Class Size Data Analysis

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							Enrollment Planning
Workgroup
January 08, 2008
               Class Size Data Analysis:
               Understanding UCF Scores in the
               US News & World Report Ranking




Contributors: Magdy Helal
              Sandra Archer
                                           Relative Weights for US News and World Report Rankings


(-)    UCF’s performance in this measure                                     Grad. rate perf.,
       compared to selected peers (see                                            5.0%
(+)    report for details)
                                                                     Alumni giving, (-)
                                                                         5.0%
                                                                                                     Peer assessment
                                                       Financial
                                                                             (+)                      survey, 25.0%
                                                   resources, 10.0%
                                                              (-)                                            (-)

                                                   Freshman
                                                retention, 4.0%(+)
                                                                                                             Accept. rate, 1.5%   (+)
                                                                                                          High school class -
                                                                                                            top 10%, 6.0%
                                                  Graduation rate,                                                        (+)
                             Grad &
                                                      16.0%
                              Retn                      (+)
                             Rates                                                                        SAT/ACT scores,
                                                                                                               7.5%                 Student
                                                                                                                    (+)            Selectivity
                                                                                                  Faculty Salary,
                                                                    (-)   Classes < 20,               7.0%
                                            Classes 50+, 2.0%                 6.0%                     (+)
                                                                                   (-)
                                                                                                     % faculty PhD, (?)
                                                                                                         3.0%
                                                                    Student/faculty
                                                               (-) ratio, 1.0%           % FT faculty, 1.0%(+)
                              Source: US New s & World Report Website for 2008 Rankings

                                                                                Faculty
                                                Enrollment Planning WorkgroupPresentation Title                                             3
      08January2008
                                                                               Resources
US News Rankings Metrics
   Categories , sub-categories and their weights




08January2008       Enrollment Planning WorkgroupPresentation Title   4
Class Size Metrics
   Class size 2 – 19:
        Percent of undergraduate class sections, excluding class
         subsections (labs, discussions and other supplementary
         sessions), with fewer than 20 students (fall enrollment) of the
         total number of sections.
   Class size 50+:
        Percent of undergraduate class sections, excluding subsections
         (labs, discussions and other supplementary sessions), with 50
         students or more (fall enrollment) of the total number of sections.


   Undergraduate courses in addition to graduate courses
    in which an undergraduate student is enrolled for credits
    are counted.

08January2008             Enrollment Planning WorkgroupPresentation Title   5
Sections With Fewer Than 20 Students
   UCF score in 2008 US News Rankings: 28%
   Decreasing trend




                               2001      2002      2003     2004 2005          2006

   Source: US News & World Report Rankings


08January2008                       Enrollment Planning WorkgroupPresentation Title   6
                                                              2008 Percent of Classes w/Fewer Than 20 Students

                            U of Calif-Santa Barbara                                                                                                       50%
                              U of Colorado, Boulder                                                                                                 48%
                                            U of Iowa                                                                                                48%
                                     Arizona State U                                                                                           46%
                             U of Missouri-Columbia                                                                                      44%
                                     U of Calif-Irvine                                                                                   44%
                             Indiana U-Bloomington                                                                                 42%
                          Rutgers U-New Brunswick                                                                                  42%
                                 Washington State U                                                                          40%
                                U of Massa-Amherst                                                                           40%
                                U of Calif-Santa Cruz                                                                       39%




                Ranked
                                               U of FL                                                                      39%
                          U of Kansas Main Campus                                                                      38%
                                        Iowa State U                                                                   38%
                                       U of Delaware                                                                   38%
                                     SUNY at Buffalo                                                                  37%
                              U of Nebraska, Lincoln                                                                  37%
                                SUNY at Stony Brook                                                              36%
                                            FL State U                                                          35%
                                         U of Georgia                                                           35%
                            Purdue U-Main Campus                                                           34%
                                      U of Tennessee                                                      33%
                         North Caro State U, Raleigh                                                      33%
                                       U of Kentucky                                         28%


                                 U of Hawaii, Manoa                                                                                                   49%
                          Virginia Commonwealth U                                                                                         45%
                            U of Cinci-Main Campus                                                                                        45%
                                     Old Dominion U                                                                               41%
                                U of Illinois, Chicago                                                                            41%
                                      Oregon State U                                                                        39%
                Tier-3




                                             U of Utah                                                           36%
                                    George Mason U                                                         34%
                                    Louisiana State U                                               31%
                                      SUNY at Albany                                          29%
                                        U of Louisville                                       29%
                                       U of Central FL                                       28%
                                         U of South FL                                 26%


                                       Idaho State U                                                                                                              65%
                                          FL A&M U                                                                                                          51%
                                    Wichita State U                                                                                       45%
                          U of Akron Main Campus
                                     Wayne State U                                                                                       44%
                                        U of West FL                                                                         40%
                                      U of Memphis                                                                          39%
                                  U of New Orleans                                                                          39%
                           FL Atlantic U-Boca Raton                                                                         39%
                         U of Wisconsin-Milwaukee                                                                      38%
                             Purdue U-Indianapolis                                                                     38%
                Tier-4




