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									    UNCLASSIFIED                                      January 4, 2007




D
E
P


                Iraq Weekly
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
               Status Report
O
F
                     January 4, 2007
S
T
                   Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs
A
                      US Department of State
T
E


                                    1               UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                  January 4, 2007



    Table of Contents
    This report provides weekly updates in the eight key areas identified as pillars
D   of US government policy for victory in Iraq.
E     SECTION                                                             SLIDE
P     Highlights                                                             3
A
      1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents                 5
R
T     2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance                           6
M     3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic              8
E
         Government
N
T     4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential           11
         Services
O     5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
F                                                                            14
      6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights       22
S     7. Increase International Support for Iraq                             23
T
      8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and            25
A
T        Public Isolation of the Insurgents
E     Special Addendum: Provincial Reconstruction Teams
                                                                             26
      Sources and Contact Information                                        27
      Notes and Source Citations                                             28UNCLASSIFIED
                                              2
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                   January 4, 2007



    Highlights
    1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
D      Iraqi Special Operations Forces with Coalition advisors captured an al-Qaida in
E      Iraq (AQI) terrorist cell leader December 26 in al-Yusifiyah south of Baghdad. The
P      AQI cell leader was allegedly responsible for the kidnapping of two US soldiers
A      from a checkpoint in Yusifiyah in June as well as numerous other kidnappings,
R      murders and violent crimes in the area. The two soldiers were later found tortured
T      and murdered.
M   2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
E      During December, the Iraqi Police Service (IPS) graduated 8,708 police recruits
N      from the ten-week basic training courses held in Baghdad, Basrah, Hamman al-
T      Alil, Hillah, Erbil, Kut, Mosul, Najaf, Sulaymaniyah and Jordan.
    3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government
O      Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki stated in an interview that although he believed his
F      taking the position of Prime Minister served the national interest, he wished he
       could leave office before the completion of his four-year term and would not accept
S      the position again.
T   4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services
A      Baghdad has received no power from Haditha Dam since December 4, and since
T      December 27 it has also received none from northern generating plants, reducing
E      Baghdad daily electricity service to five to six hours a day.


                                               3                                 UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                January 4, 2007



    Highlights
    5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
D      Iranian Economy Minister Davoud Danesh Jafari announced that Iran will
E      provide a $1 billion loan to Iraq for reconstruction. The Iraqis have committed
P      to use Iranian contractors and experts for the proposed projects. The two
A      sides reached the agreement during the visit to Tehran of Iraqi Finance
R      Minister Bayan Jabr (SCIRI).
T
M
    6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law
E
       The sentence of the Iraqi High Tribunal (IHT) against Saddam Hussein was
N      carried out at a prison in Baghdad the morning of December 30.
T   7. Increase International Support for Iraq
       South Korea’s Foreign Ministry announced December 29 that South Korea is
O      considering allowing its firms to conduct business in Iraq’s northern Kurdish
F      region given the improved security situation in the region.
    8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation
S      of the Insurgents
T      Four Americans and an Austrian abducted in November in southern Iraq spoke
A      briefly and appeared uninjured in a video believed to have been recorded
T      nearly two weeks ago and delivered January 3 to The Associated Press.
E


                                             4                                UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                       January 4, 2007



    [1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency
    Iraqi Statistics Show December 2006 Was the Deadliest Month for Iraqi Civilians:
D
E   • According to a combination of statistics released by the Iraqi Health, Interior and
P     Defense ministries, December was the deadliest month for the country's civilians in
A     2006 with a death toll of 1,927 - compared with 1,846 in November and 1,315 in
R     October.
T        • Although the US military does not release Iraqi civilian casualty numbers, the
M          Iraqi Interior Ministry spokesman, Brigadier General Abdul Kareem Khalaf,
E          disagreed with the released Iraqi statistics, saying that the latest figures were
N
           too high and that the civilian toll in December was about half what was being
T
           reported and was one of the lowest monthly totals of the year.
O   Iraqi Army Captures Al-Qaida Terrorist Cell Leader:
F
    • Iraqi Special Operations Forces with Coalition advisors captured an al-Qaida in Iraq
S     (AQI) terrorist cell leader December 26 in al-Yusifiyah south of Baghdad. The AQI
T     cell leader was allegedly responsible for the kidnapping of two US soldiers from a
A     checkpoint in Yusifiyah in June as well as numerous other kidnappings, murders
T     and violent crimes in the area. The two soldiers were later found tortured and
E     murdered.


                                                 5                                  UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                     January 4, 2007



    [2.] Transition to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces
     Iraqi Police Graduate 8,708 from Basic Training Courses in December:
D
E    • The Iraqi Police Service (IPS) graduated 8,708 police recruits from the ten-week
P      basic training courses held in Baghdad, Basrah, Hamman al-Alil, Hillah, Erbil, Kut,
A      Mosul, Najaf, Sulaymaniyah and Jordan during the month of December.
R
     • An additional 2,462 police students completed the three-week Transitional
T
       Integration Program for police officers with prior experience.
M
E    • To date, more than 151,000 Iraqi policemen have completed basic training courses.
N      Additionally, nearly 30,000 Department of Border Enforcement and more than
T      26,000 National Police have completed initial training.

