Concern about the New York City Land Acquisition Program

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							        Concern about the New York City Land Acquisition Program
                    in Delaware County Communities

             Summary of the 2009 Telephone Survey Results




Report Prepared for the Delaware County Department of Watershed Affairs




                           September 2, 2009

                            AEL Associates
                  Concern about the New York City Land Acquisition Program
                              in Delaware County Communities

                         Summary of the 2009 Telephone Survey Results


       This report summarizes the results of a recent study undertaken by the Delaware County

Department of Watershed Affairs among residents of the county concerning the New York City

Land Acquisition Program (NYCLAP). The data were collected via a telephone survey

administered to randomly selected individuals residing in Delaware County and consisted of a total

sample size of 504. This sample was drawn from three different regions in Delaware County

reflecting perceived level of impacts or risk: (1) 200 from areas with the greatest impact; (2) 200

from hamlets and villages in the watershed; and (3) 100 from the balance of the county with the

lowest potential impacts or not at risk.

       Part I summarizes the results of the survey. It is organized into six parts: (1) characteristics

of the sampled population; (2) knowledge and perceptions of NYCLAP; (3) relationships with

government agencies; (4) local natural resource and economic issues; (5) perceptions of

community satisfaction and quality of life; and (6) correlates of concern about NYCLAP. Part II

briefly discusses the findings and their implications.
Table of Contents

PART I

2009 Survey Results

(1) Characteristics of the Sampled Population ........................................................................1

(2) Knowledge and Perceptions of NYCLAP ..........................................................................2

(3) Issues Addressed by and Relationships with Government Agencies .............................10

(4) Local Natural Resource and Economic Issues ..................................................................16

(5) Perceptions of Community Satisfaction and Quality of Life...........................................25

(6) Concern about NYCLAP ....................................................................................................27

Part II

Concern about the NYCLAP

(1) Summary and Conclusions .................................................................................................32

References ..................................................................................................................................35

Appendix A: Disposition Table of the DCDWA Telephone Survey ....................................36

Appendix B: Descriptive Statistics of Individual, Household, and Place of Residence

                     Characteristics, by Area ....................................................................................37

Appendix C: All Other Variables, by Area ............................................................................39
List of Tables

(1) Descriptive Statistics of Individual and Household Characteristics ...............................2

(2) Priority of Local Land Use Issues .......................................................................................7

(3) Perceptions of Authority to Regulate Land Use ................................................................9

(4) Community Issues Needing Local Government Attention ..............................................11

(5) Communities Relationship with New York City ..............................................................14

(6) Natural Resource Importance ............................................................................................17

(7) Natural Resource Concern .................................................................................................19

(8) Importance of Agriculture, by Sample Region .................................................................20

(9) Importance of Economic Issues .........................................................................................23

(10) Economic Issues Concern .................................................................................................24

(11) Quality of Life and the Natural Environment ................................................................27

(12) Varimax Factor Loadings for Concern about NYCLAP ..............................................28

(13) Level of Community Concern by Program Familiarity ................................................29

(14) Level of Community Concern by NCYLAP’s Perceived Impact .................................30

(15) Standardized Function Coefficients and Correlation Coefficients ...............................31

(16) Classification Results ........................................................................................................31
List of Figures

(1) Knowledge of NYCLAP ........................................................................................................3

(2) Acquire Program Knowledge...............................................................................................4

(3) Perceptions about NYCLAP ................................................................................................5

(4) Impact of the City’s Land Acquisition ................................................................................6

(5) Other Delaware County Communities ..............................................................................12

(6) State Agencies ......................................................................................................................12

(7) U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.............................................................................14

(8) New York City .....................................................................................................................14

(9) Perceptions of Economic Development Programs County Government Should Support

     ...............................................................................................................................................15

(10) Importance of New and Existing Business Development ..............................................25

(11) Community Satisfaction ...................................................................................................26
                                                        PART I

                               RESULTS FOR THE 2009 NYCLAP SURVEY



(1) Characteristics of the Sampled Population

         Individual and household characteristics are summarized in Table 1. Respondent ages were

distributed as follows: 18 to 30 (4.6%); 31 to 40 (5.2%); 41 to 60 (38.7%); and 61 or older

(48.6%). Among these respondents, slightly over half (51%) were female. Those reporting less

than a high school education represented 3 percent (2.8%) of the sample; about one-third (32.5%)

reported having a high school diploma or GED but had no further formal education; about one in

six (15.5%) said they had some college or post high school training; one in eight (11.9%) indicated

they had a two year technical or associate degree; approximately one in five (18.3%) reported

having a four year college degree; and one in six (16.5%) indicated they held an advanced degree.

With these categories coded on a scale from one (less than a high school degree) to six (advanced

degree), the mean value for education was 3.8.                   About 20 (19.4%) percent of respondents

indicated they had children living with them. Total pretax income for 2007 for this sample of

Delaware County residents was as follows: less than $20,000 (10.1%); $20,000 to $34,999

(19.2%); $35,000 to $59,999 (24.8%); $60,000 to $99,999 (23.8%); and over $100,000 (10.9%).1




1
  In general, this purposive sample of Delaware County residents does not differ too widely from the 1999 data
collected as part of the 2000 Census. The sample is slightly older, better educated, and less likely to have children in
the household. This largely reflects the stratification process used to draw the three regional samples.
  Table 1: Descriptive Statistics of Individual and Household Characteristics
                                                                       Census      Standard             Range
Demographic Characteristics                        Mean Percent a      2000d       Deviation      Min       Max

Age (n=504) b                                      61.0                  42.7
 18 to 30                                                      4.6
 31 to 40                                                      5.2
 41 to 60                                                     38.7
 61 or older                                                  48.6
 Don’t know/refused                                            3.0

Gender (n=504)                                      --                                 --          --         --
 Male                                                         49.0       49.1
 Female                                                       51.0       50.9

Education (n=504)c                                  3.8                                1.8         1          7
 Less than a high school degree                                2.8       14.8
 High school degree or GED                                    32.5       38.9
 Some college or post high school training                    15.5       15.9
 Two year technical or associate degree                       11.9       10.5
 4 year college degree (BA/BS)                                18.3       11.3
 Advanced degree (i.e., Master’s, JD, MD, Ph.D.)              16.5        8.7
 Don’t Know/Refused                                            2.6

Total 2007 pre-tax household income (n=504)         3.1                 $52k           2.2         1          6
 Less than $20,000                                            10.1
 $20,000 to $34,999                                           19.2
 $35,000 to $59,999                                           24.8
 $60,000 to $99,999                                           23.8
 Over $100,000                                                10.9
 Don’t know/Refused                                           11.1

Children in the household? (n=504)
  Yes                                                --      19.4          27.8          --         --         --
   No                                                        78.0
  Don’t know/refused                                           2.6
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding.
b
  The score reported is the median age of the sampled population, excluding those who answered don’t know or refused
  (n=489).
c
  The mean score for education was derived by placing the six categories on a scale.
d
  Figures reported are means provided by the 2000 U.S. Census unless otherwise noted.



(2) Knowledge and Perceptions of NYCLAP

         Respondents were asked: “What would you say is your level of knowledge about the recent

New York City Land Acquisition Program? Would you say you are …” and provided five possible


                                                          2
responses, coded from one (I know nothing about the program) to five (I am very familiar with the

program). As shown in Figure 1, 38% of the respondents (n=189) were somewhat familiar with the

program, and an additional 15% percent (n=75) considered themselves very familiar with the

program. On the other hand, 17% of respondents (n= 86) were not very familiar with the program;

slightly more (18%, n=92) knew very little about the program; and only about one in eight (12%,

n=62) indicated they knew nothing about the program. Using the coding 1 (know nothing) to 5

(very familiar), the mean level of knowledge about the recent NYCLAP was 3.24. Between the not

at risk and at risk regions, knowledge of NYCLAP differed significantly (F=4.83; p=.008).

Respondents from the at risk region were more likely than respondents from the not at risk region

to have knowledge of NYCLAP. Means for these two groups were 3.41 and 2.93, respectively.




       Following the question about respondents’ level of knowledge of NYCLAP, we asked

respondents where they learned about the program. Figure 2 indicates most respondents (37%,

n=184) had learned through the newspaper, while slightly less (26%, n=131) learned of the

program by word of mouth. Approximately 10% of respondents (n=48) said they learned through


                                                3
“other” means, which included sources such as schools, Rotary Club meetings, or through direct

experience. Finally, slightly less than 10% (n=45) learned of NYCLAP via radio and only 7% of

respondents (n=36) learned of it through television; the fewest number of respondents (5%, n=24)

received knowledge through direct mail.




