VP spreadsheet by jmgNPZf2

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									                                                   Potential VP choices - My Rankings
 (Prev) Rank First Name Last Name       Position


1st     1st Brian      Schweitzer   (Gov-MT)


9th     2nd Al         Gore         (Fmr VP-US)




2nd     3rd Kathleen   Sebelius     (Gov-KS)


4th     4th Bill       Richardson (Gov-NM)

3rd     5th Sherrod    Brown        (Sen-OH)

14th    6th Wes        Clark        (Gen-AR)

6th     7th Claire     McCaskill    (Sen-MO)

8th     8th John       Edwards      (Fmr Sen-NC)



5th     9th Jim        Webb         (Sen-VA)

7th     10th Tim       Kaine        (Gov-VA)


11th    11th Russ      Feingold     (Sen-WI)




10th    12th Janet     Napolitano   (Gov-AZ)


12th    13th Ted       Strickland   (Gov-OH)



15th    14th Hillary   Clinton      (Sen-NY)

20th    15th Joe       Biden        (Sen-DE)


13th    16th Michael   Bloomberg    (Mayor-NYC)
    -   17th Patty     Murray       (Sen-WA)
16th     18th Tom         Daschle      (Fmr Sen-ND)

17th     19th Bill        Ritter       (Gov-CO)
    -    20th Evan        Bayh         (Sen-IN)
18th       - Nancy        Pelosi       (Rep-CA)
-             Chris       Dodd         (Sen-CT)

              Sam         Nunn         (Fmr Sen-GA)

              Tim         Roemer       (Fmr Rep-IN)
              Lee         Hamilton

              Chuck       Hagel        (Sen-NE)


CRITERIA, IN VERY APPROXIMATE ORDER OF PRIORITY
+ (Should Be)                         - (Should Not Be)
Liberal / Progressive                 Conservative
Swing / Red State, Regional Strengths Blue State, Regional Weaknesses
Demographics - Race, Gender, Age?     Demographics - Race, Gender, Age?
Charismatic / Good Surrogate          Boring / Ugly / Awkward / Wonky
Democrat                              Republican/other
Obama Supporter                       Clinton Supporter
Always Anti-War                       Formerly Pro-War
Post-Partisan / Change and Hope       Partisan / Cynical
Governor                              Senator/Representative/other
Military/Foreign Policy Experience    None
Environment/Green Credibility         None
Other Domestic Policy Strength        None
Interested in being VP                Uninterested


NOTES
ELECTORAL STRENGTH OF TICKET:

CAPABILITY / FUTURE PRESIDENTIAL POTENTIAL:

REINFORCING vs. COMPENSATING CHOICES:
                                  Potential VP choices - My Rankings
                                      Strengths

Charismatic, Western, Red State Democratic Governor, anti-war, post-partisan,
green credibility
Southern, progressive Democratic Party Leader, former presidential candidate, major
gravitas on experience, foreign affairs, maximum green credibility, anti-war before it
was cool, formerly Clinton White House, so reconciles a little w/ Clintons
Western female Red State Democrat and vocal Obama supporter, post-partisan,
loved by Republicans in home state, governor, courageously blocked coal power
plants and voter suppression laws and has consistently balanced budgets, winning
fiscal praise.

Hispanic, western Red State Democrat and vocal Obama supporter, can deliver
home state, governor, strong credibility on energy and foreign policy
Progressive, (critical) Swing State Democrat, reinforces change/hope message, post-
partisan
Southern Democrat, strong military and foreign policy cred, strong Clinton supporter
(way to reconcile with the Clintons), handsome
Female Swing State Democrat, reinforces change/hope message, post-partisan,
strong Obama supporter, charismatic
Reinforces change/outside Washington message, strong in poor/low educ/ white
male demographic, charismatic & good-looking, already vetted w/ no scandals
Very strong on military/foreign policy, knows how to resist swiftboating/strong
surrogate, puts McCain on defensive among southern/white/low education
demographics, reinforces change message, Kaine can appoint D replacement to seat
til election

Red State Governor, strong surrogate/campaigner, reinforces change message
Champion of progressive issues in congress, competent and passionate on the
stump and on the hill, credible successor in 2016, can almost certainly deliver his
home state, emphasizes change/hope. Consistent anti-war record.


Female Red State governor, effectively counters McCain's southwest strength and
puts him on defensive in AZ, strong on domestic issues, fiscal discipline, law and
order.

