Docstoc

Furnace Shipments

Document Sample
Furnace Shipments Powered By Docstoc
					                                                                                                                                                      DRAFT

Gas Furnace Regional Energy Impacts
Author: Michael McNeil
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

             COLOR SCHEME
                                           Extrapolation
                                           Input from Engineering and LCC Analysis


             WORKSHEET                                   DESCRIPTION
             National Impacts Summary                    Tables and Charts of Primary Energy Savings and Financial Impacts for All Product Classes
             Shipments Summary                           Tables and Charts of Shipments Forecast for All Product Classes
             NES Gas Furnace -NW                         Calculation of Primary Energy Savings and Financial Impacts for Non-Weatherized Gas Furnaces
             Base Case Shipments                         Calculation of Base Case Shipments for all Product Classes
             Change in Shipments                         Impacts of Standards on Market Shares in New Housing
             New Housing Market Share                    Historic Data and Forecast of Market Shares in New Housing
             Market Share Model                          Determination of Elasticities for New Housing Market Share Forecast
             Regional Housing and Fuel Price             Historical Data and Forecast for Analyzing Regions Separately
             Historic Market Shares Data                 Historic Heating Fuel and Equipment Data for New Homes
             LCC Inputs                                  Design Option Input Data: Associated Costs and Unit Energy Consumption
             Retirement Function                         Probability Function Determining Replacement of Equipment
             New Housing Forecast                        Forecast of New Housing
             Fuel Prices and Heat Rates                  Forecasts of Energy Prices and Site-Source Conversion Factors
             Market Shift Heating Load                   Calculation of Heating Load of Housing Likely to Shift Away from Gas in Standards Cases
             Price Indices                               Equipment and Energy Price Indices used in Determination of Price Elasticities for Market Share Forecast

             Chart GF Shipments                          Chart of Historical Gas Furnace Shipments and Modeled Shipments
             Chart GF Market Share                       Chart of Historical Market Share - Historical and Model Forecast
             Chart NWGF Finanical Impacts                Charts of Incremental Equipment Costs, Operating Cost Savings and Net Savings for Gas Furnaces




073acaaf-8707-4ff4-9d7a-7c94604ab4ff.xls                                                                                               Julie Osborn 2/13/20122:31 AM
                                                                                                        DRAFT




gy Price Indices used in Determination of Price Elasticities for Market Share Forecast




            073acaaf-8707-4ff4-9d7a-7c94604ab4ff.xls                                     Julie Osborn 2/13/20122:31 AM
                      NES Furnace Regional Analysis Spreadsheet Flow Chart



Historical data and                        Historic Market       Fuel Prices and
User input              LCC Inputs          Shares Data            Heat Rates
worksheets




NES model and
accounting
worksheet
engines

                                                                          Base Case
                                                                          Shipments



                                         NES - Product
                                            Class




Data output and               National
Summary                                                      Shipments
                             Impacts
worksheets                                                   Summary
                            Summary
preadsheet Flow Chart




               Regional Housing      Retirement
                and Fuel Price




                                   Market Share
                                     Model




                                      New Housing
                                      Market Share
  Base Case
  Shipments


                                  Change in
                                  Shipments




               Base Case
              Consumption
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   DRAFT




National Impacts Summary

  Discount Rate                                    7% Reference Case           1
  Current Year                                    2005 Low Economic Growth     3
  Economic Growth            Reference Case             High Economic Growth


  REGION                     Cold States                Cold States            1
                                                        Warm States




  Source Energy Savings Matrix (Quads)                                                                                  Net Present Value Matrix (Billions $2004)
                                                TSL 1      TSL 2       TSL 3       TSL 4       TSL 5                                                                 TSL 1           TSL 2           TSL 3           TSL 4                TSL 5
  Gas Furnace - Non Weatherized                #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?                    Gas Furnace - Non Weatherized              #NAME?            #NAME?          #NAME?          #NAME?               #NAME?




  Non-Weatherized Gas Furnace                                                                                                             National Impacts - Non-Weatherized Gas Furnace
                                                                       STANDARD LEVEL                                                10                                                                                 20
                                               BASE         TSL 1      TSL 2       TSL 3       TSL 4        TSL 5                             Source Energy Savings (Quads)                                             15
                                                         80% AFUE - 80% AFUE - 81% AFUE -                96% AFUE -                   5                                                                                 10
                                              78% AFUE -                                                                                      Net Present Value (Billions)
                                                          Increased  Increased Increased HX   90% AFUE    Modulation
                                               Baseline                                                                                                                                                                 5




                                                                                                                                                                                                                              $Billions
  Design                                                   HXArea     HXArea        Area                 (Continuous)




                                                                                                                            Quads
  Shipments 2015-2038 (Millions)               #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?                     0                                                                                 0
  Incremental Costs ($ Billions)                           #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?                         TSL 1           TSL 2              TSL 3           TSL 4           TSL 5      -5
  Operating Cost Savings ($ Billions)                      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
  Net Savings, not discounted ($ Billions)                 #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?                   -5                                                                                  -10
  Net Present Value ($ Billions)                           #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?                                                                                                       -15
  Source Savings 2015- 2038 (Quads)                        #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
                                                                                                                                    -10                                                                                 -20




  073acaaf-8707-4ff4-9d7a-7c94604ab4ff.xls                                                                                                                                                                                                         2/13/2012
Shipments Summary

Shipments - Non-Weatherized Gas Furnace + Weatherized Gas Furnac
                                          New Housing
                                                                  Replacements
                                          Gas Furnace
                  Year     Completions      Share         Total
2010                          1.58           72.7%        1.150     #NAME?
2020
 Base                                        70.7%        1.086     #NAME?
 TSL 1                                       70.7%        1.086     #NAME?
 TSL 2                        1.54           70.7%        1.086     #NAME?
 TSL 3                                       70.5%        1.082     #NAME?
 TSL 4                                       68.6%        1.054     #NAME?




Shipments Summary - Mobile Home Gas Furnace
                                         New Placements
                  Year                                            Replacements
                               MH         Gas Furnace
                           Placements       Share         Total
2010                          0.241          72.7%        0.175     #NAME?
2020
  Base                                       63.2%        0.112     #NAME?
  Trial Standard Level 1                     63.0%        0.111     #NAME?
  Trial Standard Level 2      0.177          63.0%        0.111     #NAME?
  Trial Standard Level 3                     63.0%        0.111     #NAME?
  Trial Standard Level 4                     62.8%        0.111     #NAME?



Shipments - Oil Furnace + Gas Boiler + Oil Boiler
                                          New Housing                  Total Shipments
                             M.S. %          2020         2030       2020
Oil Furnaces                  0.5%           0.007        0.007     #NAME?
Gas Boilers                   4.1%           0.063        0.065     #NAME?
Oil Boilers                   1.8%           0.027        0.028     #NAME?
Oil Hot Water Boiler
                                                                    DESIGN OPTION
                                              BASE         TSL 1        TSL 2        TSL 3
                                                         83% AFUE-   83% AFUE-    83% AFUE-
                                                       IncreasedHXA IncreasedHX IncreasedHXAre
Design                                     Base Case         rea        Area           a
Shipments 2015-2038 (Millions)               #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?
Net Savings, not discounted ($ Billions)                  #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?
Net Present Value ($ Billions)                           #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?

Source Savings 2015- 2038 (Quads)                        #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?
zed Gas Furnace                                                                 Gas Furnace Shipments
                                              1.4
                                              1.2             Conversions
          Conversions    Total                                New Housing
                                              1.0             Replacements




                                 Millions
                                              0.8
           #NAME?       #NAME?                0.6
                                              0.4
                                              0.2
                        #NAME?
                                              0.0
                        #NAME?                       2001                    2011                   2021
           #NAME?       #NAME?
                        #NAME?                                                  Oil Furnace Shipments
                                               0.25
                        #NAME?                                 New Housing
                                               0.20
                                                               Replacements Less Conversions
                                               0.15
                                 Millions




                                               0.10
                                               0.05
                                               0.00
             Total                                 2001                      2011                   2021

                                                                                 Gas Boiler Shipments
           #NAME?                             0.60
                                                            Conversions
                                                            New Housing
                                              0.40          Replacements
                                   Millions




           #NAME?
           #NAME?
                                              0.20
           #NAME?
           #NAME?
           #NAME?                             0.00
                                                  2001                       2011                   2021

                                                                                    Oil Boiler Shipments
                                              0.30
                                              0.25           New Housing
 Total Shipments                                             Replacements Less Conversions
              2030                            0.20
                                   Millions




             #NAME?                           0.15
             #NAME?
             #NAME?                           0.10
                                              0.05
                                              0.00
                                                  2001                       2011                   2021
     TSL 4
  84% AFUE-
IncreasedHXAr
      ea
   #NAME?
   #NAME?
  #NAME?

  #NAME?
e Shipments




              2031




              2031




              2031




              2031
      Base Case Consumption
                                   Remaining Stock   AFUE of Shipments   UEC of Shipments
            Shipments (Millions)
                                      (Millions)         (Percent)           (MMBtu)
                   NWGF                 NWGF              NWGF                NWGF
  2015            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2016            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2017            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2018            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2019            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2020            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2021            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2022            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2023            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2024            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2025            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2026            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2027            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2028            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2029            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2030            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2031            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2032            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2033            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2034            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2035            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2036            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2037            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5
  2038            #NAME?               #NAME?              85.3                64.5

  Total
2015-2038         #NAME?              #NAME?              2,046.8             1,549.1
Source Energy
   (Quads)
    NWGF
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?
  #NAME?


  #NAME?
       Gas Furnace - Non Weatherized


                              Base Case                                                                                                            Trial Standard Level 1

                                                                             Shipments & Stock                                                  Energy Savings

                                                                                                        Avg UEC of Gas Efficiency, Elec, Eff. Site Market Shift   Market Shift Total Primary
        Shipments   Affected Stock   Avg UEC of   UEC Stock   Shipments   Affected Stock   Avg UEC of     Stock     Site Savings      Savings       from Gas        to Elec      Savings
                                     Shipments                                             Shipments

         Millions      Millions        MMBtu       MMBtu       Millions      Millions        MMBtu        MMBtu          Quads          TWh           Quads          TWh          Quads

2015    #NAME?          0.00            64.5       64.55      #NAME?          0.00            64.5        64.54         0.00000         0.000        0.00000        0.000         0.0000
2016    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2017    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2018    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2019    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2020    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2021    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2022    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2023    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2024    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2025    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2026    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2027    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2028    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2029    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2030    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2031    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2032    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2033    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2034    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2035    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2036    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2037    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2038    #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5      #NAME?      #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2039                  #NAME?                      #NAME?                    #NAME?                       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2040                  #NAME?                      #NAME?                    #NAME?                       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2041                  #NAME?                      #NAME?                    #NAME?                       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2042                  #NAME?                      #NAME?                    #NAME?                       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2043                  #NAME?                      #NAME?                    #NAME?                       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2044                  #NAME?                      #NAME?                    #NAME?                       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2045                  #NAME?                      #NAME?                    #NAME?                       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2046                  #NAME?                      #NAME?                    #NAME?                       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2047                  #NAME?                      #NAME?                    #NAME?                       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2048                  #NAME?                      #NAME?                    #NAME?                       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2049                  #NAME?                      #NAME?                    #NAME?                       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2050                  #NAME?                      #NAME?                    #NAME?                       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2051                  #NAME?                      #NAME?                    #NAME?                       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2052                  #NAME?                      #NAME?                    #NAME?                       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2053                  #NAME?                      #NAME?                    #NAME?                       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?
2054   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
2055   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
2056   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
2057   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
2058   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
2059   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
2060   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
2061   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
2062   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
2063   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
2064   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
2065   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
2066   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
                                                                                                                                                                       Trial Standard Level 2

                             Net Present Value                                                Shipments & Stock                                                        Energy Savings

 Operating       Equipment      Maintenance                    Net Present                                             Avg UEC of   Gas Efficiency   Elec, Eff. Site    Market Shift    Market Shift to   Total Primary
                                                 Net Savings                 Shipments   Affected Stock   Avg UEC of
Cost Savings       Cost            Cost                          Value                                                   Stock       Site Savings       Savings          from Gas           Elec            Savings
                                                                                                          Shipments
                  Billions                         Billions      Billions
Billions $2001                  Billions $2001                                Millions      Millions        MMBtu        MMBtu         Quads             TWh               Quads            TWh              Quads
                  $2001                            $2001         $2001
   $0.00         #NAME?            $0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?          0.00            64.5        64.54        0.00000           0.000             0.00000          0.000             0.0000
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            64.5       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?                          #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?                     #NAME?                       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?                          #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?                     #NAME?                       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?                          #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?                     #NAME?                       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?                          #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?                     #NAME?                       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?                          #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?                     #NAME?                       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?                          #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?                     #NAME?                       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?                          #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?                     #NAME?                       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?                          #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?                     #NAME?                       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?                          #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?                     #NAME?                       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?                          #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?                     #NAME?                       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?                          #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?                     #NAME?                       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?                          #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?                     #NAME?                       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?                          #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?                     #NAME?                       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?                          #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?                     #NAME?                       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
  #NAME?                          #NAME?          #NAME?        #NAME?                     #NAME?                       #NAME?        #NAME?           #NAME?             #NAME?          #NAME?            #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
                                                                                                                                                Trial Standard Level 3

                        Net Present Value                                          Shipments & Stock                                            Energy Savings                                        Net Present V

Operating                                                                                                                   Gas                                                  Total    Operating
            Equipment    Maintenance                     Net Present               Affected                Avg UEC of                 Elec, Eff.  Market Shift   Market Shift
  Cost                                   Net Savings                   Shipments              Avg UEC of                 Efficiency                                             Primary     Cost
              Cost          Cost                           Value                    Stock                    Stock                   Site Savings  from Gas        to Elec
 Savings                                                                                      Shipments                 Site Savings                                            Savings    Savings
 Billions    Billions                                      Billions                                                                                                                        Billions
                         Billions $2001 Billions $2001                  Millions   Millions     MMBtu        MMBtu        Quads         TWh          Quads          TWh         Quads
 $2001       $2001                                         $2001                                                                                                                           $2001
  $0.00     #NAME?          $0.00           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        0.00        64.2        64.18        0.0000        0.000        0.0000        0.000         0.0000     $0.00
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?      #NAME?         #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?      #NAME?        64.2       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?                     #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?                   #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?                     #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?                   #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?                     #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?                   #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?                     #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?                   #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?                     #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?                   #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?                     #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?                   #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?                     #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?                   #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?                     #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?                   #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?                     #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?                   #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?                     #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?                   #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?                     #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?                   #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?                     #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?                   #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?                     #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?                   #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?                     #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?                   #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?                     #NAME?           #NAME?        #NAME?                   #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
                                                                                                                                    Trial Standard Level 4

            Net Present Value                                       Shipments & Stock                                           Energy Savings                                                       Net Present Value

                                                                                                            Gas                                                  Total
Equipment    Maintenance   Net        Net Present                 Affected                Avg UEC of                 Elec, Eff.  Market Shift Market Shift to              Operating     Equipment
                                                      Shipments              Avg UEC of                 Efficiency                                              Primary
  Cost          Cost     Savings        Value                      Stock                    Stock                   Site Savings  from Gas        Elec                    Cost Savings     Cost
                                                                             Shipments                 Site Savings                                             Savings
 Billions       Billions    Billions                                                                                                                                         Billions     Billions
                                     Billions $2001    Millions   Millions     MMBtu        MMBtu        Quads          TWh         Quads          TWh          Quads
 $2001          $2001       $2001                                                                                                                                            $2001        $2001
#NAME?           $0.00     #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?        0.00        61.3        61.33        0.0000        0.000       0.00000         0.000         0.0000      $0.000      #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
#NAME?         #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?        61.3       #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?
               #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?                    #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?         $0.00
               #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?                    #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?         $0.00
               #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?                    #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?         $0.00
               #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?                    #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?         $0.00
               #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?                    #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?         $0.00
               #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?                    #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?         $0.00
               #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?                    #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?
               #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?                    #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?
               #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?                    #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?
               #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?                    #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?
               #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?                    #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?
               #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?                    #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?
               #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?                    #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?
               #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?                    #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?
               #NAME?      #NAME?       #NAME?                    #NAME?                   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?        #NAME?      #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
                                                                                                       Trial Standard Level 5

Net Present Value                                    Shipments & Stock                               Energy Savings                                         Net Present Value
                                                               Avg UEC             Gas
                                                                  of                         Elec, Eff. Market       Market      Total    Operating                                         Net
 Maintenance                   Net Present Shipment Affected            Avg UEC Efficiency                                                          Equipmen Maintenan   Net
                 Net Savings                                   Shipment of Stock               Site     Shift from   Shift to   Primary     Cost                                          Present
       Cost                      Value          s     Stock                        Site                                                               t Cost  ce Cost  Savings
                                                                   s                         Savings      Gas         Elec      Savings    Savings                                         Value
                                                                                 Savings
                                 Billions                                                                                                  Billions    Billions    Billions    Billions    Billions
 Billions $2001 Billions $2001              Millions  Millions  MMBtu    MMBtu   Quads         TWh       Quads        TWh       Quads
                                 $2001                                                                                                     $2004       $2004       $2004       $2004       $2004
       $0.00       #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?      0.00      58.7    58.67   0.0000       0.000     0.00000       0.000      0.0000    $0.000     #NAME?        $0.00     #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         58.7   #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?               #NAME?             #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?        $0.00     #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?               #NAME?             #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?        $0.00     #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?               #NAME?             #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?        $0.00     #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?               #NAME?             #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?        $0.00     #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?               #NAME?             #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?        $0.00     #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?               #NAME?             #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?        $0.00     #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?               #NAME?             #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?                  #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?               #NAME?             #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?                  #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?               #NAME?             #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?                  #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?               #NAME?             #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?                  #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?               #NAME?             #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?                  #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?               #NAME?             #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?                  #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?               #NAME?             #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?                  #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?               #NAME?             #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?                  #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
    #NAME?         #NAME?       #NAME?               #NAME?             #NAME? #NAME?        #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?                  #NAME?      #NAME?      #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
#NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?
Base Case Shipments
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Conversion Rates based on AGA data
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      % Weatherized of
                                                         Source: Historical Shipments: Furnaces and Boilers: GAMA Statistical Highlights 1969-1997 + Recent Data provided by GAMA                                                                                                                                         Conversion Rates                                                                                                                                                                                  Historical Housing Census Data: ftp://ftp.census.gov/pub/const/C22/compann.xls                                             gas furnace shipments
                                                         Source: Historical Shipments: Heat Pumps - American Refrigeration Institute                                                                                                                                                                                  Oil to Gas    Elec to Gas                                                                                                                                                                             Housing Forecast AEO2005                                                                                                  to New Housing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       35.1%           31.8%                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              #NAME?
                                                          Shipme nts (million)                                                                                                                        Mode le d Re place me nts (mllion)                                                                T otal                               Conve rsions from (million)                Efficiency   Central Gas Heating                    Pe rce ntage of Shipme nts which are to Existing Home s                                                                        New Housing (million)                                                                               Modeled New Construction Installations (m illion)                                                                                               Modeled Shipm ents -- sum of Replacem ents, Conversions, and New Housing (m illion)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Upgrages           Retrofit                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Oil Replacements
                            Gas Furnace                                Oil       Electric Furnace      Gas         Oil            Heat   Pump                                Gas Furnace                              Oil            Electric Furnace       Gas         Oil          Heat Pump         Modeled           O il          Ele ctric        O il          Total     Total     NWGF             NWGF                           Gas Furnace                                 Oil               Gas        Oil                    SF + MF Completions                       Mobile                                         Gas Furnace                                                 Oil             Electric Furnace          Gas        Oil           Heat Pump           Central                          Gas Furnace                                             Oil          Electric        Gas        Oil      Heat     Less Conversions
         Total     NW     NW-Cold    NW-Warm    Weath.     MH        Furnace    SF+MF         MH      Boiler      Boiler      SF+MF          MH      T otal      NW       NW-Cold NW-Warm       W         MH        Furnace      SF+MF             MH      Boilers    Boilers    SF+MF        MH     Replacements      Furnace        Furnace          Boile r       Furnace                                                T otal     NW             W              MH             Furnace            Boilers    Boilers    United States       Cold              Warm             Homes            Total   Total    NW      NW-Cold       NW-Warm       Weath                MH           Furnace        SF + MF            MH        Boilers   Boilers   SF + MF         MH        Heating    Total    NW      NW-Cold       NW-Warm          W             MH           Furnace        Furnace         Boilers    Boiler    Pump    Furnace       Boiler
1951    0.428    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?     0.000       0.135      0.000       0.000    0.000       0.000       0.000        0.000    0.00         0.00       0.00        0.00   0.00       0.00       0.00         0.000            0.00     0.00       0.00     #NAME?        0.00     #NAME?           0.000           0.000           0.00           0.00      0.00      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?           0%               0%                0%         0%                                                                                                                                                                0                                              0                                             0                                                                                                                                                       0.000       0.000
1952    0.383    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?       0.270                  0.000                            0.000        0.000   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?               0%         0%                                                                                                                                                                0                                              0                                             0                                                                                                                                                     #NAME? #NAME?
1953    0.416    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.0414   #NAME?       0.356                  0.000                            0.000        0.000   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?               0%         0%                                                                                                                                                                0                                              0                                             0                                                                                                                                                     #NAME? #NAME?
1954    0.520    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.3061   #NAME?       0.362                  0.000                            0.000        0.000   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?               0%         0%                                                                                                                                                                0                                              0                                             0                                                                                                                                                     #NAME? #NAME?
1955    0.735    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.0719   #NAME?       0.410                  0.000                            0.000        0.000   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?               0%         0%                                                                                                                                                                0                                              0                                             0                                                                                                                                                     #NAME? #NAME?
1956    0.811    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.0703   #NAME?       0.384                  0.000                            0.000        0.000   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?               0%         0%                                                                                                                                                                0                                              0                                             0                                                                                                                                                     #NAME? #NAME?
1957    0.724    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.0511   #NAME?       0.321                  0.000                            0.008        0.000   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?               0%         0%                                                                                                                                                                0                                              0                                             0                                                                                                                                                     #NAME? #NAME?
1958    0.774    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.0469   #NAME?       0.300                  0.000                            0.021        0.000   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?               0%         0%                                                                                                                                                      0.000                                            0.000                                         0.000                                                                                                                                                         #NAME? #NAME?
1959    0.960    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.0495   #NAME?       0.301                #NAME?                             0.033       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?               0%         0%                                                               0.121                                                                                  0.050                                            0.021                                         0.007                                                                                                                                                         #NAME? #NAME?
1960    0.932    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.0498   #NAME?       0.264                #NAME?                             0.039       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?               0%         0%                                                               0.104                                                                                  0.044                                            0.019                                         0.006                                                                                                                                                         #NAME? #NAME?
1961    0.886    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.0421   #NAME?       0.218                #NAME?                             0.042       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?               0%         0%                                                               0.090                                                                                  0.039                                            0.016                                         0.005                                                                                                                                                         #NAME? #NAME?
1962    0.935    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.0438   #NAME?       0.207                #NAME?                             0.050       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?               0%         0%                                                               0.118                                                                                  0.052                                            0.022                                         0.007                                                                                                                                                         #NAME? #NAME?
1963    1.030    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.0490   #NAME?       0.225                #NAME?                             0.062       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?               0%         0%                                                               0.151                                                                                  0.068                                            0.029                                         0.009                                                                                                                                                         #NAME? #NAME?
1964    1.122    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.0479   #NAME?       0.293                #NAME?                             0.063       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?               0%         0%                                                               0.191                                                                                  0.088                                            0.037                                         0.011                                                                                                                                                         #NAME? #NAME?
1965    1.189    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.0605   #NAME?       0.314                #NAME?                             0.059       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?               0%         0%                                                               0.217                                                                                  0.102                                            0.043                                         0.012                                                                                                                                                         #NAME? #NAME?
1966    1.185    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.0658   #NAME?       0.296                #NAME?                             0.067       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?               0%         0%                                                               0.217                                                                                  0.102                                            0.042                                         0.013                                                                                                                                                         #NAME? #NAME?
1967    1.134    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.0680   #NAME?       0.286                #NAME?                             0.065       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?               0%         0%                                                               0.240                                                                                  0.112                                            0.046                                         0.015                                                                                                                                                         #NAME? #NAME?
1968    1.420    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.0708   #NAME?       0.301                #NAME?                             0.072       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?               0%         0%            1.320            0.500            0.816            0.318            1.638   0.740   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.148            0.040           0.186           0.061       0.075     0.054     0.115         0.021       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1969    1.546    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.0897   #NAME?       0.305                #NAME?     0.176                   0.079       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?       0%            1.399            0.530            0.865            0.413            1.812   0.806   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.191            0.041           0.212           0.078       0.076     0.054     0.128         0.029       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1970    1.471    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.1129   #NAME?       0.304                #NAME?     0.164                   0.080       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?       0%            1.418            0.538            0.877            0.401            1.820   0.796   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.185            0.040           0.229           0.076       0.073     0.051     0.136         0.030       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1971    1.795    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.1849   #NAME?       0.333      0.201     #NAME?     0.157                   0.067       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?       0%            1.706            0.647            1.055            0.497            2.203   0.948   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.228            0.046           0.293           0.093       0.084     0.056     0.172         0.039       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1972    2.066    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.2571   #NAME?       0.311      0.301     #NAME?     0.156      0.134        0.079       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          2.004            0.760            1.239            0.576            2.580   1.091   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.264            0.052           0.364           0.107       0.094     0.061     0.210         0.047       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1973    1.719    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.3182   #NAME?       0.328      0.392     #NAME?     0.147      0.130        0.098       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          2.101            0.796            1.299            0.567            2.667   1.078   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.255            0.058           0.403           0.110       0.089     0.071     0.257         0.046       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1974    1.476    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.2894   #NAME?       0.209      0.411     #NAME?     0.123      0.091        0.113       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.729            0.655            1.069            0.329            2.058   0.702   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.145            0.036           0.381           0.066       0.052     0.054     0.303         0.027       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1975    1.186    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.1585   #NAME?       0.213      0.194     #NAME?     0.088      0.099        0.136       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.317            0.530            0.787            0.213            1.530   0.508   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.092            0.032           0.275           0.044       0.037     0.050     0.236         0.017       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1976    1.554    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.2312   #NAME?       0.236      0.247     #NAME?     0.113      0.132        0.264       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.377            0.582            0.793            0.246            1.623   0.549   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.105            0.053           0.290           0.053       0.038     0.078     0.244         0.020       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1977    1.508    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.2180   #NAME?       0.228      0.311     #NAME?     0.113      0.134        0.402       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.657            0.688            0.967            0.267            1.924   0.621   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.112            0.057           0.385           0.060       0.042     0.079     0.317         0.022       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1978    1.636    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.2529   #NAME?       0.263      0.349     #NAME?     0.126      0.108        0.486       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.868            0.754            1.113            0.276            2.143   0.674   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.114            0.057           0.466           0.061       0.044     0.074     0.377         0.029       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1979    1.863    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.2482   #NAME?       0.158      0.283     #NAME?     0.221      0.085        0.482       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.871            0.747            1.122            0.277            2.148   0.697   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.114            0.050           0.481           0.060       0.044     0.061     0.382         0.036       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1980    1.446    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.1340   #NAME?       0.064      0.227     #NAME?     0.293      0.052        0.354       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.502            0.544            0.956            0.222            1.723   0.587   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.090            0.019           0.400           0.047       0.035     0.022     0.312         0.034       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1981    1.417    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.1215   #NAME?       0.081      0.235     #NAME?     0.162      0.067        0.414       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.266            0.430            0.829            0.241            1.507   0.525   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.097            0.010           0.318           0.050       0.030     0.012     0.270         0.043       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1982    1.156    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.1115   #NAME?       0.104      0.177     #NAME?     0.148      0.073        0.316       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.006            0.318            0.688            0.239            1.244   0.412   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.095            0.011           0.248           0.049       0.022     0.014     0.229         0.048       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1983    1.662    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.1921   #NAME?       0.127      0.339     #NAME?     0.148      0.083        0.627       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.390            0.436            0.950            0.295            1.685   0.596   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.120            0.010           0.322           0.064       0.032     0.014     0.324         0.054       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1984    1.849    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.1895   #NAME?       0.148      0.354     #NAME?     0.180      0.091        0.745       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.652            0.532            1.117            0.295            1.947   0.681   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.122            0.012           0.374           0.067       0.037     0.016     0.410         0.048       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1985    1.822    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.2033   #NAME?       0.147      0.366     #NAME?     0.192      0.104        0.821       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.703            0.601            1.096            0.283            1.987   0.713   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.120            0.015           0.359           0.068       0.039     0.022     0.429         0.041       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1986    2.105    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.2028   #NAME?       0.201      0.383     #NAME?     0.196      0.126        0.884       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.756            0.670            1.081            0.245            2.001   0.780   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.105            0.022           0.335           0.062       0.039     0.036     0.413         0.031       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1987    2.073    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.2375   #NAME?       0.206      0.375     #NAME?     0.190      0.135        0.918       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.669            0.682            0.986            0.233            1.901   0.833   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.102            0.022           0.278           0.061       0.037     0.040     0.354         0.025       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1988    2.092    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.2473   #NAME?       0.204      0.293     #NAME?     0.192      0.170        0.835       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.01             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.530            0.630            0.897            0.218            1.748   0.806   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.089            0.021           0.234           0.062       0.031     0.042     0.308         0.035       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1989    2.162    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.2665   #NAME?       0.179      0.298     #NAME?     0.182      0.151        0.835       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.01             0.01           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.423            0.590            0.833            0.198            1.621   0.779   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.075            0.016           0.206           0.059       0.025     0.037     0.278         0.042       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1990    1.950    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.2231   #NAME?       0.138      0.280     #NAME?     0.196      0.130        0.809       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.02             0.01           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.308            0.537            0.769            0.188            1.496   0.738   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.066            0.014           0.180           0.060       0.019     0.036     0.251         0.049       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1991    2.057    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.2297   #NAME?       0.131      0.245     #NAME?     0.177      0.118        0.764       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.03             0.01           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.091            0.438            0.648            0.171            1.262   0.611   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.083            0.013           0.135           0.058       0.042     0.027     0.192         0.023       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1992    2.107    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.2226   #NAME?       0.141      0.290     #NAME?     0.176      0.144        0.799       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.04             0.02           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.158            0.468            0.685            0.211            1.368   0.718   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.051            0.014           0.121           0.058       0.034     0.023     0.209         0.084       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1993    2.585    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.2435   #NAME?       0.149      0.348     #NAME?     0.196      0.150        0.882       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.05             0.03           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.193            0.459            0.731            0.254            1.447   0.772   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.098            0.013           0.167           0.116       0.050     0.021     0.169         0.021       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1994    2.697    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.2970   #NAME?       0.164      0.401     #NAME?     0.216      0.169        1.008       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.07             0.04           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.347            0.515            0.825            0.304            1.651   0.909   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.125            0.016           0.131           0.102       0.042     0.020     0.244         0.039       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1995    2.601    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.3104   #NAME?       0.135      0.402     #NAME?     0.188      0.149        1.025       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.10             0.05           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.313            0.492            0.815            0.340            1.653   0.932   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.173            0.015           0.151           0.108       0.045     0.023     0.226         0.026       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1996    2.871    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.3455   #NAME?       0.152      0.471     #NAME?     0.198      0.160        1.148       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.13             0.06           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.413            0.601            0.805            0.338            1.751   0.972   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.133            0.015           0.165           0.103       0.036     0.020     0.233         0.071       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1997    2.779    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.3231   #NAME?       0.124      0.403     #NAME?     0.206      0.158        1.130       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.16             0.08           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.400            0.591            0.799            0.336            1.736   0.948   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.109            0.022           0.183           0.162       0.036     0.016     0.234         0.043       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1998    2.977    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.333    #NAME?       0.128      0.414     #NAME?     0.194      0.156        1.260       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.20             0.10           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.474            0.633            0.832            0.374            1.848   0.977   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.099            0.016           0.196           0.136       0.031     0.020     0.229         0.092       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
1999    3.126    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.359    #NAME?       0.125      0.425     #NAME?     0.211      0.158        1.293       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.24             0.12           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.604            0.691            0.915            0.338            1.942   1.055   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.135            0.008           0.209           0.125       0.066     0.031     0.268         0.059       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2000    3.137    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.387    #NAME?       0.121      0.436     #NAME?     0.232      0.155        1.360       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.28             0.14           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.574            0.671            0.901            0.281            1.855   1.006   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.095            0.008           0.201           0.085       0.065     0.030     0.258         0.068       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2001    3.063    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.417    #NAME?       0.123      0.447     #NAME?     0.229      0.160       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.32             0.16           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.571            0.661            0.909            0.196            1.767   0.965   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.050            0.007           0.198           0.047       0.065     0.027     0.255         0.067       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2002    3.201    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.449    #NAME?       0.117      0.458     #NAME?     0.225      0.157       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.35             0.18           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.648            0.659            1.051            0.174            1.822   0.996   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.053            0.008           0.215           0.056       0.067     0.031     0.276         0.033       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2003    3.265    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?    0.483    #NAME?       0.127      0.469     #NAME?     0.233      0.148       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.38             0.19           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.678            0.677            1.170            0.138            1.816   1.032   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.031            0.007           0.204           0.074       0.071     0.025     0.262         0.000       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2004   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.40             0.20           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.899            0.714            1.186            0.123            2.022   1.159   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.035            0.009           0.246           0.042       0.078     0.034     0.287         0.030       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2005   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.40             0.20           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.727            0.646            1.081            0.130            1.857   1.054   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.036            0.008           0.226           0.045       0.071     0.031     0.264         0.032       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2006   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.40             0.20           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.628            0.609            1.019            0.147            1.775   1.028   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.043            0.008           0.203           0.050       0.067     0.029     0.237         0.035       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2007   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.38             0.19           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.642            0.615            1.027            0.182            1.824   1.058   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.055            0.008           0.201           0.061       0.068     0.029     0.235         0.043       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2008   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.35             0.18           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.611            0.602            1.009            0.210            1.822   1.069   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.066            0.008           0.190           0.069       0.067     0.029     0.222         0.049       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2009   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.32             0.16           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.575            0.595            0.980            0.234            1.809   1.072   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.076            0.007           0.179           0.076       0.065     0.028     0.209         0.053       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2010   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?          #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.28             0.14           #NAME?    #NAME?        #NAME?          #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.582            0.598            0.984            0.241            1.822   1.093   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.081            0.007           0.175           0.077       0.065     0.028     0.205         0.054       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2011   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.24             0.12           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.605            0.607            0.999            0.239            1.845   1.115   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.081            0.007           0.176           0.076       0.066     0.029     0.206         0.054       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2012   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.20             0.10           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.581            0.599            0.982            0.229            1.810   1.094   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.078            0.007           0.175           0.073       0.065     0.028     0.205         0.052       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2013   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.16             0.08           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.576            0.599            0.977            0.224            1.800   1.086   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.076            0.007           0.177           0.072       0.065     0.028     0.206         0.051       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2014   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.13             0.06           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.594            0.607            0.987            0.222            1.816   1.092   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.074            0.007           0.181           0.072       0.066     0.028     0.212         0.051       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2015   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.10             0.05           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.558            0.594            0.965            0.209            1.767   1.060   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.069            0.007           0.180           0.068       0.064     0.028     0.210         0.048       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2016   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.07             0.04           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.526            0.582            0.944            0.199            1.725   1.038   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.066            0.007           0.176           0.065       0.063     0.027     0.206         0.046       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2017   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.05             0.03           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.510            0.576            0.935            0.192            1.703   1.027   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.064            0.007           0.175           0.063       0.062     0.027     0.204         0.044       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2018   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.04             0.02           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.508            0.575            0.933            0.186            1.694   1.021   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.062            0.007           0.176           0.062       0.062     0.027     0.206         0.043       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2019   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.03             0.01           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.522            0.580            0.943            0.180            1.702   1.023   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.059            0.007           0.181           0.060       0.063     0.027     0.211         0.042       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2020   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?          #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.02             0.01           #NAME?    #NAME?        #NAME?          #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.536            0.585            0.951            0.177            1.712   1.025   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.057            0.0072          0.185           0.060       0.0635    0.027     0.216         0.042       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2021   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.01             0.01           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.532            0.586            0.945            0.172            1.704   1.016   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.055            0.007           0.187           0.059       0.063     0.027     0.219         0.041       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2022   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.01             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.533            0.591            0.942            0.168            1.701   1.012   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.053            0.007           0.190           0.058       0.063     0.027     0.222         0.041       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2023   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.537            0.597            0.940            0.163            1.701   1.011   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.052            0.007           0.191           0.056       0.064     0.027     0.224         0.040       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2024   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.531            0.599            0.932            0.159            1.690   1.003   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.050            0.007           0.193           0.055       0.063     0.027     0.225         0.039       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2025   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.527            0.602            0.925            0.154            1.682   0.997   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.048            0.007           0.194           0.054       0.063     0.027     0.226         0.038       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2026   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.535            0.605            0.930            0.154            1.689   0.999   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.048            0.007           0.197           0.054       0.063     0.027     0.230         0.038       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2027   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.543            0.608            0.935            0.154            1.697   1.000   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.048            0.007           0.200           0.055       0.064     0.027     0.233         0.038       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2028   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.550            0.611            0.939            0.154            1.705   1.002   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.047            0.007           0.202           0.055       0.064     0.028     0.236         0.039       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2029   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.558            0.614            0.944            0.154            1.712   1.004   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.047            0.007           0.205           0.055       0.064     0.028     0.240         0.039       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2030   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?          #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?        #NAME?          #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.566            0.617            0.949            0.154            1.720   1.005   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.047            0.007           0.208           0.056       0.065     0.028     0.243         0.039       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2031   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.574            0.620            0.953            0.154            1.728   1.007   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.046            0.007           0.211           0.056       0.065     0.028     0.247         0.040       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2032   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.582            0.624            0.958            0.154            1.736   1.008   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.046            0.007           0.214           0.056       0.065     0.028     0.250         0.040       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2033   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.590            0.627            0.963            0.154            1.744   1.009   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.046            0.007           0.217           0.057       0.066     0.028     0.254         0.040       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2034   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.598            0.630            0.968            0.154            1.752   1.010   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.045            0.007           0.221           0.057       0.066     0.028     0.258         0.040       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2035   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.606            0.633            0.973            0.154            1.760   1.012   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.045            0.007           0.224           0.058       0.066     0.029     0.261         0.041       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2036   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.614            0.636            0.977            0.154            1.768   1.013   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.045            0.008           0.227           0.058       0.067     0.029     0.265         0.041       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2037   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.622            0.639            0.982            0.154            1.776   1.014   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.044            0.008           0.230           0.058       0.067     0.029     0.269         0.041       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?
2038   #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME? #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME? #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?       #NAME?           #NAME?   #NAME?     #NAME?     #NAME?      #NAME?     #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?         #NAME?    #NAME?      0.00             0.00           #NAME?    #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?          #NAME?             #NAME?     #NAME?          1.630            0.642            0.987            0.154            1.784   1.015   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?            0.044            0.008           0.233           0.059       0.067     0.029     0.273         0.041       #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME?   #NAME?       #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?         #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?   #NAME? #NAME?




