EMF26 model

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EMF26 model Powered By Docstoc
					General Instructions
Please enter data for submittal to EMF into the Data tab. The tab is formatted precisely for input into an EMF chart ge
variable names, scenario names, sector names, column headers, tab titles, or units. Please also do not insert any a

This study will be primarily focused on the United States (USA). If you are able to report data for other regions, or if yo
please specficy the appropriate country in the "Identification" worksheet. If you are returning results for multiple regio
please discuss with the EMF staff.
Due to the number of modeling teams and the amount of data collected, the EMF staff would greatly apprecia
instructions:

1. Please report in 5-year increments beginning in 2010 and ending in 2050 or the last year your model reports.


2. Please try to report a value for 2010 for each variable. This step helps to establish some consistency across model


3. If you cannot report a value for 2010, please report data for another base year. Indicate that base year in the "Ident
year values if you report 2010 values.

4. Please submit data for all scenarios on the same "Data" worksheet. Please do not insert any completely blank row
variable, you do not need to enter any values under the 2010-2050 columns.

5. Please use the scenario naming conventions provided on the Protocol tab.
Data should be submitted to Hill Huntington at hillh@stanford.edu by the target date [APRIL30].
If you have questions or comments about the template, please contact Hill Huntington (hillh@stanford.edu).


Tab Descriptions
Tab                   Notes/Instructions
Identification        Please fill in your model's name, your organization's name, the submitter's name, and the date o
                      base year, if applicable. Also, in the General Comments field, please include any information yo
                      scenario. This could include story lines or descriptions of the policies included.
Scenarios             This tab describes the scenarios in the study and their naming conventions.
Variables             This tab provides definitions and reporting conventions for each variable in the worksheet.
Data                  On this tab you should fill out model results for ALL scenarios. If the base year for your model is
Data Check            Please use this sheet only if helpful. This tab indicates possible discrepancies in your data w
                      2010 reference value is compared with EIA's 2010 value. After 2010, the red cells indicate large
a tab. The tab is formatted precisely for input into an EMF chart generation program. Please do not change
lumn headers, tab titles, or units. Please also do not insert any additional blank rows in the Data spreadsheet

tates (USA). If you are able to report data for other regions, or if your model does not cover the United States,
tification" worksheet. If you are returning results for multiple regions (e.g., the United States and Canada),


 mount of data collected, the EMF staff would greatly appreciate your compliance with the following



2010 and ending in 2050 or the last year your model reports.


 able. This step helps to establish some consistency across models.


ort data for another base year. Indicate that base year in the "Identification" worksheet. Please do not report base


e "Data" worksheet. Please do not insert any completely blank rows or any new variables. If you do not report a
 the 2010-2050 columns.

 vided on the Protocol tab.
hillh@stanford.edu by the target date [APRIL30].
 ate, please contact Hill Huntington (hillh@stanford.edu).




me, your organization's name, the submitter's name, and the date of the submission. Please indicate country and
  in the General Comments field, please include any information you think is necessary for understanding your
 tory lines or descriptions of the policies included.
 ios in the study and their naming conventions.
  nd reporting conventions for each variable in the worksheet.
 model results for ALL scenarios. If the base year for your model is not 2010, you should indicate the base year in
f helpful. This tab indicates possible discrepancies in your data with dark red type and light red background. The
 ared with EIA's 2010 value. After 2010, the red cells indicate large changes between each five-year intervals.
Identification Data

Model:                              Please enter here.
Organization:                       Please enter here.
Submitted by:                       Please enter here.
Date:                               Please enter here.
Country                             United States
Base Year (if 2010 is not reported) Base



General Comments

Please enter here.
Scenario Descriptions
  See EMF 26 Study Design for additional details.
  Results from Modeler's Choice case do not need to be reported because these results will not be compared with o

Scenario 1: Reference
• Excludes any new energy or environmental policies after 2011.
• AEO 2011 or 2012 reference case for oil prices and economic growth unless overridden by modeler judgement.

Scenario 2: High Shale
• Represent AEO 2011 High Shale estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) case directly.
• Or decrease the height (price dimension) of the total U.S. natural gas supply curve for each year by 25 percent below
• Use Reference economic growth conditions.