O    New Officers Graduate from Iraqi Military Academy:
F    • More than 200 cadets were promoted to the rank of second lieutenant in the Iraqi
       Army in a graduation ceremony December 28 at the Iraqi Military Academy, al-
S      Rustamiyah.
T
A         • The new officers completed a year-long military leadership development
T           course based on the United Kingdom’s Royal Military Academy at Sandhurst,
E           which focuses on command, leadership and advanced military skills that the
            new officers will implement with their units.

                                               6                                   UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                                January 4, 2007


    [2.] Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security
    Forces

D          Ministry of Interior Forces                     Ministry of Defense Forces
E
                                  TRAINED &
P             COMPONENT                                        COMPONENT       OPERATIONAL
                                  EQUIPPED
A               POLICE            ~135,000***
                                                                 ARMY           ~132,700***
R              NATIONAL
T                                   ~ 24,400                   AIR FORCE           ~900
                POLICE
M             OTHER MOI                                          NAVY              ~1,100
                                    ~28,900
E              FORCES
                                                                TOTAL            ~134,700**
N                  TOTAL           ~188,300**
T
                                Total Trained & Equipped ISF:
O
F
                                     ~323,000****
S
    * Ministry of Interior Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are included in these numbers
T   ** Ministry of Defense Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are not included in these numbers
A   *** Army numbers include Special Operations Forces and Support Forces
T   **** Does not include the approximately 144,000 Facilities Protection Service personnel working in 27
E         ministries

     Data as of December 25, 2006 (updated bi-weekly by DOD)

                                                     7                                        UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                    January 4, 2007


    [3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
    Government– Developments
    Maliki Would Reject a Second Term:
D   • Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki said in a published report in the Wall Street Journal
E      that he wished he could leave office before the completion of his four-year
P      term and would not run again.
A   • “I didn't want to take this position,” Maliki told the Wall Street Journal in an
R      interview published January 2. “I only agreed because I thought it would serve
T      the national interest, and I will not accept it again.” Maliki said it was
M      “impossible” that he would serve a second term.
E   • “I wish I could be done with it even before the end of this term,” he said in the
N      interview, which was conducted December 24. “I would like to serve my
T      people from outside the circle of senior officials, maybe through the
       parliament, or through working directly with the people.”
O
F

S
T
A
T
E


                                               8                                  UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                            January 4, 2007


    [3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
    Government– Developments
    Saddam Hussein’s Execution Sparks Criticism:
D   • Hundreds of Sunni Arabs protested January 1 against the execution of Saddam Hussein.
E      In ad-Dawr, the village north of Baghdad where Saddam was captured by US troops in
P      December 2003, demonstrators blamed Shia leaders for carrying out the death sentence.
A   •   Iraq's main Sunni clerics group blamed the US for Saddam's execution. The Muslim
R       Scholars’ Association called Saddam's hanging for crimes against humanity a “purely
T       political act.” The group also lashed out at the fact that the execution was conducted
M       during Eid al-Adha, one of Islam's holiest periods.
E   •   US officials in Iraq raised concerns over arrangements for the execution, both before and
N       after it was carried out, but said questions over the manner of the hanging should not call
T       into question the integrity of Saddam’s trial. “The most important thing is that Saddam
        Hussein was executed after a long trial - a long and public trial, that met international
        standards,” White House spokesman Tony Snow said.
O
F   •   Iraqi President Jalal Talabani has said that Saddam's execution did not need his approval.
        Talabani's office released a statement January 2 saying the president opposes the death
        penalty, but cannot interfere with the independence of the judiciary. Prime Minister Maliki
S       has ordered an investigation into the execution to try to uncover who taunted the former
T       dictator, and who leaked subsequent mobile phone footage.
A
    •   The Iraqi government also postponed hanging two of Saddam's co-defendants in the
T       Dujail trial. Barzan Ibrahim al-Tikriti, Saddam's half brother and former intelligence chief,
E       and Awad Ahmed al-Bandar, the head of the revolutionary court, were to have been
        hanged January 4 after the end of the Eid al-Adha holiday. But Prime Minister Maliki's
        office said the execution was postponed “due to international pressure.”
                                                   9                                     UNCLASSIFIED
      UNCLASSIFIED                                                                                                                                       January 4, 2007


     [3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
     Government - Iraqi National Unity Government
                                                                             President
D                                     Deputy President                     Jalal Talabani                 Deputy President
E                                       Tariq al-Hashimi                                                  ‘Adil ‘Abd al-Mahdi
P                                                                          Prime Minister
A                                  Deputy Prime Minister                    Nuri al-Maliki              Deputy Prime Minister
                                                                                                                                                 (F) = Female
R                                        Barham Salih                                                      Salam al-Zawba’i

