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Foresight Manufacturing 2020 Prof. Mike Gregory

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					        Foresight

Manufacturing 2020

      Prof. Mike Gregory


   International Manufacturing Foresight Conference 12-14 March 2000
      Redefining Manufacturing
• ‘The full cycle from understanding markets and customers
  through design and production to distribution and the
  provision of related services’

• Some implications of the new definition
     - Strategic alliances with customers
     - Product quality and service quality
     - Sustainability and social responsibility
     - Service led firms

                  International Manufacturing Foresight Conference 12-14 March 2000
           Impact of the Internet
• ‘The internet will provide transparency from raw material
  extraction through production to the point of sale and
  beyond’
• Some characteristics of internet enabled manufacturing
       2000                        2020
  Mass Production             Mass Customisation
  Long Pipeline               Shrinking Supply Chain
  Sell from Stock             Make to order
  Sequential Processes        Simultaneous Processes
  Cost of Inventory           Capital Working
  Wait in Line                First Available Slot
                  International Manufacturing Foresight Conference 12-14 March 2000
• Some characteristics of internet enabled manufacturing
   – Data intensive activities
   – Knowledge intensive processes
   – Supply chain restructuring
   – Horizontal diversification




                  International Manufacturing Foresight Conference 12-14 March 2000
                            People
• ‘The pace of change is such that it will require the radical
  updating of skills and knowledge several times during an
  individual’s career’.

• Some implications
   - Closer links between industry and education
   - Flexible working practices
   - Improved public perception of manufacturing
   - Sustainability, integrity, ethical practices and social
     responsibility key factors in attracting staff.
                   International Manufacturing Foresight Conference 12-14 March 2000
  Manufacturing to a unit of one
• ‘Manufacturers will produce at high speed and in high
  volumes products tailored to the demands of individual
  customers with the product shipped to the right customer
  in an order which may be only 1000th the value of today’s
  bulk order’

• Some implications of the mass customisation
   – Pressure on logistical infrastructure
   – Return to local manufacture
   – Blurred boundaries between production and distribution
   – Late product differentiation
                  International Manufacturing Foresight Conference 12-14 March 2000
     Technology and innovation
• ‘In the global, knowledge driven markets of the future,
  success will belong to those companies that have the
  technological advantage and the wit and capacity to exploit
  it.’
• Some implications
   – Wealth creation based on new products, processes and
     product/service combinations.
   – Manufacturing processes which build up rather than remove
     material giving an environmental as well as commercial advantage.
   – Innovative capacity is a vital requirement
   – Innovation will be as much about business culture and behaviour
     as about new research
                    International Manufacturing Foresight Conference 12-14 March 2000
     Technology and innovation
“there are no low technology industries, only low
  technology companies: companies that have not
  yet woken up to the potential of technology to
  transform what they do.”

Porter



               International Manufacturing Foresight Conference 12-14 March 2000
       Approaches – Foresight 1
    “Manufacturing, Production and Business
                   Processes”
•   Co-nomination of participants
•   Extensive Delphi style study
•   Regional consultation
•   Business process theme
•   Process focus



                   International Manufacturing Foresight Conference 12-14 March 2000
       Approaches – Foresight 2
              “Manufacturing 2020”
•   Cross programme ‘constitution’
•   Smaller panel
•   ‘Expert’ witnesses
•   ‘Young’ Foresight
•   Challenging consultation document
•   Industrial targeting


                International Manufacturing Foresight Conference 12-14 March 2000
               Foresight panels
• Thematic panels:
   – Ageing Population, Manufacturing 2020, Crime
     Prevention
• Sectoral panels
   – Built Environment & Transport, Chemicals, Defence,
     Aerospace & Systems, Energy & Natural Environment,
     Financial Services, Food, Chain & Crops for Industry,
     Healthcare, Information, Communications & Media,
     Materials, Retail & Consumer Services.
• A further industry-led panel is looking at Marine issues
  and there is a task force addressing the impact of E-
  commerce on business processes and supply chains.
                  International Manufacturing Foresight Conference 12-14 March 2000

				
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posted:3/22/2012
language:English
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