 1
                                                 Change in Shipments from Standards

       Non-Weatherized Furnaces                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Mobile Home Furnaces
                                                              Increm ental Shipm ents (Millions)
                                                              80% AFUE - Increased HXArea                                                                                                                                                       80% AFUE - Increased HXArea                                                                                                                                                       81% AFUE - Increased HX Area                                                                                                                                                                   90% AFUE                                                                                                                                      96% AFUE - Modulation (Continuous)                                                                     80% AFUE - Increased HX Area              80% AFUE - Increased HX Area              81% AFUE - Increased HX Area                    90% AFUE Condensing                         90% AFUE Condensing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Incremental Shipments (Millions)          Incremental Shipments (Millions)          Incremental Shipments (Millions)            Incremental Shipments (Millions)            Incremental Shipments (Millions)
                                                      New              New              New                                                                                                                                             New              New              New                                                                                                                                             New              New              New                                                                                                                                             New              New              New                                                                                                New       New        New        New         New         New                   Replace   Replace                                   New       New                              New       New                             New       New                              New       New                               New       New
       New Housing   New Housing   New Housing                                                       Replacement   Replacement   Replacement                                              New Housing   New Housing   New Housing                                                      Replacement   Replacement   Replacement                                              New Housing   New Housing   New Housing                                                      Replacement   Replacement   Replacement                                              New Housing   New Housing   New Housing                                                      Replacement   Replacement   Replacement                                                                   Housing               Construct   Construct   Replacem                        Total -   Total -   Total -   Housing               Replacem             Housing               Replace             Housing               Replace              Housing               Replace               Housing               Replace
                                                  Construction -   Construction -   Construction -                                             Total - US   Total - Cold   Total - Warm                                             Construction -   Construction -   Construction -                                             Total - US   Total - Cold   Total - Warm                                             Construction -   Construction -   Construction -                                             Total - US   Total - Cold   Total - Warm                                             Construction -   Construction -   Construction -                                             Total - US   Total - Cold   Total - Warm   Housing   Housing              Construct                                       ments -   ments -                                           Construct                Total             Construct              Total              Construct              Total               Construct                Total              Construct                Total
         MS - US      MS- Cold      MS - Warm                                                           s -US         s -Cold      s -Warm                                                  MS - US      MS- Cold      MS - Warm                                                          s -US         s -Cold      s -Warm                                                  MS - US      MS- Cold      MS - Warm                                                          s -US         s -Cold      s -Warm                                                  MS - US      MS- Cold      MS - Warm                                                          s -US         s -Cold      s -Warm                                                                      MS -                   ion -       ion -      ents -US                        US        Cold     Warm       Market                 ents                Market                ments               Market                ments                Market                ments                 Market                ments
                                                       US             Cold             Warm                                                                                                                                              US              Cold            Warm                                                                                                                                              US              Cold            Warm                                                                                                                                              US              Cold            Warm                                                                                               MS - US   MS- Cold             ion - US                                         Cold      Warm                                               ion                                        ion                                       ion                                        ion                                         ion
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Warm                   Cold       Warm                                                                      Shift                                      Shift                                     Shift                                      Shift                                       Shift
2015    -0.0003%      -0.0002%      -0.0004%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000          0.000         0.000         0.000        0.000         0.000          0.000          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000          0.000         0.000         0.000        0.000         0.000          0.000          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.26%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.003         #NAME?         0.000         0.000       #NAME?          0.00           0.00          -1.81%        -0.84%        -2.41%         -0.028           -0.005           -0.023          0.000         0.000         0.000        -0.03          0.00          -0.02        -6.63%     -3.06%    -8.83%     -0.103      -0.018      -0.085      0.000       0.000     0.000     -0.10     -0.02     -0.09    -0.22%     -0.0005               -0.0005   -0.22%     -0.0005              -0.0005   -1.85%     -0.004               -0.00385   -6.36%      -0.013               -0.01328   -6.36%      -0.013               -0.01328
2016     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0004%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.26%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.002         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.81%        -0.84%        -2.42%         -0.028           -0.005           -0.023         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.64%     -3.06%    -8.84%     -0.101      -0.018      -0.083     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.22%     -0.0004    #NAME?     #####     -0.22%     -0.0004    #####     #####     -1.85%     -0.004     #####     #####      -6.37%      -0.013    #####      #####      -6.37%      -0.013    #####      #####
2017     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0004%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.26%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.002         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.82%        -0.84%        -2.42%         -0.027           -0.005           -0.023         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.65%     -3.07%    -8.85%     -0.100      -0.018      -0.083     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.22%     -0.0004    #NAME?     #####     -0.22%     -0.0004    #####     #####     -1.85%     -0.004     #####     #####      -6.39%      -0.012    #####      #####      -6.39%      -0.012    #####      #####
2018     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0004%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.26%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.002         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.82%        -0.84%        -2.42%         -0.027           -0.005           -0.023         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.66%     -3.07%    -8.86%     -0.100      -0.018      -0.083     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.22%     -0.0004    #NAME?     #####     -0.22%     -0.0004    #####     #####     -1.86%     -0.003     #####     #####      -6.40%      -0.012    #####      #####      -6.40%      -0.012    #####      #####
2019     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0004%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.26%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.002         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.82%        -0.84%        -2.42%         -0.028           -0.005           -0.023         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.66%     -3.08%    -8.87%     -0.101      -0.018      -0.084     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.22%     -0.0004    #NAME?     #####     -0.22%     -0.0004    #####     #####     -1.86%     -0.003     #####     #####      -6.42%      -0.012    #####      #####      -6.42%      -0.012    #####      #####
2020     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0004%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.26%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.003         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.82%        -0.84%        -2.43%         -0.028           -0.005           -0.023         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.67%     -3.08%    -8.88%     -0.102      -0.018      -0.084     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.22%     -0.0004    #NAME?     #####     -0.22%     -0.0004    #####     #####     -1.87%     -0.003     #####     #####      -6.43%      -0.011    #####      #####      -6.43%      -0.011    #####      #####
2021     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0004%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.27%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.003         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.83%        -0.84%        -2.43%         -0.028           -0.005           -0.023         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.68%     -3.09%    -8.90%     -0.102      -0.018      -0.084     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.22%     -0.0004    #NAME?     #####     -0.22%     -0.0004    #####     #####     -1.87%     -0.003     #####     #####      -6.45%      -0.011    #####      #####      -6.45%      -0.011    #####      #####
2022     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0004%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.27%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.003         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.83%        -0.85%        -2.44%         -0.028           -0.005           -0.023         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.68%     -3.10%    -8.93%     -0.102      -0.018      -0.084     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.22%     -0.0004    #NAME?     #####     -0.22%     -0.0004    #####     #####     -1.87%     -0.003     #####     #####      -6.46%      -0.011    #####      #####      -6.46%      -0.011    #####      #####
2023     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0004%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.27%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.003         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.83%        -0.85%        -2.45%         -0.028           -0.005           -0.023         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.69%     -3.11%    -8.96%     -0.103      -0.019      -0.084     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.22%     -0.0004    #NAME?     #####     -0.22%     -0.0004    #####     #####     -1.88%     -0.003     #####     #####      -6.47%      -0.011    #####      #####      -6.47%      -0.011    #####      #####
2024     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0004%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.27%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.003         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.83%        -0.85%        -2.46%         -0.028           -0.005           -0.023         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.70%     -3.12%    -9.00%     -0.103      -0.019      -0.084     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.22%     -0.0004    #NAME?     #####     -0.22%     -0.0004    #####     #####     -1.88%     -0.003     #####     #####      -6.49%      -0.010    #####      #####      -6.49%      -0.010    #####      #####
2025     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0004%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.27%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.002         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.83%        -0.86%        -2.47%         -0.028           -0.005           -0.023         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.70%     -3.13%    -9.03%     -0.102      -0.019      -0.084     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.22%     -0.0003    #NAME?     #####     -0.22%     -0.0003    #####     #####     -1.89%     -0.003     #####     #####      -6.50%      -0.010    #####      #####      -6.50%      -0.010    #####      #####
2026     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0004%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.27%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.003         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.83%        -0.86%        -2.47%         -0.028           -0.005           -0.023         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.71%     -3.13%    -9.04%     -0.103      -0.019      -0.084     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.22%     -0.0003    #NAME?     #####     -0.22%     -0.0003    #####     #####     -1.89%     -0.003     #####     #####      -6.52%      -0.010    #####      #####      -6.52%      -0.010    #####      #####
2027     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0004%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.27%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.003         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.84%        -0.86%        -2.47%         -0.028           -0.005           -0.023         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.72%     -3.14%    -9.05%     -0.104      -0.019      -0.085     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.22%     -0.0003    #NAME?     #####     -0.22%     -0.0003    #####     #####     -1.90%     -0.003     #####     #####      -6.53%      -0.010    #####      #####      -6.53%      -0.010    #####      #####
2028     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0004%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.27%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.003         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.84%        -0.86%        -2.48%         -0.029           -0.005           -0.023         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.72%     -3.14%    -9.05%     -0.104      -0.019      -0.085     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.22%     -0.0003    #NAME?     #####     -0.22%     -0.0003    #####     #####     -1.90%     -0.003     #####     #####      -6.55%      -0.010    #####      #####      -6.55%      -0.010    #####      #####
2029     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0005%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.27%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.003         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.84%        -0.86%        -2.48%         -0.029           -0.005           -0.023         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.73%     -3.14%    -9.06%     -0.105      -0.019      -0.086     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.22%     -0.0003    #NAME?     #####     -0.22%     -0.0003    #####     #####     -1.90%     -0.003     #####     #####      -6.56%      -0.010    #####      #####      -6.56%      -0.010    #####      #####
2030     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0005%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.27%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.003         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.84%        -0.86%        -2.48%         -0.029           -0.005           -0.024         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.73%     -3.15%    -9.07%     -0.105      -0.019      -0.086     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.22%     -0.0003    #NAME?     #####     -0.22%     -0.0003    #####     #####     -1.91%     -0.003     #####     #####      -6.57%      -0.010    #####      #####      -6.57%      -0.010    #####      #####
2031     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0005%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.27%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.003         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.84%        -0.86%        -2.48%         -0.029           -0.005           -0.024         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.74%     -3.15%    -9.08%     -0.106      -0.020      -0.087     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.22%     -0.0003    #NAME?     #####     -0.22%     -0.0003    #####     #####     -1.91%     -0.003     #####     #####      -6.59%      -0.010    #####      #####      -6.59%      -0.010    #####      #####
2032     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0005%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.27%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.003         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.84%        -0.86%        -2.48%         -0.029           -0.005           -0.024         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.75%     -3.15%    -9.09%     -0.107      -0.020      -0.087     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.23%     -0.0003    #NAME?     #####     -0.23%     -0.0003    #####     #####     -1.92%     -0.003     #####     #####      -6.60%      -0.010    #####      #####      -6.60%      -0.010    #####      #####
2033     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0005%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.27%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.003         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.85%        -0.86%        -2.49%         -0.029           -0.005           -0.024         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.75%     -3.15%    -9.09%     -0.107      -0.020      -0.088     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.23%     -0.0003    #NAME?     #####     -0.23%     -0.0003    #####     #####     -1.92%     -0.003     #####     #####      -6.62%      -0.010    #####      #####      -6.62%      -0.010    #####      #####
2034     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0005%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.27%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.003         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.85%        -0.86%        -2.49%         -0.030           -0.005           -0.024         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.76%     -3.16%    -9.10%     -0.108      -0.020      -0.088     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.23%     -0.0003    #NAME?     #####     -0.23%     -0.0003    #####     #####     -1.92%     -0.003     #####     #####      -6.63%      -0.010    #####      #####      -6.63%      -0.010    #####      #####
2035     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0005%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.27%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.003         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.85%        -0.86%        -2.49%         -0.030           -0.005           -0.024         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.76%     -3.16%    -9.11%     -0.109      -0.020      -0.089     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.23%     -0.0003    #NAME?     #####     -0.23%     -0.0003    #####     #####     -1.93%     -0.003     #####     #####      -6.65%      -0.010    #####      #####      -6.65%      -0.010    #####      #####
2036     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0005%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.27%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.003         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.85%        -0.86%        -2.49%         -0.030           -0.005           -0.024         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.77%     -3.16%    -9.12%     -0.109      -0.020      -0.089     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.23%     -0.0004    #NAME?     #####     -0.23%     -0.0004    #####     #####     -1.93%     -0.003     #####     #####      -6.66%      -0.010    #####      #####      -6.66%      -0.010    #####      #####
2037     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0005%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.27%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.003         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.85%        -0.86%        -2.49%         -0.030           -0.006           -0.025         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.77%     -3.16%    -9.12%     -0.110      -0.020      -0.090     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.23%     -0.0004    #NAME?     #####     -0.23%     -0.0004    #####     #####     -1.94%     -0.003     #####     #####      -6.67%      -0.010    #####      #####      -6.67%      -0.010    #####      #####
2038     0.000%       -0.0002%      -0.0005%         0.0000           0.0000           0.0000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          0.000%        0.00%         0.00%           0.000            0.000            0.000         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -0.20%        -0.09%        -0.27%         -0.003           -0.001           -0.003         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?          -1.85%        -0.87%        -2.50%         -0.030           -0.006           -0.025         #NAME?        #NAME?        #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?         #NAME?        -6.78%     -3.17%    -9.13%     -0.110      -0.020      -0.090     #NAME?      ######    ######    ######    #NAME?    ######    -0.23%     -0.0004    #NAME?     #####     -0.23%     -0.0004    #####     #####     -1.94%     -0.003     #####     #####      -6.69%      -0.010    #####      #####      -6.69%      -0.010    #####      #####
           New Housing Market Shares