T Minister of                 Minister of            Minister of Culture         Minister of Defense
                                                                                                            Minister of Displacement               Minister of
                            Communications                                                                        & Migration                      Electricity
M Agriculture                                           As’ad Kamal              Abdul Qadir Muhammed         Abd al-Samad Rahman
                            Muhammad Tawfiq                                                                                                        Karim Wahid
                                                    Muhammad Abdallah al-
E Ya'rub Nathim                 Allawi                    Hashimi
                                                                                         Jasim                        Sultan

N Minister of
     Education
                               Minister of
                              Environment
                                                    Minister of Finance
                                                                                  Minister of Foreign
                                                                                                                Minister of Health
                                                                                                                                               Minister of Higher
                                                                                                                                                  Education
                                                                                        Affairs
T Khudayyir al-Khuza’i      Narmin ‘Uthman (F)             Bayan Jabr                Hoshyar Zebari               Ali al-Shammari               Abd Dhiyab al-Ajili

    Minister of Human       Minister of Industry           Minister of                                        Minister of Housing &            Minister of Labor &
O         Rights                & Minerals                  Interior
                                                                                  Minister of Justice
                                                                                                                  Construction                   Social Affairs
                                                                                                                                               Mahmud Muhammad
F   Wijdan Mikha’il (F)        Fawzi al-Hariri           Jawad al-Bulani            Hashim al-Shibli              Bayan Daza’I (F)               Jawad al-Radi

                               Minister of                                     Minister of Science &         Minister of Municipalities             Minister of
      Minister of Oil                               Minister of Trade
S                              Planning                                            Technology                     & Public Works                  Transportation
       Husayn al-                                      Abd al-Falah al-                                                                          Karim Mahdi Salih
T                               Ali Baban                                         Ra’id Fahmi Jahid               Riyad Ghurayyib
       Shahristani                                        Sudani

A    Minister of Water           Minister of Youth &           Minister of State for            Minister of State for                Minister of State for National
        Resources                      Sports                     Civil Society               National Dialogue Affairs                    Security Affairs
T
     ‘Abd al-Latif Rashid      Jasim Muhammad Ja’far                Adil al-Asadi                      Akram al-Hakim                       Shirwan al-Waili
E
    Minister of State for       Minister of State for          Minister of State for              Minister of State for              Minister of State for
      Foreign Affairs           Governorates Affairs         Tourism and Antiquities               Women’s Affairs                       CoR Affairs
                                                                                                  Fatin Abd al-Rahman                     Safa al-Safi
     Rafi Hiyad al-Isawi         Sa’d Tahir Abd Khalaf             Liwa Sumaysim
                                      al-Hashimi                                    10                 Mahmud (F)                                  UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                                                                                                            January 4, 2007


    [4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services –
    Financials from Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund (IRRF) 1 and IRRF 2
    (Millions of USD)
D                                                    Apportioned                       Committed                                Obligated                              Disbursed

E                 Sector                       2207 Report    Apportion    Last Week      Current        Change     Last Week       Current    Change      Last Week      Current    Change

    Security and Law Enforcement                $5,002.59     $5,002.59    $4,990.93     $4,989.02       ($1.91)    $4,988.46     $4,986.48    ($1.99)     $4,700.03     $4,702.03   $2.01
P
    Electricity Sector                          $4,239.51     $4,239.51    $4,238.86     $4,238.86       $0.00      $4,094.48     $4,094.48    $0.00       $2,932.85     $2,955.02   $22.17
A   Oil Infrastructure                          $1,724.70     $1,724.70    $1,722.88     $1,723.87       $0.99      $1,625.00     $1,625.00    $0.00       $1,282.28     $1,286.61   $4.33
R   Justice, Public Safety and Civil
                                                $1,304.15     $1,304.15    $1,303.84     $1,303.79       ($0.05)    $1,297.45     $1,297.39    ($0.05)     $971.68        $971.50    ($0.19)
    Society
T
    Democracy                                   $1,001.85     $1,001.85    $1,001.78     $1,001.78       $0.00      $1,001.78     $1,001.78    $0.00       $885.47        $886.16    $0.69
M   Education, Refugees, Human Rights,
                                                $401.50       $401.50      $401.20       $401.20         $0.00      $401.20        $401.20     $0.00       $337.56        $337.57    $0.00
E   Governance

N   Roads, Bridges and Construction             $333.60       $333.60      $332.43       $332.41         ($0.01)    $326.30        $326.29     ($0.01)     $205.93        $206.07    $0.14

T   Health Care                                 $818.90       $818.90      $817.55       $817.55         $0.00      $801.35        $801.45     $0.10       $572.30        $578.55    $6.24

