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ALARM
Regional Conference
29th April 2009
Sue Whitton
Emergency Planning Officer
Agenda
09:00 - 09:30 start Arrive coffee / tea
09:30 ALARM introduction – John Baldwin,
Chair
09:45 Scene setting
Sue Whitton, Emergency Planning Unit
10:15 Split into two groups,
A / C group & B / D group
A = H&S B = Insurance (45 minutes)
11:00 Emergency Planning Unit Update
11:30 Split into two groups,
A = Insurance B = H&S (45 minutes)
12:15 Lunch
Surge
Forecasting
1953
Interesting Facts
• A 1hPa fall in pressure = 1cm rise in sea level
• Average pressure 1013hPa
• A depression of 960hPa = ½m rise in sea level
• Strong wind and low pressure can cause the
sea to rise in southern North Sea by > 2m
Weather Effects
• Atmospheric pressure
• High pressure lower tidal levels
• Low pressure
raise tidal levels
• 1 cm per mb/hPa
Terms Alert Level
Margin
Residual
Forecast high water
(astronomic plus surge) High Water
(astronomic
Prediction)
Astronomic Forecast height
prediction (astronomic plus surge)
STFS Alert
Divisions Kinlochbervie
Stornoway
Wick
Ullapool
Lerwick
Moray Firth
Aberdeen
Tobermory
Millport Leith
Port Ellen
Portrush North Shields
Portpatrick
Workington
Bangor
Whitby
Port Erin Heysham
Liverpool Immingham
Holyhead Llandudno
Cromer
Division 9 Lowestoft Division 3
Felixstowe
Fishguard
Mumbles Newport
Milford Haven Sheerness
Avonmouth
Ilfracombe Dover Division 4
Hinckley Newhaven
Division 8 Bournemouth
Plymouth Portsmouth
Weymouth
Newlyn
Division 6
St Marys Division 7
Environment Agency Tide Tables 2009
APRIL 2009
Time: Greenwich Mean Time
BOYGRIFT IMMINGHAM S.FERRIBY SKEGNESS BOSTON W.LIGHTHOUSE
Danger
Level 4.2m 4.2m 4.9m 4.2m 4.8m 4.9m
Time m Time m Time m Time m Time m Time m
0312 -2.16 0335 -1.73 0437 -1.83
30 0908 2.32 0911 2.68 0943 3.18 0920 2.86 0918 2.97 0925 2.94
Th 1546 -2.43 1612 -1.96 1704 -2.03
2205 2.11 2158 2.48 2234 3.08 2210 2.39 2203 2.70 2218 2.61
1953 Floods
ALERT MESSAGES
Advanced alert
-normally issued 30 hours before high water
-issued when there is a significant risk of a
surge event leading to Alert Level being
exceeded by a defined amount
ALERT MESSAGES
Issued in two stages
First stage - normally 12 hours before high
water at the reference port
“ALERT”
- Indicates that the danger level at the divisional
reference port may be approached or
exceeded.
- The message contains the level forecast for
the reference port.
ALERT MESSAGES
Second stage - normally issued 4-7 hours
before high water.
“CANCEL”
- Threat no longer seen to exist
“ALERT CONFIRMED”
- Alert level may be approached or exceeded
by a small margin
“DANGER”
- Alert level forecast to be exceeded by 0.2m
or more.
Wind stress
Wind Direction
Current
Increased Tidal
Levels
Wind Direction
Current
Increased Tidal
Levels
Wind Direction
Current
Increased Tidal
Levels
Weather Effects
• Wind stress
•External North Sea surge
•Low to NW of UK
•Strong/Gale SW’ly winds
•Internal North Sea surge
•Onset of strong winds with N’ly
component
•Low moves into southern North Sea
BREAK OUT SESSION 1.
Health & Safety = A
Insurance = B
EARLY WARNING HAS BEEN
ISSUED
STFS Alert
Divisions Kinlochbervie
Stornoway
Wick
Ullapool
Lerwick
Moray Firth
Aberdeen
Tobermory
Millport Leith
Port Ellen
Portrush North Shields
Portpatrick
Workington
Bangor
Whitby
Port Erin Heysham
Liverpool Immingham
Holyhead Llandudno
Cromer
Division 9 Lowestoft Division 3
Felixstowe
Fishguard
Mumbles Newport
Milford Haven Sheerness
Avonmouth
Ilfracombe Dover Division 4
Hinckley Newhaven
Division 8 Bournemouth
Plymouth Portsmouth
Weymouth
Newlyn
Division 6
St Marys Division 7
4m tidal surge
BREAKING NEWS !!!
Several Flood
Warnings along
the coast have
now been issued
by the
Environment
Agency.
VIDEO CLIP
BREAK OUT SESSION 2.
Insurance = A
Health & Safety = B
LUNCH
Please be back by 13:00
Agenda
13:00 Feedback from Committee on the morning break out
sessions.
13:15 Emergency Planning Unit Update
13:30 Split into two groups
A / C & B / D group
C = Legal D = Reputation (45 minutes)
14:15 Emergency Planning Unit Update
14:30 Split into two groups
D = Legal C = Reputation (45 minutes)
15:15 Coffee break
15:30 Outcomes of both afternoon sessions by Committee
15:45 Alarm - Close & sum up
16:00 Finish
Committee Feedback
Feedback from Health & Safety & Insurance
Break Out Sessions
Situation report
update
Several coastal towns and villages
have now been flooded.
How do you recover from this?
When is it safe to go back in?
What are the longer term
Recovery issues?
Tourism ?
Economy ?
Jobs ?
Video
BREAK OUT SESSION 3.
Legal = C
Reputation = D
Update:
• Public consultations
• Assistance with insurance claims
• Non-insured
• Lessons learnt from multi agency debriefs
• Community resilience initiatives.
Future Considerations?
• With hindsight was there more we should have
done?
• Could we have been better prepared?
• Consequences of the impacts of Climate
Change / Coastal Erosion.
Margaret Beckett – the then secretary for the Environment has been
quoted as saying;
“The devastating floods of 1953 were a once in 250 year event.
Following the publication of the Climate Change Scenario’s for
the UK by the UK Climate Impacts Programme in April 2002,
the rise in the UK average sea level may further threaten some
low-lying unprotected coastal areas, it is the extremes of sea level
storm surges and large waves that could cause most damage”.
Sea levels are expected to rise around the UK, and could reach
between 26 and 86cm above the current level in the south east of
England by 2080.
Researchers predict that at some east coast locations, extreme sea
levels that currently have a 2% chance of occurring could occur 10-20
times more frequently by the 2080’s.
BREAK OUT SESSION 4.
Reputation = C
Legal = D
Committee Feedback
Feedback from Legal & Reputational
Break Out Sessions
Question & Answer Session
Final Summing Up.
Thank You
Drive Home Safely !
Sue Whitton
Emergency Planning Officer
Lincolnshire County Council
Sue.whitton@lincoln.fire-uk.org
01522 582223