       Percent Electric Central Heating that is Electric Furnace                                     Percent Electric Central Heating which is Electric Furnace
                    46.1%                                                  NonCentral Heating decline factor            59%                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Southern Region Only - SF+MF                                All Regions Excluding South - SF+MF                                    Mobile Homes
                        Single and Multi-Family Homes                        0.978                                                        Mobile Homes                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Model Parameters                                             Model Parameters                                             Model Parameters
                             Base Case Market Shares                        Total     Gas share of                                  Base Case Market Shares                         Total                                                                                                                                                                                      Fuel       Equipment   2003 MS                              Fuel      Equipment   2003 MS                                 Fuel     Equipment 2003 MS
          Gas         Oil       Electric   Gas       Oil           Heat     Central   Gas + Electric      Gas            Oil         Electric       Gas             Oil     Heat    Central                         Change in                                                   Change in Gas to Electric Heating Price Ratio Relative to 1999                                 -0.84        -0.37      44.0%                               -0.34       -0.13      90.8%                                  -1.06      -0.50    35.7%                            Source: AEO 2002                                            National (weighted average) Gas Furnace Share of Gas Furnace +                                 GAS FURNACE SHARE OF TOTAL NEW HOUSING
        Furnace     Furnace     Furnace     Boilers     Boilers    Pump     Heating Central Heating     Furnace        Furnace        Furnace        Boilers      Boilers   Pump    Heating                         Gas to Electricity               Single and Multi Family Homes                                                         Mobile Homes                     Gas Furnace Share of Gas Furnace + Electric Central Heating Gas Furnace Share of Gas Furnace + Electric Central Heating                             MODEL                               Housing Starts - Single and Multi-Family Only                             Electric Central Heating                                 Single and Multi Family Homes                           Mobile Homes
1951     50.1%       5.0%        6.4%        6.3%        6.9%      4.6%      79.4%        81.9%          37.5%          5.0%           16.3%          0.0%        0.0%      6.0%    64.8%                           Price Ratio          Base Case     TSL 1     TSL 2      TSL 3    TSL 4        TSL 5      Base Case      TSL 1        TSL 2      TSL 3   TSL 4   TSL 5    Base Case     TSL 1       TSL 2     TSL 3   TSL 4   TSL 5   Base Case    TSL 1       TSL 2    TSL 3     TSL 4   TSL 5    Base Case     TSL 1    TSL 2    TSL 3   TSL 4   TSL 5      NE        MW       South       West      Percent South   Base Case    TSL 1      TSL 2      TSL 3      TSL 4     TSL 5    Base Case   TSL 1    TSL 2   TSL 3   TSL 4   TSL 5   Base Case   TSL 1   TSL 2   TSL 3   TSL 4   TSL 5
1952     50.1%       5.0%        6.4%        6.3%        6.9%      4.6%      79.4%        81.9%          37.5%          5.0%           16.3%          0.0%        0.0%      6.0%    64.8%                    2003           0%               0%          0%        0%         0%      0%           0%           0%           0%           0%         0%      0%      0%        44.0%       44.0%      44.0%      44.0%   44.0%   44.0%     90.8%      90.8%       90.8%    90.8%     90.8%   90.8%      35.7%       35.7%    35.7%    35.7%   35.7%   35.7%     0.186     0.311     0.718       0.460         42.9%         70.7%      70.7%      70.7%      70.7%     70.7%      70.7%      61.8%     61.8%    61.8%   61.8%   61.8%   61.8%    27.2%      27.2%   27.2%   27.2%   27.2%   27.2%
1953     50.1%       5.0%        6.4%        6.3%        6.9%      4.6%      79.4%        81.9%          37.5%          5.0%           16.3%          0.0%        0.0%      6.0%    64.8%                    2004          8.8%              0%          0%        0%         0%      0%           0%           0%           0%           0%         0%      0%      0%        40.7%       40.7%      40.7%      40.7%   40.7%   40.7%     88.1%      88.1%       88.1%    88.1%     88.1%   88.1%      32.4%       32.4%    32.4%    32.4%   32.4%   32.4%     0.188     0.313     0.718       0.463         42.7%         67.9%      67.9%      67.9%      67.9%     67.9%      67.9%      59.2%     59.2%    59.2%   59.2%   59.2%   59.2%    28.1%      28.1%   28.1%   28.1%   28.1%   28.1%
1954     50.1%       5.0%        6.4%        6.3%        6.9%      4.6%      79.4%        81.9%          37.5%          5.0%           16.3%          0.0%        0.0%      6.0%    64.8%                    2005         10.0%              0%          0%        0%         0%      0%           0%           0%           0%           0%         0%      0%      0%        40.3%       40.3%      40.3%      40.3%   40.3%   40.3%     87.7%      87.7%       87.7%    87.7%     87.7%   87.7%      31.9%       31.9%    31.9%    31.9%   31.9%   31.9%     0.184     0.301     0.691       0.445         42.6%         67.5%      67.5%      67.5%      67.5%     67.5%      67.5%      59.0%     59.0%    59.0%   59.0%   59.0%   59.0%    27.7%      27.7%   27.7%   27.7%   27.7%   27.7%
1955     50.1%       5.0%        6.4%        6.3%        6.9%      4.6%      79.4%        81.9%          37.5%          5.0%           16.3%          0.0%        0.0%      6.0%    64.8%                    2006          5.3%              0%          0%        0%         0%      0%           0%           0%           0%           0%         0%      0%      0%        42.0%       42.0%      42.0%      42.0%   42.0%   42.0%     89.1%      89.1%       89.1%    89.1%     89.1%   89.1%      33.7%       33.7%    33.7%    33.7%   33.7%   33.7%     0.178     0.290     0.661       0.424         42.6%         69.1%      69.1%      69.1%      69.1%     69.1%      69.1%      60.5%     60.5%    60.5%   60.5%   60.5%   60.5%    29.3%      29.3%   29.3%   29.3%   29.3%   29.3%
1956     49.8%       4.8%        6.9%        6.3%        6.7%      4.9%      79.5%        80.8%          38.4%          4.9%           16.6%          0.0%        0.0%      6.0%    66.0%                    2007          3.1%              0%          0%        0%         0%      0%           0%           0%           0%           0%         0%      0%      0%        42.8%       42.8%      42.8%      42.8%   42.8%   42.8%     89.8%      89.8%       89.8%    89.8%     89.8%   89.8%      34.5%       34.5%    34.5%    34.5%   34.5%   34.5%     0.175     0.284     0.650       0.413         42.7%         69.7%      69.7%      69.7%      69.7%     69.7%      69.7%      61.1%     61.1%    61.1%   61.1%   61.1%   61.1%    30.1%      30.1%   30.1%   30.1%   30.1%   30.1%
1957     49.6%       4.7%        7.4%        6.3%        6.5%      5.2%      79.6%        79.8%          39.4%          4.9%           17.0%          0.0%        0.0%      6.0%    67.2%                    2008         -0.6%              0%          0%        0%         0%      0%           0%           0%           0%           0%         0%      0%      0%        44.2%       44.2%      44.2%      44.2%   44.2%   44.2%     90.9%      90.9%       90.9%    90.9%     90.9%   90.9%      35.9%       35.9%    35.9%    35.9%   35.9%   35.9%     0.173     0.282     0.646       0.409         42.8%         70.9%      70.9%      70.9%      70.9%     70.9%      70.9%      62.3%     62.3%    62.3%   62.3%   62.3%   62.3%    31.4%      31.4%   31.4%   31.4%   31.4%   31.4%
1958     49.3%       4.5%        7.8%        6.3%        6.3%      5.5%      79.8%        78.8%          40.3%          4.8%           17.3%          0.0%        0.0%      5.9%    68.4%                    2009         -3.8%              0%          0%        0%         0%      0%           0%           0%           0%           0%         0%      0%      0%        45.3%       45.3%      45.3%      45.3%   45.3%   45.3%     91.9%      91.9%       91.9%    91.9%     91.9%   91.9%      37.1%       37.1%    37.1%    37.1%   37.1%   37.1%     0.167     0.278     0.635       0.399         42.9%         71.9%      71.9%      71.9%      71.9%     71.9%      71.9%      63.2%     63.2%    63.2%   63.2%   63.2%   63.2%    32.5%      32.5%   32.5%   32.5%   32.5%   32.5%
1959     49.1%       4.3%        8.3%        6.3%        6.1%      5.7%      79.9%        77.8%          41.3%          4.8%           17.6%          0.0%        0.0%      5.9%    69.6%                    2010         -6.4%              0%          0%        0%         0%      0%           0%           0%           0%           0%         0%      0%      0%        46.3%       46.3%      46.3%      46.3%   46.3%   46.3%     92.7%      92.7%       92.7%    92.7%     92.7%   92.7%      38.1%       38.1%    38.1%    38.1%   38.1%   38.1%     0.166     0.279     0.640       0.399         43.1%         72.7%      72.7%      72.7%      72.7%     72.7%      72.7%      64.0%     64.0%    64.0%   64.0%   64.0%   64.0%    33.5%      33.5%   33.5%   33.5%   33.5%   33.5%
1960     48.8%       4.2%        8.7%        6.4%        5.9%      6.0%      80.0%        76.8%          42.3%          4.8%           18.0%          0.0%        0.0%      5.8%    70.8%                    2011         -7.7%              0%          0%        0%         0%      0%           0%           0%           0%           0%         0%      0%      0%        46.8%       46.8%      46.8%      46.8%   46.8%   46.8%     93.1%      93.1%       93.1%    93.1%     93.1%   93.1%      38.6%       38.6%    38.6%    38.6%   38.6%   38.6%     0.174     0.299     0.686       0.422         43.4%         73.0%      73.0%      73.0%      73.0%     73.0%      73.0%      64.4%     64.4%    64.4%   64.4%   64.4%   64.4%    34.0%      34.0%   34.0%   34.0%   34.0%   34.0%
1961     48.6%       4.0%        9.2%        6.4%        5.7%      6.3%      80.1%        75.8%          43.2%          4.7%           18.3%          0.0%        0.0%      5.8%    72.1%                    2012         -7.3%              0%          0%        0%         0%      0%           0%           0%           0%           0%         0%      0%      0%        46.7%       46.7%      46.7%      46.7%   46.7%   46.7%     93.0%      93.0%       93.0%    93.0%     93.0%   93.0%      38.4%       38.4%    38.4%    38.4%   38.4%   38.4%     0.177     0.305     0.707       0.431         43.6%         72.8%      72.8%      72.8%      72.8%     72.8%      72.8%      64.3%     64.3%    64.3%   64.3%   64.3%   64.3%    33.9%      33.9%   33.9%   33.9%   33.9%   33.9%
1962     48.3%       3.8%        9.7%        6.4%        5.5%      6.5%      80.3%        74.9%          44.2%          4.7%           18.6%          0.0%        0.0%      5.8%    73.3%                    2013         -6.6%              0%          0%        0%         0%      0%           0%           0%           0%           0%         0%      0%      0%        46.4%       46.4%      46.4%      46.4%   46.4%   46.4%     92.8%      92.8%       92.8%    92.8%     92.8%   92.8%      38.2%       38.2%    38.2%    38.2%   38.2%   38.2%     0.177     0.305     0.714       0.436         43.8%         72.5%      72.5%      72.5%      72.5%     72.5%      72.5%      64.1%     64.1%    64.1%   64.1%   64.1%   64.1%    33.8%      33.8%   33.8%   33.8%   33.8%   33.8%
1963     48.1%       3.7%        10.1%       6.4%        5.3%      6.8%      80.4%        73.9%          45.1%          4.6%           19.0%          0.0%        0.0%      5.7%    74.5%                    2014         -5.6%              0%          0%        0%         0%      0%           0%           0%           0%           0%         0%      0%      0%        46.0%       46.0%      46.0%      46.0%   46.0%   46.0%     92.5%      92.5%       92.5%    92.5%     92.5%   92.5%      37.8%       37.8%    37.8%    37.8%   37.8%   37.8%     0.177     0.300     0.715       0.442         43.7%         72.2%      72.2%      72.2%      72.2%     72.2%      72.2%      63.9%     63.9%    63.9%   63.9%   63.9%   63.9%    33.5%      33.5%   33.5%   33.5%   33.5%   33.5%
1964     47.8%       3.5%        10.6%       6.4%        5.1%      7.1%      80.5%        73.0%          46.1%          4.6%           19.3%          0.0%        0.0%      5.7%    75.7%                    2015         -4.2%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       45.5%       45.5%      45.5%      45.2%   43.1%   36.6%     92.1%      92.1%       92.1%    91.9%     90.3%   85.7%      37.3%       37.0%    37.0%    35.2%   30.1%   30.1%     0.176     0.295     0.710       0.444         43.7%         71.7%      71.7%      71.7%      71.5%     69.7%      64.2%      63.6%     63.6%    63.6%   63.4%   61.8%   56.9%    33.1%      32.9%   32.9%   31.3%   26.8%   26.8%
1965     47.5%       3.3%        11.1%       6.4%        4.9%      7.3%      80.6%        72.1%          47.1%          4.5%           19.6%          0.0%        0.0%      5.7%    76.9%                    2016         -4.2%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       45.5%       45.5%      45.5%      45.3%   43.1%   36.6%     92.1%      92.1%       92.1%    91.9%     90.3%   85.7%      37.3%       37.0%    37.0%    35.2%   30.1%   30.1%     0.175     0.296     0.709       0.447         43.6%         71.8%      71.8%      71.8%      71.5%     69.7%      64.3%      63.7%     63.7%    63.7%   63.5%   61.9%   57.0%    33.2%      33.0%   33.0%   31.4%   26.8%   26.8%
1966     46.7%       3.2%        12.1%       6.2%        4.6%      7.8%      80.6%        70.1%          46.9%          4.5%           19.5%          0.0%        0.0%      6.0%    76.9%                    2017         -4.4%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       45.6%       45.6%      45.6%      45.3%   43.1%   36.7%     92.1%      92.1%       92.1%    91.9%     90.4%   85.7%      37.3%       37.1%    37.1%    35.3%   30.2%   30.2%     0.172     0.293     0.708       0.448         43.7%         71.8%      71.8%      71.8%      71.6%     69.8%      64.3%      63.8%     63.8%    63.8%   63.6%   62.0%   57.1%    33.3%      33.1%   33.1%   31.5%   27.0%   27.0%
1967     45.8%       3.1%        13.1%       5.9%        4.4%      8.2%      80.5%        68.2%          46.7%          4.5%           19.3%          0.1%        0.0%      6.4%    77.0%                    2018         -3.6%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       45.3%       45.3%      45.3%      45.0%   42.9%   36.4%     91.9%      91.9%       91.9%    91.7%     90.1%   85.5%      37.0%       36.8%    36.8%    35.0%   29.9%   29.9%     0.168     0.287     0.701       0.447         43.7%         71.5%      71.5%      71.5%      71.3%     69.5%      64.0%      63.6%     63.6%    63.6%   63.4%   61.8%   57.0%    33.2%      32.9%   32.9%   31.3%   26.8%   26.8%
1968     44.9%       3.0%        14.1%       5.7%        4.1%      8.7%      80.5%        66.3%          46.5%          4.4%           19.2%          0.1%        0.0%      6.7%    77.0%                    2019         -2.4%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       44.8%       44.8%      44.8%      44.6%   42.4%   35.9%     91.5%      91.5%       91.5%    91.3%     89.7%   85.1%      36.6%       36.3%    36.3%    34.5%   29.4%   29.4%     0.163     0.280     0.692       0.448         43.7%         71.1%      71.1%      71.1%      70.9%     69.0%      63.6%      63.3%     63.3%    63.3%   63.1%   61.5%   56.6%    32.8%      32.6%   32.6%   30.9%   26.4%   26.4%
1969     44.0%       2.9%        15.1%       5.4%        3.8%      9.2%      80.4%        64.4%          46.3%          4.4%           19.0%          0.2%        0.1%      7.1%    77.0%                    2020         -1.0%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       44.3%       44.3%      44.3%      44.1%   41.9%   35.4%     91.1%      91.1%       91.1%    90.9%     89.3%   84.7%      36.1%       35.8%    35.8%    34.0%   28.9%   28.9%     0.159     0.273     0.680       0.446         43.6%         70.7%      70.7%      70.7%      70.5%     68.6%      63.2%      63.0%     63.0%    63.0%   62.8%   61.2%   56.3%    32.4%      32.2%   32.2%   30.6%   26.0%   26.0%
1970     43.1%       2.8%        16.1%       5.2%        3.6%      9.6%      80.4%        62.6%          46.1%          4.3%           18.9%          0.2%        0.1%      7.4%    77.0%                    2021          0.1%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       43.9%       43.9%      43.9%      43.7%   41.5%   35.0%     90.7%      90.7%       90.7%    90.5%     89.0%   84.4%      35.6%       35.4%    35.4%    33.6%   28.5%   28.5%     0.159     0.273     0.680       0.446         43.6%         70.3%      70.3%      70.3%      70.1%     68.3%      62.8%      62.7%     62.7%    62.7%   62.5%   60.9%   56.1%    32.1%      31.9%   31.9%   30.2%   25.7%   25.7%
1971     42.2%       2.7%        17.2%       4.9%        3.3%      10.1%     80.3%        60.8%          46.0%          4.3%           18.7%          0.2%        0.1%      7.8%    77.0%                    2022          1.1%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       43.6%       43.6%      43.6%      43.3%   41.1%   34.7%     90.4%      90.4%       90.4%    90.2%     88.7%   84.0%      35.3%       35.0%    35.0%    33.2%   28.1%   28.1%     0.159     0.273     0.680       0.446         43.6%         70.0%      70.0%      70.0%      69.8%     67.9%      62.5%      62.5%     62.5%    62.5%   62.3%   60.7%   55.8%    31.8%      31.6%   31.6%   30.0%   25.4%   25.4%
1972     41.3%       2.6%        18.2%       4.7%        3.0%      10.5%     80.3%        59.0%          45.8%          4.2%           18.5%          0.3%        0.1%      8.1%    77.0%                    2023          1.6%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       43.4%       43.4%      43.4%      43.1%   40.9%   34.5%     90.3%      90.3%       90.3%    90.1%     88.5%   83.9%      35.1%       34.8%    34.8%    33.0%   27.9%   27.9%     0.159     0.273     0.680       0.446         43.6%         69.8%      69.8%      69.8%      69.6%     67.8%      62.3%      62.4%     62.4%    62.4%   62.2%   60.6%   55.7%    31.7%      31.5%   31.5%   29.9%   25.3%   25.3%
1973     39.2%       2.8%        19.2%       4.2%        3.4%      12.2%     81.0%        55.5%          45.0%          4.3%           19.3%          0.3%        0.1%      8.1%    77.1%                    2024          2.5%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       43.1%       43.1%      43.1%      42.8%   40.6%   34.1%     90.0%      90.0%       90.0%    89.8%     88.3%   83.6%      34.7%       34.5%    34.5%    32.7%   27.6%   27.6%     0.159     0.273     0.680       0.446         43.6%         69.5%      69.5%      69.5%      69.3%     67.5%      62.0%      62.2%     62.2%    62.2%   62.0%   60.4%   55.5%    31.5%      31.3%   31.3%   29.6%   25.0%   25.0%
1974      32%          2%         22%         3%          3%        18%      80.0%        44.9%          44.2%          4.3%           20.1%          0.2%        0.1%      8.1%    77.1%                    2025          3.1%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       42.8%       42.8%      42.8%      42.6%   40.4%   33.9%     89.8%      89.8%       89.8%    89.6%     88.1%   83.4%      34.5%       34.3%    34.3%    32.4%   27.3%   27.3%     0.159     0.273     0.680       0.446         43.6%         69.3%      69.3%      69.3%      69.1%     67.3%      61.8%      62.1%     62.1%    62.1%   61.9%   60.3%   55.4%    31.4%      31.1%   31.1%   29.5%   24.9%   24.9%
1975      32%          2%         21%         3%          4%        18%      79.4%        44.9%          43.4%          4.4%           20.9%          0.2%        0.1%      8.1%    77.1%                    2026          3.9%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       42.5%       42.5%      42.5%      42.3%   40.1%   33.6%     89.6%      89.6%       89.6%    89.4%     87.8%   83.2%      34.2%       34.0%    34.0%    32.1%   27.0%   27.0%     0.159     0.273     0.680       0.446         43.6%         69.0%      69.0%      69.0%      68.8%     67.0%      61.6%      61.9%     61.9%    61.9%   61.7%   60.1%   55.2%    31.2%      30.9%   30.9%   29.3%   24.6%   24.6%
1976      32%          4%         21%         3%          6%        18%      83.3%        45.4%          42.6%          4.4%           21.7%          0.2%        0.1%      8.1%    77.1%                    2027          4.7%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       42.2%       42.2%      42.2%      42.0%   39.8%   33.3%     89.3%      89.3%       89.3%    89.1%     87.6%   82.9%      33.9%       33.7%    33.7%    31.8%   26.8%   26.8%     0.159     0.273     0.680       0.446         43.6%         68.8%      68.8%      68.8%      68.5%     66.7%      61.3%      61.7%     61.7%    61.7%   61.5%   59.9%   55.0%    31.0%      30.7%   30.7%   29.1%   24.4%   24.4%
1977      31%          3%         23%         3%          5%        19%      83.8%        42.1%          41.8%          4.5%           22.4%          0.2%        0.2%      8.1%    77.2%                    2028          5.5%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       41.9%       41.9%      41.9%      41.7%   39.5%   33.0%     89.1%      89.1%       89.1%    88.9%     87.3%   82.7%      33.6%       33.4%    33.4%    31.5%   26.5%   26.5%     0.159     0.273     0.680       0.446         43.6%         68.5%      68.5%      68.5%      68.3%     66.5%      61.0%      61.6%     61.6%    61.6%   61.4%   59.7%   54.8%    30.8%      30.5%   30.5%   28.9%   24.2%   24.2%
1978      30%          3%         25%         2%          4%        20%      84.5%        39.9%          41.4%          4.0%           22.0%          0.1%        0.1%      10.5%   78.2%                    2029          6.3%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       41.7%       41.7%      41.7%      41.4%   39.2%   32.7%     88.8%      88.8%       88.8%    88.6%     87.1%   82.4%      33.3%       33.1%    33.1%    31.2%   26.1%   26.1%     0.159     0.273     0.680       0.446         43.6%         68.2%      68.2%      68.2%      68.0%     66.2%      60.8%      61.4%     61.4%    61.4%   61.2%   59.5%   54.7%    30.5%      30.3%   30.3%   28.6%   24.0%   24.0%
1979      31%          3%         26%         2%          3%        20%      85.6%        40.3%          41.0%          3.6%           21.6%          0.1%        0.1%      12.9%   79.3%                    2030          7.1%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       41.4%       41.4%      41.4%      41.1%   38.9%   32.5%     88.6%      88.6%       88.6%    88.4%     86.8%   82.2%      33.0%       32.8%    32.8%    30.9%   25.8%   25.8%     0.159     0.273     0.680       0.446         43.6%         68.0%      68.0%      68.0%      67.7%     65.9%      60.5%      61.2%     61.2%    61.2%   61.0%   59.4%   54.5%    30.3%      30.1%   30.1%   28.4%   23.8%   23.8%
1980      33%          1%         27%         2%          1%        21%      85.6%        41.1%          40.7%          3.1%           21.2%          0.1%        0.1%      15.4%   80.4%                    2031          7.9%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       41.1%       41.1%      41.1%      40.8%   38.6%   32.2%     88.3%      88.3%       88.3%    88.1%     86.6%   81.9%      32.7%       32.4%    32.4%    30.6%   25.5%   25.5%     0.159     0.273     0.680       0.446         43.6%         67.7%      67.7%      67.7%      67.5%     65.7%      60.2%      61.0%     61.0%    61.0%   60.8%   59.2%   54.3%    30.1%      29.9%   29.9%   28.2%   23.5%   23.5%
1981      34%          1%         25%         2%          1%        21%      84.5%        42.1%          40.3%          2.6%           20.7%          0.0%        0.0%      17.8%   81.5%                    2032          8.7%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       40.8%       40.8%      40.8%      40.5%   38.3%   31.9%     88.1%      88.1%       88.1%    87.9%     86.3%   81.7%      32.4%       32.1%    32.1%    30.3%   25.2%   25.2%     0.159     0.273     0.680       0.446         43.6%         67.4%      67.4%      67.4%      67.2%     65.4%      59.9%      60.8%     60.8%    60.8%   60.6%   59.0%   54.1%    29.9%      29.7%   29.7%   28.0%   23.3%   23.3%
1982      31%          1%         25%         2%          1%        23%      83.6%        39.9%          39.9%          2.2%           20.3%          0.0%        0.0%      20.2%   82.6%                    2033          9.5%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       40.5%       40.5%      40.5%      40.2%   38.0%   31.6%     87.8%      87.8%       87.8%    87.6%     86.1%   81.4%      32.1%       31.8%    31.8%    30.0%   24.9%   24.9%     0.159     0.273     0.680       0.446         43.6%         67.1%      67.1%      67.1%      66.9%     65.1%      59.7%      60.6%     60.6%    60.6%   60.4%   58.8%   53.9%    29.7%      29.4%   29.4%   27.7%   23.0%   23.0%
1983      34%          1%         23%         2%          1%        23%      84.7%        42.4%          40.7%          2.5%           21.5%          0.1%        0.0%      18.3%   83.1%                    2034         10.4%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       40.2%       40.2%      40.2%      39.9%   37.7%   31.2%     87.6%      87.6%       87.6%    87.4%     85.8%   81.2%      31.8%       31.5%    31.5%    29.7%   24.6%   24.6%     0.159     0.273     0.680       0.446         43.6%         66.9%      66.9%      66.9%      66.6%     64.8%      59.4%      60.4%     60.4%    60.4%   60.2%   58.6%   53.7%    29.4%      29.2%   29.2%   27.5%   22.8%   22.8%
1984      34%          1%         23%         2%          1%        25%      85.2%        41.6%          41.4%          2.8%           22.8%          0.1%        0.0%      16.4%   83.6%                    2035         11.2%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       39.8%       39.8%      39.8%      39.6%   37.4%   30.9%     87.3%      87.3%       87.3%    87.1%     85.6%   80.9%      31.4%       31.2%    31.2%    29.4%   24.3%   24.3%     0.159     0.273     0.680       0.446         43.6%         66.6%      66.6%      66.6%      66.4%     64.5%      59.1%      60.2%     60.2%    60.2%   60.0%   58.4%   53.4%    29.2%      29.0%   29.0%   27.3%   22.6%   22.6%
1985      35%          1%         21%         2%          1%        25%      85.6%        43.0%          42.2%          3.2%           24.0%          0.2%        0.0%      14.5%   84.1%                    2036         12.0%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       39.5%       39.5%      39.5%      39.3%   37.1%   30.6%     87.0%      87.0%       87.0%    86.9%     85.3%   80.7%      31.1%       30.9%    30.9%    29.0%   24.0%   24.0%     0.159     0.273     0.680       0.446         43.6%         66.3%      66.3%      66.3%      66.1%     64.3%      58.8%      60.0%     60.0%    60.0%   59.8%   58.1%   53.2%    29.0%      28.7%   28.7%   27.0%   22.3%   22.3%
1986      38%          1%         19%         2%          2%        23%      86.5%        47.4%          43.0%          3.5%           25.2%          0.3%        0.0%      12.7%   84.6%                    2037         12.9%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       39.2%       39.2%      39.2%      39.0%   36.8%   30.3%     86.8%      86.8%       86.8%    86.6%     85.0%   80.4%      30.8%       30.6%    30.6%    28.7%   23.6%   23.6%     0.159     0.273     0.680       0.446         43.6%         66.0%      66.0%      66.0%      65.8%     64.0%      58.5%      59.8%     59.8%    59.8%   59.6%   57.9%   53.0%    28.7%      28.5%   28.5%   26.8%   22.1%   22.1%
1987      44%          1%         17%         2%          2%        21%      87.6%        53.7%          43.7%          3.8%           26.4%          0.3%        0.0%      10.8%   85.0%                    2038         13.7%             0.0%        0.0%      0.0%       1.7%    15.1%        55.3%         0%           1%           1%         12%     40%     40%       38.9%       38.9%      38.9%      38.6%   36.5%   30.0%     86.5%      86.5%       86.5%    86.3%     84.8%   80.1%      30.5%       30.2%    30.2%    28.4%   23.3%   23.3%     0.159     0.273     0.680       0.446         43.6%         65.7%      65.7%      65.7%      65.5%     63.7%      58.3%      59.6%     59.6%    59.6%   59.4%   57.7%   52.8%    28.5%      28.3%   28.3%   26.6%   21.8%   21.8%
1988      47%          1%         15%         2%          3%        20%      88.4%        57.0%          40.8%          2.8%           28.2%          0.2%        0.0%      15.9%   87.9%
1989      49%          1%         14%         2%          3%        20%      89.0%        59.3%          37.8%          1.8%           30.0%          0.1%        0.0%      21.0%   90.7%
1990      51%          1%         14%         1%          3%        19%      89.6%        61.0%          34.9%          0.9%           31.8%          0.0%        0.0%      26.1%   93.6%
1991      48%          1%         12%         4%          3%        18%      85.9%        61.8%          48.5%          0.0%           34.0%          0.0%        0.0%      13.5%   96.1%
1992      58%          1%         10%         3%          2%        18%      92.3%        66.9%          24.2%          0.0%           27.7%          0.0%        0.0%      39.7%   91.6%
1993      57%          1%         14%         4%          2%        14%      91.7%        66.7%          38.5%          0.7%           45.5%          0.0%        0.0%      8.4%    93.1%
1994      58%          1%         10%         3%          1%        18%      91.8%        67.7%          41.1%          3.5%           33.7%          0.0%        0.0%      12.9%   91.2%
1995      58%          1%         11%         3%          2%        17%      92.8%        66.8%          51.0%          0.0%           31.8%          0.0%        0.0%      7.6%    90.3%
1996      59%          1%         12%         3%          1%        17%      92.6%        67.8%          39.4%          0.0%           30.4%          0.0%        0.0%      20.9%   90.7%
1997      60%          2%         13%         3%          1%        17%      95.0%        66.8%          32.5%          1.2%           48.1%          0.0%        0.0%      12.8%   94.5%
1998      60%          1%         13%         2%          1%        16%      92.9%        67.4%          26.5%          3.8%           36.3%          0.0%        0.0%      24.7%   91.3%     Gas/Electric
1999      57%        0.5%         13%        4.1%        1.9%       17%      93.6%        65.8%          39.9%          0.2%           36.9%          0.0%        0.0%      17.4%   94.4%        42.3%
2000      58%        0.5%         13%        4.1%        1.9%       16%      93.6%        66.5%          33.9%          1.0%           30.3%          0.0%        0.0%      24.2%   89.4%        38.3%
2001      58%        0.5%         13%        4.1%        1.7%       16%      93.4%        66.9%          25.7%          7.9%           23.9%          0.0%        0.0%      34.4%   91.8%        30.6%
2002      57%        0.5%         13%        4.1%        1.9%       17%      93.5%        65.7%          30.5%          0.0%           32.4%          0.0%        0.0%      19.1%   82.1%        37.2%
2003      60%        0.4%         12%        4.2%        1.5%       16%      93.5%        68.2%          22.8%          15.1%          53.4%          0.0%        0.0%      0.0%    91.4%        29.9%
2004     59.2%       0.47%       12.9%       4.1%        1.8%      15.1%     93.6%        67.9%          28.1%          4.86%          34.4%          0.00%       0.00%     24.2%   91.6%
2005     59.0%       0.5%        13.1%       4.1%        1.8%      15.3%     93.8%        67.5%          27.7%          4.9%           34.7%          0.0%        0.0%      24.5%   91.8%
2006     60.5%       0.5%        12.5%       4.1%        1.8%      14.6%     93.9%        69.1%          29.3%          4.9%           33.9%          0.0%        0.0%      23.9%   92.0%
2007     61.1%       0.5%        12.2%       4.1%        1.8%      14.3%     94.0%        69.7%          30.1%          4.9%           33.5%          0.0%        0.0%      23.6%   92.2%
2008     62.3%       0.5%        11.8%       4.1%        1.8%      13.7%     94.2%        70.9%          31.4%          4.9%           32.9%          0.0%        0.0%      23.2%   92.4%
2009     63.2%       0.5%        11.4%       4.1%        1.8%      13.3%     94.3%        71.9%          32.5%          4.9%           32.4%          0.0%        0.0%      22.8%   92.6%
2010     64.0%        0.5%       11.1%       4.1%        1.8%      12.9%     94.4%        72.7%          33.5%           4.9%          31.9%           0.0%        0.0%     22.5%   92.8%
2011     64.4%       0.5%        11.0%       4.1%        1.8%      12.8%     94.5%        73.0%          34.0%          4.9%           31.7%          0.0%        0.0%      22.4%   93.0%
2012     64.3%       0.5%        11.1%       4.1%        1.8%      12.9%     94.7%        72.8%         33.95%          4.9%           31.9%          0.0%        0.0%      22.5%   93.2%
2013     64.1%       0.5%        11.2%       4.1%        1.8%      13.1%     94.8%        72.5%          33.8%          4.9%           32.1%          0.0%        0.0%      22.6%   93.4%
2014     63.9%       0.5%        11.4%       4.1%        1.8%      13.3%     94.9%        72.2%          33.5%          4.9%           32.4%          0.0%        0.0%      22.8%   93.6%
2015     63.6%       0.5%        11.6%       4.1%        1.8%      13.5%     95.0%        71.7%          33.1%          4.9%           32.7%          0.0%        0.0%      23.1%   93.8%
2016     63.7%       0.5%        11.6%       4.1%        1.8%      13.5%     95.1%        71.8%          33.2%          4.9%           32.8%          0.0%        0.0%      23.1%   94.0%
2017     63.8%       0.5%        11.6%       4.1%        1.8%      13.5%     95.2%        71.8%          33.3%          4.9%           32.8%          0.0%        0.0%      23.1%   94.2%
2018     63.6%       0.5%        11.7%       4.1%        1.8%      13.7%     95.3%        71.5%          33.2%          4.9%           33.1%          0.0%        0.0%      23.3%   94.4%
2019     63.3%       0.5%        11.9%       4.1%        1.8%      13.9%     95.4%        71.1%          32.8%          4.9%           33.4%          0.0%        0.0%      23.5%   94.6%
2020     63.0%        0.5%       12.1%       4.1%        1.8%      14.1%     95.5%        70.7%          32.4%           4.9%          33.7%           0.0%        0.0%     23.8%   94.8%
2021     62.7%       0.5%        12.2%       4.1%        1.8%      14.3%     95.6%        70.3%          32.1%          4.9%           34.0%          0.0%        0.0%      24.0%   95.0%
2022     62.5%       0.5%        12.4%       4.1%        1.8%      14.5%     95.7%        70.0%          31.8%          4.9%           34.3%          0.0%        0.0%      24.2%   95.2%
2023     62.4%       0.5%        12.5%       4.1%        1.8%      14.6%     95.8%        69.8%          31.7%          4.9%           34.5%          0.0%        0.0%      24.3%   95.4%
2024     62.2%       0.5%        12.6%       4.1%        1.8%      14.7%     95.9%        69.5%          31.5%          4.9%           34.7%          0.0%        0.0%      24.5%   95.6%
2025     62.1%       0.5%        12.7%       4.1%        1.8%      14.8%     96.0%        69.3%          31.4%          4.9%           34.9%          0.0%        0.0%      24.6%   95.8%
2026     61.9%       0.5%        12.8%       4.1%        1.8%      15.0%     96.1%        69.0%          31.2%          4.9%           35.2%          0.0%        0.0%      24.8%   96.0%
2027     61.7%       0.5%        12.9%       4.1%        1.8%      15.1%     96.2%        68.8%          31.0%          4.9%           35.4%          0.0%        0.0%      24.9%   96.2%
2028     61.6%       0.5%        13.1%       4.1%        1.8%      15.2%     96.3%        68.5%          30.8%          4.9%           35.6%          0.0%        0.0%      25.1%   96.4%
2029     61.4%       0.5%        13.2%       4.1%        1.8%      15.4%     96.3%        68.2%          30.5%          4.9%           35.9%          0.0%        0.0%      25.3%   96.6%
2030     61.2%        0.5%       13.3%       4.1%        1.8%      15.5%     96.4%        68.0%          30.3%           4.9%          36.1%           0.0%        0.0%     25.5%   96.8%
2031     61.0%       0.5%        13.4%       4.1%        1.8%      15.7%     96.5%        67.7%          30.1%          4.9%           36.4%          0.0%        0.0%      25.6%   97.0%
2032     60.8%       0.5%        13.6%       4.1%        1.8%      15.8%     96.6%        67.4%          29.9%          4.9%           36.6%          0.0%        0.0%      25.8%   97.2%
2033     60.6%       0.5%        13.7%       4.1%        1.8%      16.0%     96.6%        67.1%          29.7%          4.9%           36.9%          0.0%        0.0%      26.0%   97.4%
2034     60.4%       0.5%        13.8%       4.1%        1.8%      16.1%     96.7%        66.9%          29.4%          4.9%           37.1%          0.0%        0.0%      26.2%   97.6%
2035     60.2%       0.5%        13.9%       4.1%        1.8%      16.3%     96.8%        66.6%          29.2%          4.9%           37.4%          0.0%        0.0%      26.3%   97.8%
2036     60.0%       0.5%        14.1%       4.1%        1.8%      16.4%     96.9%        66.3%          29.0%          4.9%           37.6%          0.0%        0.0%      26.5%   98.0%
2037     59.8%       0.5%        14.2%       4.1%        1.8%      16.6%     96.9%        66.0%          28.7%          4.9%           37.9%          0.0%        0.0%      26.7%   98.2%
2038     59.6%       0.5%        14.3%       4.1%        1.8%      16.7%     97.0%        65.7%          28.5%          4.9%           38.1%          0.0%        0.0%      26.9%   98.4%
  Market Share Model to
  Determine Elasticities
                      American Housing Survey Data
                      Southern Region Only
                          AHS DATA          Weights                    Fuel Prices
 Vintage               % With                                                        Rel.l to
            Vintage                                    Gas     Elec    Gas / Elec
  Range                 Gas                                                           1965
1930-1939    1935       69.6%      6.7%      109
1940-1949    1945       71.4%     5.09%      197
1950-1959    1955       70.7%     3.58%      390
1960-1969    1965       61.5%     2.69%      521       102.4   169.1     0.605       1.000
1970-1974    1972       47.2%     2.55%      345        99.9   160.9     0.621       1.025
1975-1978    1976       37.0%     2.36%      245       120.5   176.3     0.684       1.129
   1979      1979       29.1%     3.01%       93       137.6   156.6     0.879       1.451
   1980      1980       26.6%     4.12%       42       137.8   157.1     0.877       1.449
   1981      1981       31.8%     5.10%       39       145.9   167.7     0.870       1.437
   1982      1982       28.0%     4.75%       35       167.6   175.1     0.957       1.581
   1983      1983       27.0%     4.03%       45       184.2   177.1     1.040       1.718
   1984      1984       28.7%     3.88%       55       179.0   179.0     1.000       1.652
   1985      1985       25.8%     3.50%       55       168.7   176.9     0.953       1.575
   1986      1986       36.6%     4.50%       66       159.6   174.5     0.915       1.511
   1987      1987       29.2%     4.28%       47       151.2   166.2     0.910       1.503
   1988      1988       26.5%     4.26%       39       147.6   162.4     0.909       1.501
   1989      1989       33.4%     4.72%       50       144.7   157.8     0.917       1.514
   1990      1990       28.2%     4.94%       33       140.2   152.7     0.918       1.517
   1991      1991       31.1%     4.86%       41       134.6   150.6     0.894       1.476
   1992      1992       33.3%     5.22%       41       131.3   149.1     0.881       1.455
   1993      1993       33.3%     4.84%       47       137.9   147.3     0.936       1.546
   1994      1994       39.1%     5.63%       48       135.3   143.5     0.943       1.557
   1995      1995       38.1%     6.78%       32       124.6   140.3     0.888       1.467