Scenario 3: High Growth
• Increase the growth rate of real GDP by 0.5 percentage points per year, or from 2.7 to 3.2 percent based upon the EI
• Please reference study design for changes by different economic sectors and industries.
• Use Reference natural gas supply functions (conditions).

Scenario 4: Shale Growth
• Combine High Shale and High Growth assumptions together to replace reference natural gas supply and economic g

Scenario 5: Carbon
• Set carbon dioxide costs equal to $25 per metric tonne in 2020 and increase its real cost by 5% each year.
• Otherwise, use Reference case assumptions.

Scenario 6: Shale Carbon
• Combine High Shale and Carbon assumptions together.

Scenario 7: High Exports
• Increase LNG exports for the United States by 1 Bcf/day in 2015 and by an additional 1 Bcf/day each following yea
• Otherwise, use Reference case assumptions.
 t be compared with other models.




odeler judgement.




 ar by 25 percent below their reference case values beginning in 2015.




 ent based upon the EIA reference case.




supply and economic growth.


% each year.




 ay each following year until 2020.
Variable Definitions
Please report on the "Data" worksheet all variables that you can. The definitions for the variables reported should be
definitions. If your reported variable differs in scope or definition from AEO 2011, please provide the appropriate de
text. Do not modify the variable names in the Data worksheet.

Sector         Variable                 Units          2010 (EIA)
USA            Real GDP                 billion 2005$       13088
USA            Imported Crude Oil Price 2010$/barrel         75.87
USA            Gas Wellhead Price       2010$/Mcf             4.16
USA            Electricity Price        2010¢ /KWH             9.8
USA            Gasoline Price           2010$/mmbtu          22.59
Electricity    Natural Gas Price        2010$/mmbtu           5.14
Electricity    Coal Price               2010$/mmbtu           2.25
Primary        Petroleum/Liquids        quadrillion Btu      37.25
Primary        Natural Gas              quadrillion Btu      24.71
Primary        Coal                     quadrillion Btu      20.76
Primary        Nuclear                  quadrillion Btu       8.44
Primary        Hydropower               quadrillion Btu       2.51
Primary        Biomass                  quadrillion Btu       2.88
Primary        Other Renewable          quadrillion Btu       1.34
Primary        Total                    quadrillion Btu      98.16
Electricity    Natural Gas              quadrillion Btu       7.54
Electricity    Coal                     quadrillion Btu      19.13
Electricity    Nuclear                  quadrillion Btu       8.44
Electricity    Renewable                quadrillion Btu       3.85
Electricity    Total                    quadrillion Btu      39.63
Industrial     Liquids                  quadrillion Btu       8.05
Industrial     Natural Gas              quadrillion Btu       8.14
Industrial     Coal                     quadrillion Btu       1.56
Industrial     Biofuels                 quadrillion Btu       0.84
Industrial     Renewable                quadrillion Btu        1.5
Industrial     Electricity              quadrillion Btu       3.28
Industrial     Total Delivered          quadrillion Btu      23.37
Transportation Liquids                  quadrillion Btu      26.88
Transportation Natural Gas              quadrillion Btu       0.69
Emissions      CO2                      million tonnes     5633.6
Emissions      NOx                      Thou. Tons          16339
Emissions      SO2                      Thou. Tons          11429
USA            Dry Gas Production       Tcf                  21.58
USA            Total Imports            Tcf                   3.71
USA            LNG Imports              Tcf                   0.43
USA            Total Exports            Tcf                   1.14
USA            LNG Exports              Tcf                   0.06
e definitions for the variables reported should be consistent with the AEO 2011
om AEO 2011, please provide the appropriate description below in column F in red



           Description


           Henry Hub price permissable but please specify here
           Average delivered price
           Average delivered price
           Average delivered price for all users permissable but please indicate here
           Average delivered price for all users permissable but please indicate here
           Includes ethanol, biodiesel, and coal-based synthetic liquids.

           Excludes coal converted to coal-based synthetic liquids and natural gas.


