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CNC Machine Tool Assembly.ppt

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					CNC Machine Tool Assembly
         Opportunities & Possibilities




EDB, August 5, 2006
                CNC Machine Tool Assembly
     • Provides the base of strong & growing
         economies
     • Industrial growth
     • Competitiveness enhancement
WHY??•   Economical production of standardized products
     • MT industry has not evolved with the trends
     • Rapid Industrial Growth calls for change
          0.5 million cars by year 2010
          1 million motorcycles by 2010
          Growth in domestic appliances
            manufacturing
                                   CNC Machine Tool Assembly

               Forecast for Car Production
600,000                                                                                512,000
500,000                                                                            430,000
400,000                                                   338,000
                                                    260,000
300,000                                       200,000
200,000                                 149,973
                                  113,647
100,000   46,678      49,062 74,570
      0
                   00/01

                           01/02

                                   02/03

                                           03/04

                                                   04/05

                                                           05/06

                                                                   06/07

                                                                           07/08

                                                                                      08/09

                                                                                              09/10
    Current Performance: Since 2002 Automobile market is growing by
     over 40% every year.
    Future Expectations: If we can keep yearly increase by 30% in next
     5 years,
                                CNC Machine Tool Assembly

                      Motorcycle Production Forecast
                                                                                   1,000,000
1,000,000
                                                                         900,000
 900,000
                                                               800,000
 800,000
                                                     700,000
 700,000                                  650,000

 600,000
                                500,000
 500,000
 400,000              365,000

 300,000
            176,591
 200,000
 100,000
            1
       0
            2002-03



                      2003-04



                                2004-05



                                           2005-06



                                                     2006-07



                                                               2007-08



                                                                         2008-09



                                                                                    2009-10
                                                   CNC Machine Tool Assembly
                                                                                     Refrigerators
                                                                                                                         784,561
                                                  800,000

                                                  700,000

 Growth                                           600,000
                                                                                                               617,439



 Trend in                                         500,000

                                                                                                373,000

 Domestic
                                                  400,000
                                                                                     311,189
                                                  300,000                 272,352


 Appliances                                       200,000
                                                         211,514



                                                  100,000

                                                           0
                                                                  2000       2001        2002         2003      2004        2005


                                                        178,970      200,000                                                198,099
180,000
                            Deep Freezer                             180,000                    Air conditioners
160,000
                                                                     160,000
140,000
                                                                     140,000
120,000                                       111,059
                                                                     120,000
100,000                              86,595
          76,033   77,616   77,749                                   100,000
 80,000
                                                                         80,000                                    64,421
 60,000
                                                                         60,000                        50,000
 40,000                                                                             31,706   32,000
                                                                         40,000
 20,000
                                                                         20,000
     0
          2000     2001     2002     2003     2004      2005                 0
                                                                                  2000       2001       2002      2004      2005
                    CNC Machine Tool Assembly

Only production of 0.5 million cars will require

      Machining of
         65,000 Tons of Ferrous Castings

         15,000 Tons of Forgings

         40,000 Tons of Aluminum Castings

         Dies & Molds for Plastic & Rubber Parts

      Production of 60,000 Tons of Plastic Parts

      Production of 32,000 Tons of Rubber Parts
            CNC Machine Tool Assembly

           CNC Machine Tools
            CNC Turning Centers
THE NEED !! CNC Machining Centers
           Pressure Die Casting
            Machines
           Injection Molding
            Machines
                             CNC Machine Tool Assembly

THE FORECAST
    Projected CNC Machine Tool Population Requirements based on
                    AAGR of 2002-03 ~ 2004-05
                                                                    152,460
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
 80,000
                                                           57,415
 60,000
 40,000
                                                  22,616
 20,000                           4,122   9,413
           357     720    1,825
     0
          2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10
                                                 CNC Machine Tool Assembly
                                                                        CNC Horizontal Lathes (8458.1100)
                                                                          Based on AAGR 34%(2002-05)

          Machining Centres (8457.1000)                         2,500                                                     1,932
          Based on AAGR 114% (2002-05)                          2,000                                            1,445
                                                                1,500                                    1,080
14,000                                                                                     603   807
                                                         12,754 1,000               451
12,000                                                            500   252   228
10,000                                                              0
 8,000
                                                 5,959                  2002- 2003- 2004- 2005- 2006- 2007- 2008- 2009-
 6,000
                                                                         03    04    05    06    07    08    09    10
 4,000
                                         2,784                              Other CNC Lathes (8458.9100)
 2,000                           1,301
          62    87   284   608                                             Based on AAGR 193% (2002-05)
    0
                                                               90,000
         2002- 2003- 2004- 2005- 2006- 2007- 2008- 2009-                                                                  80,359
                                                               80,000
          03    04    05    06    07    08    09    10
                                                               70,000
                                                               60,000
                                                               50,000
                                                               40,000
                                                               30,000                                            27,395

