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DRAFT
Direct Heating Equipment National Energy Impacts
Author: Virginie Letschert
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
COLOR SCHEME
Extrapolation
Input from Engineering and LCC Analysis
WORKSHEET DESCRIPTION
National Impacts Summary Tables and Charts of Primary Energy Savings and economic Impacts for All Product Classes
This sheet allows the user to select from a variety of parameters to define the scenario for which they wish to
calculate the NES and NPV. Parameters include the national discount rate and the energy price scenario.
Base Case Consumption Calculation of Base Case Primary Energy Consumption for all Product Classes
NIA GWF DHE Calculation of Primary Energy Savings and economic Impacts for Gas Wall Fan DHE
NIA GWG DHE Calculation of Primary Energy Savings and economic Impacts for Gas Wall Gravity DHE
NIA GF DHE Calculation of Primary Energy Savings and economic Impacts for Gas Floor DHE
NIA GR DHE Calculation of Primary Energy Savings and economic Impacts for Gas Room DHE
NIA Hearth DHE Calculation of Primary Energy Savings and economic Impacts for Hearth DHE
Shipments Forecast Calculation of Shipments for all Product Classes
LCC Inputs Design Option Input Data: Associated Costs and Unit Energy Consumption
Retirement Function Probability Function Determining Replacement of Equipment
Energy Prices and Site to Source Forecasts of Energy Prices and Site-Source Conversion Factors
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls Julie Osborn 10/3/20127:45 PM
DRAFT
e user to select from a variety of parameters to define the scenario for which they wish to
nd NPV. Parameters include the national discount rate and the energy price scenario.
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls Julie Osborn 10/3/20127:45 PM
National Impacts Analysis Spreadsheet Flow Chart
Historical data and Fuel Prices and
user input LCC Inputs Site to Source
worksheets
NES model and
accounting
worksheets
Shipments Forecast
NES - Product
Class
Data output and National
summary Impacts
worksheets Summary
sheet Flow Chart
Retirement
Shipments Forecast
Base Case
Consumption
All Products
National Impacts Summary Gas Wall Fan DHE
DRAFT
Gas Wall Gravity DHE
Gas Floor DHE
Discount Rate 7% Reference Case 1 Gas Room DHE
Current Year 2010 Low Economic Growth 3 Hearth DHE
Economic Growth Reference Case High Economic Growth
Efficiency Levels by TSL Levels
TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6
Shipment Electronic Ignition
Weighted and
Criteria
Average Fan Assisted
Efficiency Interim Level Interim Level Interim Level (where applicable) Max-Tech
Gas Wall Fan DHE 1 2 3 4 1 4
Gas Wall Gravity DHE 1 2 3 3 4 4
Gas Floor DHE 1 1 1 1 1 1
Gas Room DHE 2 3 4 4 5 5
Gas Hearth DHE 1 1 1 2 2 3
Efficiency Levels (AFUE) by TSL Levels
TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6
Gas Wall Fan DHE 75 76 77 80 75 80
Gas Wall Gravity DHE 66 68 71 71 72 72
Gas Floor DHE 58 58 58 58 58 58
Gas Room DHE 66 67 68 68 83 83
Gas Hearth DHE 67 67 67 72 72 93
NPV Results by TSL Levels
TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6
Gas Wall Fan DHE 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.04
Gas Wall Gravity DHE 0.03 0.09 0.20 0.20 0.06 0.06
Gas Floor DHE 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001
Gas Room DHE 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.14 0.14
Gas Hearth DHE 0.64 0.64 0.64 -1.16 -1.16 -3.78
Total 0.71 0.79 0.91 -0.89 -0.93 -3.54
NES Results TSL Levels
TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6
Gas Wall Fan DHE 0.007 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02
Gas Wall Gravity DHE 0.008 0.02 0.06 0.06 0.10 0.10
Gas Floor DHE 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001
Gas Room DHE 0.002 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.03
Gas Hearth DHE 0.136 0.14 0.14 0.30 0.30 0.93
Total 0.15 0.17 0.22 0.39 0.44 1.08
Gas Wall Fan DHE National Impacts - Gas Wall Fan DHE
Efficiency Level
BASE EF 1 EF 2 EF 3 EF 4 0.06 Source Energy Savings (Quads) 0.06
Electronic Ignition, Net Present Value (Billions)
Electronic Electronic Electronic Ignition, 0.05 0.05
Standing Pilot Two-Speed
Ignition, Two- Ignition, Induced Draft (Max-
(Baseline) Blower, Improved
Speed Blower Improved HX Tech) 0.04 0.04
Design HX
$Billions
Quads
Shipments 2013-2043 (Millions) 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 0.03 0.03
Incremental Equipment and O&M Costs ($ Billions) 0.03 0.04 0.09 0.28
EnergyCost Savings ($ Billions) 0.18 0.23 0.33 0.61 0.02 0.02
Net Savings, not discounted ($ Billions) 0.15 0.19 0.24 0.34
Net Present Value ($ Billions) 0.030 0.036 0.042 0.043 0.01 0.01
Site Savings 2013- 2043 (Quads) 0.007 0.009 0.012 0.023
Source Savings 2013- 2043 (Quads) 0.007 0.009 0.013 0.024 0.00 0.00
Present Value of Net Impacts on Source Savings 2013- 2043 (Quads) 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.007 EF 1 EF 2 EF 3 EF 4
National Impacts - Gas Wall Gravity DHE
Gas Wall Gravity DHE 0.10 0.500
Efficiency Level
BASE EF 1 EF 2 EF 3 EF 4
Standing Pilot Standing Pilot, Standing Pilot, Standing Pilot, Standing Pilot,
Design (Baseline) Improved HX Improved HX Improved HX Improved HX 0.05 0.250
Shipments 2013-2043 (Millions) 3.18 3.18 3.18 3.18 3.18
Incremental Equipment and O&M Costs ($ Billions) 0.05 0.12 0.37 1.32
$Billions
EnergyCost Savings ($ Billions) 0.21 0.60 1.52 2.41
Quads
Net Savings, not discounted ($ Billions) 0.15 0.48 1.15 1.10 0.00 0.000
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls
Net Present Value ($ Billions) 0.026 0.088 0.202 0.059 EF 1 EF 2 EF 3 EF 4 10/3/2012
$Billions
Quads
Site Savings 2013- 2043 (Quads) 0.008 0.022 0.056 0.090
Source Savings 2013- 2043 (Quads) 0.008 0.024 0.061 0.095 Source Energy Savings (Quads)
DRAFT
-0.05 -0.250
Present Value of Net Impacts on Source Savings 2013- 2043 (Quads) 0.002 0.007 0.017 0.027
Net Present Value (Billions)
-0.10 -0.500
Gas Floor DHE National Impacts - Gas Floor DHE
Efficiency Level
BASE EF 1 1E-04 1.E-03
Standing Pilot Standing Pilot,
6E-05 6.E-04
(Baseline) Improved HX
Design
Shipments 2013-2043 (Millions) 0.02 0.02 2E-05 2.E-04
$Billions
Quads
Incremental Equipment and O&M Costs ($ Billions) 0.000
EnergyCost Savings ($ Billions) 0.001 EF 1
Net Savings, not discounted ($ Billions) 0.001 -2E-05 -2.E-04
Net Present Value ($ Billions) 0.0001
Site Savings 2013- 2043 (Quads) 0.00005
Source Savings 2013- 2043 (Quads) 0.00006 -6E-05 Source Energy Savings -6.E-04
Present Value of Net Impacts on Source Savings 2013- 2043 (Quads) 0.00002 Net Present Value
-1E-04 -1.E-03
Gas Room DHE National Impacts - Gas Room DHE
Efficiency Level
0.05
Source Energy Savings (Quads) 0.13
BASE EF 1 EF 2 EF 3 EF 4 EF 5
0.03 Net Present Value (Billions) 0.09
Electronic
Ignition, Dual
Standing Pilot Standing Pilot, Standing Pilot, Standing Pilot, Standing Pilot, 0.05
Shaft Blower,
(Baseline) Improved HX Improved HX Improved HX Improved HX 0.01
$Billions
Electronic
Quads
0.01
Design Controls
Shipments 2013-2043 (Millions) 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 EF 1 EF 2 EF 3 EF 4 EF 5
-0.01 -0.03
Incremental Equipment and O&M Costs ($ Billions) 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.28
EnergyCost Savings ($ Billions) 0.02 0.07 0.13 0.19 1.07
Net Savings, not discounted ($ Billions) 0.02 0.05 0.11 0.16 0.78 -0.07
Net Present Value ($ Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.14 -0.03
Site Savings 2013- 2043 (Quads) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.0283 -0.11
Source Savings 2013- 2043 (Quads) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.0289
Present Value of Net Impacts on Source Savings 2013- 2043 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.008 -0.05 -0.15
Gas Hearth DHE National Impacts - Gas Hearth DHE
Efficiency Level
BASE EF 1 EF 2 EF 3 1.00 4.00
Source Energy Savings (Quads) 3.60
Electronic 0.80 3.20
Standing Pilot Ignition, Fan 2.80
Electronic Ignition Condensing 0.60 Net Present Value (Billions) 2.40
(Baseline) Assisted 2.00
Design (Blower) 0.40 1.60
Shipments 2013-2043 (Millions) 21.30 21.30 21.30 21.30 1.20
0.20 0.80
$Billions
Quads
0.40
Incremental Equipment and O&M Costs ($ Billions) 0.71 9.08 27.31 0.00 0.00
EF 1 EF 2 EF 3 -0.40
EnergyCost Savings ($ Billions) 3.93 8.96 26.74 -0.20 -0.80
Net Savings, not discounted ($ Billions) 3.22 -0.12 -0.57 -1.20
-0.40 -1.60
Net Present Value ($ Billions) 0.64 -1.16 -3.78 -2.00
Site Savings 2013- 2043 (Quads) 0.13 0.31 0.89 -0.60 -2.40
-2.80
Source Savings 2013- 2043 (Quads) 0.14 0.30 0.93 -0.80 -3.20
Present Value of Net Impacts on Source Savings 2013- 2043 (Quads) 0.039 0.088 0.269 -3.60
-1.00 -4.00
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls 10/3/2012
Base Case Energy Consumption
Shipments (Millions) Remaining Stock (Million
GWF DHE GWG DHE GF DHE GR DHE Hearth DHE GWF DHE GWG DHE
1980 0.02 0.13 0.02 0.07 0.00 0.02 0.13
1981 0.02 0.13 0.02 0.07 0.00 0.04 0.27
1982 0.02 0.13 0.02 0.07 0.00 0.06 0.40
1983 0.02 0.13 0.02 0.07 0.00 0.08 0.53
1984 0.02 0.13 0.02 0.07 0.00 0.10 0.66
1985 0.02 0.13 0.02 0.07 0.00 0.12 0.80
1986 0.02 0.13 0.02 0.07 0.00 0.14 0.93
1987 0.02 0.13 0.02 0.07 0.00 0.17 1.06
1988 0.02 0.13 0.02 0.07 0.00 0.19 1.20
1989 0.02 0.13 0.02 0.07 0.00 0.21 1.33
1990 0.02 0.13 0.02 0.07 0.00 0.23 1.46
1991 0.02 0.13 0.02 0.06 0.00 0.25 1.58
1992 0.02 0.13 0.02 0.06 0.00 0.26 1.68
1993 0.02 0.14 0.01 0.06 0.00 0.28 1.78
1994 0.02 0.15 0.01 0.07 0.00 0.29 1.86
1995 0.02 0.15 0.01 0.06 0.00 0.30 1.91
1996 0.02 0.14 0.01 0.05 0.00 0.30 1.94
1997 0.02 0.14 0.01 0.05 0.00 0.30 1.95
1998 0.02 0.14 0.01 0.03 0.68 0.31 1.96
1999 0.02 0.14 0.01 0.04 0.75 0.31 1.97
2000 0.02 0.13 0.01 0.03 0.76 0.31 1.97
2001 0.02 0.13 0.01 0.02 0.71 0.31 1.97
2002 0.03 0.12 0.01 0.02 0.72 0.31 1.95
2003 0.03 0.12 0.01 0.02 0.76 0.32 1.94
2004 0.03 0.12 0.00 0.02 0.89 0.33 1.93
2005 0.03 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.90 0.34 1.92
2006 0.04 0.10 0.00 0.02 0.73 0.36 1.88
2007 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.64 0.38 1.85
2008 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.43 0.39 1.82
2009 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.51 0.41 1.79
2010 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.46 0.43 1.75
2011 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.68 0.45 1.72
2012 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.77 0.46 1.69
2013 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.80 0.48 1.66
2014 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.79 0.50 1.63
2015 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.79 0.52 1.61
2016 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.79 0.53 1.59
2017 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.77 0.54 1.57
2018 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.77 0.55 1.56
2019 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.76 0.56 1.55
2020 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.75 0.57 1.54
2021 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.72 0.57 1.54
2022 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.71 0.57 1.54
2023 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.70 0.57 1.54
2024 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.70 0.57 1.54
2025 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.71 0.57 1.54
2026 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.71 0.57 1.54
2027 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.69 0.57 1.54
2028 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.67 0.57 1.54
2029 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.65 0.57 1.54
2030 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.66 0.57 1.54
2031 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.66 0.57 1.54
2032 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.66 0.57 1.54
2033 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.67 0.57 1.54
2034 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.67 0.57 1.54
2035 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.67 0.57 1.54
2036 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.68 0.57 1.54
2037 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.68 0.57 1.54
2038 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.68 0.57 1.54
2039 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.69 0.57 1.54
2040 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.69 0.57 1.54
2041 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.69 0.57 1.54
2042 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.02 0.70 0.57 1.54
Total
2013-2043 1.1 3.0 0.0 0.6 19.7 13.6 37.1
emaining Stock (Millions) UEC of Shipments (MMBtu)
GF DHE GR DHE Hearth DHE GWF DHE GWG DHE GF DHE
Gas Elec Gas Elec Gas Elec
0.02 0.07 0.00 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.04 0.14 0.00 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.05 0.22 0.00 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.07 0.29 0.00 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.09 0.36 0.00 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.11 0.43 0.00 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.13 0.50 0.00 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.14 0.58 0.00 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.16 0.65 0.00 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.18 0.72 0.00 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.20 0.79 0.00 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.21 0.84 0.00 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.22 0.89 0.00 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.23 0.93 0.00 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.24 0.96 0.00 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.24 0.97 0.00 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.23 0.96 0.00 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.23 0.94 0.00 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.22 0.90 0.68 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.21 0.87 1.42 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.19 0.82 2.18 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.18 0.77 2.90 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.17 0.72 3.62 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.16 0.68 4.38 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.15 0.63 5.27 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.13 0.58 6.17 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.12 0.54 6.90 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.11 0.50 7.54 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.10 0.46 7.96 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.09 0.42 8.42 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.08 0.39 8.76 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.07 0.36 9.20 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.07 0.34 9.59 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.06 0.33 9.89 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.05 0.32 10.07 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.05 0.31 10.17 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.04 0.31 10.22 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.04 0.30 10.22 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.04 0.30 10.21 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.03 0.30 10.20 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.03 0.30 10.23 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.03 0.30 10.29 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.03 0.30 10.39 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.02 0.30 10.50 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.02 0.30 10.60 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.02 0.30 10.69 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.02 0.30 10.72 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.02 0.30 10.70 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.02 0.30 10.62 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.01 0.30 10.50 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.01 0.30 10.38 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.01 0.30 10.27 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.01 0.30 10.16 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.01 0.30 10.07 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.01 0.30 10.00 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.01 0.30 9.94 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.01 0.30 9.89 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.01 0.30 9.85 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.01 0.30 9.83 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.01 0.30 9.81 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.01 0.30 9.81 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.00 0.30 9.81 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.00 0.30 9.83 28.4 0.1 28.8 0.0 30.5 0.0
0.5 7.3 682.1 3.6 691.4 0.0 732.1 0.0
Source Energy (Quads)
GR DHE Hearth DHE GWF DHE GWG DHE GF DHE GR DHE Hearth DHE
Gas Elec Gas Elec
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
25.4 0.1 14.4 0.0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01
610.0 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2
Hearth DHE
Gas Wall Fan DHE
Base Case Efficiency Level 1
Energy Savings Net Present Value
Discounted Maintenance
Shipments of Affected Stock Gas Efficiency, Elec. Eff. Site Total Primary Energy Cost Equipment
Primary and Repair Cost
FWF of FWF Site Savings Savings Savings Savings Cost Savings
Savings Savings
Millions Millions Quads TWh Quads Quads Billions $2008 Billions $2008 Billions $2008
2013 0.040 0.04 0.00002 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00087 $0.000
2014 0.040 0.08 0.00004 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00087 $0.000
2015 0.040 0.12 0.00006 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00087 $0.000
2016 0.040 0.16 0.00008 0.000 0.0001 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00087 $0.000
2017 0.040 0.20 0.00010 -0.001 0.0001 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00087 $0.000
2018 0.040 0.24 0.00012 -0.001 0.0001 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00087 $0.000
2019 0.040 0.28 0.00014 -0.001 0.0001 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00087 $0.000
2020 0.040 0.32 0.00017 -0.001 0.0002 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00087 $0.000
2021 0.040 0.36 0.00019 -0.001 0.0002 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00087 $0.000
2022 0.040 0.40 0.00021 -0.001 0.0002 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00087 $0.000
2023 0.040 0.43 0.00023 -0.001 0.0002 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00087 $0.000
2024 0.040 0.47 0.00025 -0.001 0.0003 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00087 $0.000
2025 0.040 0.50 0.00026 -0.002 0.0003 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00087 $0.000
2026 0.040 0.53 0.00028 -0.002 0.0003 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00087 $0.000
2027 0.040 0.55 0.00029 -0.002 0.0003 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00087 $0.000
2028 0.040 0.56 0.00029 -0.002 0.0003 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00087 $0.000
2029 0.040 0.57 0.00030 -0.002 0.0003 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00087 $0.000