                      American Housing Survey Data
                      All Regions Excluding South
                           AHS DATA         Weights                    Fuel Prices
                       % With                                                        Rel.l to
            Vintage                       % With Gas   Gas     Elec    Gas / Elec
                        Gas                                                           1965
1940-1939    1935      93.6%       4.5%      432
1940-1949    1945      93.7%      3.82%      600
1950-1959    1955      94.2%      2.67%      1249
1960-1969    1965      91.4%      2.65%      1188      102.4   169.1     0.605       1.000
1970-1974    1972      85.1%      3.25%      687        99.9   160.9     0.621       1.025
1975-1978    1976      74.0%      3.19%      538       120.5   176.3     0.684       1.129
  1979       1979      74.2%      4.63%      257       131.8   159.1     0.828       1.368
  1980       1980      74.4%      8.23%       82       142.9   165.9     0.861       1.423
  1981       1981      73.1%      8.64%       72       145.7   170.7     0.854       1.410
  1982       1982      76.2%     11.96%       41       164.3   177.1     0.927       1.532
  1983       1983      74.3%      8.71%       73       186.0   175.0     1.063       1.756
  1984       1984      67.1%      7.85%       73       180.5   179.1     1.008       1.665
  1985       1985      71.1%      6.59%      116       173.3   180.5     0.960       1.586
  1986       1986      75.9%      7.84%       94       161.9   180.1     0.899       1.485
  1987       1987       74.6%     6.93%      116       148.9   174.5     0.853       1.410
  1988       1988       78.4%     7.64%      105       141.6   170.0     0.833       1.376
  1989       1989       80.3%     7.31%      121       138.9   168.0     0.827       1.366
  1990       1990       80.7%     7.79%      107       131.7   163.6     0.805       1.329
  1991       1991       76.4%     7.74%       97       129.5   164.2     0.789       1.303
  1992       1992       79.5%     7.71%      106       127.2   162.6     0.782       1.292
  1993       1993       78.6%     7.39%      113       129.6   161.2     0.804       1.329
  1994       1994       83.0%     8.23%      102       130.1   157.5     0.826       1.364
  1995       1995       81.2%    10.12%       64       122.0   158.0     0.772       1.275




                      American Housing Survey Data
                      Mobile Homes Only
                          AHS DATA          Weights                    Fuel Prices
                       % With                                                        Rel.l to
            Vintage                       % With Gas   Gas     Elec    Gas / Elec
                        Gas                                                           1965
1930-1939    1935      86.6%      20.8%       17
1940-1949    1945      81.7%      18.2%       20
1950-1959    1955      75.5%      13.9%       29
1960-1969    1965      59.7%       8.5%       49       102.4   169.1     0.605       1.000
1970-1974    1972      49.8%       7.2%       48        99.9   160.9     0.621       1.025
1975-1978    1976      36.7%       7.9%       22       120.5   176.3     0.684       1.129
  1979       1979      35.7%       8.6%       17       143.4   170.7     0.840       1.388
  1980       1980      35.6%      13.9%       7        150.6   173.8     0.867       1.432
  1981       1981      23.0%      10.6%       5        155.7   181.2     0.859       1.419
  1982       1982      34.5%      15.2%       5        175.8   187.5     0.937       1.548
  1983       1983      27.7%      11.2%       6        198.6   187.6     1.059       1.749
  1984       1984      30.5%      11.0%       8        191.8   191.4     1.002       1.655
  1985       1985      27.4%      11.8%       5        184.0   191.2     0.962       1.590
  1986       1986      56.0%      25.2%       5        171.8   190.3     0.903       1.492
  1987       1987      44.7%      19.0%       6        158.1   182.9     0.865       1.428
  1988       1988      75.0%      40.5%       3        150.9   178.0     0.848       1.400
  1989       1989      33.6%      19.6%       3        147.9   174.7     0.847       1.398
  1990       1990      36.7%      18.1%       4        140.6   169.7     0.829       1.369
  1991       1991      36.8%      21.8%       3        136.6   168.9     0.809       1.336
  1992       1992      56.7%      41.4%       2        135.0   167.2     0.808       1.334
  1993       1993      70.9%      64.7%       1        139.2   165.6     0.841       1.389
  1994       1994      24.6%      27.0%       1        138.3   161.5     0.856       1.415
  1995       1995      83.4%      46.4%       3        127.5   160.6     0.794       1.312
                   Elasticity
                       Fuel     Equipment Constant      X2
                      -0.84       -0.37      61.5%     5.38
es                                  Equip Prices                 Gas Furn. MS Model
     Change Rel.      Gas         Heat                Change
        1965        Furnaces     Pumps
                                            Ratio
                                                     Rel. 1965
                                                                  Linear      X2




        0.000         1.000       1.000     1.000     0.000       61.5%      0.00
        0.025         0.936       0.890     1.051     0.051       59.0%      21.33
        0.129         0.871       0.821     1.061     0.061       53.4%      48.73
        0.451         0.853       0.799     1.068     0.068       36.7%      6.40
        0.449         0.845       0.787     1.075     0.075       36.7%      5.94
        0.437         0.855       0.760     1.125     0.125       36.1%      0.73
        0.581         0.870       0.744     1.169     0.169       27.7%      0.00
        0.718         0.867       0.735     1.180     0.180       20.4%      2.67
        0.652         0.867       0.726     1.194     0.194       23.5%      1.75
        0.575         0.863       0.713     1.209     0.209       27.1%      0.14
        0.511         0.858       0.701     1.224     0.224       30.1%      2.08
        0.503         0.833       0.682     1.220     0.220       30.6%      0.10
        0.501         0.826       0.678     1.218     0.218       30.7%      1.00
        0.514         0.819       0.672     1.218     0.218       30.1%      0.49
        0.517         0.845       0.677     1.248     0.248       29.3%      0.05
        0.476         0.822       0.651     1.262     0.262       31.0%      0.00
        0.455         0.816       0.631     1.293     0.293       31.5%      0.13
        0.546         0.803       0.615     1.304     0.304       26.5%      2.00
        0.557         0.783       0.599     1.305     0.305       25.9%      5.48
        0.467         0.777       0.598     1.299     0.299       30.7%      1.19


                   Elasticity
                       Fuel     Equipment Constant      X2
                      -0.34       -0.13      91.4%     0.35
es                                  Equip Prices                 Gas Furn. MS Model
     Change Rel.      Gas         Heat                Change
        1965        Furnaces     Pumps
                                            Ratio
                                                     Rel. 1965
                                                                  Linear      X2




        0.000         1.000       1.000     1.000     0.000       91.4%      0.00
        0.025         0.936       0.896     1.045     0.045       90.1%      2.34
        0.129         0.871       0.405     2.149     1.149       74.0%      0.00
        0.368         0.853       0.806     1.059     0.059       79.3%      1.20
        0.423         0.845       0.794     1.065     0.065       77.5%      0.14
        0.410         0.855       0.771     1.108     0.108       77.4%      0.25
        0.532         0.870       0.759     1.145     0.145       73.2%      0.06
        0.756         0.867       0.751     1.154     0.154       66.1%      0.89
        0.665         0.867       0.743     1.166     0.166       68.8%      0.04
        0.586         0.863       0.732     1.179     0.179       71.1%      0.00
        0.485         0.858       0.720     1.191     0.191       74.1%      0.05
        0.410         0.833       0.701     1.188     0.188       76.5%      0.08
        0.376         0.826       0.696     1.186     0.186       77.6%      0.01
        0.366         0.819       0.690     1.186     0.186       77.9%      0.11
        0.329         0.845       0.698     1.211     0.211       78.7%      0.06
        0.303         0.822       0.672     1.222     0.222       79.4%      0.15
        0.292         0.816       0.654     1.248     0.248       79.4%      0.00
        0.329         0.803       0.638     1.257     0.257       78.2%      0.00
        0.364         0.783       0.622     1.258     0.258       77.1%      0.51
        0.275         0.777       0.620     1.253     0.253       79.9%      0.01



                   Elasticity
                      Fuel      Equipment Constant      X2
                      -1.06       -0.50     59.7%      1.03
es                                 Equip Prices                  Gas Furn. MS Model
     Change Rel.      Gas         Heat                Change
        1965        Furnaces     Pumps
                                            Ratio
                                                     Rel. 1965
                                                                  Linear     X2




        0.000         1.000       1.000     1.000     0.000       59.7%      0.00
        0.025         0.936       0.899     1.041     0.041       56.9%      0.99
        0.129         0.871       0.444     1.962     0.962       23.0%      3.02
        0.388         0.853       0.810     1.054     0.054       33.6%      0.06
        0.432         0.845       0.798     1.059     0.059       30.6%      0.13
        0.419         0.855       0.778     1.098     0.098       30.3%      0.47
        0.548         0.870       0.768     1.132     0.132       21.1%      0.79
        0.749         0.867       0.761     1.140     0.140        8.1%      3.06
        0.655         0.867       0.754     1.150     0.150       13.8%      2.29
        0.590         0.863       0.743     1.161     0.161       17.6%      0.70
        0.492         0.858       0.731     1.172     0.172       23.4%      1.68
        0.428         0.833       0.712     1.170     0.170       27.6%      0.82
        0.400         0.826       0.707     1.168     0.168       29.4%      1.27
        0.398         0.819       0.701     1.168     0.168       29.5%      0.04
        0.369         0.845       0.710     1.190     0.190       30.7%      0.11
        0.336         0.822       0.685     1.200     0.200       32.5%      0.04
        0.334         0.816       0.667     1.222     0.222       32.0%      0.36
        0.389         0.803       0.652     1.231     0.231       28.3%      0.43
        0.415         0.783       0.635     1.232     0.232       26.6%      0.01
        0.312         0.777       0.633     1.227     0.227       33.2%      1.17
Best Fit Variables

   Sxx      Syy      Sxy       D       Sfx      Sfy      Sx       Sy
 229.7157 39.77389 89.20491 1179.173 237.2372 107.2126 462.3578 196.5133
Ef       Ee
    Bf       Be       sBf     sBe     Sig. Bf Sig. Be
 -0.83776 -0.36628 0.441374 0.183658 -1.89807 -1.99438




   Sxx      Syy      Sxy       D           Sfx      Sfy      Sx       Sy
 328.9145 771.7004 201.9776 213028.5      665.376 783.7927 803.0496 950.5999

    Bf         Be        sBf     sBe       Sig. Bf   Sig. Be
  -0.341     -0.127   0.039294 0.060187   -8.66734   -2.11036
  Sxx      Syy        Sxy       D        Sfx      Sfy       Sx       Sy
20.15647 22.02606    8.05133 379.1437   18.0941 14.67075 43.47649 34.13758

  Bf        Be         sBf     sBe      Sig. Bf    Sig. Be
-1.061    -0.496    0.230571 0.241027    -4.6024   -2.05748
    Regional Housing and Fuel Price


Regional Breakdown                                  Single and Multi Family Home Construction (Million

                                                      Non-                    Cold
                                                                 South
                         Non-SouthSouth               South                  States
      Cold                   67%        1%   1974      0.97       0.76        0.66
      Warm                   33%      99%    1975      0.79       0.53        0.53
                                             1976      0.86       0.51        0.58
          Total Construction 2004 -          1977      1.02       0.64        0.69
             Single + Multi Family           1978      1.12       0.75        0.75
      Northeast                196956        1979      1.11       0.76        0.75
      New England               57858        1980      0.80       0.70        0.54
      Connecticut                11837       1981      0.64       0.62        0.43
      Maine                       8771       1982      0.47       0.54        0.32
      Massachusetts              22477       1983      0.64       0.74        0.44
      New Hampshire               8653       1984      0.78       0.87        0.53
      Rhode Island                2532       1985      0.89       0.81        0.60
      Vermont                     3588       1986      0.99       0.76        0.67
      Percent Cold               100%        1987      1.01       0.66        0.68
      Middle Atlantic          139098        1988      0.93       0.60        0.63
      New Jersey                 35936       1989      0.87       0.55        0.59
      New York                   53497       1990      0.80       0.51        0.54
      Pennsylvania               49665       1991      0.65       0.44        0.44
      Percent Cold               100%        1992      0.69       0.46        0.47
      Midwest                  370466        1993      0.68       0.51        0.46
      East North Central       245394        1994      0.76       0.58        0.52
      Illinois                   59753       1995      0.73       0.58        0.49
      Indiana                    39233       1996      0.89       0.52        0.60
      Michigan                   54721       1997      0.88       0.51        0.59
      Ohio                       51695       1998      0.94       0.53        0.63
      Wisconsin                  39992       1999      1.02       0.58        0.69
      Percent Cold               100%        2000      0.99       0.58        0.67
      West North Central       125072        2001      0.98       0.59        0.66
      Iowa                       16345
      Kansas                     13301
      Minnesota                  41843
      Missouri                   32791
      Nebraska                   10920
      North Dakota                4033
      South Dakota                5839
      Percent Cold               100%
      South                    960779
      South Atlantic           606668
Delaware                 7858
District of Columbia     1936
Florida                255893
Georgia                108356
Maryland                27382
North Carolina          93077
South Carolina          43230
Virginia                63220
West Virginia            5716
Percent Cold               1%
East South Central     109357
Alabama                 27411
Kentucky                22623
Mississippi             14532
Tennessee               44791
Percent Cold               0%
West South Central     244754
Arkansas                15855
Louisiana               22989
Oklahoma                17068
Texas                  188842
Percent Cold               0%
West                   541876
Mountain               244921
Arizona                 90644
Colorado                46499
Idaho                   18108
Montana                  4975
Nevada                  44556
New Mexico              12555
Utah                    24267
Wyoming                  3317
Percent Cold              40%
Pacific                296955
Alaska                   3133
California             207390
Hawaii                   9034
Oregon                  27309
Washington              50089
Percent Cold              27%
                                 Forecast of Single and Multi-Family Home Construction(Millions) AEO 2005
                                                                                       Source:
                                   Census           New         Middle     East North West North        South
y Home Construction (Millions)     Division       England       Atlantic    Central         Central    Atlantic
                                 Census Region NorthEast       NorthEast    MidWest       MidWest       South
               Warm              Percent Cold
                                                   100%          100%        100%            100%        1%
               States               States
                1.07                 2002          0.047         0.115       0.245           0.112      0.503
                0.79                 2003          0.041         0.130       0.215           0.132      0.552
                0.79                 2004          0.046         0.145       0.217           0.142      0.555
                0.97                 2005          0.042         0.132       0.193           0.128      0.506
                1.11                 2006          0.041         0.126       0.181           0.118      0.475
                1.12                 2007          0.043         0.129       0.183           0.115      0.474
                0.96                 2008          0.043         0.128       0.178           0.109      0.461
                0.83                 2009          0.043         0.129       0.176           0.104      0.443
                0.69                 2010          0.044         0.131       0.175           0.103      0.442
                0.95                 2011          0.046         0.135       0.176           0.103      0.447
                1.12                 2012          0.046         0.135       0.173           0.101      0.438
                1.10                 2013          0.046         0.136       0.171           0.099      0.434
                1.08                 2014          0.047         0.140       0.172           0.099      0.436
                0.99                 2015          0.047         0.138       0.167           0.096      0.426
                0.90                 2016          0.046         0.136       0.162           0.093      0.417
                0.83                 2017          0.047         0.136       0.158           0.091      0.413
                0.77                 2018          0.047         0.138       0.156           0.090      0.411
                0.65                 2019          0.048         0.141       0.155           0.090      0.414
                0.69                 2020          0.049         0.144       0.154           0.089      0.416
                0.73                 2021          0.050         0.146       0.154           0.088      0.412
                0.82                 2022          0.051         0.149       0.154           0.088      0.408
                0.81                 2023          0.051         0.152       0.155           0.087      0.405
                0.81                 2024          0.052         0.154       0.156           0.087      0.399
                0.80                 2025          0.053         0.157       0.156           0.086      0.394
                0.83                 2026
                0.92                 2027
                0.90                 2028
                0.91                 2029
                                     2030
                                     2031
                                     2032
                                     2033
                                     2034
                                     2035
                                     2036
                                     2037
                                     2038
East South   West South
                          Mountain   Pacific
 Central      Central
  South        South       West      West      Total   Cold States Warm States
   0%           0%          40%       27%

  0.079        0.198       0.184     0.228     1.710     0.659       1.051
  0.083        0.212       0.193     0.290     1.848     0.677       1.170
  0.082        0.219       0.190     0.303     1.899     0.714       1.186
  0.072        0.199       0.174     0.280     1.727     0.646       1.081
  0.065        0.189       0.167     0.266     1.628     0.609       1.019
  0.064        0.193       0.172     0.269     1.642     0.615       1.027
  0.061        0.193       0.173     0.266     1.611     0.602       1.009
  0.058        0.190       0.170     0.261     1.575     0.595       0.980
  0.057        0.193       0.172     0.264     1.582     0.598       0.984
  0.057        0.197       0.176     0.270     1.605     0.607       0.999
  0.054        0.193       0.173     0.268     1.581     0.599       0.982
  0.053        0.193       0.173     0.270     1.576     0.599       0.977
  0.052        0.195       0.176     0.276     1.594     0.607       0.987
  0.049        0.190       0.172     0.273     1.558     0.594       0.965
  0.047        0.185       0.169     0.271     1.526     0.582       0.944
  0.045        0.183       0.167     0.272     1.510     0.576       0.935
  0.043        0.182       0.167     0.274     1.508     0.575       0.933
  0.042        0.184       0.168     0.280     1.522     0.580       0.943
  0.041        0.186       0.170     0.286     1.536     0.585       0.951
  0.040        0.186       0.170     0.288     1.532     0.586       0.945
  0.039        0.186       0.169     0.291     1.533     0.591       0.942
  0.038        0.185       0.169     0.294     1.537     0.597       0.940
  0.036        0.184       0.167     0.295     1.531     0.599       0.932
  0.035        0.183       0.166     0.297     1.527     0.602       0.925
                                               1.535     0.605       0.930
                                               1.543     0.608       0.935
                                               1.550     0.611       0.939
                                               1.558     0.614       0.944
                                               1.566     0.617       0.949
                                               1.574     0.620       0.953
                                               1.582     0.624       0.958
                                               1.590     0.627       0.963
                                               1.598     0.630       0.968
                                               1.606     0.633       0.973
                                               1.614     0.636       0.977
                                               1.622     0.639       0.982
                                               1.630     0.642       0.987
       Regional Fuel Prices
       Source AEO 2005 - Forecast by Census Division
                             Natural Gas / LPG                                            Electricity
       Residential $/MMBtu            Scaling Factor                Residential $/MMBtu
        United                          United                       United
                     North    South                North    South                 North
        States                          States                       States
2001     10.18        9.87    10.81      1.00        0.97   1.06      26.21       28.08
2002      8.29        7.98     8.90      1.00        0.96   1.07      24.56       25.22
2003      9.66        9.27    10.42      1.00        0.96   1.08      24.59       25.39
2004     10.42       10.26    10.73      1.00        0.98   1.03      24.87       25.66
2005     10.44       10.35    10.61      1.00        0.99   1.02      24.73       25.46
2006      9.62        9.56     9.74      1.00        0.99   1.01      23.93       24.58
2007      9.10        9.06     9.18      1.00        1.00   1.01      22.99       23.62
2008      8.66        8.61     8.75      1.00        0.99   1.01      22.51       23.06
2009      8.43        8.35     8.60      1.00        0.99   1.02      22.57       23.18
2010      8.22        8.12     8.41      1.00        0.99   1.02      22.57       23.21
2011      8.14        8.03     8.35      1.00        0.99   1.03      22.57       23.31
2012      8.21        8.09     8.43      1.00        0.99   1.03      22.73       23.61
2013      8.32        8.21     8.54      1.00        0.99   1.03      22.94       23.90
2014      8.48        8.36     8.72      1.00        0.99   1.03      23.18       24.21
2015      8.61        8.49     8.85      1.00        0.99   1.03      23.24       24.29
2016      8.61        8.49     8.84      1.00        0.99   1.03      23.22       24.24
2017      8.63        8.48     8.91      1.00        0.98   1.03      23.25       24.25
2018      8.75        8.58     9.06      1.00        0.98   1.04      23.42       24.44
2019      8.92        8.76     9.24      1.00        0.98   1.04      23.63       24.70
2020      9.06        8.90     9.38      1.00        0.98   1.03      23.73       24.84
2021      9.19        9.04     9.48      1.00        0.98   1.03      23.82       24.95
2022      9.25        9.12     9.52      1.00        0.99   1.03      23.80       24.94
2023      9.29        9.16     9.53      1.00        0.99   1.03      23.74       24.87
2024      9.36        9.24     9.58      1.00        0.99   1.02      23.79       24.96
2025      9.45        9.34     9.66      1.00        0.99   1.02      23.86       25.05
2026                                     1.00        0.99   1.02
2027                                     1.00        0.99   1.02
2028                                     1.00        0.99   1.02
2029                                     1.00        0.99   1.02
2030                                     1.00        0.99   1.02
2031                                     1.00        0.99   1.02
2032                                     1.00        0.99   1.02
2033                                     1.00        0.99   1.02
2034                                     1.00        0.99   1.02
2035                                     1.00        0.99   1.02
2036                                     1.00        0.99   1.02
2037                                     1.00        0.99   1.02
2038                                     1.00        0.99   1.02
2039   1.00   0.99   1.02
2040   1.00   0.99   1.02
2041   1.00   0.99   1.02
2042   1.00   0.99   1.02
2043   1.00   0.99   1.02
2044   1.00   0.99   1.02
2045   1.00   0.99   1.02
2046   1.00   0.99   1.02
2047   1.00   0.99   1.02
2048   1.00   0.99   1.02
2049   1.00   0.99   1.02
2050   1.00   0.99   1.02
2051   1.00   0.99   1.02
2052   1.00   0.99   1.02
2053   1.00   0.99   1.02
2054   1.00   0.99   1.02
2055   1.00   0.99   1.02
2056   1.00   0.99   1.02
2057   1.00   0.99   1.02
2058   1.00   0.99   1.02
2059   1.00   0.99   1.02
2060   1.00   0.99   1.02
2061   1.00   0.99   1.02
2062   1.00   0.99   1.02
2063   1.00   0.99   1.02
2064   1.00   0.99   1.02
2065   1.00   0.99   1.02
2066   1.00   0.99   1.02
  Electricity
        Scaling Factor
          United
South                North    South
          States
22.43      1.00        1.07   0.86
23.22      1.00        1.03   0.95
22.99      1.00        1.03   0.94
23.30      1.00        1.03   0.94
23.28      1.00        1.03   0.94
22.65      1.00        1.03   0.95
21.77      1.00        1.03   0.95
21.43      1.00        1.02   0.95
21.38      1.00        1.03   0.95
21.32      1.00        1.03   0.94
21.14      1.00        1.03   0.94
21.04      1.00        1.04   0.93
21.09      1.00        1.04   0.92
21.20      1.00        1.04   0.91
21.24      1.00        1.04   0.91
21.27      1.00        1.04   0.92
21.33      1.00        1.04   0.92
21.47      1.00        1.04   0.92
21.59      1.00        1.05   0.91
21.64      1.00        1.05   0.91
21.68      1.00        1.05   0.91
21.64      1.00        1.05   0.91
21.60      1.00        1.05   0.91
21.58      1.00        1.05   0.91
21.63      1.00        1.05   0.91
           1.00        1.05   0.91
           1.00        1.05   0.91
           1.00        1.05   0.91
           1.00        1.05   0.91
           1.00        1.05   0.91
           1.00        1.05   0.91
           1.00        1.05   0.91
           1.00        1.05   0.91
           1.00        1.05   0.91
           1.00        1.05   0.91
           1.00        1.05   0.91
           1.00        1.05   0.91
           1.00        1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
1.00   1.05   0.91
Market Shares in New Homes, Historic Data

