Geometry of the Universe
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What is the Ultimate Fate of the
Universe?
Nick Kaiser
The Universe is full of galaxies
The Universe is Expanding!
Expansion discovered in the ‘30s
Extrapolating back, the “Big Bang” occurred about 13 billion years ago
Big-bang cosmology
• Future evolution depends
on:
– How fast is the expansion?
– How much stuff is there to
pull it back?
• The key question: Does the
universe have “escape
velocity”?
• Or: Does the density of stuff
exceed the “critical value”?
How much matter is there….
• Ordinary matter (atoms, ions, electrons)
– Galaxies (1% of critical density)
The Coma cluster
Optical image X-ray image
Roughly 4 times as much mass in hot gas as in all the galaxies
How much matter is there….
• Ordinary matter (atoms, ions, electrons)
– Galaxies (approx1% of critical density)
– Hot gas (approx 3%)
• Much too small to make the universe recollapse
• 4% total value also confirmed independently from
physics of the first 3 minutes
CL0024
A2218
calvin
How much matter is there….
• Ordinary matter (atoms, ions, electrons)
– Galaxies (1% of critical density)
– Hot gas (approx 3%)
• Dark Matter
– Approx 23% of critical density
– Still too little to halt the expansion
• Is that all?
Accelerating expansion
• Observers were using
supernovae to measure the
expansion history
• They expected to see the
expansion slowing down
because of gravity
• They found the opposite - the
expansion is speeding up!
• The future expansion will be
dominated by “Dark Energy”
“Concordance” cosmology
How will the Universe end?
• Currently favored model says the universe
will expand forever
– Most of all the galaxies we see will disappear
– The future is cold, dark and rather lonely
• However
– Observations are difficult and uncertain
– The theory is incomplete
– So expect future surprises
Dark Energy
• The new ingredient
– Rebirth of an old idea
• Invoked by Einstein as the “cosmological constant”
– His self-confessed “biggest blunder”
• And by Fred Hoyle in the “steady state cosmology”
– Gained credibility in the ‘80s when applied to the early universe in
the “inflationary theory”
• Solved many problems
– Similar to a magnetic field
• Allows creation of matter from nothing
• Causes a repulsive gravitational field
• Leads to accelerating expansion
– Now seen in the recent expansion history
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