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					Appendix 1. Central Government Budget Expenditure 2006–2015


SEK billion                                                        Outcome                                     Forecast
Expenditure area                                   2006    2007       2008     2009    2010    2011    2012        2013   2014    2015
 1 Governance                                       10.6    10.6       11.0    12.2     11.7    11.2    11.8       11.9    12.5    12.2
 2 Economy and financial administration             11.8    11.2       11.4    12.0     12.1    12.9    13.3       13.5    13.8    14.2
 3 Taxes, customs and enforcements                   9.0     9.7        9.4      9.4     9.4    10.0    10.2       10.4    10.6    10.8
 4 Justice                                          28.5    30.6       32.7    33.6     35.5    37.2    38.1       38.8    39.7    40.5
 5 International cooperation                         1.4     1.6        1.8     1.8      2.0     1.9     2.0        2.0     2.0     2.0
 6 Defence, emergency management                    44.3    46.5       43.0    42.1     45.7    45.1    45.5       46.6    47.8    48.8
    and safety
 7 International development cooperation            25.9    25.4       27.5    29.6     26.7    28.7    29.7       30.5    32.1    34.1
 8 Migration                                         4.5     5.3        6.1      6.5     7.1     7.6     7.6        8.3     8.8     8.8
 9 Health and medical care, social services         42.2    46.7       49.1    53.1     56.0    56.8    59.4       60.9    62.5    62.6
10 Financial security for the sick and disabled    125.7   119.5      115.9   110.0     99.9    95.8    93.2       89.0    86.7    86.1
11 Financial security for the elderly               45.0    43.7       42.6    42.3     41.5    41.6    41.0       39.4    38.3    37.6
12 Financial security for families and children     63.7    64.9       66.4    68.1     70.2    72.0    76.0       78.1    80.4    82.1
13 Integration and equal rights                      3.4     4.3        5.0      5.3     5.2     5.3     7.9        7.7     8.0     8.1
14 Labour market and working Life                   69.5    54.9       47.8    60.6     68.6    63.4    69.1       69.1    66.8    63.9
15 Financial support for students                   20.6    19.7       19.5    21.4     22.6    21.8    21.2       20.5    20.8    21.7
16 Education and academic research                  46.1    41.8       44.1    48.9     53.2    53.7    54.0       55.1    55.9    56.6
17 Culture, media, religious communities,            9.6    10.1       10.1    10.3     11.3    11.9    12.2       12.4    12.5    12.6
    leisure activities
18 Planning, housing provision, construction and     2.9     2.4        2.1      1.9     1.6     1.1     1.0        1.0     1.0     1.0
   consumer policy
19 Regional growth                                   3.3     2.9        2.8      3.2     3.2     3.2     3.4        3.2     2.9     2.3
20 General environmental protection and              4.5     4.3        4.7      5.2     5.2     5.3     5.1        4.8     4.8     4.8
    nature conservation
21 Energy                                            1.6     2.2        2.1      3.0     2.7     3.0     2.9        2.7     2.6     2.2
22 Transport and communications                     31.0    44.3       61.5    40.6     39.8    40.1    43.4       42.6    41.1    45.4
23 Agriculture, forestry, fisheries etc.            21.0    15.5       16.5    16.4     17.4    17.0    18.3       16.2    15.9    15.9
24 Industry and trade                                3.9     4.3       12.8      6.6     8.5     5.3     5.9        4.9     5.0     4.5
25 General grants to local government               60.2    73.0       64.8    81.6     75.7    88.0    85.1       86.0    85.7    85.2
26 Interest on central government debt, etc.        49.5    47.3       48.2    36.5     23.4    32.0    20.7       22.1    23.0    34.8
27 Contribution to the European Community           25.9    26.6       31.5    19.2     30.4    30.4    31.3       32.4    33.4    34.8
   Reduction of appropriation balances
Sum of expenditure areas                           765.5   769.2      790.3   781.3    786.4   802.2   809.6      810.1   814.6   833.6
Sum of expenditure areas excl.
interest payments                                  716.1   721.9      742.1   744.8    763.0   770.1   788.9      788.0   791.6   798.8
   Net lending by National Debt Office              27.5    -4.3      -27.9   104.7     -9.2     2.6     7.4        5.3     3.1     1.3
   Cash correction                                  -1.1    -4.3        3.7     -0.3     3.4     0.2     0.4        0.8     0.0     0.0
Total expenditure                                  791.9   760.5      766.1   885.7    780.6   805.0   817.5      816.2   817.7   834.9
Total revenue                                      810.3   863.7      901.3   709.5    779.5   880.7   818.7      829.9   866.8   918.3
Budget balance                                      18.4   103.2      135.2   -176.1    -1.1    75.7     1.2       13.7    49.0    83.3
Appendix 2. Public sector tax revenues and central government budget revenue 2006-2015

