THE INTERNATIONAL FORECASTER
SATURDAY, JUNE 26, 2010
062610(8) IF
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NEXT ISSUE
Wednesday 6/30/10
US MARKETS
Many investors wonder how are markets able to propel themselves back and
forth as they do. How do corrections turn into rallies? The secret is liquidity and the
question is where does it come from?
As you know the Fed up until 14 months ago increased what once was called
M3 by 15% annually. Foreign major central banks did the same cutting back a couple
of months sooner than the Fed. The Fed increased M3 for 5-1/2 years and the other
central banks for about four years. Starting four years ago all currencies started falling
versus gold. The US dollar started about ten years ago.
Contrary to what government officially has to say about inflation for the past 18
months the sources of liquidity, fiscal money creation by the debt route by the current
administration has been $2.2 trillion. The Fed has added $1.2 trillion over that period,
but we do not believe their figures for a moment. We believe the number is closer to
$1.8 trillion. That is only for the purchase of MBS/CDOs from banks, Wall Street,
insurance companies and other corporations. Then we have at least $500 billion in
swap arrangements. Those funds were supposedly re-exchanged five months ago.
Since then there has been another swap, but we cannot find out what the numbers
are. Then there are zero interest rates, which force investors to seek more speculative
returns. As an example, funds in money market funds have fallen about $1 trillion over
the last 18 months. That is why bonds are at highs and the market can rally. Then
there is the adding of liquidity by the Fed via the repo market. Finally, there has been
the re-leveraging of banks, or at least the maintaining of 40 to one leverage, and the
re-leveraging of corporate balance sheets, sovereign wealth funds and hedge funds,
although the numbers are tame versus two years ago. There you have it. The
foregoing on a net basis is larger than what existed at the beginning of the credit crisis
almost three years ago. New liquidity has been created to replace that which was lost.
As a result gold and silver have appreciated in a big way over that period. We see no
proclivity to end this massive onslaught. In spite of official figures real inflation is some
7% and that is why currencies keep losing value against gold, which is the only
barometer to measure the real devaluation of currencies as a result of monetary and
fiscal profligacy.
Markets are torn by near zero interest rates and risk aversion. A trillion have
left money market funds over the past 16 months. Some have gone into bonds, junk
bonds and into the market. You cannot have it both ways. Bonds cannot go higher and
the market is very dangerous, especially with three quarters coming up with passable
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to bad results. Then there is the possibility of tax increases next year to accompany 19
new taxes in the Medical Reform package. There is also the possible passage of Cap
& Trade, which would double gas prices, illegal alien amnesty and government taxing
or taking over your retirement plans. These issues are why it is so important to replace
almost all the incumbents in November. Not to be treated lightly is the problems of
sovereign debt. Not only for those 20 countries on the edge of insolvency, but for those
who are owed the debt. There is an excellent chance 5 to 7 countries may leave the
euro. The euro may then fade and the other 10 euro zone members may go back to
their original currencies. It is any wonder gold is hitting new highs and silver is soon to
follow. Gold is not rising to inflation and anticipated inflation, but because of
unserviceable deteriorating debt worldwide. You cannot wait for the next crisis – you
have to anticipate it. You have to be ahead of the curve and the crowd. Does anyone
really believe bailouts and future bailouts and stimulus will solve anything? They
haven‘t up to now and they won‘t in the future. They only make matters worse. What
kind of insanity is it to have the Fed buy $1.2 trillion, that they admit too, of toxic MBS
and 80% of Treasury issuance, with money created out of thin air? Small and medium-
sized business cannot expand and hire new people. They supply 70% of all jobs.
Government should be cutting taxes, not expanding them. They should be cutting
costs and employees by 30% for starters.
Zero interest rates may fatten the profits of major manufacturers and
transnational conglomerates, but it does little for anyone else, except Wall Street and
banking. Interest rates on credit cards have risen, not fallen as banks fatten their
bottom lines at the expense of the populace. That is why retail sales have fallen over
the past two months and probably will continue to do so. A battle wages over M3.
Some say it is negative, some say it is in double digits. We will certainly find out
shortly. The housing stimulus and credit is now over and prices are falling.
Unemployment is rising and risk taking is falling. Now that the dollar has had a large
appreciation there is ample reason to believe it could well have a sharp correction.
Those in the carry trades know that sovereign debt has a much greater degree of risk
than in the past. That means more caution and less liquidity.
On the state level the financial situation is dire. Illinois sold $300 billion in Build
America Bonds at a yield 40% higher than Treasuries. Worldwide credit is being
bought judiciously. Greece and the other PIIGS have intractable problems, but so do
the lenders who bought the toxic waste. As a result the cost of credit default swaps
have risen substantially. States and countries in the euro zone cannot print money as
the Fed and the ECB can. The market is nervous and it should be. We see major
unavoidable trouble ahead, so watch out below.
As we predicted the risk of a double-dip recession /depression have risen
substantially over the past two months. Retail, housing and employment are fading
and fading fast. It points out that the US economy cannot function positively without
massive stimulus. Bank credit is falling as well as individuals pay down debt. In
addition exports are starting to fall in the face of a strong dollar, which gives the euro
zone participants a 15% price advantage. This is a big price to pay to enrich Wall
Street and take down the euro as the dollar‘s competitor. We do not believe the dollar
can maintain current levels, but damage will continue for another 6 to 12 months. Can
you imagine the fallout with the euro at parity? Not only does Europe and the US have
trouble, so does China that has to unravel bad bank debt domestically, a market fall
that already is off some 25%, but worse they have to deflate a property bubble that will
be very painful. De-leveraging for the US, Europe, China and Japan has really just
begun and this is why a year or two from now there will be another meeting like the
Smithsonian in the early 1970s, the Plaza Accord of 1985 and the Lourve Accord of
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1987, where everyone will devalue, revalue, and default. An Illuminist jubilee. That
could be triggered by a bond market collapse. A market that has been in a bull market
for 29 years. Timing of events is very difficult. We could be off by one to five years.
The point is bad – things are on the way, so prepare yourself.
The economy is beset with slowing retail sales, a plunging housing sector and
falling credit usage. You might call this individual austerity. Consumer sentiment is
consistent with recession. Job creation is negative as are loans to small and medium-
sized businesses that create 70% of the jobs. The dollar‘s strength is wreaking havoc
for US exports, which had been improving.
Greece and Spain are in the soup prominently followed closely in the euro zone
by Portugal, Ireland and Italy. China has seen a 9-month 25% fall in their stock market
and they are facing a collapse in credit and in real estate.
We no longer consider the oil spill a major factor. It can be solved and turned
off any time the Illuminists want to do so.
Politically, Israel has finally gone a step to far and Turkey finally realizes that
the EU is never going to accept them due to religious reasons. Turkey is now in the
Muslim block. That will be a problem for some of the pro-US-UK Muslim states in the
Gulf in the future. Geopolitical risks abound and they are worsening along with
sovereign debt problems.
Those who have been reaching for bond yields will eventually pay a very high
price. The bond market is no longer a safe place to be, whether it is sovereign foreign
bonds, corporates or US paper. The US still has 7% to 8% inflation that isn‘t going to
go away soon, and in all probability that inflation will soon worsen. Those 10% to 20%
returns cannot continue indefinitely, as the US government manipulates the US bond
markets. Who would want to buy Treasuries yielding from zero to 3.2% with real
inflation of 7%, when you can own gold and silver coins and shares that are
appreciating? We know most of the funds entering mutual funds are in bonds. These
―boomers‖ who are the big buyers are looking for safety and will continue to do so. As
you can see not as much money will be going into the stock market. In spite of losing
money on bond holdings those in their 50s and upward are staying away from new
market commitments. They want safety, or at least perceived safety, not capital
appreciation, but capital preservation. The market on a net basis has been even for 11
years and that includes a bear market rally and a real estate boom. Incidentally during
that period the gold and silver shares have done well. AEM from $5.00 to $83.50
presently $62.70 is a perfect example. The price of gold went from $252.00 to
$1,265.00. This was one of our recommendations, but then again what do we know.
We are not, and never will be on CNBC, because they cannot handle the truth, and
they do not want the public to know the truth. Mind you, during those 11 years, the US
government relentlessly suppressed the prices of gold, silver and the shares. They
cannot do it indefinitely. Just last week equity funds saw an outflow of over $2.9 billion
and bond funds saw an inflow of almost $5 billion.
Switching to the euro zone we find a letter signed by 100 Italian economists
who object to the euro zone fiscal program. They want Keynesian free money and
credit forever, strains of Benito Mussolini. The rest of the euro zone, except for the
other Club Med members, want austerity much to the chagrin of the US Treasury. In
fact, the Fed is already blaming the healthy euro zone members‘ austerity program for
the failure of the US recovery. Germany, France, the Netherlands, Belgium and Austria
are having a very hard time explaining to their citizens why they should defend the
euro and bail out the profligate members. Yes, if the PIIGS leave the pen and revert
back to their original currencies the other members will be at a disadvantage, but isn‘t
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that better than having the PIIGS on life support indefinitely and draining the life out of
solvent members?