                             U of Nevada-Las Vegas                                                              35%
                               U of Houston-U Park                                                         34%


                                                                                                                                                                        7
                                   Portland State U                                                        34%
08January2008                            U of Toledo      Enrollment Planning WorkgroupPresentation Title
                                                                                      33%
                                          Oakland U                                                  32%
Sections With Fewer Than 20 Students
   Research peers’ median ratio = 39%
   LMRU peers’ median ratio = 36%
   Access peers’ median ratio = 34%
   FL SUS institutions in Fall 2006:




   Source: US News & World Report Rankings
08January2008                       Enrollment Planning WorkgroupPresentation Title   8
UCF Fall 2007 Class Data
   Fall 2007 undergraduate classes (with a UG enrollee)
   Sections (Lecture & Seminar only)
   One or more credit hour classes
   More than one student enrolled
   All campuses; Non-Web only


                2-9    10 - 19 20 - 25 26 - 29 30 - 39 40 - 49          50-55    56-59   60+    Total
    Section      263     460        315      391       484       276      193       62    522    2,966
 Subsection       45     118         65        21        41       42         1       4     10      347
    Others       160      49          6         6         5        5         2       1     10      244
     Total       468     627        386      418       530       323      196       67    542    3,557



08January2008                  Enrollment Planning WorkgroupPresentation Title                     9
UCF Fall 2007 Class Data




08January2008   Enrollment Planning WorkgroupPresentation Title   10
Honors Sections
                                E nrollme nt Ca pa city
                               Less
                 CLASS_ENRL_TOT than 20 20 or More Grand Total
                             5                          1   1
                             7                          1   1
                             8           2              2   4
                             9           2                  2
                            10           2              4   6
                            11           1              1   2
                            12           1              5   6
                            13           1              2   3
       Actual               14           2                  2
       Enrollment           15           7              2   9
                            16           1              2   3
                            17                          7   7
                            18           1             11  12
                            19                          6   6
                            20                         29  29
                            21           1              4   5
                            22           1              2   3
                          247                           1   1
                          251                           1   1
                 Grand Total            22             81 103
08January2008             Enrollment Planning WorkgroupPresentation Title   11
Class Data Analysis – Small Sections
   Methodology
        Main campus (Orlando); Non-web
        Consider sections with 20 to 25 students
           small classes intended

        Count students above 19 for all sections of each course
           If less than 10 students – re-assign to another section

           If more than 10 students – add sections



   Findings
        232 sections have 20 to 25 students
        13 courses have total of 10 or more students in excess of 19 per
         section


08January2008            Enrollment Planning WorkgroupPresentation Title   12
Class Data Analysis – Small Sections
   Courses requiring adding more sections
        Only 20-25 students sections were considered                     Add 1
                        2 students in                                     section of
                                                3*3 = 9 students          size 11
                        excess of 19            in excess of 19




08January2008           Enrollment Planning WorkgroupPresentation Title                13
Class Data Analysis – Small Sections
   What-if Scenario:
        Add 15 sections total
        Additional sections of size 2 to 19 = 232 + 15 = 247


   Outcomes:
        Total number of sections sized 2–19: 723 + 247 = 970
        Total number of sections = 2,966 + 15 = 2,981
        Percent of sections sized 2–19 = 970 / 2,981 = 32.5%
           Improvement of about 8 percentage points

        Students denied access to sections = 489 in 149 courses
           “Theoretically” relocate all but 10 students to other sections



08January2008             Enrollment Planning WorkgroupPresentation Title    14
Class Data Analysis – Small Sections
   Sections with 20 – 27 students:
        455 sections counted
        24 courses have 10 or more students in excess of 19 per section
        Add 30 sections total
        Additional 2 – 19 sections = 455 + 30 = 485
   Outcome:
        Total number of 2 – 19 sections: 723 + 485= 1,208
        Total number of sections = 2,966 + 30 = 2,996
        Percent of 2 – 19 sections = 1208/ 2996 = 40.3%
           Improvement of about 16 percentage points

           Students denied access to courses = 477 in 175 courses




08January2008            Enrollment Planning WorkgroupPresentation Title   15
Sections With 50 Or More Students
   UCF score in 2008 US News Rankings: 22%
   Increasing trend




