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Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
TWO OVERARCHING GOALS FOR 2020 IN
KENTUCKY POSTSECONDARY
EDUCATION REFORM ACT (HB1) 1997
For Kentucky to achieve
A highly skilled workforce with the
these goals, the issues that
education and training necessary for the
state’s businesses and industries to
successfully its competitiveness
threaten compete in the global economy
must be confronted.
Provide every citizen with prosperity
and standard of living that
exceeds the national average
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
Confronting Threats to Kentucky Competitiveness
Underprepared
Students Insert Table 1 here
Too many students enter
college underprepared in
English, math, and
reading.
55%
attend KCTCS
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
Confronting Threats to Kentucky Competitiveness
Insert Table 2 here
Low Educational
Attainment
Kentucky ranks 48th
in adults with 4-
year degree;
44th in high school
graduates.
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
Confronting Threats to Kentucky Competitiveness
Skills Gap
Kentucky employers
report a serious
shortage of qualified,
non-technically,
technically skilled, and
supervisory employees
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
Confronting Threats to Kentucky Competitiveness
Jobs Requiring 4-year degree
Demand for “Middle or more
Skills Jobs”
The majority of jobs in Middle
Kentucky over the next
decade will require more
Skills
than a high school diploma Jobs
but less than a
baccalaureate degree.
Jobs Requiring high school diploma
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
Confronting Threats to Kentucky Competitiveness
Aging Workforce Insert Table 3
By 2025, Kentucky’s
younger workers will
decline by 8%.
Kentuckians 65 years
and older will increase
by 64%.
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
KCTCS is Kentucky’s Largest
Postsecondary Educational Institution
48%
of all public
postsecondary
undergraduates
are enrolled in
KCTCS
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
KCTCS Funding Picture
KCTCS is the only public institution receiving
less state appropriation per Full-Time Equivalent (FTE) student
than it did in 1998-99
Institution $ Change in Net GF Appropriation per % Change in Net GF Appropriation
FTE 1998-99 to 2007-08 1998-99 to 2007-08
NKU $1,584 150%
KSU $3,911 140%
MoSU $1,262 125%
EKU $1,115 124%
WKU $ 749 117%
UofL $ 867 110%
MuSU $ 462 108%
UK $ 791 106%
KCTCS $ - 569 Source: CPE 97%
Source: CPE
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
KCTCS Funding Picture
Insert Table 6
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
ACHIEVING HB1 GOALS FOR
THE COMMONWEALTH
From Now to 2020
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
BUSINESS AND INDUSTRY KENTUCKY CITIZENS
Educated and Trained Workforce Standard of Living Above National Average
Global Competitiveness Lifelong Learning
KCTCS MISSION AND MANDATES IN HB1
COLLEGE &
WORKFORCE TRANSFER WORKFORCE
EDUCATION EDUCATION READINESS
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
HB1 MANDATES TO KCTCS
Increase the technical skills and professional
expertise of Kentucky workers through
associate and technical degrees, diploma,
and certificate programs
Develop a pool of educated citizens to
support the expansion of existing business
and industry and the recruitment of new
business and industry
WORKFORCE
Enhance the flexibility and adaptability of
Kentucky workers in an ever-changing and
EDUCATION
global economy through continuing
education and customized training for
business and industry
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
HB1 MANDATES TO KCTCS
Increase the access for
students to complete the pre-
baccalaureate associate
degree in arts or associate
degree in science for ease of
transfer to four (4) year
institutions;
TRANSFER Facilitate transfers of credit
EDUCATION
between certificate, diploma,
technical, and associate
degree programs
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
HB1 MANDATES TO KCTCS
Increase the basic academic and
literacy skills of adults through
adult basic education and
remedial education services
Enhance the relationship of
credentials between secondary and
postsecondary programs which
COLLEGE & permit secondary students to enter
WORKFORCE
READINESS programs through early admission,
advanced placement,
or dual enrollment
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
WORKFORCE EDUCATION
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
COLLEGE AND
WORKFORCE
READINESS
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
THE KENTUCKY PICTURE:
Jobs Requiring Education and Training at the
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
Associate Degree or Below between 2004-2014
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
83%
(1.8 Million jobs)
in Kentucky