This is what happened during the ―Great Depression.‖ Make work programs
and deficit spending, some 45% of GDP, did not work. The depression only ended
when the Illuminists arranged another world war. The system worldwide has to be
purged. There simply under classical economics is no other way. The employment
situation worldwide continues to deteriorate and there can be no recovery without
rising employment. Government and central banks continue to spend money they do
not have, most of which ends up in the financial sector creating nothing except profits
for those who produce nothing. No lending, no jobs. Then there is the collapse of
confidence very evident particularly in the publics‘ relationships with their
governments. They know the CPI, PPI and employment numbers are a lie, they know
inflation is robbing them and they know taxes are going higher. The worst possible
thing that can happen is more taxation. Taxes should be cut and government spending
in every country should be cut 30%. The big question is what will be the untoward
event that brings down the entire world financial system? In 1931 it was Creditanstalt
in Austria that failed, that pulled the trigger. Could it be the failure of Deutsche Bank or
Citicorp? We don‘t know but there are big uncontrollable surprises out there that can‘t
be factored in. Eventually austerity and failure forced Britain off the gold standard and
pound holders, except in the colonies, were screwed if holding pounds. Yes, there are
plenty of precedents for what you are seeing today. Failing to purge the system will
only lead to a deeper wider purge later.
There is no question that austerity will cause a collapse of the euro zone, which
never should have existed in the first place - a creature of those who desire world
government. Be as it may we will continue this discussion in the next issue and try to
make it clearer as to where we are all headed.
New orders for long-lasting US manufactured goods fell for the first time in May
in six months, off 1.1%, the sharpest drop since 8/09.
Weekly jobless claims were 457,000, off 19,000 from the previous week.
Issuance of commercial paper rose $15.4 billion to $1.099 trillion.
The Baltic Dry Index, a key indicator of future international trade activity, closed
at 4,209 on May 26. In less than a month it collapsed to 2515, a 40% loss. This thing
was the same as in the late spring of 2008, shortly before world equity and
commodities markets collapsed. This is a big red flag.
The Census Bureau fired 243,000 people in June. When reported the total
number is the one to watch. The contraction in June payrolls should be 250,000, a loss
of 70,000 in June versus a gain of 431,000 in May. This could mean a 10% U3 in
June.
July and August will see 330,737 job losses of census hires.
For months, both initial and continuing jobless claims have been revised higher
for the previously reported week. This occurred again on Thursday when initial claims
were revised up to 476,000 from 472k. This allowed the media and intractabulls to
exaggerate the decline in this week‘s claims (457k vs. 463k exp) – even though the
odds tell us that they will probably be revised higher next week.
Continuing Claims are 4.548m, 4.550m exp; but the previous week is revised to
4.593m from 4.571m. Numerous pundits extolled the 2k decline in continuing claims
while ignoring the 22k upward revision.
Senate Democrats abandoned on Thursday efforts to provide fresh aid to cash-
strapped state governments and extend emergency unemployment benefits for
millions of jobless workers, leaving in limbo President Obama's push for more
spending to bolster the economy.
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Emergency jobless benefits, which provide up to 99 weeks of income support,
expired June 2. Since then, more than 1.2 million people have had their checks cut off,
according to estimates by the Labor
Department. That number is expected to rise to more than 2 million people by the time
Congress returns from its weeklong break. Unless Congress acts, the program would
phase out entirely by the end of October.
For over a year, we have harped that the US and other nations have not
enacted necessary restructurings of economies and financial systems that are
essential for long-term growth. Instead, the US, Japan and Europe have intensified
the use of the decades-old Keynesian and monetarist expediencies of more debt,
more credit, gratuitous consumption and easy money.
US lawmakers plan to collect roughly $19 billion from the nation‘s largest
financial institutions to pay for the cost of financial overhaul legislation, a top House
Democrat said Thursday evening.
Rep. Barney Frank told reporters during a break in negotiations that the cost
would likely be spread out over several years,
Americans spend twice as much as residents of other developed countries on
healthcare, but get lower quality, less efficiency and have the least equitable system,
according to a report released on Wednesday.
The BLS should make a huge negative hedonic adjustment to healthcare costs
in its CPI tabulation. But the hedonic adjusting scam is a one-way only ruse to craft
lower-than-warranted inflation in order to conceal the decline in US living standards.
In a tape, Blagojevich is heard floating another idea -- to ask the president-elect
to ask Warren Buffett or Bill Gates to throw $15 million into a health-care related
charity account that Blago could manage and live off. In exchange, of course, he'd
appoint Valerie Jarrett to Obama's Senate seat.
Since we‘re stuck in a monetary system that allows a tiny private sector
clique to control everything (business, government, military, non-profits, schools,
families, etc) by putting everyone else in debt, we‘ve been living in financial
dictatorship for a long time. It has been a soft PR dictatorship of Hickey-Freeman suits
and Sax 5th Avenue ties, Harvard pedigrees and fratboy schmarm. But hard
dictatorship has been coming out of hiding for several years, especially since 2001.
Not only can the money powers steal trillions from the masses to hand over to
themselves, but they can suck the military into conquering poor countries that aren‘t
subject to their usury vortex system, build Homeland to spy on Americans, and have
the CIA assassinate US citizens.
There is no question that full-blown fascism is planned for the supposed land of
the free as they try to move us into the new global system. And all the Republicans
blaming Obama for it, just like the Democrats who blamed Bush, need to stop being
suckers and realize how the politicians are not in charge. The money powers knew
100 years ago they couldn‘t subject their wealth and power to the whims of mass
political opinion…they learned well from the Teddy Roosevelt days. Ever since, they
have built increasing control into the system.
Blame the politicians? Absolutely…each administration takes an incremental
step for the money powers. But don‘t get suckered into believing a politician from your
side of the aisle playing the same old game of flipping between left and right is going to
change anything. We‘ve been sold on parties just like we‘ve been sold on Coke vs.
Pepsi–they‘re the same.
Find leaders who know their neighbors, who understand the mechanics of a
republic vs. empire, who understand the power of those who control all money in our
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system, rather than repeatedly voting for unhappy, addictive Harvard/Yale elitists who
get a rush out of ―system managing‖ the masses for the money powers. Any narcissist
who thinks one dude in a distant white house can system manage 308,000,000 people
should never come close to actually being in that white house. But that‘s who we‘ve
put in that house for the last several decades.
Luckily people are now breaking free of the PR programming. The choice isn‘t
left vs. right. It is big vs. small, republic vs. empire.
US Mortgage Applications index released by the Mortgage Bankers
Association petered out to -5.9%, compared to a 17.7% rise earlier in May.
The
housing market indicator follows a poor 2.2% decrease in existing home sales seen on
Tuesday. The data arises concerns over the US economic recovery.
Existing Home Sales of 5.66mm (-2.2% MOM) were much worse than
expected (6.12m) in May. The inventory of existing homes increased 1.1% YOY, the
second consecutive month of YOY inventory gains.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/New-home-sales-plunge-33-pct-apf-
1718773153.html?x=0&.v=1
There once was a recovery underway so massive, so powerful, so self-
deluding that as the government and central bank began to withdraw their support for
the underpinnings with the faux stimulus and tax incentives, a realization hit the
markets and citizenry, especially the 17% unemployed or underemployed:
The news on the housing front today aside, the perpetual lack of improvement on the
unemployment front, and the massive decline in confidence expressed by the business
community continues to indicate that the recovery being heralded by the economists
and politicians might just well be a mirage as some of us have maintained. The
inventory build is over and the retail front is indicating that the lack of consumer credit
and the diminishing available discretionary income could well be the final nail in the
theoretical improvement in general economic conditions and a warning sign that we
could experience another disaster during the holiday season. Enough generalizations
though, let‘s focus on some reality from the one market that is telling everyone that
trouble is dead ahead.
While the recall of one of the staples in America is a very disconcerting sign,
and yes, it could be a watershed moment which historians will reflect back on and
decide that ―that was the day American officially went into the crapper for good, when it
couldn‘t manufacture a decent can of pasta with bland tomato sauce,‖ that is not the
indicator I would prefer to use for the current and oncoming crisis. Today we had a
bond auction for the 2 Year Treasury that went out at an all time record low yield.At the
close of market trading today it had a 0.681% yield which is sending a message to the
world of the utmost importance about our economic situation. This graph tells the
same message of the 1-3-6 month Treasury yields and then the 2 year yield overlaid
on top of it:
This is the one chart that tells me the recovery discussion is nonsense,
especially now that the Federal Reserve‘s Quantitative easing program has ended.
The majority of the securities purchased by the Fed was in fact Mortgage Backed
Securities to help prop up not just the banking system but the GSE‖s, Fannie and
Freddie. They purchased just enough Treasuries to intimidate the shorts and keep the
vigilantes at bay in 2009 but now, what is the excuse for the low yields on the short
end of the curve? Perhaps the government and the Fed should go look in a mirror.
There is no demand FOR MONEY thus the idea of guaranteeing a return of investment
has become more important than investing or gambling on the whims of the United
States government and its ever changing policies. Way, way, way back in history I
warned that the actions involving the illegal seizures of Fannie, Freddie, Bear Stearns,
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Wachovia, Washington Mutual, General Motors, Chrysler, etc., etc. would have a
lasting impact on the desire of investors to gamble on the viability of the United States.
