TEAM 4 CITIBANK…
… CREDIT CARD LAUNCH IN ASIA
SITUATION
O U T L I N E
CITIBANK’S PROFILE CITIBANK IN ASIA PACIFIC
CITIBANK IN ASIA PACIFIC 1978 -1989 OVERVIEW
CITIBANK IN ASIA PACIFIC SWOT ANALYSIS
PROBLEM RECOMMENDATION
STRATEGY & MARKETING PLAN
ALTERNATIVES
SPECIFIED ALTERNATIVE COURSES OF ACTION DECISION CRITERIA AND WEIGHTS
ANALYSIS
STEP 1 : WHICH COUNTRIES ARE FAVORABLE? STEP 2 : WHICH COURSE OF ACTION TO TAKE?
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
IMPLEMENTATION
FINAL CONSIDERATIONS FOR FUTURE DEVELOPMENT
SITUATION PROBLEM IMPLEMENTATION
RECOMMENDATION
ALTERNATIVES
ANALYSIS
CITIBANK PROFILE
Customers
-Target market in the middle class segments of the country’s population
-Upscale service
Quality
-Premium product position
-Loyal employees
Employees
-Disbelief of regional managers in the new expansion strategy -Global: the marketplace is treated as one
Brand
-Premium product with status
Growth strategy
To be the most profitable provider in Asia Pacific of an array of financial services to emerging middle-income households in this region.
SITUATION PROBLEM IMPLEMENTATION
RECOMMENDATION
ALTERNATIVES
ANALYSIS
CITIBANK IN ASIA PACIFIC
SITUATION PROBLEM IMPLEMENTATION
RECOMMENDATION
ALTERNATIVES
ANALYSIS
CITIBANK IN ASIA PACIFIC 1978-1989
1978:
1981:
1982:
Citibank’s Asia Pacific Consumer Bank had established its consumer business in Asia
First foreign bank to enter the local trade finance market in Taiwan
Acquired Diners Club in Thailand
1983:
Citibank enters the credit card market in Hong Kong
1986:
Begins a period of growth in Thailand and the Philippines
1989:
Talwan reintroduces the idea of a credit card launch in AsiaPacific
SITUATION PROBLEM IMPLEMENTATION
RECOMMENDATION
ALTERNATIVES
ANALYSIS
PACIFIC ASIA - SWOT ANALYSIS
S = Undisputed leader of the marketplace
AUSTRALIA Customers see the credit card as an “important shopping tool” HONG KONG Strong adoption of credit cards INDIA Strong economic development in late 80’s
W
AUSTRALIA
HONG KONG Lots of competition
INDIA Weak infrastructure INDONESIA Low per capita income MALAYSIA unacceptable to revolve credit
INDONESIA Large untapped population
MALAYSIA Large successful business population
PHILIPPINES Underdeveloped, political corruption SINGAPORE Saturated market
PHILIPPINES Large population and booming economy SINGAPORE “One of the world’s largest centers of traditional trade and services” TAIWAN Wealthy and educated population THAILAND Rapidly growing nation (foreign investment)
TAIWAN Before 1989, law restricted credit card THAILAND Political corruption
SITUATION PROBLEM IMPLEMENTATION
RECOMMENDATION
ALTERNATIVES
ANALYSIS
PACIFIC ASIA - SWOT ANALYSIS
O
AUSTRALIA Credit card in conjunction with their banking services HONG KONG target outside branch business INDIA credit card penetration is low INDONESIA Fast growing upper class
MALAYSIA unacceptable to revolve credit PHILIPPINES credit card penetration very low
T= undifferentiated view of 1 marketplace
AUSTRALIA Saturated Market
HONG KONG INDIA
INDONESIA
MALAYSIA Many other options ( visa / mastercard ) PHILIPPINES
SINGAPORE society prides on innovation TAIWAN most wealthy and best educated THAILAND strong economy with lots of consumer spending
SINGAPORE High-tech mecca; has attracted lot of multinational corporations TAIWAN Industry is in starting up phase AMEX & Diner’s club seen as status symbol THAILAND strong economy with lots of consumer spending
