the DM with majority of the people
                 being located along the flat basin of the DM and in the three urban centres.

                 3.8.2          Rainfall and Temperature

                 Climatic conditions vary noticeably between summer and winter months ranging between
                 very cold temperatures during the winter and high summer temperatures. The average
                 temperature for Amajuba is about 17°C. The minimum temperature for Amajuba is below
                 0°C during winter months and often higher than 30°C in the summer months.
                 The average Annual rainfall for Amajuba is consistent throughout the district with no major
                 difference between the local municipalities. The average rainfall for Amajuba is between
                 650mm and 1 000mm per year.




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                 Figure 3.5: Topography of Amajuba




                 Figure 3.6: Terrain Analysis - Slope




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                 3.8.3          Soil Conditions

                 Soils in Amajuba include sandstone, shale and coal with smaller sections of dolerite. High
                 rainfall steep slopes and poor soil conditions result in extremely poor road conditions for
                 unsurfaced roads.

                 3.9            Social Facilities

                 In 2003/ 2004 financial year Amajuba District Municipality undertook a project on GIS Data
                 Verification process within the area of its jurisdiction. The project included the GPS of all
                 social facilities such as clinics, schools, crèches, Police Stations, Libraries, etc. This
                 information is available at Amajuba Municipal Offices as per request.
                 Facilities that are both community and public transport destinations include schools and
                 clinics. Figure 3.7 and Figure 3.8 shows the location of schools and clinics in Amajuba
                 respectively.

                 3.9.1          Schools

                 Schools are situated in or close to the numerous settlements between Mdakane and
                 Osizweni. The majority of the access roads to the schools are gravel roads and they are in
                 poor condition. The majority of the schools within Newcastle have access to fairly good
                 surfaced roads. There are currently 252 schools at both primary and secondary level in the
                 DM, 245 of these schools are being run by government.
                 Figure 3.7: Social Facilities – Schools




                 3.9.2          Clinics

                 The rural communities in Amajuba are served by 7 permanent clinics mainly located in
                 Madadeni and Osizweni. The access roads are mainly gravel roads and are in poor
                 conditions. Primary and specialist medical services are mainly provided in Newcastle.
                 It should also be noted that an extensive network of mobile clinics operate throughout the
                 District to ensure the efficient delivery of primary health care to all residents in the District.
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                 Figure 3.8: Social Facilities – Clinics




       4         PUBLIC TRANSPORT STATUS QUO

                 The Public Transport Status Quo, based on the CPTR, describes the analyses of the
                 operating licenses and subsidised public transport as part of the OLS and RatPlan as well
                 as the relevant institutional structures This chapter will investigate the following:
                      Trip Generators and Attractors;
                      Public Transport Facilities;
                      Road Infrastructure and Public Transport Network;
                      Public Transport Cost and Fares;
                      Passenger Travel Characteristics; and
                      Passenger Demand Patterns.

                 4.1            General Factors Affecting Travel Demand Patterns

                 4.1.1          Trip Generators and Attractors

                 The majority of trip generations and trip attraction areas within Amajuba fall within
                 Newcastle municipal boundaries. The previous chapter provided a detailed discussion of
                 the spatial distribution of facilities and services that generally affect travel patterns. Most
                 passengers utilising public transport reside within the areas of Madadeni and Osizweni.
                 Closer examination of the latest District Spatial Development Framework (SDF) reveals that
                 the majority of major projects as well as the dominant development direction occur in the
                 area directly surrounding the town of Newcastle. This is a logical progression as the exiting
                 infrastructure to support short and medium term development id present in this area. It is
                 further important that the principles as mentioned in section 3.6 of this report, with specific
                 reference to containing urban sprawl as well as to encourage the formation of integrated
                 settlements, are adhered to as far as possible. The spatial representation of these
                 development directions are shown on the SDF map which is contained as Annexure A.

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                 The specific implications of these concepts on public transport planning is that public
                 transport operations should be aimed at settlement hubs and public transport facilities
                 should focus around those already identified hubs to ensure integration and the creation of
                 the most efficient and cost effective system.
                 In addition to this it should also be noted that based on recent work carried out by the
                 District through its MI2 initiative it is anticipated that some form of economic development
                 will be stimulated through the re-commissioning of currently dormant power stations and
                 plant. It is believed that this avenue for development is a result of the current electricity crisis
                 facing the country as a whole.
                 The importance of this initiative and its potential impact on public transport planning should
                 not be underestimated and as such mention thereof in this reviewed document should be
                 made. Although it will be difficult at this stage in the project to quantify the exact impact this
                 may have on public transport planning it is anticipated that once more details become
                 available the issue of providing some form of public transport to these facilities would need
                 to be included in future reviews of the plan. These initiatives will mainly focus on the
                 Ngagane and Kilbrachen areas and as such it is indicated on the SDF map as one of the
                 key LED projects. It is also noted that this proposed project is located within the area of
                 proposed expansion as shown on the SDF map which fits in well with the principles of
                 promoting integration and limitation of urban sprawl.

                 4.1.2          Unstable areas

                 There were no unstable areas identified where surveys could not take place. The PTP is
                 therefore representative of all the areas within Amajuba District.

                 4.2            Supply of Travel Facilities: Public Transport Interchanges (Ranks)

                 4.2.1          Policies and Standard on Provision

                 The Minibus-taxi recapitalisation process proposed by DOT resulted in a change in the size
                 of vehicles to be used as well as changes in the design requirements of Public Transport
                 Interchanges. The new design standards for mini-buses and midi-buses to be used for
                 Public Transport are given in the Notice 459 of 2005 “Amendment of National Road Traffic
                 Regulations.

                 4.2.2      Level of Provision of Facilities
                 The detailed information of the relevant Public Transport Facilities was covered and is
                 available in the CPTR document and will not form part of this report. The Public Transport
                 Facility information was gathered using Global Positioning System (GPS) and are linked to
                 the Geographic Information System (GIS) that is used for this study. Figure 4.1, overleaf,
                 shows the location of all the Public Transport Facilities in Amajuba as contained in the
                 CPRT. The following information on each Public Transport Facility was gathered:
                 Facility Name,
                 Status and Type and Ownership of the Facility,
                 Available Amenities and the Conditions, and
                 Dimensions of each Facility.




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                 Figure 4.1: Public Transport Facilities




                 4.2.3     Minibus Taxi Ranks
                 According to the 2004 CPTR, there are a total of 20 public transport facilities within the
                 Amajuba area with 16 minibus-taxi ranks, 3 bus ranks and 1 minibus-taxi and bus rank. The
                 4+1 and bakkie ranks form part of the Minibus-taxi ranks. The majority of these facilities fall
                 within the Newcastle, Madadeni and Osizweni areas with limited facilities in Utrecht and
                 Dannhauser. There is an equal split of formal and informal facilities with the formal facilities
                 mainly located in the urban areas and informal facilities located in the rural settlements. The
                 status and ownership of the Minibus-taxi facilities is shown in Table 4.1.
                 Table 4.1: Status of Minibus-Taxi Facilities
                 No. Facility Name                                      Status         Ownership                   Location
                 Newcastle Municipality
                 1     Osizweni Formal Taxi Rank                         Formal          Municipal                 Off Street
                 3     Makhanya Informal Taxi Rank                      Informal         Municipal                 On street
                 4     Top Rank Informal Taxi Rank                      Informal         Municipal                 On street
                 6     9 Mile Informal Taxi Rank                        Informal         Municipal                 Off Street
                 7     Moyomuhle Informal Taxi Rank                     Informal         Municipal                 Off Street
                 8     Madadeni Sec 4&5 Informal Taxi Rank              Informal         Municipal                 Off Street
                 9     Madadeni Shoprite Checkers Informal Taxi Rank     Formal          Municipal                 Off Street
                 10 Madadeni Court Informal Taxi Rank                   Informal         Municipal                 Off Street
                 11 Newcastle Formal Taxi Rank                           Formal          Municipal                 Off Street
                 12 Charlestown Informal Minibus-Taxi Rank              Informal         Municipal                 Off Street
                 13 Ingogo Informal Minibus-Taxi Rank                   Informal         Municipal                 Off Street
                 Utrecht Municipality
                 14 Utrecht Minibus-Taxi and Bus Rank                    Formal          Municipal                 On street
                 Dannhauser Municipality
                 15 Dannhauser Taxi Rank                                 Formal          Municipal                 Off Street
                 16 Mdakane Cross Roads Taxi Rank                        Formal          Municipal                 Off Street


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                 4.2.4     Bus Ranks
                 According to the 2004 CPTR, several public transport facilities cater for minibus-taxi and
                 bus operations. There are three dedicated bus ranks and a one combined bus and minibus-
                 taxi rank in Amajuba. Table 4.2 shows the status and ownership of the bus facilities in
                 Amajuba.
                 Table 4.2: Status of Bus Facilities
                 No. Facility Name                                  Status         Ownership                 Location
                 Newcastle Municipality
                 1     Macadam Informal Bus Rank                    Informal         Municipal               Off Street
                 2     Newcastle Formal Bus Rank                    Formal           Municipal               Off Street
                 Utrecht Municipality
                 3     Utrecht Minibus-Taxi and Bus Rank            Informal         Municipal               Off Street
                 Dannhauser Municipality
                 4     Dannhauser Bus Rank                          Informal         Municipal               Off Street