between now and
2014 will require an
COLLEGE AND
WORKFORCE
READINESS
Associate Degree,
postsecondary
vocational training,
work experience
and/or on-the-job Source: Kentucky Department of
Workforce Investment
training. Job Outlook to 2014
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
KCTCS will develop programs for
new jobs being created in
FIVE STRATEGIC SECTORS OF
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
POTENTIAL JOB GROWTH
Kentucky Cabinet for Economic Development
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
Department for Commercialization and Innovation
HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES
BIOSCIENCES
COLLEGE AND
WORKFORCE
READINESS
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY AND COMMUNICATIONS
ENVIRONMENTAL AND ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES
MATERIALS SCIENCE AND ADVANCED
MANUFACTURING
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
INCREASING KENTUCKY’S PER CAPITA INCOME
WORKFORCE
KCTCS educates workers for good paying jobs
EDUCATION
that contribute to the per capita income goals
of Kentucky
TRANSFER
• 14 occupations earn above the national
EDUCATION
wage average
• 24 occupations earn above the Kentucky
COLLEGE AND
WORKFORCE
READINESS wage average
See Table 8, Page 13
Source: Kentucky Department of Workforce Investment
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
INCREASING KENTUCKY’S PER CAPITA INCOME
KCTCS Associate Degree Leads to:
$245,000 lifetime increase in earnings
compared with only a high school diploma
Men – 31% increase
Women – 66% increase
KCTCS Economic Impact Study:
Individual, Regional and State Economic Impacts of Kentucky Community and Technical Colleges, 2006
Economists - Dr. Ken Troske, University of Kentucky & Dr. Paul Coomes, University of Louisville
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
INCREASING KENTUCKY’S PER CAPITA INCOME
KCTCS Graduates Stay and Work in Kentucky
Certificate/Diploma Graduates
93%
Associate Degree Graduates
96%
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
WORKFORCE
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
ISSUES
Based on
COLLEGE AND
WORKFORCE
READINESS
CEO Dialogue Sessions
December 2006- May 2007
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
CEO Dialogue Sessions
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION WORKFORCE CHALLENGES
In the next three years, a limited
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
availability of qualified:
technically-skilled employees
COLLEGE AND
WORKFORCE
READINESS
non-technically skilled employees
supervisory-level employees
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
CEO Dialogue Sessions
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
MOST SEVERE EMPLOYEE SHORTAGES
Nursing
TRANSFER
EDUCATION Medical technical professions
[PT, OT, ST, Pharmacist, Hygienist]
COLLEGE AND
WORKFORCE
READINESS
Teachers/educators
Skilled trades-electrical, HVAC, etc.
Information Technology
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
Strategic Initiative #1
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
KCTCS will focus on the expansion of
existing programs and the creation of
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
new programs to meet the projected
openings in high growth, high wage jobs
identified by the Kentucky Department
COLLEGE AND
WORKFORCE
READINESS
of Workforce Investment and the
Cabinet for Economic Development.
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
KCTCS
Strategic Workforce
Competitiveness Initiative
KCTCS will re-engineer
its workforce education
and training divisions to
be more responsive to the
needs of business and
industry.
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
OUTCOME: Strategic Initiative #1
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
57,374 12 –Year Total:
345,500
2020
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
ANNUAL WORKFORCE
CREDIT ENROLLMENTS
43,687
COLLEGE AND
WORKFORCE
READINESS
2007
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
TRANSFER EDUCATION
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
Kentucky Council on Postsecondary Education (CPE)
CPE STEP#3:
INTERVENTION PLAN
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
• Funnel more first-time students through KCTCS
STRATEGIES TO 2020
COLLEGE AND
WORKFORCE
READINESS
• Improve general education credit transfer
• Keep KCTCS tuition low
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
Kentucky High School Graduates
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
Projections, 2005-2018
42,613
41,850 41,179
41,270 41,070
40,141
40,215
41,328 40,882
40,208
38,939 38,734 38,238
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
COLLEGE &
WORKFORCE
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2016-17
READINESS
Note: WICHE projections of public and private high school graduates.