SITUATION PROBLEM IMPLEMENTATION
RECOMMENDATION
ALTERNATIVES
ANALYSIS
DEFINED PROBLEM STATEMENT
1. SHOULD CITIBANK PROCEED WITH THE LAUNCH OF A NEW CREDIT CARD PRODUCT IN THE ASIA PACIFIC MARKET?
+ 2. IF A CREDIT CARD PRODUCT IS LAUNCHED, HOW WILL CITIBANK DEVELOP A STRATEGY FOR THE CARD’S POSITIONING, PRICE, AND COUNTRY SELECTION? + 3. HOW SHOULD EACH CARD LAUNCH BE TAILORED TO EACH INDIVIDUAL COUNTRY?
SITUATION PROBLEM IMPLEMENTATION
RECOMMENDATION
ALTERNATIVES
ANALYSIS
FUTURE RECOMMENDATION
Launch Citibank credit card via sequential regional roll-out ° START IN HONG KONG ° TARGET THE MIDDLE CLASS SEGMENT ° USE HONG KONG AS A TEST MARKET - Use Hong Kong as a centrally located up to later expand to: Taiwan Australia Singapore and then emerging markets ① THE WESTERNIZED COUNTRIES - Australia, Singapore, Taiwan ② THE EMERGING MARKETS - Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, India, Philippines
SITUATION PROBLEM IMPLEMENTATION
RECOMMENDATION
ALTERNATIVES
ANALYSIS
FUTURE RECOMMENDATION
Launch Citibank credit card via sequential regional roll-out
MARKETING PLAN: ° ° ° ° ° °
SITUATION PROBLEM IMPLEMENTATION
RECOMMENDATION
ALTERNATIVES
ANALYSIS
ALTERNATIVE COURSES OF ACTION
① Launch Citibank credit card via sequential regional roll-out starting from the best country outcome of the analysis. ① Launch card via mass expansion across the Asia-Pacific ② Enter market by acquiring an existing card company’s portfolio ③ Initiate greenfield market development to build customer base
① Do not launch a credit card
SITUATION PROBLEM IMPLEMENTATION
RECOMMENDATION
ALTERNATIVES
ANALYSIS
FORMULATION OF DECISION CRITERIA
P olitics E conomy
Corruption Economic/Political risk profile GDP/capita Average economic growth rate Market saturation Credit card penetration Cards/pp % middle class % upper middle class % upper class Cultural view Language barrier Literacy rate Required technology available? Competition? % of population @ citibank Restrictions?
15% 30%
S ociety
10%
T echnology E nvironment L egal
15% 25% 5%
SITUATION PROBLEM IMPLEMENTATION
RECOMMENDATION
ALTERNATIVES
ANALYSIS
ANALYSIS OF DECISION CRITERIA 1
DECISION CRITERIA 100% Hong kong Taiwan
Australia
P 15% 3 4
4
E 30% 4 4
4
S 10% 3 2
3
T 15% 4 4
4
E 25% 4 4
2
L 5% 4 2
4
94% 90% 85% 69% 60% 49% 44% 35% 25%
4 = very favorable
Singapore Malaysia Thailand India Indonesia Philippines
1 = not favorable
3 3 3 2 2 1
3 2 2 2 1 1
3 2 2 1 1 1
3 2 1 1 1 1
2 3 2 2 2 1
3 2 1 2 1 1
2 = less favorable
3 = favorable
SITUATION PROBLEM IMPLEMENTATION
RECOMMENDATION
ALTERNATIVES
ANALYSIS
ANALYSIS OF DECISION CRITERIA 2
Decision Criteria P E economic/political risk corruption
weight
Hongkong
15 30 4
Asia Pacific
3
Alternatives Acquistion 2
Greenfield
2
NO launch
0
GDP/Capital Average growth rate middleclass > $6000 uppermiddle> $12500 upperclass > $12500 currency demanded credit card penetration
4
3
2
2
0
S
#cards/person language barrier? literacy rate % population @ city bank #city bank customers #population
10
5
2
3
3
0
T
telephones/population %
15
5
3
2
2
0
