IFPS : A Look at the Future
WFO Corpus Christi
Local implementation began May 15, 2002
with the CWF.
SRH is mandating all regularly issued
products be done on IFPS by 9/30/02.
NWSH is mandating all CONUS sites be
fully operational on IFPS by 9/30/03 (Initial
What about the ZFP, FWF,
RDF and CCF?
Our office will slowly phase in these other
products into our IFPS operations through
the upcoming summer.
Specific dates are yet to be determined.
Additional training will be necessary to
address software changes, updated forecast
methodology, new smart tools, etc.
There will be more frequent IFPS updates
beginning in June 2002.
Rapid Alpha Process (RAP) was developed
to achieve the NWS target of 2003 IFPS
RAP software will be upgraded every 6-8
IFPS10 will be the first build.
LX1, LX2 & Linux1-crp
LX1 & LX2 are the Linux1-crp is the Dell
two IBM workstations machine located next
located next to
Linux1-crp has the Rapid
AWIPS WS1 & WS2.
Prototype software (RPP).
LX1 & LX2 will have RPP version may be
the RAP software. slightly different than
They will have the full RAP.
IFPS ported to Linux. Only GFESuite; not full
Additional Linux boxes in the future (PP1,
Pen mouse graphics tablet.
Post-build 5.x AWIPS software (OB1).
Full Linux replacement by FY06.
Primary reason for IFPS
Produce a displayable, detailed digital
database (National Digital Forecast
Database) that can be shared easily among
both public and private entities.
The forecast data should always be
“current” and be easily pulled by any
customer who wants it (pull vs. push).
Official NWS digital database.
Pulled once an hour from each WFO and uploaded
to a central server.
Transmitted through the AWIPS WAN.
Can now view the NDFD experimental clusters at
Available to all public and private users (i.e, The
“New way of doing business”
GRIDS are the key, NOT words!!!!!
View the forecast “product” as information
and not only as text.
Working/interacting with models rather
than simply looking at them.
Forecast collaboration vs. coordination.
“New way of doing business”
Provide the customer with an easy way to access
Assigned shift duties may need to be changed
based upon a temporal division of forecast
responsibility (i.e, short-term and long-term desks)
or the “problem of the day”.
Overlapping shifts may need to be considered.
Event-driven updates and keeping the grids
“current” will be a necessity with NDFD.
Outreach to customers on IFPS should be strongly
Time to Issue the Zones?
We all need to change the way we approach
New forecast paradigm (grids…digital
NWS has adopted this paradigm.
Some forecasters will resist because “this is
the way I’ve always done it”.
When do we issue an update
in the IFPS era?
– Weather does not match forecast.
– New model data arrives (i.e., when the new
MRF arrives, you may want to populate Day 7).
Constant monitoring of the grids will likely
be a routine duty.
– WFO Pleasant Hill has their short-term
forecaster monitor grids 24 hours a day.
Internet is a big player with
WFO Atlanta has a nice and easy interface
for IFPS graphics.
WFO Pleasant Hill has a powerful interface
to access grids and produce text,
meteograms and hourly digital data (hourly
RDF). This is a good example of pull
Still need to decide on the template(s) for
accessing our gridded forecasts from our website.
How will the Marine Page fit in with IFPS?
What about the public and marine matrices that
serve as input to the pre-existing graphics? Can we
ditch these in a few months?
Input…suggestions…ideas should go to the
Why is collaboration needed?
Intersite Coordination (ISC).
Chat room to discuss the forecast situation
with neighboring offices.
The main motivation is to make your
forecast meteorologically consistent with
your neighbor’s forecast.
Jack Kelly wants a “seamless stream of
Will help NDFD look more realistic with
less in the way of artificial geographical
boundaries and individual forecaster bias.
It is currently disabled on linux1-crp box.
The next software build (RPP 16.2 and
IFPS10) will contain ISC functionality.
Marine ISC still needs to be addressed.
Training on this new feature of GFE will
occur after it is configured.
Extensive drawing capabilities (i.e., you can
draw fronts and other meteorological
D2D functionality (Models, WSR-88D,
NWSH may provide this software to each
office in a future software build.
Daily Forecast Critique
Allows the forecaster to compare his/her
forecast with observations and/or model
Provides real-time “verification”.
Initially, point verification will be used but
eventually grid verification is envisioned.
Available with the same build as ISC.
Daily Forecast Critique
Summary statistics are planned (BIAS,
New interface and graphics package are
Automated alerts based upon certain
Other upcoming IFPS features
Fire Weather functionality in IFPS10.
Marine WWA capability in IFPS10 (MWS
can now be produced in WWA).
AVN and MRF MOS (MAV and MEX) in
Service Backup functionality in IFPS11
TPC will likely NOT be on board with IFPS
for the upcoming hurricane season.
– This will pose a big problem with trying to get
your grids to match the official TPC forecast.
– A Smart Tool to decode the TCM data may be a
Other NCEP sites (SPC, HPC, MPC) are
still a ? in terms of IFPS implementation.
IFPS Implementation will continue through the
summer and be completed by 9/30/02.
Think grids, graphics, web and NOT just text
Collaboration will become very important with
Many new and exciting software enhancements.
Shift responsibilities may change (short-term and
success of IFPS will
depend upon the
customers who use
our gridded data.
The NWS is betting
alot on this link
and the customer!!!