Those ducks have come home to roost. There is no demand for money thus borrowing
costs are staying low. The citizens of the U.S. do not have faith in the financial system
because many of them lost 30-50% of their investments to the used car salesman on
CNBC who perpetually said ―there will never be another bear market in our lifetimes‖
and other such pearls of wisdom as they piled their retirement accounts into such
winners as ABK and WaMu. Foreign bondholders who had securities in the seized
companies and were not made whole have no reason to trust this current
administration nor the incompetent behavior of the Federal Reserve so why should
they do anything beyond storing their money in bonds and praying that the rest of the
world divorces the American nightmare so they can move their monies elsewhere and
not worry about the Banana Republic like activities of those in power.
Thus do not get excited about the recovery talk. The housing recovery talk. The auto
sales recovery talk. The consumer recovery talk. And the new ‗discipline‘ the
government swears that one day they hope to show with regards to spending. Until
there is a demand for money and thus the corresponding increase of rates imposed
by markets and not artificial Fed interference, then we can continue to expect more
credit crisis blow ups such as Municide, corporate defaults, massive bank failures,
even more foreclosures, and increasing unemployment levels of long duration. As I‘ve
stated before, when a man falls down into a 100 foot deep well and climbs up 20 feet,
that is not a recovery nor even a save. That splash your hearing is that man falling
again and preparing for the end.
The Richmond Fed manufacturing activity skid down in June. The reading
showed a 3 points decline from 26 last May against the present 23 value.
Sales
revenues in the service sector performed the worst, with the index falling in May (from
8 to 5). June data showed retail sales revenues dropping to -1 from 0 in May.
The Housing Price Index released by the Office of Federal Reserve Housing
Enterprise Oversight showed US home prices surged by 0.8% in April compared to a
revised 0.1% in March, instead of the previously noted 0.3%.
Despite Government
tax credit programs favored the increase on prices, it is a positive factor to see the
housing market picking up, which acts as a reliable indicator of the US economic
situation.
US ABC/Washington Post Consumer Confidence up to -43 from -45 in the
week of June 20.
For the first time in history, Congress will not allow an increase in the
social security COLA (cost of living adjustment).
In fact, the Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation predicts there may not be any
COLA for the next three years. However, the per person monthly Medicare Insurance
premium will be increased from the 2009 premium of $96.40 to $104.20 in 2010 and to
$ 120.20 for the year 2011.
Let's send this to all seniors that you know--remind them not to vote for ANY
incumbent senators and congressmen in the 2010 and the 2012 elections.
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And don't forget - CONGRESS GAVE THEMSELVES A HEFTY PAY RAISE
THIS YEAR. So who is watching out for you? Not Congress. Not Washington.
A top Democrat signaled for the first time that the party might scale back
plans to permanently extend Bush-era tax cuts for the middle class, as deficit
worries grow in Congress.
House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer said in a speech Tuesday that Democrats
would have to consider passing only a short-term extension of the middle-class tax
breaks, which expire at the end of this year. In the longer term, taxes likely will be
going up, at least for some people, he suggested.
"As the House and Senate debate what to do with the expiring Bush tax cuts in
the coming session.
The city of Maywood will lay off all city employees and begin contracting
police services with the Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department effective July 1,
officials said.
In addition to contracting with the Sheriff's Department, the Maywood City
Council voted unanimously Monday night to lay off an estimated 100 employees and
contract with neighboring Bell, which will handle other city services such as finance,
records management, parks and recreation, street maintenance and others. Maywood
will be billed about $50,833 monthly, which officials said will save $164,375 annually.
"We will become 100% a contracted city," said Angela Spaccia, Maywood's
interim city manager.
Deputies from the East Los Angeles Sheriff's Station will begin patrolling the
1.2-square-mile city by the end of the month, said Capt. Bruce Fogarty of the Sheriff's
Contract Law Enforcement Bureau. The annual cost of providing those services for the
small city is estimated at $3.6 million, Fogarty said.
At a council meeting Monday night, city leaders said they were forced to
dismantle the Police Department and lay off city workers because they lost insurance
coverage as a result of excessive police claims filed against the department. They also
blamed years of financial abuse and corruption from the previous council. "We're
limited on our choices and limited on what we can do," Councilman Felipe Aguirre told
the standing- room-only crowd.
We will have an overview on the financial reform package in the next issue. We
do know banks will continue to handle foreign exchange, interest rate, and gold and
silver swaps and to hedge their own risks. Cleared and uncleard commodities,
agricultural, energy and equities swaps and credit would have to move to an affiliate
within two years. Why were silver and gold exempted? We know why, so that the
market manipulation could be continued. Congress is telling us they completely know
the scam and are paying off the bankers and Wall Street. This they hope will continue
the charade of fiat money and it won‘t work.
The final on first quarter GDP was up 2.7%, of which 1.7% came from stimulus.
That puts the second quarter at even to minus; third quarter at minus 1% to 2% and
the fourth quarter minus 2% or more. Some recovery!
The ECRI leading indictor has collapsed to a 45 week low of minus 5.7. The
most precipitous slide in 50 years.
The Fed‘s next step over the next 2-1/2 years is to run and gun money and
credit, as inflation becomes hyperinflation.
The former stimulus and the Fed‘s purchase of $1.8 trillion in toxic assets and
$200 billion in treasuries shows a net combined increase in money and credit of $2.8
trillion last year. During this year and the next two years there will be lots more.
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Weimar here we come. More unemployment, less income, less buying power from a
falling dollar and rising gold and silver will follow.
For all the focus on the historic federal rescue of the banking industry, it is the
government‘s decision to seize Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in September 2008 that
reportedly is likely to cost taxpayers the most money. So far the tab stands at $145.9
billion and rising, the New York Times reports. The Congressional Budget Office has
predicted that the final bill could reach $389 billion. Some analysts even estimate the
total may reach $1 trillion, which Sean Egan, president of Egan-Jones Ratings,
recently told Bloomberg is ―a reasonable worst-case scenario." Egan told Bloomberg
that the final tally could hit $1 trillion assuming a 20 percent loss on the companies'
more than $5 trillion in loans and guarantees, similar to what other big mortgage
companies, like Countrywide Financial, suffered. The two government-sponsored
enterprises (GSEs) now own more houses than there are in Seattle and are
foreclosing on homeowners whose mortgages they guaranteed, the Times said.
Fannie and Freddie maintain the houses for a while, then resell them at a huge
loss. In many cases, they also underwrite the new mortgage for the new buyer,
generating even more bank fees taxpayers must ultimately absorb. On average, they
recoup less than 60 percent of the amount borrowers failed to pay. Costs for selling a
house generally are usually about $10,000. Fannie and Freddie hire people to clean
up the foreclosed homes inside and out, replace missing appliances and maintain the
properties until they are sold. The grass-mowing bill alone is more than $10 million per
month; All told, the GSEs spent more than $1 billion on upkeep last year. ―We may be
behind many loans on the same street, so we believe that it‘s in everyone‘s best
interest to aggressively do property maintenance,‖ said Chris Bowden, the Freddie
Mac executive in charge of foreclosure sales. Short sales are a growing alternative to
foreclosure. In the past, a short sale was an unusual alternative, one real estate
agents rarely presented to sellers, realtor Erek Gass told the York Daily Report. ―Now,
they are common because of the devaluation of the housing market,‖ Gass says.
Several Senators have learned of a possible plan by the Obama
Administration that would provide a mass Amnesty for the nation's 11-18 million
illegal aliens. Led by Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa), eight Senators addressed a letter
to the President asking for answers to questions about a plan that would allow DHS
Secretary Janet Napolitano to provide an amnesty if they can't secure enough votes
for a bill in the Senate.
The Treasury Department awarded $1.5 billion to aid homeowners in
California, Florida, and three other states with high foreclosure rates.
Under a program known as the Hardest-Hit Fund, Arizona, Michigan, and
Nevada also will receive money, which will be distributed to state housing finance
agencies, the Treasury said yesterday in a statement.
―These states have identified a number of innovative programs that will make a
real difference in the lives of many homeowners facing foreclosure,‘‘ Herbert M. Allison
Jr., the Treasury‘s assistant secretary, said in the statement.
The program is estimated to help 90,000 people having difficulty paying their
mortgages or living in homes that are worth less than the loans they secure.
Seventy-five percent of such homes are in the five states awarded aid, said
Phyllis Caldwell, chief of the Treasury‘s Homeownership Preservation Office. Half are
in California, and Florida, Caldwell told reporters.
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The hardest-hit fund is part of a mosaic of programs from the Obama
administration to stop the spread of foreclosures, which are expected to climb to 4.5
million this year from 2.8 million in 2009, according to RealtyTrac Inc., an Irvine, Calif.,-
based research firm.
The effort, which is funded from the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief
Program, aims to curb foreclosures and stabilize housing prices in communities with
high concentrations of delinquent borrowers and states where much of the population
lives in regions with 12 percent or higher unemployment.