Source: Higheredinfo.org
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
To “Double the Numbers” will require
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
KCTCS to transfer more than
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
COLLEGE AND
WORKFORCE
the number of students
READINESS
it does today
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
KENTUCKY MUST OVERHAUL ITS
TRANSFER SYSTEM
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
Research indicates the difference
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
between high-performing baccalaureate
degree producing states and low-
COLLEGE AND
performing states is the design of
WORKFORCE
READINESS
comprehensive state policies that
support transfer from
two-to-four year institutions.
Jane Wellman, State Policy and Community College-Baccalaureate Transfer,
National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education, 2002
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
KEY ELEMENTS TO
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
SUCCESSFUL TRANSFER SYSTEM
Guaranteed admissions for KCTCS students who
complete an Associate degree
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
Guaranteed General Education common core
courses
Statewide common course numbering system
COLLEGE AND
WORKFORCE
READINESS
Consistent evaluation of transfer credit for all
KCTCS courses
Continued…
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
KEY ELEMENTS TO
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION SUCCESSFUL TRANSFER SYSTEM,
Continued…
Junior status at 4 year institutions for KCTCS associate
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
degree
Consistency in KCTCS credits applied toward four-year
degrees
Transfer Student Bill of Rights or Dispute Resolution
COLLEGE AND
WORKFORCE
READINESS
Mechanism
State need-based and merit-based financial aid
programs for transfer students
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
STRATEGIC INITIATIVE #2
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
Eliminate barriers to KCTCS students
transferring to Kentucky’s four-year
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
colleges and universities in order to
achieve 11,334* transfer students from a
COLLEGE AND
WORKFORCE
READINESS
CPE headcount enrollment goal of 115,800
KCTCS students in 2020.
* CPE Definition = includes only KCTCS students who declare themselves as transfer
students to Kentucky four-year institutions
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
OUTCOME: Strategic Initiative #2
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
11,334 12 –Year Total:
351,700
TRANSFER
2020
EDUCATION
TRANSFER STUDENTS
COLLEGE AND
WORKFORCE
READINESS
3,100
2007
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
COLLEGE & WORKFORCE READINESS
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
CORE
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
RECOMMENDATIONS
Update college admissions
regulations.
Create an integrated accountability
TRANSFER
EDUCATION system tied to performance funding
[P-16].
Fund infrastructure improvement.
Align college readiness standards
COLLEGE & KY Developmental Education
and link those standards to educator
WORKFORCE
READINESS
Task Force 2007 professional development.
Kentucky must reduce the Better link educator preparation to
number of underprepared college readiness.
students coming to college.
Develop early student interventions.
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
LEAKAGE IN KENTUCKY’S
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION SECONDARY SCHOOLS
For every 100 Kentucky 9th
graders:
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
► 65 graduate from high school
► 37 enter college
► 24 are still enrolled in
COLLEGE &
WORKFORCE
READINESS
sophomore year
► 12 graduate with a four-year
degree in 6 years
Source: Tom Mortenson, Public School Graduation and College-Going Rates of Students Directly from High School, 2004;
NCES, IPEDS Fall 2004 Retention rates and 2004 Graduation Rate Survey; U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 American Community
Survey (ACS)
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
Cost of High School Dropouts
Each year nearly 17,200 students in Kentucky
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
do not graduate with their peers...
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
Dropouts from the class of 2006
cost Kentucky
more than $4.5 billion in lost wages, taxes,
COLLEGE &
WORKFORCE
READINESS
and
productivity over their lifetimes.