                               2001      2002      2003     2004 2005          2006

   Source: US News & World Report Rankings

08January2008                       Enrollment Planning WorkgroupPresentation Title   16
                                                  2008 Percent of Classes w/50 or More Students
                             U of Tennessee                           8%
                                   U of Iowa                                          11%
                                U of Georgia                                          11%
                U of Kansas Main Campus                                                     12%
                     U of Nebraska, Lincoln                                                       13%
                                   FL State U                                                           14%
                   U of Missouri-Columbia                                                                     15%
                     U of Colorado, Boulder                                                                   15%
                              U of Delaware                                                                   15%
                            Arizona State U                                                                         16%
               North Caro State U, Raleigh
          Ranked                                                                                                    16%
                               Iowa State U                                                                         16%
                              U of Kentucky                                                                               17%
              U of Massachusetts-Amherst                                                                                  17%
                   U of Calif-Santa Barbara                                                                               17%
                        Washington State U                                                                                      18%
                   Purdue U-Main Campus                                                                                               19%
                            U of Calif-Irvine                                                                                         19%
                            SUNY at Buffalo                                                                                                 20%
                    Indiana U-Bloomington                                                                                                   20%
                 Rutgers U-New Brunswick                                                                                                    20%
                                      U of FL                                                                                               20%
                       U of Calif-Santa Cruz                                                                                                      21%
                       SUNY at Stony Brook                                                                                                              22%


             U of Cincinnati-Main Campus                         7%
                       U of Hawaii, Manoa                                  9%
                           Old Dominion U                                       10%
                               U of Louisville                                        11%
                Virginia Commonwealth U                                                     12%
                          George Mason U                                                          13%
          Tier-3




                                U of South FL                                                           14%
                       U of Illinois, Chicago                                                                             17%
                                    U of Utah                                                                                   18%
                             Oregon State U                                                                                           19%
                          Louisiana State U                                                                                                 20%
                              U of Central FL                                                                                                           22%
                            SUNY at Albany                                                                                                                    23%


                                 Idaho State U    4%
                               Wayne State U           5%
                    U of Akron Main Campus                  6%
                                  U of West FL                   7%
                       Purdue U-Indianapolis                          8%
                                     FL A&M U                         8%
                              Wichita State U                              9%
                                U of Memphis                                    10%
                                    U of Toledo                                 10%
                     FL Atlantic U-Boca Raton                                   10%
                             U of New Orleans                                         11%
          Tier-4




                               Georgia State U                                        11%                                             Research (Median 17)
                       U of Nevada-Las Vegas                                                12%                                         LMRU (Median 13)
                            U of Texas, El Paso                                                   13%                                   Access (Median 13)
                   U of Wisconsin-Milwaukee                                                             14%                            Two or more Groups
                              Portland State U                                                                15%                                     UCF
                   U of North Caro, Charlotte                                                                 15%                                     SUS
08January2008                        Oakland U     Enrollment Planning WorkgroupPresentation Title            15%                                                   17
                         U of Houston-U Park                                                                                                20%
                            San Diego State U                                                                                               20%
Sections With 50 Or More
Students
   Research peers’ median ratio = 17%
   LMRU peers’ median ratio = 13%
   Access peers’ median ratio = 13%
   FL SUS institutions:




   Source: US News & World Report Rankings
08January2008                       Enrollment Planning WorkgroupPresentation Title   18
Class Data Analysis – Large Sections
   Actual:
        776 sections with 50+ students: 26.1%
           43 of these were planned < 49



   Large sections planned:
        951 sections: stated enrollment capacity >49 : 32.1%

                                     Actua l Enrollme nt
 Enroll Cap Category50         Le ss tha n 50    50 or More    Grand Total
 Zero                                      119               4        123
 Less than 50                            1,849              43      1,892
 50 or More                                222            729         951
 Grand Total                             2,190            776       2,966


08January2008            Enrollment Planning WorkgroupPresentation Title   19
Class Data Analysis – Large Sections
   Methodology
        Consider sections with 50 to 55 students
        Count students above 49 for each course
        If less than 10 – deny enrollment
        If more than 10 – add sections
        Main campus (Orlando) only


   Findings
        184 sections have 50 to 55 students
        9 courses have total of 10 or more students in excess of 49 per
         section


08January2008            Enrollment Planning WorkgroupPresentation Title   20
Class Data Analysis – Large Sections
   What-if Scenario:
   Add 10 sections total
        5 sections with 2 – 19 students
        5 sections with 20 – 49 students

   Eliminated 50+ sections = 184
   New total number of 2 – 19 sections: 723 + 5 = 728
   New total number of 50+ sections: 777 – 184 = 593
   New total number of sections = 2,966 + 10 = 2,976

   Percent of 2 – 19 sections = 728 / 2,976 = 24.5%
   Percent of 50+ sections = 593 / 2,976 = 19.9%
        Improvement of 6 percentage points
   Students denied access to courses = 299 in 85 courses
08January2008             Enrollment Planning WorkgroupPresentation Title   21
Conclusions
   Class capacities over/under 20 often do not reflect actual
    enrollment
   Improving the class size metric (frequency of classes
    under 20) does not require as many additional sections
    as originally thought
        It would require administrative costs of tracking/monitoring class
         sizes
        Some students would not be able to register for section of choice
   Perhaps some areas of opportunities can be identified
        Ex: 30% of honors classes were exactly 20



08January2008            Enrollment Planning WorkgroupPresentation Title   22

						
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