2030 0.040 0.57 0.00030 -0.002 0.0003 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00087 $0.000
2031 0.040 0.57 0.00030 -0.002 0.0003 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00087 $0.000
2032 0.040 0.57 0.00030 -0.002 0.0003 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00087 $0.000
2033 0.040 0.57 0.00030 -0.002 0.0003 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00087 $0.000
2034 0.040 0.57 0.00030 -0.002 0.0003 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00087 $0.000
2035 0.040 0.57 0.00030 -0.002 0.0003 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00087 $0.000
2036 0.040 0.57 0.00030 -0.002 0.0003 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00087 $0.000
2037 0.040 0.57 0.00030 -0.002 0.0003 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00087 $0.000
2038 0.040 0.57 0.00030 -0.002 0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 -$0.00087 $0.000
2039 0.040 0.57 0.00030 -0.002 0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 -$0.00087 $0.000
2040 0.040 0.57 0.00030 -0.002 0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 -$0.00087 $0.000
2041 0.040 0.57 0.00030 -0.002 0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 -$0.00087 $0.000
2042 0.040 0.57 0.00030 -0.002 0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 -$0.00087 $0.000
2043 0.53 0.00028 -0.002 0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000
2044 0.49 0.00026 -0.002 0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000
2045 0.45 0.00024 -0.001 0.0002 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000
2046 0.42 0.00022 -0.001 0.0002 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000
2047 0.38 0.00020 -0.001 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000
2048 0.34 0.00018 -0.001 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000
2049 0.30 0.00016 -0.001 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000
2050 0.26 0.00013 -0.001 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000
2051 0.22 0.00011 -0.001 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000
2052 0.18 0.00009 -0.001 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000
2053 0.14 0.00007 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000
2054 0.10 0.00005 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000
2055 0.07 0.00004 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000
2056 0.04 0.00002 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000
2057 0.02 0.00001 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000
2058 0.01 0.00001 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000
2059 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000
2060 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000
2061 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000
2062 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000
2063 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000
2064 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000
Efficiency Level 2
esent Value Energy Savings Net Present Value
Discounted Energy Equipment Maintenance
Net Present Gas Efficiency Elec. Eff. Site Total Primary
Net Savings Primary Cost Cost and Repair Net Savings
Value Site Savings Savings Savings
Savings Savings Savings Cost Savings
Billions Billions Billions Billions
Quads TWh Quads Quads Billions $2008 Billions $2008
$2008 $2008 $2008 $2008
-$0.001 $0.00 0.00003 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00130 $0.000 -$0.001
$0.000 $0.00 0.00005 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.00008 0.000 0.0001 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.00011 0.000 0.0001 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.000
$0.001 $0.00 0.00013 -0.001 0.0001 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.001
$0.001 $0.00 0.00016 -0.001 0.0002 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.001
$0.002 $0.00 0.00018 -0.001 0.0002 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.002
$0.002 $0.00 0.00021 -0.001 0.0002 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.002
$0.002 $0.00 0.00024 -0.001 0.0002 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.003
$0.003 $0.00 0.00026 -0.001 0.0003 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.003
$0.003 $0.00 0.00029 -0.001 0.0003 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.004
$0.003 $0.00 0.00031 -0.001 0.0003 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.004
$0.004 $0.00 0.00034 -0.001 0.0004 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.004
$0.004 $0.00 0.00035 -0.002 0.0004 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.005
$0.004 $0.00 0.00037 -0.002 0.0004 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.005
$0.004 $0.00 0.00037 -0.002 0.0004 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.005
$0.005 $0.00 0.00038 -0.002 0.0004 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.006
$0.005 $0.00 0.00038 -0.002 0.0004 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.006
$0.005 $0.00 0.00038 -0.002 0.0004 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.006
$0.005 $0.00 0.00038 -0.002 0.0004 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.006
$0.005 $0.00 0.00038 -0.002 0.0004 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.006
$0.005 $0.00 0.00038 -0.002 0.0004 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.006
$0.005 $0.00 0.00038 -0.002 0.0004 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.006
$0.005 $0.00 0.00038 -0.002 0.0004 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.006
$0.005 $0.00 0.00038 -0.002 0.0004 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.007
$0.005 $0.00 0.00038 -0.002 0.0004 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.007
$0.005 $0.00 0.00038 -0.002 0.0004 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.007
$0.005 $0.00 0.00038 -0.002 0.0004 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.007
$0.006 $0.00 0.00038 -0.002 0.0004 0.0000 $0.01 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.007
$0.006 $0.00 0.00038 -0.002 0.0004 0.0000 $0.01 -$0.00130 $0.000 $0.007
$0.006 $0.00 0.00035 -0.002 0.0004 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.008
$0.006 $0.00 0.00033 -0.001 0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.007
$0.005 $0.00 0.00030 -0.001 0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.007
$0.005 $0.00 0.00028 -0.001 0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.006
$0.004 $0.00 0.00025 -0.001 0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.006
$0.004 $0.00 0.00022 -0.001 0.0002 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.005
$0.004 $0.00 0.00020 -0.001 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.005
$0.003 $0.00 0.00017 -0.001 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.004
$0.003 $0.00 0.00014 -0.001 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.003
$0.002 $0.00 0.00012 -0.001 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.003
$0.002 $0.00 0.00009 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.002
$0.001 $0.00 0.00007 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.002
$0.001 $0.00 0.00005 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.001
$0.001 $0.00 0.00003 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.001
$0.000 $0.00 0.00002 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.00001 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000
Efficiency Level 3
Energy Savings Net Present Value Energy Savi
Gas Total Discounted Energy Maintenance Gas
Net Present Elec. Eff. Site Equipment Net Net Present
Efficiency Primary Primary Cost and Repair Efficiency
Value Savings Cost Savings Savings Value
Site Savings Savings Savings Savings Cost Savings Site Savings
Billions Billions Billions Billions Billions
Quads TWh Quads Quads Billions $2008 Quads
$2008 $2008 $2008 $2008 $2008
$0.00 0.00004 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00275 $0.000 -$0.002 $0.00 0.00007
$0.00 0.00007 0.000 0.0001 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00275 $0.000 -$0.002 $0.00 0.00015
$0.00 0.00011 0.000 0.0001 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00275 $0.000 -$0.001 $0.00 0.00022
$0.00 0.00015 0.000 0.0002 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.00029
$0.00 0.00018 0.000 0.0002 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.00036
$0.00 0.00022 -0.001 0.0002 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00 0.00044
$0.00 0.00026 -0.001 0.0003 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00 0.00051
$0.00 0.00029 -0.001 0.0003 0.0002 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00 0.00058
$0.00 0.00033 -0.001 0.0003 0.0002 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.00065
$0.00 0.00037 -0.001 0.0004 0.0002 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.00073
$0.00 0.00040 -0.001 0.0004 0.0002 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.00080
$0.00 0.00044 -0.001 0.0005 0.0002 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.00087
$0.00 0.00047 -0.001 0.0005 0.0002 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.00093
$0.00 0.00049 -0.001 0.0005 0.0002 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.006 $0.00 0.00097
$0.00 0.00051 -0.001 0.0005 0.0002 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.006 $0.00 0.00101
$0.00 0.00052 -0.001 0.0006 0.0002 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.007 $0.00 0.00103
$0.00 0.00053 -0.001 0.0006 0.0002 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.007 $0.00 0.00104
$0.00 0.00053 -0.001 0.0006 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.007 $0.00 0.00105
$0.00 0.00053 -0.001 0.0006 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.007 $0.00 0.00105
$0.00 0.00053 -0.001 0.0006 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.008 $0.00 0.00105
$0.00 0.00053 -0.001 0.0006 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.008 $0.00 0.00105
$0.00 0.00053 -0.001 0.0006 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.008 $0.00 0.00105
$0.00 0.00053 -0.001 0.0006 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.008 $0.00 0.00105
$0.00 0.00053 -0.001 0.0006 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.008 $0.00 0.00105
$0.00 0.00053 -0.001 0.0006 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.008 $0.00 0.00105
$0.00 0.00053 -0.001 0.0006 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.008 $0.00 0.00105
$0.00 0.00053 -0.001 0.0006 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.009 $0.00 0.00105
$0.00 0.00053 -0.001 0.0006 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.009 $0.00 0.00105
$0.00 0.00053 -0.001 0.0006 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.009 $0.00 0.00105
$0.00 0.00053 -0.001 0.0006 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00275 $0.000 $0.009 $0.00 0.00105
$0.00 0.00050 -0.001 0.0005 0.0001 $0.01 $0.0000 $0.000 $0.011 $0.00 0.00098
$0.00 0.00046 -0.001 0.0005 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.010 $0.00 0.00091
$0.00 0.00042 -0.001 0.0004 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.010 $0.00 0.00083
$0.00 0.00039 -0.001 0.0004 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.009 $0.00 0.00076
$0.00 0.00035 -0.001 0.0004 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.008 $0.00 0.00069
$0.00 0.00031 -0.001 0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.007 $0.00 0.00062
$0.00 0.00028 -0.001 0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.007 $0.00 0.00054
$0.00 0.00024 -0.001 0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.006 $0.00 0.00047
$0.00 0.00020 -0.001 0.0002 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.00040
$0.00 0.00017 0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.00033
$0.00 0.00013 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.00025
$0.00 0.00009 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00 0.00019
$0.00 0.00006 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00 0.00013
$0.00 0.00004 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00 0.00008
$0.00 0.00002 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00 0.00004
$0.00 0.00001 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.00002
$0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.00001
$0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.00000
$0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.00000
$0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.00000
$0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.00000
$0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.00000
Efficiency Level 4
Energy Savings Net Present Value
Total Discounted Maintenance
Elec. Eff. Site Energy Cost Equipment Net Present
Primary Primary and Repair Net Savings
Savings Savings Cost Savings Value
Savings Savings Cost Savings
Billions Billions Billions
TWh Quads Quads Billions $2008 Billions $2008
$2008 $2008 $2008
-0.001 0.0001 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00752 $0.000 -$0.006 -$0.01
-0.002 0.0001 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00752 $0.000 -$0.005 $0.00
-0.003 0.0002 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00752 $0.000 -$0.004 $0.00
-0.004 0.0003 0.0002 $0.00 -$0.00752 $0.000 -$0.003 $0.00
-0.005 0.0003 0.0002 $0.01 -$0.00752 $0.000 -$0.002 $0.00
-0.006 0.0004 0.0002 $0.01 -$0.00752 $0.000 -$0.001 $0.00
-0.007 0.0005 0.0003 $0.01 -$0.00752 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00
-0.008 0.0006 0.0003 $0.01 -$0.00752 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00
-0.008 0.0006 0.0003 $0.01 -$0.00752 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00
-0.009 0.0007 0.0003 $0.01 -$0.00752 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00
-0.010 0.0008 0.0003 $0.01 -$0.00752 -$0.002 $0.004 $0.00
-0.011 0.0008 0.0003 $0.01 -$0.00752 -$0.002 $0.005 $0.00
-0.012 0.0009 0.0003 $0.02 -$0.00752 -$0.002 $0.006 $0.00
-0.013 0.0010 0.0003 $0.02 -$0.00752 -$0.002 $0.007 $0.00
-0.013 0.0010 0.0003 $0.02 -$0.00752 -$0.002 $0.008 $0.00
-0.013 0.0010 0.0003 $0.02 -$0.00752 -$0.002 $0.009 $0.00
-0.014 0.0010 0.0003 $0.02 -$0.00752 -$0.002 $0.009 $0.00
-0.014 0.0010 0.0003 $0.02 -$0.00752 -$0.002 $0.010 $0.00
-0.014 0.0010 0.0003 $0.02 -$0.00752 -$0.002 $0.010 $0.00
-0.014 0.0010 0.0002 $0.02 -$0.00752 -$0.002 $0.010 $0.00
-0.014 0.0010 0.0002 $0.02 -$0.00752 -$0.002 $0.011 $0.00
-0.014 0.0010 0.0002 $0.02 -$0.00752 -$0.002 $0.011 $0.00
-0.014 0.0010 0.0002 $0.02 -$0.00752 -$0.002 $0.011 $0.00
-0.014 0.0010 0.0002 $0.02 -$0.00752 -$0.002 $0.011 $0.00
-0.014 0.0010 0.0002 $0.02 -$0.00752 -$0.002 $0.012 $0.00
-0.014 0.0010 0.0002 $0.02 -$0.00752 -$0.002 $0.012 $0.00
-0.014 0.0010 0.0001 $0.02 -$0.00752 -$0.002 $0.012 $0.00
-0.014 0.0010 0.0001 $0.02 -$0.00752 -$0.002 $0.013 $0.00
-0.014 0.0010 0.0001 $0.02 -$0.00752 -$0.002 $0.013 $0.00
-0.014 0.0010 0.0001 $0.02 -$0.00752 -$0.002 $0.013 $0.00
-0.013 0.0010 0.0001 $0.02 $0.00000 -$0.002 $0.019 $0.00
-0.012 0.0009 0.0001 $0.02 $0.00000 -$0.002 $0.018 $0.00
-0.011 0.0008 0.0001 $0.02 $0.00000 -$0.002 $0.017 $0.00
-0.010 0.0008 0.0001 $0.02 $0.00000 -$0.002 $0.015 $0.00
-0.009 0.0007 0.0001 $0.02 $0.00000 -$0.002 $0.014 $0.00
-0.008 0.0006 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 -$0.002 $0.012 $0.00
-0.007 0.0005 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 -$0.002 $0.011 $0.00
-0.006 0.0005 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 -$0.002 $0.009 $0.00
-0.005 0.0004 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 -$0.002 $0.008 $0.00
-0.004 0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.008 $0.00
-0.003 0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.006 $0.00
-0.002 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00
-0.002 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00
-0.001 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00
-0.001 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00
0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00
0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
Gas Wall Gravity DHE
Base Case Efficiency Level 1
Energy Savings
Discounted
Gas Efficiency, Elec. Eff. Site Total Primary
Shipments Affected Stock Primary
Site Savings Savings Savings
Savings
Millions Millions Quads TWh Quads Quads
2013 0.106 0.11 0.00002 0.000 0.0000 0.0000
2014 0.106 0.21 0.00005 0.000 0.0000 0.0000
2015 0.106 0.32 0.00007 0.000 0.0001 0.0001
2016 0.106 0.42 0.00009 0.000 0.0001 0.0001
2017 0.106 0.53 0.00012 0.000 0.0001 0.0001
2018 0.106 0.64 0.00014 0.000 0.0001 0.0001
2019 0.106 0.74 0.00016 0.000 0.0002 0.0001
2020 0.106 0.85 0.00018 0.000 0.0002 0.0001
2021 0.106 0.96 0.00021 0.000 0.0002 0.0001
2022 0.106 1.06 0.00023 0.000 0.0002 0.0001
2023 0.106 1.17 0.00025 0.000 0.0003 0.0001
2024 0.106 1.27 0.00027 0.000 0.0003 0.0001
2025 0.106 1.35 0.00029 0.000 0.0003 0.0001
2026 0.106 1.42 0.00031 0.000 0.0003 0.0001
2027 0.106 1.48 0.00032 0.000 0.0003 0.0001
2028 0.106 1.51 0.00033 0.000 0.0004 0.0001
2029 0.106 1.53 0.00033 0.000 0.0004 0.0001
2030 0.106 1.53 0.00033 0.000 0.0004 0.0001
2031 0.106 1.54 0.00033 0.000 0.0004 0.0001
2032 0.106 1.54 0.00033 0.000 0.0004 0.0001
2033 0.106 1.54 0.00033 0.000 0.0004 0.0001
2034 0.106 1.54 0.00033 0.000 0.0004 0.0001
2035 0.106 1.54 0.00033 0.000 0.0004 0.0001
2036 0.106 1.54 0.00033 0.000 0.0004 0.0001
2037 0.106 1.54 0.00033 0.000 0.0004 0.0001
2038 0.106 1.54 0.00033 0.000 0.0004 0.0001
2039 0.106 1.54 0.00033 0.000 0.0004 0.0001
2040 0.106 1.54 0.00033 0.000 0.0004 0.0000
2041 0.106 1.54 0.00033 0.000 0.0004 0.0000
2042 0.106 1.54 0.00033 0.000 0.0004 0.0000
2043 1.43 0.00031 0.000 0.0003 0.0000
2044 1.33 0.00029 0.000 0.0003 0.0000
2045 1.22 0.00026 0.000 0.0003 0.0000
2046 1.11 0.00024 0.000 0.0003 0.0000
2047 1.01 0.00022 0.000 0.0002 0.0000
2048 0.90 0.00020 0.000 0.0002 0.0000
2049 0.80 0.00017 0.000 0.0002 0.0000
2050 0.69 0.00015 0.000 0.0002 0.0000
2051 0.58 0.00013 0.000 0.0001 0.0000
2052 0.48 0.00010 0.000 0.0001 0.0000
2053 0.37 0.00008 0.000 0.0001 0.0000
2054 0.27 0.00006 0.000 0.0001 0.0000
2055 0.19 0.00004 0.000 0.0000 0.0000
2056 0.11 0.00002 0.000 0.0000 0.0000
2057 0.06 0.00001 0.000 0.0000 0.0000
2058 0.03 0.00001 0.000 0.0000 0.0000
2059 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000
2060 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000
2061 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000
2062 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000
2063 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000
2064 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000
Efficiency Level 1
Net Present Value Energy Savings
Maintenance
Energy Cost Equipment Net Present Gas Efficiency Elec. Eff. Site
and Repair Cost Net Savings
Savings Cost Savings Value Site Savings Savings
Savings
Billions Billions
Billions $2008 Billions $2008 Billions $2008 Quads TWh
$2008 $2008
$0.00 -$0.00183 $0.000 -$0.001 $0.00 0.00007 0.000
$0.00 -$0.00183 $0.000 -$0.001 $0.00 0.00013 0.000
$0.00 -$0.00183 $0.000 -$0.001 $0.00 0.00020 0.000
$0.00 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.00027 0.000
$0.00 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.00033 0.000
$0.00 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00 0.00040 0.000
$0.00 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00 0.00046 0.000
$0.00 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00 0.00053 0.000
