HESMIC Hertfordshire Community Risk Register by d9n1aQO

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									       Hertfordshire Resilience Community Risk Register

       Animal Health, Human Health and Plant Disease
Date of Revision: November 2011                                                                        Next Review Date: November 2012
Risk Hazard        Hazard    Outcome               Likelihood   Impact        Risk     Capability      Controls     Additional     Risk       Lead                 Review
Ref.    or threat  or threat description                                      Rating   required        currently in risk treatment priority   responsibility       date
        category   sub-                                                                                place        required (with            (Denotes
                                                                                                                                              responsibility for
                   category                                                                                         timescales)
                                                                                                                                              risk assessment)
AH1   Animal       Non           Localised         Unlikely     Moderate      High     Closure of      Animal                       4         HCC - DEFRA          Nov
      Health       zoonotic      County wide       Rare         Significant   Medium   footpaths       Disease                                                     2012
                   communic                                                                            Emergency
                   able                                                                Supplies of     Response
                   disease                                                             PPE equipment   Plan
                   (e.g. FMD)
                                                                                                       Multi-agency
                                                                                                       Emergency
                                                                                                       Response
                                                                                                       Plan

AH2   Animal       Zoonotic      Extensive         Possible     Moderate      High                     HPA and DoH                  4         Health               Nov
      Health       commun-                                                                             national plans                         Protection           2012
                   icable                                                                              in place                               Agency
                   disease
                   (e.g. avian                                                                         Animal
                   flu)                                                                                Disease
                                                                                                       Emergency
                                                                                                       Response
                                                                                                       Plan

                                                                                                       Multi-agency
                                                                                                       Emergency
                                                                                                       Response
                                                                                                       Plan

HH1   Human        Commun-       Self-limiting /   Possible     Minor         Medium                   HPA outbreak                 4         Health               Nov
      Health       icable        Contained                                                             protocols                              Protection           2012
                   disease                                                                                                                    Agency -
                   outbreak                                                                            NHS Major                              consult Primary
                                 Not               Rare         Significant   Medium                   Incident Plans                         Care Trust
                                 containable/
                                 High case                                                             Business
                                 fatality                                                              continuity
       Hertfordshire Resilience – Community Risk Register – November 2011                                                                                  Page 1 of 5
       Animal Health, Human Health and Plant Disease
Risk    Hazard or   Hazard or     Outcome         Likelihood     Impact      Risk        Capability   Controls         Additional risk   Risk       Lead                Review
Ref.    threat      threat        description                                Rating      required     currently in     treatment         priority   responsibility      date
        category    sub-                                                                              place            required (with
                    category                                                                                           timescales)

                                                                                                      plans

                                                                                                      Multi-agency
                                                                                                      Emergency
                                                                                                      Response
                                                                                                      Plan


HH2     Human       Food          Range from      Rare to        Low to      Overall                  District                           3          Health              Nov
        Health      contam-       low to high     possible       high        low                      Council / HPA                                 Protection          2012
                    ination                                                                           plans for                                     Agency
                    (accid-                                                                           investigation
                    ental)
                                                                                                      HPA / NHS
                                                                                                      have clinical
                                                                                                      and
                                                                                                      laboratory
                                                                                                      surveillance
                                                                                                      schemes for
                                                                                                      identifying
                                                                                                      outbreaks

                                                                                                      HPA / HPU
                                                                                                      has plans for
                                                                                                      managing
                                                                                                      outbreak

                                                                                                      Business
                                                                                                      continuity
                                                                                                      plans

                                                                                                      Multi-agency
                                                                                                      Emergency
                                                                                                      Response
                                                                                                      Plan

HH3     Human       Influenza     Each            Possible       Catastrop   Very High                HPA –            Testing of        5          Health              Nov
(H23)   Health      type          pandemic is                    hic                                  outbreak         Business                     Protection          2012
                    disease       different and                                                       protocols        Continuity                   Agency
                    (pand-        the nature of                                                       NHS- Major       Plans
                    emic)         the virus and                                                       incident plans
                                  its impacts
        Hertfordshire Resilience – Community Risk Register – November 2011                                                                                       Page 2 of 5
        Animal Health, Human Health and Plant Disease
Risk   Hazard or   Hazard or     Outcome           Likelihood   Impact      Risk     Capability   Controls       Additional risk   Risk       Lead             Review
Ref.   threat      threat        description                                Rating   required     currently in   treatment         priority   responsibility   date
       category    sub-                                                                           place          required (with
                   category                                                                                      timescales)