                 4.2.5       Bakkie & 4+1 Ranks
                 According to the 2004 CPTR most of the bakkie and 4+1 vehicles operating in Amajuba
                 operate from the same ranks used by minibus-taxis. The only facility that provide for the
                 exclusive use by 4+1 taxis is Central Car Park in Newcastle. The 4+1 taxis operating from
                 this facility provides a similar service as that of the traditional metered taxi.
                 Table 4.3 shows the status and ownership of the bakkie and 4+1 facilities.
                 This table clearly illustrates this sharing of facilities with minibus-taxi. Bakkie and 4+1 taxis
                 operate on the same associations as that of the minibus-taxi operators expect for the 4+1
                 taxis operating from Central Car Park, which belongs to its own association.
                 Table 4.3: Bakkie and 4+1 taxi Trips and Passengers
                 No. Facility Name (physical location)                 Status        Ownership             Location
                 Newcastle Municipality
                 1     Osizweni Formal Taxi Rank (Osizweni)             Formal         Municipal           Off Street
                 2     Makhanya Informal Taxi Rank (Makhanya Street – Informal         Municipal           On street
                       Osizweni)
                 3     Top Rank Informal Taxi Rank ((Osizweni)        Informal         Municipal           On street
                 4  Khuzani Informal 4+1 Taxi Rank (Khuzani Street –   Informal        Municipal           Off Street
                    Osizweni)
                 5 9 Mile Informal Taxi Rank (c/o Utrech and P483 –    Informal        Municipal           Off Street
                    Osizweni))
                 6 Madadeni Sec 4&5 Informal Taxi Rank (Section 4      Informal        Municipal           Off Street
                    and 5 Madadeni)
                 7 Madadeni Shoprite Checkers Informal Taxi Rank        Formal         Municipal           Off Street
                    (Madadeni Shoprite/Checkers)
                 8 Madadeni Court Informal Taxi Rank (Madadeni         Informal        Municipal           Off Street
                    Court and Labour Offices)
                 9 Central Car Park 4+1 Taxi Rank (Murchason            Formal         Municipal           On street
                    Street – Newcastle)
                 10 Newcastle Formal Taxi Rank (Terminus Street –       Formal         Municipal           Off Street
                    Newcastle)
                 11 Charlestown Informal Minibus-Taxi Rank (next to    Informal        Municipal           Off Street
                    Charlestown Industrial Area)
                 12 Ingogo Informal Minibus-Taxi Rank (next to Main    Informal        Municipal           Off Street
                    Entrance Road to Ingogo
                 Utrecht Municipality
                 13 Utrecht Informal Bakkie Rank (Voor Street – Informal               Municipal           On street
                    Utrecht)
                 Dannhauser Municipality
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                 14 Dannhauser Taxi Rank (127 Main Street – Formal                  Municipal           Off Street
                    Dannhauser)
                 15 Mdakane Cross Roads (next to the Cross Roads Formal             Municipal           Off Street
                    at Mdakane)

                 4.3            Supply of Travel Facilities: Public Transport Corridors

                 4.3.1      Public Transport Corridors (PTC)
                 The assessment of the public transport service will be covered in this section. Public
                 Transport Corridors (PTC) were identified based on public transport routes, land use
                 information as well as taking physical attributes into account. To be able to present useful
                 figures on route and node utilisation, levels of service and user cost it is necessary to
                 combine the approximately 250 public transport routes into more manageable PTC for
                 modelling and cost purpose only. These PTC were developed using the identified IDP
                 development corridors, the existing road network, topography as well as the requirements
                 for public transport routes. The following data sets were used to develop the PTCs as
                 illustrated in Figure 4.6, overleaf.
                      IDP Development Corridors
                      Road Classification
                      Public Transport Routes
                      Topography

                 It becomes evident that upon closer examination of the Reviewed Spatial Development
                 Framework that the major transport corridors as shown in the PTP has not undergone any
                 substantial changes and that the direction of development as shown in the previous SDF
                 and that now contained in the reviewed plan is substantially the same. The implication of
                 this is that there should not be any major deviation in travel patterns thus allowing the
                 review of the PTP to rely on similar data as that which is contained in the original CPTR.


                 It should be noted that the impact of freight and other vehicle usage was not considered as
                 part of the PTC development. The combination of the different datasets resulted in the
                 identification of the PTC network that will be used to determine public transport utilisation,
                 the level of service and user costs.




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                 Figure 4.6: Public Transport Corridors




                 4.3.2     Description of PTC Links
                 In order to determine the public transport utilisation of each link of any corridor, it was
                 necessary to relate the public transport routes and road network with the public transport
                 corridor.
                 A public transport link (e.g. P1), is defined by the public transport corridor that represents
                 several public transport routes and considers the various characteristics of the individual
                 public transport routes. Public Transport Corridors with higher passengers and vehicle
                 numbers is classified as Primary Corridor and those with less passengers and vehicles
                 classified as Secondary Corridors. The integration of public transport routes and IDP
                 development corridors further produced tertiary corridors with low passenger volumes but
                 clearly showing the need of providing public transport. Public transport route distances have
                 been based on the proximity of the public transport route to the public transport corridor
                 keeping in mind any physical attributes of the area.

                 4.3.3     Public Transport Route Distance Estimation
                 An important element of the minibus-bus taxi and bakkie utilisation is the distance between
                 an origin and destination linked by a straight line against the actual assessed distance as
                 measured along the physical road. These were done using the GIS established for this
                 project.
                 The actual public transport routes as determined through the public transport surveys at
                 rank facilities has been captured in the GIS and linked to the Public Transport Corridors.
                 Origin Destination (O-D) distances based on the survey results were used to determine the
                 total distance (the sum of all the distances of each public transport route) as well as the
                 straight-line distances for each PTC. Table 4.4, overleaf, shows the route distance
                 estimation figures for each PTC link.




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                 Table 4.4: PTC Route Distances

                                                                        Plan Dist       Road Distance           Number of PT
                 PTC Description
                                                                          (km)              (km)                  Routes
                 P1 – N11 from Volksrus to R34 Intersection               32.2                  43.9                        10
                 P2 – N11 from R34 to Newcastle                           14.1                  17.5                        41
                 P3 – N11 from Newcastle to R621 intersection             15.1                  81.5                        13
                 P4 – N11 from R621 to border (Ladysmith)                 25.9                  87.1                        11
                 P5 – Newcastle to Osizweni                               16.2                  59.5                        53
                 P6 – Osizweni to Utrecht                                 23.5                  84.9                        15
                 S1 – R34 from N11 to Utrecht                             39.5                 124.7                         2
                 S2 – From Utrecht to Utrecht rural areas                 18.7                 165.9                         2
                 S3 – R34 from Utrecht to border (Vryheid)                39.4                 154.0                         7
                 S4 – Osizweni to Mdakane                                 16.4                  50.1                        29
                 S5 – Dannhauser to Mdakane                               18.6                  56.2                        17
                 S6 – R621 from N11 to Dannhauser                         14.9                  54.7                         3
                 S7 – R621 from Dannhauser to border (Dundee)             18.3                  86.0                         6
                 S8 – Newcastle to border (Memel)                         28.9                  34.7                         3
                 T1 – Newcastle to Normandien                             35.1                  39.6                         1
                 T2 – Mdakane to Dundee/Vryheid road                      21.1                 102.6                         5
                 T3 – Utrecht to Wakkerstroom                             34.6                  39.5                         4



                 4.3.4     Minibus-taxi Trips and Passenger Volumes (Supply)
                 Information on the public transport operations in Amajuba was collected as part of the CPTR
                 process. The results of these surveys showed that approximately 23 350 passengers are
                 transported by 1928 minibus-taxi trips in Amajuba. This equates to an average of 12
                 passengers per minibus-bus trip. Table 4.5 illustrates the number of minibus-taxi trips,
                 unique minibus-taxis and the number of passengers transported for each facility.
                 Table 4.5: Minibus-taxi Trips and Passengers
                                                                                           Average
                                                                 # OF             # of                      # of       Average # of
                                Location (Rank)                                            # Trips
                                                                 Trips        Unique Taxis                  Pass        Pass / Trip
                                                                                            / Taxi
                 9 Mile Informal Taxi Rank                               58               50        1.16        766                  13.21
                 Charlestown Informal Rank                               25               18        1.39        343                  13.72
                 Dannhauser Taxi Rank                                   178               17       10.47      1 728                   9.71
                 Ingogo Informal Taxi Rank                                1                1        1.00          5                   5.00
                 Madadeni Court Informal Rank                             8                8        1.00        100                  12.50
                 Madadeni Section 4+5 Informal Rank                     136              115        1.18        935                   6.88
                 Madadeni Shoprite Rank                                  21               18        1.17        225                  10.71
                 Makhanya Rank                                           95               78        1.22        652                   6.86
                 Mdakane Taxi Rank                                      226              104        2.17      2 057                   9.10
                 Moyomuhle Informal Taxi Rank                            37               33        1.12        502                  13.57
                 Newcastle Local Destinations Rank                      116               52        2.23      1 679                  14.47
                 Newcastle Long Distance Destinations Rank               78               70        1.11      1 144                  14.67
                 Newcastle Madadeni Rank                                659              386        1.71      9 785                  14.85
                 Newcastle Osizweni & Blaauwbosch Rank                  119               58        2.05      1 738                  14.61
                 Osizweni Main Rank                                      22               21        1.05        318                  14.45
                 Top Rank                                               123              109        1.13      1 020                   8.29
                 Utrecht Informal Bakkie Rank                             2                2        1.00         19                   9.50
                 Utrect Bus & Taxi Rank                                  24               20        1.20        335                  13.96
                 Amajuba                                            1928                1160                 23 351                      12

                 4.3.5     Bus Trips and Passenger Volumes (Supply)
                 Information on the public transport operations in Amajuba collected as part of the 2004
                 CPTR process showed that although there are only 4 dedicated bus facilities in Amajuba
                 buses do operate through the other facilities mainly used by minibus-taxi operators. The
                 surveys showed that 13807 passengers are transported by 299 bus trips resulting in an
                 average of 46 passengers per bus.
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                 Table 4.6 shows the number of trips, unique buses and passengers transported as per the
                 2004 CPTR.
                 Table 4.6: Average Bus Trips and Passengers per Rank
                                                                            # of Unique     # Trips /    # of            # of Pass /
                                Location (Rank)                # of Trips
                                                                               Buses          Bus        Pass               Trip
                 9 Mile Informal Taxi Rank                            26               22         1.18       953                   36.65
                 Dannhauser Busses                                    43               21         2.05     2 595                   60.35
                 Macadam Bus Rank                                      8                8         1.00       598                   74.75
                 Madadeni Section 4+5 Informal Rank                    1                1         1.00        35                   35.00
                 Makhanya Rank                                         7                7         1.00       326                   46.57
                 Mdakane Stop Street Busses                           24               17         1.41     1 314                   54.75
                 Moyomuhle Informal Taxi Rank                          5                5         1.00       195                   39.00
                 Newcastle Bus Main                                  136               87         1.56     5 495                   40.40
                 Top Rank                                             42               31         1.35     2 095                   49.88
                 Utrecht Bus & Taxi Rank                               7                6         1.17       201                   28.71
                 Amajuba                                             299              205                 13 807                      46


                 Table 4.7 below shows the status quo of subsidies paid by KZNDOT for public transport in
                 Amajuba.
                 Table 4.7: Bus Subsidies Paid
                                                                Buses required
                     Bus                                                             Average subsidy
                           Contract No.             Area                                                        Ave per bus
                   company                                     Peak Spare Total           p.m.

