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					                                                                                                                                  Agree/disagree with E&E’s projections?
                                                                                                                                     E-mail dsamuelsohn@eenews.net

                                                                                                                                    www.eedaily.com
TALLY (AS OF JUNE 26, 2009): ............YES (188) ........................ FENCE SITTERS (73) .......................NO (174)



                                                                                             RACE TO 218: HOUSE CLIMATE BILL
                                                                                            E&E Daily analyzed the positions of the 434 House law-
                                                                                            makers expected to debate a comprehensive climate bill
                                                                                            this summer. Projections are for final passage of H.R.
                                                                                            2454, American Clean Energy and Security Act. Positions
                                                                                            outlined here are based on interviews with congressmen,
                                                                                            plus dozens of Democratic and Republican sources, in-
                                                                                            dustry and environmental groups. It also factors in spon-
                                                                                            sorships of previous cap-and-trade bills, signature on
                                                                                            Democratic leadership’s 2008 global warming principles
                                                                                            and a 2007 House floor vote on climate change. E&E will
                                                                                            update this breakdown as the debate unfolds.




                                                            FENCE SITTERS (72)
NORTHEAST/MID-ATLANTIC REGION (20)                                                          MIDWEST REGION (22)
DE – Castle, Michael N. (At Large)           NY – Maffei, Dan (25th)                         IL – Bean, Melissa L. (8th)                   OH – Driehaus, Steve (1st)
                                             NY – Massa, Eric (29th)                         IL – Kirk, Mark Steven (10th)                 OH – Turner, Michael R. (3rd)
MD – Kratovil, Frank (1st) +                                                                 IL – Foster, Bill (14th)                      OH – Austria, Steve (7th)
MD – Ruppersberger, C. A. Dutch (2nd)        PA – Dahlkemper, Kathy (3rd) +                  IL – Johnson, Timothy V. (15th)               OH – Fudge, Marcia (11th)
MD – Bartlett, Roscoe G. (6th)               PA – Gerlach, Jim (6th)                                                                       OH – LaTourette, Steven C. (14th)
                                             PA – Carney, Christopher P. (10th) +            IN – Visclosky, Peter J. (1st)                OH – Boccieri, John (16th)
NJ – LoBiondo, Frank A. (2nd)                PA – Kanjorski, Paul E. (11th)                  IN – Donnelly, Joe (2nd) +                    OH – Kaptur, Marcy (9th)
NJ – Adler, John (3rd)                       PA – Dent, Charles W. (15th)
NJ – Lance, Leonard (7th)                    PA – Platts, Todd Russell (19th)                MI – Ehlers, Vernon J. (3rd)                  SD – Herseth Sandlin, Stephanie
NJ – Frelinghuysen, Rodney P. (11th)                                                         MI – Schauer, Mark (7th)                        (At Large) +
                                             VA – Nye, Glenn (2nd) +                         MI – Peters, Gary (9th)
NY – Murphy, Scott (20th)                    VA – Wolf, Frank R. (10th)                      MI – Kilpatrick, Carolyn C. (13th)            WI – Kind, Ron (3rd)
NY – McHugh, John M. (23rd)                                                                                                                WI – Petri, Thomas E. (6th)
                                                                                             MN – Paulsen, Erik (3rd)

                                                                                             MO – Skelton, Ike (4th)


