GEM Outreach Meeting:
expected outcomes
• Definition of regional programs for all regions or large
nations
• Enhance national participation in GEM
• Establish nation-to-nation partnerships
• Initiate the definition of the program and global
components for risk and socio-economic impacts
• Get familiar, participate and share your data/models in
GEM1
• Build a community of GEM believers and crusaders
GEM: how we proceed
1. Global components: hazard, risk, SEIM
2. Regional programs and national participation
3. GEM1
4. Cooperation with UN agencies
GEM Global Components: Hazard
• 5 RFPs open, deadline mid-July
• Peer-review and selection by end-October
• Start 2010
• Integration with regional programs
GEM Global Components: Risk
• Champions identified: Erdik (SB), Spence (SB),
Scawthorn, King, Crowley (EC)
• Refine risk strategy during 2009, using also input from
GEM1
• First topic list for RFPs under preparation
• First feedback in Cambridge meeting
• Dedicated workshop(s) for expect elicitation and
consensus building
• RFPs expected for end 2009
GEM Global Components: SEIM
• Champions identified: J. Birkmann, ?
• Results of SEIM Munich meeting and initial SEIM strategy
evaluated by GB
• Dedicated workshop in fall 2009
• Refined strategy and RFPs to be developed by early
2010
GEM regional programs
In 50 years, there is a
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GEM Regional Programs:
Central America and Caribbeans
• RESIS and CAPRA as direct component of GEM
• CAPRA as best-practice for the participation of risk-
mitigation agencies and IGOs
• CAPRA evaluation to be discussed in GEM SB
• Plan for Caribbeans to be defined with help of CAPRA,
WorldBank , ?
• Identified contact points for Central America: O. Cardona,
C. Lindholm, ?
• Identified contact points for Caribbeans: L. Lynch, ?
GEM Regional Programs: S.America
• Strong national and regional programs (CERESIS)
• Strong bi-lateral cooperations
• USGS-CERESIS proposal submitted to IDB
• IDB+WorldBank to help refining strategy with two likely
integrated components:
• science/engineering/scenario, involving scientific and
engineering agencies (USGS/CERESIS proposal)
• involving national risk mitigation agencies (extending
CAPRA)
• Identified contact points for South America: Huaco
(CERESIS), ?
GEM Regional Programs:
Africa
• Initial hazard models available
• Three regional frameworks: AfricArray, ESARSWG,
ICSU/IUGG panel
• Regional discussion initiated but regional integrated plan
urgently needed
• Identified contact points: ?
• Integration with UNDP programs to be defined
• Africa initiative to be presented at forthcoming
UNDP/GRIP and ICSU/IUGG meetings ?
GEM Regional Programs:
India sub-continent
• National discussions already advanced, focus on
– coordination of national activities and agencies
– regional coordination and activities
– Obtain governmental approval (MoS)
– Scenario modeling in key cities
• Meeting at MoS planned for the summer
• Identified contact point(s): ?
GEM Regional Programs:
SE Asia and Pacific margin
• Singapore was a founder, Australia is applying
• Very advanced regional and bi-lateral programs in the
whole region (e.g. EOS)
• A coordinated program for the whole region under
development by end of the year, including possible
requests for funding
• Identified contact points: T.-C. Pan (NTU), A. King (GNS),
J. Schneider (GSA)
• Possibility for a specific regional initiative funded through
the Singapore-CH cooperation
GEM Regional Programs:
China
• Negotiations for national participation very advanced,
through CEA
• CEA participation focus:
– Cross-boundary, regional program
– Participation as full member in GEM (GB)
– Experts participate in global components and MAG
• On-site visit by GEM planned for July
• Identified contact point: Du WEI
GEM Regional Programs: Japan
• Negotiation are continuing
• Japan participation focus:
– Bilateral cooperation in emerging countries
– Participation as full member in GEM (GB)
– Experts participate in global components and MAG
• Letter will be sent to MEXT director, with support from key
directors of agencies from Japan
• Visit and GEM presentation planned for October, after the
elections
• Identified contact point: Koji Sekiguchi
GEM1
• Budget 2.2M Euro
• Start: Jan. 1, 2009 - End: March 31, 2010
• 14 positions of full time staff, plus senior staff
• 5 Core institutions, numerous subcontracts
GEM1
GEM1 MAG
• Partecipatory peer-review of the model building activities
and products in GEM1, to prepare the way for GEM
• Unrestricted access to products, developments, reports
• On-site visits planned for Nov 2009 and March 2010
• Report to the SB and GB on future GEM model
developments
• Preliminary MAG composition: J. Schneider, M. Stirling,
J. Adams, D. Hollnack, E. Faccioli, A. King, M. Ordaz,
one USGS modeler, one from CEA, one from Japan
• SB participants: Stein, Bazzurro, Giardini
GEM1 Implementation
• WRN participation under definition
• User Needs Requirements expected by end summer, to
serve for GEM1 and for the whole GEM
• Validation strategy under definition
GEM cooperation with UN and IGOs
• WorldBank
– Strong cooperation in key regions
– Participation as associated participant (F. Guesquiere)
• UNESCO
– Strong synergies to be further developed
– Participation as associated participant under discussion
– Letter to the Director of the Science Sector to be sent, with help
from F. Simon
• UNDP
– Integration with on-going programs (i.e. GRIP) to be explored
– Contact point: C. Villacis
• ISDR contacted, visit planned
• WMO contacted