States were required to develop programs to aid homeowners and apply for
aid. Their plans include using the money to reduce the principal owed on mortgages,
help unemployed and underemployed borrowers make their payments, and pay off
second mortgages.
Government-sponsored mortgage purchaser Fannie Mae, trying to
encourage distressed homeowners to find alternatives to foreclosure, would punish
those who walk away by preventing them from getting new loans for seven years.
Troubled borrowers who do not try in good faith to work out a deal but have the
capacity to pay are targeted by the policy disclosed yesterday.
―Walking away from a mortgage is bad for borrowers and bad for communities, and our
approach is meant to deter the disturbing trend toward strategic defaulting,‘‘ said
Terence Edwards, executive vice president for credit portfolio management.
A strategic default occurs when a homeowner stops making payments on a mortgage
despite being able to do so. It has become increasingly common in communities where
housing values fell sharply and homeowners are ―underwater,‘‘ or owe more than their
houses are worth.
Fannie Mae said that in locations where the law allows, it also plans to take
legal action to recoup outstanding mortgage debt from borrowers who strategically
default. The company plans to instruct its servicers to monitor delinquent loans facing
foreclosure and recommend cases to pursue for such judgments.
A spokesman for fellow government-backed mortgage buyer Freddie Mac said its
current policy requires at least a five-year wait. Freddie Mac will ―take a close look‘‘ at
the new Fannie policy, said spokesman Brad German. ―We‘ll consider it in light of
current market conditions in order to manage our risk as effectively as possible.‘‘
Fannie and Freddie were created by Congress to buy mortgages from lenders and
package them into bonds that are sold to investors. They own or guarantee almost 31
million home loans worth about $5.5 trillion, about half of all mortgages.
The wave of foreclosures affecting Fannie and Freddie loans has caused a
major problem for the US government, which effectively guarantees the loans.
The government seized control of Freddie and Fannie in September 2008, a rescue
that has cost taxpayers $145 billion so far. The two companies show no signs of
becoming self-sufficient.
In announcing the new policy, Fannie Mae said homeowners who make a good
faith effort to resolve their situation with their mortgage companies, and those who
have extenuating circumstances, will be eligible for new loans in a shorter time period.
The company did not detail how long the wait might be.
The Census Bureau released the weekly payroll data for the week ending
June 12th this morning (ht Bob_in_MA). If we subtract the number of temporary 2010
Census workers in the week containing the 12th of the month, from the same week for
the previous month - this provides a close estimate for the impact of the Census hiring
on payroll employment. The Census Bureau releases the actual number with the
employment report.
10
The number of Census workers paid each week. The red labels are the weeks
of the BLS payroll survey. The Census payroll decreased from 573,779 for the week
ending May 15th to 330,737 for the week ending June 12th. So my estimate for the
impact of the Census on June payroll employment is minus 243 thousand (this will be
close). The employment report will be released on July 2nd, and the headline number
for June - including Census numbers - will almost certainly be negative. But a key
number will be the hiring ex-Census (so we will add back the Census workers this
month).
―Goldman Sachs wasn‘t alone either in its astute ―foreknowledge‖ of the
collapse of BP‘s stock value due to the Gulf disaster as BP‘s own chief executive,
Tony Hayward, sold about one-third of his shares weeks before this catastrophe began
unfolding too.
But according to this FSB report the largest seller of BP stock in the weeks
before this disaster occurred was the American investment company known as
Vanguard who through two of their financial arms (Vanguard Windsor II Investor and
Vanguard Windsor Investor) unloaded over 1.5 million shares of BP stock saving their
investors hundreds of millions of dollars, chief among them President Obama.
For though little known by the American people, their President Obama holds all of
his wealth in just two Vanguard funds, Vanguard 500 Index Fund where he has 3
accounts and the Vanguard FTSE Social Index Fund where he holds another 3
accounts, all six of which the FSB estimates will earn Obama nearly $8.5 million a year
and which over 10 years will equal the staggering sum of $85 million.
The FSB further estimates in this report that through Obama‘s 3 accounts in
the Vanguard 500 Index Fund he stands to make another $100 million over the next 10
years as their largest stock holding is in the energy giant Exxon Mobil they believe will
eventually acquire BP and all of their assets for what will be essentially a ―rock bottom‖
price and which very predictably BP has hired Goldman Sachs to advise them on.
Important to note is that none of this wealth Obama, Goldman Sachs, and other
American elites is acquiring would be possible without this disaster, all of whom, as the
evidence shows, ―somehow‖ knew what was going to happen before it actually did,
including the US energy giant Halliburton who 2 weeks prior to this disaster just
happened to purchase the World‘s largest oil disaster service company Boots &
Coots‖.
U.S. intelligence community debates China's bond holdings
"In doing that, what options does the Federal Reserve have; what options does the
Treasury have?" said Markowski, a China expert. "If China were to be a large, large
seller, then they would have to do something more significant." [Solons would then put
their heads between their knees and kiss.]
German and UK austerity measures are strengthening their currencies.
Suddenly, instead of beggar they neighbor, competitive currency debasement to boost
exports, some nations have decided it is more important to arrest debt formation,
which will strengthen their currencies.
How HFT Quote Stuffing Caused The Market Crash Of May 6, And
Threatens To Destroy The Entire Market At Any Moment
On the subject of HFT systems, we were shocked to find cases where one exchange
was sending an extremely high number of quotes for one stock in a single second -- as
high as 5,000 quotes in 1 second! During May 6, there were hundreds of times that
a single stock had over 1,000 quotes from one exchange in a single second. Even
11
more disturbing, there doesn't seem to be any economic justification for this. In many
of the cases, the bid/offer is well outside the National Best Bid/Offer (NBBO). We
decided to analyze a handful of these cases in detail and graphed the sequential
bid/offers to better understand them. What we discovered was even more bizarre and
can only be evidence of either faulty programming, a virus or a manipulative device
aimed at overloading the quotation system.
Americans are more pessimistic about the state of the country and less
confident in President Barack Obama's leadership than at any point since Mr. Obama
entered the White House, according to a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll.
Sixty-two percent of adults in the survey feel the country is on the wrong track,
the highest level since before the 2008 election. Just one-third think the economy will
get better over the next year, a 7-point drop from a month ago and the low point of Mr.
Obama's tenure.
Support for Mr. Obama and his party is declining among centrist, independent
voters. But, more ominous for the president, some in his base also are souring, with
17% of Democrats disapproving of Mr. Obama's job performance, the highest level of
his presidency.
In his latest column, the Daily Telegraph's A. Evans-Pritchard does a good job of
recapping all the various reasons why Bernanke has now completely cornered himself,
and facing a newly collapsing economy, is left with just one recourse: the printing of
more, more, more paper. This should not come as a surprise to anyone who has read
even a few posts on Zero Hedge - the only response the Fed is left with as deflation
accelerates, and as the Fed and the banking cabal refuse to do an orderly
reorganization whereby financial firms grow into their balance sheets via a debt
restructuring (and equity wipe out), is the spewage of more, inflation-stimulating, fiat.
Ironically, as this newly printed and rapidly diluted monetary representation (because it
increasingly is not equivalent to money) makes its way only and almost exclusively to
those with direct discount window access, i.e., the mega banks (and for some ungodly
reason, the clearinghouses soon), the assets that will be bid up are all tangible
commodities, while secondary assets, which are contingent on a properly functioning
reserve banking (money multiplier) system, collapse in a deflated heap of liquidations.
Yet one notable section in AEP's post draw our attention:
"Key members of the five-man Board are quietly mulling a fresh burst of asset
purchases, if necessary by pushing the Fed's balance sheet from $2.4 trillion (£1.6
trillion) to uncharted levels of $5 trillion." We are very curious where the DT's reporter
has found this information, since if it comes from a credible source this is a massive
game changer, and while many have speculated this will happen sooner or later, to
know for a fact that QE is definitely coming is major news, and, if true, we are stunned
the WSJ's Jon Hilsenrath, who recently has had his ear "very close" to the Fed's
internal process, has not reported on this yet.
Incidentally, the $5 trillion number was referenced previously on Zero Hedge in a
post by RBS economist, and uber-realist, Bob Janjuah, as follows:
All that's now left, as I have said before, is for the Fed to shift to a USD5trn or so
new QE program, likely in co-ordination with a bunch of other central banks, which in
total may give us USD10trn or more of new QE. But this isn't happening until much
much later this year or, more likely, next year.
We agree with Bob: the next QE phase will most certainly not occur before the
midterms, which as the recent abdication of a national budget demonstrated, are a
critical priority for the administration, over and above the telegraphing of the country's
catastrophic state to the general population, which is precisely what a nuclear
monetary blast would be (let alone a new fiscal one - it is no incident that today, for the
12
first time, a new $35 billion unemployment stimulus bill crashed in the Congress after it
could not muster enough votes). Therefore, we are confident that the Fed has its
hands tied well until December, although we anticipate a January lift off date for QE
version 2 and final, which, as Bob Janjuah notes, will likely come in collaboration with
every single central bank in the world, in one last (failed) re-flation attempt: the final
spasm for the Keynesian religion.
