Current Situation of the Retail Payment System in the USA: The

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							                                                                  Richard R. Oliver
                          Rich Oliver is an Executive Vice President with the Federal Reserve
                          Bank of Atlanta and has been with the Bank since 1973.
                          Since 1998, he has served as Retail Payments Product Manager for
                          the Federal Reserve System. In this capacity, he has responsibility
                          for managing the Fed’s check and ACH businesses nationwide.
                          Earlier in his career, Mr. Oliver served as planning analyst,
                          Administrator of the Automated Clearing House, Chairman of the
                          Federal Reserve's Electronic Payments Implementation Task Force,
                          Manager and Officer in Charge of Software Development, Vice
                          President in charge of Automation Services, the Federal Reserve
System’s Product Manager for Electronic Payments Services, officer in charge of business
development and check software, and Staff Director for the Federal Reserve System’s Policy
Committee for Financial Services, where he was responsible for coordinating integrated financial
management, project management, and strategic planning for all the Federal Reserve’s
payments services nationwide. He also serves on the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's
Management Committee. Mr. Oliver holds a B.S. in Mathematics from the University of Nevada,
an M.S. in Information and Computer Science from Georgia Tech, and an M.B.A. in Management
from Georgia State University.
                       Décima Conferencia Internacional de Sistemas de Pagos
            Current Situation of the
       Retail Payment System in the USA
       -The 2007 Federal Reserve Payments Study-
                     Richard Oliver
Executive Vice President, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
    Federal Reserve Retail Payments Product Office

             Décima Conferencia Internacional de Sistemas de Pagos
                   Ciudad de México, 12 y 13 de Mayo 2008
                                Current Situation of the Retail Payment
                                System in the USA

Payments in the United States
Historical Perspective

Checks and credit cards were the main types of
non-cash retail payments in the United States
until the 1970s when ATM and Automated
Clearing House (ACH) options evolved nationwide
Debit cards became popular in the late 1990s
All payments alternatives grew continuously until
the late 1990s
The pace of change has been slow

       Décima Conferencia Internacional de Sistemas de Pagos
                                   Current Situation of the Retail Payment
                                   System in the USA


Managing More Rapid Change

  As the pace of change became faster, business
profitability became more challenging
  No accurate studies of the payments system as a
whole, and the check system more specifically, had
been done since 1979
  In 2000, the Federal Reserve, as the largest
processor of check and ACH payments, decided to
conduct a valid study and share the results with the
whole industry

          Décima Conferencia Internacional de Sistemas de Pagos
                                   Current Situation of the Retail Payment
                                   System in the USA


Purpose of Study
Define and understand recent trends in the use of
noncash retail payment instruments

  Estimate the annual number and value of check
  and electronic payments in the United States
  Better understand the composition of the check
  market (who writes checks to whom and why)
  Measure the pace of migration from paper-based
  to electronic payments


          Décima Conferencia Internacional de Sistemas de Pagos
                                     Current Situation of the Retail Payment
                                     System in the USA


Scope and Methodology
  The 2007 Payments Study included three
research efforts:

   A Depository Institutions (DI) Payments Study
   An Electronic Payments (EP) Study
   A Check Sample (CS) Study

•The study methodologies from the 2001 and 2004
studies were repeated in order to ensure
comparability with those studies.

            Décima Conferencia Internacional de Sistemas de Pagos
                                                   Current Situation of the Retail Payment
                                                   System in the USA

                     Number of Noncash Retail Payments
                                                                                          CAGR
                   2000           2003           2006               2000 - 2003                  2003 - 2006


Total (billions)   72.5          81.4          93.                           3.9%                      4.6%
                                               3
Checks (paid)      41.9          37.3          30.6               -3.8%                      -6.4%

Debit card          8.3          15.6          25.3                                23.5%                 17.5%

  Signature         5.3          10.3          16.0                                24.9%                15.8%

  PIN               3.0            5.3           9.4                               21.0%                 20.6%

Credit card        15.6          19.0          21.7                         6.7%                      4.6%

ACH                 6.2            8.8         14.6                           12.1%                      18.6%

EBT                 0.5            0.8           1.1                              15.4%                10.0%



                          Décima Conferencia Internacional de Sistemas de Pagos
                                              Current Situation of the Retail Payment
                                              System in the USA

