Strategic Assessment Introduction and Overview Gemma Fraser BA Hon Senior CSP Analyst Fife Constabulary Aim To provide and introduction to Strategic Assessment and where this part of the process sits within the business model. To illustrate the use of risk analysis when establishing priorities and available methods. Learning Outcomes Identify the role, remit and benefits of carrying out a Strategic Assessment. Identify where a Strategic Assessment fits into the business model. Discuss the concept of risk analysis and the use of the 3-PLEM and 4 x 4 model. Complete a risk and threat analysis of potential community safety matters. What is a Strategic Assessment? What is a Strategic Assessment? One of the 4 Intelligence Products Higher level and longer term look at issues identified as high priority. Determine resource allocation. Inform senior managers. Analytical Products and the Business Model SOA’s Strategic Assessment Priorities Review Tactical Assessment Subject Profile Problem Profile The Benefits to CS Partnerships A wide range of relevant datasets and intelligence. Developing expert opinions and sources of community intelligence. A more holistic picture of an area. Cost effective. Greater resources. Deliver activities which focus on priorities and achieve results. What is a Strategic Assessment? Direction Review Task Definition Production Terms of Reference Test Collection Analysis Risk Analysis Supports the assessment of the scale of risk posed by: Individual Offenders Organisations Crime types/Community issues To: Potential Victims The Community Partnership Agencies Risk Analysis Provide a framework for comparing identified issues within a community against one another. Ensure that responses are appropriate and proportional. Enable issues to be prioritised. Provide information for making resource decisions. Justify the targeting of individuals or community issues. Analyse the likely impact of partnership action or inaction. Focus information gathering. Highlight preventative, reduction or diversion opportunities. Why Risk Analysis? Identifies priority issues Brings focus to a strategic assessment Informs tactical assessment Directs information gathering Identifies where to place resources Focus on recommendations Builds in evaluation 3P-LEM Partnership/organisational and community concerns Physical risks Psychological risks Legal risks Economic risks Moral/Ethical risks 4 x 4 Matrix 16 Very High 12 9 High 8 6 Medium 4 3 Low 2 1 4 x 4 Matrix VERY HIGH 4 8 12 16 I HIGH 3 6 9 12 M P A MEDIUM 2 4 6 8 C T LOW 1 2 3 4 LOW MEDIUM HIGH VERY HIGH PROBABILITY Probability Trend Downward, same level, upward, significant increase? Information Good picture to inform decisions or incomplete, poor or no information? Number of Offenders Low offenders and prolific offenders? High offenders and prolific offenders? Opportunity Low no. of victims, little opportunity. Low no. of victims but high opportunity due to lack of capable guardian. High no. of victims but little opportunity to offend. High no. of victims and high opportunity to offend due to lack of a capable guardian. Points for Consideration How big is the problem compared to other problem areas? How big is the problem in the area compared to other similar areas? What is the harm caused by the problem? How is the problem changing over time? To what extent do the public consider something to be done about the problem? Ask the Experts!! Learning Outcomes Identify the role, remit and benefits of carrying out a Strategic Assessment. Identify where a Strategic Assessment fits into the business model. Discuss the concept of risk analysis and the use of the 3-PLEM and 4 x 4 model. Complete a risk and threat analysis of potential community safety matters. You will only make progress…. If you stick your neck out………!!
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