Alliance for Excellent Education
Washington DC June 2007
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
“Best Fit” for High School Seniors
Teachers and Guidance Counselors’ Perceptions of Graduating Students
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
KCTCS Market Research 2006
No Postsecondary
Schooling
63%
Four-year 15% KCTCS
TRANSFER College
needs to
EDUCATION
37% Private
Business or reach this
Trade School
16%
group to
COLLEGE &
WORKFORCE
achieve
READINESS
Kentucky’s
Community or Technical College
32%
2020 goals
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
KCTCS is the leading provider of dual/credit &
dual enrollment courses for high school students
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
COLLEGE &
WORKFORCE
READINESS
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION STRATEGIC INITIATIVE #3A
KCTCS will implement
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
early student
intervention strategies
in collaboration with school
COLLEGE &
WORKFORCE
READINESS
districts to better prepare high
school students entering KCTCS.
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
DUAL CREDIT/DUAL ENROLLMENT
KCTCS will increase the percentage
of high school dual credit/dual
enrollment from
9 percent in 2006-07 to 15 percent
by 2020, with a greater emphasis on
general education courses.
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
OUTCOME: Strategic Initiative #3A
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
30,500
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
2020
DUAL CREDIT/DUAL ENROLLMENT
14,500
COLLEGE &
WORKFORCE
READINESS
2007
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
83% OF ENTERING KCTCS STUDENTS ARE
WORKFORCE
UNDERPREPARED FOR COLLEGE
EDUCATION
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
COLLEGE &
WORKFORCE
READINESS
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
Due to limited resources and the high
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
volume of students, KCTCS is only able
to provide remediation to
TRANSFER
76%
EDUCATION
of KCTCS students demonstrating a
need for remediation services.
COLLEGE &
WORKFORCE
FOR KENTUCKY TO HAVE A WELL
READINESS
EDUCATED AND TRAINED
WORKFORCE, ALL STUDENTS WHO
NEED REMEDIATION
SHOULD BE SERVED.
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
STRATEGIC INITIATIVE #3B
KCTCS will offer remediation
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
services to all KCTCS students who
enroll with a demonstrated need for
remediation in order to successfully
COLLEGE &
WORKFORCE
READINESS
complete college-level courses.
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
OUTCOME: Strategic Initiative #3B
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
93,566 12 –Year Total:
556,000
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
2020
REMEDIATION SERVICES
16,500
COLLEGE &
WORKFORCE
READINESS
2007
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
WORKFORCE
HB1 MANDATE TO KCTCS
EDUCATION
Increase the basic academic
and literacy skills of adults
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
through adult basic education
and remedial education
COLLEGE &
WORKFORCE
services.
READINESS
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
NO ADULT LEFT BEHIND
More adults must pursue postsecondary education to
achieve the goals envisioned for Kentucky by 2020.
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
WHAT WE KNOW ABOUT KENTUCKY’S ADULTS
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
► Kentucky’s adult population (ages 19-54) is about 2
million.
► Of that 2 million, 1.34 million do not have a
baccalaureate degree;
► Of the 1.34 million without a baccalaureate degree
TRANSFER
EDUCATION
only 14% are seriously considering further
education.
► Many older respondents did not believe they could
COLLEGE &
WORKFORCE
READINESS afford or fit additional education or workforce
training into already complicated lives.
Source: KCTCS Market
Research 2006
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
What We Know About Kentucky’s Adults, continued
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
► Finances was the major perceived barrier to
pursuing postsecondary education.
► Sixty-eight percent of employed adults feel they
TRANSFER
EDUCATION have no opportunity for advancement.
► One-third (1/3) of the adults without a
baccalaureate degree would consider further
COLLEGE &
WORKFORCE
postsecondary education online.
READINESS
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
WORKFORCE
EDUCATION
STRATEGIC INITIATIVE #3C
KCTCS will assume the
TRANSFER
primary role in adult education
and literacy programs and services
EDUCATION
by providing seamless pathways to
postsecondary education.
COLLEGE &
WORKFORCE
READINESS
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
OUTCOME:
KCTCS will increase enrollment
in adult education and literacy
programs from 4% of Kentucky’s
adults without a high school
diploma or GED to 10% .