                                                                                              R
                                   ZNT 1165       New Castle    22     7      29                                 R 18,102.67
                                                                                         524,977.41
                  TRANSNAT                                                                    R
                                   ZNT 1166       New Castle    45     7      52                                 R 19,302.43
                   COACH                                                                1,003,726.34
                    LINES                                                                     R
                                   ZNT 1167       New Castle    5      2       7                                 R 18,910.69
                                                                                         132,374.86


                 Based on more recent (March 2008) bus data received from the KZN Department of
                 Transport it shows that, for Contract Number ZNT 1165_99 T which cover areas such as
                 Iscor, Newcastle to Madadeni, Osizweni, Annievale and Durnacol, 85 025 passengers were
                 transported by 1112 bus trips which resulted in an average of 76 passengers per bus.
                 Contract Number ZNT 1166_99 T which cover areas such as Utrecht, Osizweni and
                 Madadeni to Newcastle and Ncandu Park, 183 005 passengers were transported by 1 908
                 bus trips which resulted in an average of 96 passengers per bus. This shows that most of
                 the routes in this contract are over capacity.
                 Contract ZNT 1167_99 T which cover areas such as Dundee to Annievale and Surrounding
                 Area, 24 899 passengers were transported by 310 bus trips which resulted in an average of
                 80 passengers per bus.

                 4.3.6      Bakkie and 4+1 taxi Trips and Passenger Volumes (Supply)
                 The CPTR surveyes conducted at the different public transport facilities showed that
                 approximately 452 passengers are transported by 70 bakkie trips at an average of 6
                 passengers per trip. The surveys also showed that the 501 4+1 taxi trips transported 1298
                 passengers. This results in an average of 3 passengers per 4+1 taxi trip. Table 4.8 shows
                 the detail information per facility for both bakkie and 4+1 taxis.




                 Table 4.8: Bakkie and 4+1 taxi Trips and Passengers

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                                                             # of        # of Unique     # Trips /    # of            # of Pass /
                                Location (Rank)
                                                            Trips           Taxis          Taxi       Pass               Trip
                 9 Mile Informal Taxi Rank                           1               1         1.00         9                    9.00
                 Charlestown Informal Rank                          21              14         1.50       143                    6.81
                 Dannhauser Taxi Rank                                6               2         3.00        41                    6.83
                 Khuzani 4+1 Informal Rank                           3               2         1.50        14                    4.67
                 Madadeni Section 4+5 Informal Rank                  8               8         1.00        48                    6.00
                 Madadeni Shoprite Rank                              3               3         1.00        16                    5.33
                 Makhanya Rank                                       6               5         1.20        40                    6.67
                 Osizweni Main                                       1               1         1.00        10                   10.00


                                                             # of        # of Unique     # Trips /    # of            # of Pass /
                                Location (Rank)
                                                            Trips           Taxis          Taxi       Pass               Trip
                 Top Rank                                           10              10         1.00        69                    6.90
                 Utrecht Informal Bakkie                            11              10         1.10        62                    5.64
                 Amajuba (Bakkie)                                   70              56                    452                       6
                 Central Car Park (4+1 taxis)                      158              34         4.65       353                    2.23
                 Dannhauser Taxi Rank (4+1 taxis)                    1               1         1.00         1                    1.00
                 Khuzani 4+1 Informal Rank (4+1 taxis)             112              73         1.53       361                    3.22
                 Makhanya Rank (4+1 taxis)                         162              90         1.80       393                    2.43
                 Top Rank (4+1 taxis)                               68              53         1.28       190                    2.79
                 Amajuba (4+1 taxis)                               501             251                   1298                        3



                 4.3.7    Road Infrastructure and Network
                 This section of the report focuses on the road infrastructure in the study area and will
                 provide detail information of the following:
                     Road Classification
                     Road Surface and
                     Traffic Volumes
                 Road Classification
                 Four types of road classes have been identified according to the KZNDOT database. These
                 types include the following:
                 National Roads
                 These roads denoted with the prefix ‘N’ e.g. N11 and are primarily the responsibility of DOT
                 and are maintained through the South African Roads Agency.
                 Provincial Main Roads
                 These are higher order provincial roads all with the prefix ‘P’ e.g. P296. There is a further
                 breakdown of this class into types of main roads, each type meeting certain requirements
                 pertaining to traffic volumes, freight requirements etc and hence not all main roads are
                 surfaced roads.
                 Provincial District Roads
                 All these roads are the responsibility of the KZNDOT and the majority of which are not
                 surfaced. Again there is a further breakdown into types of district roads, each allocated
                 different design and maintenance specifications. These roads normal have a prefix ‘D’ e.g.
                 D5241.
                 Provincial Local Roads
                 Formerly these were termed “Community Access Roads” and are classified as third order
                 roads with minimum design requirements. In this class there is a further breakdown into two
                 types, namely gravel and earth roads (tracks). These roads generally have a prefix ‘A’ e.g.
                 A3265.
                 Figure 4.2 illustrates the road classification of the roads in Amajuba.


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                 Figure 4.2: Road Classification




                 4.3.8    Road Surface
                 The national and provincial main roads are mainly surfaced whilst the majority of district and
                 community access roads are not. Figure 4.3 shows the extent of surfaced and gravel roads
                 within Amajuba. Table 4.9 gives an indication of the length of surfaced and gravel roads for
                 each local municipality. Most community access unsurfaced roads are not constructed to
                 proper geometric design standards due to the rough terrain and limited funding available.
                 Several of these access roads are used by public transport vehicles, resulting in high
                 maintenance cost of vehicles and unsafe travel conditions for passengers. Unsurfaced
                 roads are often very slippery during the rainy season due to flooding and poor in-situ soil
                 conditions, which results in the rural communities having no vehicle access or an unreliable
                 public transport service.
                 Figure 4.3: Road Surfaced




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                 Table 4.9: Surfacing of roads in Amajuba

                                                      Surfaced                Unsurfaced                       Total
                          Local Municipality         Roads (km)               Roads (km)                     Length
                                                  Length       (%)        Length           (%)                (km)

                   Newcastle (KZ252)               162,7      44,4%         203,9         55,6%                 366,6

                   Utrecht (KZ253)                 115,2      16,3%         592,9         83,7%                 708,1

                   Dannhauser (KZ254)              240,5      46,5%         277,2         53,5%                 517,7

                   Amajuba                         518,4      32,6%        1 074,0        67,4%               1 592,4


                 4.3.9      Traffic Volumes
                 The highest number of vehicles in Amajuba is on the N11 south of Newcastle with high
                 traffic volumes on the main provincial road P483 between Newcastle, Madadeni and
                 Osizweni. The N11 between the P204 (turn-off to Dannhauser) and Newcastle carries in
                 excess of 10 000 vehicles per day while the P483 carries between 5 000 and 10 000
                 vehicles per day.
                 Figure 4.4 shows the Average Annual Daily Traffic (AADT) for roads in Amajuba.




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                 Figure 4.4: AADT volumes of roads in Amajuba




                 Figure 4.5 shows the Heavy Vehicle AADT in Amajuba. When comparing these two figures
                 it can be seen that high heavy vehicle volumes occur on the P483 between Madadeni and
                 the industrial area to the east of Madadeni.
                 Figure 4.5: AADT volumes of roads in Amajuba .




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                 4.4            Supply of Travel Facilities: Fare and Costs

                 4.4.1      Passenger User Cost
                 In order to determine the user cost of the public transport service the KZNDOT in
                 association with Prof Del Mistro developed a cost model taking into account several
                 parameters. The user cost is determined for each public transport corridor and averaged for
                 the district.
                 This model will however only be introduced later on in the project and user cost has
                 therefore been calculated as the fare paid for the distance travelled thus resulting in cost per
                 kilometre travelled.
                 Table 4.10 shows the average user cost per kilometre travelled for each Local Municipality.
                 Table 4.10: Average User Cost Per Km Travelled per Local Municipality

                 Local Municipality                                                                   Cost/Kilometre
                 Newcastle Municipality                                                                                  R 0.37
                 Utrecht Municipality                                                                                    R 0.14
                 Dannhauser Municipality                                                                                 R 0.17
                 Amajuba (Weighted Average)                                                                              R 0.36



                 The average user cost per kilometre travelled shows that there is a major difference
                 between Newcastle and the other two Local Municipalities, Utrecht and Dannhauser. The
                 weighted average for Amajuba (R0.36/km) however is an indication that the majority of
                 travel occurs within the Newcastle area and is of short distance. The lower cost/kilometre for
                 both Dannhauser and Utrecht is the results of longer distances that passengers travel. The
                 average user cost per kilometre based on distance ranges is shown in Table 4.11.
                 Table 4.11: Average User Cost Per Km Travelled according to Distance ranges
                                                                                  User Cost / Km
                                  Local Municipality
                                                                 0 - 5km     5 - 15km     15 - 30km               >30km
                 Newcastle Municipality                             R 0.43       R 0.60          R 0.36                  R 0.33
                 Utrecht Municipality                               R 0.00       R 0.00          R 0.21                  R 0.18
                 Dannhauser Municipality                            R 0.00       R 0.00          R 0.22                  R 0.17
                 Amajuba                                            R 0.43       R 0.60          R 0.34                  R 0.31



                 The table clearly shows that the shorter distance ranges result in higher user cost per
                 kilometre. Long distance trips (> 30km) have the lowest cost per kilometre. The results
                 showed that both Utrecht and Dannhauser has no trips and user cost information for trips
                 less than 15km.

                 4.5            Passenger Travel Characteristics

                 4.5.1     Trip Purpose
                 The purpose of public transport trips within Amajuba is classified into work and non-work
                 related trip purposes and is shown in Table 4.12. These figures are based on the
                 Passenger surveys conducted at the different public transport facilities. The purpose of
                 these trips has been calculated for work and non-work purposes only. For Amajuba, only
                 13,5% of all public transport trips is work related trips. The facilities in general located within
                 the urban areas of Amajuba experienced higher percentages of work related trips. Surveys
                 within Madadeni and Osizweni showed that less than 10% of all public transport trips are
                 work related.