               Distribution of Noncash Retail Payments
          2003 Number                                                        2006 Number
                          Debit card
                                                                Checks                         Debit card
Checks                 19%
                                                                (paid)                   27%
(paid)                                                                   33%
         46%
         46%
                          23%
                                Credit card                              1%
                 1%                                              EBT                 23%
                                                                          16%
                  11%                                                                   Credit card
               EBT ACH                                                 ACH


           2003 Value                                                         2006 Value
                                                                Checks
                             Debit card
Checks                   1%                                     (paid)       55%
(paid)    61%             3% Credit card                                                  1% Debit card
                                                                                          3% Credit card
                        36%                                              0%
                0%
                1%             ACH                               EBT
                                                                                 41%
               EBT                                                                 ACH

                     Décima Conferencia Internacional de Sistemas de Pagos
                                                   Current Situation of the Retail Payment
                                                   System in the USA

                          A Closer Look at Check Payments
                                                                                          CAGR
                   2000           2003           2006               2000 - 2003                  2003 - 2006


Total (billions)   72.5          81.4          93.3                          3.9%                      4.6%

Checks (paid) 41.9               37.3          30.6           -3.8%                        -6.4%
Debit card          8.3          15.6          25.3                                23.5%                 17.5%

   Signature        5.3          10.3          16.0                                24.9%                15.8%

   PIN              3.0            5.3           9.4                               21.0%                 20.6%

Credit card        15.6          19.0          21.7                         6.7%                      4.6%

ACH                 6.2            8.8         14.6                           12.1%                      18.6%

EBT                 0.5            0.8           1.1                              15.4%                10.0%



                          Décima Conferencia Internacional de Sistemas de Pagos
                                  Current Situation of the Retail Payment
                                  System in the USA

Check Usage
Survey results are based on the checks paid by the
customer’s bank (paying bank)
Estimates are based on a two month sample of over
1400 financial institutions
The number of checks paid is different than the
number of checks written because of the possibility
that some checks can be converted to ACH debits for
the purpose of collection
The Check Truncation Act (Check 21) was adopted in
2004 and allows collecting banks to truncate their
checks and exchange check images for collection
Most banks offer both Check 21 and ACH conversion
services
         Décima Conferencia Internacional de Sistemas de Pagos
                                                          Current Situation of the Retail Payment
                                                          System in the USA

                               A Closer Look at Checks Written

Number of checks written, paid, and converted to ACH                              CAGR      Total change
(billions)                                                                      (2003-06)     (billions)
               37.6
      0.3
                                     33.1        Checks written                   -4.1%         -4.5
                           2.6                   Converted to ACH*                98.7%         2.2



               37.3
                                     30.6              Checks paid                -6.4%         -6.7




               2003                  2006

       Figures may not add due to rounding.
    * Other forms of check conversion exist, but their volumes are insignificant.
                               Décima Conferencia Internacional de Sistemas de Pagos
                                                           Current Situation of the Retail Payment
                                                           System in the USA

                               Composition of the Check Market
   2006 distribution of checks by counterparty and purpose
   Percent of sampled population of checks*

       51%
                                                                                 –     Representative random
                                                     Remittance
                                                                                       sample of over 32,000
                                                     Remit/POS                         checks.
                                                     POS
      32%                                                                        –     Sample population is about
                                                     Income                            40% of “prime pass” checks.
                     25%
                                                     Casual
                                                                                 –     Consumers write 58% of
                                   17%                                                 checks paid.
       6%           16%

                                                7%                               –     Businesses/government
      13%            5%                                                                receive 76% of checks paid.
                     3%
       C2B           B2B           B2C         C2C
“B” refers to business or government.
Figures may not add due to rounding.
   * Population is “prime pass” checks processed by nine large commercial banks. Estimates exclude 0.2% of checks that
     could not be classified.
                               Décima Conferencia Internacional de Sistemas de Pagos
                                                   Current Situation of the Retail Payment
                                                   System in the USA

                            A Closer Look at Card Payments
                                                                                      CAGR
                   2000           2003           2006               2000 - 2003              2003 - 2006


Total (billions)   72.5          81.4          93.3                          3.9%                  4.6%

Checks (paid)      41.9          37.3          30.6               -3.8%                    -6.4%

Debit card          8.3          15.6          25.3                               23.5%              17.5%
   Signature        5.3          10.3          16.0                                24.9%            15.8%
   PIN              3.0            5.3           9.4                              21.0%              20.6%
Credit card        15.6          19.0          21.7                         6.7%                   4.6%

ACH                 6.2            8.8         14.6                           12.1%                  18.6%

EBT                 0.5            0.8           1.1                              15.4%            10.0%


                          Décima Conferencia Internacional de Sistemas de Pagos
                                                     Current Situation of the Retail Payment
                                                     System in the USA

                               Debit Card Payments by Type

Number of debit card payments                                           CAGR       Total change
(billions)                                                            (2003-06)      (billions)


                                    25.3       Debit card               17.5%           9.7


                                     9.4       PIN                      20.6%           4.0
                15.6

                 5.3


                                    16.0       Signature                15.8%           5.7
                10.3



                2003                2006

   Figures may not add due to rounding.

                           Décima Conferencia Internacional de Sistemas de Pagos
                               Current Situation of the Retail Payment
                               System in the USA


                   Prepaid Cards


Payment Instrument                 Number                 Value
                                  (millions)           ($ billions)

Closed loop prepaid                       3,077                36.3
Open loop prepaid                            322               13.3
Government prepaid                             88               3.2




      Décima Conferencia Internacional de Sistemas de Pagos
                                                   Current Situation of the Retail Payment
                                                   System in the USA

                          A Closer Look at ACH Payments
                                                                                          CAGR
                   2000           2003           2006               2000 - 2003                  2003 - 2006


Total (billions)   72.5          81.4          93.3                          3.9%                      4.6%

Checks (paid)      41.9          37.3          30.6               -3.8%                      -6.4%

Debit card          8.3          15.6          25.3                                23.5%                 17.5%

   Signature        5.3          10.3          16.0                                24.9%                15.8%

   PIN              3.0            5.3           9.4                               21.0%                 20.6%

Credit card        15.6          19.0          21.7                         6.7%                      4.6%

ACH                 6.2            8.8         14.6                           12.1%                      18.6%

EBT                 0.5            0.8           1.1                              15.4%                10.0%



                          Décima Conferencia Internacional de Sistemas de Pagos
                                                     Current Situation of the Retail Payment
                                                     System in the USA

                                A Closer Look at ACH Payments

Number of ACH payments
(billions)                                                                     CAGR         Total change
                                                                             (2003-06)        (billions)


                                         14.6    ACH payments                   18.6%           5.8
                                         2.6     Converted checks               98.7%           2.2


                   8.8
        0.3

                                         12.0    Other ACH                          12.6%       3.6
                   8.4




                  2003                   2006
  Figures may not add due to rounding.

                            Décima Conferencia Internacional de Sistemas de Pagos
                                 Current Situation of the Retail Payment
                                 System in the USA


                         2007 View
Electronic payments today comprise over two-
thirds of all noncash retail payments
Card payments are now over half of all noncash
retail payments
Debit cards are now used more frequently than
credit cards
The number of checks continues to decline, and at
a more rapid rate
Check clearing is increasingly electronic

Biggest share of checks remaining are consumer
to business
        Décima Conferencia Internacional de Sistemas de Pagos
                                 Current Situation of the Retail Payment
                                 System in the USA

                     Conclusions
Payments are being made electronically and more
paper payments are being processed electronically

Results underscore the importance of check
electronification and other innovations that improve
payments system efficiency

Payment instruments and the preferences of
consumers and businesses will continue to evolve

Market intelligence is increasingly important and
payments system participants must carefully manage
assets and resources


        Décima Conferencia Internacional de Sistemas de Pagos
                               Current Situation of the Retail Payment
                               System in the USA




     Gracias por su interés

 Detailed reports on the three studies are
 available at www.frbservices.org


¿Preguntas?



      Décima Conferencia Internacional de Sistemas de Pagos

						
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