$0.00 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00 0.00060 0.000
$0.00 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00 0.00066 0.000
$0.00 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.00073 0.000
$0.00 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.00079 0.000
$0.01 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.00085 0.000
$0.01 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.00089 0.000
$0.01 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.00092 0.000
$0.01 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.00094 0.000
$0.01 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.00095 0.000
$0.01 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.00096 0.000
$0.01 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.00096 0.000
$0.01 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.00096 0.000
$0.01 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.00096 0.000
$0.01 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.00096 0.000
$0.01 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.00096 0.000
$0.01 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.00096 0.000
$0.01 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.00096 0.000
$0.01 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.00096 0.000
$0.01 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.006 $0.00 0.00096 0.000
$0.01 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.006 $0.00 0.00096 0.000
$0.01 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.006 $0.00 0.00096 0.000
$0.01 -$0.00183 $0.000 $0.006 $0.00 0.00096 0.000
$0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.007 $0.00 0.00090 0.000
$0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.007 $0.00 0.00083 0.000
$0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.006 $0.00 0.00076 0.000
$0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.006 $0.00 0.00070 0.000
$0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.00063 0.000
$0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.00056 0.000
$0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.00050 0.000
$0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.00043 0.000
$0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.00036 0.000
$0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.00030 0.000
$0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00 0.00023 0.000
$0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00 0.00017 0.000
$0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00 0.00012 0.000
$0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00 0.00007 0.000
$0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.00004 0.000
$0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.00002 0.000
$0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.00001 0.000
$0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.00000 0.000
$0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.00000 0.000
$0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.00000 0.000
$0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.00000 0.000
$0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.00000 0.000
Efficiency Level 2
Energy Savings Net Present Value
Discounted Energy Equipment Maintenance
Total Primary Net Present
Primary Cost Cost and Repair Net Savings
Savings Value
Savings Savings Savings Cost Savings
Billions Billions Billions
Quads Quads Billions $2008 Billions $2008
$2008 $2008 $2008
0.0001 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00416 $0.000 -$0.003 $0.00
0.0001 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00416 $0.000 -$0.002 $0.00
0.0002 0.0002 $0.00 -$0.00416 $0.000 -$0.001 $0.00
0.0003 0.0002 $0.00 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
0.0004 0.0002 $0.01 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00
0.0004 0.0003 $0.01 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00
0.0005 0.0003 $0.01 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00
0.0006 0.0003 $0.01 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00
0.0006 0.0003 $0.01 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.007 $0.00
0.0007 0.0003 $0.01 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.008 $0.00
0.0008 0.0003 $0.01 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.009 $0.00
0.0009 0.0003 $0.01 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.010 $0.00
0.0009 0.0003 $0.02 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.011 $0.00
0.0010 0.0003 $0.02 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.012 $0.00
0.0010 0.0003 $0.02 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.013 $0.00
0.0010 0.0003 $0.02 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.014 $0.00
0.0010 0.0003 $0.02 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.014 $0.00
0.0010 0.0003 $0.02 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.015 $0.00
0.0010 0.0003 $0.02 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.015 $0.00
0.0010 0.0002 $0.02 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.015 $0.00
0.0010 0.0002 $0.02 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.015 $0.00
0.0010 0.0002 $0.02 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.016 $0.00
0.0010 0.0002 $0.02 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.016 $0.00
0.0010 0.0002 $0.02 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.016 $0.00
0.0010 0.0002 $0.02 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.016 $0.00
0.0010 0.0002 $0.02 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.017 $0.00
0.0010 0.0001 $0.02 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.017 $0.00
0.0010 0.0001 $0.02 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.017 $0.00
0.0010 0.0001 $0.02 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.018 $0.00
0.0010 0.0001 $0.02 -$0.00416 $0.000 $0.018 $0.00
0.0010 0.0001 $0.02 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.021 $0.00
0.0009 0.0001 $0.02 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.019 $0.00
0.0008 0.0001 $0.02 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.018 $0.00
0.0008 0.0001 $0.02 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.017 $0.00
0.0007 0.0001 $0.02 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.015 $0.00
0.0006 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.014 $0.00
0.0005 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.012 $0.00
0.0005 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.011 $0.00
0.0004 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.009 $0.00
0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.008 $0.00
0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.006 $0.00
0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00
0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00
0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00
0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00
0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00
0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
Efficiency Level 3
Energy Savings Net Present Value
Gas Total Discounted Energy Maintenance
Elec. Eff. Site Equipment Net
Efficiency Primary Primary Cost and Repair
Savings Cost Savings Savings
Site Savings Savings Savings Savings Cost Savings
Billions Billions Billions Billions
Quads TWh Quads Quads
$2008 $2008 $2008 $2008
0.00017 0.000 0.0002 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.01222 $0.000 -$0.010
0.00033 0.000 0.0004 0.0003 $0.01 -$0.01222 $0.000 -$0.007
0.00050 0.000 0.0005 0.0004 $0.01 -$0.01222 $0.000 -$0.004
0.00067 0.000 0.0007 0.0005 $0.01 -$0.01222 $0.000 -$0.001
0.00084 0.000 0.0009 0.0006 $0.01 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.002
0.00100 0.000 0.0011 0.0006 $0.02 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.005
0.00117 0.000 0.0013 0.0007 $0.02 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.008
0.00134 0.000 0.0014 0.0007 $0.02 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.012
0.00150 0.000 0.0016 0.0008 $0.03 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.015
0.00167 0.000 0.0018 0.0008 $0.03 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.018
0.00184 0.000 0.0020 0.0008 $0.03 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.021
0.00199 0.000 0.0022 0.0008 $0.04 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.024
0.00213 0.000 0.0023 0.0008 $0.04 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.026
0.00224 0.000 0.0024 0.0008 $0.04 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.029
0.00232 0.000 0.0025 0.0008 $0.04 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.031
0.00237 0.000 0.0026 0.0008 $0.05 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.033
0.00240 0.000 0.0026 0.0007 $0.05 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.034
0.00241 0.000 0.0026 0.0007 $0.05 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.035
0.00242 0.000 0.0026 0.0006 $0.05 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.036
0.00242 0.000 0.0026 0.0006 $0.05 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.037
0.00242 0.000 0.0026 0.0006 $0.05 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.037
0.00242 0.000 0.0026 0.0005 $0.05 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.038
0.00242 0.000 0.0026 0.0005 $0.05 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.038
0.00242 0.000 0.0026 0.0005 $0.05 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.039
0.00242 0.000 0.0026 0.0004 $0.05 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.040
0.00242 0.000 0.0026 0.0004 $0.05 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.040
0.00242 0.000 0.0026 0.0004 $0.05 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.041
0.00242 0.000 0.0026 0.0003 $0.05 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.042
0.00242 0.000 0.0026 0.0003 $0.05 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.042
0.00242 0.000 0.0026 0.0003 $0.06 -$0.01222 $0.000 $0.043
0.00226 0.000 0.0025 0.0003 $0.05 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.052
0.00209 0.000 0.0023 0.0002 $0.05 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.049
0.00192 0.000 0.0021 0.0002 $0.05 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.046
0.00175 0.000 0.0019 0.0002 $0.04 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.042
0.00159 0.000 0.0017 0.0001 $0.04 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.039
0.00142 0.000 0.0015 0.0001 $0.04 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.035
0.00125 0.000 0.0014 0.0001 $0.03 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.031
0.00109 0.000 0.0012 0.0001 $0.03 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.027
0.00092 0.000 0.0010 0.0001 $0.02 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.024
0.00075 0.000 0.0008 0.0000 $0.02 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.020
0.00059 0.000 0.0006 0.0000 $0.02 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.015
0.00043 0.000 0.0005 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.011
0.00029 0.000 0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.008
0.00018 0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.005
0.00010 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.003
0.00005 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.001
0.00002 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.001
0.00001 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000
0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000
0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000
0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000
0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000
Efficiency Level 4
Value Energy Savings Net Present Value
Gas Elec. Eff. Total Discounte Energy Equipment Maintenan
Net Present Efficiency ce and Net
Site Primary d Primary Cost Cost
Value Site Repair Savings
Savings Savings Savings Savings Savings
Savings Cost
Billions Billions Billions Billions
Billions $2008 Quads TWh Quads Quads
$2008 $2008 $2008 $2008
-$0.01 0.00028 -0.002 0.0003 0.0002 $0.00 -$0.04274 $0.000 -$0.039
-$0.01 0.00055 -0.004 0.0006 0.0004 $0.01 -$0.04274 $0.000 -$0.034
$0.00 0.00083 -0.006 0.0008 0.0006 $0.01 -$0.04274 $0.000 -$0.030
$0.00 0.00110 -0.007 0.0011 0.0007 $0.02 -$0.04274 $0.000 -$0.025
$0.00 0.00138 -0.009 0.0014 0.0009 $0.02 -$0.04274 $0.000 -$0.020
$0.00 0.00165 -0.011 0.0017 0.0010 $0.03 -$0.04274 $0.000 -$0.015
$0.00 0.00193 -0.013 0.0020 0.0011 $0.03 -$0.04274 $0.000 -$0.010
$0.01 0.00221 -0.015 0.0023 0.0011 $0.04 -$0.04274 $0.000 -$0.005
$0.01 0.00248 -0.017 0.0025 0.0012 $0.04 -$0.04274 $0.000 $0.001
$0.01 0.00276 -0.019 0.0028 0.0013 $0.05 -$0.04274 -$0.001 $0.005
$0.01 0.00303 -0.021 0.0031 0.0013 $0.05 -$0.04274 -$0.001 $0.008
$0.01 0.00329 -0.022 0.0034 0.0013 $0.06 -$0.04274 -$0.001 $0.013
$0.01 0.00352 -0.024 0.0036 0.0013 $0.06 -$0.04274 -$0.001 $0.017
$0.01 0.00370 -0.025 0.0038 0.0013 $0.06 -$0.04274 -$0.001 $0.021
$0.01 0.00383 -0.026 0.0040 0.0013 $0.07 -$0.04274 -$0.001 $0.024
$0.01 0.00392 -0.027 0.0041 0.0012 $0.07 -$0.04274 -$0.001 $0.027
$0.01 0.00396 -0.027 0.0041 0.0011 $0.07 -$0.04274 -$0.001 $0.029
$0.01 0.00399 -0.027 0.0041 0.0011 $0.08 -$0.04274 -$0.001 $0.031
$0.01 0.00399 -0.027 0.0041 0.0010 $0.08 -$0.04274 -$0.001 $0.032
$0.01 0.00400 -0.027 0.0041 0.0009 $0.08 -$0.04274 -$0.001 $0.033
$0.01 0.00400 -0.027 0.0041 0.0009 $0.08 -$0.04274 -$0.001 $0.034
$0.01 0.00400 -0.027 0.0041 0.0008 $0.08 -$0.04274 -$0.001 $0.035
$0.01 0.00400 -0.027 0.0041 0.0008 $0.08 -$0.04274 -$0.001 $0.036
$0.01 0.00400 -0.027 0.0041 0.0007 $0.08 -$0.04274 -$0.001 $0.038
$0.01 0.00400 -0.027 0.0041 0.0007 $0.08 -$0.04274 -$0.001 $0.039
$0.01 0.00400 -0.027 0.0041 0.0006 $0.08 -$0.04274 -$0.001 $0.040
$0.01 0.00400 -0.027 0.0041 0.0006 $0.08 -$0.04274 -$0.001 $0.041
$0.01 0.00400 -0.027 0.0041 0.0005 $0.09 -$0.04274 -$0.001 $0.042
$0.01 0.00400 -0.027 0.0041 0.0005 $0.09 -$0.04274 -$0.001 $0.043
$0.00 0.00400 -0.027 0.0041 0.0005 $0.09 -$0.04274 -$0.001 $0.044
$0.01 0.00372 -0.025 0.0039 0.0004 $0.08 $0.00000 -$0.001 $0.082
$0.00 0.00345 -0.023 0.0036 0.0004 $0.08 $0.00000 -$0.001 $0.077
$0.00 0.00317 -0.022 0.0033 0.0003 $0.07 $0.00000 -$0.001 $0.071
$0.00 0.00289 -0.020 0.0030 0.0003 $0.07 $0.00000 -$0.001 $0.066
$0.00 0.00262 -0.018 0.0027 0.0002 $0.06 $0.00000 -$0.001 $0.060
$0.00 0.00234 -0.016 0.0024 0.0002 $0.06 $0.00000 -$0.001 $0.055
$0.00 0.00207 -0.014 0.0021 0.0002 $0.05 $0.00000 -$0.001 $0.049
$0.00 0.00179 -0.012 0.0019 0.0001 $0.04 $0.00000 -$0.001 $0.043
$0.00 0.00152 -0.010 0.0016 0.0001 $0.04 $0.00000 -$0.001 $0.036
$0.00 0.00124 -0.008 0.0013 0.0001 $0.03 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.031
$0.00 0.00097 -0.007 0.0010 0.0001 $0.02 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.025
$0.00 0.00071 -0.005 0.0007 0.0000 $0.02 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.018
$0.00 0.00048 -0.003 0.0005 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.013
$0.00 0.00030 -0.002 0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.008
$0.00 0.00016 -0.001 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.004
$0.00 0.00008 -0.001 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.002
$0.00 0.00003 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.001
$0.00 0.00001 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000
$0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000
$0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000
$0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000
$0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000
Value
Net
Present
Value
Billions
$2008
-$0.03
-$0.03
-$0.02
-$0.02
-$0.01
-$0.01
-$0.01
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
Gas Floor DHE
Base Case Efficiency Level 1
Energy Savings Net Present Value
Discounted Maintenance
Gas Efficiency, Elec. Eff. Site Total Primary Energy Cost Equipment Net Present
Shipments Affected Stock Primary and Repair Cost Net Savings
Site Savings Savings Savings Savings Cost Savings Value
Savings Savings
Billions Billions Billions
Millions Millions Quads TWh Quads Quads Billions $2008 Billions $2008
$2008 $2008 $2008
2013 0.002 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00004 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2014 0.002 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00004 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2015 0.002 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00004 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2016 0.002 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00003 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2017 0.001 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00003 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2018 0.001 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00003 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2019 0.001 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00003 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2020 0.001 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00002 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2021 0.001 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00002 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2022 0.001 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00002 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2023 0.001 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00002 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2024 0.001 0.02 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00002 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2025 0.001 0.02 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00002 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2026 0.001 0.02 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00001 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2027 0.001 0.02 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00001 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2028 0.001 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00001 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2029 0.000 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00001 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2030 0.000 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00001 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2031 0.000 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00001 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2032 0.000 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00001 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2033 0.000 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00001 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2034 0.000 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00001 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2035 0.000 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00001 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2036 0.000 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00001 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2037 0.000 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00001 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2038 0.000 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2039 0.000 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2040 0.000 0.01 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2041 0.000 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2042 0.000 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2043 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2044 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2045 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2046 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2047 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2048 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2049 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2050 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2051 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2052 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2053 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2054 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2055 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2056 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2057 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2058 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2059 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2060 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2061 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2062 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2063 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