                                                         Outcome                                      Forecast
SEK billion                                    2006     2007     2008     2009     2010     2011     2012      2013    2014     2015
Taxes on labour                                857.2    873.6    909.0    867.1    873.8    905.9    938.2    971.6   1012.8   1062.7
  Direct taxes on labour                       490.1    483.0    497.5    475.7    474.7    488.3    508.2    528.6    551.7    578.8
   Local government income tax                 454.0    479.1    503.4    511.1    522.9    537.6    558.4    578.6    602.2    630.7
   Central government income tax                41.0     44.8     48.0     40.1     42.5     45.4     45.8     47.9     50.1     52.5
   Basic pension contributions                  77.3     81.1     85.2     86.8     89.2     93.3     96.4     99.1    102.6    107.3
   Tax reductions etc.                         -82.2   -122.0   -139.2   -162.5   -179.9   -188.1   -192.4   -197.0   -203.3   -211.8
   Artist tax                                    0.1      0.1      0.1      0.1      0.1      0.1      0.1      0.1      0.1      0.1
  Indirect taxes on labour                     367.0    390.6    411.5    391.4    399.1    417.7    430.0    443.0    461.1    483.9

   Employers' social insurance contribution    357.0    382.1    404.1    392.4    403.7    426.0    438.2    451.5    470.1    493.2
   State contribution for self-
   employed persons                             10.9     11.8     12.2     11.6     12.1     12.8     13.2     13.6     14.2     14.9
   Special employers' contributions             28.9     30.2     32.6     32.5     33.1     34.9     35.9     37.0     38.5     40.4
   Tax abatements                               -8.8    -10.5    -13.4    -20.6    -24.6    -28.8    -29.0    -29.4    -30.4    -31.4
   Occupational group life insurance             1.2      0.9      1.2      0.9      1.1      1.0      1.0      1.0      1.0      1.0
    Premium pension system fees                -22.3    -23.9    -25.1    -25.4    -26.4    -28.3    -29.4    -30.7    -32.3    -34.2
Taxes on capital                               192.2    208.7    163.5    160.2    191.5    196.9    197.6    197.8    211.1    227.9
   Tax on capital, households                   37.4     49.7     26.3     24.9     34.5     29.7     32.4     30.2     32.9     35.2
   Corporate profits tax                        99.2    104.6     83.0     86.5    106.6    114.6    111.9    115.0    121.0    130.1
   Capital returns tax                          11.1     12.8     15.2     12.3     11.9     11.7     10.6      8.3     11.9     15.6
   Real estate tax                              25.0     25.9     24.0     25.3     26.4     27.6     28.8     30.1     30.6     31.6
   Stamp duty                                    9.5      9.4      9.4      8.1      9.0      8.6      8.9      9.3      9.7     10.2
   Wealth tax                                    6.1      0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
   Coupon tax                                    3.7      6.3      5.5      3.1      3.1      4.7      5.0      4.8      5.0      5.3
   Inheritance and gift tax                      0.1      0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0      0.0
Taxes on consumer goodsand inputs              375.3    399.0    418.7    422.9    449.3    456.5    461.3    473.7    488.8    512.9
   Value-added tax                             265.2    284.8    300.3    301.5    324.3    332.5    334.9    343.7    356.9    376.6
   Tax on tobacco                                8.6      9.7      9.9     10.6     10.6     11.2     11.9     11.9     12.0     12.1
   Tax on ethyl alcohol                          4.2      4.2      4.2      4.4      4.3      4.3      4.4      4.4      4.5      4.5
   Tax on wine etc.                              3.8      4.0      4.1      4.4      4.6      4.7      4.8      4.9      5.0      5.1
   Tax on beer                                   2.7      2.8      3.1      3.3      3.2      3.2      3.2      3.2      3.3      3.3
   Energy tax                                   38.2     38.2     38.8     40.1     41.2     41.2     41.7     42.5     42.9     43.9
   Carbon dioxide tax                           24.7     25.1     25.7     26.1     27.3     25.8     26.5     26.6     27.0     29.0
   Other energy and environmental taxes          4.7      4.7      5.1      4.1      4.7      4.6      4.9      6.1      6.1      6.1
   Road traffic tax                             11.8     13.1     16.0     16.4     16.4     16.0     16.3     17.4     17.8     18.1
   Import duties                                 5.2      5.9      5.9      5.2      5.7      5.8      5.8      6.0      6.6      7.4
   Other taxes                                   6.3      6.5      5.6      6.7      7.0      7.2      7.0      6.9      6.9      6.9
Taxes due and other taxes                       -1.8     -0.8     -3.3     -4.2      2.2      4.2      2.8      2.4      2.3      2.2
    Taxes due                                   -5.4     -7.6     -8.2     -7.8     -5.7     -5.8     -6.1     -6.4     -6.7     -7.0
    Other taxes                                  3.5      6.8      4.8      3.6      7.9     10.0      8.9      8.8      9.1      9.2
Total tax revenues                            1422.8   1480.5   1487.8   1446.0   1516.7   1563.4   1599.9   1645.5   1715.1   1805.8
   Deductable EU taxes                           9.4      7.3      7.3      6.8     -7.1     -7.3     -7.4     -7.7     -8.4     -9.2
Public sector tax revenues                    1413.5   1473.2   1480.5   1439.2   1509.6   1556.1   1592.6   1637.9   1706.7   1796.6
   Local government income taxes               454.1    479.1    515.5    524.8   -537.0   -552.0   -573.8   -594.5   -618.6   -647.9
   Contributions to national pension funds     159.6    168.9    178.1    178.8   -183.5   -194.8   -199.9   -205.7   -213.0   -222.7
Central government tax revenues                799.7    825.2    786.9    735.6    789.2    809.3    818.8    837.7    875.1    926.0
Appendix 2. continued