SOUTH REGION (21)
AL – Griffith, Parker (5th) +                NC – Ethridge, Bob (2nd)
                                             NC – McIntyre, Mike (7th) +
AR – Snyder, Vic (2nd)                       NC – Kissell, Larry (8th)
                                             NC – Shuler, Heath (11th) +                    WEST REGION (9)
FL – Grayson, Alan (8th)
FL – Buchanan, Vern (13th)                   TN – Davis, Lincoln (4th) +
                                             TN – Tanner, John S. (8th) +                   AZ – Kirkpatrick, Ann (1st)                    OR – DeFazio, Peter A. (4th)
GA – Bishop, Sanford D. Jr. (2nd) +                                                         AZ – Mitchell, Harry E. (5th) +                OR – Schrader, Kurt (5th)
GA – Marshall, Jim (8th) +                   TX – Hinojosa, Rubén (15th)
GA – Scott, David (13th) +                   TX – Reyes, Silvestre (16th)                   CA – Costa, Jim (20th) +
                                             TX – Edwards, Chet (17th)                      CA – Baca, Joe (43rd) +                        WA – Reichert, David G. (8th)
LA – Cao, Anh (2nd)                          TX – Rodriguez, Ciro D. (23rd)
                                             TX – Ortiz, Solomon P. (27th)                  CO – Salazar, John T. (3rd) +
MS – Childers, Travis W. (1st) +             TX – Cuellar, Henry (28th) +                   CO – Markey, Betsey (4th)




LEGEND:                     Red: Republican | Blue: Democrat | Italics: Members of the House Energy and Commerce Committee
                            ** Running for higher office | # Retiring | + Members of the Blue Dog Democratic Coalition | Bold: Won 2008 race by less than 60% | Underline: Freshman
                                                                                                                                                   Agree/disagree with E&E’s projections?
                                                                                                                                                      E-mail dsamuelsohn@eenews.net

                                                                                                                                                     www.eedaily.com
            AZ – Pastor, Ed (4th)                          FL – Klein, Ron (22nd)                         MN – Ellison, Keith (5th)                       OH – Kilroy, Mary Jo (15th)
            AZ – Grijalva, Raúl M. (7th)                   FL – Hastings, Alcee L. (23rd)                 MN – Peterson, Collin C. (7th) +                OH – Ryan, Tim (17th)
            AZ – Giffords, Gabrielle (8th) +               FL – Kosmas, Suzanne (24th)                    MN – Oberstar, James L. (8th)                   OH – Space, Zachary T. (18th) +
            CA – Thompson, Mike (1st) +                    GA – Johnson, Henry C. Jr. (4th)               MO – Clay, Wm. Lacy (1st)                       OR – Wu, David (1st)