Popular (critical) swing-state governor - the archetype for an ideal consensus low-risk
VP pick. Reinforces change message, could run in 2016.
Hard to evaluate objectively in light of campaign and political factors - female, party
unity candidate, progressive, strong on domestic healthcare policy and national
security issues, bulldog surrogate/campaigner, seems interested in being VP and has
been vetted over decades and by primary process.
Popular, strong on foreign policy and national security issues, bulldog
surrogate/campaigner, engaging debater, wants the job, supports Obama

Popular, fiscally credible socially progressive Republican with executive experience,
strongly advances change/hope/postpartisan messaging,
Popular, experienced liberal female legislator
               Red State legislator, influential and very experienced in Washington, may be able to
               deliver home state or other plains state, well-vetted, competent surrogate, strong
               Obama supporter
               Swing-state Democratic governor, reinforces Western strategy and can probably
               deliver home state, change and hope

               Doesn't make my Top 20
               Doesn't make my Top 20

               Unacceptable / doesn't make my Top 20

               Unacceptable / doesn't make my Top 20
               Unacceptable / doesn't make my Top 20

               Unacceptable / doesn't make my Top 20




e State, Regional Weaknesses
mographics - Race, Gender, Age?
ing / Ugly / Awkward / Wonky




nator/Representative/other




               VP should help Obama win electoral votes, or at least not hurt his chances to win them

               VP should make a good president someday, next election or if Obama leaves office

               One mystery factor beyond "help Obama win" and "be a good president someday" is that some believe it's best to pick a VP that reinforces Obama's s
               think it's best to pick a VP that compensates for Obama's (perceived) weaknesses.

               For many of the criteria above, an item is in the + column for a "reinforcing" VP pick and in the - column for a "compensating" one (and vice versa). I'm list
               interpret them, based on my own hypothesis about what factors are more important.

               For instance, picking an old, white female Clinton supporter is good if you want to balance, bad if you want to reinforce.

               In general, I lean toward the notion of "reinforcing," mostly because I strongly support Obama himself and would rather have "two Obamas" then "an Obam
               finds a candidate who achieves healthy mixture of advantageous/electorally critical reinforcing and compensating characteristics, and who als
               from 2016-2024!
ankings
                                              Weaknesses
          White male, conservative on some issues (fiscal, gays, guns), low name
          recognition, probably can't deliver home state, limited foreign policy experience,
          supports coal liquifaction

          Boring, white male, expressed disinterest, brings baggage from frustrating 2000
          election performance, can't deliver home state, said he isn't interested


          Boring SOTU, conservative on some issues, low name recognition, weirdly like
          Obama's Kansas white Mom, no foreign policy experience
          Hispanic? Conservative on gays and guns, boring and trips up speaking
          frequently, unattractive appearance. Possibly has extramarital scandal in the
          closet somewhere, no one's sure.
          White male senator, inexperienced, no foreign policy experience, lose a Senate
          seat and is needed there, said he isn't interested
          Clinton supporter, white male, conservative on some issues? No elected or
          domestic policy experience
          No military / foreign policy experience, Senator w/o executive experience, recently
          elected, no green cred, loses a Senate Seat and is needed there.
          White male senator, out of office, probably couldn't deliver home state, no foreign
          policy experience, formerly supported war

          White male senator, very recently elected (like Obama), kind of sexist, maybe too
          aggressive, we may lose a tough Senate seat, he may not be able to deliver home
          state
          White male, no easy replacement of Governor spot, very recently
          elected/inexperienced, probably can't deliver home state

          Twice-divorced liberal white male, Jewish. Really valuable in the Senate, maybe
          more valuable there.
          Likely closet lesbian - distraction from issues/campaign. Uncharismatic.
          Conservative on immigration / a few social issues. As cool as it is to hit race,
          gender and sexual orientation issues in one ticket, she probably can't deliver
          home state w/ McCain in it - and anyway, she can run for his Senate seat when he
          dies/retires (or god forbid, wins).
          Somewhat conservative, Ohioans want him to stay, maybe can't deliver home
          state (like Edwards), said he isn't interested, Hilary supporter, recently
          elected/inexperienced.
          Loathed by many conservatives and liberals alike, may portray Obama as weak to
          have to select opponent, clear personality conflicts and mutual dislike between
          them, home state already in the bag, voted for the war and has compounded that
          mistake with Iran, highly partisan/cynical, another senator.
          White male senator, can be too aggressive/angry, formerly pro-war,
          partisan/cynical doesn't reinforce change/hope message
          Republican. Physically underwhelming, lower name recognition, may cede moral
          ground to Republican party indirectly, could become Republican president in
          2016, electorally helpful only (possibly) in Florida
          Senator, blue state, doesn't add to change message
                   Does nothing for change/hope message, cynical, lost important election already,
                   probably too old to run in 2016

                   Inexperienced, limited national stage recognition, no foreign policy

                   Offers no electoral advantages whatsoever, needed in House, too old in 2016
                   Offers no electoral advantages whatsoever, needed in Senate, too old in 2016
                   Defense of Marriage Act, can't deliver home state, out of office too long, flirted with
                   Unity '08.
                   Low name recognition, out of office too long, can't deliver home state,
                   conservative.
                   Low name recognition, out of office too long, conservative.
                   Extremely, dangerously social conservative Republican. Just happens to be
                   strongly anti-war.




 ances to win them

ma leaves office

 t someday" is that some believe it's best to pick a VP that reinforces Obama's strengths and message, while others
 ed) weaknesses.

cing" VP pick and in the - column for a "compensating" one (and vice versa). I'm listing strengths and weaknesses as I
ore important.

 ou want to balance, bad if you want to reinforce.

 rongly support Obama himself and would rather have "two Obamas" then "an Obama and an anti-". Best case scenario
 electorally critical reinforcing and compensating characteristics, and who also paves the way for another 8 years

								
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