    Transportation and Communications           $464.12       $464.12      $464.11       $464.11         ($0.00)    $458.23        $458.23     ($0.001)    $334.75        $335.36    $0.61

O   Water Resources and Sanitation              $2,131.08     $2,131.08    $2,129.43     $2,129.40       ($0.03)    $2,057.11     $2,057.10    ($0.01)     $1,405.29     $1,409.11   $3.82
F   Private Sector Development                  $813.95       $813.95      $813.95       $813.95         $0.00      $813.95        $813.95     $0.00       $760.91        $761.56    $0.65

    Admin Expense (USAID, STATE)                $213.00       $213.00      $212.45       $212.45         $0.00      $212.45        $212.45     $0.00       $138.37        $138.37    $0.00
S                                      Total   $18,448.95    $18,448.95   $18,429.42   $18,428.40        ($1.02)   $18,077.77    $18,075.80    ($1.97)    $14,527.44    $14,567.91   $40.47
T   IRRF II Construction                                                  $10,598.64    $10,598.13       ($0.51)   $10,268.75     $10,267.36   ($1.39)     $7,868.14     $7,894.85   $26.71
A   IRRF II Non-Construction                                               $6,829.00     $6,828.49       ($0.51)    $6,807.24     $6,806.66    ($0.58)     $5,773.82     $5,786.90   $13.07

T   IRRF II Democracy                                                      $1,001.78     $1,001.78       $0.00      $1,001.78     $1,001.78    $0.00       $885.47        $886.16    $0.69

E                           IRRF I Total       $2,473.30     $2,473.30    $2,473.30     $2,473.30        $0.00      $2,232.3      $2,232.3     $0.00      $2,139.00      $2,139.0    $0.00
               Grand Total IRRF I & II         $20,922.25    $20,922.25   $20,902.72   $20,901.70        ($1.02)   $20,310.07    $20,308.10    ($1.97)    $16,666.44    $16,706.91   $40.47


           As of January 2, 2007
                                                                                                    11                                                                 UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    January 4, 2007


    [4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
    Services – Electricity Overview

D                                                                              Daily Electricity Supplied and Estimated Demand in Iraq Since January 2004
E
P                                                                                                                      Actual                                                                                       7-day Average                                                                                                     Estimated Demand
                               200,000
A
                               180,000
R
                               160,000
     Daily Load Served (MWh)




T
                               140,000
M
                               120,000
E
                               100,000
N
T                               80,000

                                60,000

O                               40,000

F                               20,000

                                    0
                                         1/1/04
                                                  1/31/04
                                                            3/1/04
                                                                     3/31/04
                                                                               4/30/04
                                                                                         5/30/04
                                                                                                   6/29/04
                                                                                                             7/29/04
                                                                                                                       8/28/04
                                                                                                                                 9/27/04
                                                                                                                                           10/27/04
                                                                                                                                                      11/26/04
                                                                                                                                                                 12/26/04
                                                                                                                                                                            1/25/05
                                                                                                                                                                                      2/24/05
                                                                                                                                                                                                3/26/05
                                                                                                                                                                                                          4/25/05
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     5/25/05
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               6/24/05
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7/24/05
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   8/23/05
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             9/22/05
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/22/05
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  11/21/05
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             12/21/05
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/20/06
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2/19/06
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            3/21/06
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/20/06
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 5/20/06
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           6/19/06
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     7/19/06
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               8/18/06
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         9/17/06
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   10/17/06
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              11/16/06
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         12/16/06
S
T                                                Date
A
T • During the week of December 28-January 3, electricity availability averaged 5.4 hours per day in
E   Baghdad and 8.9 hours nationwide. Electricity output for the week was unchanged from the same
                 period in 2005.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  12                                                                                                                                                                                UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                  January 4, 2007


    [4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
    Services –Electricity

D   Electricity:
E   •   Baghdad has received no power from Haditha Dam since December 4, and
P       since December 27 it has also received none from northern generating plants,
A       reducing daily electricity service in Baghdad to five to six hours.
R
T
M
E
N
T

O
F

S
T
A
T
E


                                              13                               UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                        January 4, 2007


    [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Oil Update and Job
    Creation
    Oil Update:
D   • Crude oil price averages in world markets for the week ending December 15 closed with the
E     following prices:
P       – Basrah Light at $55.61/barrel                      – Dated Brent at $62.28/barrel
A       – WTI Cushing at $61.91/barrel                       – Oman/Dubai at $57.99/barrel
R
T
    Employment Update:
M
E
N                             There will be no employment update this week.
T

O
F

S
T
A
T
E
                      * CERP employment numbers are representative of Baghdad only.
    Data as of January 2                                14                            UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                                                                                      January 4, 2007



