MarketAark : The Sri Lankan Defense Industry: Market Opportunities and Entry Strategies, Analyses

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					            The Sri Lankan Defense Industry Market Opportunities and Entry
                       Strategies, Analyses and Forecasts to 2016

Sri Lanka is expected to invest US$7.07 billion on its armed forces during the forecast period

London, June 6th, 2012 – The Sri Lankan defense expenditure grew at a CAGR of 10.12% during the
review period to value an estimated US$1.42 billion in 2012. During the forecast period, the
country’s defense expenditure is expected to be driven by factors such as post war rehabilitation, a
tense relationship with India and a persistent threat from separatists. However, military expenditure
is expected to record a decrease in growth of -0.10% CAGR and remain at US$1.41 billion by 2016. As
a result of a decrease in overall defense expenditure, the country’s defense budget as a percentage
of GDP is also expected to decline from 2.65% in 2011 to 1.44% in 2016 (reference see graph below).


                           1.80                                                                                  45%




                                                                                                                       Defense expenditure growth rate (%)
                           1.60                                                                                  40%
 Defense budget (US$ bn)




                           1.40                                                                                  35%
                                                                                                                 30%
                           1.20
                                                                                                                 25%
                           1.00
                                                                                                                 20%
                           0.80
                                                                                                                 15%
                           0.60
                                                                                                                 10%
                           0.40                                                                                  5%
                           0.20                                                                                  0%
                           0.00                                                                                  -5%
                                  2007                2008         2009              2010               2011

                                         Capital expenditure   Revenue expenditure          Defense growth (%)



Sri Lanka is expected to invest US$7.07 billion in its armed forces, of which US$0.33 billion is forecast
to be on the acquisition of military hardware, offering foreign OEMs limited opportunities to cater to
the Sri Lankan defense industry. Furthermore, during the civil war the country procured weapons by
taking loans, and therefore over the next five years a portion of military expenditure will be spent on
the repayment of existing loans.

Incidents of malpractice within the country’s military industrial base may limit the growth of the
country’s defense sector. In addition to damaging the country’s image in the global arms market, it
also discourages foreign OEMs from market entry.

As a result of a lack of domestic defense capabilities, Sri Lanka is dependent on foreign suppliers to
meet its military requirements. Arms imports, which registered increase during 2008, are further
decreased due to a portion of the nation’s capital expenditure being used to repay the loans taken
out by the government during the civil war.

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