            CA – Matsui, Doris O. (5th)                    GA – Lewis, John (5th)                         MO – Carnahan, Russ (3rd)                       OR – Blumenauer, Earl (3rd)
            CA – Woolsey, Lynn C. (6th)                    HI – Abercrombie, Neil (1st)                   MO – Cleaver, Emanuel (5th)                     PA – Brady, Robert A. (1st)
            CA – Miller, George (7th)                      HI – Hirono, Mazie K. (2nd)                    MS – Thompson, Bennie G. (2nd)                  PA – Fattah, Chaka (2nd)
            CA – Pelosi, Nancy (8th)                       IA – Braley, Bruce L. (1st)                    NC – Butterfield, G. K. (1st)                   PA – Sestak, Joe (7th)
            CA – Lee, Barbara (9th)                        IA – Loebsack, David (2nd)                     NC – Price, David E. (4th)                      PA – Murphy, Patrick J. (8th) +
            CA – Tauscher, Ellen O. (10th)                 IA – Boswell, Leonard L. (3rd) +               NC – Watt, Melvin L. (12th)                     PA – Schwartz, Allyson Y. (13th)
            CA – McNerney, Jerry (11th)                    IL – Rush, Bobby L. (1st)                      NC – Miller, Brad (13th)                        PA – Doyle, Michael F. (14th)
            CA – Speier, Jackie (12th)                     IL – Jackson, Jesse L. Jr. (2nd)               NH – Shea-Porter, Carol (1st)                   RI – Kennedy, Patrick J. (1st)
            CA – Stark, Fortney Pete (13th)                IL – Lipinski, Daniel (3rd)                    NH – Hodes, Paul W. (2nd) **                    RI – Langevin, James R. (2nd)
            CA – Eshoo, Anna G. (14th)                     IL – Gutierrez, Luis V. (4th)                  NJ – Andrews, Robert E. (1st)                   SC – Spratt, John M. Jr. (5th)
            CA – Honda, Michael M. (15th)                  IL – Mike Quigley (5th)                        NJ – Smith, Christopher H. (4th)                SC – Clyburn, James E. (6th)
            CA – Lofgren, Zoe (16th)                       IL – Davis, Danny K. (7th)                     NJ – Pallone, Frank Jr. (6th)                   TN – Cooper, Jim (5th) +
            CA – Farr, Sam (17th)                          IL – Schakowsky, Janice D. (9th)               NJ – Pascrell, Bill Jr. (8th)                   TN – Gordon, Bart (6th) +
            CA – Cardoza, Dennis A. (18th) +               IL – Halvorson, Debbie (11th)                  NJ – Rothman, Steven R. (9th)                   TN – Cohen, Steve (9th)
            CA – Capps, Lois (23rd)                                                                       NJ – Payne, Donald M. (10th)                    TX – Green, Al (9th)
                                                           PA – Murtha, John P. (12th)
            CA – Sherman, Brad (27th)                                                                     NJ – Holt, Rush D. (12th)                       TX – Jackson-Lee, Sheila (18th)
                                                           IL – Hare, Phil (17th)
YES (188)