           Source: U.S. Census - Characteristics of New Housing C25 http://www.census.gov/const/C25Ann/sftotalheatin
           Millions of new homes
                     Gas Heated Homes                  Electric Heated Homes                  Oil Heated Homes
               sf           mf        tot            sf            mf        tot        sf
   1973       0.56                                  0.50                               0.13
   1974       0.39         0.28        0.66         0.46          0.47      0.93       0.09
   1975       0.35         0.15        0.49         0.43          0.26      0.69       0.08
   1976       0.41         0.11        0.52         0.50          0.20      0.70       0.11
   1977       0.48         0.12        0.59         0.64          0.26      0.90       0.12
   1978       0.51         0.13        0.64         0.71          0.34      1.05       0.11
   1979       0.51         0.15        0.66         0.66          0.39      1.05       0.09
   1980       0.39         0.17        0.56         0.48          0.36      0.84       0.03
   1981       0.34         0.14        0.48         0.41          0.29      0.70       0.02
   1982       0.25         0.10        0.36         0.32          0.26      0.57       0.02
   1983       0.40         0.13        0.53         0.45          0.33      0.78       0.02
   1984       0.46         0.17        0.63         0.49          0.45      0.94       0.02
   1985       0.47         0.20        0.66         0.53          0.43      0.95       0.04
   1986       0.53         0.22        0.75         0.50          0.40      0.90       0.05
   1987       0.58         0.22        0.81         0.45          0.31      0.75       0.06
   1988       0.59         0.20        0.78         0.40          0.24      0.64       0.06
   1989       0.60         0.17        0.76         0.35          0.22      0.57       0.05
   1990       0.57         0.15        0.72         0.32          0.18      0.50       0.05
   1991       0.51         0.10        0.61         0.27          0.14      0.41       0.04
   1992       0.62         0.10        0.72         0.28          0.09      0.37       0.04
   1993       0.68         0.08        0.76         0.30          0.07      0.37       0.03
   1994       0.77         0.10        0.87         0.33          0.09      0.42       0.04
   1995       0.71         0.12        0.83         0.31          0.13      0.43       0.04
   1996       0.78         0.14        0.92         0.30          0.15      0.45       0.04
   1997       0.77         0.13        0.90         0.30          0.16      0.45       0.04
   1998       0.81         0.14        0.95         0.31          0.17      0.48       0.03
   1999       0.88         0.14        1.03         0.34          0.19      0.53       0.04
   2000       0.87         0.15        1.02         0.33          0.18      0.51       0.04
   2001       0.88         0.15        1.02         0.34          0.17      0.50       0.04
   2002       0.91         0.15        1.05         0.37          0.17      0.55       0.04
   2003       0.97         0.15        1.12         0.38          0.14      0.52       0.03

           Source: American Housing Survey 2003 Census Data: http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/ahs.html
           Single- and Multi-Family Homes (Mobile Homes Excluded)
                      Fuel
           Sum of SumOfWEIGHT Equipment
                      Electricity                                     Fuel Oil
           BUILT                    Heat Pump Other
                      Forced Warm Air Furnace with Ducts              Forced withOther
                                                                                  Radiators
                                                           Steam or Hot WaterWarm Air Furnace with Ducts
                 1919        259769    123191       400460     64003     711558      79063
                 1920        185356     66578       253478     51611     212452      32344
                 1930        302903    147895       373187     31164     277368      22490
                 1940        438213    243207       516318     44350     389557      18021
                 1950        853132    617798       745253     50624     663631      41878
                 1960      1627368    1079937      1241538    103773     490692      29624
                 1970      1785443    1032165      1073711     54786     253925        9934
                 1975      2091938    1794201      1291231     68656     257207      14390
                 1980      1755120    1368684       520271     53658       96023       2456
                 1985      1495159    1785459       661499     27449     109266      10565
     1990          174118   242776        62131       5501     12546         653
     1991          147497   209440        80797       4800      9305
     1992          118058   203887        37761        354     10478
     1993          296818   300731        61882       3068     23573         908
     1994          133457   249090        45037        399     16428        4138
     1995          172908   258721        60720       1504     23522
     1996          192820   273404        56197                15173        1485
     1997          230263   294477        40160      2351      25141
     1998          224934   262126        61558      1840      14990         749
     1999          257773   330733        55207      8273       9962         442
     2000          259602   322278        77762      2752      11283        3904
     2001          368214   352350        37573      7723      16383        1318
     2002          290227   329848        52257     10239       8819
     2003          107432   163737        14181                11062       2598
Grand Total      13768522 12052716      7820168    598879    3670344     276958

                      Heat Pump Other
          Forced Warm Air Furnace with Ducts               Forced withOther
                                                                       Radiators
                                                Steam or Hot WaterWarm Air Furnace with Ducts
1999-2003     1283248    1498947         236980      28987      57509       8263
             18.0%       21.1%         3.3%        0.4%       0.8%       0.1%


              Equipment Fractions FROM AHS 2003
                               Gas                           Electric
                   GF         Other       GB       EF          HP       Other
     1970        81.1%         9.7%      9.2%     45.2%      26.2%      28.6%
     1971        81.8%         9.3%      8.9%     44.2%      27.8%      28.1%
     1972        82.5%         9.0%      8.5%     43.1%      29.4%      27.5%
     1973        83.1%         8.7%      8.2%     42.0%      31.0%      27.0%
     1974        83.8%         8.3%      7.9%     41.0%      32.6%      26.5%
     1975        84.5%         8.0%      7.6%     39.9%      34.2%      25.9%
     1976        85.4%         7.3%      7.3%     41.4%      34.8%      23.8%
     1977        86.3%         6.7%      7.1%     42.9%      35.3%      21.8%
     1978        87.1%         6.0%      6.8%     44.4%      35.9%      19.7%
     1979        88.0%         5.4%      6.6%     45.9%      36.5%      17.6%
     1980        88.9%         4.7%      6.3%     47.5%      37.0%      15.5%
     1981        89.0%         4.7%      6.2%     45.5%      38.6%      15.9%
     1982        89.2%         4.7%      6.2%     43.5%      40.2%      16.3%
     1983        89.3%         4.7%      6.1%     41.6%      41.8%      16.6%
     1984        89.4%         4.7%      6.0%     39.6%      43.4%      17.0%
     1985        89.5%         4.7%      5.9%     37.7%      45.0%      17.4%
     1986        90.2%         4.6%      5.2%     37.3%      46.0%      16.7%
     1987        90.9%         4.5%      4.6%     37.0%      47.0%      16.0%
     1988        91.6%         4.5%      3.9%     36.6%      48.1%      15.3%
     1989        92.3%         4.4%      3.3%     36.3%      49.1%      14.6%
     1990        93.0%         4.4%      2.6%     35.9%      50.1%      14.0%
     1991        87.0%         6.2%      6.8%     33.3%      47.3%      19.3%
     1992        92.1%         3.1%      4.7%     32.8%      56.6%      10.6%
     1993        88.4%         5.1%      6.5%     44.8%      45.4%       9.8%
     1994        90.2%         5.0%      4.8%     31.2%      58.2%      10.6%
     1995        91.9%         2.6%      5.5%     35.0%      52.4%      12.6%
     1996        91.6%         4.5%      3.9%     36.9%      52.3%      10.8%
     1997        93.3%         2.7%      4.0%     40.6%      51.9%       7.5%
     1998      92.8%        3.9%        3.3%       40.9%       47.6%      11.5%
     1999      89.5%        4.1%        6.4%       39.5%       50.7%       9.7%
     2000      92.2%        3.6%        4.2%       39.2%       48.7%      12.2%
     2001      95.0%        1.9%        3.1%       48.1%       46.0%       5.9%
     2002      92.5%        3.6%        3.9%       42.5%       48.3%       9.2%
     2003      94.8%        1.2%        4.0%       37.6%       57.4%       5.0%

Source: American Housing Survey 2003 Census Data: http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/ahs.html
Mobile Homes Only
            Fuel
Sum of SumOfWEIGHT Equipment
            Electricity                                      Fuel Oil
BUILT                      Heat Pump Other
            Forced Warm Air Furnace with Ducts               Forced withOther
                                                                         Radiators
                                                  Steam or Hot WaterWarm Air Furnace with Ducts
     1930           13324                    2395                  4466
     1940             2358                  12438                  2105
     1950           20210        7487       13872                  6153
     1960          154457      44445        40744                 35758       7205
     1970          253297     110837        59891                 57805       2272
     1975          278730     100804        70343      1402       55905
     1980          199885     198526        53935                 21373
     1985          231886      94712        28473                 33533       4941
     1990           69410      56989         2238                  1871
     1991           58714      23366         3856
     1992           37063      53180                   3461
     1993          132573      24571                               1931       2672
     1994           90401      34556                               9360
     1995           86929      20693         4818                             5121
     1996          116143      79878        20893
     1997          189765      50589         3288                  4578
     1998          117670      80098         7258                 12428
     1999          117488      55356         7375                    659
     2000          105542      84563        18881                  3624
     2001           46632      67208         3016                 15496
     2002           42987      25406        14445
     2003           17330                                          4905
Grand Total      2382792     1213261       368158      4863     271951      22212

            Fuel          Equipment            0           0         0            0
1999-2003        329978      232533        43717           0     24684            0
               32.1%        22.6%       4.3%        0.0%       2.4%       0.0%
us.gov/const/C25Ann/sftotalheatingfuel.pdf http://www.census.gov/const/C25Ann/mfuhfuelall.pdf

         Oil Heated Homes                      Total Homes                 Fuel Type Market Shares             Gas Equipment M
                 mf       tot           sf          mf         tot        Gas        Elec       Oil     GF
                                      1.197       0.903       2.100
               0.01        0.09       0.940       0.788       1.728       38%         54%        5%    32%
               0.00        0.08       0.875       0.442       1.317       37%         52%        6%    32%
               0.02        0.13       1.034       0.343       1.377       38%         51%       10%    32%
               0.02        0.14       1.258       0.399       1.657       36%         54%        8%    31%
               0.02        0.13       1.369       0.498       1.867       34%         56%        7%    30%
               0.03        0.11       1.301       0.570       1.871       35%         56%        6%    31%
               0.01        0.04       0.957       0.545       1.502       37%         56%        3%    33%
               0.01        0.02       0.819       0.447       1.266       38%         55%        2%    34%
               0.01        0.03       0.632       0.374       1.006       35%         57%        3%    31%
               0.00        0.03       0.924       0.467       1.391       38%         56%        2%    34%
               0.01        0.03       1.025       0.627       1.652       38%         57%        2%    34%
               0.00        0.04       1.072       0.631       1.703       39%         56%        2%    35%
               0.01        0.06       1.120       0.636       1.756       43%         51%        3%    38%
               0.01        0.06       1.123       0.546       1.669       48%         45%        4%    44%
               0.00        0.06       1.085       0.445       1.530       51%         42%        4%    47%
               0.01        0.06       1.026       0.397       1.423       54%         40%        4%    49%
               0.00        0.05       0.966       0.342       1.308       55%         38%        4%    51%
               0.00        0.04       0.838       0.253       1.091       56%         37%        4%    48%
               0.00        0.04       0.964       0.194       1.158       63%         32%        3%    58%
               0.00        0.03       1.039       0.153       1.192       64%         31%        3%    57%
               0.00        0.04       1.160       0.187       1.347       65%         31%        3%    58%
               0.00        0.04       1.066       0.247       1.313       63%         33%        3%    58%
               0.00        0.04       1.129       0.284       1.413       65%         32%        3%    59%
               0.00        0.04       1.116       0.284       1.400       64%         32%        3%    60%
               0.00        0.04       1.160       0.314       1.474       64%         33%        3%    60%
               0.00        0.04       1.270       0.334       1.604       64%         33%        2%    57%
               0.00        0.04       1.242       0.332       1.574       65%         32%        2%    58%
               0.00        0.04       1.256       0.315       1.571       65%         32%        2%    58%
               0.00        0.04       1.325       0.323       1.648       64%         33%        2%    57%
               0.00        0.03       1.386       0.292       1.678       67%         31%        2%    60%

us.gov/hhes/www/ahs.html


                       Gas                              Other                                      Grand Total
                       Forced withOther
                                   Radiators Steam or Hot
                                                        Forced withHeat Furnace with
                                                                    Radiators
            Steam or Hot WaterWarm Air Furnace with Ducts WaterWarm Air Pump Other DuctsSteam or Hot Water with Radiators
              1309585    3730570     739679    1612966     130848        7885    417945     39501    9627022
               605175    2284494     596089     987958      32822                131853     30139    5470349
               601644    2485771     921908     789333      35576                278853     12778    6280871
               655329    3538648    1247745     634333      42788                304461     17120    8090092
               922426    6653895    1448352     836684      53170        2296    367079     30242 13286460
               722316    6988406    1029146     943677      58249                364161     18790 14697678
               299042    4057814     484193     459830      51946        1521    239786     23303    9827399
               402538    4071699     384539     364522      55518                264561     20480 11081479
               109438    2231981     118691     158814      29495                147473     10082    6602187
               161686    3205185     166600     210823      41223                123902      2375    8001190
    32054   521548        24556      14568        5224                 33015                1128691
    19946   482126        34452      37879       13532                 11894                1051669
    17981   463900        15656      23898                              9691                 901663
    39477   912248        52194      67132        5800                 24220       4285     1792336
    20313   679158        37638      35974                             16183                1237816
    34996   705798        19765      42048        5141                 13481       1979     1340582
    20188   763445        37304      32696        2863                 17159                1412732
    17889   741735        21357      31921        6267                 14044       3641     1429245
    19320   769541        32694      27434        6427                 15717                1437329
    38070   760963        34752      54154        3629                 10515       3819     1568293
    32990   798620        30795      36750        5333                 18270       1517     1601857
    14522   852235        16755      27789        8819                  9593                1713274
     6349   801965        31012      34185        4795                 11353       2377     1583426
     1489   332514         4149      14127                              2558                 653846
  6104762 48834261      7530020    7479494      599464      11701    2847768     222429   111817485

           Forced withOther
                       Radiators Steam or Hot
                                            Forced withHeat Furnace with
                                                        Radiators
Steam or Hot WaterWarm Air Furnace with Ducts WaterWarm Air Pump Other Ducts                     0
                                                                             Steam or Hot Water with Radiators
     93419   3546297     117463     167005       22575          0      52290       7713   7120696
   1.3%      49.8%       1.6%       2.3%       0.3%      0.0%       0.7%        0.1%      100%



               Oil
   OF        Other       OB
  45.1%       1.8%      53.1%
  43.7%       1.8%      54.4%
  42.3%       1.9%      55.8%
  40.9%       2.0%      57.1%
  39.5%       2.1%      58.4%
  38.2%       2.1%      59.7%
  39.8%       1.9%      58.3%
  41.4%       1.8%      56.9%
  43.0%       1.6%      55.5%
  44.6%       1.4%      54.1%
  46.2%       1.2%      52.6%
  44.7%       1.7%      53.6%
  43.2%       2.2%      54.6%
  41.8%       2.7%      55.5%
  40.3%       3.2%      56.5%
  38.8%       3.8%      57.4%
  36.6%       3.3%      60.1%
  34.4%       2.8%      62.8%
  32.2%       2.4%      65.5%
  29.9%       1.9%      68.2%
  27.7%       1.4%      70.8%
  31.8%       0.0%      68.2%
  36.8%       0.0%      63.2%
  36.9%       1.4%      61.7%
  40.2%      10.1%      49.7%
  40.2%       0.0%      59.8%
  41.2%       4.0%      54.8%
  58.4%       0.0%      41.6%
              42.8%         2.1%     55.1%
              20.6%         0.9%     78.5%
              23.4%         8.1%     68.5%
              50.8%         4.1%     45.1%
              58.1%         0.0%     41.9%
              73.0%        17.2%      9.8%

ov/hhes/www/ahs.html


                       Gas                              Other                            Grand Total
                       Forced withOther
                                   Radiators Steam or Hot
                                                        Forced withOther
                                                                    Radiators Steam or Hot
            Steam or Hot WaterWarm Air Furnace with Ducts WaterWarm Air Furnace with Ducts Water with Radiators
                           31415        4631                             2794                59025
                            5344        6773                             3411                32427
                           46439      15970                   8291       5542               123965
                          370054      33328                 27074      73115                786178
                 1225     625180      95525        3765     50493     103085        2243   1365618
                 1888     519033      82911        2257     56223      72975               1242471
                          392956      42320                 33599      41332                983927
                          383741      48310        2774     33591      15945                877907
                           76155        3653                  2475       5611               218402
                           83728        2954                                                172618
                           32440        7740                                                133883
                          112087                            13195        4162               291192
                          110150        2918                15857        4914               268156
                          139362                            16594                           273517
                          150594        7068                  4456       3158               382189
                          128121      13906                              4535               394783
                           86060        3500                10798        6573               324384
                          126803                              2833       7642               318156
                          118067      11592                   3283       3237               348790
                           50180        3233                             9706               195470
                           40533        3389                  5949                          132708
                            7405        2801                                                 32441
                 3113    3635848     392522        8796    284710     367738        2243   8958205

                       0         0         0           0         0          0           0          0           0
                       0    342989     21015           0     12064      20585           0   1027565            0
              0.0%         33.4%     2.0%       0.0%       1.2%       2.0%       0.0%       100.0%      0.0%
                             Equipment Market Shares C25 Fuel Shares + AHS Equipment Shares

            Gas Equipment MS                      Elec Equipment MS                            Oil Equip MS
                 GB          Other         EF            HP           Other          OF            Other

                 3.0%        3.2%          22%          18%           14%            2%            0%
                 2.8%        3.0%          21%          18%           14%            2%            0%
                 2.8%        2.8%          21%          18%           12%            4%            0%
                 2.5%        2.4%          23%          19%           12%            3%            0%
                 2.3%        2.1%          25%          20%           11%            3%            0%
                 2.3%        1.9%          26%          20%           10%            3%            0%
                 2.4%        1.8%          27%          21%            9%            1%            0%
                 2.4%        1.8%          25%          21%            9%            1%            0%
                 2.2%        1.7%          25%          23%            9%            1%            0%
                 2.3%        1.8%          23%          23%            9%            1%            0%
                 2.3%        1.8%          23%          25%           10%            1%            0%
                 2.3%        1.8%          21%          25%           10%            1%            0%
                 2.2%        2.0%          19%          23%            9%            1%            0%
                 2.2%        2.2%          17%          21%            7%            1%            0%
                 2.0%        2.3%          15%          20%            6%            1%            0%
                 1.7%        2.4%          14%          20%            6%            1%            0%
                 1.4%        2.4%          14%          19%            5%            1%            0%
                 3.8%        3.5%          12%          18%            7%            1%            0%
                 3.0%        1.9%          10%          18%            3%            1%            0%
                 4.2%        3.2%          14%          14%            3%            1%            0%
                 3.1%        3.2%          10%          18%            3%            1%            0%
                 3.4%        1.6%          11%          17%            4%            1%            0%
                 2.5%        2.9%          12%          17%            3%            1%            0%
                 2.6%        1.7%          13%          17%            2%            2%            0%
                 2.1%        2.5%          13%          16%            4%            1%            0%
                 4.1%        2.6%          13%          17%            3%           0.5%           0%
                 4.1%        2.6%          13%          16%            3%           0.5%           0%
                 4.1%        2.7%          13%          16%            3%           0.5%           0%
                 4.1%        2.6%          13%          17%            3%           0.5%           0%
                 4.2%        2.7%          12%          16%            3%           0.4%           0%


                                                                                              HEAT PUMP Percentage of El
                                                                                              Southern Region
 Grand Total                  Data from American Housing Survey 1995                          Non-South
ot Water with Radiators                                                                       Mobile Homes
                                                                 American Housing Survey
                                                                 Southern Region Only
                                                                 NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS
                                                                                 HeatingEquipment
                                                                 Sum of SumOfweight             FuelType
                                                                                 Central Warm Air Furnace
                                                                 YearRange       Electricity    Gas
                             1919         73.0%         8.4%     1919 or Earlier        4814857     29110696
                             1925         80.0%        10.5%     1920-1929              2650487     23142800
                             1935         69.6%         6.7%     1930-1939              8942026     42079190
                             1945         71.4%         5.1%     1940-1949            16398841      76014261
1955   70.7%   3.6%    1950-1959          22426884     152654251
1965   61.5%   2.7%    1960-1969          53108356     194834437
1972   47.2%   2.5%    1970-1974          75036329     116997856
1976   37.0%   2.4%    1975-1978          62247548      76020505
1979   29.1%   3.0%    1979               29114029      28684679
1980   26.6%   4.1%    1980               14253404      12981374
1981   31.8%   5.1%    1981               13873327      14431003
1982   28.0%   4.7%    1982               14888368      12669102
1983   27.0%   4.0%    1983               20354442      17171318
1984   28.7%   3.9%    1984               28785663      21978005
1985   25.8%   3.5%    1985               21435004      18005713
1986   36.6%   4.5%    1986               18048218      23828033
1987   29.2%   4.3%    1987               14013133      15005749
1988   26.5%   4.3%    1988                8366946      11078661
1989   33.4%   4.7%    1989                9824401      15177627
1990   28.2%   4.9%    1990               12119333      12353740
1991   31.1%   4.9%    1991               12163326      15966156
1992   33.3%   5.2%    1992                9082050      16179857
1993   33.3%   4.8%    1993                9187177      18028222
1994   39.1%   5.6%    1994                9026177      24440902
1995   38.1%   6.8%    1995                6206441      13040686
                       Grand Total       496366767    1001874823




                       American Housing Survey
                       All Regions Excluding South
                       NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS
                                       HeatingEquipment
                       Sum of SumOfweight             FuelType
                                       Central Warm Air Furnace
                       YearRange       Electricity    Gas
1919   95.0%    3.6%   1919 or Earlier        8850844    285388558
1925   93.9%    4.6%   1920-1929              5622559    155384388
1935   93.6%    4.5%   1930-1939              7342621    161003477
1945   93.7%    3.8%   1940-1949              8696200    212975223
1955   94.2%    2.7%   1950-1959            17829862     437160542
1965   91.4%    2.7%   1960-1969            26227355     436629016
1972   85.1%    3.2%   1970-1974            29028060     256501773
1976   74.0%    3.2%   1975-1978            37561490     188743082
1979   74.2%    4.6%   1979                 11177073      79125158
1980   74.4%    8.2%   1980                   5213990     33024506
1981   73.1%    8.6%   1981                   6506581     31232990
1982   76.2%   12.0%   1982                   1616200     18513846
1983   74.3%    8.7%   1983                   4402775     31140659
1984   67.1%    7.8%   1984                   5149783     29256262
1985   71.1%    6.6%   1985                   7931137     41151325
1986   75.9%    7.8%   1986                   4796494     36098454
1987   74.6%    6.9%   1987                   6190648     42455699
1988   78.4%    7.6%   1988                   5862450     40532483
1989   80.3%    7.3%   1989                   4407332     44944251
1990   80.7%    7.8%   1990                   5756836     45834702
1991   76.4%       7.7%         1991                6749177       42996828
1992   79.5%       7.7%         1992                6161518       48534433
1993   78.6%       7.4%         1993                5461957       49605439
1994   83.0%       8.2%         1994                4019324       50337757
1995   81.2%      10.1%         1995                2892155       30066802
                                Grand Total       235454421     2828637653


                                American Housing Survey
                                Manufactured Housing Only
                                NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS
                                                HeatingEquipment
                                Sum of SumOfweight             FuelType
                                                Central Warm Air Furnace
                                YearRange       Electricity    Gas
1919   88.6%      13.9%         1919 or Earlier        1263749     13501232
1925   92.1%      19.8%         1920-1929               422545       7126858
1935   86.6%      20.8%         1930-1939               884253       6222617
1945   81.7%      18.2%         1940-1949              1227945       6875645
1955   75.5%      13.9%         1950-1959              1611108     10073974
1965   59.7%       8.5%         1960-1969              7085655     15256035
1972   49.8%       7.2%         1970-1974            10490983      15363270
1976   36.7%       7.9%         1975-1978              5931318       6362903
1979   35.7%       8.6%         1979                   3815124       3311724
1980   35.6%      13.9%         1980                   2284158       1947272
1981   23.0%      10.6%         1981                   2725153       1211222
1982   34.5%      15.2%         1982                   2044804       1731998
1983   27.7%      11.2%         1983                   2781099       1811886
1984   30.5%      11.0%         1984                   2334592       2590182
1985   27.4%      11.8%         1985                   2964118       1456966
1986   56.0%      25.2%         1986                    766325       1510206
1987   44.7%      19.0%         1987                    297816       1753176
1988   75.0%      40.5%         1988                    382877       1149240
1989   33.6%      19.6%         1989                    742864        724955
1990   36.7%      18.1%         1990                    964601       1018180
1991   36.8%      21.8%         1991                   1568867       1068603
1992   56.7%      41.4%         1992                                  672346
1993   70.9%      64.7%         1993                                  661663
1994   24.6%      27.0%         1994                    201664        270463
1995   83.4%      46.4%         1995                                 1513871
                                Grand Total          52791618     105186487

