Red Hat (RHT) Tumbles 10% on Billings Shortfall

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Red Hat shares are taking a hit after hours

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							Robert DeFrancesco’s
TechStockProspector.com
June 20, 2012


Red Hat (RHT) Tumbles 10% on Billings Shortfall
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Shares of Red Hat (RHT, $50.53 after hours), a provider of open source enterprise
software, are off more than 10% after hours because the company came in with
fiscal Q1 (ended May) billings of $310 million (+16% year over year), below the
consensus estimate of $319 million.

The drop in Red Hat is pulling down shares of other enterprise software vendors in
after-hours trading:

*VMware (VMW) -2.8% after hours
*Citrix Systems (CTXS) -2.3% after hours
*Tibco Software (TIBX) -1.8% after hours

Red Hat saw billings growth decelerate from 31% in fiscal Q4 and 28% growth in
the year-ago quarter. Management did say that bookings exceeded billings (a rare
event for a fiscal Q1), meaning some deals signed in the May quarter would get
billed in the current quarter.

Other key metrics topped expectations: Per-share earnings of 30 cents beat the
consensus by three cents and revenue of $314.7 million (+18.9% year over year)
was above the consensus of $310.7 million.

Cash flow from operations advanced 38% year over year to $124 million on strong
collections. Operating margin of 25.8% beat guidance because of top-line growth,
richer gross margin and slower-than-expected hiring.

Deferred revenue rose 16% year over year to $913 million. But short-term deferred
revenue ended the quarter down 4.1% sequentially to $682 million.
Red Hat’s 25 largest accounts renewed at 120% of their original contract values.
There were a record 25 deals worth more than $1 million each (including two
greater than $5 million), vs. 14 in the year-ago quarter. About 40% of these large
deals included a middleware component, with three being standalone middleware
deals.

For fiscal Q2, Red Hat sees revenue of $320 million to $322 million, below the
consensus of $330.8 million, on EPS of 28 cents to 29 cents, in line with the
consensus of 29 cents.

For updates during the trading day, follow Rob on Twitter: @TechStockRadar

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The June 2012 issue of Tech-Stock Prospector is available at
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Here are some of the topics covered in the June 2012 issue:

*Valuing Facebook
*LinkedIn balances growth & valuation
*Social media marketing M&A buzzes
*The Salesforce/Oracle battle goes social
*Bazaarvoice quickly bulks up
*Mobile Megatrend Update: Qualcomm
*Imperva builds its pipeline
*Splunk delivers strong results
*Zillow sees growth in rentals
*Finding value in former highflyer Riverbed Technology
*Signs of accelerated growth at Cornerstone OnDemand
*Sourcefire set for expansion in networking security
*Why Big Data needs Teradata
*Infoblox knows your network
*A Yahoo sum-of-parts valuation
*TSP Deal Report: Citrix expands in mobile infrastructure

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Tech-Stock Prospector Managing Editor Rob DeFrancesco has more than 20
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