? ?? ??? ? Economic Outlook 2011 by cx89mEO

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									 US’s Real GDP
                   Real GDP   EU’s Real GDP




Japan’s Real GDP
  China’s Real GDP
                     Real GDP
                            South Korea’s Real GDP




Taiwan’s Real GDP               Singapore’s Real GDP
                      Real GDP
Thailand’s Real GDP              Malaysia’s Real GDP
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                              เอเชีย : เศรษฐกิจยังคงขยายตัวแข็งแกร่ง



• GDP ไตรมาสที่ 3 ชะลอลง แต่ขยายตัวดีและสูงกว่าคาด

• การผลิตยังขยายตัวดี แม้ชะลอลงในช่วงที่ ผานมา แต่ยงคงทรงตัว (level) อยู่ในระดับสูง
                                          ่        ั


                 %yoy                         Q1                     Q2                          Q3
                 China                        11.9                  10.3                        9.6
               Hong Kong                       8.0                   6.5                        6.8
                Taiwan                        13.7                  12.5                        9.8
               Indonesia                       5.7                   6.2                        5.8
               Singapore                      16.9                  19.6                        10.6
                 Korea                         8.1                   7.2                        4.5*
                Thailand                      12.0                   9.2                        6.7
                Malaysia                      10.1                   8.9                        5.3
Source: CEIC
*preliminary

                                                                                  International Economics Division Tel. 5146
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                                GDP at 1988 prices

%YoY                                                                                       %QoQ




  Source: Office of the National Economic and Social Development Board

                                                                         International Economics Division Tel. 5146
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                        Growth of GDP Demand Side at 1988 prices
                                 2009      Share 2009      2010                 2010
                                                         Q1 ➙ Q3          Contribution
Private Consumption              -1.1         52.8         +5.1                  2.75
Public Consumption              +7.3          10.1         +7.1                  0.71
Private Investment              -12.9         14.8         +15.3                 2.22
Public Investment               +2.1           5.7          -1.1                -0.08
Change in Inventories            -25.6                     +7.86                 2.94
Net export                      +27.3          18.2         -3.6                -0.66
      Export                    -12.1          64.8        +16.8
      Import                    -21.4         (46.6)       +26.3
GDP                              -2.2          100          9.3



                                                                   International Economics Division Tel. 5146
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                Gross Domestic Product at 1988 prices: Supply Side
                                       2009                        2010                         Contr.
            %YoY
                         Q1     Q2            Q3      Q4     Q1     Q2           Q3               Q3
Agriculture             5.2     -1.1          0.6    0.4    -2.2   1.5         -3.3             -0.2
Non –agriculture        -8.2    -5.5          -3.1   6.6    13.6   9.9          7.5              7.0
  Manufacturing         -15.0   -9.7          -7.1   8.7    22.9   17.6        11.5              4.5
  Trade                 -1.8    -1.9          -1.1   3.6    3.4    2.7          2.6              0.4
  Transport             -8.2    -8.3          -3.8   5.4    6.0    2.2          3.6              0.3
  Real estate           -1.8    1.7           1.2    3.5    6.6    2.4          6.5              0.3
  Hotel                 -6.4    -5.6          -2.3   13.9   15.4   0.2         10.1              0.4
  Finance               2.6     4.2           3.6    5.5    7.4    6.8          7.3              0.3
  Electricity           -2.7    -0.9          2.3    4.9    15.9   13.0         7.8              0.3
  Public admin          -0.1    -2.8          0.5    2.8    6.2    3.1          0.4              0.0
  Education             6.4     3.9           9.9    1.2    7.0    3.0         -1.5              0.0
  Construction          -8.2    0.8           2.6    7.2    7.9    8.0          5.2              0.1
GDP                     -7.0    -5.2          -2.8   5.9    12.0   9.2          6.7              6.7
GDP (sa) %QoQ           -1.9    2.1           2.1    3.8    3.6    -0.6        -0.2
                                                                          International Economics Division Tel. 5146
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                      Dec.2008   Dec.2009   May.2010   Sep.2010         Oct.2010

Gross Int’l Reserve   111,008 138,418       143,518 163,235            171,062
Change                    27,410 5,100      19,717 7,727
Bath/Dollar             34.8     33.34       32.52    30.36               29.96




                                                             International Economics Division Tel. 5146

								
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