Diapositiva 1

							Socio-Economic Impact Module:
“Kick off” workshop: Objectives,
milestones & procedures
Joern Birkmann & Niklas Gebert
GEM – Outreach Meeting, Schloss Hohenkammer
June 8 – 10.2009
                 Contents

1.   Goals of the Socio-Economic Impact Module
2.   Scope of the workshop
3.   Implementation of GEM
4.   Next steps of the SEIM
5.   Output goals of the “kick off” workshop
6.   The BBC framework and the GEM approach of
     risk, vulnerability and impact
Goals of the Socio-Economic Impact Module

 • Calculation of monetary and social direct and indirect
   loss information (Loss exceedance curves at regionwide
   and national levels)
    – Interface development to be used by all risk owners


 • Development of tools to support risk-reduction decisions
   over broad regions

    – Cost benefit analysis of planned seismic risk mitigation / planned
      development / building code adoption or enforcement
    – Development of insurance linked securities
             Scope of the workshop

• Introduction into socio-economic impacts and user needs
  for the development of socio-economic seismic risk
  reduction instruments

Operational
• Identification of direct partners for module management
  (Research committee)
• Identification of partners to be involved in the
  operationalization of the GEM Socio-Economic Module
  (Network of experts around the globe)
              Implementation of GEM
General: Building on existing components

Global components / implementation
• Development of a global framework and definitions of standards
• Harmonization of regional products
• Development of inventory databases for risk calculation
• Global database of structures and vulnerability functions



Regional and national components / implementation
• Independent projects separate from GEM funding but implemented
  under the umbrella of GEM and according to GEM standards
• Financing of regional centers of competence (technical development
  and training
                   Timeline of next steps:
              „Setting the framework conditions“

     Formation of research committee
1.
         and network of experts
                                      Workshop
                      2.
                                     preparation
                                                        Tender development for
                                                   3.
                                                             case studies

               July         August       September      October    November




                                              1st Global Workshop on
 „Kick off“
                                          Socio-Economic Impact Modelling
 workshop
                                Programme
I – Socio-economic risks: Understanding the dimensions of earthquake impacts
09:00 Introduction into the GEM Socio-Economic Impact Module: Objectives,
10:15 milestones, procedures.
      Joern Birkmann & Niklas Gebert / UNU-EHS


       The Disaster Deficit Index (DDI) and the Urban Seismic Risk Index (USRi):
       Risk communication tools for decision-making based on the probabilistic risk
       assessment
       Omar Cardona / Programme on Disaster Risk Management Indicators


       Discussion




                                             Title of Presentation
II – User needs for the development of sustainable earthquake risk reduction
policies
10.30    Perspective of the insurance industry on earthquake related socio-economic
12.30    impacts
         Spranger / Munich Re

         Mechanisms for policy relevant approaches towards disaster resilience
         David Hopkins / Earthquake Engineering New Zealand

         Managing the indirect economic and fiscal risks of earthquakes: user needs
         and data requirements
         Rainhard Mechler / IIASA

         The role of civil protection in earthquake risk management and urban planning
         Ileana Boschini / CEPREDENAC

         Control systems to measure performance and effectiveness of different
         earthquake risk reduction options
         Bijan Khazai / Center for Disaster Management and Risk Reduction (CEDIM)

         Moderated Discussion (UNU-EHS)
Output goals of the “kick off” workshop
 structured kick off approach in preparation of larger intensive workshop in
  November / December
 Matrix development of existing tools and its features, expertise available,
  and engagement options of participants into GEM

Tools
1. Stakeholder analysis (see print out, please fill in)
2. Criteria for the presentation & Discussion

•   Definition of terms used
•   Weaknesses and strengths of the approach / instrument presented
•   socio-economic data gaps / requirements
•   Suggestion for improvement
•   How to be integrated into GEM
•   Proposal of case studies
    The BBC framework and the
GEM approach of risk, vulnerability and
              impact


       Linking vulnerability and impact information
       with instruments for seismic risk reduction
                                    EARTHQUAKE                     Earthquake
                                         HAZARD                        risk
                                                                    reduction

                                          Event




Intervention / Adaptation         VULNERABILITY /                Socio-economic
                                     IMPACTS                          RISK
Purpose of Instruments            Households, Institutions,
intervention                      Economy, Infrastructures


Loss              Preventive
                                                                 Risk of direct losses
Prevention        Instruments
                                 Exposure &
Emergency         Continegency   Fragility       Coping           Risk of displacement
relief            planning                      Capacities        and injury

Sustainable       Recovery                                       Risk of unsustainable
Recovery          instruments                                    recovery




                                  Vulnerability reduction
                                                              FEEDBACK
                                          (t=0)
       INTERVENTION                     Preparedness
          SYSTEM
              ( Measures )        Vulnerability reduction
                                          (t=1)
                                  Disaster Management and
                                          Recovery
Understanding of Seismic Risk
from the perspective of GEM
    Risk, vulnerability & impacts
The dialectics of vulnerability and impacts   Data complexity


   Direct and indirect socio-economic
                 impacts




        Root causes of impacts:
              Vulnerability