       Respondents were then asked about their perceptions of NYCLAP using the following

question: “When you think about the Land Acquisition Program, are you in favor of the following

options …” and asked to answer “yes” or “no” to a series of four statements. As shown in Figure 3,

respondents were generally unfavorable to three of these options. On the other hand, 56% of these

respondents (n=284) indicated they were in favor of “limiting land acquisition to existing

purchased or easement lands.” This sample of Delaware County residents was most opposed

(84.7%, n=427) to allowing New York City to purchase new lands and slightly less opposed




                                                 4
(77.0%, n=388) to allowing both purchase of lands and easements; 72% (n=361) were opposed to

only allowing New York City to purchase easements.




       To gain insight into the perceived impact of the city’s land acquisition, we asked

respondents to indicate whether they thought it would have a positive, neutral, or negative impact.

Figure 4 summarizes their responses. Overall, respondents felt the city’s land acquisition would

have a negative impact (66%, n=330); slightly more than one in four respondents (27%, n=136)

felt the impact would be neutral, while only 7% of respondents (n=37) said they felt the impact

would be positive.




                                                 5
       Respondents were then asked: “What priority do you believe should be given to the

following land use issues in your community?” and provided four possible responses, coded from

one (low priority) to three (high priority), with an additional category (don’t know) to capture

respondent uncertainty. The results from this question are summarized in Table 2. When asked

about local land use planning and regulations to guide community change, slightly more than one

third (37%) of the respondents indicated this was a high priority; 40% of respondents indicated it

was a medium priority and 13% said it was a low priority. The mean of this category, as measured

by the above described scale, was 2.27.

       We then asked respondents their feelings about the priority of encouraging greater planning

coordination with nearby municipalities. When asked this question, 46% of respondents said it

should be given high priority and one third (34%) indicated medium priority; slightly more than

one (13%) felt it should be given low priority. The mean of this category was 2.35.

       When asked about protection of open space from development, 42% of respondents felt it

should be given high priority, one third (35%) considered this medium priority, and 16% said


                                                  6
protection of open space from development was a low priority. The mean for this category was

2.28.

         Finally, respondents were asked to prioritize their thoughts about maintaining the

community the way it is. Slightly more than one in three respondents (36%) indicated this was a

high priority while 42% said it was a medium priority; 18% thought it was a low priority. The

mean of this category was 2.18.

  Table 2: Priority of Local Land Use Issues
                                                             Percent of                               Range
Issue                                         Meanb         respondentsa      Standard Deviation   Min     Max

Local land use planning and regulations
                                                                                                    1      3
to guide community change                      2.27                                    .69
    High priority                                                36.7
    Medium priority                                              40.3
    Low priority                                                 12.7
    Don’t know                                                   10.3

Encourage greater planning
                                                                                                    1      3
coordination with nearby municipalities        2.35                                    .72
   High priority                                                 46.2
   Medium priority                                               33.5
   Low priority                                                  13.3
   Don’t know                                                     6.9

Protect open space from development            2.28                                    .74          1      3
   High priority                                                 41.5
   Medium priority                                               34.9
   Low priority                                                  15.7
   Don’t know                                                     7.9

Maintain the community the way it is           2.18                                     .73         1      3
    High priority                                               36.1
    Medium priority                                             42.3
    Low priority                                                18.3
    Don’t know                                                    3.4
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding (n=504).
b
  The mean score for all variables was derived by using the four categories on a scale.




         The next series of questions was designed to assess respondents’ feelings about land use

regulation authority. Table 3 summarizes the findings.



                                                            7
       We asked respondents to indicate their thoughts about a series of items using a scale

ranging from one (strongly disagree) to five (strongly agree). The first item respondents were

asked to rank was: “Local governments should regulate changes in land use to limit negative

impacts on the community.” A majority indicated they strongly agreed (29%) or agreed (43%),

while 11% were undecided; 13% disagreed and 4% strongly disagreed. The mean for this item,

using the five category scale, was 3.82.

       The second item, “Property owners should have unrestricted right to use and sell their land

as they see fit,” resulted in three quarters of the respondents either strongly agreeing (37%) or

agreeing (38%). Fewer than one in ten respondents (8%) were undecided on this item, while 13%

disagreed and 5% strongly disagreed. The mean for this item was 3.90.

       To learn respondents’ thoughts about land use regulation by communities, we asked them

to respond to the following statement: “Communities should be allowed to control where

development occurs.” Overall, a majority of respondents (52%) agreed with this statement, and an

additional 23% strongly agreed. Less than one in ten respondents (9%) said they were undecided;

13% disagreed and 2% strongly disagreed. The overall mean for this item was 3.81. Among the

items used to learn about authority to regulate land use, only this item differed significantly

(F=5.56; p=.004) among the sampled regions. Respondents from the Hamlet/Village (mean= 3.98)

were significantly more likely than respondents from either the risk region (mean= 3.69) or the not

at risk region (mean= 3.68) to agree or strongly agree that communities should be allowed to

control where development occurs.

       The last item respondents were asked to rank was, “Non-local organizations should control

local land use decisions.” When asked their thoughts about this statement, very few respondents

either strongly agreed (3%) or agreed (7%), while 8% said they were undecided. The



                                                  8
overwhelming majority of respondents either strongly disagreed (40%) or disagreed (43%) with

this statement. Using the five category scale, the mean for this item was 1.89.



  Table 3. Perceptions of Authority to Regulate Land Use
                                                          Percent of                                    Range
                                           Meanb         respondentsa      Standard Deviation        Min     Max

Local governments should regulate
changes in land use to limit negative
impacts on the community                     3.82                                  1.11               1      5
   Strongly agree                                             29.4
   Agree                                                      43.3
   Undecided                                                  10.9
   Disagree                                                   12.5
   Strongly disagree                                           4.0

Property owners should have
unrestricted right to use and sell their
land as they see fit                         3.90                                  1.17               1      5
   Strongly agree                                             37.1
   Agree                                                      37.5
   Undecided                                                   8.1
   Disagree                                                   12.5
   Strongly disagree                                           4.8

Communities should be allowed to
control where development occursc            3.81                                  1.02               1      5
   Strongly agree                                             23.4
   Agree                                                      51.8
   Undecided                                                   9.1
   Disagree                                                   13.3
   Strongly disagree                                           2.4

Non-local organizations should
control local land use decisions              1.89                                      .99           1      5
    Strongly agree                                                2.8
    Agree                                                         6.5
    Undecided                                                     7.9
    Disagree                                                     42.7
    Strongly disagree                                            40.1
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding (n=504).
b
  The mean score for all variables was derived by using the five categories on a scale.
c
  Significant differences existed between Risk and Hamlet/Village; Not at Risk and Hamlet/Village.




                                                         9
(3) Issues Addressed by and Relationships with Government Agencies

       Three questions were used to collect information about issues addressed by governmental

agencies and relationships between the respondent’s community and selected government

agencies. This section summarizes responses to those questions.

       To understand which community issues respondents felt should be addressed by local

government, respondents were asked to rank a series of issues using the following scale: (1) very

unimportant; (2) unimportant; (3) neither important nor unimportant; (4) important; and (5) very

important. Responses to this question are summarized in Table 4.

       The first category respondents were asked to rank was economic issues. A majority of

respondents (66.5%) indicated this was a very important issue for the local government to address.

Slightly more than one in four (28.4%) considered it an important issue. A few respondents (3.2%)

felt economic issues were neither important nor unimportant, while only 2% indicated economic

issues were an unimportant issue for local government to address.

       Next, respondents were asked their opinion concerning the importance of environmental

issues. Approximately half (50.2%) of the respondents felt environmental issues were very

important, and an additional 38.7% considered them important. About one in twenty (5.2%)

respondents considered environmental issues neither important nor unimportant; the same number

of respondents felt the need for local government to address environmental issues was either

unimportant (5.2%) or very unimportant (0.8%).

       When asked their perceptions about social issues, a majority of respondents indicated they

were either very important (28.4%) or important (45.8%). However, slightly more than one person

in ten (11.1%) felt social issues were neither important nor unimportant for local government to

address, while 12.9% felt they were unimportant and 1.8% said they were very unimportant.



                                                 10
         Overall, 44.2% of respondents indicated quality of life issues were very important for local

government to address and another 36.9% felt they were important. Less than one in ten

respondents (8.5%) answered neither important nor unimportant. Only 8.7% of respondent felt

quality of life issues were unimportant and 1.4% responded that quality of life issues were very

unimportant.



  Table 4: Community Issues Needing Local Government Attention
                                                             Percent of                               Range
Issue                                        Meanb          respondentsa      Standard Deviation   Min     Max

Economic Issues                               4.59                                     .65          1      5
  Very important                                                 66.5
  Important                                                      28.4
  Neither important nor unimportant                                3.2
  Unimportant                                                      2.0
  Very unimportant                                                --

Environmental Issues                          4.32                                     .85          1      5
  Very important                                                 50.2
  Important                                                      38.7
  Neither important nor unimportant                               5.2
  Unimportant                                                     5.2
  Very unimportant                                                0.8

Social Issues                                 3.86                                     1.03         1      5
   Very important                                                28.4
   Important                                                     45.8
   Neither important nor unimportant                             11.1
   Unimportant                                                   12.9
   Very unimportant                                               1.8

Quality of Life Issues                        4.15                                      .48         1      5
    Very important                                              44.2
    Important                                                   36.9
    Neither important nor unimportant                             8.5
    Unimportant                                                   8.7
    Very unimportant                                              1.4
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding (n=504).
b
  The mean score for all variables was derived by using the four categories on a scale.