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                 Table 4.12: Trip Purpose according to Public Transport Facilities
                                                                                                             Non-Work
                   Local Municipality               Rank Name                     Work Related
                                                                                                              Related
                 Dannhauser Municipality Dannhauser Bus & Taxi Rank                   10.11%                    89.89%
                                         Mdakane Rank                                 18.25%                    81.75%
                 Newcastle Municipality 9 Mile Informal Taxi Rank                     12.50%                    87.50%
                                         Central Car Park 4+1                         14.44%                    85.56%
                                         Charlestown Informal Taxi Rank               11.11%                    88.89%
                                         Ingogo                                       10.53%                    89.47%
                                         Khuzani 4+1Informal Rank                     11.27%                    88.73%
                                         Macadam Bus Rank                             25.00%                    75.00%
                                         Madadeni Court Informal Rank                 25.00%                    75.00%
                                         Madadeni Sec 4&5 Informal Rank               3.57%                     96.43%
                                         Madadeni Shoprite Rank                       7.35%                     92.65%
                                         Makhanya                                     8.70%                     91.30%
                                         Moyomuhle Informal Taxi Rank                 10.34%                    89.66%
                                         Newcastle Bus                                22.99%                    77.01%
                                         Newcastle Local Rank                         15.91%                    84.09%
                                         Newcastle Long Distance                      12.27%                    87.73%
                                         Newcastle Madadeni                           4.84%                     95.16%
                                         Newcastle Osizweni and Blaauwbosch           8.76%                     91.24%
                                         Osizweni Busses                              14.93%                    85.07%
                                         Top Rank                                     19.67%                    80.33%
                 Utrect Municipality     Utrect Bus & Taxi Rank                       15.71%                    84.29%
                                         Utrect Informal Bakkie                       14.29%                    85.71%
                 Amajuba                                                              13.52%                    86.48%



                 Trips purpose was also calculated for the peak and off peak periods. Table 4.13 shows the
                 distribution of work and non-work related trips during the peak and off-peak periods. The
                 peak period includes both AM and PM peak periods.
                 Table 4.13: Trip Purpose according to Peak Periods

                 Trip Purpose                                           Peak                         Off Peak
                 Work                                                  18.21%                         81.79%
                 Non Work                                              11.23%                         88.77%



                 4.5.2      Passenger Travel Distance
                 The difference between the straight line distance and that of the actual road length shown in
                 the table above might imply that certain roads have higher priority because of the longer
                 length. It is however necessary to determine the importance of these links based on the
                 number of public transport trips and passenger volumes and not the link length.
                 Table 4.14 shows the passenger volumes based on the distance ranges as well as the
                 percentage utilisation for each distance range. From this table it appears as if the majority of
                 trips in Amajuba exceed 30 km. Although this information is based on the findings of the
                 2004 CPTR it is anticipated that no major changes would have occurred as an analysis of
                 the most recent IDP and its associated SDF does not show any major changes to the
                 settlement patterns within the district. This will mean that the average distances travelled by
                 passengers on a daily basis would fundamentally remain the same as those observed in
                 2004.
                 Table 4.14: Passenger Volumes per Distance Range

                 Distance range                        Number of Trips          Number of Pass            % Utilisation
                 0-5 km                                       266                     2270                          57
                 5-15 km                                       69                     1017                          77
                 15-30 km                                     204                     3523                          81
                 > 30km                                      1 382                   20 260                         78


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                 Table 4.15 compares the passenger kilometres travelled between the straight line and
                 actual road lengths for each PTC link. From this table it is clear that although some PTC
                 links might be short in distance, the passenger kilometres travelled on these links are higher
                 than for the longer links.
                 Table 4.15: Passenger Kilometres travelled according to PTC

                                                                          Distance                Passenger KM
                                  PTC Description
                                                                   Straight Line Road       Straight Line   Road
                 P1 – N11 from Volksrus to R34 Intersection            32.2         43.9         331493               452325
                 P2 – N11 from R34 to Newcastle                        14.1         17.5        1536678              1901280
                 P3 – N11 from Newcastle to R621 intersection          15.1         81.5         30809                166150
                 P4 – N11 from R621 to border (Ladysmith)              25.9         87.1         129043               434688
                 P5 – Newcastle to Osizweni                            16.2         59.5        2007408              7360210
                 P6 – Osizweni to Utrecht                              23.5         84.9         420274              1518045
                 S1 – R34 from N11 to Utrecht                          39.5        124.7         249514               787794
                 S2 – From Utrecht to Utrecht rural areas              18.7        165.9         65805                583697
                 S3 – R34 from Utrecht to border (Vryheid)             39.4        154.0         782282              3060525
                 S4 – Osizweni to Mdakane                              16.4         50.1         453474              1384324
                 S5 – Dannhauser to Mdakane                            18.6         56.2        1245103              3759603
                 S6 – R621 from N11 to Dannhauser                      14.9         54.7          6934                25468
                 S7 – R621 from Dannhauser to border (Dundee)          18.3         86.0         55882                262602
                 S8 – Newcastle to border (Memel)                      28.9         34.7          2023                 2430
                 T1 – Newcastle to Normandien                          35.1         39.6          2460                 2770
                 T2 – Mdakane to Dundee/Vryheid road                   21.1        102.6         487279              2365284
                 T3 – Utrecht to Wakkerstroom                          34.6         39.5          5709                 6521
                 Total                                                412.5       1282.2       7 812 169            24 073 718



                 4.5.3     Passenger Level of Service (LOS) and Delay
                 The level of service (LOS) is based on the delay experienced by passengers using any
                 public transport service. Waiting time surveys conducted at each public transport facility
                 have been used together with a delay model developed by the KZNDOT to determine the
                 anticipated delay experienced within Amajuba. The LOS only looks at the delay experienced
                 at the facility and do not include the actual travel time associated with the trip. Delay is
                 normally expressed in minutes. The average delay is an indication of the efficiency of the
                 public transport service. There are passenger delays of more than 2 hours especially at the
                 smaller ranks with limited services or long distance trips. Table 4.16 shows the average
                 waiting time per public transport facility.
                 On the basis of the above waiting time / delay the following levels of services are suggested:
                     Level of Service A          -     < 10 minutes
                     Level of Service B          -     10 – 20 minutes
                     Level of Service C          -     20 – 30 minutes
                     Level of Service D          -     30 – 60 minutes
                     Level of Service E          -     > 60 minutes


                 Level of Service A represents in reality “No Delay” with a very efficient service provided to
                 the passengers. Level of Service E represents an “Unacceptable Delay” and refers to an
                 insufficient public transport service.




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                 Table 4.16: Average Waiting Time and Level of Service at PT Facilities

                 Public Transport Facility                    AVERAGE       LONGEST WAIT                      LOS
                 9 Mile Informal Taxi Rank                       0:16             0:56:00                          B
                 Charlestown Informal Rank                       0:08             0:20:00                          A
                 Khuzani 4+1 Informal Rank                       0:10             1:20:00                          A
                 Madadeni Court Informal Rank                    0:22             1:32:00                          C
                 Madadeni Section 4+5 Informal Rank              0:10             0:31:00                          A
                 Madadeni Shoprite Rank                          0:20             2:46:00                          B
                 Makhanya Rank                                   0:04             0:34:00                          A
                 Mdakane Taxi Rank                               0:14             1:00:00                          B
                 Moyomuhle Informal Taxi Rank                    0:24             0:57:00                          C
                 Newcastle 4+1                                   0:03             1:02:00                          A
                 Newcastle Bus Industrial                        0:08             0:26:00                          A
                 Newcastle Bus Main                              0:36             2:00:00                          D
                 Newcastle Local Rank                            0:09             2:13:00                          A
                 Newcastle Long Distance                         0:58             3:05:00                          E
                 Newcastle Madadeni Rank                         0:08             1:15:00                          A
                 Newcastle, Osizweni & Blaauwbosch               0:09             1:26:00                          A
                 Osizweni Busses                                 0:08             1:18:00                          A
                 Top Rank                                        0:04             0:31:00                          A
                 Utrect Bus & Taxi Rank                          0:15             1:17:00                          B
                 Amajuba                                         0:15                                              B



                 4.6            Institutional Arrangements and Responsibilities

                 The status quo of institutional structures can be summarised based on the capability to
                 perform planning, regulatory and administrative tasks in terms of transport. Table 4.17
                 shows the capabilities of the six local and district municipalities .

                 Table 4.17: Status Quo of Institutional Structures

                                                                        Function Performed
                       Municipality Name
                                                      Planning                Regulatory                Administrative

                  KZ252 – Newcastle LM                  Yes                         No                             Yes

                  KZ253 – Utrecht LM                    No                          No                             No

                  KZ254 – Dannhauser LM                 No                          No                             No

                  Amajuba                               Yes                         No                             No

                 From the table it is clear that most of the local municipalities have limited or no capabilities
                 in terms of planning, regulatory and administrative functions. Newcastle Municipality
                 currently has capacity to perform most of these functions relating to public transport.

                 Against the background of the Constitution, the development of a transport policy and
                 legislation creates the framework within which the roles and responsibilities of the various
                 levels of government are defined with regards to matters of transport and within this context,
                 public transport. The roles and responsibilities of the institutional structures are evolving
                 within the context of the legislation set out in the first instance in the Constitution, the
                 Municipal Structures Act and the Municipal Systems Act.

                 Further, the development of the National Department of Transport (NDOT) White Paper on
                 National Transport Policy 1996 followed by the National Land Transport Transition Act
                 (NLTTA 2000) establishes an expanded definition of roles and responsibilities for public
                 transport at all levels of government. A draft Provincial Transport Framework is currently
                 being finalised and when available this document should give further direction to this
                 evolutionary process within KwaZulu-Natal.

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                 4.7            Commuter Rail Service

                 No commuter rail service currently exists within the Amajuba area and is mainly the result of
                 the location of the Newcastle station in relation to the actual residential areas and the
                 employments centres. Spoornet is the landowner of the station as well as the rail line
                 running from Newcastle past Madadeni and Osizweni towards Utrecht. Although the
                 alignment of the railway line lends itself to the provision of a rail commuter service several
                 factors hamper the actual provision of such a service. These include:
                      High capital investment for the provision of rolling stock
                      Increase is the annual maintenance of the rail line because of the inclusion of
                       passenger transport service and not only freight service

                      High capital investment for the provision of suitable stations along the rail line in the
                       areas of Madadeni and Osizweni

                      Remote location of the current station in terms of residential areas and employment
                       opportunities

                 It is however important to further investigate the possibility to establish a rail commuter
                 service that will complement the existing public transport service and have a negative
                 impact on the livelihood of other modes of transport.