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
OUTCOME: Strategic Initiative #3C
WORKFORCE
51,000
EDUCATION
2020
TRANSFER
ADULT EDUCATION AND LITERACY
EDUCATION
32,000
COLLEGE &
WORKFORCE
READINESS
2007
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
KCTCS FUNDING
MODEL and
ASSUMPTIONS
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
KCTCS FUNDING ALLOCATION MODEL
Based on a set of principles, developed by the KCTCS
President’s Leadership Team, to ensure equity, adequacy, and
help move KCTCS toward the goals set forth in HB1 and the
Strategic Priorities of KCTCS.
Data drivers for the Public Funds Allocation Model include
Semester Credit Hours (SCH), Student Full-Time Equivalent
(FTE), and Headcount enrollment (HC), and square footage of
space.
Support rates based on comparisons with KCTCS benchmark
states.
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
KCTCS FUNDING ALLOCATION MODEL
Calculates the funding need in the following fourteen areas:
Workforce and Transfer Instruction Student Services
Economic and Workforce Student Financial Aid
Development, Operation and Maintenance (O&M)
Community Education, and Public of Plant
Outreach Branch Campus Administrative
College and Workforce Readiness Services
Education Institutional Support
Academic Administration Support Information Technology
Academic Computing Support Professional Development
Libraries System Level Support
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
FUNDING ASSUMPTIONS
Funding for the following in 2008-2010 Biennium:
M&O for New Facilities
Post-retirement Health Insurance Program
State Fire Commission
Kentucky Board of Emergency Services (KBEMS)
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
FUNDING ASSUMPTIONS
Headcount enrollment of 115,800 by 2020 as
established by CPE.
11,334 annual transfers in 2020 as defined by CPE.
Annual operating expenses increase of 2.5%
(parameter prescribed by CPE).
Annual salary increase of 3.0% (parameter prescribed
by CPE).
Annual health insurance increase of 5.0%.
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
FUNDING ASSUMPTIONS
CONTINUED…
Annual tuition increase of 5.0%.
Increase of 4.4% in space needs to serve additional
students
Additional annual $2.0 million in approximate cost
savings from efficiencies
Additional $16 million each biennium generated in
other funds.
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
INVESTING IN A COMPETITIVE
COMMONWEALTH
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
INVESTING IN A COMPETITIVE
COMMONWEALTH
To achieve the 2020 goals envisioned in HB1 (1997)
To accomplish the outcomes targeted 5 strategic
initiatives outlined by KCTCS
To hold KCTCS tuition increases to 5% annually
Will require an annual increase of $32 million in state
general fund appropriation each year between
2008 and 2020.
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
ANNUAL INCREASE OF $32 MILLION BETWEEN NOW AND 2020
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
Return on State’s Investment
115,800 KCTCS students enrolled in 2020
114,000 students transferred to 4-year schools
over the 12-year period
4,100 full and part-time faculty added
2.2 million semester credit hours produced in
2020
Continued…
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
Return on State’s Investment
345,500 students received workforce training over
the 12-year period
15% of high school students in dual credit/dual
enrollment programs in 2020
556,000 students received remediation services over
the 12-year period
10% of Kentucky adults without high school
credential are enrolled in 2020
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
TWO OVERARCHING GOALS FOR 2020 IN
KENTUCKY POSTSECONDARY
EDUCATION REFORM ACT (HB1) 1997
A highly skilled workforce with the
education and training necessary for the
state’s businesses and industries to
successfully compete in the global economy.
Provide every citizen with prosperity
and standard of living that
exceeds the national average.
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
KCTCS Legislative Agenda 2008-10
Funding 2008-10 Biennial Operating and Capital Budget
Request
Amend KRS 164.600 - Boards of Directors Terms – 4
Colleges
Amend KRS 164.580 - Attachment of East Kentucky Science
Center
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
KCTCS Operating and Capital Budget Request
and College Scenario
and
Comparison to CPE Recommendations
(See folder inserts)
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
QUESTIONS?
Plan for a Competitive Commonwealth 2008-2020
END