         Of all the issues respondents indicated were important or very important, economic issues

ranked as the most important followed by environmental issues (94.9% and 88.9%, respectively).

Quality of life issues ranked just behind environmental issues with 81.1% of respondents

                                                           11
indicating quality of life issues were either important or very important. Social issues contained the

most variation of responses with only 74.2% indicating they were either important or very

important.

       To understand how communities perceived their relationship with various government

agencies, the following question was asked: “In recent years, concerns about relationships between

different units of government have received much attention. Please rate your community’s

relationship with each of the following using the scale, “very positive, positive, neither positive nor

negative, negative, very negative.” The results are summarized in Figures 5 through 8.




       More than half (54%) of the respondents (n=273) indicated a positive relationship between

their community and other Delaware County communities; one in six (16%, n=81) indicated the

relationship was very positive. Slightly more than one of every five respondents (21%, n=108)

believed the relationship was neither positive nor negative. A small percentage of respondents

(6%, n=32) perceived a negative relationship between other Delaware County communities and

their community, and only 2% (n=9) considered it very negative.




                                                  12
       When respondents were asked their opinions about the relationship between their

community and state agencies, less than half were either very positive (5%, n=26) or positive

(41%, n=205). One third (33%, n=165) indicated the relationship between their community and

state agencies was neither positive nor negative. In total, slightly less than one quarter of the

respondents felt the relationship was either negative (17%, n=84) or very negative (5%, n=23).

       When respondents were asked their perceptions about the relationship between their

community and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, slightly more than one third (35%,

n=178) indicated they did not perceive it to be either a positive or negative relationship.

Approximately 32% of respondents (n=160) felt the relationship was positive and 6% (n=32) said

it was very positive. One in five survey respondents (21%, n=104) felt the relationship was

negative and 6% (n=29) indicated it was very negative.

       Respondents, when asked about the community’s relationship with New York City, were

more negative. Nearly one in four respondents (24%, n=122) indicated the relationship was very

negative, and an additional 38% (n=193) perceived it as negative. Among those surveyed, 23%

(n=117) felt the relationship was neither positive nor negative. Only one out of every ten

respondents (11%, n=55) felt the relationship was positive, and an additional 3% (n=16) indicated

there was a very positive relationship between their community and New York City.

       Among the items used to learn about communities’ relationship with governmental

agencies, only the relationship between respondents’ community and New York City differed

significantly among the sampled regions. These differences are summarized in Table 5. When

using the five category scale ranging from one (very negative) to five (very positive), respondents

from the hamlet/village sample were significantly more likely than respondents from the not at risk

sample to believe the relationship was very negative. The means for the two samples were 2.15

and 2.53, respectively.

                                                  13
  Table 5: Communities Relationship with New York City
                                                            Percent of                                Range
                                           Meanb           respondentsa       Standard Deviation   Min     Max

Hamlet/Village (n=203)                       2.15                                     1.11          1      5
Very Negative                                                    31.0
Negative                                                         37.9
Neither Positive nor Negative                                    20.2
Positive                                                          8.9
Very Positive                                                     1.5

Not Risk (n=101)                             2.53                                      1.03         1      5
Very Negative                                                  14.9
Negative                                                       36.6
Neither Positive nor Negative                                  33.7
Positive                                                         9.9
Very Positive                                                    5.0
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding.
b
  The mean score for all variables was derived by using the five categories on a scale.




          To learn about programs or opportunities county government should support, respondents

 were asked their opinion (yes or no) about five avenues of development possibilities. Results from

 this question are summarized in Figure 9.




                                                            14
       As shown in the histogram below, respondents overwhelming felt county government

should be supportive of economic development programs. Approximately 90% of respondents

(n=454) answered yes when asked whether or not county government should support business

attraction programs, business retention programs (n=453), and expanding tourism business

opportunities (n=453). A slightly higher percentage (91%, n=456) felt county government should

encourage business expansion programs. The highest percentage of respondents (96%, n=485)

indicated county government should encourage economic development by supporting local

agriculture.




                                              15
(4) Local Natural Resource and Economic Issues

        To understand the importance of local natural resource issues, we asked respondents to

rank the importance of access to four frequent uses of natural resources using a five category scale

ranging from very important (5) to very unimportant (1). Respondents were asked their perceptions

about the following: (1) access to land for fishing; (2) access to land for hunting; (3) access to local

waterways; and (4) access to land for hiking and walking. Responses to these questions are

summarized in Table 6.

        When respondents were asked how important access to land for fishing was for them, a

majority of respondents consider it to be either important (39%) or very important (33%). Only

6% of respondents indicated it was neither important nor unimportant. Slightly more than one in

six respondents (17%) said access to land for fishing was unimportant, and an additional 5%

considered it very unimportant. The mean for this five category access to land for fishing scale was

3.77.

        Respondents were then asked their perceptions about access to land for hunting. Nearly a

third of respondents (32%) considered it very important, and almost as many (29%) said it was

important. Few respondents were neutral about access to land for hunting – less than one in twenty

(4.8%) gave this response. On the other hand, nearly one in four respondents (22.8%) considered it

unimportant, and additional 11% said it was very unimportant. The mean for this five category

access to land for hunting scale was 3.48.

        Next, we asked respondents to rank access to local waterways. In response, 39% indicated

access to local waterways was very important and nearly the same percent (40%) of respondents

said it was important. Few respondents, 6%, indicated it was neither important nor unimportant.

Finally, approximately one in nine respondents (11%) said it was unimportant and 4% considered



                                                  16
access to local waterways very unimportant. The mean for this five category access to local

waterways scale was 4.0.

         The final question asked respondents about the importance of access to land for hiking and

walking. Nearly one in three respondents (30%) considered it very important and an additional

near half of the sample (46%) said it was important. Those who indicated it was neither important

nor unimportant accounted for 6% of the sample. Only 14% of respondents said access to land for

hiking and walking was unimportant and 3% considered it very unimportant. The mean for this

five category access to land for hiking and walking scale was 3.87.

  Table 6: Natural resource importance
                                                            Percent of                                Range
Issue                                       Meanb          respondentsa       Standard Deviation   Min     Max

Access to land for fishing                   3.77                                     1.22          1      5
  Very important                                                 32.9
  Important                                                      38.7
  Neither important nor unimportant                               6.0
  Unimportant                                                    17.3
  Very unimportant                                                5.2

Access to land for hunting                   3.48                                     1.42          1      5
  Very important                                                 32.1
  Important                                                      29.2
  Neither important nor unimportant                               4.8
  Unimportant                                                    22.8
  Very unimportant                                               11.1

Access to local waterways                    4.00                                     1.15          1      5
  Very important                                                 39.1
  Important                                                      39.5
  Neither important nor unimportant                               6.2
  Unimportant                                                    10.9
  Very unimportant                                                4.2

Access to land for hiking and
walking                                      3.87                                      1.09         1      5
    Very important                                               30.4
    Important                                                    46.4
    Neither important nor unimportant                             6.2
    Unimportant                                                  13.9
    Very unimportant                                              3.2
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding (n=504).
b
  The mean score for all variables was derived by using the five categories on a scale.




                                                           17
       We then asked respondents to indicate their level of concern about each of the four access

issues measured above using a three point scale – “very concerned,” “concerned,” or “not

concerned.” As Table 7 indicates, one third of the respondents (33%) were very concerned about

access to land for fishing and 43% said they were concerned. One in four respondents (24.2%)

indicated they were not concerned about access to land for fishing. Using a three category scale,

where one was not concerned and three was very concerned, the mean of access to land for fishing

was 2.09.

       When asked about whether access to land for hunting was a concern for them, 33% of

respondents said they were very concerned and approximately the same number (32%) reported

they were concerned; 35% of respondents were not concerned about access to land for hunting.

The mean for this question was 1.97.

       Respondents were then asked about their concern regarding access to local waterways;

38% of respondents indicated they were very concerned, followed by 43% who were concerned.

Those who indicated they were not concerned made up 18% of the sample. The mean for this

question was 2.21.

       Finally, respondents were asked whether they were concerned about access to land for

hiking and walking. Approximately one third of the respondents (34%) said they were very

concerned; 44% were concerned; and only 22% were not concerned about access to land for hiking

and walking. The mean for this question was 2.12.