U.S. consumer sentiment was the most optimistic in more than two years
in June, but remained far below normal levels, according to a survey released Friday
by Reuters and the University of Michigan. The University of Michigan Index rose to
76.0 in late June, up from 73.6 in May and 75.5 in mid-June. The average level of the
index is around 87. Economists were expecting the UMich index to come in at 75.5.
Consumers expect a very slow pace of economic growth, the survey said. The current
conditions index improved to 85.6 from 81.0, while the expectations index rose to 69.8
from 68.8.
At a salary of $180,000 a year, former Police Chief Hurtt, who favors
"sanctuary" policies for illegal aliens, has been hired as the director for coordination
between State and local government and ICE [Immigration and Customs
Enforcement].
Sanctuary policies, which mandate cities to provide cover and assistance to
illegal alien invaders, are an explicit violation of the US Code on immigration law. This
means that a supporter of law-breaking has been hired to do a law enforcement job.
By its own actions, centralized Government is breaking down.
Harold Hurtt, a former police chief in Houston and Phoenix, has been
hired as the director for the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement's
Office of State and Local Coordination.
Drug cartel activity along the Mexican border presents serious security
threats to the area's water supply system, particularly on federally-owned lands in
southern Texas, a U.S. lawmaker says.
Members of the House Natural Resources Subcommittee on Water and Power
held a hearing Thursday on H.R. 4719, a bill that would create a Southwest Border
Region Water Task Force to monitor and assess the water supply needs of the area.
Rep. Tom McClintock, R-Calif., ranking member of the House subcommittee, told
FoxNews.com that the situation needs immediate attention, particularly in light of
reports that a Mexican drug cartel -- the Los Zetas -- unsuccessfully plotted to blow up
the Falcon Dam along the Rio Grande last month.
"If the plot against Falcon Dam had succeeded, it would have affected more
than 4 million residential customers," McClintock said Monday. "We need to focus our
attention on securing these border water systems from attack by Mexican drug cartels,
but also their use as a conduit for the illegal importation of drugs and people."
McClintock said he will seek to amend H.R. 4719 to alter its focus toward
border security issues. As it currently stands, the legislation would establish a task
force that would submit a report on the region's water supplies to Congress and would
be comprised of representatives from the Department of Agriculture, the Army Corps
of Engineers, the Southwest Border Regional Commission and others.
13
According to the Houston Chronicle, Mexican and U.S. authorities were
"secretly scrambling" last month to thwart a plot by the Zeta cartel to blow up Falcon
Dam and unleash billions of gallons of water.
The Zeta cartel planned the attack to get back at its rival, the Gulf cartel, which
controls smuggling routes from the Falcon Dam to the Gulf of Mexico, Sigifredo
Gonzalez, sheriff of Texas' Zapata County, told the newspaper.
Although the Gulf Cartel was the alleged target, about 4 million residents and
massive amounts of agricultural land would have been affected in the resulting
massive flood, the paper reported.
Sources told the Chronicle that U.S. officials learned of the plot through
"serious and reliable sources," the seizure of small amounts of dynamite near the dam
and the discovery of an alert from the Zeta cartel warning Mexican residents to
evacuate the area ahead of the blast.
The Mexican military then stepped up its presence in the area based in part on
the U.S. intelligence, sources told the Chronicle.
McClintock said escalating violence along the Mexican border is a result of
restricted access by U.S. Customs and Border Patrol agents to federal lands due to
environmental regulations enforced by the Department of Interior.
"It certainly has the potential to be a serious security risk," McClintock said.
"The plot by the Zeta drug cartel to blow up the Falcon Dam appeared to be quite
credible. And as we have found over the years, before there is a successful attack, it is
preceded by several unsuccessful attempts that clearly indicate intent. It would be
utterly foolish to ignore."
The Department of Homeland Security did not immediately respond to requests
for comment regarding last week's hearing.
Joan Neuhaus Schaan, fellow for homeland security and terrorism at the
James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy at Rice University, told the panel that the
water flow and system of dams operated by the International Boundary & Water
Commission (IBWC) are critically important to Texas agriculture along the Rio Grande.
"Water rights along the border have been the basis for contentious and
sometimes violent disagreements for centuries, though for the last 60 years the IBWC
has provided a framework for management," Schaan said in prepared remarks. "This
critical water infrastructure, however, is vulnerable to attack."
Schaan also cited reports of the alleged plot targeting the 5-mile-long Falcon
Dam.
"Destroying a dam requires access, means, knowledge and motivation,"
Schaan's testimony continued. "Organized crime in the region has demonstrated a
facility for the first three elements. The question remains as to whether these same
organizations might be motivated to carry out an attack. The scenario is not
inconceivable."
The Gross Domestic Product figures for the 1st quarter, released by the
US Bureau of Economic Analysis, continued its downward bias after a 2.7% estimate
growth as opposed to an expected 3%. The previous estimated number in May settled
at 3%, and a 3.2% in April..
The US GDP price index stood at 1.7%, after a 1.2% increase compared to the
previous release. Analyst had expected a 1% rise. Meanwhile, the personal consumer
expenditure rose by 3% in the first trimester of the year, although a 3.5% climb was the
agreed forecast amongst analyst.
GDP revised to 2.7% in the Q1 from 3.0% previous estimation
14
Durable goods orders edged down to -1.1%, ending a 5 month winning
streak. Analyst anticipated a 1% rise instead of the poor numbers released. Last report
showed a 2.8% increase.
Meanwhile, US durable goods orders excluding transportation, displayed
positive numbers, yet the final figures could not satisfy analysts forecast. Civilian
aircraft weighed on an improved report compared to April's data. Core US durable
goods rose to 0.90% compared to a weaker -1% last April. Analysts were expecting a
1.1% climb.
The Whirlpool Corp. plant in Evansville that has been the site of protests
over its closure is producing its final refrigerators.
The plant's production line is shutting down today, meaning the loss of some 600 jobs.
About 450 other workers were laid off in March when Whirlpool ended its second
production shift.
Company human resources director Tom Webster says a contractor will then
begin removing equipment and furniture from the plant. He says the plant's future
hasn't been decided.
The company announced last year that it would shut down the factory and
move production to Mexico.
Some 1,500 people joined the AFL-CIO national president for an Evansville
march in February protesting the decision by Benton Harbor-based Whirlpool.
COMMODITIES
EIA reports natural gas inventories up 81 bcf.
GOLD, SILVER, PLATINUM AND PALLADIUM
On Wednesday gold fell $5.80 to $1,234.10, as August fell $2.50. Spot silver
fell $0.41 to $18.48, as July fell $0.31. Malcolm Maguire pointed out that before every
gold option expiration and silver exploration, JPMorgan Chase and HSBC pound them
both so very few of the options end up in the money. It‘s been six months since
massive first person evidence was given, as to what was going to happen and when –
it happened and the CFTC has not done a thing about it except begin an investigation,
which might be concluded 3 to 5 years from now. Gold open interest rose 1,536
contracts to 602,411 just below its all-time high. Silver OI fell 2,043 to 139, 019.
JPMorgan chase expects a new stimulus program and more quantitative easing, which
they say would push gold higher. Tell us what markets, Morgan, Goldman, Cit and
Deutsche Bank do not manipulate? Thirty percent of central bank reserve managers,
institutions and sovereign wealth funds see gold as the best performer for the
remainder of the year says a UBS survey.
Year-on-Year foreclosures increased 44% in May and increased in every state.
All homes with mortgages are now worth less than the mortgage note. Total inventory,
including shadow inventory, is now one year and some are calling for eight years
based on the 12-month trailing sales rate. Sales of new homes fell 32.7% to the lowest
level in more than 40 years. We see inventory overhang in 2012 of three years.
The Fed has blamed Europe for the economy not improving.
We coached soccer for 35 years and we are experts. There is no question
everything that can be done by officiating is being done to make sure the US doesn‘t
win anything. In spite of that they will reach the 2nd level. It is despicable for the
Europeans and the FIFA to do such a thing. These young men are not responsible for
what the US government and Illuminists do.
15
Next week the treasury expects to sell $162 billion worth of securities. This is
raising money at a $2 trillion annual rate.
Erste Group in Vienna, Austria, a strong gold advocate has published a report
on the future of gold, and it includes a large section on gold manipulation. It explains
the massive fraud.
The Dow rose 5 to 10,298 and should open 50-points lower in the morning.
S&P fell 29 and Nasdaq fell 45 Dow points. The yen rose .0084 to $.8970; the euro
rose .0056 to $1.2329; the pound rose .0151 to $1.4963; the Swiss franc rose .0016 to
$1.1039; the Canadian dollar fell .0093 to $.9622 and the USDX fell .29 to 85.81.
Oil fell $1.95 to $75.90; gas fell $0.06 to $2.08 and natural gas rose $0.05 to
$4.80. Copper fell $0.05 to $2.94; platinum fell $24.40 to $1,568.60 and palladium fell
$17.40 to $472.55. The CRB Index fell 2.96 to 259.72.