       5         PUBLIC TRANSPORT VISION, GOALS AND
                 OBJECTIVES
                 5.1            Introduction

                 Since the promulgation of the NLTTA, Act 22 in 2000 several guidelines have been
                 developed by National Department of Transport to enable Local Governments and Planning
                 Authorities to engage in preparing PTPs to further PT within their areas. These planning
                 authorities in turn are required to develop a Vision, Goals and Objectives relating to National
                 and Provincial policy. This section of the PTP presents the Vision, Goals and Objectives of
                 the Public Transport Plan.
                 Through the public participation process, which took place during the preparation of the first
                 PTP, the consultancy team developed the following Vision, Goals and Objectives for Public
                 Transport within Amajuba. These were debated at the Project Steering Committee meetings
                 and adopted for the PTP. These Visions, Goals and Objectives will still apply and
                 confirmation thereof was received during the Steering Committee meeting held on Tuesday,
                 15 April 2008.

                 5.2            Vision

                 The following vision has been adopted as the vision for public transport in Amajuba:
                           “To provide and maintain a safe, reliable, effective and sustainable Public
                          Transport System and Service, which addresses the transport needs of the
                             people, supports integrated development and is affordable to both the
                               community as well as local, provincial and national government.”

                 5.3            Goals

                 To enable Amajuba to attain it’s vision several goals were developed taking into account the
                 packaging of subsidised services and the associated policy, the levels of service to be
                 provided, the integration with land use development, addressing travel demand
                 management and the modal integration of services where applicable, hence the following
                 goals. These goals have been divided into four broad categories namely:


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                     Public Transport Operational Goal;
                     Public Transport Planning and Development Goal;
                     Road and Facility Infrastructure Goal; and
                     Public Transport Demand and Safety Goal.

                 5.3.1          Goal 1: Public Transport Operational Goal
                                “To promote a cost effective, manageable and reliable Public Transport
                                 Service that will be affordable for Public Transport Users as well as for
                                                        Public Transport Suppliers.”

                 5.3.2          Goal 2: Public Transport Planning and Development Goal
                                “To provide assistance to Local Government with the implementation of proposals
                                 contained in the Public Transport Plan and to encourage the Integration of Public
                                   Transport Services and Facilities with Land Use Development and the IDP”

                 5.3.3          Goal 3: Road and Facility Infrastructure Goal
                                “Improve and Invest in Public Transport Infrastructure (Roads and Facilities) based
                                  on the identified needs and proposals thereby improving the Accessibility to the
                                        Public Transport Service especially in Rural and Deep Rural Areas”

                 5.3.4          Goal 4: Public Transport Demand and Safety Goal
                                “To strive to provide a Safe, Reliable, Affordable and Sustainable Public Transport
                                Service that is based on the Public Transport Demand yet accommodating current
                                                   levels of Public Transport Supply”Objectives
                 In order to attain these goals objectives have been formulated and are also based on the
                 four broad categories. These objectives include the following: I believe we need to include
                 something to ensure we establish a state of readiness.
                 5.4.1          Public Transport Operational Objectives

                 Objective: To increase public transport usage that will ensure sustainability of the service
                 without the need to utilise government subsidies. To promote the use of Public Transport
                 over the use of Private Transport.
                 Objective: Facilitate and Implement the Operating and Rationalisation Strategy developed
                 by the District Municipality to ensure safe, reliable, effective and efficient Public Transport
                 Service for Amajuba.
                 5.4.2          Public Transport Planning and Development Objectives

                 Objective: Identify and Agree to the Role and Responsibilities of all Stakeholders regarding
                 Infrastructure provision, funding, policy development and maintenance.
                 Objective: Assist Local Government with implementation of the PTP and ensure the
                 integration with Land Use Planning and the IDP.
                 Objective: Annual Review of CPTR information and Projects and Proposals as per the
                 PTP. Review should address gaps in the available information to address any outstanding
                 issues in the PTP.
                 5.4.3          Road and Facility Infrastructure Objectives

                 Objective: Identify Road and Facility related projects to be implemented to will be cost
                 effective and practical.
                 Objective: Ensure Continuous Upgrading and Maintenance of Infrastructure to increase the
                 Accessibility to Public Transport Service for all users in Amajuba.
                 5.4.4          Public Transport Demand and Safety Objectives

                 Objective: Promote Proactive Law Enforcement at Provincial and Local Government level
                 to Reduce Illegal Operations and Improve Road Safety to all Road Users.

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                 Objective: Encourage the Upgrading and Maintenance of Public Transport Facilities and
                 Vehicles to align with the new requirements of the Taxi Recapitalisation project.
                 Objective: Address the needs of special passengers such as scholars and handicapped
                 people utilising public transport.

       6         NEEDS ASSESSMENT
                 6.1            Factors Affecting Future Travel Demand Patterns

                 Information relating to these factors has been obtained using existing documentation
                 amongst others being the latest IDP, SDF and also work done through the MI2 Economic
                 Development project.
                 This matter is further described under the relevant section dealing with land use and its
                 impact on the future transport demands.
                 Another key aspect in the determination of demand which has been taken into account is
                 the provision of employment opportunities as the location thereof will have a direct bearing
                 on passengers travel patterns. These issues are more fully described in the section dealing
                 with Demand Patterns.

                 6.2            Public Transport Demand Patterns

                 The demand for public transport based on the Origin-Destination surveys conducted at the
                 different public transport facilities throughout the district is presented in this section.
                 Passenger desire lines are compiled using the sample gathered through the surveys at each
                 public transport facility and factored to arrive at the population (number of passengers
                 departing form each public transport facility).
                 Figures 6.1 to 6.8 shows the public transport desire lines based on the O-D surveys
                 conducted at the different public transport facilities. The survey (sample) was then factored
                 to arrive at the Desire Lines based on the population size. The population size is the actual
                 number of passengers departing from the different public transport facilities during the
                 survey period. It is anticipated that these tendencies, although observed during surveys
                 undertaken in 2004, would remain the same as the direction of economic growth in the
                 District has remained the same. This is clear from the reviewed SDF as well as from
                 discussions that has taken place with planning staff from the District.




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                 Figure 6.1: Desire Lines from Charlestown




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                 Figure 6.2: Desire Lines from Dannhauser




                 Figure 6.3: Desire Lines from Ingogo




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                 Figure 6.4: Desire Lines from Madadeni




                 Figure 6.5: Desire Lines from Newcastle




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                 Figure 6.6: Desire Lines from Osizweni




                 Figure 6.7: Desire Lines from Utrecht




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                 Figure 6.8: Desire Lines from All Facilities with PTC




                 6.3            Cost Model Assessment

                 Kwa-Zulu Natal Department of Transport introduced a Cost Model, developed by Prof Del
                 Mistro, to be used as part of the assessment of Public Transport Needs in Amajuba. This
                 cost model allowed for the incorporation of available CPTR data into this model, thus
                 enabling the consultants to do a quantitative needs assessment of public transport.
                 This Cost Model however requires data not collected as part of the Current Public Transport
                 Record.
                 The purpose of the Cost Model will be to answer the following questions:
                      What number of vehicle seats should be provided on each Public Transport Corridor to
                       cater for the needs of public transport users,

                      Is there an under or over supply of vehicle seats on the different Public Transport
                       Corridors
                      Between Minibus-taxi and Bus, which is the more economic mode on each corridor,
                      What magnitude of Subsidy is needed per Public Transport Corridor? It is important to
                       note that the subsidy given by the model will be the cumulative subsidy of all the routes
                       included in the relevant Public Transport Corridor,

                 In order to be able to answer these questions certain assumptions had to be made
                 regarding the data input and sections of the model where data is not available. This will
                 ensure that the cost model provides useful comparative results that can be used as part of
                 the Needs Assessment. In order to be conservative in the use of the cost model the
                 following criteria is to be used based on the assumptions:
                      Determine the number of minibus taxis required to provide the service to address the
                       demand based on the following assumptions: 100% occupancy rate of vehicles with a
                       minimum frequency of zero during peak hour, peak period and outside the peak.
                       Assume a 0% standby fleet; and assume all passengers travel by taxi. Multiply the
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                      number of vehicles required by 15 to obtain the number of seats required on the
                      corridor.

                     There has been extensive research done on the cost to operate bus and minibus-taxi
                      services and so it is assumed that the figures used in the cost model are reliable.
                      Therefore based on the number of passenger trips on the corridor and minimum
                      frequencies of 1 vehicle per hour in the peak hour, determine the most economical
                      mode between bus and minibus assuming: Bus occupancies of 90% with a maximum
                      standing time of 15 minutes and a minimum 10% standby fleet. For minibus-taxi assume
                      vehicle occupancies of 100% with no standing time allowance and a minimum of 5%
                      standby fleet. The most economical mode is then determined by comparing the annual
                      subsidy required at year 20. Where the subsidy required differs by less than 10% the
                      modes are assumed to be equally economical. Again it is important to note that the
                      subsidy results will be for public transport corridors and not individual routes.

                     It was also assumed that all tickets used are cash tickets with no discounted fares for
                      either bus or minibus-taxi users.

                     The needs assessment also included the analysis of the public transport service in
                      Amajuba based on a Cost Model developed by the KZNDOT. The current passenger
                      numbers on the different Public Transport Corridors, combined with the passenger
                      Demand as contained in the above mentioned desire lines were used to prepare the
                      cost model. The results of the cost model therefore provide an assessment based on
                      the actual needs of the passengers.

                     The cost model results provides information on the following issues namely:

                     Total passenger transport on each PTC,

                     Estimated Subsidy to determine which mode would be most suitable for each PTC,
                     Seats required per PTC,

                     Seats provided per PTC per Public Transport mode,
                     Estimated Over or Under Supply of seats per transport mode, and

                     Preferred Mode based on the Estimated subsidy to be paid.