                                                 Outcome                                     Forecast
SEK billion                              2006    2007       2008    2009     2010    2011    2012        2013    2014    2015
Central government tax revenues         799.7   825.2      786.9   735.6    789.2   809.3   818.8       837.7   875.1   926.0
Accruals                                  6.6    -9.7       21.8    -29.8    -9.7    38.0     1.5        -2.1     0.5     2.1
 Collection deferrals                    -3.6    -2.0       36.3     -2.6   -10.1    20.9     4.1         7.0     7.1     3.3
  Payment deferrals                      10.3    -6.5      -15.6    -22.7    -1.1    15.6    -2.2        -8.7    -6.2    -0.8
    Local governments                     6.2     8.8       -4.3    -22.2    13.2    27.3    -3.8       -10.8    -5.0     0.2
    Old-age pension system                2.8     1.5       -0.7     -1.3     2.9     0.0    -0.2         0.5     0.6     0.8
    Corporations and households           1.0   -14.5       -8.1     -4.7   -16.3   -11.7     2.0         1.9    -1.4    -1.5
    Church communion                      0.0     0.6        0.7     -0.2    -1.0    -0.1    -0.2        -0.3    -0.4    -0.4
    EU                                    0.2    -2.9       -3.1      5.7     0.1     0.0     0.0         0.0     0.1     0.1
  Deferments                              0.0    -1.2        1.1     -4.6     1.6     1.6    -0.4        -0.4    -0.4    -0.4
1000 Taxes                              806.3   815.5      808.7   705.8    779.5   847.3   820.3       835.5   875.7   928.1
Other revenue                             4.0    48.2       92.6      3.8     0.0    33.4    -1.6        -5.6    -8.9    -9.9
 2000 Revenue from central government
                                         43.4    66.5       53.0    48.1     41.8    55.5    46.1        44.6    43.3    45.1
 activities
 3000 Revenue from sale of property       0.1    18.0       76.5      0.1     0.2    22.9     0.0         0.0     0.0     0.0
  4000 Loan repayments                    2.1     2.0        1.9      1.7     1.7     1.5     1.4         1.3     1.2     1.0
  5000 Computed revenue                   7.8     8.2        8.7      8.9     8.9    11.2    10.6        11.0    11.1    12.0
  6000 EU grants                         12.4    13.0       11.0    11.7     13.0    12.3    13.1        11.7    10.9     9.5
  7000 Clearings etc.connected with
                                        -48.2   -51.9      -56.2    -66.8   -65.5   -69.9   -72.9       -74.2   -75.5   -77.5
  the tax system
  8000 Subsidies through credits
                                        -13.7    -7.7       -2.4      0.0     0.0    -0.1     0.0         0.0     0.0     0.0
  on tax accounts
Total revenue                           810.3   863.7      901.3   709.5    779.5   880.7   818.7       829.9   866.8   918.3
Total expenditure                       791.9   760.5      766.1   885.7    780.6   805.0   817.5       816.2   817.7   834.9
Budget balance                           18.4   103.2      135.2   -176.1    -1.1    75.7     1.2        13.7    49.0    83.3
Periodiseringar                                               6.6    -9.7    21.8    -29.8    -9.7    38.0     1.5    -2.1
   Uppbördsförskjutningar                                    -3.6    -2.0    36.3     -2.6   -10.1    20.9     4.1     7.0
   Betalningsförskjutningar                                  10.3    -6.5   -15.6    -22.7    -1.1    15.6    -2.2    -8.7
      varav kommuner                                          6.2     8.8    -4.3    -22.2    13.2    27.3    -3.8   -10.8
      varav ÅP-systemet                                       2.8     1.5    -0.7     -1.3     2.9     0.0    -0.2     0.5
      varav privat sektor                                     1.0   -14.5    -8.1     -4.7   -16.3   -11.7     2.0     1.9
      varav kyrkan                                            0.0     0.6     0.7     -0.2    -1.0    -0.1    -0.2    -0.3
      varav EU                                                0.2    -2.9    -3.1      5.7     0.1     0.0     0.0     0.0
   Anstånd                                                    0.0    -1.2     1.1     -4.6     1.6     1.6    -0.4    -0.4
Statens skatteinkomster                                     806.3   815.5   808.7   705.8    779.5   847.3   820.3   835.5
Övriga inkomster                                              4.0    48.2    92.6      3.8     0.0    33.4    -1.6    -5.6