On Thursday spot gold rose $11.00 to $1,245.10, as August rose $7.70. The
Comex option writers in gold and silver got clobbered today and that makes us very
happy. Spot silver rose $0.25 to $18.73, as July rose $0.20. Gold got as low as $1,227
early on, but it rallied back strongly, as major bullion buyers challenged the US
government and those who control our government. Silver got down to $18.18, but
rallied back strongly. Gold open interest fell 9,179 contracts to 593,232, as silver OI fell
1,874 to 137,146. The XAU lost 1.49 to 179.72 and the HUI fell 2.82 to 476.29. Our
sources tell us the class action lawsuit against JPMorgan Chase for manipulating the
silver market is now 3 to 4 weeks away.
The Dow fell 145 to 10,152; S&P fell 164 and Nasdaq fell 221 Dow points. The
yen rose .0040 to $.8938; the euro rose .0005 to $1.2334; the pound was unchanged
at $1.4923; the Swiss franc rose .0007 to $1.1008; the Canadian dollar fell .0041 to
$.9581 and the USDX rose 2 to 85.76.
Oil was unchanged at $76.35, gas rose $0.01 to $2.10 and natural gas fell
$0.04 to $4.76. Copper rose $0.07 to $3.02; platinum fell $2.20 to $1,564.80 and
palladium fell $0.90 to $473.45. The CRB rose 1.90 to 261.62.
On Friday spot gold rose $10.50 to $1,255.80, as August rose $10.70. Spot
silver rose $0.38 to $19.11, as July rose $0.33. Gold open interest rose 6,228
contracts to 599,460, just 4,000 short of an all-time high. Silver OI fell 1,511 to
135,634. The XAU rose 6.25 to 184.92 and the HUI gained 16.62 to 492.93. Five
hundred will be left far behind next week. AEM rose 2.17%, or $1.33 to $62.70. It
traded $1.00 higher as the shorts attacked again. GG rose 2.74%, or $1.21 to $45.42;
SSRI rose 2.76%, or $0.50 to $18.60 and MFN rose 4.26%, or $0.38 to $9.29. When
AEM breaks out over $64.00 it should run to $83.50 and the others listed here will
follow. Shortly silver will break out and Morgan and HSBC will have to do some fierce
short covering. We are not far away from LBMA, Comex, GLD and SLV delivery
defaults. That Morgan silver class action is on the way. June gold deliveries could wipe
out 80% of dealer inventory and the same could happen to silver. In gold, June on the
Comex has 20,545 contracts for delivery, unless some opt for cash with a 25%
premium to go away or to accept GLD shares. The weekly COT report from
commercials on Comex shows a net increase of 9,972 contracts. We‘ll have net gross
figures on Wednesday, but should be a net short gold position of about 295,000
contracts. In silver they increased net shorts by 1,800. They have to be suicidal. In
addition the shortage of silver is so dire, and the naked shorts so large, that Comex
has stolen allocated silver to meet physical demand. Wait until the owners find out.
They will, of course, withdraw their holdings. Of course, the CFTC knows all this and
looks the other way, as does the SEC. The public has no protection from the criminals.
16
Gold is being removed from central banks by private owners and placed in
private storage. That is why these enormous facilities are being built in Hong Kong and
Singapore.
All the facilities are outside the EU and US. The big hitters now realize that
central banks and exchanges are selling gold that doesn‘t exist.
The Dow fell 9 to 10,413; S&P rose 33 and Nasdaq 36 Dow points. The yen
rose .0018 to $.8927; the euro rose .0055 to $1.2393; the pound rose .0104 to
$1.59038; the Swiss franc rose .0072 to $1.0922; the Canadian dollar rose .0061 to
$.9650 and the USDX fell .42 to 85.31. If it falls below 85 it could go to 80 quickly.
Oil rose $2.65 to $79.17, gas rose $0.07 to $2.17 and natural gas rose $0.11 to
$4.86. Copper rose $0.08 to $3.10; platinum rose $8.90 to $1,570.40 and palladium
rose $8.05 to $478.05. The CRB rose 3.99 to 265.61.
Tim Levene of Augmentum Capital, a fund backed by Lord Rothschild's RIT
Capital Partners, said the investment was not a bet on the gold price but on "the future
growth of the BullionVault platform", which stores physical gold for private clients in
London, New York and Zurich. RIT currently has 9pc of its assets in physical gold.
Investment demand for the metal has risen on concerns that sovereign debt
problems could spread and the value of currencies plunge. The gold price hit a new
nominal all-time high above $1,260 on Friday and analysts expect the price will
continue to rise.
In return for the £12.5m investment, the World Gold Council and Augmentum
will receive an equity stake in BullionVault.
Marcus Grubb, managing director of investment at the World Gold Council,
said taking the BullionVault stake was part of the Council's strategy of "increasing its
portfolio of successful platforms for gold investment". Mr. Levine and Mr. Grubb will
join BullionVault's board. BullionVault has about $800m (£540m) of gold under
management for 20,000 customers from more than 90 countries. The average holding
is around £30,000.
The World Gold Council's previous investment vehicle, a gold exchange-traded
fund, now has 1,306 tonnes of the metal under management, worth $52.3bn. This
makes it the world's second-largest exchange-traded fund. If the fund was a central
bank, it would be sixth largest in the league table of gold holders. [We are very
disturbed with the equity participation of Illuminists in BullionVault. If we had an
investment in BullionVault we would move it elsewhere to an entity, which is not in bed
with the enemy.]
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/7842235/Lord-
Rothschild-fund-joins-World-Gold-Council-to-put-12.5m-into-BullionVault.html
GLD claims to have added another 3 tons of gold to a fresh new all time
record of 1,316.18 tons as of close of business today. In the meantime the fixing price
of gold is back to near record levels... which is where it was on May 11, when GLD
held over 124 tons of gold less. In other words, the world's biggest real time acquirer of
the precious metal has added more than all central banks purchased in Q1.
DISCOUNT GOLD & SILVER TRADING
www.discountgoldandsilvertrading.net
1800 375 4188
For the best in pricing and service for gold and silver coins, call Melody Cedarstrom at
1-800-375-4188.
17
Be sure to listen to Financial Survival with Bob Chapman live on Short-wave 7.415Mhz
M-F 4:00PM ET, Rebroadcast Monday thru Friday 8pm 3.240 Mhz
3.215 MHz M-F 11PM ET and weekly archives at discountgoldandsilvertrading.net
―Gee, What A Coincidence!‖ or ―Those Who Cannot Learn From History . . . .‖?
George Santayana first observed that, ―Those who cannot learn from history,
are doomed to repeat it.‖ This article is intended to present some recent history
from which we might—or might not—learn.
Wikipedia published an article entitled ―History of the Soviet Union (1985–1991)
which described the causes and events surrounding the A.D. 1991 collapse of
the former USSR. The article is remarkable in that so many of the events and
causes for the Soviet collapse seem to be occurring again, right here, in the
USA.
For example,
―The Soviet Union‘s dissolution into independent nations in 1991 began in
1985.‖
The USSR‘s collapse didn‘t happen ―overnight‖. It was a process that occurred
over a period of several years. Thus, those who had sufficient insight and
courage to objectively confront the facts (the ―history‖ as it unfolded) could‘ve
seen what was coming and prepared accordingly.
Likewise, in this country, those who have sufficient insight and courage to
objectively confront our current facts (unfolding ―history‖) might also be able to
―see‖ what‘s coming and prepare. There is time to prepare, but is there an
ability to ―learn‖ why we should prepare?
―After years of Soviet military buildup at the expense of domestic development,
economic growth was at a standstill. Failed attempts at reform, a stagnant
economy, and the war in Afghanistan led to a general feeling of discontent.‖
Have you noticed that here in the USA—much like the USSR in its final years—
the US military and governmental power has been built up over the last decade
while civilian jobs have been shipped overseas? Have you noticed that US
―economic growth is at a standstill‖? Did you observe that today, like the
former Soviet Union we are also mired in a ―war in Afghanistan‖? Do our Tea
Parties‖ manifest our ―general feelings of discontent‖ similar those previously
seen in the former USSR?
Have you learned from that history?
―The USSR's trade gap progressively emptied its treasury, leading to eventual
bankruptcy.‖
Our American trade gap is also massive and will probably never be repaid. Do
you suppose that our trade gap will also lead to our ―eventual bankruptcy‖?
―The war in Afghanistan led to increased public dissatisfaction with the
Communist regime in Moscow.‖
American adventures in Iraq and Afghanistan are now the longest running wars
in American history. Are the American people ―dissatisfied‖ by the ―endless‖
(and pointless) mid-east wars? Not so much. But Americans are very
dissatisfied by high unemployment.
―Reform in the USSR became more and more powerful between 1969 and 1987.‖
The excesses and arrogance of the Bush administration and middle-east wars
contributed to a public desire for ―change you can believe in‖ in our A.D. 2008
election. But is that ―change‖ (like the ―reform‖ movement in the former USSR)
too little, too late, or too socialist?
