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Document Sample
Electric Vehicle Conversion Donor Car Analysis
Chris Jones, Electric Auto Association
www.nbeaa.org
October 17, 2009
This presentation is posted at http://www.nbeaa.org/presentations/donor_cars.pdf.
See http://www.nbeaa.org/osev/sota/AAA-SRJC-EAA_donor_car_analysis.doc for report with text.
All data sources from www.autotrader.com and www.kbb.com except as noted.
NBEAA 2009 Technical Series
1. EV Drive Systems
2. EV Batteries
3. EV Charging Systems
TODAY >> 4. EV Donor Vehicles
Agenda
Distance to Dealer
Age of Vehicle
Body Style
Transmission
Curb Weight
Safety
Color
Tire Rolling Resistance
Model Selection
Blue Book Values
Dealer Asking Prices
Pictures
Distance to Dealer
Used and Certified Preowned Cars for Sale vs. Distance from 95404 on www.autotrader.com
200000
150000
number of used cars for sale
100000
50000
0
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
miles from zip code 95404
cars for sale
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
0
19
8
19 1
8
19 2
8
19 3
8
19 4
8
19 5
8
19 6
8
19 7
8
19 8
8
19 9
9
19 0
9
19 1
9
19 2
9
19 3
9
19 4
9
19 5
9
19 6
9
model year
19 7
9
19 8
9
20 9
0
20 0
0
Age of Vehicle
20 1
0
20 2
0
20 3
0
20 4
0
20 5
0
20 6
0
20 7
0
20 8
09
Used Cars for Sale Within 50 Miles of 95404 on www.autotrader.com
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
cumulative percent
cumulative
per model year
Body Style
Used Car Body Styles and Transmissions Since 2000 Within 50 Miles of 95404 on
www.autrader.com
3500
3000
2500
number for sale
2000
automatic
manual
1500
1000
500
0
sedan SUV truck coupe hatchback convertible van wagon
body style
Transmission
Average new MPG change in 2007 sedans going from manual to automatic transmissions
15%
10%
5%
average MPG change
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500
curb weight, lb
Curb Weight
Curb Weight vs. Model Year
2900
2800
curb weight of base model sedan, lb
2700
Ford Focus
2600 Nissan Sentra
Toyota Corolla
Honda Civic
2500 Mitsubishi Lancer
Mazda 3
2400
2300
2200
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
model year
Curb Weight
Average MPG vs. Curb Weight for 2007 sedans with manual transmissions
35
30
25
average MPG
20
15
10
2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500
curb weight, lb
Curb Weight
Used Manual Transmission Sedan Curb Weight vs. Make
Cars less than 3000 lb with enough tail for rear battery box that are still in production highlighted in green
4500
GS450h
4000 M5 BMW
S4
Chrysler
Ford
TL
GM
X- CTS Maxima Honda
curb weight, pounds
G35 IS250
3500 Hyundai
5 A4
C230
TS Kia
3 Series Passat
Cobalt Sonata
S40 9-3 Mazda
PT Accord 6 Jetta Mercedes Benz
Cruiser Fusion Altima
3000 Imprez Mitsubishi
Caliber a
Nissan
Sentra
3 Saab
Ion Elantr Vers
Subaru
Lance
Focus Civic r Toyota
Corolla
2500 Volkswagen
Rio
Yaris
2000
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
make
Curb Weight
Weight vs. Quantity for Sale for Manual Transmission Sedans within 50 miles of 95404 on
www.autotrader.com
100
90
80
quantity for sale / cumulative percent
70
60
models
50
cumulative
40
30
20
10
0
2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500
curb weight, pounds
Safety
Source: An Analysis of Traffic Deaths by Vehicle Type and Model, www.aceee.org.
quantity
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
si
lv
e r
bl
ac
k
w
hi
te
gr
ay
bl
ue
re
d
ta
n
ot
he
r
gr
ee
n
go
Color
bu ld
rg
un
dy
color
of
fw
43% are light
hi
te
Sedan Exterior Colors
br
ow
n
ch
ar
co
al
be
ig
e
or
an
ge
pu
rp
tu le
rq
uo
is
e
ye
llo
w
pi
nk
light
dark
Tire Rolling Resistance
Source: http://www.greenseal.org/resources/reports/CGR_tire_rollingresistance.pdf.
Model Selection
Manual Transmission Sedans
number for 2007 base model curb start end big
sale make model weight date date enough?
26 Volkswagen Jetta 3230
17 BMW 3 series 3340
14 Toyota Corolla 2530 1966 n/a
13 Subaru Impreza 3016
11 Honda Civic 2628 1972 n/a
11 Mazda 3 2780 2004 n/a
10 Mitsubishi Lancer 2745 1973 n/a
8 BMW 5 series 3428
7 Mazda 6 3166
6 Ford Focus 2621 2000 n/a
6 Nissan Sentra 2853 1982 n/a
5 BMW M5 4012
5 Nissan Altima 3055
5 Saab 9-3 3230
4 Honda Accord 3188
4 Saturn Ion 2752 2003 2007
3 Audi S4 3990
3 Cadillac CTS 3509
Mercedes
3 Benz C230 3405
3 Toyota Yaris 2293 No
Model Selection
number for 2007 base model curb start end big
sale make model weight date date enough?
2 Acura TSX 3345
2 Dodge Caliber 2966 2007 n/a
2 Infiniti G35 3497
2 Lexus IS 250 3435
2 Nissan Maxima 3591
1 Acura TL 3623
1 Audi A4 3428
1 Chevrolet Cobalt 3216
PT
1 Chrysler Cruiser 3072
1 Ford Fusion 3151
1 Hyundai Elantra 2747
1 Hyundai Sonata 3266
1 Jaguar X-Type 3516
1 Kia Rio 2365 No
1 Lexus GS450h 4134
1 Nissan Versa 2749 No
1 Volkswagen Passat 3344
1 Volvo S40 3234
187 Total
Model Selection
Make and Model Lowest Price Quantity for sale within 50
miles
Ford Focus $4,688 4
Nissan Sentra $5,995 3
Toyota Corolla $4,995 12
Honda Civic $5,995 8
Mitsubishi Lancer $6,500 9
Mazda 3 $7,995 4
Total 40
Blue Book Values
Kelley Blue Book Private Party Value for Base Model Compact Manual Transmission Sedans
$14,000.00
$12,000.00
$10,000.00
Corolla
$8,000.00 Lancer
Civic
price
Focus
$6,000.00 Mazda 3
Sentra
$4,000.00
$2,000.00
$0.00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
model year
Dealer Asking Prices
Asking Prices for Dealer Ads within 50 miles of 95404
$30,000
$25,000
$20,000
Corolla
Lancer
price
Civic
$15,000
Focus
Mazda 3
Sentra
$10,000
$5,000
$0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
model year
Pictures
Ford Focus Toyota Corolla
Generation 1, 2000-2007 Generation 8, 1998-2002
Generation 2, 2008-present Generation 9, 2003-2008
Pictures
Honda Civic
Generation 6, 1996-2000 Generation 7, 2001-2005
Mazda 3
Generation 8, 2006-present Generation 1, 2004-2008
Pictures
Nissan Sentra Mitsubishi Lancer
Generation 5, 2000-2006 Generation 7, 2002-2006
Generation 6, 2007-present Generation 8, 2007-present