           Excludes the energy content of any liquid fuels from wood, waste and biofuels.
           Excludes Hydropower and Biomass




           Includes lease & plant fuel




           Includes pipelines & compressed natural gas
           Metric tonnes
           Value for 2008, not 2010; Source: US Statisical Abstract.
           Value for 2008, not 2010; Source: US Statisical Abstract.
Model             Scenario     Sector           Variable                Unit              Base
Please enter here.Reference    USA              Real GDP                billion 2005$
Please enter here.Reference    USA              Imported Crude Oil Price2010$/barrel
Please enter here.Reference    USA              Gas Wellhead Price      2010$/Mcf
Please enter here.Reference    USA              Electricity Price       2010¢ /KWH
Please enter here.Reference    USA              Gasoline Price          2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Reference    Electricity      Natural Gas Price       2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Reference    Electricity      Coal Price              2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Reference    Primary          Petroleum/Liquids       quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Primary          Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Primary          Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Primary          Nuclear                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Primary          Hydropower              quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Primary          Biomass                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Primary          Other Renewable         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Primary          Total                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Electricity      Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Electricity      Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Electricity      Nuclear                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Electricity      Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Electricity      Total                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Industrial       Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Industrial       Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Industrial       Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Industrial       Biofuels                quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Industrial       Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Industrial       Electricity             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Industrial       Total Delivered         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Transportation   Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Transportation   Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference    Emissions        CO2                     million tonnes
Please enter here.Reference    Emissions        NOx                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.Reference    Emissions        SO2                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.Reference    USA              Dry Gas Production      Tcf
Please enter here.Reference    USA              Total Imports           Tcf
Please enter here.Reference    USA              LNG Imports             Tcf
Please enter here.Reference    USA              Total Exports           Tcf
Please enter here.Reference    USA              LNG Exports             Tcf
Please enter here.High Shale   USA              Real GDP                billion 2005$
Please enter here.High Shale   USA              Imported Crude Oil Price2010$/barrel
Please enter here.High Shale   USA              Gas Wellhead Price      2010$/Mcf
Please enter here.High Shale   USA              Electricity Price       2010¢ /KWH
Please enter here.High Shale   USA              Gasoline Price          2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.High Shale   Electricity      Natural Gas Price       2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.High Shale   Electricity      Coal Price              2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.High Shale   Primary          Petroleum/Liquids       quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale   Primary          Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale   Primary          Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale   Primary          Nuclear                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale   Primary          Hydropower              quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale   Primary          Biomass                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale   Primary          Other Renewable         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale   Primary          Total                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale   Electricity      Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale   Electricity      Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Electricity      Nuclear                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Electricity      Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Electricity      Total                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Industrial       Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Industrial       Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Industrial       Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Industrial       Biofuels                quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Industrial       Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Industrial       Electricity             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Industrial       Total Delivered         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Transportation   Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Transportation   Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Emissions        CO2                     million tonnes
Please enter here.High Shale    Emissions        NOx                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.High Shale    Emissions        SO2                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.High Shale    USA              Dry Gas Production      Tcf
Please enter here.High Shale    USA              Total Imports           Tcf
Please enter here.High Shale    USA              LNG Imports             Tcf
Please enter here.High Shale    USA              Total Exports           Tcf
Please enter here.High Shale    USA              LNG Exports             Tcf
Please enter here.High Growth   USA              Real GDP                billion 2005$
Please enter here.High Growth   USA              Imported Crude Oil Price2010$/barrel
Please enter here.High Growth   USA              Gas Wellhead Price      2010$/Mcf
Please enter here.High Growth   USA              Electricity Price       2010¢ /KWH
Please enter here.High Growth   USA              Gasoline Price          2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.High Growth   Electricity      Natural Gas Price       2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.High Growth   Electricity      Coal Price              2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.High Growth   Primary          Petroleum/Liquids       quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Primary          Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Primary          Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Primary          Nuclear                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Primary          Hydropower              quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Primary          Biomass                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Primary          Other Renewable         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Primary          Total                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Electricity      Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Electricity      Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Electricity      Nuclear                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Electricity      Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Electricity      Total                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Industrial       Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Industrial       Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Industrial       Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Industrial       Biofuels                quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Industrial       Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Industrial       Electricity             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Industrial       Total Delivered         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Transportation   Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Transportation   Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Emissions        CO2                     million tonnes