2064 0.00 0.00000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
DRAFT
Gas Room DHE
Base Case Efficiency Level 1
Energy Savings Net Present Value
Discounted Maintenance
Shipments of Affected Stock Gas Efficiency, Elec. Eff. Site Total Primary Energy Cost Equipment
Primary and Repair Cost
RH of RH Site Savings Savings Savings Savings Cost Savings
Savings Savings
Millions Millions Quads TWh Quads Quads Billions $2008 Billions $2008 Billions $2008
2013 0.021 0.02 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2014 0.021 0.04 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2015 0.021 0.06 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2016 0.021 0.08 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2017 0.021 0.10 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2018 0.021 0.13 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2019 0.021 0.15 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2020 0.021 0.17 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2021 0.021 0.19 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2022 0.021 0.21 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2023 0.021 0.23 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2024 0.021 0.25 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2025 0.021 0.27 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2026 0.021 0.28 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2027 0.021 0.29 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2028 0.021 0.30 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2029 0.021 0.30 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2030 0.021 0.30 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2031 0.021 0.30 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2032 0.021 0.30 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2033 0.021 0.30 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2034 0.021 0.30 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls Julie Osborn 10/3/20127:45 PM
DRAFT
2035 0.021 0.30 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2036 0.021 0.30 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2037 0.021 0.30 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2038 0.021 0.30 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2039 0.021 0.30 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2040 0.021 0.30 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2041 0.021 0.30 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2042 0.021 0.30 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00017 $0.000
2043 0.28 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2044 0.26 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2045 0.24 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2046 0.22 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2047 0.20 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2048 0.18 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2049 0.16 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2050 0.14 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2051 0.12 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2052 0.09 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2053 0.07 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2054 0.05 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2055 0.04 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2056 0.02 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2057 0.01 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2058 0.01 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2059 0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2060 0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2061 0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2062 0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2063 0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2064 0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls Julie Osborn 10/3/20127:45 PM
DRAFT
Efficiency Level 2
resent Value Energy Savings Net Present Value
Discounted Energy Equipment Maintenance
Net Present Gas Efficiency Elec. Eff. Site Total Primary
Net Savings Primary Cost Cost and Repair Net Savings
Value Site Savings Savings Savings
Savings Savings Savings Cost Savings
Billions Billions Billions Billions
Quads TWh Quads Quads Billions $2008 Billions $2008
$2008 $2008 $2008 $2008
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.001
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.001
$0.000 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.001
$0.000 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.001
$0.000 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.001
$0.000 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.001
$0.000 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.001
$0.000 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.001
$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.001
$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.002
$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.002
$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.002
$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.002
$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.002
$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.002
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls Julie Osborn 10/3/20127:45 PM
DRAFT
$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.002
$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.002
$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.002
$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.002
$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.002
$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.002
$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.002
$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00053 $0.000 $0.002
$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.002
$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.002
$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.002
$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.002
$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.002
$0.001 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.002
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.001
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.001
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.001
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.001
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.001
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls Julie Osborn 10/3/20127:45 PM
DRAFT
Efficiency Level 3
ue Energy Savings Net Present Value Energy Sa
Gas Total Discounted Energy Maintenance Gas
Net Present Elec. Eff. Site Equipment Net Net Present
Efficiency Primary Primary Cost and Repair Efficiency
Value Savings Cost Savings Savings Value
Site Savings Savings Savings Savings Cost Savings Site Savings
Billions Billions Billions Billions Billions
Quads TWh Quads Quads Billions $2008 Quads
$2008 $2008 $2008 $2008 $2008
$0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 -$0.001 $0.00 0.0000
$0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0000
$0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0000
$0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0001
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00 0.0001
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00 0.0001
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00 0.0001
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00 0.0001
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00 0.0001
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0002 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.0002
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls Julie Osborn 10/3/20127:45 PM
DRAFT
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.001 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.0002
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.0001
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.0001
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.0001
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00 0.0001
$0.00 0.0001 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00 0.0001
$0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00 0.0001
$0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00 0.0001
$0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00 0.0000
$0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00 0.0000
$0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0000
$0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0000
$0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0000
$0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0000
$0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0000
$0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0000
$0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0000
$0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0000
$0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0000
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls Julie Osborn 10/3/20127:45 PM
DRAFT
Efficiency Level 4 Effici
Energy Savings Net Present Value Energy Savings
Gas
Total Discounted Maintenance Elec. Eff. Total
Elec. Eff. Site Energy Cost Equipment Net Present Efficiency
Primary Primary and Repair Net Savings Site Primary
Savings Savings Cost Savings Value Site
Savings Savings Cost Savings Savings Savings
Savings
Billions Billions Billions
TWh Quads Quads Billions $2008 Billions $2008 Quads TWh Quads
$2008 $2008 $2008
0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00106 $0.000 -$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 -0.001 0.0001
0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0002 -0.003 0.0002
0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0003 -0.004 0.0003
0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0004 -0.005 0.0003
0.000 0.0001 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00 0.0004 -0.007 0.0004
0.000 0.0001 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00 0.0005 -0.008 0.0005
0.000 0.0001 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00 0.0006 -0.009 0.0006
0.000 0.0001 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00 0.0007 -0.011 0.0007
0.000 0.0001 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.0008 -0.012 0.0008
0.000 0.0002 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.0009 -0.013 0.0009
0.000 0.0002 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.0010 -0.015 0.0009
0.000 0.0002 0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.0011 -0.016 0.0010
0.000 0.0002 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.0011 -0.017 0.0011
0.000 0.0002 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.0012 -0.018 0.0012
0.000 0.0002 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.0012 -0.018 0.0012
0.000 0.0002 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.0013 -0.019 0.0012
0.000 0.0002 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.0013 -0.019 0.0012
0.000 0.0002 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.0013 -0.019 0.0013
0.000 0.0002 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.0013 -0.019 0.0013
0.000 0.0002 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.0013 -0.019 0.0013
0.000 0.0002 0.0001 $0.01 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.0013 -0.019 0.0013
0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.01 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.0013 -0.019 0.0013
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls Julie Osborn 10/3/20127:45 PM
DRAFT
0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.01 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.0013 -0.019 0.0013
0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.01 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.0013 -0.019 0.0013
0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.01 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.006 $0.00 0.0013 -0.019 0.0013
0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.01 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.006 $0.00 0.0013 -0.019 0.0013
0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.01 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.006 $0.00 0.0013 -0.019 0.0013
0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.01 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.006 $0.00 0.0013 -0.019 0.0013
0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.01 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.006 $0.00 0.0013 -0.019 0.0013
0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.01 -$0.00106 $0.000 $0.006 $0.00 0.0013 -0.019 0.0013
0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.01 $0.000 $0.007 $0.00 0.0012 -0.018 0.0012
0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.01 $0.000 $0.006 $0.00 0.0011 -0.017 0.0011
0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.01 $0.000 $0.006 $0.00 0.0010 -0.015 0.0010
0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.01 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.0009 -0.014 0.0009
0.000 0.0002 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00 0.0008 -0.013 0.0008
0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.0008 -0.011 0.0007
0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00 0.0007 -0.010 0.0007
0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.0006 -0.009 0.0006
0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00 0.0005 -0.007 0.0005
0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00 0.0004 -0.006 0.0004
0.000 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00 0.0003 -0.005 0.0003
0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00 0.0002 -0.003 0.0002
0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00 0.0002 -0.002 0.0002
0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00 0.0001 -0.001 0.0001
0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0001 -0.001 0.0001
0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000
0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000
0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000
0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000
0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000
0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000
0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls Julie Osborn 10/3/20127:45 PM
DRAFT
Efficiency Level 5
Energy Savings Net Present Value
Maintenan
Discounted Energy Equipment Net
ce and Net
Primary Cost Cost Present
Repair Savings
Savings Savings Savings Value
Cost
Billions Billions Savings
Billions Billions Billions
Quads
$2008 $2008 $2008 $2008 $2008
0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00855 $0.000 -$0.007 -$0.01
0.0001 $0.00 -$0.00855 $0.000 -$0.005 $0.00
0.0002 $0.01 -$0.00855 $0.000 -$0.003 $0.00
0.0002 $0.01 -$0.00855 $0.000 -$0.001 $0.00
0.0003 $0.01 -$0.00855 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00
0.0003 $0.01 -$0.00855 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00
0.0003 $0.01 -$0.00855 $0.000 $0.006 $0.00
0.0003 $0.02 -$0.00855 $0.000 $0.009 $0.00
0.0004 $0.02 -$0.00855 $0.000 $0.011 $0.01
0.0004 $0.02 -$0.00855 $0.001 $0.014 $0.01
0.0004 $0.02 -$0.00855 -$0.001 $0.014 $0.01
0.0004 $0.03 -$0.00855 -$0.001 $0.016 $0.01
0.0004 $0.03 -$0.00855 -$0.001 $0.018 $0.01
0.0004 $0.03 -$0.00855 -$0.001 $0.020 $0.01
0.0004 $0.03 -$0.00855 -$0.001 $0.021 $0.01
0.0004 $0.03 -$0.00855 -$0.001 $0.022 $0.01
0.0003 $0.03 -$0.00855 -$0.001 $0.023 $0.01
0.0003 $0.03 -$0.00855 -$0.001 $0.024 $0.01
0.0003 $0.03 -$0.00855 -$0.001 $0.024 $0.01
0.0003 $0.03 -$0.00855 -$0.001 $0.025 $0.01
0.0003 $0.03 -$0.00855 -$0.001 $0.025 $0.01
0.0002 $0.03 -$0.00855 -$0.001 $0.025 $0.01
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls Julie Osborn 10/3/20127:45 PM
DRAFT
0.0002 $0.04 -$0.00855 -$0.001 $0.026 $0.00
0.0002 $0.04 -$0.00855 -$0.001 $0.026 $0.00
0.0002 $0.04 -$0.00855 -$0.001 $0.027 $0.00
0.0002 $0.04 -$0.00855 -$0.001 $0.027 $0.00
0.0002 $0.04 -$0.00855 -$0.001 $0.028 $0.00
0.0002 $0.04 -$0.00855 -$0.001 $0.028 $0.00
0.0002 $0.04 -$0.00855 -$0.001 $0.028 $0.00
0.0001 $0.04 -$0.00855 -$0.001 $0.029 $0.00
0.0001 $0.04 -$0.001 $0.035 $0.00
0.0001 $0.03 -$0.001 $0.033 $0.00
0.0001 $0.03 -$0.001 $0.031 $0.00
0.0001 $0.03 -$0.001 $0.028 $0.00
0.0001 $0.03 -$0.001 $0.026 $0.00
0.0001 $0.02 -$0.001 $0.023 $0.00
0.0000 $0.02 -$0.001 $0.021 $0.00
0.0000 $0.02 -$0.001 $0.018 $0.00
0.0000 $0.02 -$0.001 $0.015 $0.00
0.0000 $0.01 $0.000 $0.013 $0.00
0.0000 $0.01 $0.000 $0.011 $0.00
0.0000 $0.01 $0.000 $0.008 $0.00
0.0000 $0.01 $0.000 $0.005 $0.00
0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.003 $0.00
0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.002 $0.00
0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00
0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls Julie Osborn 10/3/20127:45 PM
DRAFT
Gas Hearth DHE
Base Case Efficiency Level 1
Energy Savings Net Present Value
Discounted Maintenance
Shipments of Affected Stock Gas Efficiency, Elec. Eff. Site Total Primary Energy Cost Equipment
Primary and Repair Cost
Hearth of Hearth Site Savings Savings Savings Savings Cost Savings
Savings Savings
Millions Millions Quads TWh Quads Quads Billions $2008 Billions $2008 Billions $2008
2013 0.800 0.80 0.0005 -0.006 0.0004 0.0004 $0.01 -$0.02313 $0.000
2014 0.787 1.59 0.0009 -0.012 0.0009 0.0007 $0.02 -$0.02274 $0.000
2015 0.786 2.37 0.0014 -0.018 0.0013 0.0009 $0.02 -$0.02273 $0.000
2016 0.787 3.16 0.0018 -0.024 0.0017 0.0012 $0.03 -$0.02275 $0.000
2017 0.774 3.93 0.0023 -0.030 0.0022 0.0014 $0.04 -$0.02239 $0.000
2018 0.767 4.70 0.0027 -0.035 0.0026 0.0015 $0.05 -$0.02218 $0.000
2019 0.764 5.47 0.0031 -0.041 0.0031 0.0017 $0.06 -$0.02209 $0.000
2020 0.751 6.22 0.0036 -0.047 0.0035 0.0018 $0.07 -$0.02170 $0.000
2021 0.722 6.94 0.0040 -0.052 0.0039 0.0018 $0.08 -$0.02089 $0.000
2022 0.706 7.64 0.0044 -0.057 0.0043 0.0019 $0.09 -$0.02041 -$0.004