                                 cannot be                                                        Multi-Agency
                                 known in                                                         Pandemic Flu
                                 advance.                                                         Plan
                                 Previous
                                 pandemic                                                         Individual
                                 levels have                                                      agency
                                 led to                                                           emergency
                                 markedly                                                         plans
                                 different
                                 outcomes.                                                        Business
                                 Based on                                                         continuity
                                 understandin                                                     plans
                                 g of previous
                                 pandemics, a                                                     Multi-agency
                                 pandemic is                                                      Emergency
                                 likely to occur                                                  Response
                                 in one or                                                        Plan
                                 more waves,
                                 possibly
                                 weeks or
                                 months apart.
                                 Watch wave
                                 may last
                                 around 15
                                 weeks. Up to
                                 half the
                                 population
                                 could be
                                 affected.
                                 High number
                                 of cases and
                                 consultations
                                 with
                                 healthcare
                                 providers
                                 threatening to
                                 overwhelm
                                 health and
                                 other
                                 services. All
                                 ages may be
                                 affected, but
       Hertfordshire Resilience – Community Risk Register – November 2011                                                                               Page 3 of 5
       Animal Health, Human Health and Plant Disease
Risk   Hazard or   Hazard or     Outcome            Likelihood   Impact        Risk        Capability   Controls         Additional risk    Risk       Lead                Review
Ref.   threat      threat        description                                   Rating      required     currently in     treatment          priority   responsibility      date
       category    sub-                                                                                 place            required (with
                   category                                                                                              timescales)

                                 until the virus
                                 emerges we
                                 cannot know
                                 which groups
                                 will be at
                                 most risk.
HH4    Human       Influenza     A serious          Possible     Significant   Very High                HPA –            Testing of                    Health              Nov
       Health      type          epidemic of                                                            outbreak         business                      Protection          2012
                   disease       much grater                                                            protocols        continuity plans              Agency
                   (epidemic)    severity than                                                          NHS- Major       and outbreak
                                 the usual                                                              incident plans   plans
                                 seasonal flu.
                                 Weekly GP                                                              Multi-Agency
                                 consultations                                                          Pandemic Flu
                                 for new                                                                Plan
                                 episodes of
                                 flu-like illness                                                       Individual
                                 likely to                                                              agency
                                 exceed 400                                                             emergency
                                 per 100,000                                                            plans
                                 of population
                                 at the peak                                                            Business
                                 (compared                                                              continuity
                                 with a peak of                                                         plans
                                 around 200
                                 per 100,000                                                            Multi-agency
                                 population                                                             Emergency
                                 per week in                                                            Response
                                 an average                                                             Plan
                                 year).
HH5    Human       Legionella    Localised          Possible     Minor         Medium                   HPA and                                        Health              Nov
       Health      /             outbreak of a                                                          NHS –                                          Protection          2012
                   meningitis    disease which                                                          Outbreak                                       Agency
                   outbreak      could cause                                                            protocols
                                 up to 10
                                 fatalities and                                                         NHS – Major
                                 up to 10                                                               Incident Plan
                                 casualties,                                                            Individual
                                 with no                                                                agencies
                                 variation in                                                           plans
                                 likelihood

       Hertfordshire Resilience – Community Risk Register – November 2011                                                                                           Page 4 of 5
       Animal Health, Human Health and Plant Disease
Risk   Hazard or   Hazard or     Outcome          Likelihood    Impact        Risk     Capability   Controls       Additional risk   Risk       Lead                Review
Ref.   threat      threat        description                                  Rating   required     currently in   treatment         priority   responsibility      date
       category    sub-                                                                             place          required (with
                   category                                                                                        timescales)

                                 between                                                            Multi-agency
                                 locations.                                                         Emergency
                                                                                                    Response
                                                                                                    Plan

HH6    Human       Emerging      Causing up to    Unlikely      Moderate      Medium                HPA and                                     Health              Nov
       Health      Infectious    220 fatalities                                                     NHS –                                       Protection          2012
                   Diseases      2000                                                               Outbreak                                    Agency
                                 casualties                                                         protocols

PLD1   Plant       Plant         Plant disease    Negligible    Significant   Medium                Multi-agency                     2          HCC –DEFRA          Nov
       Disease     disease       affecting the                                                      Emergency                                                       2012
                                 majority of                                                        Response
                                 trees and                                                          Plan
                                 shrubs in
                                 Hertfordshire.
                                 Plant disease    Negligible    Significant   Medium
                                 affecting the
                                 majority of
                                 crops in
                                 Hertfordshire.




       Hertfordshire Resilience – Community Risk Register – November 2011                                                                                    Page 5 of 5
       Animal Health, Human Health and Plant Disease

								
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