            CA – Berman, Howard L. (28th)                                                                 NJ – Sires, Albio (13th)                        TX – Gonzalez, Charles A. (20th)
                                                           IN – Carson, André (7th)
            CA – Schiff, Adam B. (29th) +                                                                 NM – Teague, Harry (2nd)                        TX – Doggett, Lloyd (25th)
                                                           IN – Hill, Baron P. (9th) +
            CA – Waxman, Henry A. (30th)                                                                  NM – Heinrich, Martin (1st)                     TX – Green, Gene (29th)
                                                           KS – Moore, Dennis (3rd) +                     NM – Lujan, Ben (3rd)
            CA – Becerra, Xavier (31st)                                                                                                                   TX – Johnson, Eddie Bernice (30th)
                                                           KY – Yarmuth, John A. (3rd)                    NV – Berkley, Shelley (1st)
            CA – Watson, Diane E. (33rd)                                                                                                                  VA – Scott, Robert C. “Bobby’’ (3rd)
                                                           KY – Chandler, Ben (6th) +                     NV – Titus, Dina (3rd)
            CA – Roybal-Allard, Lucille (34th)                                                                                                            VA – Perriello, Tom (5th)
                                                           MA – Olver, John W. (1st)                      NY – Bishop, Timothy H. (1st)
            CA – Waters, Maxine (35th)                                                                                                                    VA – Moran, James P. (8th)
                                                           MA – Neal, Richard E. (2nd)                    NY – Israel, Steve (2nd)
            CA – Harman, Jane (36th) +                                                                                                                    VA – Boucher, Rick (9th)
                                                           MA – McGovern, James P. (3rd)                  NY – McCarthy, Carolyn (4th) **
            CA – Richardson, Laura (37th)                                                                                                                 VA – Connolly, Gerry (11th)
                                                           MA – Frank, Barney (4th)                       NY – Ackerman, Gary L. (5th)
            CA – Napolitano, Grace F. (38th)                                                                                                              VT – Welch, Peter (At Large)
                                                           MA – Tsongas, Niki (5th)                       NY – Meeks, Gregory W. (6th)
            CA – Sánchez, Linda T. (39th)                                                                                                                 WA – Inslee, Jay (1st)
                                                           MA – Tierney, John F. (6th)                    NY – Crowley, Joseph (7th)
            CA – Bono Mack, Mary (45th)                                                                                                                   WA – Larsen, Rick (2nd)
                                                           MA – Markey, Edward J. (7th)                   NY – Nadler, Jerrold (8th)
            CA – Sanchez, Loretta (47th) +                                                                                                                WA – Baird, Brian (3rd)
                                                           MA – Capuano, Michael E. (8th)                 NY – Weiner, Anthony D. (9th)
            CA – Filner, Bob (51st)                                                                                                                       WA – Dicks, Norman D. (6th)
                                                           MA – Lynch, Stephen F. (9th)                   NY – Towns, Edolphus (10th)
            CA – Davis, Susan A. (53rd)                                                                                                                   WA – McDermott, Jim (7th)
                                                           MA – Delahunt, William D. (10th)               NY – Clarke, Yvette D. (11th)
            CO – DeGette, Diana (1st)                                                                                                                     WA – Smith, Adam (9th)
                                                           MD – Sarbanes, John P. (3rd)                   NY – Velázquez, Nydia M. (12th)
            CO – Polis, Jared (2nd)                                                                                                                       WI – Baldwin, Tammy (2nd)
                                                           MD – Edwards, Donna F. (4th)                   NY – McMahon, Michael (13th)
            CO – Perlmutter, Ed (7th)                                                                                                                     WI – Moore, Gwen (4th)
                                                           MD – Hoyer, Steny H. (5th)                     NY – Maloney, Carolyn B. (14th)
            CT – Larson, John B. (1st)                                                                                                                    WI – Obey, David R. (7th)
                                                           MD – Cummings, Elijah E. (7th)                 NY – Rangel, Charles B. (15th)
            CT – Courtney, Joe (2nd)                                                                                                                      WI – Kagen, Steve (8th)
                                                           MD – Van Hollen, Chris (8th)                   NY – Serrano, José E. (16th)
            CT – DeLauro, Rosa L. (3rd)                    ME – Pingree, Chillee (1st)                    NY – Engel, Eliot L. (17th)
            CT – Himes, Jim (4th)                          ME – Michaud, Michael H. (2nd) +               NY – Lowey, Nita M. (18th)
            CT – Murphy, Christopher S. (5th)              MI – Stupak, Bart (1st)                        NY – Hall, John J. (19th)
            FL – Boyd, Allen (2nd) +                       MI – Kildee, Dale E. (5th)                     NY – Tonko, Paul (21st)
            FL – Brown, Corrine (3rd)                      MI – Levin, Sander M. (12th)                   NY – Hinchey, Maurice D. (22nd)
            FL – Castor, Kathy (11th)                      MI – Conyers, John Jr. (14th)                  NY – Arcuri, Michael A. (24th) +
            FL – Meek, Kendrick B. (17th) **               MI – Dingell, John D. (15th)                   NY – Higgins, Brian (27th)
            FL – Wexler, Robert (19th)                     MN – Walz, Timothy J. (1st)                    NY – Slaughter, Louise McIntosh (28th)
            FL – Wasserman Schultz, Debbie (20th)          MN – McCollum, Betty (4th)                     OH – Sutton, Betty (13th)