Please enter here.High Growth   Emissions        NOx                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.High Growth   Emissions        SO2                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.High Growth   USA              Dry Gas Production      Tcf
Please enter here.High Growth   USA              Total Imports           Tcf
Please enter here.High Growth   USA              LNG Imports             Tcf
Please enter here.High Growth    USA              Total Exports           Tcf
Please enter here.High Growth    USA              LNG Exports             Tcf
Please enter here.Shale Growth   USA              Real GDP                billion 2005$
Please enter here.Shale Growth   USA              Imported Crude Oil Price2010$/barrel
Please enter here.Shale Growth   USA              Gas Wellhead Price      2010$/Mcf
Please enter here.Shale Growth   USA              Electricity Price       2010¢ /KWH
Please enter here.Shale Growth   USA              Gasoline Price          2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Electricity      Natural Gas Price       2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Electricity      Coal Price              2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Primary          Petroleum/Liquids       quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Primary          Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Primary          Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Primary          Nuclear                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Primary          Hydropower              quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Primary          Biomass                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Primary          Other Renewable         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Primary          Total                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Electricity      Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Electricity      Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Electricity      Nuclear                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Electricity      Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Electricity      Total                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Industrial       Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Industrial       Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Industrial       Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Industrial       Biofuels                quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Industrial       Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Industrial       Electricity             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Industrial       Total Delivered         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Transportation   Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Transportation   Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Emissions        CO2                     million tonnes
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Emissions        NOx                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Emissions        SO2                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.Shale Growth   USA              Dry Gas Production      Tcf
Please enter here.Shale Growth   USA              Total Imports           Tcf
Please enter here.Shale Growth   USA              LNG Imports             Tcf
Please enter here.Shale Growth   USA              Total Exports           Tcf
Please enter here.Shale Growth   USA              LNG Exports             Tcf
Please enter here.Carbon         USA              Real GDP                billion 2005$
Please enter here.Carbon         USA              Imported Crude Oil Price2010$/barrel
Please enter here.Carbon         USA              Gas Wellhead Price      2010$/Mcf
Please enter here.Carbon         USA              Electricity Price       2010¢ /KWH
Please enter here.Carbon         USA              Gasoline Price          2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Carbon         Electricity      Natural Gas Price       2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Carbon         Electricity      Coal Price              2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Carbon         Primary          Petroleum/Liquids       quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Primary          Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Primary          Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Primary          Nuclear                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Primary          Hydropower              quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Primary          Biomass                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Primary          Other Renewable         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Primary          Total                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Electricity      Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Electricity      Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Electricity      Nuclear                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Electricity      Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Electricity      Total                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Industrial       Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Industrial       Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Industrial       Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Industrial       Biofuels                quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Industrial       Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Industrial       Electricity             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Industrial       Total Delivered         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Transportation   Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Transportation   Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Emissions        CO2                     million tonnes
Please enter here.Carbon         Emissions        NOx                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.Carbon         Emissions        SO2                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.Carbon         USA              Dry Gas Production      Tcf
Please enter here.Carbon         USA              Total Imports           Tcf
Please enter here.Carbon         USA              LNG Imports             Tcf
Please enter here.Carbon         USA              Total Exports           Tcf
Please enter here.Carbon         USA              LNG Exports             Tcf
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   USA              Real GDP                billion 2005$
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   USA              Imported Crude Oil Price2010$/barrel
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   USA              Gas Wellhead Price      2010$/Mcf
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   USA              Electricity Price       2010¢ /KWH
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   USA              Gasoline Price          2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Electricity      Natural Gas Price       2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Electricity      Coal Price              2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Primary          Petroleum/Liquids       quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Primary          Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Primary          Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Primary          Nuclear                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Primary          Hydropower              quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Primary          Biomass                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Primary          Other Renewable         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Primary          Total                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Electricity      Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Electricity      Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Electricity      Nuclear                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Electricity      Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Electricity      Total                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Industrial       Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Industrial       Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Industrial       Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Industrial       Biofuels                quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Industrial       Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Industrial       Electricity             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Industrial       Total Delivered         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Transportation   Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Transportation   Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Emissions        CO2                     million tonnes