2023 0.700 8.34 0.0048 -0.063 0.0047 0.0020 $0.09 -$0.02023 -$0.004
2024 0.699 8.99 0.0052 -0.067 0.0051 0.0020 $0.10 -$0.02022 -$0.004
2025 0.712 9.56 0.0055 -0.072 0.0054 0.0020 $0.11 -$0.02058 -$0.004
2026 0.711 10.01 0.0058 -0.075 0.0057 0.0019 $0.11 -$0.02056 -$0.003
2027 0.694 10.29 0.0059 -0.077 0.0058 0.0018 $0.12 -$0.02006 -$0.003
2028 0.669 10.41 0.0060 -0.078 0.0059 0.0017 $0.12 -$0.01935 -$0.003
2029 0.655 10.41 0.0060 -0.078 0.0059 0.0016 $0.12 -$0.01894 -$0.003
2030 0.658 10.35 0.0060 -0.078 0.0059 0.0015 $0.12 -$0.01902 -$0.003
2031 0.661 10.26 0.0059 -0.077 0.0058 0.0014 $0.12 -$0.01911 -$0.003
2032 0.664 10.16 0.0059 -0.076 0.0058 0.0013 $0.12 -$0.01921 -$0.003
2033 0.668 10.07 0.0058 -0.076 0.0057 0.0012 $0.13 -$0.01930 -$0.003
2034 0.671 10.00 0.0058 -0.075 0.0057 0.0011 $0.13 -$0.01940 -$0.003
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls Julie Osborn 10/3/20127:45 PM
DRAFT
2035 0.674 9.94 0.0057 -0.075 0.0057 0.0010 $0.13 -$0.01950 -$0.003
2036 0.678 9.89 0.0057 -0.074 0.0056 0.0010 $0.13 -$0.01959 -$0.003
2037 0.681 9.85 0.0057 -0.074 0.0056 0.0009 $0.13 -$0.01969 -$0.003
2038 0.684 9.83 0.0057 -0.074 0.0056 0.0008 $0.13 -$0.01979 -$0.003
2039 0.688 9.81 0.0057 -0.074 0.0056 0.0008 $0.13 -$0.01989 -$0.003
2040 0.691 9.81 0.0057 -0.074 0.0056 0.0007 $0.13 -$0.01999 -$0.003
2041 0.695 9.81 0.0057 -0.074 0.0056 0.0007 $0.14 -$0.02009 -$0.003
2042 0.698 9.83 0.0057 -0.074 0.0056 0.0006 $0.14 -$0.02019 -$0.003
2043 9.15 0.0053 -0.069 0.0052 0.0006 $0.13 -$0.003
2044 8.49 0.0049 -0.064 0.0048 0.0005 $0.12 -$0.003
2045 7.82 0.0045 -0.059 0.0045 0.0004 $0.11 -$0.003
2046 7.16 0.0041 -0.054 0.0041 0.0004 $0.11 -$0.003
2047 6.49 0.0037 -0.049 0.0037 0.0003 $0.10 -$0.003
2048 5.82 0.0034 -0.044 0.0033 0.0003 $0.09 -$0.003
2049 5.15 0.0030 -0.039 0.0029 0.0002 $0.08 -$0.003
2050 4.47 0.0026 -0.034 0.0025 0.0002 $0.07 -$0.003
2051 3.79 0.0022 -0.028 0.0022 0.0001 $0.06 -$0.003
2052 3.11 0.0018 -0.023 0.0018 0.0001 $0.05 $0.000
2053 2.43 0.0014 -0.018 0.0014 0.0001 $0.04 $0.000
2054 1.78 0.0010 -0.013 0.0010 0.0001 $0.03 $0.000
2055 1.21 0.0007 -0.009 0.0007 0.0000 $0.02 $0.000
2056 0.75 0.0004 -0.006 0.0004 0.0000 $0.01 $0.000
2057 0.41 0.0002 -0.003 0.0002 0.0000 $0.01 $0.000
2058 0.20 0.0001 -0.002 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2059 0.09 0.0000 -0.001 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2060 0.03 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2061 0.01 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2062 0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2063 0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
2064 0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls Julie Osborn 10/3/20127:45 PM
DRAFT
Efficiency Level 2
resent Value Energy Savings Net Present Value
Discounted Energy Equipment Maintenance
Net Present Gas Efficiency Elec. Eff. Site Total Primary
Net Savings Primary Cost Cost and Repair Net Savings
Value Site Savings Savings Savings
Savings Savings Savings Cost Savings
Billions Billions Billions Billions
Quads TWh Quads Quads Billions $2008 Billions $2008
$2008 $2008 $2008 $2008
-$0.016 -$0.01 0.0011 -0.022 0.0009 0.0008 $0.02 -$0.30155 $0.000 -$0.285
-$0.008 -$0.01 0.0022 -0.044 0.0019 0.0014 $0.03 -$0.29650 $0.000 -$0.262
$0.001 $0.00 0.0032 -0.066 0.0029 0.0020 $0.05 -$0.29642 $0.000 -$0.244
$0.009 $0.01 0.0043 -0.088 0.0038 0.0026 $0.07 -$0.29660 $0.000 -$0.224
$0.018 $0.01 0.0054 -0.109 0.0048 0.0030 $0.09 -$0.29193 $0.000 -$0.200
$0.027 $0.02 0.0064 -0.130 0.0058 0.0034 $0.11 -$0.28925 $0.000 -$0.176
$0.037 $0.02 0.0075 -0.152 0.0068 0.0037 $0.13 -$0.28799 $0.000 -$0.154
$0.046 $0.02 0.0085 -0.172 0.0077 0.0039 $0.16 -$0.28296 $0.000 -$0.128
$0.056 $0.03 0.0095 -0.193 0.0086 0.0041 $0.18 -$0.27234 $0.000 -$0.097
$0.061 $0.03 0.0104 -0.212 0.0095 0.0042 $0.19 -$0.26612 $0.040 -$0.032
$0.069 $0.03 0.0114 -0.231 0.0104 0.0043 $0.21 -$0.26383 -$0.042 -$0.095
$0.076 $0.03 0.0123 -0.249 0.0113 0.0044 $0.23 -$0.26359 -$0.042 -$0.079
$0.081 $0.03 0.0131 -0.265 0.0120 0.0044 $0.24 -$0.26831 -$0.042 -$0.071
$0.088 $0.03 0.0137 -0.278 0.0126 0.0043 $0.25 -$0.26809 -$0.041 -$0.055
$0.093 $0.03 0.0141 -0.286 0.0130 0.0041 $0.27 -$0.26159 -$0.041 -$0.036
$0.098 $0.03 0.0142 -0.289 0.0132 0.0039 $0.27 -$0.25235 -$0.041 -$0.019
$0.100 $0.03 0.0142 -0.289 0.0132 0.0037 $0.28 -$0.24690 -$0.040 -$0.008
$0.101 $0.03 0.0141 -0.287 0.0132 0.0034 $0.28 -$0.24794 -$0.038 -$0.005
$0.102 $0.02 0.0140 -0.285 0.0131 0.0032 $0.28 -$0.24918 -$0.038 -$0.004
$0.102 $0.02 0.0139 -0.282 0.0129 0.0029 $0.28 -$0.25043 -$0.037 -$0.004
$0.103 $0.02 0.0138 -0.279 0.0128 0.0027 $0.29 -$0.25168 -$0.037 -$0.004
$0.103 $0.02 0.0137 -0.277 0.0127 0.0025 $0.29 -$0.25294 -$0.038 -$0.004
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls Julie Osborn 10/3/20127:45 PM
DRAFT
$0.104 $0.02 0.0136 -0.276 0.0127 0.0023 $0.29 -$0.25420 -$0.038 -$0.003
$0.105 $0.02 0.0135 -0.274 0.0126 0.0022 $0.29 -$0.25547 -$0.037 -$0.001
$0.106 $0.02 0.0135 -0.273 0.0126 0.0020 $0.29 -$0.25675 -$0.036 $0.002
$0.108 $0.02 0.0134 -0.273 0.0125 0.0019 $0.30 -$0.25803 -$0.035 $0.005
$0.109 $0.02 0.0134 -0.272 0.0125 0.0018 $0.30 -$0.25932 -$0.035 $0.007
$0.111 $0.01 0.0134 -0.272 0.0125 0.0016 $0.30 -$0.26062 -$0.035 $0.009
$0.112 $0.01 0.0134 -0.272 0.0125 0.0015 $0.31 -$0.26192 -$0.035 $0.012
$0.114 $0.01 0.0134 -0.273 0.0125 0.0014 $0.31 -$0.26323 -$0.036 $0.015
$0.127 $0.01 0.0125 -0.254 0.0117 0.0013 $0.30 -$0.036 $0.260
$0.119 $0.01 0.0116 -0.235 0.0108 0.0011 $0.28 -$0.036 $0.242
$0.111 $0.01 0.0107 -0.217 0.0100 0.0009 $0.26 -$0.036 $0.224
$0.102 $0.01 0.0098 -0.199 0.0091 0.0008 $0.24 -$0.036 $0.204
$0.094 $0.01 0.0089 -0.180 0.0083 0.0007 $0.22 -$0.036 $0.185
$0.085 $0.01 0.0079 -0.161 0.0074 0.0006 $0.20 -$0.037 $0.164
$0.076 $0.01 0.0070 -0.143 0.0066 0.0005 $0.18 -$0.037 $0.143
$0.066 $0.00 0.0061 -0.124 0.0057 0.0004 $0.16 -$0.037 $0.122
$0.056 $0.00 0.0052 -0.105 0.0048 0.0003 $0.14 -$0.037 $0.099
$0.049 $0.00 0.0042 -0.086 0.0040 0.0002 $0.11 $0.000 $0.113
$0.039 $0.00 0.0033 -0.067 0.0031 0.0002 $0.09 $0.000 $0.090
$0.029 $0.00 0.0024 -0.049 0.0023 0.0001 $0.07 $0.000 $0.067
$0.020 $0.00 0.0017 -0.034 0.0015 0.0001 $0.05 $0.000 $0.046
$0.013 $0.00 0.0010 -0.021 0.0010 0.0000 $0.03 $0.000 $0.029
$0.007 $0.00 0.0006 -0.011 0.0005 0.0000 $0.02 $0.000 $0.016
$0.003 $0.00 0.0003 -0.006 0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 $0.000 $0.008
$0.001 $0.00 0.0001 -0.002 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.003
$0.001 $0.00 0.0000 -0.001 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.001
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000
$0.000 $0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls Julie Osborn 10/3/20127:45 PM
DRAFT
Efficiency Level 3
ent Value Energy Savings Net Present Value
Gas Total Discounted Energy Maintenance
Net Present Elec. Eff. Site Equipment Net Net Present
Efficiency Primary Primary Cost and Repair
Value Savings Cost Savings Savings Value
Site Savings Savings Savings Savings Cost Savings
Billions Billions Billions Billions Billions
Quads TWh Quads Quads Billions $2008
$2008 $2008 $2008 $2008 $2008
-$0.23 0.0031 -0.031 0.0030 0.0024 $0.05 -$0.956 $0.000 -$0.905 -$0.74
-$0.20 0.0061 -0.061 0.0060 0.0045 $0.10 -$0.940 $0.000 -$0.836 -$0.64
-$0.17 0.0091 -0.092 0.0090 0.0064 $0.16 -$0.940 $0.000 -$0.781 -$0.56
-$0.15 0.0122 -0.122 0.0120 0.0080 $0.22 -$0.940 $0.000 -$0.723 -$0.48
-$0.12 0.0151 -0.152 0.0150 0.0093 $0.28 -$0.925 $0.000 -$0.648 -$0.40
-$0.10 0.0181 -0.181 0.0180 0.0105 $0.34 -$0.917 $0.000 -$0.578 -$0.34
-$0.08 0.0210 -0.211 0.0210 0.0114 $0.40 -$0.913 $0.000 -$0.512 -$0.28
-$0.07 0.0239 -0.240 0.0238 0.0121 $0.46 -$0.897 $0.000 -$0.432 -$0.22
-$0.05 0.0267 -0.268 0.0266 0.0127 $0.53 -$0.863 $0.000 -$0.337 -$0.16
-$0.01 0.0294 -0.295 0.0294 0.0131 $0.58 -$0.844 $0.040 -$0.221 -$0.10
-$0.04 0.0321 -0.322 0.0322 0.0134 $0.63 -$0.836 -$0.073 -$0.279 -$0.12
-$0.03 0.0346 -0.347 0.0347 0.0135 $0.68 -$0.836 -$0.073 -$0.229 -$0.09
-$0.03 0.0368 -0.369 0.0369 0.0134 $0.72 -$0.851 -$0.073 -$0.205 -$0.07
-$0.02 0.0385 -0.386 0.0387 0.0131 $0.76 -$0.850 -$0.072 -$0.160 -$0.05
-$0.01 0.0396 -0.397 0.0399 0.0126 $0.80 -$0.829 -$0.071 -$0.104 -$0.03
-$0.01 0.0401 -0.402 0.0404 0.0120 $0.82 -$0.800 -$0.071 -$0.049 -$0.01
$0.00 0.0401 -0.402 0.0405 0.0112 $0.83 -$0.783 -$0.070 -$0.019 -$0.01
$0.00 0.0398 -0.399 0.0402 0.0104 $0.84 -$0.786 -$0.067 -$0.010 $0.00
$0.00 0.0395 -0.396 0.0399 0.0096 $0.85 -$0.790 -$0.066 -$0.009 $0.00
$0.00 0.0391 -0.392 0.0395 0.0089 $0.85 -$0.794 -$0.065 -$0.010 $0.00
$0.00 0.0387 -0.389 0.0392 0.0083 $0.85 -$0.798 -$0.065 -$0.010 $0.00
$0.00 0.0385 -0.386 0.0389 0.0077 $0.86 -$0.802 -$0.066 -$0.011 $0.00
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls Julie Osborn 10/3/20127:45 PM
DRAFT
$0.00 0.0382 -0.383 0.0386 0.0071 $0.86 -$0.806 -$0.066 -$0.009 $0.00
$0.00 0.0380 -0.382 0.0384 0.0066 $0.87 -$0.810 -$0.064 -$0.004 $0.00
$0.00 0.0379 -0.380 0.0383 0.0062 $0.88 -$0.814 -$0.062 $0.002 $0.00
$0.00 0.0378 -0.379 0.0382 0.0057 $0.89 -$0.818 -$0.061 $0.009 $0.00
$0.00 0.0378 -0.379 0.0381 0.0054 $0.90 -$0.822 -$0.061 $0.014 $0.00
$0.00 0.0377 -0.378 0.0381 0.0050 $0.91 -$0.826 -$0.061 $0.021 $0.00
$0.00 0.0377 -0.379 0.0381 0.0047 $0.92 -$0.830 -$0.062 $0.029 $0.00
$0.00 0.0378 -0.379 0.0382 0.0044 $0.93 -$0.834 -$0.062 $0.038 $0.00
$0.03 0.0352 -0.353 0.0356 0.0038 $0.88 -$0.062 $0.819 $0.09
$0.02 0.0326 -0.327 0.0330 0.0033 $0.83 -$0.063 $0.765 $0.08
$0.02 0.0301 -0.302 0.0304 0.0028 $0.77 -$0.063 $0.710 $0.07
$0.02 0.0275 -0.276 0.0278 0.0024 $0.72 -$0.063 $0.653 $0.06
$0.02 0.0250 -0.250 0.0252 0.0021 $0.66 -$0.064 $0.594 $0.05
$0.01 0.0224 -0.225 0.0226 0.0017 $0.60 -$0.064 $0.534 $0.04
$0.01 0.0198 -0.199 0.0200 0.0014 $0.54 -$0.064 $0.471 $0.03
$0.01 0.0172 -0.172 0.0174 0.0012 $0.47 -$0.064 $0.407 $0.03
$0.01 0.0146 -0.146 0.0147 0.0009 $0.40 -$0.065 $0.340 $0.02
$0.01 0.0120 -0.120 0.0121 0.0007 $0.34 $0.000 $0.336 $0.02
$0.00 0.0093 -0.094 0.0094 0.0005 $0.27 $0.000 $0.266 $0.01
$0.00 0.0069 -0.069 0.0069 0.0004 $0.20 $0.000 $0.198 $0.01
$0.00 0.0047 -0.047 0.0047 0.0002 $0.14 $0.000 $0.136 $0.01
$0.00 0.0029 -0.029 0.0029 0.0001 $0.09 $0.000 $0.085 $0.00
$0.00 0.0016 -0.016 0.0016 0.0001 $0.05 $0.000 $0.048 $0.00
$0.00 0.0008 -0.008 0.0008 0.0000 $0.02 $0.000 $0.024 $0.00
$0.00 0.0003 -0.003 0.0003 0.0000 $0.01 $0.000 $0.010 $0.00
$0.00 0.0001 -0.001 0.0001 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.004 $0.00
$0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.001 $0.00
$0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
$0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
$0.00 0.0000 0.000 0.0000 0.0000 $0.00 $0.000 $0.000 $0.00
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls Julie Osborn 10/3/20127:45 PM
Shipments Forecast
Source: Shipments between 1990 and 2007 provided by GAMA for Wall Furnaces, Floor Furnaces and Room Heaters Correlation between Hearth Product shipments and Single family housing starts
Fraction of Fan Wall Furnaces vs Gravity Wall Furnace: 1993 Rulemaking TSD, p.1-20, Table 1-8 0.96
Fraction
Shipments Data (million) between Hearth
Total Shipments (million) Shipments Data (million) GAMA 2008 HPBA Association Data Product
Hearth Vented Gas Fireplace Heaters All Hearth DHE Hearth Fraction SF Starts Shipments and
GWF DHE GWG DHE GF DHE GR DHE Products GWF DHE GWG DHE Total GW GF DHE GR DHE Fireplaces Other Vented Products Products of DHE (million) SF Starts
1980 0.021 0.133 0.018 0.072 0.021 0.133 0.154 0.018 0.072 0.852
1981 0.021 0.133 0.018 0.072 0.021 0.133 0.154 0.018 0.072 0.705
1982 0.021 0.133 0.018 0.072 0.021 0.133 0.154 0.018 0.072 0.663
1983 0.021 0.133 0.018 0.072 0.021 0.133 0.154 0.018 0.072 1.068
1984 0.021 0.133 0.018 0.072 0.021 0.133 0.154 0.018 0.072 1.084
1985 0.021 0.133 0.018 0.072 0.021 0.133 0.154 0.018 0.072 1.072
1986 0.021 0.133 0.018 0.072 0.021 0.133 0.154 0.018 0.072 1.179
1987 0.021 0.133 0.018 0.072 0.021 0.133 0.154 0.018 0.072 1.146
1988 0.021 0.133 0.018 0.072 0.021 0.133 0.154 0.018 0.072 1.081
1989 0.021 0.133 0.018 0.072 0.021 0.133 0.154 0.018 0.072 1.003
1990 0.020 0.131 0.018 0.072 0.020 0.131 0.151 0.018 0.072 0.895
1991 0.020 0.127 0.015 0.057 0.020 0.127 0.147 0.015 0.057 0.840
1992 0.020 0.127 0.015 0.059 0.020 0.127 0.147 0.015 0.059 1.030
1993 0.022 0.139 0.014 0.063 0.022 0.139 0.161 0.014 0.063 1.126
1994 0.023 0.147 0.013 0.071 0.023 0.147 0.170 0.013 0.071 1.198
1995 0.023 0.146 0.013 0.056 0.023 0.146 0.169 0.013 0.056 1.076
1996 0.021 0.137 0.012 0.051 0.021 0.137 0.159 0.012 0.051 1.161
1997 0.021 0.138 0.010 0.046 0.021 0.138 0.159 0.010 0.046 1.134
1998 0.022 0.142 0.008 0.034 0.679 0.022 0.142 0.165 0.008 0.034 1.61 1.271 53.4%
1999 0.022 0.138 0.007 0.036 0.745 0.022 0.138 0.160 0.007 0.036 1.77 1.302 57.2%
Hearth Shipments vs. SF Starts
2000 0.021 0.134 0.006 0.026 0.759 0.021 0.134 0.155 0.006 0.026 1.80 1.231 61.6%
2001 0.020 0.129 0.005 0.020 0.714 0.020 0.129 0.149 0.005 0.020 0.101 0.015 1.69 1.273 56.1%
2002 0.027 0.118 0.006 0.021 0.723 0.027 0.118 0.144 0.006 0.021 0.196 0.015 1.72 0.72 42% 1.359 53.3% 2.000
2003 0.029 0.121 0.005 0.023 0.763 0.029 0.121 0.150 0.005 0.023 0.220 0.018 1.81 0.77 42% 1.499 50.9%
2004 0.031 0.123 0.005 0.021 0.887 0.031 0.123 0.154 0.005 0.021 0.243 0.018 2.10 1.611 55.1% 1.800
Housing Starts
2005 0.033 0.113 0.004 0.018 0.903 0.033 0.113 0.146 0.004 0.018 2.14 42% 1.716 52.6%
1.600 Hearth Shipments
2006 0.035 0.098 0.004 0.021 0.728 0.035 0.098 0.134 0.004 0.021 1.73 1.465 49.7%
2007 0.037 0.108 0.003 0.021 0.638 0.037 0.108 0.146 0.003 0.021 1.51 1.046 61.0% 1.400
2008 0.040 0.106 0.003 0.021 0.429 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.003 0.021 1.02 0.622 68.9%
2009 0.040 0.106 0.003 0.021 0.505 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.003 0.021 0.897 56.3% 1.200
2010 0.040 0.106 0.003 0.021 0.456 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.003 0.021 0.810 1.000
2011 0.040 0.106 0.002 0.021 0.676 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.002 0.021 1.200
2012 0.040 0.106 0.002 0.021 0.769 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.002 0.021 1.364 0.800
2013 0.040 0.106 0.002 0.021 0.800 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.002 0.021 1.420
2014 0.040 0.106 0.002 0.021 0.787 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.002 0.021 1.396 0.600
2015 0.040 0.106 0.002 0.021 0.786 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.002 0.021 1.395 0.400
2016 0.040 0.106 0.002 0.021 0.787 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.002 0.021 1.396
2017 0.040 0.106 0.001 0.021 0.774 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.001 0.021 1.374 0.200
2018 0.040 0.106 0.001 0.021 0.767 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.001 0.021 1.362
0.000
2019 0.040 0.106 0.001 0.021 0.764 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.001 0.021 1.356
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045
2020 0.040 0.106 0.001 0.021 0.751 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.001 0.021 1.332
2021 0.040 0.106 0.001 0.021 0.722 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.001 0.021 1.282
2022 0.040 0.106 0.001 0.021 0.706 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.001 0.021 1.253
2023 0.040 0.106 0.001 0.021 0.700 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.001 0.021 1.242
2024 0.040 0.106 0.001 0.021 0.699 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.001 0.021 1.241
2025 0.040 0.106 0.001 0.021 0.712 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.001 0.021 1.263
2026 0.040 0.106 0.001 0.021 0.711 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.001 0.021 1.262
2027 0.040 0.106 0.001 0.021 0.694 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.001 0.021 1.231
2028 0.040 0.106 0.001 0.021 0.669 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.001 0.021 1.188
2029 0.040 0.106 0.000 0.021 0.655 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.000 0.021 1.162
2030 0.040 0.106 0.000 0.021 0.658 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.000 0.021 1.167
2031 0.040 0.106 0.000 0.021 0.661 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.000 0.021 1.173
2032 0.040 0.106 0.000 0.021 0.664 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.000 0.021 1.179
2033 0.040 0.106 0.000 0.021 0.668 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.000 0.021 1.185
2034 0.040 0.106 0.000 0.021 0.671 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.000 0.021 1.191
2035 0.040 0.106 0.000 0.021 0.674 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.000 0.021 1.197
2036 0.040 0.106 0.000 0.021 0.678 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.000 0.021 1.203
2037 0.040 0.106 0.000 0.021 0.681 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.000 0.021 1.209
2038 0.040 0.106 0.000 0.021 0.684 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.000 0.021 1.215
2039 0.040 0.106 0.000 0.021 0.688 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.000 0.021 1.221
2040 0.040 0.106 0.000 0.021 0.691 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.000 0.021 1.227
2041 0.040 0.106 0.000 0.021 0.695 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.000 0.021 1.233
2042 0.040 0.106 0.000 0.021 0.698 0.040 0.106 0.146 0.000 0.021 1.239
1
DRAFT
LCC Inputs
Market Average values refer to values that would result with a standard at
the given EL
Gas Wal Fan DHE
Rebound ON Rebound
Rebound ON OFF Market Rebound OFF Market Market Market
Market Market Average Annual Maint.
Efficiency Description Market Average Average Market Average Repair Cost Repair Average Average Average
Average Elec Installed Price Cost
Level Gas Use Gas Use Elec Use Installed Price Maint. Cost Repair Cost Repair Year
UEC
EF (MMBtu) (kWh) (MMBtu) (kWh) 2008$ 2008$ 2008$ 2008$ 2008$ 2008$ 2008$ 2008$
0 74 Standing Pilot (Baseline) 28.6 44.0 28.4 43.6 $1,756 1,812.0 $45 $101 9 44.5 108.5 9.0
1 75 Electronic Ignition, Two-Speed Blower 28.1 47.0 27.8 46.5 $1,809 1,833.9 $45 $111 9 44.5 112.7 9.1
2 76 Electronic Ignition, Improved HX 27.9 46.8 27.6 46.3 $1,833 1,844.8 $45 $111 9 44.5 112.7 9.1
3 77 Electronic Ignition, Two-Speed Blower, Improved HX 27.7 46.5 27.3 45.9 $1,876 1,881.6 $45 $111 9 44.5 112.7 9.1
4 80 Electronic Ignition, Induced Draft (Max-Tech) 26.8 67.8 26.3 66.5 $2,002 2,002.2 $45 $153 9 44.5 153.1 9.2
Gas Wall Gravity DHE
Rebound ON Rebound
Rebound ON OFF Market Rebound OFF Market Market Market
Market Market Average Annual Maint.
Efficiency Description Market Average Average Market Average Repair Cost Repair Average Average Average
Average Elec Installed Price Cost
Level Gas Use Gas Use Elec Use Installed Price Maint. Cost Repair Cost Repair Year
UEC
EF (MMBtu) (kWh) (MMBtu) (kWh) 2008$ 2008$ 2008$ 2008$ 2008$ 2008$ 2008$ 2008$
0 64 Standing Pilot (Baseline) 28.9 0.0 28.8 0.0 $1,373 1,428.0 $45 $40 9 44.5 40.4 8.7
1 66 Standing Pilot, Improved HX 28.7 0.0 28.6 0.0 $1,431 1,445.2 $45 $40 9 44.5 40.4 8.7
2 68 Standing Pilot, Improved HX 28.3 0.0 28.1 0.0 $1,467 1,467.2 $45 $40 9 44.5 40.4 8.7
3 71 Standing Pilot, Improved HX 27.4 0.0 27.0 0.0 $1,543 1,543.1 $45 $40 9 44.5 40.4 8.7
4 72 Electronic Ignition 26.4 17.6 25.8 17.2 $1,831 1,830.6 $45 $51 9 44.5 51.0 8.7
Gas Floor DHE
Rebound ON Rebound
Rebound ON OFF Market Rebound OFF Market Market Market
Market Market Average Annual Maint.