            AK – Young, Don (At Large)                      FL – Diaz-Balart, Lincoln (21st)              MI – McCotter, Thaddeus G. (11th)                SC – Wilson, Joe (2nd)
            AL – Bonner, Jo (1st)                           FL – Ros-Lehtinen, Ileana (18th)              MN – Kline, John (2nd)                           SC – Barrett, J. Gresham (3rd)
            AL – Bright, Bobby (2nd) +                      FL – Diaz-Balart, Mario (25th)                MN – Bachmann, Michele (6th)                     SC – Inglis, Bob (4th)
            AL – Rogers, Mike (3rd)                         GA – Kingston, Jack (1st)                     MO – Akin, W. Todd (2nd)                         TN – Roe, Phil (1st)
            AL – Aderholt, Robert B. (4th)                  GA – Westmoreland, Lynn A. (3rd)              MO – Graves, Sam (6th)                           TN – Duncan, John J. Jr.(2nd)
            AL – Bachus, Spencer (6th)                      GA – Price, Tom (6th)                         MO – Blunt, Roy (7th)                            TN – Wamp, Zach (3rd) **
            AL – Davis, Artur (7th) **                      GA – Linder, John (7th)                       MO – Emerson, Jo Ann (8th)                       TN – Blackburn, Marsha (7th)
            AR – Berry, Marion (1st) +                      GA – Deal, Nathan (9th)                       MO – Luetkemeyer, Blaine (9th)                   TX – Gohmert, Louie (1st)
            AR – Boozman, John (3rd)                        GA – Broun, Paul C. (10th)                    MS – Harper, Gregg (3rd)                         TX – Poe, Ted (2nd)
            AR – Ross, Mike (4th) +                         GA – Gingrey, Phil (11th)                     MS – Taylor, Gene (4th) +                        TX – Johnson, Sam (3rd)
            AZ – Franks, Trent (2nd)                        GA – Barrow, John (12th) +                    MT – Rehberg, Dennis R. (At Large)               TX – Hall, Ralph M. (4th)
            AZ – Shadegg, John B. (3rd)                     IA – Latham, Tom (4th)                        NC – Jones, Walter B. (3rd)                      TX – Hensarling, Jeb (5th)
            AZ – Flake, Jeff (6th)                          IA – King, Steve (5th)                        NC – Foxx, Virginia (5th)                        TX – Barton, Joe (6th)
            CA – Herger, Wally (2nd)                        ID – Minnick, Walt (1st) +                    NC – Coble, Howard (6th)                         TX – Culberson, John Abney (7th)
            CA – Lungren, Daniel E. (3rd)                   ID – Simpson, Michael K. (2nd)                NC – Myrick, Sue Wilkins (9th)                   TX – Brady, Kevin (8th)
            CA – McClintock, Tom (4th)                      IL – Roskam, Peter J. (6th)                   NC – McHenry, Patrick T. (10th)                  TX – McCaul, Michael T. (10th)
            CA – Radanovich, George (19th)                  IL – Costello, Jerry F. (12th)                ND – Pomeroy, Earl (At Large) +                  TX – Conaway, K. Michael (11th)
            CA – Nunes, Devin (21st)                                                                      NE – Fortenberry, Jeff (1st)                     TX – Granger, Kay (12th)
                                                            IL – Biggert, Judy (13th)
            CA – McCarthy, Kevin (22nd)                                                                   NE – Terry, Lee (2nd)                            TX – Thornberry, Mac (13th)
NO (174)