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Emissions        NOx                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Emissions        SO2                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   USA              Dry Gas Production      Tcf
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   USA              Total Imports           Tcf
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   USA              LNG Imports             Tcf
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   USA              Total Exports           Tcf
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   USA              LNG Exports             Tcf
Please enter here.High Exports   USA              Real GDP                billion 2005$
Please enter here.High Exports   USA              Imported Crude Oil Price2010$/barrel
Please enter here.High Exports   USA              Gas Wellhead Price      2010$/Mcf
Please enter here.High Exports   USA              Electricity Price       2010¢ /KWH
Please enter here.High Exports   USA              Gasoline Price          2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.High Exports   Electricity      Natural Gas Price    2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.High Exports   Electricity      Coal Price           2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.High Exports   Primary          Petroleum/Liquids    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Primary          Natural Gas          quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Primary          Coal                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Primary          Nuclear              quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Primary          Hydropower           quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Primary          Biomass              quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Primary          Other Renewable      quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Primary          Total                quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Electricity      Natural Gas          quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Electricity      Coal                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Electricity      Nuclear              quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Electricity      Renewable            quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Electricity      Total                quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Industrial       Liquids              quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Industrial       Natural Gas          quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Industrial       Coal                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Industrial       Biofuels             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Industrial       Renewable            quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Industrial       Electricity          quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Industrial       Total Delivered      quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Transportation   Liquids              quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Transportation   Natural Gas          quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Emissions        CO2                  million tonnes
Please enter here.High Exports   Emissions        NOx                  Thou. Tons
Please enter here.High Exports   Emissions        SO2                  Thou. Tons
Please enter here.High Exports   USA              Dry Gas Production   Tcf
Please enter here.High Exports   USA              Total Imports        Tcf
Please enter here.High Exports   USA              LNG Imports          Tcf
Please enter here.High Exports   USA              Total Exports        Tcf
Please enter here.High Exports   USA              LNG Exports          Tcf
2010   2015   2020   2025   2030   2035   2040   2045
2050
Checks Data:      Red cell indicates a possible error in the reported value.
                  2010 value is different from EIA's 2010 value by more than                    10%
                  2015-2050 value is different from preceding value by more than                33%
Model             Scenario        Sector           Variable                  Unit              Base
Please enter here.Reference       USA              Real GDP                  billion 2005$
Please enter here.Reference       USA              Imported Crude Oil Price2010$/barrel
Please enter here.Reference       USA              Gas Wellhead Price        2010$/Mcf
Please enter here.Reference       USA              Electricity Price         2010¢ /KWH
Please enter here.Reference       USA              Gasoline Price            2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Reference       Electricity      Natural Gas Price         2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Reference       Electricity      Coal Price                2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Reference       Primary          Petroleum/Liquids         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference       Primary          Natural Gas               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference       Primary          Coal                      quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference       Primary          Nuclear                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference       Primary          Hydropower                quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference       Primary          Biomass                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference       Primary          Other Renewable           quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference       Primary          Total                     quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference       Electricity      Natural Gas               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference       Electricity      Coal                      quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference       Electricity      Nuclear                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference       Electricity      Renewable                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference       Electricity      Total                     quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference       Industrial       Liquids                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference       Industrial       Natural Gas               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference       Industrial       Coal                      quadrillion Btu
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Please enter here.Reference       Industrial       Electricity               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference       Industrial       Total Delivered           quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference       Transportation Liquids                     quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference       Transportation Natural Gas                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Reference       Emissions        CO2                       million tonnes
Please enter here.Reference       Emissions        NOx                       Thou. Tons
Please enter here.Reference       Emissions        SO2                       Thou. Tons
Please enter here.Reference       USA              Dry Gas Production        Tcf
Please enter here.Reference       USA              Total Imports             Tcf
Please enter here.Reference       USA              LNG Imports               Tcf
Please enter here.Reference       USA              Total Exports             Tcf
Please enter here.Reference       USA              LNG Exports               Tcf
Please enter here.High Shale      USA              Real GDP                  billion 2005$
Please enter here.High Shale      USA              Imported Crude Oil Price2010$/barrel
Please enter here.High Shale      USA              Gas Wellhead Price        2010$/Mcf
Please enter here.High Shale      USA              Electricity Price         2010¢ /KWH
