Dependent variable

							                              Election 2011
                     (1)         (2)         (3)       (4)      (5)
VARIABLES          Baseline      East     Exclude      Log    Exclude
                                            AMK                AMK

size                 0.602     0.743     -0.890   0.124  0.109
                   (3.741)   (3.608)    (3.948) (0.104) (0.104)
popn_mill          -12.385   -22.044    37.941
                  (132.021) (127.430) (140.369)
wp                  12.977    12.518    13.004 0.372** 0.365**
                   (7.819)   (7.544)    (7.552) (0.170) (0.169)
nsp                  3.750     6.292      7.306   0.218  0.234
                   (7.745)   (7.647)    (7.705) (0.169) (0.168)
spp                  6.306     7.685      9.057   0.207  0.222
                   (8.656)   (8.392)    (8.493) (0.177) (0.176)
sdp                  1.263     6.652      8.851   0.222  0.259
                   (8.223)   (8.667)    (8.926) (0.188) (0.189)
rp                  -3.083    -0.265      6.715  -0.015 0.134
                   (8.582)   (8.473)   (10.908) (0.181) (0.220)
east                           5.861    7.587*    0.112  0.157
                             (3.809)    (4.169) (0.088) (0.095)
popn_ln                                          -0.277 -0.240
                                                (0.243) (0.242)
Constant          33.681*** 28.604*** 26.544*** 6.043** 5.635**
                   (8.336)   (8.687)    (8.914) (2.345) (2.348)

Observations         26           26          25       26         25
R-squared          0.443        0.511        0.511    0.584     0.583
                      Standard errors in parentheses
                     *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
       Dependent variable: Opposition percentage (columns (1)-(3));
            Log of Opposition percentage (columns (4)-(5));
                     Method: Ordinary least squares
                         Excluded party -- SDA