18
―The Chernobyl nuclear power plant disaster of 1986 added impetus to
Gorbachev's glasnost and perestroika reforms, which eventually spiraled out of
control and caused the Soviet system to collapse. At Chernobyl, a reactor
vessel rupture caused the reactor‘s graphite moderator components to ignite;
the resulting fire sent a plume of radioactive fallout into the atmosphere and
over large parts of the western USSR and Europe. Large areas in the Ukraine,
Belarus, and Russia had to be evacuated, with over 336,000 people resettled.‖
The Soviets had Chernobyl and we have the Gulf Oil Disaster. The ―plume‖ of
Chernobyl‘s radioactive waste caused 336,000 to be evacuated. Some suspect
that the ―plume‖ from the BP Oil Disaster may cause a similar number of
Americans to eventually be evacuated from the Gulf-coast.
When Chernobyl occurred, we in the West laughed at those ―dumb commies‖
who couldn‘t master the technology of running a nuclear power plant. I suspect
the Soviet people were likewise humiliated by Chernobyl and lost confidence in
their technology, government, political system and themselves. Without public
confidence, an economy can‘t be sustained.
Today, America‘s Gulf Oil Disaster has inspired of similar sense of humiliation
and national self-doubt. Have we finally ―gone too far‖? Facing the Gulf
disaster at the same time we face our other economic and political crises, we
know that something is not merely wrong, but fundamentally wrong with our
―system‖. That knowledge saps the confidence that every economist knows is
necessary to maintaining an economy.
Is there a lesson here to be learned?
―When President Ronald Regan increased US military spending to 7% of the US
GDP, the USSR tried to keep pace by increasing its own military spending to
27% of its GDP and freezing production of civilian goods at 1980 levels, causing
a sharp economic decline in the already failing Soviet economy. The USSR
collapsed under the economic costs of superpower status—the military, space
program, subsidies to client states—that were out of proportion to the Soviet
economy.‖
Osama bin Laden reportedly bragged that he would drag the US into a series of
endless wars in the middle-east, and cause so much strain on the US economy
that the US would be crippled or destroyed. Thus, bin Laden sought to pull a
―Reagan‖ on the American people. And here we are, after seven years of war,
mildly exhausted—just like the former USSR. Another coincidence? Or are we
seeing some ―history‖ from which we might learn something?
As in the failing Soviet Union, today‘s American production (rather than
consumption) of civilian goods has been radically diminished over the past
decade by moving our factory jobs to third-world nations. Americans‘ average,
inflation-adjusted standard of living hasn‘t increased since the 1970s. Most of
our apparent standard of living is based on an illusion of credit, unsustainable
borrowing from foreign countries and rising government employment. I.e., if it
weren‘t for the past decade‘s easy credit and overpaid (non-productive)
government jobs, today‘s standard of living might be closer to that of the 1950s
than the 1970s. Do you see lesson here?
On June 22nd, 11 US warships reportedly passed through the Suez Canal—
perhaps en route to a war with Iran. Do you suppose that attacking a third
middle-east country will stimulate our economy or cause a ―sharp economic
decline in the already failing [US] economy‖?
―Thousands of political prisoners and many dissidents were also released.‖
19
The US financial crisis has caused judges to sentence fewer persons to prison
and caused many prisoners to be released early.
―Soviet state archives became more accessible, and some social statistics that
had been kept secret became open for research and publication on sensitive
subjects such as income disparities, crime, suicide, abortion, and infant
mortality.‖
The inequalities of American society are increasingly reported. For example,
Americans are increasingly aware that the entire, nation-wide mortgage and
foreclosure process has been based on systemic and institutionalized fraud.
(People are losing their homes to bankers who have previously sold off the note
or mortgage and thus have no standing to foreclose.) That can‘t be good for
generating the ―confidence‖ required to sustain the economy.
―Relaxation under glasnost resulted in the Communist Party losing its absolute
grip on the media. The freed Russian media began to expose severe social and
economic problems . . . that the Soviet government had long denied and actively
concealed.‖
The US government still maintains great influence over the mainstream media.
However, thanks to the internet, control of the mainstream media is increasingly
irrelevant as real control of the news is no longer in government‘s hands.
―In all, the positive view of Soviet life long presented to the public by the official
media was rapidly fading, and the negative aspects of life in the Soviet Union
were brought into the spotlight. This undermined the faith of the public in the
Soviet system and eroded the Communist Party's social power base, threatening
the identity and integrity of the Soviet Union itself.‖
How many American still believe in the historical image of America? So long as
we jail a higher proportion of our people than any other country, who still
believes in the ―land of the free‖? With bailouts for bankers and lipservice for
the middle and lower classes, who believes in justice? With a government that
refuses to secure our borders and protect America from an invasion by illegal
aliens, who doubts that government is anything more than a pack of treasonous
whores bent on destroying this nation? As American confidence in America
wanes, what power remains for government to marshal our obedience or
support?
―Several Soviet Republics began to resist central control, and increasing
democratization led to a weakening of the central government.‖
Arizona is defying federal authority by trying to defend its own borders from an
invasion by illegal aliens. A majority of state governors are exploring
―nullification‖ strategies to avoid the burdens of Obamacare. Southern
California is threatening to break loose and become part of Mexico. State
secession movement are small but growing.
Just as the USSR began to fragment years before it collapsed, we are starting to
see similar hairline cracks in our former national integrity.
―In elections within the regional assemblies of the USSR, nationalists as well as
radical reformers swept the board.‖
In this country, the calls for restoration of tariffs, border security, and reduction
in our international ―empire‖ are rising. These isolationist tendencies are all
manifestations of growing ―nationalism‖. Is this a coincidence or a lesson?
―The rise of nationalism under freedom of speech soon reawakened simmering
ethnic tensions in various Soviet republics, further discrediting the ideal of a
unified Soviet people.‖
20
Can you say ―illegal aliens‖ boys ‗n girls? Can you say ―Aztlan‖ or ―radical
Islam‖? Have you seen tens of thousands of illegals marching down American
streets under the guise of ―freedom of speech‖? What reason remains to
suppose that illegal aliens will not eventually precipitate violent reaction? How
long before Mosques preaching revolution find themselves bombed? More
coincidence, or lessons?
―By 1990 the Soviet government had lost control over economic conditions.‖
Who believes that the US government still ―controls‖ our economy? The elusive
―recovery‖ that‘s been predicted for most of a year, but despite the best efforts
of all the government‘s horses and all the government‘s men, that recovery
remains unseen. Government‘s economic influence remains significant but the
illusion of ―control‖ over the economy is gone.
―Government spending increased sharply as an increasing number of
unprofitable enterprises required state support and consumer price subsidies to
continue.‖
The Soviet Union also had entities that were ―too big to fail‖. As a result of
supporting those entities, the Soviet Union itself failed.
America also has financial institutions that are ―too big to fail‖. But is the US
government, unlike the former USSR, also ―too big to fail‖?
―After the Soviet Union finally collapsed in 1991, Boris Yeltsin seized power.
Within days of the collapse, Yeltsin implemented a ―shock program‖ which
caused the subsidies to money-losing farms and industries to be cut and price
controls abolished.‖
How long before China stops providing credit to our government? How long
before the US government can no longer subsidize unemployment with
unemployment insurance or make promised So-So Security payments? How
long before our government is forced to implement its own ―shock program‖ to
cut the multitude of government subsidies? (It‘s already happening at the state
level.) Given that roughly one-third of Americans are dependent on gov-co for
their support, what happens when government finally admits that ―what can‘t be
paid, won‘t be paid‖?
The lessons of the history of the former USSR offer us a clue.
―Yeltsin and Russian market economists believed that the dismantling of the
administrative command system in Russia would raise GDP and living
standards by allocating resources more efficiently. They also thought the
collapse would create new production possibilities by eliminating central
planning, substituting a decentralized market system, eliminating huge
macroeconomic and structural distortions through liberalization, and providing
incentives through privatization.‖
In the long run, those economists were probably correct. But, as I‘ve argued
repeatedly, an economy is not a mere ―machine‖ to be fine-tuned and then
turned on or off at will. An economy is a reflection of the morale and
psychology of its people. If they are ―depressed‖ by the failure of their former
system, they will not instantly spring to support whatever new-and-improved
system replaces the old. Once public confidence is lost, it could take a decade
or more for it to be regained.
Here in the USA, public confidence in our ―system‖ is waning. Once lost, that
confidence will not be quickly restored especially in an economy that is
intrinsically weakened from the weight of debts that can never be fully repaid.
21
Barring the onset of some spectacular good fortune, the US (like the former
USSR) is, at least, headed for an economic depression and our own ―lost
decade‖. In the past, we‘ve faced daunting problems and overcome them all.
But this time, we are facing 20 million illegal aliens, a debt burden that can‘t
possibly be paid, an ecological disaster that may be too great to overcome, and
a national government that is working to destroy this nation. We are left to
wonder if we‘ve finally ―gone too far‖ and in the midst of that self-doubt, our
confidence and national morale are reduced. The degree and consequences of
that reduction remain to be seen but they can‘t be good.
Clearly, our current state of affairs is eerily similar to that of the former Soviet
Union just a few years before it collapsed. We are once again reminded that
―Those who cannot learn from history, are doomed to repeat it.‖ Are the
similarities between the Soviet collapse and our own current conditions merely
an interesting coincidence? Or are they evidence of the hard lessons of history
which we can ignore only at our own peril?
