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q poll 442012 Powered By Docstoc
					Maurice Carroll, Director,
Quinnipiac University Polling Institute
(203) 582-5334

Rubenstein Associates, Inc.
Public Relations
Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026
  FOR RELEASE: APRIL 4, 2012

         CUOMO IS A BEAUTY, DESPITE ‘BIG UGLY’ BEAST,
   NEW YORK STATE VOTERS TELL QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL;
         VOTERS BACK MINIMUM WAGE HIKE ALMOST 4-1
  Despite serious concerns about the so-called “Big Ugly” agreement last month in Albany, New
  York State voters approve 68 – 19 percent of the job Gov. Andrew Cuomo is doing, continuing
  his year-long string of +60 approval ratings and brushing up against his all-time high 69 – 19
  percent job score in February, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
          Gov. Cuomo wins approval ratings of 67 – 24 percent among Republicans, 67 – 20
  percent among Democrats and 73 – 14 percent among independent voters, the independent
  Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Black voters, who approve 58 – 24
  percent, are the only group below 62 percent.
          Even voters in union households approve 62 – 25 percent.
          But New York State voters say 55 – 30 percent that “closed-door negotiations” were not
  needed to achieve the major policy Cuomo and legislative leaders negotiated last month. No
  group believes the secrecy was necessary.
          A total of 76 percent of voters say “the lack of transparency surrounding these major
  policy deals is a very serious or somewhat serious problem.”
          “Beauty is in the eyes of the beholder and New York voters say Gov. Andrew Cuomo has
  done a beautiful job so far,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling
  Institute. “But if voters liked the result, they weren’t happy with the process, the so-called ‘Big
  Ugly’ deal where Gov. Cuomo and legislative leaders worked out an agreement on pensions,
  legislative redistricting, casino gambling, DNA and whatever else they needed to resolve.
           “Was the time honored – or dishonored – Albany practice of three-men-in-a-room the
  only practical way to get a deal? Most voters don't think so. How about the lack of transparency
  – a big problem, three-fourth of voters think.”
                                                -more-
Quinnipiac University Poll/April 4, 2012 – page 2
        “OK, Governor, enough for the bad news. Cuomo continues to chalk up awesome job-
approval numbers,” Carroll added.
        A total of 68 percent of New York State voters also say its’ a “very serious” or
“somewhat serious” problem that new legislative district lines were not created by an
independent commission. There are similar results from every group in the survey.
       “Those district lines the State Legislature drew for itself? A big NO from the voters,”
Carroll said.
        Looking at Cuomo’s claim that he is so flexible he should be called “Gumby,” 42 percent
of New York State voters agree, while 35 percent say he is “rigid and uncompromising.”
        Voting for “Gov. Gumby” are Democrats 45 – 31 percent and independent voters 46 – 33
percent, while Republicans say rigid 45 – 37 percent. Men say flexible 48 – 34 percent while
women are divided 37 – 36 percent. Voters in union households say rigid 45 – 37 percent.
                                             Minimum Wage
        New York State voters support 78 – 20 percent raising the $7.25 per hour minimum
wage, with no specific target offered in the question. Support is 53 – 43 percent among
Republicans, 91 – 7 percent among Democrats and 76 – 21 percent among independent voters.
        Among those who support raising the minimum wage, 37 percent of voters support
raising it to $8.50 per hour, with 52 percent who support an even higher minimum wage and 8
percent who want less than $8.50 per hour.
        Combined results for the two questions among all New York State voters show:
       29 percent of voters support an $8.50 per hour minimum wage;
       6 percent support a raise, but not as high as $8.50;
       41 percent support a raise higher than $8.50;
       20 percent oppose any increase.
        Small businesses will not reduce the number of people they hire if the minimum wage is
increased, voters say 51 – 41 percent.
        From March 28 – April 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,597 New York State voters
with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell
phones.
        The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia
and the nation as a public service and for research.
For more data or RSS feed– http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or
follow us on Twitter.
                                                                                                  2
8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as Governor?

                                                                                         Union
                     Tot      Rep       Dem    Ind        Men        Wom    Wht    Blk   HsHld

Approve              68%      67%       67%    73%        71%        65%    72%    58%      62%
Disapprove           19       24        20     14         18         21     17     24       25
DK/NA                13        9        13     14         12         14     11     18       13

                     COLLEGE DEG        ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...          AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No          <30K   30-50 50-100 >100K           18-34 35-54 55+

Approve              75%      64%       66%    66%        67%        75%    59%    68%      73%
Disapprove           15       22        20     22         22         17     23     22       16
DK/NA                10       15        14     12         11          9     18     10       12

                     UpStat NYC         Sub

Approve              65%      72%       67%
Disapprove           22       17        18
DK/NA                14       10        15

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as
Governor?