                                                18
Table 7: Natural Resource Concern
                                                            Percent of                               Range
Issue                                       Meanb          respondentsa      Standard Deviation   Min     Max

Access to land for fishing                    2.09                                    .75          1      3
  Very concerned                                                33.3
  Concerned                                                     42.5
  Not concerned                                                 24.2

Access to land for hunting                    1.97                                    .82          1      3
  Very concerned                                                32.5
  Concerned                                                     32.1
  Not concerned                                                 35.3

Access to local waterways                     2.21                                    .79          1      3
  Very concerned                                                38.3
  Concerned                                                     43.3
  Not concerned                                                 18.3

Access to land for hiking and walking         2.12                                     .74         1      3
    Very concerned                                               33.9
    Concerned                                                    44.0
    Not concerned                                                22.0
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding (n=504).
b
  The mean score for all variables was derived by using the three categories on a scale.



         To learn about the importance of agriculture to the local community, we used a scale coded

from one (very unimportant) to five (very important). Answers given by respondents are

summarized in Table 8.

         Responses to the question about agricultures importance differed significantly among the

three regions of the county. Respondents from the not at risk sample were significantly less likely

than respondents from either the hamlet/village sample or the at risk sample to indicate agriculture

was either important or very important. Overall, the majority of respondents (55%) indicated

agriculture was very important and one in three (33%) said it was important, while 5% indicated it

was neither important nor unimportant; 6% of the sample answered unimportant and 1% responded

very unimportant. The overall mean, using the five category scale, was 4.35.




                                                          19
    Table 8. Importance of Agriculture, by Sample Region
                                                            Percent of                                  Range
Issue                                      Meanb,c         respondentsa     Standard Deviation       Min     Max

At risk (n=200)                              4.44                                      .88            1            5
   Very important                                               61.5
   Important                                                    27.5
   Neither important nor unimportant                             5.0
   Unimportant                                                   5.0
   Very unimportant                                              1.0

Not at risk (n=101)                          3.98                                    1.13             1            5
  Very important                                                39.6
  Important                                                     38.6
  Neither important nor unimportant                              5.0
  Unimportant                                                   13.9
  Very unimportant                                               3.0

Hamlet/Village (n=203)                       4.44                                      .76            1            5
  Very important                                                56.2
  Important                                                     35.5
  Neither important nor unimportant                              4.4
  Unimportant                                                    3.9
  Very unimportant

Overall (n=504)                              4.35                                      .91            1            5
  Very important                                                55.0
  Important                                                     32.9
  Neither important nor unimportant                              4.8
  Unimportant                                                    6.3
  Very unimportant                                               1.0
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding.
b
  The mean score for all variables was derived by using the five categories on a scale.
c
  Significant differences existed between Risk and Not at risk; Hamlet/Village and Not at risk (F=7.28; p=.001).



         To understand respondents’ perceptions of local economic issues we asked them to rank,

on a scale where one was very unimportant and five was very important, a series of issues related

to the community’s economy. These issues were: (1) viability of local agriculture; (2) outmigration

of youth; (3) employment opportunities; (4) loss of taxable land from local communities; and (5)

loss of jobs. Following this question we then asked respondents to rank their concerns about these

same issues on a scale where 1=not concerned and 3= very concerned. Findings from these

questions are summarized in Tables 9 and 10.


                                                          20
       Respondents indicated the first issue, viability of local agriculture, was either very

important (66%) or important (27%). A small number of respondents indicated it was neither

important nor unimportant (2%); unimportant (4%); or very unimportant (2%). When asked about

their levels of concern, two-thirds (67%) said they were very concerned, followed by 27% who

were concerned and 5% who were not concerned. The mean score, using the five category scale of

importance, was 4.51; the mean was 2.62 using the three category scale of concern.

       When asked their thoughts about outmigration of youth, over half (52%) indicated it was

very important, followed by 29% who indicated it was important; 6% considered it neither

important nor unimportant, while 10% said it was unimportant and 3% found it to be very

unimportant. Nearly half (49%) of the sample said they were very concerned about outmigration of

youth; 37% were concerned and 13% were not concerned. The mean score for this issue using the

five category scale of importance was 4.19; the mean was 2.36 using the three category scale of

concern.

       When asked about employment opportunities, more than nine of ten respondents indicated

it was very important (72%) or important (19%). Only 2% of respondents were neutral, indicating

neither important nor unimportant, while 6% considered it unimportant and 1% very unimportant.

Asked their perceptions about concern over employment opportunities, nearly three-quarters (72%)

were very concerned; 21% were concerned and 6% were not concerned. The mean score for this

issue using the five category scale of importance was 4.56; the mean was 2.66 using the three

category scale of concern.

       Loss of taxable land from local communities was also seen as a very important issue by a

majority (68%) of respondents, while one in five (21%) considered it important. A small

percentage of the sample (3%) considered this issue neither important nor unimportant and the

remaining respondents answered either unimportant (5%) or very unimportant (3%). Turning to

                                                 21
respondents’ level of concern, 69% of respondents were very concerned about loss of taxable land

from local communities; 21% were concerned and 11% were not concerned. The mean for this

issue was 4.46 using the five category scale of importance; the mean was 2.58 using the three

category scale of concern.

       Of all the economic issues respondents were asked to rank, loss of jobs was seen as the

most important by respondents. Over three-fourths (78%) said loss of jobs was a very important

economic issue and an additional 16% indicated it was important; only 1% responded it was

neither important nor unimportant, while a very small percentage of respondents said it was

unimportant (3%) or very unimportant (2%). Similar to the level of importance, loss of jobs was

seen as the issue of most concern to these respondents. Over three-fourths (77%) of the sample

indicated they were very concerned about loss of jobs; 17% said they were concerned and 6% said

they were not concerned. Using the five category scale of importance, the mean for this issue was

4.63; the mean was 2.71 using the three category scale of concern.




                                                22
  Table 9. Importance of Economic Issues
                                                            Percent of                               Range
Issue                                       Meanb          respondentsa      Standard Deviation   Min     Max

Viability of local agriculture               4.51                                      .86         1      5
   Very important                                              65.7
   Important                                                   26.8
   Neither important nor unimportant                            2.0
   Unimportant                                                  3.6
   Very unimportant                                             2.0

Outmigration of youth                        4.19                                     1.09         1      5
  Very important                                               52.2
  Important                                                    29.4
  Neither important nor unimportant                             6.0
  Unimportant                                                   9.9
  Very unimportant                                              2.6

Employment opportunities                     4.56                                      .87         1      5
  Very important                                               72.2
  Important                                                    19.4
  Neither important nor unimportant                             1.6
  Unimportant                                                   5.6
  Very unimportant                                              1.2

Loss of taxable land from local
communities                                  4.46                                      .97         1      5
  Very important                                               67.7
  Important                                                    21.2
  Neither important nor unimportant                             3.4
  Unimportant                                                   5.2
  Very unimportant                                              2.6

Loss of jobs                                 4.63                                       .84        1      5
    Very important                                              77.6
    Important                                                   15.7
    Neither important nor unimportant                            1.4
    Unimportant                                                  3.4
    Very unimportant                                             2.0
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding (n=504).
b
  The mean score for all variables was derived by using the five categories on a scale.




                                                          23
  Table 10. Economic Issues Concern
                                                            Percent of                               Range
Issue                                       Meanb          respondentsa      Standard Deviation   Min     Max

Viability of local agriculture                2.62                                    .59          1      3
   Very concerned                                               67.3
   Concerned                                                    27.4
   Not concerned                                                 5.4

Outmigration of youth                         2.36                                    .71          1      3
  Very concerned                                                49.4
  Concerned                                                     37.3
  Not concerned                                                 13.3

Employment opportunities                      2.66                                    .59          1      3
  Very concerned                                                72.4
  Concerned                                                     21.4
  Not concerned                                                  6.2

Loss of taxable land from local
communities                                   2.58                                    .67          1      3
  Very concerned                                                68.7
  Concerned                                                     20.8
  Not concerned                                                 10.5

Loss of jobs                                  2.71                                     .58         1      3
    Very concerned                                               76.8
    Concerned                                                    17.1
    Not concerned                                                 6.2
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding.
b
  The mean score for all variables was derived by using the three categories on a scale.



         To gauge feelings about the importance of new and existing business development,

respondents were asked how important they felt it was using a five category scale where 1 was

very unimportant and 5 was very important. The results of this question are summarized in Figure

10. Overall, respondents felt development of new and existing business was very important (66%,

n=332) to their community; 29% (n=145) said it was important; 3% (n=17) considered it neither

important nor unimportant, while 2% (n=9) said it was unimportant and less than 1% (n=1)

indicated it was very unimportant.