   2000 Inkomster av statens verksamhet                      43.4    66.5    53.0    48.1     41.8    55.5    46.1    44.6
   3000 Inkomster av försåld egendom                          0.1    18.0    76.5      0.1     0.2    22.9     0.0     0.0
   4000 Återbetalning av lån                                  2.1     2.0     1.9      1.7     1.7     1.5     1.4     1.3
   5000 Kalkylmässiga inkomster                               7.8     8.2     8.7      8.9     8.9    11.2    10.6    11.0
   6000 Bidrag från EU m.m.                                  12.4    13.0    11.0    11.7     13.0    12.3    13.1    11.7


   7000 Avräkningar m.m. i anslutning till skattesystemet   -48.2   -51.9   -56.2    -66.8   -65.5   -69.9   -72.9   -74.2


   8000 Utgifter som ges som krediteringar på skattekonto -13.7      -7.7    -2.4      0.0     0.0    -0.1     0.0     0.0
Totala inkomster                                            810.3   863.7   901.3   709.5    779.5   880.7   818.7   829.9
Totala utgifter                                             791.9   760.5   766.1   885.7    780.6   805.0   817.5   816.2
Budgetsaldo                                                  18.4   103.2   135.2   -176.1    -1.1    75.7     1.2    13.7
  0.5     2.1
  7.1     3.3
 -6.2    -0.8
 -5.0     0.2
  0.6     0.8
 -1.4    -1.5
 -0.4    -0.4
  0.1     0.1
 -0.4    -0.4
875.7   928.1
 -8.9    -9.9


 43.3    45.1
  0.0     0.0
  1.2     1.0
 11.1    12.0
 10.9     9.5


-75.5   -77.5


  0.0     0.0
866.8   918.3
817.7   834.9
 49.0    83.3
Appendix 3. Macro economic key figures 2010-2015