                                                               20,000
                                                                                                         9,339
                                                               10,000
                                                                         43    48    370   1,085 3,184
                                                                    0
                                                                        2002- 2003- 2004- 2005- 2006- 2007- 2008- 2009-
                                                                         03    04    05    06    07    08    09    10
                          CNC Machine Tool Assembly
The Incentives by GOP
 EDB, realizing the need, recommended the initiatives for promotion
  of CNC Machine Tool Assembly in Pakistan.
 CBR, in acknowledgement of these recommendations, announced
  the following incentives for CNC Machine Tool Assemblers

                                        SRO 565(I)/2006
  No             Description             Exemp. Items   Exemp. level
       CNC machinery for metal cutting
          & Forming:                     Raw
  1    a. Machining Centers (All Type)   Materials,
       b.Turning Centers (All Type)      Sub
       c. Others;                        Components, 0% Add Value
                                         Components
  2    CNC Plastic Injection Moldings    & Sub
  3    CNC Blow Molding                  assemblies
  4    CNC Extrusion Lines;
          CNC Machine Tool Assembly


 Business Action-Reaction

• Tariff Base is set
• Opportunities are to be
  seized by enterprising
  businessmen
         CNC Machine Tool Assembly
     Choice
         Foreign LOGO
         OWN LOGO
     Joint Ventures
         May get some Technical Help
         Driven by Principal
HOW??    No Recognition of OWN Brand
     Technical Collaboration
         Heavy Fees for Technology Transfer
         Easy and short way to get Technology

     Assemble by Ourselves
         Development of Own Logo
         Financially more feasible
                  CNC Machine Tool Assembly

                 Your OWN Brand Name
                 Gain on Freight
                 Gain on Assembly

Advantages of    Closeness to customers

  Assembly       After-sales Service

                 Export potential

                 Transition from Low to High Tech product

                 Get rid of USED MACHINERY SYNDROME
                   CNC Machine Tool Assembly

Integration --- The buzz word             LEGO

   Coolant
                                        Head Stock
   System             Bed + Base
   Hydraulic
                                        Tail Stock
    System

    Power
                   CNC Turning Center    Carriage
   supplies

  Lubrication                           Tool Post /
   System                                 Turret

Air conditioning
                        Controls          Cover
     System
CNC Machine Tool Assembly
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CNC Machine Tool Assembly
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CNC Machine Tool Assembly
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CNC Machine Tool Assembly
CNC Machine Tool Assembly




              Courtesy: UTS(EMCO)
                                        CNC Machine Tool Assembly
Global Scenario
               Top CNC Machine Tool Consumers for 2005
                                        (Value in US$ Bil.)

           12.00       10.90
           10.00
                                7.53
             8.00
                                         5.82    5.31
             6.00
                                                          3.66    3.29
             4.00
                                                                          2.19
             2.00

             0.00




                                                                          Taiwan
                       China

                                Japan




                                                Germany
                                         US




                                                          Korea

                                                                  Italy
Source: Gardner web Machine Tool Survey 2006
                                       CNC Machine Tool Assembly
            Top CNC Machine Tool Importers for 2005
                                        (Value in US$ Bil.)

                        6.7
              7.00
              6.00
              5.00
              4.00               3.78
              3.00
                                          2.01           2
              2.00                                               1.52
                                                                           1.22     1.09
              1.00
              0.00
                                                                  Taiwan
                         China




                                               Germany
                                 United




                                                                                     France
                                                         Korea




                                                                            Italy
                                 States




Source: Gardner web Machine Tool Survey 2006
                                           CNC Machine Tool Assembly

             Top Exporters of CNC Machine Tools for 2005
                                           (Value in US$ Bil.)
            7.00 6.46
                               6.21
            6.00
            5.00
            4.00
                                            2.81      2.63
            3.00
                                                                2.27
            2.00
                                                                            1.15 1.12
            1.00
            0.00
                                                       Taiwan
                       Japan


                                 Germany




                                                                 Switzer.




                                                                                     US
                                                                             Korea
                                              Italy




Source: Gardner web Machine Tool Survey 2006
                     CNC Machine Tool Assembly
STRATEGY           Stage 1
                     Import in SKD form
How to start         Gain experience in assembling
integration        Stage 2
                     Develop components locally
                             Sheet metal Shroud
                             Castings ( Bed )
                     Outsource different parts from
                       international suppliers/manufacturers


                      Foundry & Casting Facilities
Our Capabilities      Metal Forming Facilities
                      Availability of Manpower and
                       Expertise in form of retrofitters
                     CNC Machine Tool Assembly

EDBs’ Assistance

• Handholding of interested businessmen
• Registration of CNC Machine Tool Assemblers
• Advisory Service
• Arrangement of Technical Consultants
      CNC Machine Tool Assembly


     Evolve
         or
Join the Dinosaurs
Thank You!!
CNC Machine Tool Assembly
CNC Machine Tool Assembly

				
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