HW 2

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							  Activity    Predecessors Optimistic Most Likely Pessimistic   Mean   Variance   Standard Dev
A                              5          8           17         9         4           2
B                              7         10           13         10        1           1
C            A                 3          5            7         5     0.444444   0.666666667
D            B                 1          3            5         3     0.444444   0.666666667
E            C                 3          3            3         3         0           0
F            C,D               4          6            8         6     0.444444   0.666666667
G            F                 3          4            5         4     0.111111   0.333333333
H            E, G              1          1            1         1         0           0

    Critical Path Mean                 Probability Completed
Mean                   25                 20             136%
Variance                5                 25               0%
Std. Dev.     3.666666667                 30            -136%
PV        $    23,000.00
EV        $    20,000.00
AC        $    25,000.00
BAC       $   120,000.00

          Cost Variance             $  (5,000.00)
        Schedule Variance           $  (3,000.00)
   Cost Performance Index (CPI)              80%
 Schedule Performance Index (SPI)            87%
   Estimate at Completion (EAC)     $ 150,000.00
   Estimated Time to Complete                13.8
   AC          EV          BAC             PV            EAC
 1 $ 10,000.00 $ 10,000.00                  $ 10,000.00
 2 $ 20,000.00 $ 20,000.00                  $ 20,000.00
 3                                          $ 30,000.00
 4                                          $ 40,000.00
 5                                          $ 50,000.00
 6                                          $ 60,000.00
 7                                          $ 70,000.00
 8                                          $ 80,000.00
 9                                          $ 90,000.00
10                                          $ 100,000.00
11                                          $ 110,000.00
12                          $ 120,000.00    $ 120,000.00
13
14
15                                                       $ 150,000.00
                              Earned Value Chart
    $160,000.00

    $140,000.00

    $120,000.00

    $100,000.00

$    $80,000.00

     $60,000.00

     $40,000.00

     $20,000.00

            $-
                  1   2   3   4   5   6   7     8     9   10   11   12   13   14   15
                                              Month
AC
EV
BAC
PV
EAC
Fixed Costs
Charge Fee           $    600.00 per person

Room Rental          $ 500.00
Setup Fees           $ 400.00
Postcard Design      $ 300.00
Total Fixed Costs    $ 1,200.00

Estimated Time                 150 hours

Mailed                     4,000
Friends                    1,000
Total Postcards            5,000

Variable Fees
Registration Fee     $      5.00 per person
% Fee                         4% per person
Postcard Printing    $      0.40
Postcard Postage     $      0.25
Per Person Food      $     25.00
Per Person Handout   $     30.00

# People                  10             20             30             40             50             60
Total Revenue
Registration Fees    $ 6,000.00 $ 12,000.00 $ 18,000.00 $ 24,000.00 $ 30,000.00 $ 36,000.00

Total Costs
Fixed Costs          $   1,200.00   $   1,200.00   $   1,200.00   $   1,200.00   $   1,200.00   $   1,200.00
Registration Fee     $      50.00   $     100.00   $     150.00   $     200.00   $     250.00   $     300.00
% Fee                $     240.00   $     480.00   $     720.00   $     960.00   $   1,200.00   $   1,440.00
Postcard Printing    $   2,000.00   $   2,000.00   $   2,000.00   $   2,000.00   $   2,000.00   $   2,000.00
Postcard Postage     $   1,000.00   $   1,000.00   $   1,000.00   $   1,000.00   $   1,000.00   $   1,000.00
Per Person Food      $     250.00   $     500.00   $     750.00   $   1,000.00   $   1,250.00   $   1,500.00
Per Person Handout   $     300.00   $     600.00   $     900.00   $   1,200.00   $   1,500.00   $   1,800.00
                     $   5,040.00   $   5,880.00   $   6,720.00   $   7,560.00   $   8,400.00   $   9,240.00

Total Profit         $    960.00 $ 6,120.00 $ 11,280.00 $ 16,440.00 $ 21,600.00 $ 26,760.00

Worth Per Hour       $      6.40 $         40.80 $       75.20 $       109.60 $       144.00 $       178.40
Task          Duration      Crash Cost Min Duration
       A           5         $ 100.00        3
       B           8         $ 200.00        6
       C          12         $ 300.00        8
       D           7         $ 400.00        6
       E          15         $ 300.00        9
       F           6         $ 200.00        4
       G           9         $ 100.00        8
       H          10         $ 500.00       10

                             Crash 1   Crash G     Crash C
Paths           Length          3         3           2
A-B-D-G-H              39           36         33         31
A-D-G-H                31           28         25         23
A-D-F-H                28           25         22         20
A-C-E-G-H              51           48         45         43
A-C-E-F-H              48           45         42         40
A-B-D-F-H              36           33         30         28
Budget Left   $ 1,200.00    $ 900.00 $    600.00 $      -

						
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