                                                                           APPROVE.......
                                                                           High    Low
                     Apr 04    Feb 15     Dec 20     Oct 26     Sep 20     Feb 15 Feb 23
                     2012      2012       2011       2011       2011       2012    2011

Approve              68        69         68         65         66         69     56
Disapprove           19        19         17         19         17         19     15
DK/NA                13        12         15         15         17         12     29


12. Governor Andrew Cuomo and the leaders of the Senate Republican and Assembly Democratic
majorities are being criticized for secrecy in negotiating major policy deals, then
quickly voting at night on the measures. Do you think these closed-door negotiations were
necessary to achieve major policy deals or not?

                                                                                         Union
                     Tot      Rep       Dem    Ind        Men        Wom    Wht    Blk   HsHld

Yes                  30%      27%       32%    30%        33%        26%    30%    29%      30%
No                   55       61        49     58         56         54     56     53       59
DK/NA                15       12        19     12         11         19     14     18       11

                     COLLEGE DEG        ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...          AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No          <30K   30-50 50-100 >100K           18-34 35-54 55+

Yes                  36%      26%       23%    24%        33%        39%    34%    32%      26%
No                   47       60        62     61         54         48     51     54       58
DK/NA                17       14        15     15         13         13     16     14       16

                     UpStat NYC         Sub

Yes                  25%      33%       32%
No                   63       48        53
DK/NA                12       19        15



                                                                                                  3
13. Do you think the lack of transparency surrounding these major policy deals is a very
serious problem, a somewhat serious problem, a not too serious problem, or not a problem
at all?

                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom     Wht    Blk   HsHld

Very serious        40%    45%     35%   43%    42%    39%      41%   35%     44%
Somewhat serious    36     35      37    34     34     37       37    35      36
Not too serious     12      8      13    15     12     13       12    12      11
Not a problem        6      8       7     6      9      4        6     7       5
DK/NA                6      5       8     2      4      7        5    10       4

                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50 50-100 >100K    18-34 35-54 55+

Very serious        35%    43%     39%   48%    43%    37%      37%   40%     43%
Somewhat serious    37     35      37    34     35     36       45    33      33
Not too serious     16     10       8    12     14     14       11    13      12
Not a problem        5      7       8     3      5      9        3    10       6
DK/NA                6      5       8     4      2      5        4     4       6

                     UpStat NYC    Sub

Very serious        44%    37%     40%
Somewhat serious    35     35      37
Not too serious     11     14      12
Not a problem        6      7       6
DK/NA                4      7       5


14. Governor Cuomo and legislative leaders are being criticized for agreeing to new
legislative district lines that weren't created by an independent commission. How serious
a problem do you think it is that these new district lines weren't created by an
independent commission; a very serious problem, a somewhat serious problem, a not too
serious problem, or not a problem at all?

                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem   Ind    Men    Wom      Wht   Blk    HsHld

Very serious        29%    35%     30%   26%    29%    30%      29%   37%     35%
Somewhat serious    39     40      39    39     39     39       42    30      37
Not too serious     16     10      18    17     17     16       14    19      13
Not a problem        7      7       6     8     10      4        8     5       8
DK/NA                9      8       8     9      5     12        7     9       7

                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50 50-100 >100K    18-34 35-54 55+

Very serious        32%    28%     28%   35%    31%    30%      19%   29%     36%
Somewhat serious    39     39      36    35     40     42       47    39      36
Not too serious     16     16      16    18     16     18       22    16      14
Not a problem        6      7       6     4      7      7        5     7       7
DK/NA                7     10      15     8      6      3        6     9       7

                     UpStat NYC    Sub

Very serious        27%    29%     33%
Somewhat serious    43     36      37
Not too serious     15     18      15
Not a problem        7      8       5
DK/NA                8      8      10
                                                                                           4
15. Governor Cuomo said he is so flexible he should be called 'Gumby.' Do you believe
Cuomo is a compromiser who is flexible like Gumby, or is he rigid and uncompromising?