    [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy - Banking Sector
    Central Bank’s US Dollar (USD) Currency Auction:
D   • The following table shows volume sold and exchange rates for USD in the Iraqi currency auction since
      April. Since September, the Central Bank has begun slowly appreciating the dinar, as suggested by the
E     IMF, to tackle rampant inflation over the past year. This welcome increase in the dinar's value against the
P     dollar is reflected in the figure below.
                                                  Central Bank of Iraq
A
                        USD Currency Auction: April 2, 2006 – December 28, 2006
R                             $90.0
T                                                                                                                                                1,490
                              $80.0
M                                                                                                                                                1,470
E                             $70.0
                                                                                                                                                 1,450
N                             $60.0
        USD Sold (Millions)




                                                                                                                                                          NID Exchange Rate
T                                                                                                                                                1,430

                              $50.0
                                                                                                                                                 1,410

O                             $40.0
                                                                                                                                                 1,390
F                             $30.0                                                                                                              1,370

                              $20.0
S                                                                                                                                                1,350


T                             $10.0                                                                                                              1,330

A                              $0.0                                                                                                              1,310
T



                                D v 2 15 14
                                N No No 7
                                N v c 8
                                     8 N 9




                                            ec 18
                                                 28
                                 N 9 ct 0




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                                            ec 1
                                   20 - D 1 2
                                     31 24 22
                                     Ju - Ju 30




                               S 30 23 22
                               ep 6 - S 29




                               O 11 O t 2
                               M a 1 6




                                Ju Ju 23 0
                                      1 6- 5
                                    A Au 30


                               A Au 11 1 0
                                           25 20

                                      Ju l 2 9

                                    Ju 16 13
                                   Ju 13 12
                                   Ju 6 5




                                    Ju l 9 - 6




                                            ep 2
                                   A g 7
                                    p 6 2
                                    p 9 7

                                      M 6- 3
                                    M y 30




                                            ep 5
                                     ay 9 8
                                    p 2 6




                                 O 26 ep 9
                               O ct 3 - O 25



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                                   v - 2
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                                      US $ Sold (Weekly Avg)   The New Iraqi Dinar (NID) exchange rate line is calculated as a weekly weighted average (NID/USD)

                                                                                   15                                                            UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                                                                           January 4, 2007



     [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Securities Markets
    Trading of Iraqi Bonds on the International Secondary Bond Market:
    • The following table shows the daily bond resale price and yield on Iraqi bonds issued January 20. The bonds were originally issued to about
D     two-thirds of Iraq’s commercial creditors as part of a debt exchange arrangement at Paris Club terms. Iraq’s commercial debt was
      approximately $22 billion before the debt-swap arrangement. The bonds, which are not yet rated, will mature in 2028. The bonds’ current
E     yield of 9.68 percent remains one of the highest in the world for sovereign debt instruments.
P
A                                                         Iraqi Commercial Bond Sales
                                                         January 20, 2006 - December 29, 2006
R
                               $76.00                                                                                                  10.00%
T
M                              $74.00

E                                                                                                                                      9.50%
                               $72.00
N
T
           Bond Price in USD




                               $70.00




                                                                                                                                                Yield Percentage
                                                                                                                                       9.00%


                               $68.00
O
                                                                                                                                       8.50%
F                              $66.00


                               $64.00
S                                                                                                                                      8.00%

T                              $62.00


A                              $60.00                                                                                                  7.50%

T
                               13 eb




                                31 l
                               10 u l
                               17 ar
                                    an




                               27 n
                                    un




                               30 ov

                               12 ov

                               28 ec
                                     ec
                               20 ov
                               23 eb
                                     eb




                               25 ep
                                     ep
                               24 ay
                                     ay




                               13 p
                               12 ay




                                19 l
                               29 ar

                               10 ar




                               27 ct

                                8- t
                               15 n




                               17 ct
                               22 ug
                                    ug
                                      u
                               20 pr

                                2- r




                                    Ju




                                      c
                                     p




                                   Se
                                    u
                                   Ju




                                   -J

                                   -J
                                   M




                                  -O

                                  -O
                                   O
                                 -M

                                 -M




                                 -N

                                 -N

                                 -D

                                 -D
                                   F




                                 -M

                                 -M




                                   N
                                  M
                                 -A

                                 -A




                                 -S

                                 -S
                                  -J




                                  -J

                                  -J
                                 -F

                                 -F




                                 -A

                                 -A
                                 7-
                                1-




                                7-




                                5-




                                5-
                                1-
                               20




E
      Trading High = $73.98 (January 24)
      Trading Low = $64.66 (August 30)
                                                                             16                                                        UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                      January 4, 2007



    [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy –Economic Events
  Iran to Loan Iraq $1 Billion:
D
E • Iranian Economy Minister Davoud Danesh Jafari announced that Iran will provide a
P     $1 billion loan to Iraq for reconstruction. The Iraqis have committed to use Iranian
A     contractors and experts for the proposed projects. The two sides reached the
R     agreement during the visit to Iran of Iraqi Finance Minister Bayan Jabr (SCIRI).
T
M 2007 Budget:
E
N • Khaled al-Attiyah, first deputy-chairman of the Iraqi parliament, announced that the
T     general budget for 2007 is $41 billion, with security allocations of $7.5 billion. The
      budget has been referred to the Economic and Investment Committee in the
O     Parliament for consideration. A final report is expected after the Eid al-Adha.
F