               Total Electric                                 % heat pump
       South   Non-South             MH            South       Non-South
1965   38.5%      8.6%              40.3%          56.5%         36.1%
1972   52.8%     14.9%              50.2%          42.6%         35.2%
1976   63.0%     26.0%              63.3%          52.0%         43.4%
1979   70.9%     25.8%              64.3%          58.4%         59.4%
1980   73.4%     25.6%              64.4%          60.1%         54.1%
1981   68.2%     26.9%              77.0%          55.2%         43.4%
1982   72.0%     23.8%              65.5%          54.3%         72.1%
1983   73.0%     25.7%              72.3%          56.1%         59.1%
1984   71.3%     32.9%              69.5%          47.4%         64.0%
1985   74.2%   28.9%   72.6%   58.5%   52.6%
1986   63.4%   24.1%   44.0%   56.3%   58.2%
1987   70.8%   25.4%   55.3%   61.4%   57.2%
1988   73.5%   21.6%   25.0%   72.8%   47.5%
1989   66.6%   19.7%   66.4%   67.6%   60.1%
1990   71.8%   19.3%   63.3%   61.5%   47.5%
1991   68.9%   23.6%   63.2%   65.6%   49.3%
1992   66.7%   20.5%   43.3%   71.9%   50.9%
1993   66.7%   21.4%   29.1%   74.5%   59.6%
1994   60.9%   17.0%   75.4%   76.3%   61.1%
1995   61.9%   18.8%   16.6%   70.8%   58.6%
                                                                                                   Market Shares by Region

 il Equip MS                            Fuel - Southern Homes                Equipment - Southern Homes
                    OB            GAS            ELEC         Other        GF            EF            HP

                    3%            25%          71.7%            4%         21%          29%           23%
                    4%            26%          69.9%            5%         22%          28%           24%
                    6%            27%          65.9%            7%         23%          27%           23%
                    5%            24%          70.3%            5%         21%          30%           25%
                    4%            23%          73.6%            4%         20%          33%           26%
                    3%            22%          74.0%            4%         20%          34%           27%
                    1%            25%          72.7%            3%         22%          35%           27%
                    1%            26%          71.5%            3%         23%          33%           28%
                    1%            25%          72.6%            3%         22%          32%           29%
                    1%            26%          71.8%            2%         23%          30%           30%
                    1%            25%          73.6%            1%         22%          29%           32%
                    1%            22%          76.3%            1%         20%          29%           34%
                    2%            24%          73.5%            2%         22%          27%           34%
                    2%            28%          70.7%            2%         25%          26%           33%
                    3%            31%          67.2%            2%         28%          25%           32%
                    3%            32%          65.8%            2%         30%          24%           32%
                    3%            35%          62.6%            2%         33%          23%           31%
                    3%            40%          58.0%            2%         35%          19%           27%
                    2%            46%          52.5%            1%         43%          17%           30%
                    2%            48%          51.1%            1%         42%          23%           23%
                    1%            47%          52.2%            1%         43%          16%           30%
                    2%            45%          54.2%            1%         42%          19%           28%
                    1%            51%          48.1%            1%         47%          18%           25%
                    1%            52%          48.4%            0%         48%          20%           25%
                    1%            51%          49.1%            0%         47%          20%           23%
                   1.9%           49%          50.6%            1%        43.8%         20%           26%
                   1.9%           49%          50.3%            1%         45%          20%           26%
                   1.7%           49%          50.3%            0%         47%          20%           25%
                   1.9%           42%          58.0%            0%         38%          23%           29%
                   1.5%           43%          57.1%            0%         40%          23%           29%


EAT PUMP Percentage of Electric Heat
                    61%
                    53%
                    49%
                                                                                                 American Housing Survey
                                                                                                 Southern Region Only
                                                                                                 NUMBER OF SAMPLES
                                                                                                 Sum of CountOfweight
                               Grand Total
               Electric Heat Pump              Fraction of Elec. Equip.
               Electricity                      Furn.         HeatPump                           YearRange
                      5977817      39903370    12.1%            15.0%     55.4%                  1919 or Earlier
                      3134494      28927781     9.2%            10.8%     54.2%                  1920-1929
                      9419888      60441104    14.8%            15.6%     51.3%                  1930-1939
                    14022885      106435987    15.4%            13.2%     46.1%                  1940-1949
    40869865     215951000     10.4%          18.9%       64.6%   1950-1959
    69030967     316973760     16.8%          21.8%       56.5%   1960-1969
    55601244     247635429     30.3%          22.5%       42.6%   1970-1974
    67444493     205712546     30.3%          32.8%       52.0%   1975-1978
    40834689      98633397     29.5%          41.4%       58.4%   1979
    21489430      48724208     29.3%          44.1%       60.1%   1980
    17119680      45424010     30.5%          37.7%       55.2%   1981
    17696583      45254053     32.9%          39.1%       54.3%   1982
    26045270      63571030     32.0%          41.0%       56.1%   1983
    25893805      76657473     37.6%          33.8%       47.4%   1984
    30222380      69663097     30.8%          43.4%       58.5%   1985
    23248096      65124347     27.7%          35.7%       56.3%   1986
    22310757      51329639     27.3%          43.5%       61.4%   1987
    22396201      41841808     20.0%          53.5%       72.8%   1988
    20461717      45463745     21.6%          45.0%       67.6%   1989
    19337478      43810551     27.7%          44.1%       61.5%   1990
    23235526      51365008     23.7%          45.2%       65.6%   1991
    23259209      48521116     18.7%          47.9%       71.9%   1992
    26852229      54067628     17.0%          49.7%       74.5%   1993
    29069536      62536615     14.4%          46.5%       76.3%   1994
    15015909      34263036     18.1%          43.8%       70.8%   1995
   669990148    2168231738                                        Grand Total




                                                                  American Housing Survey
                                                                  All Regions Excluding South
                                                                  NUMBER OF SAMPLES
                                                                  Sum of CountOfweight
                Grand Total
Electric Heat Pump             Fraction of Elec. Equip.
Electricity                     Furn.         HeatPump            YearRange
       6225542     300464944                                      1919 or Earlier
       4430525     165437472                                      1920-1929
       3587114     171933212                                      1930-1939
       5631492     227302915                                      1940-1949
       9071154     464061558                                      1950-1959
     14793755      477650126    5.5%           3.1%       36.1%   1960-1969
     15772863      301302696    9.6%           5.2%       35.2%   1970-1974
     28819191      255123763   14.7%          11.3%       43.4%   1975-1978
     16351482      106653713   10.5%          15.3%       59.4%   1979
       6151295      44389791   11.7%          13.9%       54.1%   1980
       4985334      42724905   15.2%          11.7%       43.4%   1981
       4175952      24305998    6.6%          17.2%       72.1%   1982
       6358123      41901557   10.5%          15.2%       59.1%   1983
       9165989      43572034   11.8%          21.0%       64.0%   1984
       8798797      57881259   13.7%          15.2%       52.6%   1985
       6682357      47577305   10.1%          14.0%       58.2%   1986
       8290206      56936553   10.9%          14.6%       57.2%   1987
       5304108      51699041   11.3%          10.3%       47.5%   1988
       6632614      55984197    7.9%          11.8%       60.1%   1989
       5215089      56806627   10.1%           9.2%       47.5%   1990
                 6561457      56307462     12.0%          11.7%       49.3%    1991
                 6381731      61077682     10.1%          10.4%       50.9%    1992
                 8066712      63134108      8.7%          12.8%       59.6%    1993
                 6319072      60676153      6.6%          10.4%       61.1%    1994
                 4091782      37050739      7.8%          11.0%       58.6%    1995
               207863736    3271955810                                         Grand Total


                                                                               American Housing Survey
                                                                               Manufactured Housing Only
                                                                               NUMBER OF SAMPLES
                                                                               Sum of CountOfweight
                            Grand Total
            Electric Heat Pump             Fraction of Elec. Equip.
            Electricity                     Furn.         HeatPump             YearRange
                    465202      15230183                                       1919 or Earlier
                    188164       7737567                                       1920-1929
                      82577      7189447                                       1930-1939
                    307286       8410876                                       1940-1949
                   1655511      13340593                                       1950-1959
                   3203247      25544937   27.7%          12.5%        31.1%   1960-1969
                   4997459      30851712   34.0%          16.2%        32.3%   1970-1974
                   5046423      17340644   34.2%          29.1%        46.0%   1975-1978
                   2143145       9269993   41.2%          23.1%        36.0%   1979
                   1232658       5464088   41.8%          22.6%        35.1%   1980
                   1339445       5275820   51.7%          25.4%        33.0%   1981
                   1236739       5013541   40.8%          24.7%        37.7%   1982
                   1936486       6529471   42.6%          29.7%        41.0%   1983
                   3572608       8497382   27.5%          42.0%        60.5%   1984
                    894226       5315310   55.8%          16.8%        23.2%   1985
                    418049       2694580   28.4%          15.5%        35.3%   1986
                   1867801       3918793    7.6%          47.7%        86.2%   1987
                                 1532117   25.0%           0.0%         0.0%   1988
                    687565       2155384   34.5%          31.9%        48.1%   1989
                    789632       2772413   34.8%          28.5%        45.0%   1990
                    268203       2905673   54.0%           9.2%        14.6%   1991
                    513659       1186005    0.0%          43.3%       100.0%   1992
                    271630        933293    0.0%          29.1%       100.0%   1993
                    625554       1097681   18.4%          57.0%        75.6%   1994
                    301237       1815108    0.0%          16.6%       100.0%   1995
                 34044506      192022611                                       Grand Total

heat pump
                 MH
                31.1%
                32.3%
                46.0%
                36.0%
                35.1%
                33.0%
                37.7%
                41.0%
                60.5%
 23.2%
 35.3%
 86.2%
  0.0%
 48.1%
 45.0%
 14.6%
100.0%
100.0%
 75.6%
100.0%
Market Shares by Region

                    Fuel - Non-Southern Homes                     Equipment - Non-Southern Homes
                 GAS           ELEC         Other                 GF            EF            HP

                 49%            40%                10%           41%           16%          13%
                 45%            41%                14%           38%           16%          14%
                 44%            42%                14%           38%           17%          15%
                 43%            44%                13%           37%           19%          16%
                 42%            44%                13%           37%           20%          16%
                 44%            44%                12%           39%           20%          16%
                 48%            42%                10%           43%           20%          16%
                 50%            40%                10%           45%           18%          15%
                 47%            38%                14%           42%           17%          15%
                 53%            38%                10%           47%           16%          16%
                 52%            39%                 9%           47%           16%          17%
                 54%            38%                 8%           49%           14%          17%
                 57%            34%                 9%           51%           13%          16%
                 62%            28%                10%           56%           11%          13%
                 64%            26%                10%           59%            9%          12%
                 67%            24%                 9%           62%            9%          12%
                 68%            23%                 9%           63%            8%          11%
                 67%            23%                10%           58%            8%          11%
                 74%            18%                 8%           68%            6%          10%
                 76%            17%                 7%           67%            7%           8%
                 78%            15%                 6%           71%            5%           9%
                 77%            16%                 7%           71%            6%           8%
                 73%            22%                 5%           67%            8%          12%
                 72%            23%                 4%           68%            9%          12%
                 72%            23%                 4%           67%           10%          11%
                 73%            23%                 4%           65%            9%          12%
                 74%            22%                 4%           68%            9%          11%
                 75%            21%                 4%           71%            8%          11%
                 83%            12%                 5%           77%            5%           6%
                 86%             9%                 5%           82%            4%           5%




merican Housing Survey
 uthern Region Only
UMBER OF SAMPLES
                            FuelType
             HeatingEquipment
             Central Warm Air Furnace                         Grand Total
                                              Electric Heat Pump
             Electricity    Gas               Electricity
                         19             132                25           176
                         11             104                14           129
                         33             186                42           261
                         71             339                61           471
                         98            666            176            940
                        231            841            300           1372
                        323            507            245           1075
                        272            336            295            903
                        119            121            164            404
                         59             53             85            197
                         49             51             62            162
                         58             44             63            165
                         65             57             90            212
                        102             69             91            262
                         85             68            123            276
                         73             89             96            258
                         57             60             92            209
                         36             49             98            183
                         40             67             92            199
                         24             43             68            135
                         34             55             70            159
                         26             55             77            158
                         25             66             77            168
                         21             66             92            179
                         18             44             49            111
                       1949           4168           2647           8764




merican Housing Survey
 Regions Excluding South
UMBER OF SAMPLES
             HeatingEquipmentFuelType
             Central Warm Air Furnace                      Grand Total
                                           Electric Heat Pump
             Electricity     Gas           Electricity
                          43          1392              35          1470
                          27           799              22           848
                          32           839              21           892
                          46          1164              29          1239
                          94          2429              49          2572
                         127          2280              73          2480
                         131          1281              71          1483
                         171           945             131          1247
                          57           454              79           590
                          25           141              28           194
                          27           124              18           169
                           5            72              16             93
                          17           128              24           169
                          21           123              37           181
                          35           202              38           275
                          20           165              31           216
                          26           204              37           267
                          25           189              24           238
                          20           219              30           269
                          20           196              21           237
                        22           173                 27            222
                        17           193                 26            236
                        19           205                 28            252
                        10           187                 25            222
                        10           117                 16            143
                      1047         14221                936          16204


merican Housing Survey
 nufactured Housing Only
UMBER OF SAMPLES
                            FuelType
             HeatingEquipment
             Central Warm Air Furnace                         Grand Total
                                              Electric Heat Pump
             Electricity    Gas               Electricity
                          6              77                 2             85
                          2              42                 1             45
                          5              32                 1             38
                          5              37                 2             44
                          7              53                 6             66
                         29              81                14           124
                         49              73                22           144
                         28              30                22             80
                         18              26                 9             53
                          9               9                 6             24
                         10               6                 5             21
                          8               7                 5             20
                         10               8                 8             26
                          9              10                13             32
                         13               7                 4             24
                          3               8                 2             13
                          1               8                 9             18
                          2               6                                8
                          4               4                 3             11
                          3               6                 4             13
                          5               4                 1             10
                                          3                 2              5
                                          2                 1              3
                         1                1                 3              5
                                          6                 1              7
                       227              546               146           919
    LCC Inputs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       DRAFT
     Non-Weatherized Gas Furnace
                                                                                                                                                                            Market
                                                                                                                 Market         Market        Market          Annual
         Trial                                                                       Winter                                                                                Average                   Market     Cum. Mkt                      Electricity
                                                 Description                                                  Average Gas    Average Elec    Average        Maintenance                   AFUE                               Gas UEC
       Standard                                                        Annual Gas   Electricity   Installed                                                               Maintenance              Share 2015    Share                          UEC
                                                                                                                  Use            UEC      Installed Price      Cost
         Level           AFUE                                             Use          Use          Price                                                                    Cost
                                                                        (MMBtu)       (kWh)        2004$        (MMBtu)         (kWh)          2004$          2004$         2004$           78        0.8%        0.8%          64.0             571.5
            0               78         78% AFUE - Baseline               64.00        571.5        $1,860        64.55           555           2,256           $39            $39           80       53.9%       54.8%          64.6             565.6
            1               80         80% AFUE - Increased HXArea          64.60     565.5       $1,907        64.54            555           2,256           $39           $39            81        0.1%       54.8%          66.0             651.0
                            80         80% AFUE - Modulation (2-stage)      65.64     384.3       $2,197        65.11            456           2,415           $49           $45            90       11.3%       66.1%          53.6             447.8
            3               81         81% AFUE - Increased HX Area         63.95     559.9       $1,974        64.18            552           2,293           $39           $39            92       31.2%       97.4%          68.7             577.5
                            81         81% AFUE - Modulation (2-stage)      64.75     381.1       $2,265        64.62            454           2,452           $49           $45            96        2.7%      100.0%          60.6             525.6
            4               90         90% AFUE                             57.86     490.8       $2,529        61.33            519           2,597           $39           $39
                            92         92% AFUE - Increased HXArea          60.65     512.7       $2,699        60.65            513           2,717           $39           $39        Market Average AFUE       85.3
                            92         92% AFUE - Modulation (2-stage)      61.34     349.1       $2,948        61.32            354           2,960           $49           $49        Market Average UEC        64.5
                            92         92% AFUE - Modulation (Continuous)   60.63     517.7       $2,989        60.63            518           3,000           $49           $49
            5               96         96% AFUE - Modulation (Continuous)   58.67     500.5       $3,503        58.67            501           3,503           $49           $49
                                                                                                                    (0.01)                          0.06

     Weatherized Gas Furnace
        Trial                                                                        Winter                      Market         Market        Market          Annual
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Market     Cum. Mkt                      Electricity
      Standard                                   Description           Annual Gas   Electricity   Installed   Average Gas    Average Elec    Average        Maintenance                   AFUE                               Gas UEC
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Share 2015    Share                          UEC
        Level      AFUE                                                   Use          Use          Price         Use            UEC      Installed Price      Cost
                                                                        (MMBtu)       (kWh)        2004$        (MMBtu)         (kWh)         2004$           2004$                         78         2%         2.0%          35.8            316.9
            0               78         78% AFUE - Baseline                35.8        316.9        $3,651         32.5          288.6         $3,626            $39                         80        52%        54.0%          32.5            288.9
            1               80         80% AFUE - Increased HXArea        32.5        289.6        $3,621         32.5          288.4         $3,626            $39                         81        26%        80.0%          32.9            291.5
                            81         81% AFUE - Increased HXArea        32.4        287.9        $3,630         32.3          286.6         $3,631            $39                         82        20%       100.0%          31.6            281.1
                            82         82% AFUE - Increased HXArea        31.9        283.8        $3,636         31.9          283.8         $3,636            $39
            2               83         83% AFUE - Increased HXArea        31.6        280.5        $3,648         31.6          280.5         $3,648            $39                     Market Average AFUE       80.6
                                                                                                                                                                                        Market Average UEC        32.5

     Mobile Home Gas Furnaces
        Trial                                                                        Winter                      Market         Market        Market          Annual      Weighted
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Market     Cum. Mkt                      Electricity
      Standard                                   Description           Annual Gas   Electricity   Installed   Average Gas    Average Elec    Average        Maintenance    Average        AFUE                               Gas UEC
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Share 2015    Share                          UEC
        Level      AFUE                                                   Use          Use          Price         Use            UEC      Installed Price      Cost       Maint. Cost
                                                                        (MMBtu)       (kWh)        2004$        (MMBtu)         (kWh)         2004$           2004$         2004$           75        0.15       15%            45.1             401.7
            0               75         75% AFUE - Baseline                  45.1      401.7        $762          39.7           381.2           $846           $4             $17           80        0.80       95%            39.0             380.1
            1               80         80% AFUE - Increased HX Area         39.2      381.6        $841          38.9           379.4           $858           $19            $19           90        0.05       100%           34.8             338.3
                            80         80% AFUE Modulation 2 stage          39.7      254.4       $1,204         39.4           258.6          $1,203          $24            $24
            3               81         81% AFUE - Increased HX Area         38.7      377.1        $933          38.5           375.1           $946           $19            $19       Market Average AFUE       79.8
                            81         81% AFUE Modulation 2 stage          39.2      251.6       $1,296         39.0           256.0          $1,291          $24            $24       Market Average UEC        39.7
                            82         82% AFUE - Increased HX Area         38.2      372.7        $960          38.1           370.9           $972           $19            $19
                            82         82% AFUE Modulation 2 stage          38.8      248.9       $1,323         38.6           253.3          $1,317          $24            $24
            4               90         90% AFUE Condensing                  35.0      333.4       $1,189         35.0           333.7          $1,189          $26            $26


     Oil Furnace
         Trial                                                                       Winter                      Market         Market        Market          Annual                                                         Annual Oil         Winter
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Market     Cum. Mkt
      Standard                                   Description           Annual Oil   Electricity   Installed   Average Gas    Average Elec    Average        Maintenance                   AFUE                                  Use         Electricity Use
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Share 2015    Share
        Level            AFUE                                             Use          Use          Price         Use            UEC      Installed Price      Cost                                                           (MMBtu)           (kWh)
                                                                        (MMBtu)       (kWh)        2004$        (MMBtu)         (kWh)         2004$           2004$                         78        4.0%        4.0%         74.12            798.60
            0               78         78%AFUE - Baseline               74.1        798.6         $2,890         70.7           761.5          $2,980          $110                         80       57.0%       61.0%         71.63            772.59
            1               80         80%AFUE- IncreasedHXArea         71.7        773.0         $2,901         70.6           760.7          $2,980          $110                         81        9.0%       70.0%         71.13            763.31
                            81         81%AFUE - IncreasedHXArea        70.9        763.9         $2,906         70.1           755.2          $2,984          $110                         82        7.5%       77.5%         70.27            753.00
                            81         81%AFUE Interrupted Ignition     71.6        591.9         $2,930         70.6           634.8          $3,000          $110                         83        7.5%       85.0%         68.24            728.97
                            81         81%AFUE Fan Atomized Burner w/ Two-stage Modulation
                                                                        72.5        388.9         $3,204         71.2           492.7          $3,192          $110                         84        7.5%       92.5%         68.43            737.30
                            82         82%AFUE - IncreasedHXArea        70.1        754.8         $2,910         69.5           748.9          $2,986          $110                         85        7.5%      100.0%         66.34            720.22
            2               82         82%AFUE Interrupted Ignition     70.8        584.9         $2,944         70.1           617.3          $3,013          $110
                            82         82%AFUE Fan Atomized Burner w/ Two-stage Modulation
                                                                        71.6        384.2         $3,207         70.7           461.8          $3,217          $110                     Market Average AFUE       81.1
                            83         83%AFUE - IncreasedHXArea        69.2        744.6         $3,078         68.9           742.2          $3,115          $110                     Market Average UEC        70.7
                            83         83%AFUE Interrupted Ignition     69.9        576.8         $3,112         69.5           599.6          $3,144          $110
                            83         83%AFUE Fan Atomized Burner w/ Two-stage Modulation
                                                                        70.7        379.3         $3,376         70.2           431.8          $3,368          $110
                            84         84%AFUE - IncreasedHXArea        68.4        736.2         $3,243         68.2           735.0          $3,255          $110
            4               84         84%AFUE Interrupted Ignition     69.1        570.2         $3,277         68.9           581.4          $3,287          $110
                            84         84%AFUE Fan Atomized Burner w/ Two-stage Modulation
                                                                        69.9        375.1         $3,540         69.6           401.0          $3,530          $110
                            85         85%AFUE - IncreasedHXArea        67.5        727.3         $3,414         67.5           727.3          $3,414          $110
            5               85         85%AFUE Interrupted Ignition     68.2        563.0         $3,448         68.2           563.0          $3,448          $110
                            85         85%AFUE Fan Atomized Burner w/ Two-stage Modulation
                                                                        68.9        370.9         $3,712         68.9           370.9          $3,712          $110


073acaaf-8707-4ff4-9d7a-7c94604ab4ff.xls
     Gas Boiler                                                                                                                                                                                                          Julie Osborn 2/13/20122:31 AM
         Trial                                                                          Winter                      Market        Market        Market          Annual      Weighted                                          Annual Gas     Winter
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Market     Cum. Mkt
       Standard                                   Description           Annual Gas Electricity Installed         Average Gas   Average Elec    Average        Maintenance    Average        AFUE                                 Use     Electricity Use
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Share 2015    Share
         Level           AFUE                                               Use           Use         Price          Use           UEC      Installed Price      Cost       Maint. Cost                                        (MMBtu)       (kWh)
                                                                          (MMBtu)        (kWh)       2004$         (MMBtu)        (kWh)         2004$           2004$         2004$           80        35%        35%          78.42     DRAFT
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             132.8
            0               80         80%   AFUE - Baseline                78.4        132.8        $3,335         75.54         141.3         $3,592            $39          $39            81        22%        56%          76.65        151.0
                            81         81%                                  75.5        148.0
                                             AFUE - Improved Heat Transfer Coef & Electronic Ignition$3,407         74.28         145.9         $3,617            $39          $39            82        14%        70%          73.11        146.5
                            81         81%                                  75.3
                                             AFUE Two stage Modulation + Induced Draft 188.7         $3,558         74.19         168.8         $3,702            $49          $45            83        15%        85%          74.59        145.2
            1               82         82%                                  74.3        146.2
                                             AFUE - Improved Heat Transfer Coef & Electronic Ignition$3,499         73.77         144.9         $3,670            $39          $39            84         9%        94%          73.55        143.2
                            82         82%                                  74.1
                                             AFUE Two stage Modulation + Induced Draft 186.7         $3,651         73.65         173.3         $3,776            $49          $46            91         3%        97%          65.66        132.0
                            83         83%                                  73.6        144.6
                                             AFUE - Improved Heat Transfer Coef & Electronic Ignition$3,664         73.14         143.6         $3,784            $39          $39            99         3%        100%         65.72        128.0
                            83         83%                                  73.5
                                             AFUE Two stage Modulation + Induced Draft 184.7         $3,816         73.00         177.8         $3,913            $49          $48
            2               84         84%                                  72.8        143.0
                                             AFUE - Improved Heat Transfer Coef & Electronic Ignition$3,659         72.40         142.2         $3,780            $39          $39        Market Average AFUE       82.2
                            84         84%                                  72.7
                                             AFUE Two stage Modulation + Induced Draft 182.8         $3,810         72.25         179.7         $3,922            $49          $49        Market Average UEC        75.5
                            85         85%                                  72.0        141.3
                                             AFUE - Improved Heat Transfer Coef & Electronic Ignition$3,947         71.60         140.6         $4,051            $39          $39
                            85         85%                                  71.8
                                             AFUE Two stage Modulation + Induced Draft 180.9         $4,098         71.45         177.9         $4,193            $49          $49
                            86         86%                                  71.1        139.7
                                             AFUE Improved Heat Transfer Coef & Electronic Ignition $4,529          70.82         139.1         $4,599            $39          $39
                            91         91%   AFUE                           67.2        132.1        $5,128         67.17         131.9         $5,162            $49          $49
            5               99         99%   AFUE                           61.9        121.7        $6,223         61.94         121.7         $6,223            $49          $49


     Oil Boiler
         Trial                                                                          Winter                      Market        Market        Market          Annual                                                        Annual Gas     Winter
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Market     Cum. Mkt
      Standard                                    Description             Annual Oil   Electricity   Installed   Average Gas   Average Elec    Average        Maintenance                   AFUE                                 Use     Electricity Use
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Share 2015    Share
        Level            AFUE                                                Use          Use          Price         Use           UEC      Installed Price      Cost                                                          (MMBtu)       (kWh)
                                                                           (MMBtu)       (kWh)        2004$        (MMBtu)        (kWh)         2004$           2004$                         80        5.3%         5%         83.32        306.06
            0               80         80% AFUE                             83.3         306.1        $3,605        79.14         280.3         $3,998           $110                         81        5.4%        11%         81.43        298.90
                            81         81% AFUE- IncreasedHXArea         81.9       300.6            $3,625         79.09         280.1          $3,998          $110                         82        5.3%        16%           82.72           289.42
                            81         81% AFUE Interrupted Ignition     82.1       240.6            $3,660         79.12         273.7          $4,002          $110                         83       23.3%       39%            79.36           286.95
                            82         82% AFUE- IncreasedHXArea         81.5       294.5            $3,644         78.98         279.7          $3,999          $110                         84       23.4%       63%            78.60           284.69
                            82         82% AFUE Interrupted Ignition     81.7       235.6            $3,679         79.02         270.3          $4,005          $110                         85       23.3%       86%            79.48           280.57
                            82         82% AFUE Fan Atomized Burner w/ Two-stage Modulation
                                                                         81.4       314.7            $3,955         78.97         283.0          $4,049          $110                         86        7.0%       93%            76.60           272.90
            1               83         83% AFUE- IncreasedHXArea         79.8       288.6            $3,652         78.83         279.2          $4,000          $110                         90        7.0%       100%           73.98           209.64
                            83         83% AFUE Interrupted Ignition     80.1       230.9            $3,688         78.92         256.5          $4,014          $110
                            83                                           79.8
                                       83% AFUE Fan Atomized Burner w/ Two-stage Modulation
                                                                                    309.1            $3,963         78.80         287.3          $4,122          $110                     Market Average AFUE       84.1
            4               84         84% AFUE- IncreasedHXArea         78.8       285.0            $3,885         78.46         277.9          $4,091          $110                     Market Average UEC        79.1
                            84         84% AFUE Interrupted Ignition     79.0       228.1            $3,920         78.61         242.2          $4,113          $110
                            84         84% AFUE Fan Atomized Burner w/ Two-stage Modulation
                                                                         78.7       305.4            $4,196         78.41         290.6          $4,286          $110
                            85         85% AFUE- IncreasedHXArea         78.3       281.4            $4,127         77.89         275.8          $4,241          $110
                            85         85% AFUE Interrupted Ignition     78.5       225.2            $4,162         78.08         227.4          $4,272          $110
                            85         85% AFUE Fan Atomized Burner w/ Two-stage Modulation
                                                                         78.2       301.9            $4,438         77.82         293.4          $4,509          $110
                            86         86% AFUE- IncreasedHXArea         77.4       277.8            $4,354         77.12         273.0          $4,437          $110
                            86         86% AFUE Interrupted Ignition     77.6       222.3            $4,389         77.32         221.4          $4,470          $110
                            86         86% AFUE Fan Atomized Burner w/ Two-stage Modulation
                                                                         77.3       298.3            $4,665         77.04         292.1          $4,726          $110
                            90         90% AFUE                          74.1       212.3            $5,491         74.15         212.3          $5,491          $110
            5               95         95% AFUE                          70.3       201.2            $6,385         70.29         201.2          $6,385          $110