                 The results of the cost model undertaken in the original PTP are shown in Table 6.1
                 overleaf.
                 The figures clearly show that there is not a significant over or under supply of seats with
                 PTC S4 the highest under supply. Public Transport Corridors with high passenger numbers
                 in general have either a small percentage over or under supply of seats and it can therefore
                 be said that the Public Transport Service in Amajuba operate at efficient and effective
                 levels.
                 For the purposes of the PTP and the development of the Operating Strategy it is necessary
                 to establish the preferred mode of transport for each corridor and to advise the relevant
                 authority on the issuing of future route based permits. It is, however required to do further
                 detail assessments of each PTC prior, to be able to determine the required number of
                 permits, if any, per route.




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               Table 6.1: Cost Model Assessment based on the Passenger Demand
                  Public     Total     Estimated       Seats   Minibus Bus Seats Over (+) / Under (-) Over (+) / Under (-) Proposed
                Transport Passengers    Subsidy       Required  Seats   Provided Supply based on Supply based on vehicle size
                 Corridor Transported Difference               Provided             Taxi Seats           Bus Seats         (Larger /
                    ID               (Bus + / Taxi -)                                                                      Smaller)
                P01             6986      -1.51        2460      1335      2700          -1125              240                Smaller
                P02             35024      2.17        5070      5280      5220           210               150                 Larger
                P03             1721      -1.44        240       345       600            105               360                Smaller
                P04             3926       1.29        1560      1920      1860           360               300                 Larger
                P05             45310      2.48        8985      9585      7380           600               -1605               Larger
                P06             15022     -0.23        3255      2310      1620           -945              -1635              Smaller
                S01             4150       0.04        1125      840       1380           -285              255                 Larger
                S02             2718       2.04        1035      1170      2520           135               1485                Larger
                S03             8705      -1.09        1650      1395      4200           -255              2550               Smaller
                S04             21063     -0.28        6945      4695      3480          -2250              -3465              Smaller
                S05             15224     -2.74        2280      1815      420            -465              -1860              Smaller
                S06             449       -0.61         75       195       1260           120               1185               Smaller
                S07             1767      -1.50        270       285       120             15               -150               Smaller
                S08              35       -2.09         15        45       120             30               105                Smaller
                T01              35       -1.86         30        30       2280            0                2250               Smaller
                T02             10074     16.29        3930      3195      120            -735              -3810               Larger
                T03              83       -1.24         60       105        0              45                -60               Smaller




       7         INITIAL PUBLIC TRANSPORT PROPOSAL
                 7.1            Introduction

                 Prior to the identification of initial proposals, an Operating Strategy and Rationalisation
                 Strategy needs to be developed. In order to create practical solutions that can be
                 implemented it is necessary to identify public transport proposals and projects that would
                 address the needs of passengers and public transport operators.
                 For the purpose of this PTP the initial public transport proposals and projects will be
                 categorised as follows:
                      Type 1 proposals: Assistance to Local Municipalities
                      Type 2 proposals: Public Transport Facility Improvements

                      Type 3 proposals: Road Infrastructure Improvements

                      Type 4 proposals: Additional Planning Projects

                 7.2            Operating Licence Strategy

                 The OLS must provide guidance to the operating licensing board in disposing of applications
                 for operating licences with particular reference to the following:
                      The role of each public transport mode and identification of the preferred road-based
                       mode or modes;
                      The circumstances in which operating licences or permits should be allowed;
                      The use of public transport facilities within its area;
                      The avoidance of wasteful competition between transport operators;

                      The conclusion of commercial service contracts for unsubsidised public transport
                       services; and
                      The conditions that should be imposed by the board in respect of operating licenses.


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                 The Operating Licensing Permit application process as obtained from the Public Transport
                 Licensing Board is shown in Figure 7.1 below.
                                                     REGULATORY AUTHORITY DIRECTORATE
                                                     PUBLIC TRANSPORT LICENCING BOARD
                                                             WORK-FLOW CHART

                                                               APPLICATION FORM

                    1. Applicant obtain application form.

                                                       SUBMISSION OF APPLICATION FORM

                    1. Applicant fills in the application and submits it with supporting documents for processing. Before
                    an application gets processed, the regulatory authority sends an enquiry to the concerned Local
                    Municipality to determine if there is sufficient spare capacity at the taxi rank. And if there is spare
                    capacity, then the application goes to the Help Desk.


                                                                   HELP DESK
                     1. Checking of Income applications
                     2. Advising applicants on outstanding documents
                     3. Recording of all applicants
                     4. Issuing of acknowledgement

                                                                    CASHIER
                     1. Receiving Payments.
                     2. Receipting of applications
                                                            REGISTRY / COUNTER STAFF
                     REGISTRY:
                     1. Opening of sub-files for applications
                     2. Recording of all applicants
                     3. Applications to be wrapped in a batch
                     4. Send applications for approval to be gazetted
                     COUNTER:
                     Processing of applications: COV’s duplicate permits, temps newly granted permits

                                                       AUTHORISATION FOR GAZETTING
                    1. Checking of all applications and authorize them to be gazetted
                    2. Recording of all applications.

                                                               GAZETTE SECTION

                    1. Record and gazetting of applications


                    Registry to intergrate with Main File

                                                                AGENDA SECTION
                    1. Arranging dates for Board Meeting
                    2. Compilation of Agenda
                    3. Set applications down for hearing
                    4. Recording of all heard applications

                                                               BOARD’S SECRETARY

                    1. Recording of all applications
                    2. Recording of Board’s decision
                    3. Board’s secretary; Issuance of decision letters
                                                                       BOARD
                    Board
                    1. Recording Board’s decisions
                    2. Confirming of Minutes of the meeting / decisions
                    3. Receiving, considering and deciding on applications

                                                                ISSUING SECTION
                    1. Issuance of Permits / Operating Licences
                    2. Recording of all issued permits / Operating Licences.

                   Figure 7.1: Operating Licencing Permit Application Process
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                 Route list is attached as Annexure B for reference. All the corridors have a combination of
                 all modes of transport from a 4+1 mode, taxi mode to a bus mode. From Table 6.1 and the
                 discussion in section 6.3 it is clear that:
                 PTC P1
                 Based on required minibus-taxis seats there would be a need for more minibus-taxi of this
                 corridor should this be the preferred mode. There is not a significant difference in estimated
                 subsidy and therefore both larger and smaller vehicles would be appropriate modes. PTC
                 P1 serves mainly long distance travels between Newcastle and Gauteng and the lower
                 passenger volumes suggest that smaller vehicles be the preferred mode due to the shorter
                 travel time.
                 Average capacity utilisation ranges from 60% to 100%. Routes KA0188FE, KA0190FE and
                 KA0193FE operate at 100% capacity and therefore more permits need to be granted.
                 Routes KA0038FE and KA0173FL operate at 60% and 61%, respectively, therefore some
                 permits on these routes need to be reduced and passed on to those routes that operate at
                 100% capacity.
                 PTC P2
                 The PTC P2, however, shows much higher passenger volumes than that of P1 and although
                 there is no significant difference in the estimated subsidy between larger and smaller
                 vehicles, it is suggested that larger vehicles be the preferred mode to be able to transport
                 more passengers per trip and thus reduce the traffic volumes on the PTC P2.
                 Average capacity utilisation ranges from 1.67% (this is on route KA0083FL where a vehicle
                 with an average total capacity of 60 is used to transport 1 person) to 113%. Route
                 KA0083FL needs to be passed on to a smaller vehicle. The following routes KA0185FE,
                 KA0211FL and KA0088FL have an average capacity of 100%, 107% and 113%,
                 respectively capacity and therefore more permits need to be granted.
                 PTC P3
                 The PTC P3 shows lower passenger volumes than that of P1 and P2 and the distance of
                 travel are also much shorter. The cost model results shows no significant difference in the
                 estimated subsidy between larger and smaller vehicles and it is thus suggested that smaller
                 vehicles be the preferred mode since less passengers need to be transported.
                 Average capacity utilisation ranges from 40% on route KA0229FI to 115% on route
                 KA0170FI.     Routes KA0179FE, KA0189FE, KA0180FE, KA0186FE, KA0206FL and
                 KA0170FI operate at 100% capacity and above, therefore more permits need to be granted
                 on these routes.
                 PTC P4
                 The PTC P4 shows similar passenger volumes as that of P3. The cost model results shows
                 no significant difference in the estimated subsidy between larger and smaller vehicles and it
                 is thus suggested that larger vehicles be the preferred mode.
                 Average capacity utilisation ranges from 40% on route KA0229FI to 100% on route
                 KA0186FE. Routes KA0179FE, KA0189FE, KA0180FE and KA0186FE operate at 100%
                 capacity, therefore more permits need to be granted on these routes.
                 PTC P5
                 PTC P5 between Newcastle and Madadeni and Osizweni carries the highest number of
                 passengers in Amajuba and is the only link between Newcastle and Madadeni and
                 Osizweni. The current level of traffic congestion on this corridor warrants an increase in the
                 usage of public transport in the form of larger vehicles. The cost model assessment
                 however showed the there is no significant difference in the estimated subsidy between
                 larger and smaller vehicles. The current passenger volumes however suggest that larger