S
T
A
T
E


                                                17                                 UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                                                                             January 4, 2007



    [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Production
                                   2.80
                                                                                              Iraqi Oil Ministry Goal: 2.5 MBPD
D
E                                  2.40    2.30
                                                                            2.20       2.21                                                    2.23
P                                                                                                 2.18
                                                                                                                           2.14     2.17
                                                                 2.05                                             2.05
A                                  2.00
R                                                     1.79
     Millions of Barrels Per Day




T
                                   1.60
M
E
                                   1.20
N
T
                                   0.80

O
F                                  0.40



S                                  0.00
T                                         October    October   November   November   November   November     December    December December   December
                                           23-29       30-       6-12       13-19      20-26       27-         4-10        11-17    18-24      25-31
A                                                   November                                    December
T                                                       5                                           3

E                                                                                    Production          Target

    • Weekly Average (December 25-31) of 2.23 Million Barrels Per Day (MBPD)
    • 2006 Average 2.13 MBPD                                                            18                                                 UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                                                                                           January 4, 2007



    [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Export
                                                                      Revenue (US$B)           Projected        Exports (MBPD)

D                                  2.40                                                                                                                      $4.00

E
P                                                                                                                                                            $3.50
A
R                                  1.80                                                1.67         1.68      1.68                                           $3.00
                                                                                                                       1.62
T                                                                    1.60
                                                                                                                                 1.55
     Millions of Barrels per Day




                                                   1.47                        1.51
M                                                                                                                                        1.44      1.45
                                                                                                                                                             $2.50
                                                             1.32
E




                                                                                                                                                                     USD (Billions)
N                                  1.20                                                                                                                      $2.00
                                          1.05
T                                                                                                   $3.41    $3.44
                                                                     $3.02    $2.92    $3.03                                                                 $1.50
O                                                                                                                     $2.73
                                                                                                                                 $2.45            $2.46
F                                  0.60
                                                   $2.16    $2.25                                                                        $2.19
                                                                                                                                                             $1.00
                                          $1.84


S                                                                                                                                                            $0.50
T
A
                                   0.00                                                                                                                      $0.00
T                                         Jan-06   Feb-06   Mar-06   Apr-06   May-06   Jun-06       Jul-06   Aug-06   Sep-06   Oct-06    Nov-06   Dec-06

E
                                   • 2005 Revenue Estimate:                     $23.5 Billion
                                   • 2006 Revenue Estimate:                     $31.3 Billion                (Year to Date)
                                                                                               19                                                    UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                                                                       January 4, 2007


    [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Total Critical Refined Product
    Supplies
                                                                           Domestic Production            Import

D                                                   100%

E
                                                            17%
P
A                                                   80%                                                        38%
R                                                                                    51%
                                                                                                                                    47%
      Percentage of Share of Weekly Fuel Supplies




T
M
                                                    60%
E
N
T
                                                            83%
                                                    40%

O                                                                                                              62%
F                                                                                    49%
                                                                                                                                    53%

                                                    20%

S
T
A                                                    0%
T                                                          Diesel                  Kerosene                   Gasoline              LPG
                                                            Note: This is a daily average for the week of December 25 – 31
E
    • Diesel: 13.9 ML supply of 21.0 ML target                                                     • Gasoline: 12.2 ML supply of 22.5 ML target
    • Kerosene: 10.5 ML supply of 16.8 ML target                                                   • LPG: 3,059 tons supply of 5,630 tons target
                                                                                              20                                     UNCLASSIFIED
     UNCLASSIFIED                                                                                         January 4, 2007



    [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – National Stock Levels
                                             Oct-06        Nov-06       Dec-06          Goal

D             25
E
P
A
              20
R
T
M
E             15

N
       Days




T
              10

O
F
               5                                       4                                    4
S                        3     3      3         3              3           3        3
T                                                                                               2   2
                                                                                                             1
A
               0
T                            Diesel                 Kerosene                     Gasoline           LPG
E                  • The goal is to have on hand 15 days supply of all refined products, calculated on
                   the basis of maximum consumption over the year and not adjusted for seasonal
                   variation. The numbers given above are monthly averages.
                                                                   21                               UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                            January 4, 2007