                                                          24
(5) Perceptions of Community Satisfaction and Quality of Life

       This section summarizes respondents’ responses to a series of questions used to assess

community satisfaction and quality of life. Results from the initial question, “In general, how

satisfied are you with life in your community?” are summarized in Figure 11. Overall, the majority

of respondents were very satisfied (38%, n=191) or mostly satisfied (51%, n=255) with life in their

community. A small number of respondents were either mostly unsatisfied (4%, n=21) or very

unsatisfied (2%, n=8). Only 6% (n=29) indicated they were neither satisfied nor unsatisfied.




                                                 25
Next, respondents were asked how they perceived quality of life in their community. Respondents

were asked the following two questions:

       (1) Overall, how would you rate the quality of life of your community?

       (2) Overall, how would you rate the quality of the natural environment in and
       around your community?

       Respondents’ answers are summarized in Table 11. On a scale from one to four, where four

meant excellent and one indicated poor, a majority of respondents said their quality of life was

good (51.2%) or excellent (30.0%). About one in five respondents said their quality of life was

either fair (16.1%) or poor (2.8%). The mean for this question was 3.08.

       When asked about the quality of the natural environment, using the same scale, 46% of the

respondents indicated they perceived the natural environment in and around their community to be

excellent, 47% regarded its quality as good, 5.4% as fair, and 1.4% considered the quality to be

poor. The mean, using the above scale, was 3.38.




                                                 26
  Table 11. Quality of Life and the Natural Environment
                                                             Percent of                               Range
                                            Meanb           respondentsa      Standard Deviation   Min     Max

Quality of life                              3.08                                      .75          1      4
  Excellent                                                      30.0
  Good                                                           51.2
  Fair                                                           16.1
  Poor                                                            2.8

Quality of the natural environment           3.38                                       .65         1      4
    Excellent                                                   46.2
    Good                                                        47.0
    Fair                                                          5.4
    Poor                                                          1.4
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding (n=504).
b
  The mean score for all variables was derived by using the four categories on a scale.



(6) Concern about NYCLAP

         In an attempt to synthesize the above findings into a more coherent and simpler model, we

used a multivariate technique known as factor analysis to find common dimensions of concern

among the respondents. The basic assumption of factor analysis is that underlying correlated

factors can be used to explain a complex relationship among related variables. This “grouping”

reduces the total number of variables and eliminates the guess procedure in determining which key

variables belong in the analysis when there is limited theory available for guidance. Doing this

revealed ten indicators (viability of local agriculture; outmigration of youth; employment

opportunities; school consolidation; loss of taxable land from local communities; loss of jobs;

access to land for fishing; access to land for hunting; access to local waterways; and access to land

for hiking and walking) that shared a common structure and were significantly associated with

each other. This factor, concern about NYCLAP, had an alpha reliability coefficient of .79, an




                                                           27
eigenvalue of 3.46, and explained 34.6% of the common variation among these ten indicators (see

Table 12).2

         Since these ten items were similar, and the resulting factor had a high level of reliability,

we summed responses to each of these items for each respondent and used this sum in further

analysis as a composite measure of concern. We also included in this secondary analysis,

individual and household characteristics and place of residence to assess the degree to which

relationships between concern and these variables accurately describe the aggregate sample.

Finally, a discriminant analysis model was estimated to assess the predictive probability of

correctly categorizing the dependent variable. These results are discussed in order.



    Table 12. Varimax Factor Loadings for Concern about NYCLAP

Factors/Items                                                                                     Factor 1
    a) Loss of Jobs                                                                                 .63
    b) Access to land for fishing                                                                   .62
    c) Access to local waterways                                                                    .61
    d) Outmigration of youth                                                                        .61
    e) Employment opportunities                                                                     .61
    f) Loss of taxable land from local communities                                                  .59
    g) Access to land for hiking and walking                                                        .58
    h) Access to land for hunting                                                                   .57
    i) Viability of local agriculture                                                               .55
    j) School consolidation                                                                         .51
N                                                                                                   504
Eigenvalue                                                                                         3.46
% of variance                                                                                     34.61
Cronbach’s alpha                                                                                    .79



         The variables level of income, program familiarity, relationship with NYC, and

NYCLAP’s perceived impact were significantly related to concern about NYCLAP.3 Since the

category “not concerned” in our composite variable (described above) had only two cases and
2
  The alpha reliability coefficient indicates the strength of the relationship across the variables that measure the
underlying, or latent, variable on a scale from 0 to 1. The eigenvalue indicates the proportion of the amount of
variation capture by the factor (concern about NYCLAP). The corresponding percentage of variance reflects the total
amount of information retained from the original measures.
3
  Significant relationships were determined using ANOVA.

                                                         28
those who were very concerned were greatest in number, we “dummy” coded the composite

variable concern (0= other; 1= very concerned).

            Level of concern differed significantly depending on respondents’ familiarity with

NYCLAP. As respondents’ knowledge of NYCLAP program increased, so too did their concern.

Those who were either somewhat familiar or very familiar with the program were most concerned

with NYCLAP. Of those who indicated they were either somewhat familiar or very familiar, 86%

said they were very concerned. Treated as a dichotomous variable where 0 was other and 1 was

very concerned, significant differences (F=9.2, p<.000) existed between “I know nothing of the

program” and the other four categories of program familiarity. The means for each category ranged

from .47 for those who knew nothing of the program to .86 for those who were somewhat familiar

with the program. Those who were very familiar with the program had a mean score of .85,

followed by those who were not very familiar with the program (.80) and those who knew very

little of the program (.73).



    Table 13. Level of Community Concern by Program Familiarity
                                                       Program Familiarity
                    I know nothing    I know very little   Not very familiar   Somewhat familiar   Very familiar with
Level of            of the program     of the program      with the program     with the program     the program
Concern                  (n=62)             (n=92)               (n=85)              (n=189)             (n=75)
                                                                Percent

    Other               53.2                27.2                 20.0                13.8                14.7


    Very
    Concerned           46.8                72.8                 80.0                86.2                85.3
a
 Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding.
χ2=46.28; df=4; p=.000



            Finally, when concern was treated as a dichotomous variable, significant differences

(F=11.7, p<.001) existed among those who perceived NYCLAP’s impact as positive, neutral, or


                                                           29
    negative. Those who perceived NYCLAP as having a negative impact were also the most

    concerned having a mean score of .85, followed by those who perceived a neutral impact (.66).

    Those who thought NYCLAP would have a positive impact were the least concerned (.59).



    Table 14. Level of Community Concern by NYCLAP’s Perceived Impact
                                                         Perceived Impact
Level of                     Negative impact                  Neutral impact          Positive impact
Concern                         (n=329)                          (n=136)                  (n=37)
                                                                 Percent

     Other                         15.2                            33.8                    40.5


     Very Concerned                84.8                            66.2                    59.5
a
 Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding.
χ2=27.26; df=2; p=.000



             There were no significant differences for level of concern about NYCLAP among the three

    regions of the county, or by gender, education, age, income, or employment. Taken together, these

    results suggest the relationship between concern about NYCLAP and individual and household

    characteristics might not accurately describe the aggregate sample.

             In order to address this issue, discriminate analysis was conducted to assess whether the

    nine predictors – gender, age, income, education, employment status, location, familiarity with

    NYCLAP, relationship with New York City governmental units, and NYCLAP’s impact – could

    distinguish those who were very concerned about NYCLAP from those who were not. Several

    measures of goodness of fit of the model were examined to see how well this model worked. The

    first, Wilks’ lambda, was significant, λ= .86, χ2= 78.50, p< .001. Wilks’ lambda indicates the

    model including these nine variables was able to significantly discriminate between the two

    groups. Table 15 presents the standardized discriminant function coefficients, which suggest



                                                         30
familiarity with NYCLAP, perceived impact from NYCLAP, and respondents’ age contributed

most to distinguishing those who were very concerned from those who were not. The correlation

coefficients in the table indicate the extent to which each variable correlates with the resulting

discriminant function. The second measure of fit is drawn from the classification results (Table

16). This measure indicates the model correctly predicted 74% of those who were very concerned

and 65% of those who were not.



Table 15. Standardized Function Coefficients and Correlation Coefficients
                                                                Correlations between
                                 Standardized Function        Variables and Discriminant
Variable                               Coefficients                    Functions

 Gender (1=male, 2=female)                      -.04                               .11
 Age                                             .35                               .41
 Income                                         -.04                               .18
 Education                                       .29                               .19
 Employment Status (1=employed,
 2=unemployed)                                   .13                               .17
 Location (1=Hamlet/Village,
 2=else)                                        -.05                               -.05
 Familiarity with NYCLAP                        -.67                               -.67
 NYCLAP impact                                   .43                                .59
 Relationship with NYC                           .20                                .44



Table 16. Classification Results
 Actual Group
 Membership                                    Predicted Group Membership                 Total

                 Level of Concern                 Other         Very Concerned            Other
                Other                              73                  39                 112
Count
                Very Concerned                    101                 290                 391
                Other                              65.2                34.8               100.0
Percentage
                Very Concerned                     25.8                74.2               100.0




                                                  31
                                                Part II

                                SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS



         This sample of Delaware County respondents indicated a level of awareness and concern

not typical of most local surveys. This was reflected in the very high participation and completion

rates we experienced when gathering the data. Unlike many current surveys, our response rates

were extremely good – and our refusal rates remarkably low. Appendix A summarizes the survey

participation, including total callable sample, number of refused, and the number of suspends, as

well as details on a few other indicators. Of the total callable sample, we received a remarkably

low number of qualified refusals (20) and initial refusals (407). Qualified refusals refer to

individuals who possessed the necessary characteristics to be included in the survey, but declined

to do so and initial refusals represent the number of people who immediately refused to participate.