Efficiency Description Market Average Average Market Average Repair Cost Repair Average Average Average
Average Elec Installed Price Cost
Level Gas Use Gas Use Elec Use Installed Price Maint. Cost Repair Cost Repair Year
UEC
EF (MMBtu) (kWh) (MMBtu) (kWh) 2008$ 2008$ 2008$ 2008$ 2008$ 2008$ 2008$ 2008$
0 57 Standing Pilot (Baseline) 30.5 0.0 30.5 0.0 $2,109 2,138.2 $45 $41 9 44.5 40.6 8.7
1 58 Standing Pilot, Improved HX 30.4 0.0 30.3 0.0 $2,160 2,160.2 $45 $41 9 44.5 40.6 8.7
Gas Room DHE
Rebound ON Rebound
Rebound ON Market Market Market
Market OFF Market Rebound OFF Market Average Annual Maint.
Description Market Average Repair Cost Repair Average Average Average
Average Elec Average Market Average Installed Price Cost
Gas Use Gas Use Elec Use Installed Price Maint. Cost Repair Cost Repair Year
Efficiency UEC
Level EF (MMBtu) (kWh) (MMBtu) (kWh) 2008$ 2008$ 2008$ 2008$ Year 2008$ 2008$ 2008$
0 64 Standing Pilot (Baseline) 25.7 21.1 25.4 20.1 $1,232 1,400.5 $45 $36 9 44.5 51.5 8.8
1 65 Standing Pilot, Improved HX 25.6 21.1 25.3 20.1 $1,264 1,408.5 $45 $36 9 44.5 51.5 8.8
2 66 Standing Pilot, Improved HX 25.5 21.1 25.1 20.1 $1,298 1,425.7 $45 $36 9 44.5 51.5 8.8
3 67 Standing Pilot, Improved HX 25.2 21.1 24.8 20.1 $1,311 1,435.8 $45 $36 9 44.5 51.5 8.8
4 68 Standing Pilot, Improved HX 25.0 21.1 24.6 20.1 $1,332 1,451.1 $45 $36 9 44.5 51.5 8.8
5 83 Electronic Ignition, Dual Shaft Blower, Electronic Controls 21.5 84.5 20.4 80.3 $1,809 1,809.1 $45 $98 9 44.5 98.5 9.1
Gas Hearth DHE
Rebound ON Rebound
Rebound ON OFF Market Rebound OFF Market Market Market
Market Market Average Annual Maint.
Description Market Average Average Market Average Repair Cost Repair Average Average Average
Average Elec Installed Price Cost
Gas Use Gas Use Elec Use Installed Price Maint. Cost Repair Cost Repair Year
Efficiency UEC
Level EF (MMBtu) (kWh) (MMBtu) (kWh) 2008$ 2008$ 2008$ 2008$ Year 2008$ 2008$ 2008$
0 64 Standing Pilot (Baseline) 14.5 10.9 14.4 10.7 $1,663 1747.5 $45 $38 9 44.5 50.1 8.8
1 67 Electronic Ignition 14.0 18.4 13.7 18.1 $1,722 1776.4 $45 $47 9 44.5 54.5 8.8
2 72 Electronic Ignition, Fan Assisted (Blower) 13.2 38.7 12.8 37.6 $2,123 2124.5 $45 $103 9 44.5 103.3 9.1
3 93 Condensing 10.7 49.5 9.9 45.8 $2,943 2942.5 $45 $143 9 44.5 142.9 9.2
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls Julie Osborn 10/3/20127:45 PM
DRAFT
Annualized Repair Costs 0
Market Shares 15% Rebound Effect Annual Repair & Maintenance
ON OFF
Annual Maint.
Annual Electricity Annual Electricity Repair Cost Repair
Cost
Market Share in Cumulative market Gas Use Use Gas Use Use
2013 share (MMBtu) (kWh) (MMBtu) (kWh) 2008$ 2008$ 2008$
40.9% 40.9% 29.6 38.8 29.6 39 $45 $101 9.0
4.6% 45.5% 28.3 46.2 28.1 46 $45 $111 9.1
40.9% 86.4% 28.0 45.8 27.7 45 $45 $111 9.1
9.1% 95.4% 27.7 45.5 27.4 45 $45 $111 9.1
4.6% 100.0% 26.8 67.8 26.3 66 $45 $153 9.2
ON OFF
Annual Maint.
Annual Electricity Annual Electricity Repair Cost Repair
Cost
Market Share in Cumulative market Gas Use Use Gas Use Use
2013 share (MMBtu) (kWh) (MMBtu) (kWh) 2008$ 2008$ 2008$
30.0% 30.0% 29.7 0.0 29.7 0 $45 $40 8.7
30.0% 60.0% 29.0 0.0 28.9 0 $45 $40 8.7
40.0% 100.0% 28.3 0.0 28.1 0 $45 $40 8.7
0.0% 100.0% 27.4 0.0 27.0 0 $45 $40 8.7
0.0% 100.0% 26.4 17.6 25.8 17 $45 $51 8.7
ON OFF
Annual Maint.
Annual Electricity Annual Electricity Repair Cost Repair
Cost
Market Share in Cumulative market Gas Use Use Gas Use Use
2013 share (MMBtu) (kWh) (MMBtu) (kWh) 2008$ 2008$ 2008$
42.9% 42.9% 30.8 0.0 30.8 0 $45 $41 8.7
57.1% 100.0% 30.4 0.0 30.3 0 $45 $41 8.7
ON OFF
Annual Maint.
Repair Cost Repair
Annual Electricity Annual Electricity Cost
Market Share in Cumulative market Gas Use Use Gas Use Use
2013 share (MMBtu) (kWh) (MMBtu) (kWh) 2008$ 2008$ Year
25.0% 25.0% 27.5 0.0 27.5 0 $45 $36 8.7
25.0% 50.0% 27.1 0.0 27.1 0 $45 $36 8.7
25.0% 75.0% 26.8 0.0 26.7 0 $45 $36 8.7
0.0% 75.0% 26.5 0.0 26.3 0 $45 $36 8.7
0.0% 75.0% 26.2 0.0 25.9 0 $45 $36 8.7
25.0% 100.0% 21.5 84.5 20.4 80 $45 $98 9.1
ON OFF
Annual Maint.
Annual Electricity Annual Electricity Repair Cost Repair
Cost
Market Share in Cumulative market Gas Use Use Gas Use Use
2013 share (MMBtu) (kWh) (MMBtu) (kWh) 2008$ 2008$ Year
49.1% 49.1% 15.3 0.0 15.3 0 $45 $38 8.7
37.6% 86.7% 14.1 15.3 13.9 15 $45 $47 8.8
13.1% 99.8% 13.2 38.6 12.8 38 $45 $103 9.1
0.2% 100.0% 10.7 49.5 9.9 46 $45 $143 9.2
4e0cc6d4-eb50-4499-af47-11808ea516f6.xls Julie Osborn 10/3/20127:45 PM
Retirement Function
Source: See LCC Chapter 8
Life Expectancy Parameters
Low 10
Point 15
High 20
% of high value 99.00%
Alpha (SCALE) 5.63
Calculated Beta (SHAPE) 2.655
Likeliest value 14.71
Fit Parameter for Solver -3.59486E-07
Retirement Probability Survival Probability
Retirement Probability
DHE DHE DHE
30 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 100.0%
29 0.0% 1 0.0% 1 100.0%
28 0.0% 2 0.0% 2 100.0%
27 0.0% 3 0.0% 3 100.0%
26 0.0% 4 0.0% 4 100.0%
25 0.0% 5 0.0% 5 100.0%
24 0.0% 6 0.0% 6 100.0%
23 0.0% 7 0.0% 7 100.0%
22 0.0% 8 0.0% 8 100.0%
21 0.2% 9 0.0% 9 100.0%
20 0.7% 10 0.0% 10 100.0%
19 2.1% 11 1.0% 11 99.0%
18 4.8% 12 5.2% 12 93.8%
17 8.9% 13 11.0% 13 82.8%
16 13.8% 14 16.1% 14 66.7%
15 17.6% 15 18.6% 15 48.1%
14 18.6% 16 17.6% 16 30.5%
13 16.1% 17 13.8% 17 16.8%
12 11.0% 18 8.9% 18 7.8%
11 5.2% 19 4.8% 19 3.1%
10 1.0% 20 2.1% 20 1.0%
9 0.0% 21 0.7% 21 0.3%
8 0.0% 22 0.2% 22 0.1%
7 0.0% 23 0.0% 23 0.0%
6 0.0% 24 0.0% 24 0.0%
5 0.0% 25 0.0% 25 0.0%
4 0.0% 26 0.0% 26 0.0%
3 0.0% 27 0.0% 27 0.0%
2 0.0% 28 0.0% 28 0.0%
1 0.0% 29 0.0% 29 0.0%
0 0.0% 30 0.0% 30 0.0%
Survival ProbabilitySurvival Probability
DHE
30 0.0%
29 0.0%
28 0.0%
Probability of Retirement
27 0.0% 20%
26 0.0%
18%
25 0.0%
24 0.0% 16%
23 0.0%
22 0.0% 14%
21 0.1%
20 0.3% 12%
19 1.0%
10%
18 3.1%
17 7.8% 8%
16 16.8%
15 30.5% 6%
14 48.1%
13 66.7% 4%
12 82.8%
2%
11 93.8%
10 99.0% 0%
9 100.0% 0 5 10 15
8 100.0%
Age (years)
7 100.0%
6 100.0%
5 100.0%
4 100.0%
3 100.0%
2 100.0%
1 100.0%
0 100.0%
obability of Retirement
15 20 25 30
Age (years)
Projected Energy Prices and Site to
Share LPG in Gas Market GWF,GWG,GF 12.0%
Source Factors
Room Heater 38.3% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Source: Annual Energy Outlook 2009 Hearth Product 20.6% GWF, GWG, GF 1% 3% 8% 6% 7% 2% 6% 15% 53%
Source:RECS 2005 Source: AEO 2009 MHR Forecast Room Heater 3% 6% 10% 4% 15% 17% 29% 1% 15%
Hearth 1% 6% 19% 9% 14% 9% 4% 14% 23%
Gas Marginal Heat Rate based on Furnace Load Shape
GWF,GWG,GF Room Heater Hearth Product GWF,GWG,GF Room Heater Hearth Product
RECS Weighted RECS Weighted RECS Weighted RECS Weighted NG+ LPG RECS Weighted NG + LPG RECS Weighted NG + LPG Electric Marginal Heat Rate (furnace fan) based on refrigerator (base) load shape
Electricity Price (2008$ / MMBTU) Electricity Price (2008$ / MMBTU) Electricity Price (2008$ / MMBTU) NG/LPG Price (2008$/MBTU) NG/LPG Price (2008$/MBTU) NG/LPG Price (2008$/MBTU) Marginal Site to Source Conversion Factor
REF LO HI REF LO HI REF LO HI REF LO HI REF LO HI REF LO HI Elec (Btu/kWh) Scaler Gas LPG/Gas Mix
2006 $33.52 $33.52 $33.52 $32.88 $32.88 $32.88 $31.20 $31.21 $31.21 $14.71 $14.71 $14.71 $19.11 $19.11 $19.11 $16.29 $16.29 $16.29 2005 11500 3.37 1.090 1.079 0.9176
2007 $33.66 $33.66 $33.66 $32.51 $32.50 $32.50 $31.45 $31.45 $31.45 $14.28 $14.28 $14.28 $18.82 $18.82 $18.82 $15.79 $15.79 $15.79 2006 11500 3.37 1.090 1.079 0.9176 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
2008 $33.34 $33.33 $33.34 $33.09 $33.09 $33.10 $31.70 $31.70 $31.71 $15.33 $15.33 $15.33 $20.31 $20.31 $20.31 $16.80 $16.80 $16.80 2007 11500 3.37 1.080 1.070 0.9262 Electricity Regional Price Forecasts Natural Gas Regional Price Forecasts LPG Regional Price Forecasts
2009 $32.56 $32.50 $32.70 $31.89 $31.82 $31.97 $30.91 $30.85 $31.04 $12.49 $12.43 $12.57 $15.96 $15.92 $16.00 $13.43 $13.37 $13.49 2008 11500 3.37 1.064 1.057 0.9397 (in 2008$ / MMBtu) (in 2008$ / MMBtu) (in 2008$ / MMBtu)
2010 $31.00 $30.78 $31.23 $29.66 $29.42 $29.80 $29.21 $28.99 $29.42 $12.72 $12.51 $12.75 $15.89 $15.59 $15.82 $13.58 $13.34 $13.59 2009 11500 3.37 1.050 1.044 0.9525 Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat. Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat. Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat.
2011 $31.84 $31.43 $32.23 $30.84 $30.35 $31.19 $30.29 $29.86 $30.66 $13.13 $12.81 $13.21 $17.01 $16.58 $16.95 $14.28 $13.93 $14.32 2010 11500 3.37 1.064 1.056 0.9401 2006 49.95 41.76 28.55 25.37 30.49 25.51 35.88 28.07 36.31 32.40 33.51606 2006 18.21 16.23 12.84 13.04 17.82 16.06 13.97 12.47 12.46 14.23 13.18958 2006 29.56 29.15 21.38 21.38 27.18 26.31 26.31 22.72 27.43 24.80
2012 $31.95 $31.35 $32.53 $31.01 $30.30 $31.51 $30.44 $29.81 $31.01 $13.28 $12.89 $13.37 $17.76 $17.23 $17.70 $14.64 $14.21 $14.70 2011 11250 3.30 1.071 1.062 0.9338 2007 50.82 42.51 29.64 25.28 30.52 25.43 33.95 28.33 36.50 32.38 33.65924 2007 16.67 15.11 11.73 12.23 16.64 14.23 12.52 11.06 12.10 13.18 2007 30.02 29.71 23.25 20.34 28.94 27.23 26.84 24.81 30.46 25.93
2013 $32.10 $31.43 $32.83 $31.37 $30.60 $31.98 $30.71 $29.95 $31.42 $13.38 $12.93 $13.58 $18.41 $17.80 $18.45 $14.94 $14.43 $15.09 2012 11000 3.22 1.077 1.068 0.9284 2008 49.94 44.59 28.83 25.17 31.69 27.54 34.65 29.38 35.37 32.99 2008 17.23 15.23 12.41 12.78 15.77 13.38 12.38 11.54 13.13 13.48 2008 34.35 33.99 26.60 23.27 33.11 31.15 30.71 28.38 34.86 29.56
2014 $32.30 $31.52 $33.26 $31.77 $30.85 $32.66 $31.03 $30.08 $31.96 $13.53 $13.13 $13.87 $19.01 $18.59 $19.30 $15.25 $14.85 $15.58 2013 10500 3.08 1.082 1.072 0.9244 2009 47.49 40.68 27.66 25.51 31.18 27.15 32.90 29.85 34.43 31.92 2009 14.39 12.53 10.02 10.31 12.91 11.17 10.56 9.65 11.07 11.13 2009 25.87 25.60 20.04 17.52 24.93 23.45 23.11 21.36 26.24 22.33
2015 $32.25 $31.45 $33.38 $31.85 $30.89 $32.84 $31.08 $30.18 $32.18 $13.78 $13.36 $14.19 $19.68 $19.23 $20.01 $15.64 $15.21 $16.02 2014 10000 2.93 1.087 1.076 0.9201 2010 43.32 36.26 26.15 25.39 28.86 26.13 29.54 27.99 33.24 29.72 2010 15.21 13.09 10.57 10.84 13.32 11.46 10.89 10.14 11.53 11.62 2010 24.60 24.70 19.27 16.66 24.40 22.90 22.68 20.78 23.94 21.49
2016 $32.34 $31.44 $33.59 $32.10 $31.18 $33.28 $31.31 $30.38 $32.54 $14.10 $13.60 $14.54 $20.21 $19.69 $20.56 $16.03 $15.53 $16.43 2015 9684 2.84 1.093 1.082 0.915 2011 46.14 39.15 27.47 26.05 30.16 26.81 30.85 29.14 33.71 31.02 2011 15.78 13.54 10.82 11.10 13.83 11.96 11.24 10.33 11.53 11.93 2011 26.97 27.08 21.64 19.03 26.77 25.27 25.06 23.16 26.31 23.89
2017 $32.55 $31.42 $33.90 $32.44 $31.34 $33.76 $31.63 $30.49 $32.99 $14.43 $13.86 $14.86 $20.70 $20.10 $21.05 $16.40 $15.83 $16.82 2016 9368 2.75 1.093 1.082 0.915 2012 47.36 40.14 27.63 26.00 30.52 26.64 30.95 29.14 33.76 31.26 2012 15.38 13.49 10.69 10.98 13.87 11.94 11.22 10.29 11.38 11.84 2012 29.02 29.12 23.69 21.08 28.82 27.32 27.10 25.20 28.35 25.94
2018 $32.75 $31.44 $34.19 $32.72 $31.39 $34.23 $31.94 $30.61 $33.49 $14.73 $14.14 $15.17 $21.17 $20.53 $21.48 $16.77 $16.15 $17.16 2017 9053 2.65 1.093 1.082 0.9152 2013 47.70 40.92 28.12 26.32 30.81 26.71 31.59 29.32 33.73 31.59 2013 15.24 13.37 10.60 10.85 13.84 11.92 11.21 10.23 11.20 11.74 2013 30.83 30.93 25.50 22.89 30.63 29.13 28.91 27.02 30.17 27.77
2019 $32.88 $31.55 $34.43 $32.94 $31.53 $34.56 $32.13 $30.73 $33.81 $15.01 $14.34 $15.45 $21.51 $20.75 $21.81 $17.07 $16.37 $17.47 2018 8737 2.56 1.093 1.082 0.9148 2014 48.11 41.31 28.59 26.69 31.26 27.00 32.23 29.61 33.75 31.98 2014 15.21 13.35 10.58 10.82 13.88 11.93 11.22 10.21 11.13 11.72 2014 32.39 32.50 27.07 24.46 32.19 30.69 30.48 28.58 31.73 29.34
2020 $33.17 $31.68 $34.65 $33.38 $31.87 $34.96 $32.47 $30.98 $34.09 $15.30 $14.62 $15.70 $21.81 $21.01 $22.15 $17.38 $16.65 $17.76 2019 8421 2.47 1.093 1.082 0.9147 2015 48.53 41.65 28.82 26.67 31.33 26.91 32.44 29.80 33.52 32.07 2015 15.26 13.41 10.64 10.87 13.95 11.98 11.27 10.28 11.17 11.78 2015 34.07 34.17 28.74 26.13 33.87 32.37 32.15 30.25 33.41 31.03
2021 $33.48 $32.07 $34.97 $33.77 $32.32 $35.37 $32.80 $31.35 $34.39 $15.55 $15.04 $16.08 $22.06 $21.46 $22.53 $17.63 $17.08 $18.12 2020 8421 2.47 1.093 1.082 0.9149 2016 48.64 42.46 29.26 26.76 31.63 27.14 32.70 30.03 33.44 32.35 2016 15.44 13.59 10.83 11.07 14.16 12.15 11.44 10.54 11.40 11.98 2016 35.15 35.25 29.82 27.21 34.95 33.45 33.23 31.33 34.49 32.12