                                                            IL – Manzullo, Donald A. (16th)
            CA – Gallegly, Elton (24th)                                                                   NE – Smith, Adrian (3rd)                         TX – Paul, Ron (14th)
                                                            IL – Schock, Aaron (18th)
            CA – McKeon, Howard P. (25th)                                                                 NJ – Garrett, Scott (5th)                        TX – Neugebauer, Randy (19th)
                                                            IL – Shimkus, John (19th)
            CA – Dreier, David (26th)                                                                     NV – Heller, Dean (2nd)                          TX – Smith, Lamar (21st)
                                                            IN – Souder, Mark E. (3rd)
            CA – Royce, Edward R. (40th)                                                                  NY – King, Peter T. (3rd)                        TX – Olson, Peter (22nd)
                                                            IN – Buyer, Steve (4th)
            CA – Lewis, Jerry (41st)                                                                      NY – Lee, Chris (26th)                           TX – Marchant, Kenny (24th)
                                                            IN – Burton, Dan (5th)
            CA – Miller, Gary G. (42nd)                                                                   OH – Schmidt, Jean (2nd)                         TX – Burgess, Michael C. (26th)
                                                            IN – Pence, Mike (6th)
            CA – Calvert, Ken (44th)                                                                      OH – Jordan, Jim (4th)                           TX – Carter, John R. (31st)
            CA – Rohrabacher, Dana (46th)                   IN – Ellsworth, Brad (8th) +                                                                   TX – Sessions, Pete (32nd)
                                                                                                          OH – Latta, Robert E. (5th)
            CA – Campbell, John (48th)                      KS – Moran, Jerry (1st) **                                                                     UT – Bishop, Rob (1st)
                                                                                                          OH – Wilson, Charles A. (6th) +
            CA – Issa, Darrell E. (49th)                    KS – Jenkins, Lynn (2nd)                                                                       UT – Matheson, Jim (2nd) +
                                                                                                          OH – Boehner, John A. (8th)
            CA – Bilbray, Brian P. (50th)                   KS – Tiahrt, Todd (4th) **                                                                     UT – Chaffetz, Jason (3rd)
                                                                                                          OH – Kucinich, Dennis J. (10th)
            CA – Hunter, Duncan D. (52nd)                   KY – Whitfield, Ed (1st)                                                                       VA – Wittman, Robert J. (1st)
                                                            KY – Guthrie, Brett (2nd)                     OH – Tiberi, Patrick J. (12th)
            CO – Lamborn, Doug (5th)                                                                                                                       VA – Forbes, J. Randy (4th)
                                                            KY – Davis, Geoff (4th)                       OK – Sullivan, John (1st)
            CO – Coffman, Mike (6th)                                                                                                                       VA – Goodlatte, Bob (6th)
                                                            KY – Rogers, Harold (5th)                     OK – Boren, Dan (2nd) +
            FL – Miller, Jeff (1st)                                                                                                                        VA – Cantor, Eric (7th)
                                                            LA – Scalise, Steve (1st)                     OK – Lucas, Frank D. (3rd)
            FL – Crenshaw, Ander (4th)                                                                                                                     WA – Hastings, Doc (4th)
                                                            LA – Melancon, Charlie (3rd) +                OK – Cole, Tom (4th)
            FL – Brown-Waite, Ginny (5th)                                                                                                                  WA – McMorris Rodgers, Cathy (5th)
                                                            LA – Fleming, John (4th)                      OK – Fallin, Mary (5th)
            FL – Stearns, Cliff (6th)                                                                                                                      WI – Ryan, Paul (1st)
                                                            LA – Alexander, Rodney (5th)                  OR – Walden, Greg (2nd)
            FL – Mica, John L. (7th)                                                                                                                       WI – Sensenbrenner, F. James Jr. (5th)
                                                            LA – Cassidy, Bill (6th)                      PA – Altmire, Jason (4th) +
            FL – Bilirakis, Gus M. (9th)                                                                                                                   WV – Capito, Shelley Moore (2nd)
                                                            LA – Boustany, Charles W. Jr. (7th)           PA – Thompson, Glen (5th)
            FL – Young, C. W. Bill (10th)                                                                                                                  WV – Mollohan, Alan B. (1st)
                                                            MI – Hoekstra, Peter (2nd) #                  PA – Shuster, Bill (9th)
            FL – Putnam, Adam H. (12th) #                                                                                                                  WV – Rahall, Nick J. II (3rd)
                                                            MI – Camp, Dave (4th)                         PA – Pitts, Joseph R. (16th)
            FL – Mack, Connie (14th)                                                                                                                       WY – Lummis, Cynthia (At Large)
                                                            MI – Upton, Fred (6th)                        PA – Holden, Tim (17th) +
            FL – Posey, Bill (15th)                                                                       PA – Murphy, Tim (18th)
                                                            MI – Rogers, Mike (8th)
            FL – Rooney, Tom (16th)                         MI – Miller, Candice S. (10th)                SC – Brown, Henry E. Jr. (1st)



            LEGEND:                      Red: Republican | Blue: Democrat | Italics: Members of the House Energy and Commerce Committee
                                         ** Running for higher office | # Retiring | + Members of the Blue Dog Democratic Coalition | Bold: Won 2008 race by less than 60% | Underline: Freshman

				
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