Please enter here.High Shale      USA              Gasoline Price            2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.High Shale      Electricity      Natural Gas Price         2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.High Shale      Electricity      Coal Price                2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.High Shale      Primary          Petroleum/Liquids         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale      Primary          Natural Gas               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale      Primary          Coal                      quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale      Primary          Nuclear                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale      Primary          Hydropower                quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale      Primary          Biomass                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale      Primary          Other Renewable           quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale      Primary          Total                     quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Electricity      Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Electricity      Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Electricity      Nuclear                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Electricity      Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Electricity      Total                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Industrial       Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Industrial       Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Industrial       Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Industrial       Biofuels                quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Industrial       Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Industrial       Electricity             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Industrial       Total Delivered         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Transportation   Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Transportation   Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Shale    Emissions        CO2                     million tonnes
Please enter here.High Shale    Emissions        NOx                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.High Shale    Emissions        SO2                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.High Shale    USA              Dry Gas Production      Tcf
Please enter here.High Shale    USA              Total Imports           Tcf
Please enter here.High Shale    USA              LNG Imports             Tcf
Please enter here.High Shale    USA              Total Exports           Tcf
Please enter here.High Shale    USA              LNG Exports             Tcf
Please enter here.High Growth   USA              Real GDP                billion 2005$
Please enter here.High Growth   USA              Imported Crude Oil Price2010$/barrel
Please enter here.High Growth   USA              Gas Wellhead Price      2010$/Mcf
Please enter here.High Growth   USA              Electricity Price       2010¢ /KWH
Please enter here.High Growth   USA              Gasoline Price          2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.High Growth   Electricity      Natural Gas Price       2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.High Growth   Electricity      Coal Price              2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.High Growth   Primary          Petroleum/Liquids       quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Primary          Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Primary          Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Primary          Nuclear                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Primary          Hydropower              quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Primary          Biomass                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Primary          Other Renewable         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Primary          Total                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Electricity      Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Electricity      Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Electricity      Nuclear                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Electricity      Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Electricity      Total                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Industrial       Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Industrial       Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Industrial       Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Industrial       Biofuels                quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Industrial       Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Industrial       Electricity             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Industrial       Total Delivered         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Transportation   Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Transportation   Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Growth   Emissions        CO2                     million tonnes
Please enter here.High Growth   Emissions        NOx                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.High Growth   Emissions        SO2                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.High Growth   USA              Dry Gas Production      Tcf
Please enter here.High Growth    USA              Total Imports           Tcf
Please enter here.High Growth    USA              LNG Imports             Tcf
Please enter here.High Growth    USA              Total Exports           Tcf
Please enter here.High Growth    USA              LNG Exports             Tcf
Please enter here.Shale Growth   USA              Real GDP                billion 2005$
Please enter here.Shale Growth   USA              Imported Crude Oil Price2010$/barrel
Please enter here.Shale Growth   USA              Gas Wellhead Price      2010$/Mcf
Please enter here.Shale Growth   USA              Electricity Price       2010¢ /KWH
Please enter here.Shale Growth   USA              Gasoline Price          2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Electricity      Natural Gas Price       2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Electricity      Coal Price              2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Primary          Petroleum/Liquids       quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Primary          Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Primary          Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Primary          Nuclear                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Primary          Hydropower              quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Primary          Biomass                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Primary          Other Renewable         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Primary          Total                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Electricity      Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Electricity      Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Electricity      Nuclear                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Electricity      Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Electricity      Total                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Industrial       Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Industrial       Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Industrial       Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Industrial       Biofuels                quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Industrial       Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Industrial       Electricity             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Industrial       Total Delivered         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Transportation   Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Transportation   Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Emissions        CO2                     million tonnes
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Emissions        NOx                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.Shale Growth   Emissions        SO2                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.Shale Growth   USA              Dry Gas Production      Tcf
Please enter here.Shale Growth   USA              Total Imports           Tcf
Please enter here.Shale Growth   USA              LNG Imports             Tcf
Please enter here.Shale Growth   USA              Total Exports           Tcf
Please enter here.Shale Growth   USA              LNG Exports             Tcf
Please enter here.Carbon         USA              Real GDP                billion 2005$
Please enter here.Carbon         USA              Imported Crude Oil Price2010$/barrel
Please enter here.Carbon         USA              Gas Wellhead Price      2010$/Mcf
Please enter here.Carbon         USA              Electricity Price       2010¢ /KWH