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                 vehicles would be the preferred mode and that the use of larger vehicles would result in less
                 traffic on this corridor.
                 Average capacity utilisation ranges from 1.67% (this is on route KA0083FL where a vehicle
                 with an average total capacity of 60 is used to transport 1 person) to 133% on route
                 KA0066FL. Route KA0083FL needs to be passed on to a smaller vehicle. The following
                 routes KA0211FL, KA0088FL, KA0206FL, KA0066FL, KA0136FL, KA0137FL, KA0210FL,
                 KA0213FL, KA0187FE, KA0163FI, KA0063FL, KA0067FL, KAS0094FI, KA0098FI,
                 KA0138FL, KA0147FI, KA0214FL and KA0001FI have an average capacity of 100% up to
                 133%, therefore more permits need to be granted on these routes.
                 PTC P6
                 The assessment of PTC P6 clearly shows the significant difference between estimated
                 subsidy between larger and smaller vehicles. This corridor is also one of the few corridors
                 which shows an under supply in seats for both minibus-taxi and buses. Based on the
                 assessment it is suggested that smaller vehicles be the preferred mode on P6.
                 Average capacity utilisation ranges from 20% on route KA0232FI to 110% on routes
                 KA0163FI and KA0089FI. Routes KA0187FE, KA0163FI and KA0089FI operate at 100%
                 capacity and above, therefore more permits need to be granted on these routes.
                 PTC S1
                 According to the assessment of PTC S1 it is suggested that larger vehicles be the preferred
                 mode. This is based on the difference between the estimated subsidy between buses and
                 minibus-taxis and the fact that larger vehicle type would be able to provide the most cost
                 effective service on PTC S1.
                 Route KA0229FI has an average capacity utilisation of 40%, no more permits needed on
                 this route and route KA0185FE has an average capacity utilisation of 100% and therefore
                 some permits need to be reduced from KA0229FI and passed on to route KA0185FE.
                 PTC S2
                 The assessment for PTC S2 showed similar results as that of S1 and it is therefore
                 suggested that larger vehicles be the preferred mode. This is based on the difference
                 between the estimated subsidy between buses and minibus-taxis and the fact that larger
                 vehicle type would be able to provide the most cost effective service on PTC S2.
                 On this corridor route KA0185FE and KA0187FE operate with a 15 capacity vehicle and
                 have an average capacity utilisation of 100% and therefore more permits need to be
                 granted.
                 PTC S3
                 PTC S3 transports less than 10 000 passengers and the assessment showed that the
                 estimated subsidy required to render an effective service would favour smaller vehicles.
                 Average capacity utilisation ranges from 88% on route KA0051FI to 110% on routes
                 KA0163FI. Routes KA0185FE, KA0187FE, KA0163FI and KA00234FI operate at 100%
                 capacity and above, therefore more permits need to be granted on these routes.
                 PTC S4
                 Although this corridor has been classified as a secondary corridor the passenger volumes
                 on the corridor suggests a much higher priority than initially anticipated. The assessment
                 indicated that based on the current passenger demand and the difference in required
                 subsidy PTC S4 should favour smaller vehicles. The assessment also showed that PTC S4
                 generally has an under supply of seats for both buses and minibus-taxis.
                 Average capacity utilisation ranges from 20% to 142%. Routes KA0088FL, KA0063FL,
                 KA0067FL, KA0094FI, KA0098FI, KA0138FL, KA0147FI, KA0214FL, KA0001FI, KA0097FI

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                 operate at 100% capacity and above, therefore more permits need to be granted on these
                 routes.
                 PTC S5
                 This corridor showed similar results as that of S4. The high passenger volumes on the
                 corridor suggest a much higher priority than initially anticipated. The assessment indicated
                 that the current passenger demand and the difference in required subsidy PTC S4 should
                 favour smaller vehicles. The assessment also showed that PTC S4 generally has an under
                 supply of seats for both buses and minibus-taxis.
                 Average capacity utilisation ranges from 27% to 180% on route KA0056FI. Routes
                 KA0170FI, KA0001FI, KA0056FI and KA0091FL operate at 100% capacity and up to 180%,
                 therefore more permits need to be granted on these routes.
                 PTC S6, S7 and S8
                 The cost assessment for all three of these PTCs showed no significant difference in the
                 estimated subsidy. The low passenger volumes on all three corridors suggest that smaller
                 vehicles be the preferred mode on these corridors.
                 Average capacity utilisation ranges from 20% on route KA0044FE to 115% on route
                 KA0170FI.     Routes KA0180FE, KA0186FE, KA0206FL, KA0170FI, KA0170FI and
                 KA0042FI operate at 100% capacity and up to 115%, therefore more permits need to be
                 granted on these routes.
                 PTC T1 and T3
                 Both PTC T1 and T3 has very low passenger numbers and although the assessment
                 showed that smaller vehicles be the preferred mode no additional permit be allowed on
                 these corridors.
                 Route KA0177FI has an average capacity utilisation of 93% and operating close to capacity,
                 however, no permit need to be granted on this route.
                 PTC T2
                 PTC T2 was initially categorised as a tertiary corridor. The passenger volumes in excess of
                 10000 however suggest that this corridor is in fact more important. The cost assessment
                 also showed that taking into account the difference between estimated subsidies larger
                 vehicles would be the preferred mode of transport on this corridor.
                 Average capacity utilisation ranges from 44% on route KA0092FI to 88% on route
                 KA0164FI, however, no permits need to be granted on these routes.

                 7.3            Rationalisation Strategy

                 It is important not to only target issues affecting the operational aspects of the public
                 transport service but to identify routes and services to be targeted for rationalisation. The
                 aim of the rationalisation plan is to prevent duplications of services on routes, limiting
                 subsidies paid and reduce over and under utilisation of services.
                 The development of the Rationalisation Strategy should have both a short-term focus
                 relating to subsidised interim contracts and current tendered contracts expiring in the near
                 future, and a long-term focus relating to the overall restructuring of the subsidised public
                 transport system as a whole, including rail where applicable.
                 Based on the standard 60 seater and 22 standing bus that was used for the analysis to
                 prepare the Amajuba CPTR, the bus contracts information received, although limited to the
                 month of March, was analysed and summarised. The bus contract information was
                 compared with the bus timetable that was obtained from the KZN Department of Transport.
                 Discrepancies were picked up where some information appeared on the timetables but did
                 not appear on bus contract information and visa-versa. In order to rectify these anomalies

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                 the information contained in this report only applies to that information which appears on
                 both the bus contracts and timetables. It should also be noted that the bus contract
                 information received did not show the subsidy amounts which are received by the various
                 bus operators.
                 The data used to inform the outcomes as list below is attached as Annexure C.
                 In order to meaningfully analyse the received information it was broken down per route
                 description on an origin and destination basis.
                 Description of Routes:
                 The description of routes for the purposes of the report only describes the major roads
                 covered by the specific route. In other words the route description indicates the destination
                 via a certain route.
                 An example of a route description would be as follows:
                 Origin: Annievale
                 Destination: Newcastle
                 Description: via the internal road network of Springboklaagte to Newcastle.
                 % of capacity: 100%
                 The summary is as follows:
                     Contract Number ZNT 1165_99 T, covers areas such as Iscor, Newcastle to Madadeni,
                      Osizweni, Annievale and Durnacol.

                 The following table shows the routes that need some attention as they operate over
                 capacity:

                          Origin                   Destination                  Description                 % of Capacity

                          Surrey                    Newcastle           via Stephenson Street                          109%
                       Newcastle                     Flip Farm          via Stephenson Street                          107%
                          Ama 4                     Newcastle           via Stephenson Street                          107%
                          Currah                    Newcastle                   via Westpoort                          101%


                 All the other routes in this contract operate well within capacity varying from 76% with some
                 routes operating at 100% capacity.
                 In this contract not many trips are overcrowded and in instances where it is occurring it is
                 not of a significant nature. It is therefore recommended that consideration to the granting of
                 additional minibus taxi permits to take up these numbers be considered. Extension of bus
                 subsidies in this scenario will not be feasible due to the relatively low numbers which would
                 not necessarily warrant an additional bus unit.
                     Contract Number ZNT 1166_99 T, cover areas such as Utrecht, Osizweni and
                      Madadeni to Newcastle and Ncandu Park.

                 The following table shows the routes that operate close to capacity:

                            Origin                     Destination                 Description              % of Capacity

                     Newcastle Terminus                New Stands                via Stephenson                        99%
                           Sandown                     Stafford Hill                      -                            99%
                     Newcastle Terminus           Section 4 Power Station                 -                            99%


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                                                                                                             Review Report


                 The following routes operate at capacity:

                          Origin                   Destination            Description                 % of Capacity

                     Ezinkonjaneni            Newcastle Terminus     via Stephenson Street                       100%


                 And all the other remaining 76 routes operate above capacity from 101% to well over
                 capacity at 178%. On average trips on these routes operate at an unacceptable 140% to
                 capacity.
                 In this contract 76 routes are overcrowded and the overcrowding is significant. On average
                 the routes are overcrowded by approximately 33 passengers per trip. In light of this it is
                 recommendation that a 35-seater minibus taxi permit be granted per route or alternatively
                 the operation of a smaller bus type vehicle should it be considered desirable to rather
                 extend an existing subsidy as opposed to granting additional taxi permits.
                      Contract Number ZNT 1167_99 T, cover areas such as Dundee to Annevale and
                       Surrounding Area.
                 The following table shows routes that need some attention as they operate over capacity:

                          Origin                   Destination            Description                 % of Capacity

                         Dundee                      Annievale         via Emasangweni                           101%
                        Annievale                     Dundee          via Rutland/Tayside                        101%
                     Fairbreeze T-off                 Dundee           via Emasangweni                           105%
                         Dundee                      Annievale       via Tayside/Westpoort                       107%
                     Fairbreeze T-off                 Dundee            via Hattingspruit                        105%
                         Dundee                      Annievale       via Tayside/Fairbreeze                      102%
                         Dundee                   Fairbreeze T-off     via Tayside/Banff                         107%
                     Fairbreeze T-off                 Dundee         via Banff/Hattingspruit                     101%


                 All the other routes in this contract operate well within capacity from 74% with some routes
                 operating at 100% capacity.
                 In this contract not many trips are overcrowded and in instances where it is occurring it is
                 not of a significant nature. It is therefore recommended that consideration to the granting of
                 additional minibus taxi permits to take up these numbers be considered. Extension of bus
                 subsidies in this scenario will not be feasible due to the relatively low numbers which would
                 not necessarily warrant an additional bus unit.