    [6.] Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights–
    Iraqi Judicial System
    Saddam Hussein Executed, Execution Taped by Cell Phone:
D   • The sentence of the Iraqi High Tribunal (IHT) against Saddam Hussein was carried out at
E     a prison in Baghdad the monrning of December 30.
P   • The execution was recorded on a mobile phone, which was later leaked to the public.
A     The scene was broadcast on al-Jazeera television and posted on the Internet, prompting
R     a worldwide outcry and large protests among Iraq's minority Sunnis, who lost their
T     preferential status when Saddam was ousted following the US-led invasion of March
M     2003.
E   • Iraqi authorities reported January 3 the arrests of two guards and an official who
N     supervised Saddam Hussein's execution and said the guard force was infiltrated by
T     outsiders who taunted the former dictator and shot the unauthorized mobile phone video.
      This version was received with widespread skepticism by many Iraqis, who regard
      Islamist Shia politicians close to the government as the lead suspects.
O
F   CCCI Convicts 48 Insurgents:
    • The Central Criminal Court of Iraq (CCCI) convicted 48 security detainees December 8-
S     28, for various crimes including murder, kidnapping, illegal possession of special category
T     weapons, violation of the terrorist laws, failure to renew resident identification, possessing
A     and using a fake ID, use or attempted use of explosives and illegal border crossing.
T   • Since its organization under an amendment to Coalition Provisional Authority order 13, in
E     April 2004, the CCCI has held 1,809 trials for Coalition-apprehended insurgents. The
      proceedings have resulted in the conviction of 1,569 individuals with sentences ranging
      up to death.
                                                   22                                    UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                     January 4, 2007



    [7.] Increase International Support for Iraq– Developments
    Seoul Moving to Allow Companies to do Business in Iraq :
D   • South Korea’s Foreign Ministry announced December 29 that South Korea is
E      considering allowing its firms to conduct business in Iraq’s northern Kurdish
P      region given the improved security situation in the region.
A   • South Korea has prohibited its people and firms from entering or doing
R      business in Iraq since the kidnapping and murder of a South Korean worker in
T      May 2004.
M
E   Foreign Minister Zebari Receives Russian Ambassador:
N   • Minister of Foreign Affairs Hoshyar Zebari received Vladimir Chamov, the
T      Ambassador of the Russian Federation to Iraq December 28. A range of
       issues were discussed including security and political developments in Iraq
O      and means to enhance bilateral relations between the two countries.
F

S
T
A
T
E


                                              23                                UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                                                                                    January 4, 2007


    [7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Contributors to Iraqi
    Stability Operations
    Data as of December 22, 2006

D               25 Countries with forces in Iraq (in addition to US)
E
P
A               Albania                                Denmark                           Lithuania                       Slovakia
R               Armenia                                El Salvador                       Macedonia                       South Korea
T               Australia                              Estonia                           Moldova                         Ukraine
M               Azerbaijan                             Georgia                           Mongolia                        UK
E               Bosnia-Herzegovina                     Japan                             Poland
N               Bulgaria                               Kazakhstan                        Romania
T               Czech Republic                         Latvia                            Singapore


O
F                                                          TOTAL ~ 15,197 Forces                                         *Note: Fiji participating as a
                                                                                                                         part of the UN mission in Iraq.

S
T
A                                      34 Countries and NATO*
T                                            (including US)
E
                                   Support Iraqi Stability Operations
       *34 includes the 25 countries listed above, the US, Fiji, and seven NATO, non-MNF-I countries: Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Netherlands,
       Portugal, Slovenia, Turkey                                                  24                                                           UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                 January 4, 2007


    [8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and
    Public Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments
  Kidnapped Contractors Shown on Video:
D
E • Four Americans and an Austrian abducted in November in southern Iraq spoke
P    briefly and appeared uninjured in a video believed to have been recorded
A    nearly two weeks ago and delivered January 3 to The Associated Press.
R • The men – security contractors for the Crescent Security Group based in
T    Kuwait – appeared separately on the edited video. Three of them said they
M    were being treated well.
E
N • The kidnappers were not seen or heard in the nearly two-minute video, but a
T    title that read “The National Islamic Resistance in Iraq. The Furkan Brigades”
     was shown at the start of the video.
O •    The men were kidnapped November 16 when suspected militiamen in Iraqi
F      police uniforms ambushed a convoy of trucks being escorted by Crescent
       Security on a highway near Safwan.
S
T
A
T
E


                                             25                                UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                                                              January 4, 2007



    Special Addendum: Provincial Reconstruction Teams (PRT)
     PRT Mission Statement:
D    • To assist Iraq’s provincial governments with developing a transparent and
E      sustained capability to govern, promoting increased security and rule of law,
P      promoting political and economic development, and providing provincial
A      administration necessary to meet the basic needs of the population.
R
     Provincial Reconstruction Team Concept:
T
     • The PRT concept was developed to improve on Regional Embassy Office (REO)
M
       and Provincial Support Team (PST) programs. The PRTs are a civil-military
E
       operation led by the civilians with extensive support from US and Coalition Forces.
N
       The PRTs are an integrated capacity-building effort built around Local Governance
T
       Program (LGP) and include support from other agencies to cover all key capacity
       development needs.
O
F    PRT Operations Status:
     • PRTs have been established in Tamim/Kirkuk; Ninewa/Mosul; Babil/Hillah;
S      Baghdad; Anbar/Ramadi; Diyala/Baquba; Salah ad-Din; Basrah; and Dhi Qar.
T      PRTs are comprised of representatives from the US Department of State, United
A      States Agency for International Development, Multi-National Force – Iraq,
T      Department of Justice, Gulf Regional Division of the Army Corps of Engineers,
E      Multi-National Corps – Iraq and Coalition partners.
                                                       Interested in working in Iraq?
                    Please visit http://careers.state.gov/opportunities/iraq/index.html for a list of available positions
                                                                     26                                                     UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                       January 4, 2007