Changes in per cent                    Outcome                Forecast                               Diff. to SFPB                     Diff. to previous forecast
(if not stated otherwise)                 2010    2011    2012    2013    2014    2015    2011    2012 2013 2014          2015    2011 2012 2013           2014 2015
GDP (constant prices)                       5.6     4.4     0.1     1.5     2.6     3.7     0.3    -1.2     -2.0   -1.3     0.0     0.3    -1.6     -1.4    -0.3  0.7
GDP (current prices)                        6.8     5.3     1.3     2.9    4.2     5.6     0.7     -0.4    -1.7    -1.2    0.4     0.7    -1.9    -1.8   -0.6     0.5
GDI (current prices)                        6.9     5.4     1.4     3.0    4.3     5.7     1.1     -0.6    -1.7    -0.7    0.6     0.7    -1.9    -1.8   -0.6     0.5
Household consumption
(constant prices)                           3.7     1.4     0.7     2.2    2.9     4.1     -0.4    -0.9    -1.3    -1.3    0.3     -0.8   -1.3    -1.0   -0.6     0.6
Household consumption
(current prices)                            5.1     2.7     1.2     3.0    4.1     5.5      ---     ---     ---     ---     ---    -0.6   -1.5    -1.7   -1.2     0.2
Total wages (current prices)                3.0     5.5     2.8     3.0    4.1     4.9     0.6     -0.3    -1.1    -1.3    -0.4    0.0    -0.5    -1.2   -0.8     0.2
     No. of hours worked (cal.-adj.)        2.0     1.6    -0.3    -0.2    0.6     1.1     -0.3    -0.5    -1.1    -1.4    -0.8    -0.3   -0.5    -0.9   -0.5     0.3
     Hourly eranings                        0.9     3.8     3.1     3.2    3.5     3.7     0.7     0.2     0.1     0.2     0.4     -0.1    0.0    -0.2   -0.2    -0.1
Employment                                  1.1     2.1    -0.3    -0.2    0.6     1.1     -0.1    -0.3    -0.6    -1.0    -0.7    0.0    -0.6    -0.9   -0.6     0.2
Unemployment ILO-def.
(15-74 year, % of labour force)             8.4     7.5     8.1     8.4    8.1     7.6     0.0     0.3     0.7     1.5     2.1     0.0     0.4    1.0     1.3     1.3
Open unemployment
(16-64 year, % of labour force)             6.0     5.4     5.9     6.2    6.0     5.8      ---     ---     ---     ---     ---    0.0     0.5    1.0     1.2     1.3
Persons in labour market prog.              3.8     3.6     3.8     3.8    3.5     3.1     -0.9    -0.8    -0.7    -0.5    -0.3    0.0     0.7    1.2     1.4     1.2
CPI, annual average                         1.2     3.0     1.1     1.2    2.0     2.5     0.0     -0.1    -0.6    -0.6    0.0     0.1    -0.7    -0.8   -0.2     0.4
CPI, June-June                              0.9     2.7     0.9     1.1    2.1     2.5     0.0     -0.3    -0.7    -0.5    0.0     0.0    -0.7    -0.8   -0.1     0.4
Price basic amount
(thousands SEK)                            42.4    42.8    44.0    44.4   44.9    45.9     0.0     0.0     -0.1    -0.4    -0.6    0.0     0.0    -0.4   -0.7    -0.7
Income index1                             139.7   142.3   149.3   152.6 156.8 162.5        0.0     0.0     0.2     -0.3    -0.8    0.0     0.0    -0.8   -1.4    -1.1
Balance index2                            137.3   133.6   140.5   145.4 148.2 152.4         ---     ---     ---     ---     ---    0.0     0.0    -0.9   -2.0    -2.2
3 months interest2,3                        0.5     1.7     1.3     1.4    1.9     2.5     -0.2    -0.6    -1.0    -1.3    -1.1    -0.3   -1.3    -1.9   -1.8    -1.3
5 years interest2                           2.3     2.3     1.6     2.2    2.8     3.4     -0.3    -0.7    -1.1    -1.5    -1.1    -0.4   -1.8    -2.0   -1.7    -1.1
SEK/EURO2                                   9.6     9.0     9.1     9.0    8.9     8.9     0.0     0.0     0.1     0.1     0.1     0.1     0.2    0.1     0.0     0.0
SEK/USD2                                    7.2     6.4     6.9     6.8    6.7     6.6     0.1     0.5     0.3     0.1     -0.2    0.1     0.7    0.6     0.4     0.2
1
    Billion SEK
2
    Yearly Average
3
    The government's forecast denotes the 6-month interest rate
SFPB=The Government's forecasts for 2011 in the Spring Fiscal Policy Bill
Previous forecast= ESV's previous forecast June 2011 (15-06-2011)

				
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