2022 $33.59 $32.27 $35.24 $34.00 $32.56 $35.62 $32.98 $31.54 $34.59 $15.58 $15.06 $16.15 $22.17 $21.53 $22.67 $17.70 $17.13 $18.23 2021 8421 2.47 1.094 1.082 0.9144 2017 48.83 43.16 29.57 26.88 32.03 27.58 33.08 30.55 33.48 32.70 2017 15.65 13.79 11.05 11.29 14.40 12.36 11.65 10.84 11.65 12.21 2017 36.05 36.15 30.72 28.11 35.85 34.35 34.13 32.23 35.38 33.03
2023 $33.31 $31.87 $35.07 $33.99 $32.44 $35.82 $32.81 $31.19 $34.55 $15.33 $14.76 $16.02 $22.19 $21.52 $22.98 $17.58 $16.96 $18.31 2022 8421 2.47 1.096 1.084 0.9127 2018 49.12 43.98 29.92 26.93 32.38 27.85 33.39 31.27 33.47 33.04 2018 15.88 14.01 11.27 11.50 14.65 12.57 11.85 11.10 11.87 12.43 2018 36.95 37.05 31.62 29.01 36.75 35.25 35.03 33.13 36.29 33.94
2024 $33.23 $31.54 $34.99 $34.05 $32.19 $36.07 $32.75 $30.90 $34.56 $15.31 $14.54 $15.94 $22.23 $21.23 $23.01 $17.58 $16.70 $18.27 2023 8308 2.43 1.098 1.087 0.9104 2019 49.37 44.32 30.27 26.88 32.57 27.94 33.78 31.59 33.48 33.25 2019 16.13 14.27 11.54 11.77 14.97 12.86 12.15 11.39 12.11 12.71 2019 37.36 37.46 32.03 29.42 37.16 35.66 35.44 33.54 36.69 34.36
2025 $33.26 $31.56 $35.06 $34.02 $31.99 $36.01 $32.78 $30.91 $34.59 $15.30 $14.48 $15.81 $21.99 $20.94 $22.74 $17.47 $16.55 $18.07 2024 8235 2.41 1.098 1.086 0.9106 2020 49.69 44.96 30.58 26.92 33.09 28.23 34.48 32.11 33.64 33.68 2020 16.45 14.59 11.88 12.10 15.36 13.22 12.51 11.70 12.37 13.04 2020 37.61 37.71 32.28 29.67 37.41 35.91 35.69 33.79 36.95 34.62
2026 $33.43 $31.61 $35.15 $34.03 $31.74 $35.93 $32.90 $31.00 $34.64 $15.50 $14.66 $15.96 $22.20 $21.18 $23.00 $17.68 $16.77 $18.28 2025 8219 2.41 1.098 1.086 0.9108 2021 49.99 45.46 30.84 26.90 33.48 28.42 35.16 32.91 33.80 34.05 2021 16.68 14.81 12.14 12.36 15.61 13.46 12.78 11.98 12.60 13.29 2021 37.84 37.94 32.51 29.90 37.64 36.14 35.92 34.03 37.18 34.86
2027 $33.74 $31.74 $35.43 $34.44 $32.05 $36.26 $33.21 $31.11 $34.92 $15.79 $14.89 $16.15 $22.49 $21.33 $23.14 $17.98 $16.98 $18.46 2026 8084 2.37 1.098 1.086 0.9111 2022 50.02 45.88 31.15 26.86 33.63 28.49 35.66 33.22 33.79 34.26 2022 16.75 14.90 12.24 12.44 15.84 13.59 12.89 11.81 12.62 13.37 2022 37.96 38.06 32.63 30.02 37.76 36.26 36.04 34.15 37.30 34.99
2028 $34.11 $32.13 $35.78 $34.87 $32.45 $36.58 $33.60 $31.42 $35.29 $16.13 $15.26 $16.47 $22.85 $21.66 $23.39 $18.33 $17.34 $18.76 2027 7949 2.33 1.098 1.087 0.9104 2023 49.62 45.80 31.15 26.71 33.56 28.41 36.01 32.96 33.34 34.19 2023 16.59 14.74 12.05 12.21 15.77 13.45 12.77 11.41 12.20 13.15 2023 38.30 38.41 32.98 30.37 38.11 36.60 36.39 34.49 37.64 35.34
2029 $34.56 $32.55 $36.13 $35.32 $32.91 $36.93 $34.02 $31.80 $35.61 $16.37 $15.63 $16.68 $23.09 $22.05 $23.69 $18.58 $17.71 $19.01 2028 7750 2.27 1.098 1.086 0.9105 2024 49.34 45.74 31.00 26.56 33.55 28.43 36.41 32.99 33.18 34.18 2024 16.57 14.70 12.00 12.14 15.71 13.45 12.77 11.49 12.13 13.11 2024 38.44 38.54 33.11 30.50 38.24 36.74 36.52 34.62 37.78 35.48
2030 $34.89 $32.86 $36.51 $35.66 $33.36 $37.22 $34.34 $32.10 $35.86 $16.68 $16.04 $17.20 $23.42 $22.42 $24.23 $18.90 $18.11 $19.50 2029 7666 2.25 1.099 1.087 0.9098 2025 49.27 45.58 31.05 26.44 33.51 28.48 36.32 33.31 33.17 34.17 2025 16.58 14.65 11.95 12.16 15.62 13.23 12.61 11.60 12.22 13.08 2025 37.97 38.07 32.64 30.03 37.77 36.27 36.06 34.16 37.31 35.02
2031 $35.06 $32.98 $36.71 $35.93 $33.53 $37.53 $34.57 $32.23 $36.12 $16.89 $16.24 $17.42 $23.69 $22.65 $24.54 $19.14 $18.32 $19.76 2030 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 0.9104 2026 49.45 45.78 31.02 26.34 33.62 28.60 36.07 33.67 33.41 34.22 2026 16.80 14.87 12.12 12.34 15.95 13.35 12.69 11.82 12.40 13.28 2026 38.25 38.36 32.93 30.32 38.05 36.55 36.34 34.44 37.59 35.30
2032 $35.24 $33.10 $36.90 $36.20 $33.70 $37.84 $34.80 $32.37 $36.39 $17.11 $16.44 $17.65 $23.97 $22.88 $24.85 $19.38 $18.53 $20.02 2031 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2027 49.76 46.25 31.18 26.34 33.96 28.86 36.85 34.47 33.58 34.60 2027 17.13 15.18 12.40 12.63 16.33 13.62 12.97 12.13 12.68 13.58 2027 38.54 38.64 33.21 30.60 38.34 36.84 36.62 34.72 37.87 35.59
2033 $35.42 $33.23 $37.09 $36.47 $33.87 $38.16 $35.03 $32.50 $36.65 $17.33 $16.64 $17.88 $24.25 $23.12 $25.17 $19.63 $18.75 $20.28 2032 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2028 50.34 46.95 31.50 26.46 34.42 29.15 37.42 35.00 33.89 35.03 2028 17.45 15.48 12.77 12.99 16.62 14.01 13.38 12.49 13.01 13.92 2028 38.88 38.99 33.55 30.94 38.68 37.18 36.97 35.07 38.22 35.95
2034 $35.60 $33.35 $37.29 $36.75 $34.05 $38.48 $35.26 $32.63 $36.92 $17.55 $16.85 $18.11 $24.53 $23.35 $25.50 $19.87 $18.97 $20.55 2033 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2029 50.76 47.22 31.84 26.70 34.82 29.46 38.12 35.84 34.26 35.46 2029 17.77 15.78 13.02 13.25 17.01 14.26 13.66 12.75 13.23 14.20 2029 39.07 39.17 33.74 31.13 38.87 37.37 37.16 35.26 38.41 36.14
2035 $35.78 $33.47 $37.48 $37.03 $34.22 $38.80 $35.50 $32.77 $37.18 $17.78 $17.05 $18.34 $24.81 $23.59 $25.82 $20.13 $19.19 $20.82 2034 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2030 51.36 48.01 32.05 26.84 35.18 29.66 38.52 36.24 34.56 35.81 2030 18.06 16.05 13.34 13.58 17.27 14.57 13.97 13.08 13.52 14.50 2030 39.44 39.54 34.11 31.50 39.24 37.74 37.52 35.62 38.78 36.51
2036 $35.96 $33.59 $37.68 $37.31 $34.40 $39.13 $35.74 $32.90 $37.45 $18.01 $17.26 $18.58 $25.10 $23.84 $26.15 $20.38 $19.41 $21.10 2035 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087
2037 $36.14 $33.72 $37.88 $37.59 $34.58 $39.45 $35.97 $33.04 $37.73 $18.24 $17.48 $18.82 $25.40 $24.08 $26.49 $20.64 $19.64 $21.37 2036 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087
2038 $36.32 $33.84 $38.08 $37.87 $34.75 $39.78 $36.21 $33.18 $38.00 $18.47 $17.69 $19.06 $25.69 $24.33 $26.83 $20.90 $19.87 $21.66 2037 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 Updated Regional Residential Electricity Price Forecasts - High Growth Scenario Updated Regional Residential Natural Gas Price Forecasts - High Growth Scenario Updated Regional Residential LPG Price Forecasts - High Growth Scenario
2039 $36.50 $33.97 $38.28 $38.16 $34.93 $40.12 $36.46 $33.31 $38.27 $18.71 $17.91 $19.31 $25.99 $24.58 $27.17 $21.17 $20.10 $21.94 2038 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 (in 2008$ / MMBtu) (in 2008$ / MMBtu) (in 2008$ / MMBtu)
2040 $36.69 $34.09 $38.48 $38.45 $35.11 $40.45 $36.70 $33.45 $38.55 $18.95 $18.13 $19.56 $26.29 $24.83 $27.52 $21.44 $20.34 $22.23 2039 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat. Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat. Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat.
2041 $36.87 $34.22 $38.68 $38.74 $35.29 $40.79 $36.94 $33.59 $38.83 $19.19 $18.35 $19.81 $26.60 $25.09 $27.88 $21.71 $20.58 $22.52 2040 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2006 49.95 41.76 28.55 25.37 30.49 25.51 35.88 28.07 36.31 32.40 2006 18.21 16.23 12.84 13.04 17.82 16.06 13.97 12.47 12.46 14.23 2006 29.56 29.15 21.38 21.38 27.18 26.31 26.31 22.72 27.43 24.80
2042 $37.06 $34.34 $38.88 $39.03 $35.47 $41.13 $37.19 $33.73 $39.11 $19.44 $18.58 $20.07 $26.91 $25.35 $28.23 $21.99 $20.82 $22.82 2041 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2007 50.82 42.51 29.64 25.28 30.52 25.43 33.95 28.33 36.50 32.38 2007 16.67 15.11 11.73 12.23 16.64 14.23 12.52 11.06 12.10 13.18 2007 30.02 29.71 23.25 20.34 28.94 27.23 26.84 24.81 30.46 25.93
2043 $37.25 $34.47 $39.09 $39.33 $35.66 $41.48 $37.44 $33.87 $39.40 $19.69 $18.80 $20.33 $27.22 $25.61 $28.60 $22.27 $21.06 $23.12 2042 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2008 49.96 44.67 28.85 25.17 31.70 27.54 34.65 29.38 35.37 33.01 2008 17.22 15.23 12.41 12.77 15.77 13.38 12.38 11.55 13.13 13.48 2008 34.35 33.99 26.60 23.27 33.11 31.15 30.71 28.38 34.86 29.56
2044 $37.44 $34.60 $39.29 $39.62 $35.84 $41.82 $37.69 $34.01 $39.68 $19.94 $19.03 $20.59 $27.54 $25.87 $28.96 $22.55 $21.31 $23.43 2043 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2009 47.72 40.77 27.72 26.10 31.23 27.14 32.93 29.96 34.55 32.02 2009 14.47 12.59 10.08 10.38 12.97 11.23 10.62 9.75 11.18 11.20 2009 25.87 25.60 20.04 17.52 24.93 23.45 23.11 21.36 26.24 22.33
2045 $37.63 $34.72 $39.50 $39.92 $36.03 $42.17 $37.94 $34.15 $39.97 $20.19 $19.27 $20.86 $27.86 $26.14 $29.33 $22.83 $21.56 $23.74 2044 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2010 43.52 36.49 26.25 26.21 28.95 26.17 29.60 28.19 33.49 29.89 2010 15.29 13.17 10.65 10.93 13.40 11.53 10.96 10.24 11.61 11.70 2010 24.30 24.40 18.99 16.39 24.10 22.61 22.39 20.50 23.64 21.20
2046 $37.82 $34.85 $39.71 $40.23 $36.21 $42.53 $38.19 $34.29 $40.26 $20.45 $19.51 $21.13 $28.19 $26.40 $29.71 $23.12 $21.81 $24.05 2045 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2011 46.51 39.58 27.82 26.83 30.38 27.01 31.24 29.45 34.11 31.37 2011 15.92 13.67 10.95 11.24 13.97 12.10 11.38 10.49 11.69 12.07 2011 26.58 26.68 21.26 18.66 26.38 24.88 24.66 22.77 25.92 23.50
2047 $38.01 $34.98 $39.92 $40.53 $36.40 $42.88 $38.45 $34.43 $40.55 $20.72 $19.74 $21.40 $28.51 $26.68 $30.09 $23.42 $22.06 $24.37 2046 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2012 47.91 40.99 28.21 26.82 30.88 26.97 31.43 29.75 34.35 31.79 2012 15.60 13.71 10.89 11.16 14.08 12.15 11.43 10.45 11.54 12.03 2012 28.55 28.65 23.23 20.63 28.35 26.85 26.63 24.74 27.89 25.48
2048 $38.20 $35.11 $40.13 $40.84 $36.58 $43.24 $38.70 $34.57 $40.85 $20.98 $19.99 $21.67 $28.85 $26.95 $30.48 $23.72 $22.32 $24.69 2047 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2013 48.45 41.78 28.92 27.16 31.32 27.21 32.10 30.04 34.50 32.24 2013 15.54 13.67 10.88 11.12 14.15 12.22 11.52 10.51 11.48 12.03 2013 30.44 30.54 25.12 22.51 30.24 28.74 28.52 26.63 29.78 27.38
2049 $38.39 $35.24 $40.34 $41.15 $36.77 $43.60 $38.96 $34.71 $41.14 $21.25 $20.23 $21.96 $29.18 $27.23 $30.87 $24.02 $22.58 $25.01 2048 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2014 49.21 42.27 29.67 27.65 32.00 27.73 33.11 30.59 34.72 32.87 2014 15.66 13.79 11.00 11.22 14.32 12.36 11.66 10.56 11.48 12.14 2014 32.47 32.57 27.14 24.53 32.27 30.77 30.55 28.65 31.80 29.42
2050 $38.59 $35.37 $40.55 $41.46 $36.96 $43.97 $39.22 $34.86 $41.44 $21.52 $20.48 $22.24 $29.52 $27.51 $31.27 $24.32 $22.84 $25.34 2049 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2015 49.81 42.55 30.06 27.65 32.27 27.84 33.33 31.17 34.65 33.10 2015 15.70 13.86 11.08 11.30 14.43 12.44 11.74 10.75 11.61 12.23 2015 34.19 34.29 28.86 26.24 33.99 32.48 32.27 30.37 33.52 31.15
2051 $38.78 $35.50 $40.76 $41.77 $37.15 $44.34 $39.48 $35.00 $41.74 $21.80 $20.73 $22.53 $29.87 $27.79 $31.67 $24.63 $23.11 $25.68 2050 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2016 50.05 43.83 30.56 27.76 32.73 28.20 33.87 31.38 34.71 33.54 2016 15.95 14.07 11.30 11.53 14.68 12.64 11.94 11.03 11.87 12.47 2016 35.27 35.37 29.94 27.33 35.07 33.57 33.35 31.45 34.61 32.25
2052 $38.98 $35.63 $40.98 $42.09 $37.34 $44.71 $39.75 $35.15 $42.04 $22.08 $20.99 $22.82 $30.21 $28.07 $32.07 $24.94 $23.38 $26.02 2051 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2017 50.44 44.80 31.09 28.02 33.27 28.83 34.36 32.01 34.80 34.04 2017 16.16 14.28 11.54 11.77 14.91 12.85 12.15 11.35 12.10 12.70 2017 36.19 36.29 30.86 28.25 35.99 34.49 34.27 32.37 35.53 33.18
2053 $39.17 $35.76 $41.19 $42.40 $37.53 $45.08 $40.01 $35.29 $42.35 $22.36 $21.25 $23.11 $30.57 $28.36 $32.48 $25.26 $23.66 $26.36 2052 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2018 50.63 45.98 31.82 28.16 33.99 29.37 34.73 32.70 34.82 34.60 2018 16.40 14.51 11.75 12.00 15.15 13.04 12.34 11.67 12.35 12.94 2018 36.95 37.06 31.63 29.02 36.75 35.25 35.04 33.14 36.29 33.96
2054 $39.37 $35.89 $41.41 $42.72 $37.73 $45.46 $40.28 $35.44 $42.66 $22.65 $21.51 $23.41 $30.92 $28.65 $32.90 $25.58 $23.93 $26.71 2053 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2019 50.60 46.26 32.28 28.19 34.44 29.63 35.18 33.26 34.91 34.94 2019 16.62 14.76 12.03 12.27 15.45 13.31 12.62 11.94 12.58 13.20 2019 37.39 37.50 32.07 29.46 37.20 35.69 35.48 33.58 36.73 34.41
2055 $39.57 $36.02 $41.63 $43.05 $37.92 $45.84 $40.55 $35.58 $42.97 $22.94 $21.77 $23.71 $31.28 $28.95 $33.32 $25.91 $24.21 $27.06 2054 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2020 50.72 46.87 32.36 28.36 34.92 29.93 35.90 33.78 34.97 35.32 2020 16.99 15.07 12.27 12.47 15.80 13.64 12.95 12.17 12.78 13.47 2020 37.81 37.91 32.48 29.87 37.61 36.11 35.89 33.99 37.14 34.83