Of those respondents who opted to be included in the survey, only 12 suspended their participation

after the survey had started. Such high levels of interest resulted in a 54% response rate and 94%

completion rate. These patterns suggest NYCLAP was a salient issue in Delaware County, one

deserving attention by local, county, and state officials.

         Residents of the three regions served by the Delaware County Department of Watershed

Affairs indicated both high levels of knowledge and considerable levels of concern about New

York City’s Land Acquisition Program. Over three-quarters of the respondents rated concern as a

three on a scale of one to three. In the discriminate analysis model, familiarity with NYCLAP,

perceived impact from NYCLAP, age, education, and relationship with New York City

governmental units contributed the most to distinguishing respondents who were very concerned

about NYCLAP from those who were not. Possible explanations for these findings are advanced

below.

                                                  32
       The findings in this study are consistent with prior studies of risk analysis, specifically the

role of communication and information dissemination. The social amplification of risk framework

suggests “events pertaining to hazards interact with psychological, social, institutional, and cultural

processes in ways that can heighten or attenuate perceptions of risk and shape risk behavior”

(Kasperson 1992:157-158). Media coverage often serves as the conduit through which community

residents learn of impending or unfolding risks and/or threats (Mazur 1989). As the concern over

the risk unfolds, community residents can serve as amplification stations by relaying knowledge to

others. If the public begins to form a negative opinion of such events then a corresponding increase

in news coverage occurs. This further compounds such attitudes (Stallings 1990). In addition,

perceptions of trust can serve to either attenuate or heighten concerns (Breakwell et al. 2001).

Trust of organizations is a key element in tempering elevated risk concerns. When these qualities

of trust are absent, there is a greater likelihood that concern about risks will intensify.

       This analysis suggests those who knew of NYCLAP held negative perceptions of potential

impacts caused by it; this has led to an elevated level of concern. Conversely, respondents

unfamiliar with NYCLAP were understandably less concerned. Newspapers were the most

frequently mentioned source of knowledge about NYCLAP, followed by word of mouth. While

information dissemination through these media does not ensure community residents will become

concerned about programs such as NYCLAP, they do provide important local sources of

information about current issues. Those who gain their information from them are likely to pass

this on to others and contribute to a heightened recognition of potential issues and/or problems. As

well, poor relationships with various government agencies can also result in community residents

forming negative perceptions. When respondents were asked their opinions about different units of

government, nearly two-thirds held a negative or very negative opinion of New York City

governmental units.

                                                   33
       While knowledge and perception of impact provided insight into some of the reasons

respondents were deeply concerned about NYCLAP, a deeper issue may reflect low levels of trust

between communities and governmental agencies. Involving community residents in the decision

making process is the surest way to overcome impasses resulting from distrust in such agencies.

Doing so engages local citizens who are then able to share their concerns among local, state, and

federal agencies. By allowing community residents to express their concerns, trust between

governmental agencies and the community can be restored. Restoring public trust through

community engagement builds a relationship between communities and agencies, which also

encourages future communication to address local issues before concerns become elevated.

Additionally, community concerns become better understood and are therefore easier to address,

thereby lessening the community residents’ perceptions of risk.




                                                34
                                          References



Breakwell, G.M., J. Barnett, R. Lofstedt, R. Kemp, and C. Glaser. 2001. The Impact of Social
      Amplification of Risk on Risk Communication. Caerphilly, United Kingdom: HSE Books.

Kasperson, R.E. 1992. "The Social Amplification of Risk: Progress in Developing an Integrative
      Framework." in Social Theories of Risk, edited by S. Krimsky and D. Golding. Westport,
      CT: Praeger Publishers.

Mazur, A. 1989. "Communicating Risk in the Mass Media." in Psychosocial Effects of Hazardous
       Toxic Wase Disposal on Communities, edited by D. L. Peck. Springfield, IL: Charles C
       Thomas Pub Ltd

Stallings, R.A. 1990. "Media Discourse and the Social Construction of Risk." Social Problems
        37:80-95.




                                               35
                                       Appendix A

Table A1. Disposition Table of the DCDWA Telephone Survey
                                   At Risk  Hamlet/Village    Not at Risk    Total

Callable Sample
  Total Sample                        2582             2150           3119       7851
  Total Dead Sample                   1562             1707            512       3781
Total Callable Sample                 1020              443           2607       4070

Not Contacted
  No answer                            131              108             84           323
  Answering machine                    157              119             86           362
  Busy                                   7               26              7            40
  Unspecified callback                  39               20              7            66
Total Not Contacted                    334              273            184           791

Bad Sample
  Nonworking                           749              720            192       1661
  Computer/Fax                          17               28              8         53
  Priv. MGR                              2                -              -          2
  Non-BUS                               80              206             33        319
  Duplicate Number                      20               49             30         99
Total Bad Sample                       868             1003            263       2134

Initial Refusals
  No such person                         4               11              3            18
  Language barrier                       4                3              -             7
  Terminated                             1                1              -             2
  Qualified Refusal                      5               10              5            20
  Refused                              166              148             93           407
Total Initial Refusals                 180              173            101           454

Available Contacts
  First Attempt                        235              133             39        407
  Second Attempt                        73              152             39        264
  Third Attempt                         71               61             13        145
  Fourth Attempt                       121               35            128        284
Total Available Contacts               500              381            219       1100

Suspends                                 5                5              2            12
Callbacks                               18               51             19            88

Total Completes                        201              203            101           504

Response Rate                                                                  53.50%
Completion Rate                                                                94.04%
Average Length of Interview (mins.)     17             16.5           16.3     16.8




                                             36
                                                      Appendix B

  Table B1. Descriptive Statistics of Individual, Household, and Place of Residence Characteristics,
  by Area
Variable                                                             At Risk        Hamlet/Village        Not at Risk
                                                                               Percentage of Respondentsa
Age
 18 to 30                                                             4.0                5.4                 4.0
 31 to 40                                                             6.5                4.4                 4.0
 41 to 60                                                            40.5               36.9                38.6
 61 or older                                                         49.0               53.2                53.5

Gender
 Male                                                                52.0               49.3                42.6
 Female                                                              48.0               50.7                57.4

Education (n=504)
 Less than a high school degree                                       3.0                1.5                 5.0
 High school degree or GED                                           34.5               26.1                41.6
 Some college or post high school training                           15.0               16.7                13.9
 Two year technical or associate degree                              11.0               13.3                10.9
 4 year college degree (BA/BS)                                       18.0               19.2                16.8
 Advanced degree (i.e., Master’s, JD, MD, Ph.D.)                     16.0               19.7                10.9
 Don’t Know/Refused                                                   2.5                3.4                 1.0

Total 2007 pre-tax household incomeb
 Less than $20,000                                                    8.5               10.8                11.9
 $20,000 to $34,999                                                  22.0               15.3                21.8
 $35,000 to $59,999                                                  24.5               26.1                22.8
 $60,000 to $99,999                                                  19.5               29.1                21.8
 Over $100,000                                                       15.0                7.9                 8.9
 Don’t know/Refused                                                  10.5               10.8                12.9

Children in the household?
 Yes                                                                 21.5               14.3                25.7
 No                                                                  76.0               82.8                72.3
 Don’t know/refused                                                   2.5                3.0                 2.0

Type of home
 Single family home                                                  90.0               89.2                85.1
 Mobile home or trailer                                               6.5                2.0                 7.9
 Townhouse or duplex                                                  -                   .5                 4.0
 Apartment                                                            2.5                5.9                 1.0
 Other                                                                1.0                2.5                 2.0

Average time of work commute
  0 to 30 minutes                                                     28.0              30.0                27.7
  31 minutes to 60 minutes                                             2.0               4.4                 4.0
  60 minutes or more                                                   2.0               2.0                 -
  Don’t know                                                          68.0              63.5                68.3
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding.
b
  Significant differences existed between Not at Risk and Hamlet/Village.