television/population% infrastructure
E L
competition regulations
25 5
5 5 455 0,91
3 3 290 0,58
4 3 259 0,518
4 3 259 0,518
0 0 0 0
SITUATION PROBLEM IMPLEMENTATION
RECOMMENDATION
ALTERNATIVES
ANALYSIS
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Costs – Given Information
Customer Acquisition Costs Direct Mail Take -Ones Direct Sales Bind-Ins Direct Costs (less than 1 million cards) $25 / card Fixed Overhead Customers 250,000 Additional 250,000 Unit Cost in $ 1.5 .25 18,000 per sales rep .15 Direct Costs (1 million cards or more) $6 to $8 / card Fixed Overhead Costs $35,000,000 $10 – 15 million / year Advertising Expense $1.6 to $2.5 million
SITUATION PROBLEM IMPLEMENTATION
RECOMMENDATION
ALTERNATIVES
ANALYSIS
Revenues Sources All Countries– What the competiors are doing NowGiven Information
Revenue Source International (AMEX+Diners) Bank Median $40 $60 Monthly Varies by merchant Differs Local Bank Median $25 $32.5 1.5% to 3% Varies by merchant Differs
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Joining Fee Annual Fee Interest Payment Merchant Discounts Transaction Related fees
SITUATION PROBLEM IMPLEMENTATION
RECOMMENDATION
ALTERNATIVES
ANALYSIS
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Break Even Analysis – Australia
Market Size -Target those making $6,000 a year or greater
80% X 16.5 Million People = 13.2 Million Customers
-Average number of cards = 2 -Segment with highest percentage of cards = $12,500 - $25,000 (35%)
SITUATION PROBLEM IMPLEMENTATION
RECOMMENDATION
ALTERNATIVES
ANALYSIS
Costs - Australia
Channel Direct Mail Take-Ones Direct Sales Bind-Ins Channel Cost = 450,000 = 500,000 = 54,000,000 = 450,000 55,400,000 Total Percentage Qualified Respondents qualified Responses .666 4000 6000 .333 10000 30000 .666 10000 15000 .333 10000 30000 Unit Cost 1.5 X 0.25 X 18000 X 0.15 X Prospects Reached 300000 2000000 30000 3000000 Rsesponse Prospects Rate Reached X 300000 .02 X 2000000 .015 X 30000 .5 X 3000000 .01 Total Qualified
34,000
Total Respondents
=6000
=30000 =15000
=30000
Actual Customers
Direct Mail Take-Ones Direct Sales Bind-Ins
Conversion Rate 80%
27200
TV Advertising 2,500,000 Costs TV Customers 420,000 Overheard Costs 35,000,000 Total Costs 104,080,000
Total Direct Costs Customers 25 447,200
Total Direct Costs
11,180,000
SITUATION PROBLEM IMPLEMENTATION
RECOMMENDATION
ALTERNATIVES
ANALYSIS
Revenue - Australia
Revenue Types Joining Fees Annual Membership Fee Interest Revenue
Merchant Discounts
$ Amount 60 30 140
5
Number of Card Holders 447,200
Revenue per Card 235
Total Revenue 105,092,000
Revenue per Card
235
SITUATION PROBLEM IMPLEMENTATION
RECOMMENDATION
ALTERNATIVES
ANALYSIS
Summary - Australia
Break Even # of Credit Cards 447,200 Break Even Cost $104,080 approximately Break Even Revenue $105,092 approximately
-A high number of cards in year 1, but even if revised down, not difficult to break even -Must differentiate with good service in this market -Citibank brand image alone will not sell this card in Australia
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION