sf_Canada_1_

							  2005 SEOUL SEMINAR
   CANADIAN SUNSET
     PRESENTATION
                   by
              Reagan Walker


2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION
 Anti-dumping Initiations 1995-2004
                           Country                    Number

         1                   India                       383
         2                   USA                         350
         3                    EU                         298
         4                Argentina                      187
         5              South Africa                     172
         6                Australia                      165
         7                 Canada                        127
         8                  Brazil                       114
         9                  China                         83
        10                 Turkey                         77

       Source: Stevenson, Cliff & Filippi, Ilaria. Global Trade
       Protection Report – Update 2004
       (Mayer Brown Rowe: January 2005)


2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION
Anti-dumping Initiations 2002-2004 (Q2)
                          Country     Number

          1                 India      131
          2                 USA         93
          3                 China       63
          4                Turkey       42
          5                  EU         40
          6             South Korea     29
          7                Mexico       27
          8               Australia     26
          9               Thailand      26
         10                Canada       24

        Source: Stevenson & Filippi


 2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION
Major users of anti-subsidy investigations
            1995-2004 (Q2)
                          Country      Number

         1             United States     69
         2                   EU          42
         3                Canada         15
         4              South Africa     11
         5                Australia      6
         6             New Zealand       6
         7               Argentina       5
         8                  Chile        4
         9                 Egypt         4
         10                 Peru         3
         Source: Stevenson & Filippi


 2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION
  Imports Affected from 1995-2004
         (Preliminary Data)

         Total Canadian Imports                     Imports Affected
    Year       ($ million)                          ($ million) (%)

    1995        204,275                             1,108       0.54
    1996        209,057                             1,001       0.48
    1997        247,830                             1,049       0.42
    1998        271,123                               883       0.33
    1999        290,252                               873       0.30
    2000        322,666                             1,163       0.36
    2001        307,670                             1,211       0.39
    2002        311,659                             1,113       0.36
    2003        303,894                             1,022       0.34
    2004        323,296                             1,021       0.32


     Source: Tribunal Research Branch Database and Statistics Canada



2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION
           Formation of the CITT
      January 1, 1989             January 1, 1994

Canadian Import Tribunal
            +
       Tariff Board
            +
Textile & Clothing Board
                                   Procurement
                                   Review Board



            Canadian International Trade Tribunal


 2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION
              CITT’S Mandate

             Injury Sunset Review
             Safeguards: Global, China
             Special Economic Inquiries
             Textile Reference Inquiries
             Appeals
             Government Procurement




2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION
             Interim Reviews


          Phase 1: Whether review is warranted

          Phase 2: Substantive phase

             Paper hearings




2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION
              Expiry Reviews

      Phase 1: Whether review is warranted

      Phase 2: CBSA- whether likelihood of
               resumed dumping

      Phase 3: CITT- whether likelihood of
               resumed injury




2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION
            Prescribed Factors


             Likely Volume

             Likely Prices

             Likely Impact, etc.




2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION
      OCTG Case - U.S. Experience

No Likelihood




                                      Resumed
                                      Dumping & Injury
                                      Likely



 2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION
Percentage of Expiry Reviews Found Positive
              From 1995-2004
       YEAR    TOTAL EXPIRY     No. of   PERCENTAGE
                 REVIEWS      POSITIVE
                              FINDINGS
       1995        12           12          100
       1996         5            4           80
       1997         9            4           44
       1998         7            1           14
       1999         6            4           67
       2000        14            6           43
       2001         4            2           50
       2002         7            3           43
       2003         5            3           60
       2004         6            0           0


   2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION
                       Expiry Reviews Found Positive
                              From 1995-2004
                                      Expiry Review s found Positive from 1995-2004


          100

          90

          80

          70

          60
Percent




          50

          40

          30

          20

          10

           0
                1995    1996   1997         1998         1999          2000           2001   2002   2003   2004
                                                                Year




                2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION
            Canadian Experience

No Likelihood




                                      Resumed
                                      Dumping & Injury
                                      Likely



 2005 SEOUL SEMINAR CANADIAN SUNSET PRESENTATION