                                                            37
  Table B1. Descriptive Statistics of Individual, Household, and Place of Residence Characteristics, by Area (cont.)
Variable                                                                   At Risk        Hamlet/Village          Not at Risk
                                                                                     Percentage of Respondentsa
Number of people in household
 1 to 3                                                                   79.0               80.3                  78.2
 4 to 6                                                                   17.5               15.8                  18.8
 7 or more                                                                  3.5               3.9                   3.0
 Don’t know/refused                                                        --

Source of incomeb
  Wages and/or salary                                                     35.6               51.7                  35.6
  Income from business                                                    16.8               13.8                  16.8
   Interest and/or investment income                                      18.8               17.7                  18.8
  Income from property                                                      4.0               8.4                    4.0
  Disability benefits                                                       4.0               4.4                    4.0
  Social Security payments                                                46.5               33.5                  46.5
  Retirement pensions payments                                            25.7               25.6                  25.7
  Unemployment compensation                                                --                 1.5                   --
  Public assistance/welfare/food stamps                                     2.0               1.5                    2.0
  Other                                                                     7.9               9.4                    7.9

Employment status
   Employed for pay by a company, business, or agency                     32.0               36.5                  31.7
   Self-employed                                                          20.5               15.8                  11.9
   Unemployed, but looking for work                                        1.5                1.5                   1.0
   Unemployed, not looking for work                                         .5                1.0                   1.0
   Retired                                                                38.0               38.4                  47.5
   Homemaker                                                               2.0                1.5                   4.0
   Other                                                                   3.5                2.0                   2.0
   Don’t know/refused                                                      2.0                3.4                   1.0
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding.
b
  Totals exceed 100 if respondents had more than one source of income.




                                                                     38
                                                    Appendix C

  Table C1. Knowledge about NYCLAP, by Area
Variable                                                          At Risk        Hamlet/Village       Not at Risk
                                                                            Percentage of Respondentsa
Level of knowledge about NYCLAP b
 Very familiar with the program                                   15.8                 10.8             15.8
 Somewhat familiar with the program                               24.8                 18.7             24.8
 Not very familiar with the program                               20.8                 17.7             20.8
 I know very little about the program                             27.7                 40.9             27.7
  I know nothing about the program                                10.9                 11.8             10.9

Where did you learn about the program
   Newspaper                                                      40.5                 36.9             27.7
   Television                                                      6.0                  9.4              5.0
   Radio                                                           7.0                 11.8              6.9
   Word of mouth                                                  30.0                 24.6             20.8
   Direct mail                                                     4.0                  7.4              1.0
   Other                                                          11.5                 11.3              2.0
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding.
b
  Significant differences existed between Not at Risk and Risk.




                                                          39
  Table C2. Importance of Local Issues, by Area
Local Issue                                        At Risk        Hamlet/Village      Not at Risk
                                                             Percentage of Respondentsa
Viability of local agriculture
   Very important                                  68.0                 65.5             61.4
   Important                                       26.5                 26.6             27.7
   Neither important nor unimportant                2.0                  2.5              1.0
   Unimportant                                      2.0                  3.9              5.9
   Very unimportant                                 1.5                  1.5              4.0

Outmigration of youth
  Very important                                   48.0                 57.1             50.5
  Important                                        33.0                 26.1             28.7
  Neither important nor unimportant                 9.0                  3.9              4.0
  Unimportant                                       9.0                  9.4             12.9
  Very unimportant                                  1.0                  3.4              4.0

Employment opportunities
  Very important                                   67.5                 74.9             76.2
  Important                                        23.0                 17.7             15.8
  Neither important nor unimportant                 2.5                  1.0              1.0
  Unimportant                                       6.5                  5.4              4.0
  Very unimportant                                   .5                  1.0              3.0

Loss of taxable land from local communities
  Very important                                   69.5                 66.5             66.3
  Important                                        22.5                 21.2             18.8
  Neither important nor unimportant                 2.5                  3.4              5.0
  Unimportant                                       3.5                  6.4              5.9
  Very unimportant                                  2.0                  2.5              4.0

Loss of jobs
  Very important                                   73.0                 81.3             79.2
  Important                                        20.5                 12.3             12.9
  Neither important nor unimportant                 2.5                   .5              1.0
  Unimportant                                       3.0                  3.9              3.0
  Very unimportant                                  1.0                  2.0              4.0

School consolidation
   Very important                                  33.0                 29.6             38.6
   Important                                       39.5                 36.9             31.7
   Neither important nor unimportant                8.5                  7.9              6.9
   Unimportant                                     13.0                 19.7             15.8
   Very unimportant                                 6.0                  5.9              6.9

Access to land for fishing
  Very important                                   32.0                 31.5             37.6
  Important                                        40.5                 37.9             36.6
  Neither important nor unimportant                 8.0                  5.9              2.0
  Unimportant                                      16.0                 18.2             17.8
  Very unimportant                                  3.5                  6.4              5.9




                                              40
  Table C2. Importance of Local Issues, by Area (cont.)
Local Issue                                                    At Risk        Hamlet/Village     Not at Risk
                                                                         Percentage of Respondents
Access to land for hunting
  Very important                                               32.0                30.5             35.6
  Important                                                    32.5                28.1             24.8
  Neither important nor unimportant                             4.5                 4.4              5.9
  Unimportant                                                  20.0                26.1             21.8
  Very unimportant                                             11.0                10.8             11.9

Access to local waterways
  Very important                                               34.5                43.3             39.6
  Important                                                    47.5                34.5             33.7
  Neither important nor unimportant                             4.0                 7.9              6.9
  Unimportant                                                   9.5                10.8             13.9
  Very unimportant                                              4.5                 3.4              5.0

Access to land for hiking and walking
    Very important                                             30.5                33.0             24.8
    Important                                                  45.5                46.3             48.5
    Neither important nor unimportant                           5.5                 6.9              5.9
    Unimportant                                                14.5                11.8             16.8
    Very unimportant                                            4.0                 2.0              4.0
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding.




                                                          41
  Table C3. Concern about Local Issues, by Area
Local Issue                                        At Risk        Hamlet/Village       Not at Risk
                                                             Percentage of Respondentsa
Viability of local agriculture
   Very concerned                                  67.5                70.9               59.4
   Concerned                                       27.0                25.6               31.7
   Not concerned                                    5.5                 3.4                8.9

Outmigration of youthb
  Very concerned                                   48.5                55.2               39.6
  Concerned                                        38.5                33.5               42.6
  Not concerned                                    13.0                11.3               17.8

Employment opportunities
  Very concerned                                   68.0                76.8               72.3
  Concerned                                        25.0                18.2               20.8
  Not concerned                                     7.0                 4.9                6.9

Loss of taxable land from local communities
  Very concerned                                   71.5                68.5               63.4
  Concerned                                        20.5                21.2               20.8
  Not concerned                                     8.0                10.3               15.8

Loss of jobsc
  Very concerned                                   71.0                80.8               80.2
  Concerned                                        20.5                14.8               14.9
  Not concerned                                     8.5                 4.4                5.0

School consolidation
   Very concerned                                  31.5                27.1               44.6
   Concerned                                       43.5                41.9               26.7
   Not concerned                                   25.0                31.0               28.7

Access to land for fishing
  Very concerned                                   31.0                34.5               35.6
  Concerned                                        45.0                41.4               39.6
  Not concerned                                    24.0                24.1               24.8




                                              42
  Table C3. Concern about Local Issues, by Area (cont.)
Local Issue                                                       At risk        Hamlet/Village        Not at risk
                                                                            Percentage of Respondentsa
Access to land for hunting
  Very concerned                                                   32.0                33.0               32.7
  Concerned                                                        33.0                34.0               26.7
  Not concerned                                                    35.0                33.0               40.6

Access to local waterways
  Very concerned                                                   37.5                38.4               40.0
  Concerned                                                        46.0                44.8               35.0
  Not concerned                                                    16.5                16.7               25.0

Access to land for hiking and walking d
    Very concerned                                                  37.0               35.5                24.8
    Concerned                                                       40.5               47.8                43.6
    Not concerned                                                   22.5               16.7                31.7
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding.
b
  Significant differences existed between Not at Risk and Hamlet/Village.
c
  Significant differences existed between At Risk and Hamlet/Village.
d
  Significant differences existed between At Risk and Not at Risk; Hamlet/Village, At Risk, and Not at Risk.