073acaaf-8707-4ff4-9d7a-7c94604ab4ff.xls                                                                                                                                                                                   Julie Osborn 2/13/20122:31 AM
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               DRAFT
                                                           United States                  Cold States                       Warm States                       United States                                               Cold States
                       Annual                                                                                                                                  Market                                           Annual      Market
                                              Descriptio          Winter                           Winter                            Winter                                          Electricity   Installed
Installed Price      Maintenance                                                                                                                               Share     Gas UEC                               Maintena     Share       Gas UEC
                                                 n       Annual Electricity   Installed    Annual Electricity   Installed    Annual Electricity   Installed                            UEC           Price
                        Cost                                                                                                                                    2015                                           nce Cost      2015
                                                        Gas Use    Use          Price     Gas Use    Use          Price     Gas Use    Use          Price
    $1,860                $39                           (MMBtu)   (kWh)        2004$      (MMBtu)   (kWh)        2004$      (MMBtu)   (kWh)        2004$         1.7%         39.4     355.5       $1,824        $39          0.8%         64.0
    $1,907                $39                             39.4
                                              78% AFUE - Baseline 355.5        $1,824       64.0    571.5        $1,860       23.0    210.6        $1,767       62.4%         48.2     425.0       $1,880        $39         53.9%         64.6
    $1,850                $39                             47.9
                                              80% AFUE - Increased HXArea
                                                                    423.0     $1,879        64.6        565.5   $1,907        35.6        319.9   $1,798         0.5%         61.0     542.6       $1,947        $39          0.1%         66.0
    $2,530                $39                             48.7
                                              80% AFUE - Modulation (2-stage) $2,163
                                                                    292.6                   65.6        384.3   $2,197        36.2        226.5   $2,064         8.5%         60.1     507.8       $2,494        $39         11.3%         53.6
    $2,673                $39                             47.5
                                              81% AFUE - Increased HX Area
                                                                    419.8     $1,946        63.9        559.9   $1,974        35.8        320.8   $1,864        23.3%         58.3     488.1       $2,750        $39         31.2%         68.7
    $3,391                $49                             48.1
                                              81% AFUE - Modulation (2-stage) $2,230
                                                                    290.6                   64.7        381.1   $2,265        36.2        226.8   $2,130         3.5%         62.1     538.1       $3,410        $49          2.7%         60.6
                                              90% AFUE 45.6         390.1     $2,491        57.9        490.8   $2,529        33.8        293.4   $2,392
                                                          48.1      408.6
                                              92% AFUE - Increased HXArea     $2,688        60.7        512.7   $2,699        34.7        300.3   $2,562
                                                          48.6      282.2
                                              92% AFUE - Modulation (2-stage) $2,936        61.3        349.1   $2,948        35.1        212.5   $2,793
                                                          48.0      416.9     $2,977
                                              92% AFUE - Modulation (Continuous)            60.6        517.7   $2,989        34.7        312.7   $2,831
                                                          47.0      407.2     $3,488
                                              96% AFUE - Modulation (Continuous)            58.7        500.5   $3,503        33.6        302.5   $3,307




Installed Price

   $3,651
   $3,619
   $3,634
   $3,632




                       Annual
Installed Price      Maintenance
                        Cost
     $762                $4
     $841                 $19
    $1,189                $26




Installed Price
   (2004$)
    $2,890
    $2,901
    $2,900
    $2,913
    $3,100
    $3,239
    $3,407




   073acaaf-8707-4ff4-9d7a-7c94604ab4ff.xls                                                                                                                                                                      Julie Osborn 2/13/20122:31 AM
                       Annual
Installed Price      Maintenance
   (2004$)              Cost
    $3,335               $39                                DRAFT
    $3,409               $39
    $3,490               $39
    $3,677               $39
    $3,653               $39
    $5,145               $39
    $6,253               $49




Installed Price
   (2004$)
    $3,605
    $3,636
    $3,666
    $3,653
    $3,886
    $4,133
    $4,354
    $5,536




   073acaaf-8707-4ff4-9d7a-7c94604ab4ff.xls   Julie Osborn 2/13/20122:31 AM
                                                                                                                                                        DRAFT
                                                                                Warm States
                                                                      Annual     Market                                         Annual
                                           Electricity   Installed                                   Electricity   Installed
                                                                     Maintena    Share    Gas UEC                              Maintena
                                             UEC           Price                                       UEC           Price
                                                                     nce Cost     2015                                         nce Cost
                                             571.5       $1,860        $39        2.2%        23.0     210.6       $1,767        $39
                                             565.6       $1,907        $39       73.9%        36.0     323.2       $1,799        $39
                                             651.0       $1,850        $39        1.8%        57.0     494.0       $1,916        $39
                                             447.8       $2,530        $39        5.2%        46.9     390.6       $2,444        $39
                                             577.5       $2,673        $39       15.5%        43.1     364.4       $2,582        $39
                                             525.6       $3,391        $49        1.3%        37.3     363.0       $3,227        $49




073acaaf-8707-4ff4-9d7a-7c94604ab4ff.xls                                                                                                  Julie Osborn 2/13/20122:31 AM
Retirement Function

                 Source: Gas Furnace, Oil Furnace, Electric Furnace and Heat Pump Replacement Rates: Appliance M
                 Life Expectancy
                              Gas Furnace                   Oil     Electric     Gas       Oil
                      NW          W           MH          Furnace   Furnace     Boiler    Boiler
      Low             10          12          14            10        11          20       20
      Point           20          18          19            15        17          25       25
      High            30          24          23            20        23          30       30

                 Retirement Probability
          30         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
          29         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
          28         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
          27         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
          26         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
          25         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
          24         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
          23         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
          22         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
          21         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
          20         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
          19         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
          18         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
          17         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
          16         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
          15         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
          14         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
          13         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
          12         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
          11         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
          10         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
           9         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
           8         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
           7         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
           6         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
           5         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
           4         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
           3         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
           2         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
           1         #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?        #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?




                                Non-Weatherized Gas Furnace
                                     Heating Equipment        Retirement Function
              100%
                                Weatherized Gas Furnace
                               Weatherized Gas Furnace

                         90%
                               Mobile Home Furnace

                         80%
Retirement Probability         Oil Furnace

                         70%
                               Electric Furnace

                         60%
                               Gas Boiler
                         50%
                               Oil Boiler
                         40%
                               Heat Pump
                         30%

                         20%

                         10%

                         0%


                                                         Years
mp Replacement Rates: Appliance Magazine, September 2001

              Heat                        Gas Furnace              Oil     Electric     Gas       Oil
              Pump                 NW         W          MH      Furnace   Furnace     Boiler    Boiler
                6
               14
               21

                                Retirement Probability
            #NAME?        1      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?        2      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?        3      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?        4      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?        5      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?        6      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?        7      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?        8      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?        9      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?       10      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?       11      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?       12      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?       13      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?       14      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?       15      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?       16      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?       17      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?       18      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?       19      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?       20      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?       21      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?       22      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?       23      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?       24      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?       25      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?       26      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?       27      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?       28      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?       29      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
            #NAME?       30      #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
Heat                   Gas Furnace              Oil     Electric     Gas       Oil
Pump            NW         W          MH      Furnace   Furnace     Boiler    Boiler




              Survival Probability
#NAME?    1   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?    2   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?    3   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?    4   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?    5   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?    6   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?    7   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?    8   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?    9   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   10   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   11   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   12   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   13   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   14   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   15   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   16   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   17   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   18   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   19   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   20   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   21   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   22   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   23   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   24   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   25   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   26   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   27   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   28   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   29   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   30   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
Heat                   Gas Furnace              Oil     Electric     Gas       Oil
Pump            NW         W          MH      Furnace   Furnace     Boiler    Boiler




              Survival Probability
#NAME?   30   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   29   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   28   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   27   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   26   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   25   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   24   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   23   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   22   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   21   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   20   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   19   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   18   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   17   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   16   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   15   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   14   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   13   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   12   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   11   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?   10   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?    9   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?    8   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?    7   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?    6   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?    5   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?    4   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?    3   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?    2   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
#NAME?    1   #NAME?    #NAME?       #NAME?   #NAME?    #NAME?     #NAME?    #NAME?
Heat
Pump




#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
#NAME?
Projected New Housing Construction
   and Mobile Home Placements
Source: Annual Energy Outlook 2005

                                                       New Housing Units (million)
                      Total                Single Family Starts           Multi-Family Starts
             REF       LO         HI    REF       LO          HI       REF        LO
  2004       2.02      2.02      2.02   1.58      1.58       1.58      0.32       0.32
  2005       1.86      1.70      2.05   1.47      1.33       1.59      0.26       0.24
  2006       1.78      1.65      1.96   1.37      1.27       1.49      0.26       0.24
  2007       1.82      1.69      2.03   1.35      1.24       1.49      0.29       0.27
  2008       1.82      1.67      2.05   1.32      1.20       1.47      0.29       0.26
  2009       1.81      1.64      2.05   1.29      1.16       1.45      0.29       0.26
  2010       1.82      1.64      2.09   1.28      1.15       1.47      0.30       0.26
  2011       1.84      1.63      2.11   1.30      1.14       1.49      0.30       0.26
  2012       1.81      1.58      2.05   1.28      1.11       1.45      0.30       0.25
  2013       1.80      1.54      2.03   1.27      1.08       1.44      0.30       0.25
  2014       1.82      1.53      2.04   1.29      1.07       1.46      0.31       0.26
  2015       1.77      1.47      1.98   1.26      1.03       1.42      0.30       0.25
  2016       1.72      1.42      1.92   1.21      0.97       1.36      0.31       0.26
  2017       1.70      1.40      1.89   1.19      0.95       1.33      0.32       0.27
  2018       1.69      1.40      1.87   1.18      0.95       1.31      0.33       0.28
  2019       1.70      1.41      1.88   1.19      0.96       1.33      0.33       0.28
  2020       1.71      1.39      1.90   1.21      0.95       1.35      0.33       0.28
  2021       1.70      1.36      1.91   1.20      0.93       1.35      0.33       0.28
  2022       1.70      1.35      1.92   1.20      0.92       1.36      0.33       0.28
  2023       1.70      1.32      1.94   1.20      0.91       1.37      0.33       0.27
  2024       1.69      1.30      1.94   1.20      0.89       1.37      0.34       0.27
  2025       1.68      1.28      1.94   1.19      0.88       1.37      0.33       0.27
  2026       1.69      1.28      1.94   1.20      0.88       1.38      0.34       0.27
  2027       1.70      1.28      1.94   1.20      0.89       1.39      0.34       0.27
  2028       1.70      1.28      1.94   1.21      0.89       1.39      0.34       0.27
  2029       1.71      1.28      1.94   1.22      0.90       1.40      0.34       0.27
  2030       1.72      1.28      1.94   1.22      0.90       1.41      0.34       0.27
  2031       1.73      1.28      1.94   1.23      0.91       1.42      0.34       0.28
  2032       1.74      1.28      1.94   1.24      0.91       1.42      0.35       0.28
  2033       1.74      1.28      1.94   1.24      0.92       1.43      0.35       0.28
  2034       1.75      1.28      1.94   1.25      0.92       1.44      0.35       0.28
  2035       1.76      1.28      1.94   1.25      0.93       1.44      0.35       0.28
  2036       1.77      1.28      1.94   1.26      0.93       1.45      0.35       0.28
  2037       1.78      1.28      1.94   1.27      0.93       1.46      0.36       0.28
  2038       1.78      1.28      1.94   1.27      0.94       1.47      0.36       0.29
  2039       1.79      1.28      1.94   1.28      0.94       1.47      0.36       0.29
  2040       1.80      1.28      1.94   1.29      0.95       1.48      0.36       0.29
  2041       1.81      1.28      1.94   1.29      0.95       1.49      0.36       0.29
  2042       1.82      1.28      1.94   1.30      0.96       1.50      0.36       0.29
llion)
ulti-Family Starts          Manufactured Home Placements
                      HI      REF       LO         HI
                     0.32     0.12      0.12      0.12
                     0.32     0.13      0.13      0.14
                     0.32     0.15      0.14      0.15
                     0.36     0.18      0.18      0.19
                     0.36     0.21      0.20      0.22
                     0.36     0.23      0.23      0.25
                     0.37     0.24      0.23      0.25
                     0.37     0.24      0.23      0.25
                     0.36     0.23      0.22      0.24
                     0.36     0.22      0.21      0.23
                     0.36     0.22      0.21      0.22
                     0.35     0.21      0.19      0.21
                     0.36     0.20      0.18      0.20
                     0.37     0.19      0.18      0.19
                     0.38     0.19      0.17      0.18
                     0.38     0.18      0.17      0.18
                     0.38     0.18      0.16      0.17
                     0.39     0.17      0.16      0.17
                     0.40     0.17      0.15      0.17
                     0.40     0.16      0.14      0.16
                     0.41     0.16      0.14      0.16
                     0.41     0.15      0.13      0.15
                     0.41     0.15      0.13      0.15
                     0.41     0.15      0.13      0.15
                     0.42     0.15      0.13      0.15
                     0.42     0.15      0.13      0.15
                     0.42     0.15      0.13      0.15
                     0.42     0.15      0.13      0.15
                     0.42     0.15      0.13      0.15
                     0.43     0.15      0.13      0.15
                     0.43     0.15      0.13      0.15
                     0.43     0.15      0.13      0.15
                     0.43     0.15      0.13      0.15
                     0.43     0.15      0.13      0.15
                     0.44     0.15      0.13      0.15
                     0.44     0.15      0.13      0.15
                     0.44     0.15      0.13      0.15
                     0.44     0.15      0.13      0.15
                     0.45     0.15      0.13      0.15
                                                      Energy Prices from LCC analysis
Projected Energy Prices and Heat Rates                                           Average     Marginal
                                                          (in 2004 dollars)         2015      2015               Electricity Prices after 2025 extrapolated based on 2015-2025 Growth Rate
Source: Annual Energy Outlook 2005                                                 $10.32
                                                          Winter Gas Price ($/MMBtu)          $9.70              Gas Prices after 2025 extrapolated based on 2010-2025 Growth Rate
                                                                                    $0.11
                                                          Winter Electricity Price ($/kWh)    $0.09              Distillate Fuel Prices after 2025 extrapolated based on 2015-2025 Growth Rate                                                                                         Source: AEO 2005 MHR Forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Weighted NG + LPG                                                             Gas Marginal Heat Rate based on Furnace Load Shape
                                   Average Energy Prices                                              Marginal Energy Prices                            Average Energy Prices                   NWGF                        MHGF                  Average Energy Prices                Electric Marginal Heat Rate (furnace fan) based on refrigerator (base) load shape
          Electricity Price ($2004 / MMBTU)      Gas Price ($2004 / MMBtu)      Electricity Price $2004 / MMBTU     Gas Price ($2004 / MMBtu)          LPG Price ($2004/MBTU)          NG/LPG Price ($2004/MBTU)   NG/LPG Price ($2004/MBTU)   Fuel Oil Price ($2004 / MMBTU)               Marginal Site to Source Conversion Factor
            REF        LO            HI       REF         LO           HI          REF         LO        HI        REF         LO           HI        REF         LO          HI        REF       LO        HI      REF       LO       HI        REF        LO         HI              Elec (Btu/kWh)      Scaler       Gas        NWGF          MHGF
  1998                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2000        11500           3.37        1.07        1.061         1.040
  2002     $25.89     $25.89     $25.89       $8.03       $8.03      $8.03        $20.86     $20.86     $20.86     $7.55      $7.55      $7.55       $13.32     $13.32     $13.32      $7.95     $7.95     $7.95   $9.80    $9.80     $9.80     $8.59     $8.59      $8.59      2001        11500           3.37       1.066        1.061         1.040
  2003     $26.09     $26.09     $26.09       $9.46       $9.46      $9.46        $21.01     $21.01     $21.01     $8.90      $8.90      $8.90       $14.97     $14.97     $14.97      $9.33     $9.33     $9.33   $11.27   $11.27   $11.27     $9.83     $9.83      $9.83      2002        11500           3.37       1.066        1.061         1.040
  2004     $25.86     $25.84     $25.86      $10.20      $10.20      $10.20       $20.83     $20.81     $20.83     $9.60      $9.60      $9.60       $18.04     $18.04     $18.04      $10.19    $10.19   $10.19   $12.89   $12.89   $12.89     $10.82    $10.82     $10.82     2003        11500           3.37       1.066        1.061         1.040
  2005     $25.82     $25.45     $26.20      $10.30      $10.26      $10.35       $20.79     $20.49     $21.10     $9.69      $9.65      $9.74       $17.53     $17.53     $17.53      $10.24    $10.20   $10.28   $12.75   $12.72   $12.77     $10.39    $10.39     $10.39     2004        11500           3.37       1.066        1.061         1.040
  2006     $25.04     $24.64     $25.41       $9.56       $9.44      $9.67        $20.17     $19.85     $20.47     $8.99      $8.88      $9.10       $15.77     $15.65     $16.08      $9.47     $9.35     $9.59   $11.64   $11.52   $11.82     $9.31     $9.22      $9.48      2005        11500           3.37       1.066        1.061         1.040
  2007     $24.09     $23.48     $24.69       $9.01       $8.82      $9.20        $19.40     $18.91     $19.89     $8.47      $8.30      $8.65       $15.13     $14.89     $15.69      $8.94     $8.76     $9.15   $11.07   $10.87   $11.40     $8.91     $8.79      $9.10      2006        11500           3.37       1.068        1.064         1.042
  2008     $23.60     $22.89     $24.33       $8.51       $8.29      $8.74        $19.01     $18.44     $19.60     $8.00      $7.80      $8.23       $14.94     $14.65     $15.36      $8.49     $8.28     $8.72   $10.71   $10.47   $11.01     $8.72     $8.52      $8.82      2007        11200           3.28       1.071        1.066         1.044
  2009     $23.63     $22.83     $24.52       $8.25       $8.01      $8.51        $19.03     $18.38     $19.75     $7.76      $7.54      $8.00       $14.66     $14.35     $15.19      $8.24     $8.01     $8.50   $10.45   $10.19   $10.81     $8.54     $8.37      $8.69      2008        10000           2.93       1.074        1.069         1.045
  2010     $23.57     $22.77     $24.57       $8.00       $7.81      $8.28        $18.98     $18.34     $19.79     $7.53      $7.34      $7.79       $14.63     $14.25     $15.12      $8.02     $7.83     $8.30   $10.30   $10.04   $10.65     $8.51     $8.27      $8.65      2009         9655           2.83       1.077        1.072         1.047
  2011     $23.59     $22.68     $24.62       $7.90       $7.69      $8.22        $19.00     $18.27     $19.83     $7.43      $7.23      $7.73       $14.57     $14.33     $15.08      $7.93     $7.73     $8.25   $10.21   $10.00   $10.60     $8.47     $8.30      $8.71      2010         9737           2.85       1.078        1.073         1.048
  2012     $23.74     $22.77     $24.96       $7.98       $7.77      $8.33        $19.12     $18.34     $20.10     $7.51      $7.30      $7.84       $14.63     $14.38     $15.07      $8.01     $7.80     $8.35   $10.29   $10.07   $10.66     $8.52     $8.32      $8.76      2011         9737           2.85       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2013     $23.93     $22.91     $25.05       $8.11       $7.92      $8.43        $19.28     $18.45     $20.18     $7.63      $7.45      $7.93       $14.73     $14.43     $15.03      $8.12     $7.94     $8.43   $10.40   $10.17   $10.70     $8.60     $8.47      $8.79      2012         9737           2.85       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2014     $24.20     $23.14     $25.15       $8.29       $8.07      $8.50        $19.49     $18.63     $20.25     $7.79      $7.59      $8.00       $14.70     $14.35     $15.17      $8.28     $8.07     $8.50   $10.49   $10.23   $10.79     $8.66     $8.51      $8.87      2013         9219           2.70       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2015     $24.26     $23.28     $24.99       $8.43       $8.21      $8.43        $19.54     $18.75     $20.13     $7.93      $7.73      $7.93       $14.83     $14.46     $15.43      $8.41     $8.20     $8.45   $10.62   $10.35   $10.85     $8.71     $8.55      $8.95      2014         8750           2.56       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2016     $24.22     $23.43     $25.02       $8.41       $8.32      $8.47        $19.50     $18.87     $20.15     $7.91      $7.83      $7.96       $14.99     $14.46     $15.48      $8.41     $8.29     $8.49   $10.67   $10.42   $10.90     $8.76     $8.56      $9.01      2015         8250           2.42       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2017     $24.28     $23.57     $25.24       $8.42       $8.43      $8.65        $19.56     $18.99     $20.33     $7.92      $7.93      $8.14       $15.06     $14.55     $15.57      $8.42     $8.39     $8.66   $10.71   $10.51   $11.04     $8.82     $8.60      $9.07      2016         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2018     $24.45     $23.72     $25.59       $8.55       $8.56      $8.93        $19.69     $19.10     $20.61     $8.04      $8.05      $8.40       $15.10     $14.77     $15.79      $8.53     $8.52     $8.91   $10.79   $10.67   $11.28     $8.94     $8.57      $9.18      2017         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2019     $24.67     $23.81     $25.82       $8.74       $8.59      $9.16        $19.87     $19.17     $20.80     $8.22      $8.08      $8.62       $15.27     $14.93     $15.95      $8.71     $8.56     $9.13   $10.97   $10.75   $11.48     $9.02     $8.62      $9.29      2018         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2020     $24.76     $23.70     $25.89       $8.89       $8.53      $9.30        $19.95     $19.09     $20.85     $8.36      $8.02      $8.75       $15.46     $15.00     $16.13      $8.86     $8.51     $9.27   $11.13   $10.75   $11.63     $9.08     $8.66      $9.41      2019         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2021     $24.88     $23.71     $26.04       $9.03       $8.54      $9.47        $20.04     $19.10     $20.97     $8.50      $8.03      $8.91       $15.65     $15.07     $16.30      $9.00     $8.53     $9.43   $11.29   $10.78   $11.79     $9.15     $8.75      $9.48      2020         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2022     $24.83     $23.76     $26.09       $9.10       $8.60      $9.57        $19.99     $19.14     $21.01     $8.56      $8.09      $9.00       $15.75     $15.14     $16.30      $9.06     $8.58     $9.51   $11.37   $10.84   $11.85     $9.21     $8.78      $9.54      2021         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2023     $24.77     $23.79     $25.98       $9.13       $8.68      $9.59        $19.95     $19.16     $20.93     $8.59      $8.16      $9.02       $15.91     $15.24     $16.44      $9.10     $8.66     $9.54   $11.44   $10.92   $11.91     $9.27     $8.85      $9.58      2022         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2024     $24.79     $23.84     $26.03       $9.21       $8.83      $9.68        $19.97     $19.20     $20.96     $8.67      $8.30      $9.10       $16.00     $15.24     $16.54      $9.18     $8.79     $9.62   $11.52   $11.01   $12.00     $9.32     $9.00      $9.64      2023         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2025     $24.88     $23.93     $26.09       $9.31       $8.98      $9.78        $20.04     $19.27     $21.02     $8.75      $8.45      $9.20       $16.06     $15.38     $16.69      $9.27     $8.93     $9.73   $11.60   $11.15   $12.12     $9.36     $9.06      $9.68      2024         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2026     $24.95     $23.99     $26.21       $9.40       $9.06      $9.89        $20.09     $19.33     $21.11     $8.84      $8.53      $9.30       $16.16     $15.46     $16.80      $9.35     $9.01    $9.83    $11.70   $11.23   $12.23     $9.43     $9.11      $9.76      2025         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2027     $25.01     $24.06     $26.32       $9.50       $9.15      $10.00       $20.14     $19.38     $21.20     $8.93      $8.61      $9.41       $16.26     $15.53     $16.91      $9.44     $9.09    $9.93    $11.79   $11.31   $12.33     $9.49     $9.16      $9.84      2026         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2028     $25.07     $24.13     $26.43       $9.59       $9.24      $10.11       $20.19     $19.43     $21.29     $9.02      $8.69      $9.51       $16.36     $15.61     $17.02      $9.54     $9.17    $10.04   $11.89   $11.39   $12.44     $9.56     $9.21      $9.92      2027         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2029     $25.14     $24.19     $26.55       $9.69       $9.32      $10.23       $20.25     $19.49     $21.38     $9.11      $8.77      $9.62       $16.47     $15.69     $17.13      $9.63     $9.25    $10.15   $11.98   $11.47   $12.55     $9.63     $9.27      $9.99      2028         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2030     $25.20     $24.26     $26.66       $9.79       $9.41      $10.34       $20.30     $19.54     $21.47     $9.21      $8.85      $9.73       $16.57     $15.77     $17.25      $9.72     $9.33    $10.25   $12.08   $11.55   $12.66     $9.70     $9.32      $10.07     2029         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2031     $25.26     $24.33     $26.78       $9.89       $9.50      $10.46       $20.35     $19.59     $21.57     $9.30      $8.93      $9.84       $16.67     $15.85     $17.36      $9.82     $9.42    $10.36   $12.17   $11.63   $12.77     $9.77     $9.38      $10.15     2030         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2032     $25.33     $24.39     $26.89       $9.99       $9.59      $10.57       $20.40     $19.65     $21.66     $9.39      $9.02      $9.95       $16.78     $15.93     $17.47      $9.91     $9.50    $10.47   $12.27   $11.71   $12.88     $9.84     $9.43      $10.23     2031         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2033     $25.39     $24.46     $27.01      $10.09       $9.68      $10.69       $20.45     $19.70     $21.75     $9.49      $9.10      $10.06      $16.88     $16.01     $17.59      $10.01    $9.58    $10.58   $12.37   $11.80   $12.99     $9.91     $9.48      $10.31     2032         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2034     $25.46     $24.53     $27.13      $10.19       $9.77      $10.81       $20.50     $19.75     $21.85     $9.58      $9.19      $10.17      $16.99     $16.09     $17.71      $10.10    $9.67    $10.70   $12.47   $11.88   $13.11     $9.98     $9.54      $10.40     2033         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2035     $25.52     $24.59     $27.24      $10.29       $9.86      $10.93       $20.56     $19.81     $21.94     $9.68      $9.27      $10.28      $17.09     $16.18     $17.82      $10.20    $9.76    $10.81   $12.57   $11.96   $13.22     $10.05    $9.59      $10.48     2034         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2036     $25.59     $24.66     $27.36      $10.40       $9.95      $11.05       $20.61     $19.86     $22.04     $9.78      $9.36      $10.40      $17.20     $16.26     $17.94      $10.30    $9.84    $10.92   $12.67   $12.05   $13.34     $10.12    $9.65      $10.56     2035         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2037     $25.65     $24.73     $27.48      $10.50      $10.04      $11.18       $20.66     $19.92     $22.13     $9.88      $9.45      $10.51      $17.30     $16.34     $18.06      $10.40    $9.93    $11.04   $12.77   $12.14   $13.46     $10.20    $9.71      $10.64     2036         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2038     $25.72     $24.80     $27.60      $10.61      $10.14      $11.30       $20.71     $19.97     $22.23     $9.98      $9.53      $10.63      $17.41     $16.42     $18.18      $10.50    $10.02   $11.16   $12.88   $12.22   $13.57     $10.27    $9.76      $10.73     2037         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2039     $25.78     $24.87     $27.72      $10.72      $10.23      $11.43       $20.76     $20.03     $22.33    $10.08      $9.62      $10.75      $17.52     $16.51     $18.30      $10.60    $10.11   $11.28   $12.98   $12.31   $13.69     $10.34    $9.82      $10.81     2038         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2040     $25.85     $24.94     $27.84      $10.83      $10.33      $11.55       $20.82     $20.08     $22.42    $10.18      $9.71      $10.87      $17.63     $16.59     $18.42      $10.70    $10.20   $11.40   $13.09   $12.40   $13.81     $10.42    $9.87      $10.90     2039         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2041     $25.91     $25.00     $27.96      $10.93      $10.42      $11.68       $20.87     $20.14     $22.52    $10.28      $9.81      $10.99      $17.74     $16.67     $18.54      $10.81    $10.29   $11.52   $13.19   $12.48   $13.93     $10.49    $9.93      $10.99     2040         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2042     $25.98     $25.07     $28.08      $11.05      $10.52      $11.81       $20.92     $20.19     $22.62    $10.39      $9.90      $11.11      $17.85     $16.76     $18.66      $10.91    $10.38   $11.64   $13.30   $12.57   $14.06     $10.57    $9.99      $11.07     2041         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2043     $26.04     $25.14     $28.20      $11.16      $10.62      $11.95       $20.98     $20.25     $22.71    $10.49      $9.99      $11.24      $17.96     $16.84     $18.79      $11.02    $10.47   $11.76   $13.41   $12.66   $14.18     $10.64    $10.05     $11.16     2042         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2044     $26.11     $25.21     $28.32      $11.27      $10.72      $12.08       $21.03     $20.31     $22.81    $10.60     $10.08      $11.36      $18.07     $16.93     $18.91      $11.12    $10.56   $11.89   $13.52   $12.75   $14.31     $10.72    $10.11     $11.25     2043         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2045     $26.18     $25.28     $28.45      $11.38      $10.82      $12.21       $21.08     $20.36     $22.91    $10.71     $10.18      $11.49      $18.19     $17.02     $19.03      $11.23    $10.66   $12.02   $13.62   $12.84   $14.43     $10.80    $10.16     $11.34     2044         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2046     $26.24     $25.35     $28.57      $11.50      $10.92      $12.35       $21.14     $20.42     $23.01    $10.82     $10.27      $11.62      $18.30     $17.10     $19.16      $11.34    $10.75   $12.14   $13.73   $12.94   $14.56     $10.87    $10.22     $11.43     2045         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2047     $26.31     $25.42     $28.69      $11.62      $11.02      $12.49       $21.19     $20.47     $23.11    $10.93     $10.37      $11.75      $18.41     $17.19     $19.29      $11.45    $10.85   $12.27   $13.85   $13.03   $14.69     $10.95    $10.28     $11.52     2046         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2048     $26.38     $25.49     $28.82      $11.73      $11.13      $12.63       $21.24     $20.53     $23.21    $11.04     $10.47      $11.88      $18.53     $17.28     $19.41      $11.56    $10.94   $12.40   $13.96   $13.12   $14.82     $11.03    $10.34     $11.61     2047         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2049     $26.44     $25.56     $28.94      $11.85      $11.23      $12.77       $21.30     $20.59     $23.31    $11.15     $10.56      $12.01      $18.64     $17.36     $19.54      $11.67    $11.04   $12.54   $14.07   $13.22   $14.95     $11.11    $10.40     $11.70     2048         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2050     $26.51     $25.63     $29.07      $11.97      $11.34      $12.91       $21.35     $20.64     $23.41    $11.26     $10.66      $12.14      $18.76     $17.45     $19.67      $11.79    $11.14   $12.67   $14.19   $13.31   $15.08     $11.19    $10.46     $11.79     2049         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2051     $26.58     $25.70     $29.19      $12.09      $11.44      $13.05       $21.41     $20.70     $23.51    $11.38     $10.76      $12.28      $18.88     $17.54     $19.80      $11.90    $11.24   $12.80   $14.30   $13.41   $15.21     $11.27    $10.52     $11.89     2050         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2052     $26.64     $25.77     $29.32      $12.22      $11.55      $13.20       $21.46     $20.76     $23.61    $11.49     $10.86      $12.41      $18.99     $17.63     $19.93      $12.02    $11.34   $12.94   $14.42   $13.50   $15.35     $11.35    $10.58     $11.98     2051         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2053     $26.71     $25.84     $29.45      $12.34      $11.66      $13.35       $21.51     $20.81     $23.72    $11.61     $10.97      $12.55      $19.11     $17.72     $20.06      $12.13    $11.44   $13.08   $14.53   $13.60   $15.48     $11.43    $10.64     $12.08     2052         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2054     $26.78     $25.91     $29.57      $12.47      $11.77      $13.50       $21.57     $20.87     $23.82    $11.72     $11.07      $12.69      $19.23     $17.81     $20.20      $12.25    $11.54   $13.22   $14.65   $13.70   $15.62     $11.51    $10.71     $12.17     2053         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2055     $26.85     $25.98     $29.70      $12.59      $11.88      $13.65       $21.62     $20.93     $23.92    $11.84     $11.17      $12.83      $19.35     $17.90     $20.33      $12.37    $11.64   $13.36   $14.77   $13.80   $15.76     $11.60    $10.77     $12.27     2054         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2056     $26.92     $26.06     $29.83      $12.72      $11.99      $13.80       $21.68     $20.99     $24.03    $11.96     $11.28      $12.98      $19.47     $17.99     $20.46      $12.49    $11.75   $13.50   $14.89   $13.90   $15.90     $11.68    $10.83     $12.36     2055         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2057     $26.98     $26.13     $29.96      $12.85      $12.10      $13.95       $21.73     $21.04     $24.13    $12.08     $11.38      $13.12      $19.59     $18.08     $20.60      $12.61    $11.85   $13.65   $15.01   $14.00   $16.04     $11.76    $10.89     $12.46     2056         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2058     $27.05     $26.20     $30.09      $12.98      $12.21      $14.11       $21.79     $21.10     $24.23    $12.21     $11.49      $13.27      $19.72     $18.17     $20.74      $12.73    $11.96   $13.79   $15.14   $14.10   $16.18     $11.85    $10.96     $12.56     2057         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2059     $27.12     $26.27     $30.22      $13.11      $12.33      $14.26       $21.84     $21.16     $24.34    $12.33     $11.60      $13.42      $19.84     $18.27     $20.87      $12.86    $12.06   $13.94   $15.26   $14.20   $16.32     $11.93    $11.02     $12.66     2058         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2060     $27.19     $26.34     $30.35      $13.24      $12.44      $14.42       $21.90     $21.22     $24.45    $12.46     $11.70      $13.57      $19.96     $18.36     $21.01      $12.98    $12.17   $14.09   $15.38   $14.30   $16.47     $12.02    $11.08     $12.76     2059         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2061     $27.26     $26.42     $30.48      $13.38      $12.56      $14.58       $21.95     $21.28     $24.55    $12.58     $11.81      $13.72      $20.09     $18.45     $21.15      $13.11    $12.28   $14.24   $15.51   $14.40   $16.62     $12.10    $11.15     $12.86     2060         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2062     $27.33     $26.49     $30.61      $13.51      $12.68      $14.75       $22.01     $21.33     $24.66    $12.71     $11.93      $13.87      $20.21     $18.55     $21.29      $13.23    $12.39   $14.39   $15.63   $14.51   $16.76     $12.19    $11.21     $12.96     2061         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2063     $27.40     $26.56     $30.75      $13.65      $12.80      $14.91       $22.07     $21.39     $24.76    $12.84     $12.04      $14.03      $20.34     $18.64     $21.43      $13.36    $12.50   $14.54   $15.76   $14.61   $16.91     $12.28    $11.28     $13.07     2062         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2064     $27.47     $26.64     $30.88      $13.79      $12.92      $15.08       $22.12     $21.45     $24.87    $12.97     $12.15      $14.18      $20.46     $18.73     $21.57      $13.49    $12.61   $14.70   $15.89   $14.72   $17.06     $12.37    $11.34     $13.17     2063         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2065     $27.54     $26.71     $31.01      $13.93      $13.04      $15.25       $22.18     $21.51     $24.98    $13.10     $12.26      $14.34      $20.59     $18.83     $21.71      $13.62    $12.72   $14.86   $16.02   $14.82   $17.22     $12.46    $11.41     $13.27     2064         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2066     $27.61     $26.78     $31.15      $14.07      $13.16      $15.42       $22.23     $21.57     $25.09    $13.23     $12.38      $14.50      $20.72     $18.93     $21.86      $13.76    $12.84   $15.02   $16.15   $14.93   $17.37     $12.54    $11.47     $13.38     2065         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2067     $27.68     $26.86     $31.28      $14.21      $13.28      $15.59       $22.29     $21.63     $25.20    $13.37     $12.49      $14.66      $20.85     $19.02     $22.00      $13.89    $12.95   $15.18   $16.28   $15.04   $17.52     $12.63    $11.54     $13.48     2066         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2068     $27.75     $26.93     $31.42      $14.35      $13.41      $15.76       $22.35     $21.69     $25.30    $13.50     $12.61      $14.83      $20.98     $19.12     $22.15      $14.02    $13.07   $15.34   $16.42   $15.15   $17.68     $12.72    $11.61     $13.59     2067         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2069     $27.82     $27.00     $31.55      $14.50      $13.53      $15.94       $22.40     $21.75     $25.41    $13.64     $12.73      $14.99      $21.11     $19.22     $22.29      $14.16    $13.18   $15.50   $16.55   $15.26   $17.84     $12.82    $11.67     $13.70     2068         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2070     $27.89     $27.08     $31.69      $14.65      $13.66      $16.12       $22.46     $21.81     $25.52    $13.78     $12.85      $15.16      $21.24     $19.31     $22.44      $14.30    $13.30   $15.67   $16.69   $15.37   $18.00     $12.91    $11.74     $13.81     2069         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2071     $27.96     $27.15     $31.83      $14.79      $13.79      $16.30       $22.52     $21.87     $25.63    $13.92     $12.97      $15.33      $21.37     $19.41     $22.59      $14.44    $13.42   $15.84   $16.82   $15.48   $18.16     $13.00    $11.81     $13.92     2070         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
  2072     $28.03     $27.23     $31.97      $14.94      $13.92      $16.48       $22.57     $21.93     $25.75    $14.06     $13.09      $15.50      $21.51     $19.51     $22.74      $14.58    $13.54   $16.00   $16.96   $15.59   $18.32     $13.09    $11.88     $14.03     2071         7720           2.26       1.079        1.073         1.048
Heating Load of Houses Shifted Away from Gas due to Standards