                 7.4            Assistance to Local municipalities

                 Projects to assist Local Municipalities should include among others:

                      Consultation with ALL stakeholders including operators (bus taxi & bakkie), PT users,
                       local municipalities, other government departments;

                      Establishing a Section 78 process to assess the capacity and capability of Local
                       Municipalities to be able to implement the proposals - e.g. assigning responsibility to
                       comment on PT operating licence applications, assigning responsibility for the
                       management of PT facilities, investigating the establishment of a transport authority,
                       funding systems, etc;



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                                                                                                                         Review Report


                 7.5            Public Transport Facility Improvements

                 The proposed projects are summarised below for consideration. The prioritisation of these
                 proposals is based on the passenger demand as determined by the CPTR. Criteria should
                 be developed regarding the minimum standards and amenities to be provided at the
                 different public transport facilities. Special requirements to accommodate disable persons
                 should also be included in these standards. For the purposes of the PTP ranks with more
                 than 700 passengers is earmarked for an upgrade and the building of new facilities.
                 Table 7.1: Proposed Public Transport Facility Improvements

                                                       Number of
                           Name of Facility                                Type of Improvement                      Expected Cost
                                                       Passengers

                   Top Rank                               3374        New Ranking facility             > R 1.5 mil

                   Dannhauser Bus Rank                    2595        New Ranking facility             > R 1.5 mil

                   9 Mile Rank                            1738        New Ranking facility             Between R 1 mil and R1.5 mil

                   Madadeni sec 4&5                       1018        New Loading facility             Less than R 1 mil

                   Moyomuhle Rank                         703         New Ranking facility             Between R 1 mil and R 1.5 mil

                   Madadeni Sec 7                         N/A         New Ranking facility             Less than R 1 mil

                   Dannhauser Taxi Rank                   1728        Rank upgrade                     Less than R 1 mil

                   Additional Ranking facility –        >32 000       Additional ranking facility      > R 1.5 mil
                   New Castle Taxi/Bus rank
                   Bus     and   Taxi    rank   at        N/A         New Ranking facility             Less than R1 mil
                   Amantungwa
                   Shelters and seating at pick           N/A         Shelters and seating             Less than R 1 mil
                   points on PT routes in rural
                   areas



                 The location of minibus-taxi facilities are normally identified spontaneously by minibus-taxi
                 operators wherever open space is available and where it is convenient for their business to
                 draw as many passengers as possible. Little consideration is given to the areas already
                 identified through the town planning scheme as possible public transport facilities or to the
                 actual ownership of these open space they occupy. Any future locations of minibus-taxi
                 facilities should be done in accordance with the town planning scheme and suitable land
                 identified by both local municipalities and public transport operators.

                 7.6            Road Infrastructure Improvements

                 The identification of these road infrastructure improvements in based on the need to
                 increase accessibility to certain communities, passengers demand and reducing the
                 distance passengers need to travel and passenger volumes on a road. The proposed
                 projects are summarised below.
                 Table 7.2: Proposed Road Infrastructure Improvements

                                           Local                                                                                    Estimated
                     Road No                              Distance    Passengers          Type of Improvement
                                        Municipality                                                                                   Cost

                   P272             Dannhauser            25km        > 21 000         Upgrade and maintenance                  > R 10 000
                                                                                                                                000
                   New Road         Newcastle             5km         >     15   000   New          Road       between          > R 10 000
                                                                      expected         Madadeni      and     Newcastle          000
                                                                                       industrial area including the
                                                                                       upgrade         of       current
                                                                                       pedestrian          bridge        to
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                                                                                                                         Review Report


                                                                                      accommodate vehicles

                   New Road          Newcastle           15km          > 5 000        New road between 9 Mile              > R 10 000
                                                                                      and Kilbargan to allow for           000
                                                                                      direct access to mines in the
                                                                                      area
                   New Road          Utrecht             45km          > 1 500        New road between Utrecht             > R 50 000
                                                                                      and     Wakkerstroom          to     000
                                                                                      encourage           economic
                                                                                      development in Utrecht and
                                                                                      accommodate         passenger
                                                                                      needs
                   Knights Hill      Utrecht             N/A           N/A            Surfacing of gravel passes           < R 10 000
                   and Burgers                                                        to improve accessibility             000
                   passess
                   Road              Utrecht             N/A           N/A            Re-opening    of    the    road      < R 5 000 000
                   between                                                            between Iscor and Utrecht
                   ICOR      and                                                      via Kruger bridge
                   Utrech
                   Access            Utrecht             N/A           N/A            Upgrading existing access            < R 10 000
                   Road         to                                                    road                                 000
                   Nzima



                 7.7            Additional Planning Projects

                 The PTP is aimed at improving public transport and making it more accessible the all PT
                 users. The information contained in the CPTR and the PTP however do not allow for detail
                 assessments on major public transport corridors. Several PTC have been identified for
                 further Public Transport related planning projects and are summarised below:
                 Table 7.3: Additional Planning Projects

                 Public Transport Corridor ID                          Passenger Volumes         Expected Cost

                 P02 (Newcastle Municipal Area)                        > 35 000                  Between R 200 000 and R 300 000

                 P05 and P06 (Newcastle to Utrecht via MR483)          > 55 000                  Between R 350 000 and R 500 000

                 S04 (Osizweni to Mdakane)                             > 21 000                  Between R 200 000 and R 300 000

                 S05 (Mdakane to Dannhauser)                           > 15 000                  Between R 200 000 and R 300 000

                 T02 (Mdakane to P34-2)                                > 10 000                  Between R 200 000 and R 300 000

                 /investigation input the Feasibility of reinstating   > 20 000                  Between R 350 000 and R 500 000
                 the Commuter rail service




       8         STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION
                 8.1            Consultations and Workshops

                 This section of the report will be completed at the end of the process to ensure that all
                 consultation is accurately recorded.




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                                                                                                             Review Report



       9         PRIORITISED PUBLIC TRANSPORT PROPOSALS
                 Information required to do a detailed assessment and prioritisation of projects and proposals
                 was not available as part of preparing the CPTR or PTP. Because of insufficient data as a
                 result of the prescribed process followed during the data collection phase of the CPTR no
                 information is available to prepare a list of quantitative prioritised multi-modal transport
                 proposals.
                 Therefore a method has been developed to at least attempt to prioritise listed projects and
                 proposals. It is however suggested that the different projects and proposals are prioritised at
                 least according to the following five factors:
                     Number of daily passenger that are using the facility (road, rank, etc.);

                     The importance of rural upliftment; (high, medium, limited; this is a judgement)
                     A cost factor, (cost per capita using, benefits, etc); the higher the return on the
                      investment the higher the likelihood to implement the project; (high, medium, low; this is
                      an estimate)

                     Improvement of safety aspects; (High, medium or low; this is a judgement)

                     Level of sophistication required to implement the project; (high, medium, low; this is a
                      judgement)

                 The above are presented in Chapter 10.

       10        FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS
                 The list below provides guidelines to the different spheres of government regarding the
                 prioritisation and possible financial implications of the projects and proposals identified
                 through the PTP. It is important to mention that no funding has been allocated to any of
                 these projects and possible sources of funding should be determined at an appropriate time.
                 The estimated cost for implementing the different projects is purely an indication of what the
                 cost could be and how much funding is required to implement the identified projects. Funds
                 are limited over the next few years because of the DM dealing with a backlog of projects.
                 The table gives an estimation of project proposals and project costs. An attempt to prioritise
                 the projects was also done using the criteria mentioned in Chapter 9. The following ranking
                 criteria are suggested:
                     A: Projects are extremely important. Funding to be allocated within the next three
                      years;
                     B: Projects are important. Funding needs to be allocated between three and 5 years
                      form now;
                     C: Projects are required but due to more important projects, these may be funded after
                      year 5.
                 
                 In Table 10.1 shows the list of projects. Funding has not been allocated to any of these
                 projects. This must change once these have been included into the Amajuba IDP.




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                                                                                                                                                     Review Report


                  Table 10.1: Project Proposals

                                                                                                       Project Estimated Cost
                                                                                                                                                Local                         Funding
                                                                                                                                    Project
                                        Name of Project                          Type of project                                               Municipal    Responsibility    Allocated
                                                                                                     Minimum        Maximum         Priority
                                                                                                                                                 area                         (Yes/No)

               Workshops with Taxi Operators                                    State of Readiness      R 20,000         R 40,000      A        Amajuba            DM            No

               Workshops with Bus Operators                                     State of Readiness      R 20,000         R 40,000      A        Amajuba            DM            No

               Section 78 Assessment                                            State of Readiness     R 500,000        R 500,000      A        Amajuba            DM            No

               Top rank: New ranking Facility                                   Facility              R 2,000,000     R 2,000,000      B       Newcastle           LM            No

               Dannhauser Bus Rnk: New bus rank                                 Facility              R 2,500,000     R 2,500,000      B       Dannhauser          LM            No

               9 Mile Rank: New Ranking facility                                Facility              R 1,000,000     R 1,500,000      B       Newcastle           LM            No

               Madadeni Sec 4 & 5: New ranking Facility                         Facility               R 750,000      R 1,000,000      C       Newcastle           LM            No

               Moyomuhle Rank: New ranking facility                             Facility              R 1,000,000     R 1,500,000      B       Newcastle           LM            No

               Madadeni Sec 7: New ranking facility                             Facility               R 750,000      R 1,000,000      C       Newcastle           LM            No

               Dannhauser taxi rank: Rank upgrade                               Facility               R 500,000        R 750,000      C       Dannhauser          LM            No

               P272                                                             Road                  R 5,000,000    R 10,000,000      A       Newcastle      KZN DOT            No

               Madadeni Bridge link                                             Road/Bridge          R 10,000,000    R 20,000,000      A       Newcastle      KZN DOT            No

               9 Mile to Kilbargan                                              Road                 R 10,000,000    R 15,000,000      B       Newcastle      KZN DOT            No

               Utrecht to Wakkerstroom                                          Road                 R 50,000,000    R 60,000,000      A        Utrecht           ARUPP         Yes

               Public Transport Corridor Study 1: P02                           Planning               R 200,000        R 300,000      A        Amajuba            DM            No

               Public Transport Corridor Study 2: P05 and P06                   Planning               R 350,000        R 500,000      A        Amajuba            DM            No

               Public Transport Corridor Study 3: S4                            Planning               R 200,000        R 300,000      A        Amajuba            DM            No

               Public Transport Corridor Study 4: S5                            Planning               R 200,000        R 300,000      A        Amajuba            DM            No

               Public Transport Corridor Study 4: T02                           Planning               R 200,000        R 300,000      A        Amajuba            DM            No

               Surface Knights Hill and Burgers Passes                          Road                  R 4,000,000     R 4,200,000      A        Utrecht            LM            No

               Re-open Iscor Utrecht Road                                       Road                  R 3,000,000     R 3,600,000      A        Utrecht       LM & DM            No

               Nzima access road                                                Road                  R 7,000,000     R 7,200,000      A        Utrecht            LM            No

               Public transport facility at Amantungwa                          Facility               R 800,000      R 1,200,000      C        Utrecht            LM            No

               Shelters and seats at pickup points                              Facility               R 600,000        R 800,000      C        Utrecht            LM            No

               Feasibility study into reinstatement of rail commuter services   Planning               R 300,000        R 500,000      C        Amajuba            LM            No




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