2056 $39.77 $36.16 $41.85 $43.37 $38.12 $46.22 $40.82 $35.73 $43.28 $23.23 $22.04 $24.02 $31.65 $29.25 $33.75 $26.23 $24.49 $27.42 2055 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2021 51.32 47.37 32.36 28.34 35.26 30.18 36.71 34.58 35.18 35.68 2021 17.26 15.34 12.61 12.84 16.08 13.89 13.23 12.53 13.17 13.79 2021 38.30 38.41 32.98 30.37 38.11 36.60 36.39 34.49 37.64 35.34
2057 $39.97 $36.29 $42.07 $43.70 $38.31 $46.61 $41.09 $35.88 $43.59 $23.53 $22.31 $24.33 $32.02 $29.55 $34.18 $26.57 $24.78 $27.78 2056 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2022 51.53 47.65 32.50 28.26 35.33 30.20 37.25 35.02 35.45 35.88 2022 17.35 15.46 12.72 12.96 16.38 13.96 13.31 12.37 13.24 13.89 2022 38.49 38.59 33.16 30.55 38.29 36.79 36.57 34.67 37.82 35.53
2058 $40.17 $36.42 $42.29 $44.03 $38.51 $47.00 $41.36 $36.02 $43.91 $23.83 $22.58 $24.65 $32.39 $29.85 $34.62 $26.90 $25.07 $28.14 2057 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2023 51.60 47.97 32.56 28.26 35.41 30.18 38.01 34.89 35.07 36.00 2023 17.43 15.56 12.74 12.88 16.66 14.19 13.51 12.03 12.83 13.88 2023 39.15 39.25 33.83 31.22 38.95 37.45 37.23 35.34 38.49 36.21
2059 $40.38 $36.56 $42.51 $44.36 $38.71 $47.39 $41.64 $36.17 $44.23 $24.14 $22.86 $24.96 $32.77 $30.16 $35.07 $27.25 $25.36 $28.51 2058 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2024 51.34 47.88 32.61 28.19 35.55 30.37 38.87 34.83 34.82 36.13 2024 17.27 15.40 12.65 12.75 16.37 14.15 13.49 12.00 12.67 13.75 2024 39.43 39.53 34.10 31.49 39.23 37.73 37.51 35.61 38.76 36.49
2060 $40.58 $36.69 $42.73 $44.70 $38.91 $47.79 $41.92 $36.32 $44.55 $24.45 $23.14 $25.29 $33.15 $30.47 $35.52 $27.59 $25.66 $28.89 2059 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2025 50.79 47.25 32.67 28.08 35.47 30.39 38.79 35.29 34.89 36.06 2025 17.10 15.18 12.45 12.63 16.08 13.80 13.20 11.97 12.62 13.57 2025 39.09 39.19 33.76 31.15 38.89 37.39 37.17 35.27 38.42 36.16
2061 $40.79 $36.83 $42.96 $45.04 $39.11 $48.19 $42.20 $36.47 $44.87 $24.76 $23.43 $25.61 $33.53 $30.78 $35.97 $27.94 $25.96 $29.27 2060 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2026 50.94 47.06 32.69 28.07 35.53 30.48 38.40 35.47 35.04 36.04 2026 17.36 15.44 12.57 12.75 16.54 13.88 13.26 12.07 12.69 13.73 2026 39.53 39.63 34.20 31.59 39.33 37.83 37.61 35.71 38.86 36.61
2062 $40.99 $36.96 $43.18 $45.38 $39.31 $48.59 $42.48 $36.62 $45.19 $25.08 $23.71 $25.95 $33.93 $31.10 $36.43 $28.30 $26.26 $29.66 2061 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2027 51.29 47.38 32.86 28.14 35.77 30.69 39.00 36.25 35.19 36.35 2027 17.56 15.61 12.74 12.96 16.71 13.97 13.37 12.36 12.89 13.92 2027 39.66 39.76 34.33 31.72 39.46 37.96 37.74 35.85 39.00 36.75
2063 $41.20 $37.10 $43.41 $45.72 $39.51 $49.00 $42.76 $36.77 $45.52 $25.40 $24.00 $26.28 $34.32 $31.42 $36.90 $28.66 $26.57 $30.05 2062 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2028 51.54 48.03 33.16 28.31 36.21 31.00 39.26 36.81 35.50 36.72 2028 17.90 15.96 13.05 13.28 17.19 14.27 13.69 12.72 13.24 14.26 2028 39.74 39.85 34.42 31.81 39.54 38.04 37.83 35.93 39.08 36.84
2064 $41.41 $37.23 $43.64 $46.07 $39.71 $49.41 $43.05 $36.93 $45.85 $25.73 $24.30 $26.62 $34.72 $31.74 $37.38 $29.02 $26.88 $30.45 2063 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2029 51.66 48.09 33.31 28.44 36.63 31.35 39.75 37.50 35.80 37.06 2029 18.17 16.19 13.26 13.48 17.49 14.52 13.98 12.89 13.38 14.48 2029 40.14 40.25 34.82 32.21 39.94 38.44 38.23 36.33 39.48 37.25
2065 $41.62 $37.37 $43.87 $46.42 $39.92 $49.82 $43.33 $37.08 $46.18 $26.06 $24.60 $26.97 $35.13 $32.07 $37.86 $29.39 $27.20 $30.85 2064 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2030 52.16 48.49 33.12 28.40 36.95 31.43 40.24 38.16 36.24 37.34 2030 18.47 16.43 13.76 14.00 17.42 14.97 14.43 13.50 13.91 14.88 2030 40.94 41.04 35.61 33.00 40.74 39.24 39.02 37.12 40.28 38.05
2066 $41.83 $37.51 $44.10 $46.77 $40.12 $50.24 $43.62 $37.23 $46.52 $26.39 $24.90 $27.31 $35.53 $32.40 $38.34 $29.76 $27.51 $31.25 2065 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087
2067 $42.04 $37.65 $44.33 $47.12 $40.33 $50.66 $43.91 $37.38 $46.86 $26.73 $25.21 $27.67 $35.95 $32.73 $38.83 $30.14 $27.83 $31.67 2066 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087
2068 $42.25 $37.78 $44.56 $47.48 $40.54 $51.09 $44.21 $37.54 $47.20 $27.07 $25.52 $28.02 $36.37 $33.07 $39.33 $30.52 $28.16 $32.08 2067 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 Updated Regional Residential Electricity Price Forecasts - Low Growth Scenario Updated Regional Residential Natural Gas Price Forecasts - Low Growth Scenario Updated Regional Residential LPG Price Forecasts - Low Growth Scenario
2069 $42.46 $37.92 $44.80 $47.84 $40.75 $51.51 $44.50 $37.69 $47.54 $27.42 $25.83 $28.39 $36.79 $33.41 $39.84 $30.91 $28.49 $32.51 2068 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 (in 2008$ / MMBtu) (in 2008$ / MMBtu) (in 2008$ / MMBtu)
2070 $42.68 $38.06 $45.03 $48.20 $40.96 $51.95 $44.80 $37.85 $47.88 $27.77 $26.15 $28.75 $37.22 $33.75 $40.35 $31.30 $28.82 $32.94 2069 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat. Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat. Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat.
2071 $42.89 $38.20 $45.27 $48.56 $41.17 $52.38 $45.10 $38.01 $48.23 $28.13 $26.47 $29.13 $37.65 $34.10 $40.87 $31.70 $29.16 $33.37 2070 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2006 49.95 41.76 28.55 25.37 30.49 25.51 35.88 28.07 36.31 32.40 2006 18.21 16.23 12.84 13.04 17.82 16.06 13.97 12.47 12.46 14.23 2006 29.56 29.15 21.38 21.38 27.18 26.31 26.31 22.72 27.43 24.80
2072 $43.11 $38.34 $45.51 $48.93 $41.38 $52.82 $45.40 $38.16 $48.58 $28.49 $26.79 $29.50 $38.09 $34.45 $41.39 $32.10 $29.50 $33.81 2071 7582 2.22 1.098 1.087 2007 50.82 42.51 29.64 25.28 30.52 25.43 33.95 28.33 36.50 32.38 2007 16.67 15.11 11.73 12.23 16.64 14.23 12.52 11.06 12.10 13.18 2007 30.02 29.71 23.25 20.34 28.94 27.23 26.84 24.81 30.46 25.93
2008 49.91 44.60 28.81 25.17 31.70 27.54 34.64 29.38 35.36 32.99 2008 17.23 15.23 12.41 12.78 15.77 13.38 12.38 11.54 13.13 13.48 2008 34.35 33.99 26.60 23.27 33.11 31.15 30.71 28.38 34.86 29.56
2009 47.36 40.57 27.56 25.51 31.14 27.12 32.82 29.78 34.36 31.85 2009 14.33 12.46 9.95 10.24 12.84 11.11 10.50 9.59 11.01 11.06 2009 25.87 25.60 20.04 17.52 24.93 23.45 23.11 21.36 26.24 22.33
2010 43.01 35.91 25.90 25.24 28.67 25.95 29.26 27.78 33.03 29.49 2010 15.01 12.89 10.38 10.67 13.11 11.25 10.68 9.98 11.36 11.43 2010 24.14 24.24 18.84 16.24 23.94 22.45 22.23 20.34 23.48 21.05
2011 45.51 38.24 27.00 25.81 29.75 26.48 30.23 28.72 33.34 30.54 2011 15.48 13.24 10.53 10.82 13.52 11.67 10.94 10.08 11.27 11.64 2011 26.31 26.42 21.01 18.41 26.12 24.62 24.40 22.51 25.65 23.23
2012 46.53 38.87 26.92 25.65 29.91 26.10 30.10 28.61 33.21 30.57 2012 15.03 13.14 10.35 10.64 13.51 11.59 10.87 9.95 11.06 11.49 2012 28.19 28.30 22.89 20.30 28.00 26.50 26.28 24.39 27.53 25.12
2013 46.83 39.42 27.14 25.81 30.04 26.03 30.88 28.68 33.14 30.80 2013 14.81 12.95 10.19 10.44 13.41 11.50 10.79 9.85 10.84 11.33 2013 29.89 29.99 24.58 21.99 29.69 28.20 27.98 26.09 29.23 26.83
2014 47.22 39.27 27.22 26.12 30.34 26.14 31.44 28.82 33.12 31.00 2014 14.82 12.98 10.21 10.44 13.49 11.55 10.83 9.79 10.74 11.34 2014 31.92 32.03 26.60 24.00 31.73 30.23 30.01 28.11 31.26 28.87
2015 47.46 39.60 27.85 26.06 30.39 26.13 31.40 29.01 32.83 31.10 2015 14.84 13.01 10.25 10.48 13.55 11.58 10.87 9.86 10.77 11.38 2015 33.53 33.63 28.21 25.60 33.33 31.83 31.61 29.72 32.87 30.48
2016 47.45 40.92 28.32 26.11 30.66 26.31 31.84 28.98 32.59 31.40 2016 14.99 13.16 10.40 10.63 13.73 11.73 11.01 10.03 10.91 11.53 2016 34.49 34.59 29.16 26.56 34.29 32.79 32.57 30.67 33.82 31.44
2017 47.42 41.45 28.44 26.09 30.81 26.54 32.14 29.36 32.34 31.56 2017 15.11 13.28 10.54 10.77 13.88 11.84 11.13 10.26 11.09 11.68 2017 35.34 35.44 30.01 27.40 35.14 33.64 33.42 31.52 34.67 32.30
2018 47.47 42.14 28.55 26.05 31.01 26.63 32.05 29.85 32.19 31.70 2018 15.27 13.42 10.68 10.92 14.04 11.96 11.24 10.50 11.30 11.84 2018 36.24 36.34 30.91 28.30 36.04 34.54 34.32 32.42 35.58 33.21
2019 47.56 42.16 28.86 25.90 31.01 26.69 32.35 30.12 32.26 31.81 2019 15.46 13.64 10.91 11.14 14.32 12.22 11.49 10.73 11.49 12.07 2019 36.42 36.52 31.09 28.48 36.22 34.72 34.50 32.61 35.76 33.40
2020 47.87 43.10 29.21 25.88 31.28 26.91 32.97 30.48 32.18 32.14 2020 15.84 13.99 11.23 11.40 14.74 12.64 11.91 11.01 11.76 12.40 2020 36.49 36.59 31.16 28.55 36.29 34.79 34.57 32.67 35.83 33.48
2021 48.57 43.80 29.39 25.85 31.66 27.05 33.81 31.37 32.45 32.57 2021 16.18 14.34 11.66 11.85 15.14 13.04 12.33 11.41 12.16 12.81 2021 37.02 37.12 31.69 29.08 36.82 35.32 35.10 33.20 36.36 34.01
2022 48.75 44.17 29.59 25.79 31.77 26.98 34.37 31.94 32.56 32.78 2022 16.23 14.42 11.73 11.92 15.41 13.11 12.40 11.27 12.17 12.87 2022 37.04 37.15 31.71 29.10 36.84 35.34 35.13 33.23 36.38 34.04
2023 48.11 43.50 29.44 25.59 31.43 26.66 34.87 31.33 32.05 32.52 2023 16.00 14.17 11.45 11.62 15.23 12.86 12.14 10.83 11.70 12.57 2023 37.49 37.59 32.16 29.55 37.29 35.79 35.57 33.67 36.83 34.49
2024 47.49 43.04 29.12 25.32 31.13 26.41 34.83 31.28 31.62 32.24 2024 15.69 13.82 11.25 11.41 14.71 12.68 11.97 10.78 11.51 12.32 2024 37.11 37.21 31.78 29.17 36.91 35.41 35.19 33.29 36.45 34.12
2025 47.40 42.84 29.28 25.23 31.00 26.34 34.25 31.60 31.65 32.13 2025 15.64 13.71 11.15 11.38 14.53 12.41 11.74 10.89 11.55 12.24 2025 36.62 36.72 31.29 28.68 36.42 34.92 34.70 32.80 35.96 33.63
2026 47.52 43.25 29.48 25.19 31.11 26.43 33.08 31.86 31.73 32.08 2026 15.96 14.04 11.28 11.53 15.11 12.50 11.80 11.05 11.67 12.45 2026 36.94 37.04 31.61 28.99 36.74 35.24 35.02 33.12 36.27 33.95
2027 47.84 43.51 29.40 25.05 31.26 26.48 33.98 32.19 31.77 32.30 2027 16.21 14.28 11.57 11.80 15.35 12.83 12.11 11.32 11.93 12.73 2027 36.88 36.98 31.55 28.94 36.68 35.18 34.96 33.06 36.22 33.90
2028 48.67 44.12 29.43 25.06 31.62 26.61 34.68 32.84 32.13 32.68 2028 16.63 14.68 12.02 12.23 15.75 13.32 12.63 11.73 12.31 13.15 2028 36.99 37.09 31.66 29.05 36.79 35.29 35.07 33.17 36.33 34.01
2029 49.07 44.57 29.63 25.15 31.93 26.82 35.58 33.72 32.46 33.09 2029 16.98 14.99 12.37 12.60 16.04 13.62 12.98 12.11 12.67 13.49 2029 37.47 37.58 32.14 29.53 37.28 35.77 35.56 33.66 36.81 34.50
2030 49.91 45.47 29.77 25.12 32.34 26.96 36.34 34.07 32.74 33.50 2030 17.39 15.36 12.79 13.04 16.35 14.00 13.34 12.60 13.10 13.90 2030 37.83 37.94 32.50 29.89 37.63 36.13 35.92 34.02 37.17 34.86
Financial Impacts of Candidate Standard Level 1
$0.008 Maintenance & Repair Cost
Equipment Cost Savings
$0.007 Energy Cost Savings
Net Savings
$0.006
$0.005
Billions of 2008 Dollars
$0.004
$0.003
$0.002
$0.001
$0.000
2015 2025 2035
-$0.001
-$0.002
Financial Impacts of Candidate Standard Level 3
Maintenance & Repair Cost
$0.014 Equipment Cost Savings
Energy Cost Savings
$0.012 Net Savings
$0.010
Billions of 2008 Dollars
$0.008
$0.006
$0.004
Billions of 2008 Doll
$0.004
$0.002
$0.000
2015 2025 2035
-$0.002
-$0.004
dard Level 1 Financial Impacts of Candi
$0.011 Maintenance & Repair Cost
Equipment Cost Savings
Energy Cost Savings
$0.009 Net Savings
Billions of 2008 Dollars
$0.007
$0.004
$0.002
$0.000
2045 2015
-$0.002
ndard Level 3
Maintenance & Repair Cost
$0.03
Equipment Cost Savings
Energy Cost Savings
$0.02
Net Savings
$0.02
Billions of 2008 Dollars
$0.01
$0.01
$0.00
Billions of 2008 Doll
$0.00
2015
-$0.01
2045
-$0.01
-$0.02
Financial Impacts of Candidate Standard Level 2
aintenance & Repair Cost
uipment Cost Savings
ergy Cost Savings
2025 2035 2045
Financial Impacts of Candidate
Standard Level 4
aintenance & Repair Cost
quipment Cost Savings
nergy Cost Savings
2025 2035 2045
0.160
Gas Room DHE
0.140 Gas Wall Gravity DHE
Gas Wall Fan DHE
0.120 Gas Floor DHE
0.100
million
0.080
0.060
0.040
0.020
0.000
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
0.160
0.140
0.120
0.100
Gas Room DHE
million
0.080 Gas Wall Gravity DHE
Gas Wall Fan DHE
0.060
Gas Floor DHE
0.040
0.020
0.000
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
1.000
0.900
0.800
0.700
0.600
million
0.500
0.400
0.300
0.200
0.100
0.000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
1.000
0.900
0.800
0.700
0.600
million
0.500
0.400
0.300
0.200
0.100
0.000
1998 2003 2008 2013 2018 2023 2028 2033 2038