                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom     Wht   Blk    HsHld

Flexible/Gumby       42%    37%    45%    46%    48%    37%     43%   40%     37%
Rigid/Uncompromising 35     45     31     33     34     36      36    35      45
DK/NA                23     18     24     21     18     27      21    25      18

                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50 50-100 >100K    18-34 35-54 55+

Flexible/Gumby       44%    41%    36%    40%    42%    51%     47%   41%     41%
Rigid/Uncompromising 32     37     34     42     38     33      31    40      35
DK/NA                24     22     31     18     20     16      21    19      25

                     UpStat NYC    Sub

Flexible/Gumby       39%    46%    42%
Rigid/Uncompromising 40     30     36
DK/NA                22     24     22


16. Would you support or oppose raising the minimum wage in New York State, which is now
$7.25 an hour?

                                                                             Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom     Wht    Blk   HsHld

Support              78%    53%    91%    76%    72%    83%     73%   91%     81%
Oppose               20     43      7     21     25     14      24     8      16
DK/NA                 3      4      2      3      2      3       3     1       2

                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50 50-100 >100K    18-34 35-54 55+

Support              76%    79%    84%    79%    77%    74%     78%   79%     77%
Oppose               21     19     14     19     21     24      22    19      19
DK/NA                 3      2      3      2      2      2       -     2       4

                     UpStat NYC    Sub

Support              75%    82%    76%
Oppose               23     16     21
DK/NA                 2      2      3




                                                                                           5
17. (If support q16) Do you think that the minimum wage should be $8.50 an hour, should be
less than $8.50 an hour, or should be more than $8.50 an hour?

                     SUPPORT INCREASE Q16.......................................
                                                                           Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk HsHld

Exactly $8.50        37%    54%    33%    38%    36%    38%     44%   19%    38%
Less than $8.50       8     12      4      9      8      8      10     2      6
More than $8.50      52     33     61     48     52     52      42    79     55
DK/NA                 3      1      1      4      4      2       4     -      1

                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50 50-100 >100K    18-34 35-54 55+

Exactly $8.50        38%    37%    35%    32%    35%    44%     37%   37%    39%
Less than $8.50       8      8     10     10      6      7       8     5     10
More than $8.50      49     54     54     57     57     46      53    56     48
DK/NA                 4      2      2      1      2      3       2     2      3

                     UpStat NYC    Sub

Exactly $8.50        44%    27%    44%
Less than $8.50      12      5      7
More than $8.50      42     65     48
DK/NA                 3      3      1


17a. (COMBINED Q16 & Q17)Would you support or oppose raising the minimum wage in New York
State, which is now $7.25 an hour? IF SUPPORT: Do you think that the minimum wage should
be $8.50 an hour, should be less than $8.50 an hour, or should be more than $8.50 an hour?

                                                                            Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom     Wht   Blk   HsHld

Increase to $8.50    29%    29%    30%    29%    26%    31%     32%   17%    31%
Increase < $8.50      6      6      4      7      6      7       7     2      4
Increase > $8.50     41     18     56     37     38     43      30    72     45
Oppose increase      20     43      7     21     25     14      24     8     16
DK/NA                 5      4      3      6      5      5       6     1      4

                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50 50-100 >100K    18-34 35-54 55+

Increase to $8.50    29%    29%    29%    25%    27%    32%     29%   29%    30%
Increase < $8.50      6      6      8      8      4      5       6     4      8
Increase > $8.50     38     42     45     45     44     34      41    44     37
Oppose increase      21     19     14     19     21     24      22    19     19
DK/NA                 6      4      4      2      4      5       1     4      6

                     UpStat NYC    Sub

Increase to $8.50    33%    22%    33%
Increase < $8.50      9      4      5
Increase > $8.50     31     53     37
Oppose increase      23     16     21
DK/NA                 5      5      4




                                                                                         6
18. Do you think small businesses will reduce the number of people they hire if the
minimum wage is raised, or don't you think so?

                                                                            Union
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom     Wht   Blk   HsHld

Yes                  41%    59%    30%    44%    42%    40%     42%   47%    35%
No                   51     34     63     47     53     49      50    48     57
DK/NA                 8      7      7      9      5     11       8     5      8

                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME...   AGE IN YRS.......
                     Yes    No     <30K   30-50 50-100 >100K    18-34 35-54 55+

Yes                  35%    46%    50%    39%    42%    36%     49%   40%    40%
No                   58     46     44     52     52     58      46    53     52
DK/NA                 7      8      7      8      6      6       5     7      8

                     UpStat NYC    Sub

Yes                  45%    39%    39%
No                   47     54     53
DK/NA                 8      7      9




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