Non-Weatherized Gas Furnaces
   Source: RECS 2001
  Sum of SumOfFinalWeight         HEAT        MainHeatingFuel
                    Central warm-air furnace with ducts         Heat pump        Grand Total                     Bin
      HeatingUECBIN                   Natural                    pipes
                                Electricity gas from underground Electricity
              0                  1205340            154207         731303         2651238                         0
              5                  2004288            439289        1386645         1885364                         5
             10                  1474755            837971         865918         2134552                         10
             15                  1095488            868476         814656         1875201                         15
             20                  1126133           1029352        1040278         1270524                         20
             25                   513560           1238769         715738         1069373                         25
             30                   324316            905269         489813          626670                         30
             35                   482326           1050128         661477          716626                         35
             40                   240218            844153         285358          566409                         40
             45                   118103           1130203         196577          648259                         45
             50                   141774            909458         82421           420972                         50
             55                   121798            459186         108534          505050                         55
             60                   82931             520902         161320          483918                         60
             65                                     473930         26998           515889                         65
             70                   31627             483103         60460           421697                         70
             75                                     170588                         411196                         75
             80                   13499             392936         24886           352029                         80
             85                   23803             141581         41802           92482                          85
             90                                     70609                          77422
             95                                     137329                         115366
            100                   20597             54574          17051           49587                                Heating Load
            105                                     36109          14906           70237                         4.00
            110                                     45058                          34932
            115                   24755             34642          23298           23199
                                                                                                                 3.50
            120                                     22315                          288506
            125                                     22315          13499           212794
                                                                                                                 3.00
            135                                     16795          29810           22824
            140                   19741             31275                          29682
            180                                     11469                          26188
                                                                                                      Millions   2.50
            165                   13837                                            40003
            185                   17051                                            19463                         2.00
            150                                     16795                          28455
            160                                     31275                          17611                         1.50
            170                                     21033                          23094
            195                                     29879                           9404                         1.00
            220                                     22315                         17736216
        Grand Total             9095940           12653288       7792748         35472432                        0.50

                                                                                                                 0.00
                                                                                                                        0.0


Mobile Home Gas Furnaces                                       Average Electricity Space Heating Consumption
                                                                                              H
                                                                               Electric Furnace eat Pump         Total
Average AFUE 2000                 79.75
                                                                                 kBtu / Year
                             49.82
Average Household Load (MMBtu)         MH                17886      15242     16793
                                       SF Detached       15288      15453     15356
                                33.3
Elec Furn Consumption at Crossover     SF Attached       10375       8602      9642
                                       2-4 Units         11177      12346     11660
Gas Consumption at Crossover   41.8    5+ Units           3430       3477      3449
                                                         11483      12557     11927
                                       Average Electricity Space Heating Consumption
                        Baseline
                                     Base Elec
                          Gas
                                        Eff
                        AFUE
                          0.8          1.54
                                                                            Weighted Average Load (MMBtu)
              Gas UEC Electric       Gas Load    Electric                 Gas Load    Electric     Midpoint
              Millions Millions                                            29.65       27.48         28.6
                 0.15     1.94         0.0         0.0                           Weighted Average UEC
                 0.44     3.39         4.0         7.7                      Gas       Electric
                 0.84     2.34         8.0         15.4                   MMBtu        kWh
                 0.87     1.91         12.0        23.1                    35.70      5440.2
                 1.03     2.17         16.0        30.8
                 1.24     1.23         20.0        38.5                 Equipment Costs Related to Shift From Gas to Electric
                 0.91     0.81         24.0        46.2                    Gas     Central Air     Electric     Heat
                 1.05     1.14         28.0        53.9                   $2,256     $2,236          $600      $3,668
                 0.84     0.53         32.0        61.6                        $4,492
                 1.13     0.31         36.0        69.2                                       $2,836
                 0.91     0.22         40.0        76.9                                                        $3,668
                 0.46     0.23         44.0        84.6
                 0.52     0.24         48.0        92.3                              Weighted Average Electric System Cost
                 0.47     0.03         52.0       100.0                                                $3,284
                 0.48     0.09         56.0       107.7                 Reduction for using Electric rather than Gas Package
                 0.17     0.00         60.0       115.4                                        $1,207
                 0.39     0.04         64.0       123.1
                 0.14     0.07         68.0       130.8


        Heating Load - Southern Homes -RECS 2001


                        Gas

                        Electric           Average 28.6




        0.0                   50.0                 100.0
                                   MMBtu


ting Consumption Equipment Costs Related to Shift From Gas to Electric

                         Gas         Central     Electric   Heat Pump
                         $841        $1,789       $480        $2,934
     $2,630
               $2,269
                                   $2,934
         Weighted Average Electric System
                       $2,544
Incremental Cost of Electric vs. Gas Heating
                    $86
m Gas to Electric
                                       Fuel Price Indices

         NATIONAL        NORTHEAST         MIDWEST              SOUTH

Year   Elec    Gas     Elec     Gas     Elec       Gas      Elec        Gas
1960    29.9    17.6
1961    29.9    17.9
1962    29.9    17.9
1963    29.9    17.9
1964    29.8    17.9
1965    29.7     18
1966    29.7    18.1
1967    29.9    18.1
1968    30.2    18.2
1969    30.8    18.6
1970    31.8    19.6
1971    33.9     21
1972    35.6    22.1
1973    37.4    23.1
1974    44.1     26
1975     50     31.1
1976    53.1    36.3
1977    56.6    43.2
1978    60.9    47.5    61.4    53.1     65        47.2      59.2    50.3
1979    65.6    55.1    67.4    59.5    69.9       55.4      64.2    56.4
1980    75.8    65.7    77.4    68.8    76.9       64.2      73.1    64.1
1981    87.2    74.9    90.9    77.7    84.7       74.3      86.1    74.9
1982    95.8    89.8    96.3    91.6    93.4       88.3      95.4    91.3
1983    98.9   104.7    98.2   104.8    100       106.1      99.6   103.6
1984   105.3   105.5   105.5   103.7   106.7      105.6      105     105
1985   108.9   104.8   107.2   104.1   111.9      105.7     107.5   102.5
1986   110.4    99.7   107.6   100.6   116.7       98.7      108     98.8
1987    110     95.1   106.7    92.9   116.9        93      106.6     97
1988   111.5    94.5   106.7    90.2   116.7       92.5     108.5    98.6
1989   114.7    97.1   111.7    95.8   117.7       93.9     110.5   101.3
1990   117.4    97.3   117.6    97.3   116.9       91.6     112.7   103.5
1991   121.8    98.5   123.1    98.4   119.6       92.2     115.8   103.5
1992   124.2   100.3    127    101.9   120.3       95.7     118.1    104
1993   126.7   106.5   131.5   105.7   120.8      103.5     120.2   112.5
1994   126.7   108.5   132.5    114    118.5      101.6     120.1   113.2
1995   129.6   102.9   135.7   109.9    125        92.1     120.7   107.2
1996   131.8   107.2   137.9   113.8   126.4      101.9      125    114.4
1997   132.5   114.6   138.3   122.8   127.2      106.7     125.9   121.5
1998   127.4   112.4   134.9   121.6   126.5      102.8     116.7   117.8
1999   126.5    113    132.4   120.7   124.7      104.5     116.6   118.6
2000   128.5    132    133.9   130.3    125       127.7     119.4   139.8
2001   137.8   158.3   138.7   160.8    126       148.5     128.4   168.2
2002   136.2   135.3   132.4   143.5   125.6      126.9     122.1   141.9
2003   139.5   166.3   137.2   173.3   127.3      163.4     128.3    178
2004   142.1   180.1   140.8   185.4   129.5       180      133.6   187.9
                                     Fuel Price Indices                     CPI - ALL ITEMS

                                                                             Bureau of Labor
       WEST         National $2001     South $2001        Non-South $2001
                                                                                Statistics

Elec          Gas   Elec      Gas     Elec       Gas      Elec      Gas     Year
                    190.8    112.3   190.8      112.3     190.8     112.3   1952
                    188.9    113.1   188.9      113.1     188.9     113.1   1953
                    187.0    112.0   187.0      112.0     187.0     112.0   1954
                    184.6    110.5   184.6      110.5     184.6     110.5   1955
                    181.6    109.1   181.6      109.1     181.6     109.1   1956
                    178.1    107.9   178.1      107.9     178.1     107.9   1957
                    173.2    105.5   173.2      105.5     173.2     105.5   1958
                    169.1    102.4   169.1      102.4     169.1     102.4   1959
                    163.9     98.8   163.9       98.8     163.9      98.8   1960
                    158.5     95.7   158.5       95.7     158.5      95.7   1961
                    154.8     95.4   154.8       95.4     154.8      95.4   1962
                    158.1     97.9   158.1       97.9     158.1      97.9   1963
                    160.9     99.9   160.9       99.9     160.9      99.9   1964
                    159.1     98.3   159.1       98.3     159.1      98.3   1965
                    169.0     99.6   169.0       99.6     169.0      99.6   1966
                    175.6    109.2   175.6      109.2     175.6     109.2   1967
                    176.3    120.5   176.3      120.5     176.3     120.5   1968
                    176.4    134.7   176.4      134.7     176.4     134.7   1969
 56.6      37.2     176.4    137.6   160.8      136.6     165.7     124.5   1970
 58.4      47.2     170.7    143.4   156.6      137.6     159.1     131.8   1971
 77.2      66.4     173.8    150.6   157.1      137.8     165.9     142.9   1972
 87.3      72.4     181.2    155.7   167.7      145.9     170.7     145.7   1973
 99.8      88.6     187.5    175.8   175.1      167.6     177.1     164.3   1974
 97.1      103      187.6    198.6   177.1      184.2     175.0     186.0   1975
103.1     108.4     191.4    191.8   179.0      179.0     179.1     180.5   1976
109.9     106.1     191.2    184.0   176.9      168.7     180.5     173.3   1977
 110      101.2     190.3    171.8   174.5      159.6     180.1     161.9   1978
112.2     100.7     182.9    158.1   166.2      151.2     174.5     148.9   1979
117.3      101      178.0    150.9   162.4      147.6     170.0     141.6   1980
123.4      102      174.7    147.9   157.8      144.7     168.0     138.9   1981
127.8     102.6     169.7    140.6   152.7      140.2     163.6     131.7   1982
136.1     108.1     168.9    136.6   150.6      134.6     164.2     129.5   1983
139.2     104.8     167.2    135.0   149.1      131.3     162.6     127.2   1984
142.2     108.1     165.6    139.2   147.3      137.9     161.2     129.6   1985
144.5      111      161.5    138.3   143.5      135.3     157.5     130.1   1986
147.3     112.9     160.6    127.5   140.3      124.6     158.0     122.0   1987
145.5      102      158.7    129.1   141.1      129.1     154.2     119.5   1988
145.8     113.5     155.9    134.9   138.9      134.1     151.3     126.2   1989
141.6     114.4     147.6    130.3   126.8      128.0     146.0     122.7   1990
 142      114.5     143.4    128.1   123.9      126.1     141.4     120.4   1991
144.7     136.9     141.0    144.8   122.8      143.8     138.4     135.4   1992
170.7     166.8     147.0    168.8   128.4      168.2     145.1     158.7   1993
186.3     137.3     143.0    142.1   120.2      139.7     145.8     133.8   1994
181.3     157.1     143.2    170.7   123.5      171.3     143.0     158.4   1995
174.8      172      142.1    180.1   125.3      176.2     139.1     167.9   1996
                                                                            1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
                   Central Air Conditioning - Retail   Price index- Unitary Air     Central Air
CPI - ALL ITEMS                                                                                   GAS-FIRED FORCED-AIR FU
                                Prices                      Conditioning           Conditioning
 Bureau of Labor
    Statistics
                   R. Newell, Sears Catalog Data                                   Bureau of Labor Statistics
                                Sears       Sears                      Inflation
           Index    Year                                 Index
                                $2001       Index                      adjusted                   Index
            26.5   1965                                                                             39
            26.7   1966                                                                            39.6
            26.9   1967        2826.3        1.00                                     1.00        39.8
            26.8   1968        2036.4                                                              41.5
            27.2   1969        2350.0                                                              42.4
            28.1   1970        2182.6                                                               45
            28.9   1971        2799.7                                                              46.3
            29.1   1972        2383.2        0.86                                     0.86         46.6
            29.6   1973        2599.9                                                              46.9
            29.9   1974        2200.0                                                              50.9
            30.2   1975        2264.4                                                              56.6
            30.6   1976        2187.5        0.78                                     0.78         59.7
             31    1977        2201.0                                                              62.9
            31.5   1978        2214.1                    75.20          234.4                      66.8
            32.4   1979        2160.0        0.76        81.00          234.7         0.76         73.8
            33.4   1980        2363.7        0.84        88.40          230.0         0.75          83
            34.8   1981        2368.9        0.84        93.60          214.6         0.70         92.6
            36.7   1982        2314.9        0.82        98.00          203.7         0.66         100
            38.8   1983        2251.4        0.80       102.00          199.7         0.65        102.9
            40.5   1984        2537.3        0.90       103.00          195.3         0.64        107.3
            41.8   1985        2258.5        0.80       104.40          189.8         0.62        110.6
            44.4   1986        2533.0        0.90       105.00          184.3         0.60         112
            49.3   1987        2002.0        0.71       104.40          179.9         0.59        112.7
            53.8   1988        1948.6        0.69       107.70          179.1         0.58        116.4
            56.9   1989                                 111.30          177.7         0.58         121
            60.6   1990                                 114.80          174.9         0.57        131.6
            65.2   1991                                 115.20          166.5         0.54        133.4
            72.6   1992                                 113.60          157.6         0.51        136.4
            82.4   1993                                 113.00          152.1         0.50        138.2
            90.9   1994                                 113.30          148.1         0.48        138.2
            96.5   1995                                 116.50          148.5         0.48        141.1
            99.6   1996                                 119.60          148.2         0.48        142.2
           103.9   1997                                 120.70          145.3         0.47
           107.6   1998                                 123.80          145.7         0.47
           109.6   1999                                 126.70          146.8         0.48
           113.6   2000                                 123.70          140.3         0.46
           118.3   2001                                 123.70          135.7         0.44
            124
           130.7
           136.2
           140.3
           144.5
           148.2
           152.4
           156.9
           160.5
 163
166.6
172.2
177.1
179.9
 184
188.9
GAS-FIRED FORCED-AIR FURNACES
                                          Equipment Price Ratio by Housing Sector
                                                                           Mobile
r Statistics                                        South     non-South
                                                                           Home
               Inflation   Relative to
               adjusted      1967        Gas Heat Elec Heat Elec Heat Elec Heat
                233.9         1.04
                230.9         1.03
                225.1         1.00         1.00      1.00       1.00       1.00
                225.3         1.00
                218.2         0.97
                219.1         0.97
                216.0         0.96
                210.6         0.94         0.94      0.89       0.90       0.90
                199.5         0.89
                195.0         0.87
                198.7         0.88
                198.2         0.88         0.87      0.82       0.41       0.44
                196.1         0.87
                193.5         0.86
                192.0         0.85         0.85      0.80       0.81       0.81
                190.3         0.85         0.85      0.79       0.79       0.80
                192.4         0.85         0.85      0.76       0.77       0.78
                195.8         0.87         0.87      0.74       0.76       0.77
                195.2         0.87         0.87      0.73       0.75       0.76
                195.1         0.87         0.87      0.73       0.74       0.75
                194.2         0.86         0.86      0.71       0.73       0.74
                193.0         0.86         0.86      0.70       0.72       0.73
                187.4         0.83         0.83      0.68       0.70       0.71
                185.9         0.83         0.83      0.68       0.70       0.71
                184.3         0.82         0.82      0.67       0.69       0.70
                190.2         0.84         0.84      0.68       0.70       0.71
                185.0         0.82         0.82      0.65       0.67       0.68
                183.6         0.82         0.82      0.63       0.65       0.67
                180.7         0.80         0.80      0.62       0.64       0.65
                176.2         0.78         0.78      0.60       0.62       0.64
                174.9         0.78         0.78      0.60       0.62       0.63
                171.2         0.76         0.76      0.59       0.61       0.62
                                            Gas Furnace Shipments Components
           5.00

                             New Housing Installations
           4.50              Central Heating Upgrades
                             Efficiency Upgrades

           4.00              Oil / Electric Conversions
                             Modeled Replacements
                             GAMA Data
           3.50


           3.00
Millions




           2.50


           2.00


           1.50


           1.00


           0.50


           0.00
               1968   1973    1978      1983       1988   1993   1998   2003   2008   2013   2018   2023   2028   2033   2038
                    Fraction Gas vs. Electric for New Households with Central Heating
100%


90%


80%


70%
                                                                                               Historical

60%                                                                                            Base Case Projection

                                                                                               Design Option One
50%
                                                                                               Design Option Two

                                                                                               Design Option Three
40%
                                                                                               Design Option Four

30%


20%


10%


 0%
   1960   1970   1980    1990        2000       2010       2020       2030       2040   2050
                                                  Financial Impacts of Design Option 1


                                    2015   2025      2035      2045       2055      2065
                           $0.10

                           $0.08

                           $0.06

                           $0.04
Billions of 2001 Dollars




                           $0.02
                                                                                           Operating Cost Savings
                           $0.00                                                           Equipment Cost
                                                                                           Net Savings
                           -$0.02

                           -$0.04

                           -$0.06

                           -$0.08

                           -$0.10


                                                  Financial Impacts of Design Option 3


                                   2015    2025     2035      2045       2055       2065
                           $4.0

                           $3.0

                           $2.0
Billions of 2001 Dollars




                           $1.0
                                                                                           Operating Cost Savings
                           $0.0                                                            Equipment Cost
                                                                                           Net Savings
                           -$1.0

                           -$2.0

                           -$3.0

                           -$4.0
                                                                           Financial Impacts of Design Option 2


                                                            2015    2025     2035      2045       2055       2065
                                                    $0.5

                                                    $0.4

                                                    $0.3

                                                    $0.2
                         Billions of 2001 Dollars




                                                    $0.1
Operating Cost Savings
Equipment Cost                                      $0.0
Net Savings
                                                    -$0.1

                                                    -$0.2

                                                    -$0.3

                                                    -$0.4

                                                    -$0.5


                                                                           Financial Impacts of Design Option 4


                                                             2015   2025     2035       2045      2055       2065
                                                    $10.0

                                                      $8.0

                                                      $6.0
                         Billions of 2001 Dollars




                                                      $4.0

                                                      $2.0
Operating Cost Savings
Equipment Cost                                        $0.0
Net Savings                                          -$2.0

                                                     -$4.0

                                                     -$6.0

                                                     -$8.0

                                                    -$10.0
Operating Cost Savings
Equipment Cost
Net Savings




Operating Cost Savings
Equipment Cost
Net Savings

				
DOCUMENT INFO
Shared By:
Categories:
Tags:
Stats:
views:3
posted:2/12/2012
language:
pages:100