                                                         43
  Table C4. Relationships Between Different Units of Government, by Area

                   Unit of Government                             At Risk        Hamlet/Village       Not at Risk
                                                                            Percentage of Respondents a
Other Delaware County communities
  Very positive                                                    18.0               15.8               12.9
  Positive                                                         52.0               55.7               55.4
  Neither positive nor negative                                    21.0               20.7               23.8
  Negative                                                          6.5                 6.4               5.9
  Very negative                                                     2.0                 1.5               2.0
  Don’t know/refused                                                 .5                --

State agencies
   Very positive                                                    5.5                 3.4               7.9
   Positive                                                        37.0               44.8               39.6
   Neither positive nor negative                                   33.5               29.1               38.6
   Negative                                                        20.0               16.3               10.9
   Very negative                                                    3.5                 6.4               3.0
   Don’t know/refused                                                .5                --

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
   Very positive                                                    5.5                 6.4                7.9
   Positive                                                        34.5               28.6               32.7
   Neither positive nor negative                                   33.5               36.9               35.6
   Negative                                                        19.5               21.2               21.8
   Very negative                                                    6.5                 6.9                2.0
   Don’t know/refused                                                .5                --                 --

New York Cityb
    Very positive                                                     4.0              1.5                5.0
    Positive                                                        13.5               8.9                9.9
    Neither positive nor negative                                   21.0              20.2               33.7
    Negative                                                        39.5              37.9               36.6
    Very negative                                                   22.0              31.0               14.9
   Don’t know/refused                                                --                 .5
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding.
b
  Significant differences existed between Hamlet/Village, At Risk, and Not at Risk.




                                                          44
  Table C5. Thoughts about NYCLAP, by Area
Suggestions                                                              At Risk    Hamlet/Village Not at Risk
                                                                               Percentage of Respondents a
Allowing both purchase of lands and easements
   Yes                                                                    25.5             22.2           19.8
   No                                                                     74.5             77.8           80.2

Allowing New York City to purchase new lands
   Yes                                                                    16.5             16.3           10.9
   No                                                                     83.5             83.7           89.1

Only allowing New York City to purchase easements
  Yes                                                                     28.5             70.4           25.7
  No                                                                      71.5             29.6           74.3

Limiting land acquisition to existing purchased or easement
lands
    Yes                                                                   51.5             59.6           59.4
    No                                                                    48.5             40.4           40.6
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding.




  Table C6. Thoughts on County Government Support of Programs, by Area
Programs                                                       At Risk        Hamlet/Village         Not at Risk
                                                                         Percentage of Respondents a
Business attraction programs
  Yes                                                           91.0                89.7               89.1
  No                                                             9.0                10.3               10.9

Business retention programs
  Yes                                                           93.0                87.2               89.1
  No                                                             7.0                12.8               10.9

Business expansion programs
  Yes                                                           93.5                88.2               89.1
  No                                                             6.5                11.8               10.9

Expanding tourism business opportunities
  Yes                                                           91.5                89.7               87.1
  No                                                             8.5                10.3               12.9

Supporting local agriculture
    Yes                                                         97.5                95.6               95.0
    No                                                           2.5                 4.4                5.0
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding.




                                                          45
  Table C7. Importance of Developing New and Existing Business, by Area
Issue                                                            At Risk        Hamlet/Village         Not at Risk
                                                                           Percentage of Respondents a
How important is the development of new
and existing business to your community
    Very important                                                62.0               70.0                65.3
    Important                                                     33.5               24.1                28.7
    Neither Important nor unimportant                               3.0               3.9                  3.0
    Unimportant                                                     1.5               1.5                  3.0
    Very unimportant                                               --                  .5                 --
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding.




  Table C8. Importance of Local Issues, by Area
Local Issue                                                    At Risk          Hamlet/Village        Not at Risk
                                                                           Percentage of Respondentsa
Economic issues
  Very important                                               65.0                 65.5                 71.3
  Important                                                    30.0                 29.6                 22.8
  Neither important nor unimportant                              3.0                  3.0                  4.0
  Unimportant                                                    2.0                  2.0                  2.0
  Very unimportant                                              --                   --                   --

Environmental issues
  Very important                                               45.5                 50.7                 58.4
  Important                                                    42.0                 38.4                 32.7
  Neither important nor unimportant                             5.0                  5.9                  4.0
  Unimportant                                                   6.5                  4.4                  4.0
  Very unimportant                                              1.0                   .5                  1.0

Social issues
   Very important                                              20.5                 32.0                 36.6
   Important                                                   51.0                 43.3                 40.6
   Neither important nor unimportant                           13.5                 10.3                  7.9
   Unimportant                                                 12.5                 13.3                 12.9
   Very unimportant                                             2.5                  1.0                  2.0

Quality of life issues
    Very important                                             40.0                 44.3                 52.5
    Important                                                  42.0                 34.5                 31.7
    Neither important nor unimportant                           9.0                   8.9                  6.9
    Unimportant                                                 6.5                 11.8                   6.9
    Very unimportant                                            2.0                     .5                 2.0
    Don’t know                                                   .5                  --                   --
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding.




                                                          46
  Table C9. Community Satisfaction, Quality of Life and Quality of the Natural Environment, by Area
                                                                          At Risk        Hamlet/Village        Not at Risk
                                                                                    Percentage of Respondentsa
How satisfied are you with life in your community
  Very satisfied                                                          40.5              37.9                32.7
  Satisfied                                                               47.5              50.2                57.4
  Neither satisfied nor unsatisfied                                        8.0               4.9                 3.0
  Unsatisfied                                                              3.0               5.9                 3.0
  Very unsatisfied                                                         1.0               1.0                 4.0

How would you rate quality of life in your community
  Excellent                                                               34.0              27.1                27.7
  Good                                                                    48.5              55.2                48.5
  Fair                                                                    15.0              14.8                20.8
  Poor                                                                     2.5               3.0                 3.0

How would you rate the quality of the
natural environment in and around your community
    Excellent                                                             48.0              46.8                41.6
    Good                                                                  45.5              46.8                50.5
    Fair                                                                   5.5               4.9                 5.9
    Poor                                                                   1.0               1.5                 2.0
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding.




        Table C10. Perceived Impact of the City’s Land Acquisition, by Area
                                                                           At Risk     Hamlet/Village     Not at Risk
                                                                                  Percentage of Respondentsa
     Will the City’s land acquisition have a
     negative, neutral or positive impact upon your communityb
         Positive                                                            8.5            5.9               7.9
         Neutral                                                           29.0            20.2             36.6
         Negative                                                          62.5            73.4             55.4
         Don’t know                                                         --               .5              --
     a
       Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding.
     b
       Significant differences existed between Hamlet/Village and Not at Risk.




                                                              47
  Table C11. Land Use Priority, by Area
                                                               At Risk        Hamlet/Village       Not at Risk
                                                                         Percentage of Respondentsa
Use local land use planning and regulations
to guide community change
    High Priority                                              34.5                41.4              31.7
    Medium Priority                                            41.5                38.9              40.6
    Low Priority                                               14.0                 9.9              15.8
    Don’t know                                                 10.0                 9.9              11.9

Encourage greater planning coordination
with nearby municipalities
   High Priority                                               43.5                50.7              42.6
   Medium Priority                                             38.0                28.6              34.7
   Low Priority                                                13.5                13.8              11.9
   Don’t know                                                   5.0                 6.9              10.9

Protect open space from development
   High Priority                                               40.5                41.9              42.6
   Medium Priority                                             38.0                35.5              27.7
   Low Priority                                                15.0                15.3              17.8
   Don’t know                                                   6.5                 7.4              11.9

Maintain the community the way it is
    High Priority                                              36.5                34.5              38.6
    Medium Priority                                            46.0                39.4              40.6
    Low Priority                                               14.0                22.7              17.8
    Don’t know                                                  3.5                 3.4               3.0
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding.




                                                          48
  Table C12. Perceptions of Local Land Use Issues, by Area
Land Use Issues                                                At Risk         Hamlet/Village        Not at Risk
                                                                          Percentage of Respondentsa
Local governments should regulate
changes in land use to limit negative impacts
on the community
   Strongly agree                                                27.0                 30.0             32.7
   Agree                                                         45.5                 43.3             38.6
   Neither agree nor disagree                                     9.5                  9.9             15.8
   Disagree                                                      14.0                 11.8             10.9
   Strongly disagree                                              4.0                  4.9              2.0

Property owners should have unrestricted right
to use and sell their land as they see fit
   Strongly agree                                                40.0                 36.5             32.7
   Agree                                                         38.5                 37.9             34.7
   Neither agree nor disagree                                     8.0                  7.4              9.9
   Disagree                                                       8.5                 13.3             18.8
   Strongly disagree                                              5.0                  4.9              4.0

Communities should be allowed to control
where development occursb
  Strongly agree                                                 23.5                 26.1             17.8
  Agree                                                          46.0                 56.2             54.5
  Neither agree nor disagree                                     10.5                  7.9              8.9
  Disagree                                                       16.0                  9.4             15.8
  Strongly disagree                                               4.0                   .5              3.0

Non-local organizations should control
local land use decisions
    Strongly agree                                                1.5                  3.9              3.0
    Agree                                                         6.5                  5.4              8.9
    Neither agree nor disagree                                   10.0                  6.9              5.9
    Disagree                                                     45.0                 40.9             41.6
    Strongly disagree                                            37.0                 42.9             40.6
a
  Some figures might not total 100 because of rounding.
b
  Significant differences existed between Hamlet/Village, At Risk, and Not at Risk.




                                                          49

						
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