    Iraq Weekly Status – General Information

D
E   • This brief draws from multiple sources. References are cited on the
P
A     following pages.
R
T
M   • Please forward all questions and/or comments to:
E
N
             NEA-I-IPOG-DL@state.gov
T

O
F

S
T
A
T
E


                                        27                           UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                                                                                           January 4, 2007



     Notes and Source Citations (1 of 3)
    Slide 5:
          – LA Times – Molly Hennessy-Fiske – January 3, 2007 (http://www.latimes.com/news/printedition/asection/la-fg-iraq3jan03,1,1068439.story?coll=la-news-
D            a_section&ctrack=1&cset=true)
         –
E               The Advisor -- 30 December 2006

    Slide 6:
P        –      The Advisor – 30 December 2006
A   Slide 7:
R        –      DoD Input to Iraq Weekly Status Report January 3, 2007

T   Slide 8:
         –      “Iraq prime minister wishes he could quit.” The Associated Press. January 3, 2007.
M               http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070103/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq_prime_minister

E   Slide 9:
         –      “Iraqi Sunnis Blame Shi'ite Leaders For Hussein's Execution.” Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty. January 1, 2007.
N               http://www.rferl.org/featuresarticle/2007/1/886A0FDA-2712-4B28-AF51-7D19517BDA76.html
T        –      Chang, Anita. “Saddam execution video draws criticism.” The Associated Press. January 3, 2007.
                http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070103/ap_on_re_mi_ea/world_saddam_execution
         –      http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070104/wl_mideast_afp/iraq_070104083523

O   Slide 10:
         –      NEA Political Section, NEA-I-POL-DL@state.gov
F   Slide 11:
          – IRMO Weekly Report, January 2, 2007
    Slide 12:
S        –      POC Bob Means (202) 647-9815
T        –      The chart shows average daily power production in megawatt hours (MWh). 120,000 MWh goal equates to 20 hours at 6000 MW average supplied load or 24
                hours at 5000 MW average supply load. Currently supplies are not much improved over last year when judged by hours of power, but this is due in part to an
A               influx of new appliances. This has dramatically altered demand and diluted the effect of increased generation capacity on actual results.

T   Slide 13:
        Electricity:
E         – USACE Daily Report – December 4-January 3




                                                                                       28                                                              UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                                                                  January 4, 2007



     Notes and Source Citations (2 of 3)
    Slide 14:
          – Oil Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
D         Employment Update:
E         – Information regarding the Employment Update was sourced from the IRMO Weekly Report – January 2, 2007.
          – CERP has not reported figures for some time. Until they report accurate data, the number will remain at 0.
P         – PCO will be reporting on a bi-weekly basis.
A   Slide 15:
          – Information regarding the NID auction was gathered from the Central Bank of Iraq’s website: http://www.cbiraq.org
R   Slide 16:
T         – Iraqi Bond Prices are sourced from Bloomberg

M   Slide 17:
          – http://www.menafn.com/qn_news_story_s.asp?StoryId=1093137724
E         – http://www.iraqdirectory.com/DisplayNews.aspx?id=2856
         –
N   Slide 18:
T         – Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885

    Slide 19:
          – Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
O
    Slide 20:
F         – Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885

    Slide 21:
S         – Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885

T
A
T
E


                                                                                     29                                         UNCLASSIFIED
    UNCLASSIFIED                                                                                                                                        January 4, 2007



    Notes and Source Citations (3 of 3)
    Slide 22:
                –   http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070103/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq_saddam_video_4
D               –   http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070104/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq
                –
E                   http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=8756&Itemid=21

P   Slide 23:
                –   “Seoul moving to allow companies to do business in Iraq.” YONAP News. December 28, 2006.
A                   <http://english.yna.co.kr/Engnews/20061229/410100000020061229114456E9.html>
                –   “FM Zebari Receives Russian Ambassador”. Republic of Iraq Ministry of Foreign Affairs. <http://www.mofa.gov.iq/english/home.aspx>
R
    Slide 24:
T               –   DOD Input to Weekly Status Report, updated bi-weekly
M
    Slide 25:
E               –   http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070104/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq_kidnapped_contractors
N
    Slide 26:
T               –   NEA Political Section, NEA-I-POL-DL@state.gov


O
F

S
T
A
T
E


                                                                                  30                                                              UNCLASSIFIED

								
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