Leuser National Park.xls

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Van Beukering, P.J.H. et al: Economic valuation of the Leuser National Park on Sumatra, Indonesia, Ecological Economics 44 (


Figure 2 Deforestation scenario: Projected land allocation in the deforestation scenario from 2000 - 2030 (in %)

Year          Primary forest Secondary forest        Agriculture Waste land
       2000                 60                   5              35          0
       2001                 60                   5              35          0
       2002                 59                   5              35          1
       2003                 58                   5              35          2
       2004                 55                   6              35          4
       2005                 53                   6              36          5
       2006                 49                   7              37          7
       2007                 45                   7              38        10
       2008                 40                   7              40        13
       2009                 36                   8              41        15
       2010                 33                   8              42        17
       2011                 31                   8              42        19
       2012                 28                   8              43        21
       2013                 25                   9              43        23
       2014                 24                   9              43        24
       2015                 23                   9              43        25
       2016                 22                   9              43        26
       2017                 22                   9              43        26
       2018                 22                   9              43        26
       2019                 21                   9              43        27
       2020                 21                   9              43        27
       2021                 20                   9              43        28
       2022                 20                   9              43        28
       2023                 20                   9              43        28
       2024                 20                   9              43        28
       2025                 20                   9              43        28
       2026                 20                   9              43        28
       2027                 20                   9              43        28
       2028                 20                   9              43        28
       2029                 20                   9              43        28
       2030                 20                   9              43        28




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                                    TAB]


Ecological Economics 44 (2003)




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                                                            TAB]


Van Beukering, P.J.H. et al: Economic valuation of the Leuser National Park on Sumatra, Indonesia, Ecological Economics 44 (


Fig. 2. Conservation scenario: Projected land allocation in the conservation scenario from 2000 - 2030 (in %)

Year          Primary forest        Secondary forest       Agriculture Waste land
       2000                    60                      5              35          0
       2001                    60                      5              35          0
       2002                    60                      5              35          0
       2003                    60                      5              35          0
       2004                    60                      5              35          0
       2005                    60                      5              35          0
       2006                    60                      5              35          0
       2007                    60                      5              35          0
       2008                    60                      5              35          0
       2009                    60                      5              35          0
       2010                    60                      5              35          0
       2011                    60                      5              35          0
       2012                    60                      5              35          0
       2013                    60                      5              35          0
       2014                    60                      5              35          0
       2015                    60                      5              35          0
       2016                    60                      5              35          0
       2017                    60                      5              35          0
       2018                    60                      5              35          0
       2019                    60                      5              35          0
       2020                    60                      5              35          0
       2021                    60                      5              35          0
       2022                    60                      5              35          0
       2023                    60                      5              35          0
       2024                    60                      5              35          0
       2025                    60                      5              35          0
       2026                    60                      5              35          0
       2027                    60                      5              35          0
       2028                    60                      5              35          0
       2029                    60                      5              35          0
       2030                    60                      5              35          0




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                                   TAB]


cological Economics 44 (2003)




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                                                       TAB]


Van Beukering, P.J.H. et al: Economic valuation of the Leuser National Park on Sumatra, Indonesia, Ecological Economics 44 (


Figure 2 Selective use scenario: Projected land allocation in the selective use scenario from 2000 - 2030 (in %)


Year          Primary forest Secondary forest Agriculture Waste land
       2000                 60               5           35          0
       2001                 60               5           35          0
       2002                 59               6           35          0
       2003                 58               7           35          0
       2004                 55              10           35          0
       2005                 53              12           35          0
       2006                 51              15           34          0
       2007                 49              16           34          1
       2008                 48              18           33          1
       2009                 46              20           33          1
       2010                 44              23           32          1
       2011                 42              24           33          1
       2012                 40              25           33          2
       2013                 40              26           32          2
       2014                 39              27           32          2
       2015                 38              28           32          2
       2016                 38              28           32          2
       2017                 37              29           32          2
       2018                 36              30           31          3
       2019                 35              31           31          3
       2020                 34              32           31          3
       2021                 33              32           32          3
       2022                 32              33           32          3
       2023                 32              33           32          3
       2024                 32              33           32          3
       2025                 32              33           32          3
       2026                 32              33           32          3
       2027                 31              33           32          4
       2028                 31              33           32          4
       2029                 30              33           33          4
       2030                 30              33           33          4




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                                    TAB]


Ecological Economics 44 (2003)




                                 Page PAGE]
                                                     TAB]


Van Beukering, P.J.H. et al: Economic valuation of the Leuser National Park on Sumatra, Indonesia, Ecological Economics 44 (


Table 6: Distibution of NPV among stakeholders (million US$)

Scenario            Local community Local government Elite industry National government
Deforestation                   3132              766           1601                   487
Conservation                    5341              858           1049                   477
Selective use                   4823              910           1274                   455




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                                                                    TAB]


donesia, Ecological Economics 44 (2003)




           International community        Total stakeholders
                                  905                     6891
                                 1812                     9538
                                 1638                     9100




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                                                       TAB]




one percent is missing in the original table so the sum does not equal 6958 as in Table 5




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