Please enter here.Carbon         USA              Gasoline Price          2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Carbon         Electricity      Natural Gas Price       2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Carbon         Electricity      Coal Price              2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Carbon         Primary          Petroleum/Liquids       quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Primary          Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Primary          Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Primary          Nuclear                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Primary          Hydropower              quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Primary          Biomass                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Primary          Other Renewable         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Primary          Total                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Electricity      Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Electricity      Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Electricity      Nuclear                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Electricity      Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Electricity      Total                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Industrial       Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Industrial       Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Industrial       Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Industrial       Biofuels                quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Industrial       Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Industrial       Electricity             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Industrial       Total Delivered         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Transportation   Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Transportation   Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Carbon         Emissions        CO2                     million tonnes
Please enter here.Carbon         Emissions        NOx                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.Carbon         Emissions        SO2                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.Carbon         USA              Dry Gas Production      Tcf
Please enter here.Carbon         USA              Total Imports           Tcf
Please enter here.Carbon         USA              LNG Imports             Tcf
Please enter here.Carbon         USA              Total Exports           Tcf
Please enter here.Carbon         USA              LNG Exports             Tcf
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   USA              Real GDP                billion 2005$
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   USA              Imported Crude Oil Price2010$/barrel
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   USA              Gas Wellhead Price      2010$/Mcf
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   USA              Electricity Price       2010¢ /KWH
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   USA              Gasoline Price          2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Electricity      Natural Gas Price       2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Electricity      Coal Price              2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Primary          Petroleum/Liquids       quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Primary          Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Primary          Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Primary          Nuclear                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Primary          Hydropower              quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Primary          Biomass                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Primary          Other Renewable         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Primary          Total                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Electricity      Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Electricity      Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Electricity      Nuclear                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Electricity      Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Electricity      Total                   quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Industrial       Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Industrial       Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Industrial       Coal                    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Industrial       Biofuels                quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Industrial       Renewable               quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Industrial       Electricity             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Industrial       Total Delivered         quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Transportation   Liquids                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Transportation   Natural Gas             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Emissions        CO2                     million tonnes
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Emissions        NOx                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   Emissions        SO2                     Thou. Tons
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   USA              Dry Gas Production      Tcf
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   USA              Total Imports           Tcf
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   USA              LNG Imports             Tcf
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   USA              Total Exports           Tcf
Please enter here.Shale Carbon   USA              LNG Exports             Tcf
Please enter here.High Exports   USA              Real GDP                billion 2005$
Please enter here.High Exports   USA              Imported Crude Oil Price2010$/barrel
Please enter here.High Exports   USA              Gas Wellhead Price      2010$/Mcf
Please enter here.High Exports   USA              Electricity Price    2010¢ /KWH
Please enter here.High Exports   USA              Gasoline Price       2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.High Exports   Electricity      Natural Gas Price    2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.High Exports   Electricity      Coal Price           2010$/mmbtu
Please enter here.High Exports   Primary          Petroleum/Liquids    quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Primary          Natural Gas          quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Primary          Coal                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Primary          Nuclear              quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Primary          Hydropower           quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Primary          Biomass              quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Primary          Other Renewable      quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Primary          Total                quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Electricity      Natural Gas          quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Electricity      Coal                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Electricity      Nuclear              quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Electricity      Renewable            quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Electricity      Total                quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Industrial       Liquids              quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Industrial       Natural Gas          quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Industrial       Coal                 quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Industrial       Biofuels             quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Industrial       Renewable            quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Industrial       Electricity          quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Industrial       Total Delivered      quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Transportation   Liquids              quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Transportation   Natural Gas          quadrillion Btu
Please enter here.High Exports   Emissions        CO2                  million tonnes
Please enter here.High Exports   Emissions        NOx                  Thou. Tons
Please enter here.High Exports   Emissions        SO2                  Thou. Tons
Please enter here.High Exports   USA              Dry Gas Production   Tcf
Please enter here.High Exports   USA              Total Imports        Tcf
Please enter here.High Exports   USA              LNG Imports          Tcf
Please enter here.High Exports   USA              Total Exports        Tcf
Please enter here.High Exports   USA              LNG Exports          Tcf
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100%    #DIV/0!   #DIV/0!   #DIV/0!   #DIV/0!   #DIV/0!   #DIV/0!   #DIV/0!
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posted:10/5/2012
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