I read the ―lessons of history‖ imperfectly. My reading could be wrong. Nevertheless,
my reading tells me that the US economy will slide further into a depression. The
economic and political impact of the coming American depression on the American
people will be more than ―severe‖. It will be shocking. Devastating for some. We
may or may not go through hyper-inflation before we ―officially‖ admit we‘re in a
depression. Whether that depression precipitates a national dissolution remains to be
seen. But one way or another, my reading of ―history‖ says there‘s no coincidence,
here—we are headed for an economic depression and significant political upheaval.
If your reading agrees with mine, you‘d best buckle up.
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CANADA
Retail sales have dropped beyond expectations in April, to post the largest
decline in 16 months, with consumption declining in all sectors according to figures by
Statistics Canada. Canadian retail sales have dropped 2.0% in April, offsetting a 2.1%
increase on March, beyond the 0.4% decline forecasted by market analysts. Excluding
autos and automobile parts, sales of all other products declined 1.2% after a 1.7%
increase in April and against the market consensus, which called for a flat
performance.
The yearly Consumer Price Index released by the Statistics Canada stood at
1.4%, a 0.4% decrease from previous reading at 1.8% a month ago. The inflation
range continue to navigate within an equilibrium range between 1%-3%. With regards
to the monthly CPI, the Canadian economy showed a 0.3% rise in May, matching the
22
same growth seen in April. The data surpasses by 0.3% analysts expectations on a
0% change.
EUROPE
Italian tax police uncovered 22.2 billion euros in undeclared income in the
first five months of the year, the Finance Guard said on Tuesday in its first report for
2010.
The first five months of the year also saw the Finance Guard identify 3.1 billion
euros in unpaid value added tax (VAT) as well as 3,790 tax evaders who never filed
tax declarations and thus hide earnings of 7.9 billion euros.
A crackdown in international tax evasion pinpointed another 4.3 billion euros,
most from people or business, which had false residences abroad r sought to export
capital to foreign tax havens.
The first five months of the year also saw the Finance Guard identify 12,927
people working under the table, 8,937 of whom were illegally in Italy, and 3,477
employers offering them work.
Tuesday's report was issued to mark the 236th anniversary fo the creation of
the Finance Guard.
EU Flash Manufacturing PMI down to 55.6 in Jun vs. 55.8 in May.
EU Flash PMI Services decreases to 55.4 in Jun vs. 56.2 in May.
The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) released by the
Markit economics indicated that Business conditions in the manufacturing sector
worsened by 0.3 points to 58.1 compared to May's previous reading at 58.4. The
Services PMI offered a similar picture, although the distance with its forecast number
was tighter. The release of a 54.6 assessment in the status of sales and employment
by Germans executives diverged barely 0.1 points from a 54.7 expected. Looking at
last month's data, the new figure was down by 0.2 points.
The European Commission released its monthly consumer confidence
index, showing an upward revision at -17.3 compared to a previous reading of -17.8 in
May. Despite there is no relevant change on the level of consumer confidence, the
data indicates the recent austerity measures implemented in most European
economies may have improved the economic outlook.
German Jun PMI Services declines to 54.6 in June.
German July Gfk Consumer Confidence Index remains steady at 3.5
The EU current account (sa) outstripped worst expectations to succumb at
€-5.1B deficit compared to a €1.5B increase earlier in March. Meanwhile, the EU
current account (nsa) dropped its value to €-6.9B as opposed to €1.3B positive reading
back in March. Both indicators show a worrying decline in the net flow of current
transactions, from a basket of key goods an services flowing in and out the Euro Zone.
In European markets, the data went barely unnoticed as key crosses remain timid to
make major moves against the Euro.
Germany IFO - Expectations down to 102.4 in Jun from 103.7
The difference in value between imported and exported goods released by the
Swiss Federal Customs Administration in May declined surprisingly. Switzerland's
balance of trade surplus stood at 0.82Billion CHF, far from the estimated number at
1.97Billion CHF. The previous April reading settled at 2.02 Billion CHF. The Trade
Balance is a measure of balance amount between import and export. A positive value
shows a trade surplus while a negative value shows a trade deficit. Any variation in the
figures influences the domestic economy. Generally speaking, if a steady demand in
exchange for Swiss exports is seen, that would turn into a positive growth in the trade
balance, and that should be positive for the CHF.
23
Germany's budget savings policy risks destroying the European project
and a collapse of the euro cannot be ruled out, billionaire investor George Soros said
in a newspaper interview released on Wednesday.
"German policy is a danger for Europe, it could destroy the European project,"
he told German weekly Die Zeit.
Soros, who earned $1 billion in 1992 by betting against the British pound,
added that he "could not rule out a collapse of the euro."
"If the Germans don't change their policy, their exit from the currency union
would be helpful for the rest of Europe," he said.
Chancellor AngelaMerkel unveiled plans earlier this month for 80 billion euros
($107 billion) in budget cuts over the next four years -- a package she hopes will bring
Germany's structural deficit within European Union limits by 2013.
"Right now the Germans are dragging their neighbors into deflation, which
threatens a long phase of stagnation. And that leads to nationalism, social unrest and
xenophobia. Democracy itself could be at risk," he said.
"Germany is globally isolated. Why don't they let their salaries rise? That would
help other EU states to pick up."
Merkel on Monday defended her budget cut plans after U.S. President Barack
Obama preached patience in clamping down on public spending. A German
government official said on Tuesday Berlin did not expect to come under pressure at a
G20 summit in Toronto this weekend to provide fresh stimulus measures. [Needless
to say, we disagree, we agree with the cuts, but with them taxes should be lowered not
increased. Germany should get ready to leave the euro and expect major losses on
the bonds of the five PIIGS and accept the fact that Deutsche Bank and Hypo Bank
will collapse.]
Earlier, we pointed out the abysmal results of the most recent 5 Year
Portuguese auction, which came in at a whopping 4.657%, nearly 1% higher than the
last such auction from just a month ago, which then closed at 3.7%. Alas, the
deteriorating funding environment in Portugal is not a fluke - according to the Bank of
Portugal, bank borrowings from the ECB surged in the past month, and doubled from
€17.7 billion to €35.8 billion in May. As Steven Major from HSBC said, quoted by the
FT. "These yields are approaching that magic number of 5 per cent that is likely to be
charged by the European stability fund. If the yields keep going up at this rate, then
they will be paying much more than 5 per cent next month, which is arguably
unsustainable." And confirming the non rose-colored glasses reality was another
banker who said: "These yields are not sustainable. Portugal will have to access the
emergency stability fund if they continue to rise at this rate." Elsewhere, Greece
continues to be bankrupt. As you can see the ECB is doing the exact same thing as
the Fed did with TARP funds. The Fed claims now that they have received 50% of
those funds back, but they fail to tell you how much money the recipients made with
those funds from taxpayers. The ECB is going to be left with the same problem that
the Fed has, and that is it has not changed the insolvency of the countries and the
banks involved.
Bank of England policy maker Andrew Sentance made the first push for
an interest-rate increase in almost two years this month, opening a split among
officials on the strength of the economic recovery.
The Monetary Policy Committee voted 7-1 to keep the benchmark interest rate
at 0.5 percent, according to minutes of the June 10 decision released in London today.
Sentance favored an increase to 0.75 percent, arguing that inflation was proving to be
―resilient‖ after the recession.
24
The budget calls for Britain‘s deepest fiscal retrenchment since the early
years of Margaret Thatcher‘s rule.
The cuts and tax increases, including average budget reductions of 25 percent
for almost all government departments over the next five years, will make Britain a
leader among European countries, including Ireland, Greece and Spain, competing to
show they can slash spending and appease investors worried about surging debt. But
the sharp reductions defy conventional economic wisdom, which holds that
governments should increase spending to stimulate growth when the private sector is
weak.
German and UK austerity measures are strengthening their currencies.
Suddenly, instead of beggar they neighbor, competitive currency debasement to boost
exports, some nations have decided it is more important to arrest debt formation,
which will strengthen their currencies.
Ideal Standard, Villeroy & Boch AG, Sanitec Oyj and 14 other bathroom
fittings companies were fined a total of 622 million euros ($767 million) by the
European Commission for colluding on prices for toilets, tubs and taps.
Ideal Standard, owned by U.S. private equity company Bain Capital LLC,
received the single biggest fine of 326 million euros the commission said in an e-
mailed statement. Villeroy & Boch was fined 71 million euros.
The commission in November 2004 raided the offices of Grohe, American
Standard and other bathroom-products makers in five European countries and in
March 2007 sent official objections to a number of the companies, including Grohe and
American Standard.
―It was a really well organized cartel,‖ Joaquin Almunia, the EU‘s antitrust
commissioner, said in Brussels today. ―I can think of no better illustration for the need
for strong competition enforcement.‖
A week ago we highlighted [1] that Hungary, in addition to liquidity problems,
is now back to experiencing solvency issues, after suffering a bond auction failure.
Today, Hungary had its second failed auction in a row, after it was unable to raise
enough money as had been initially planned. "The state debt management agency
sold 40 billion forint ($174 million) of bills, 10 billion forint less than planned, at a yield
of 5.41 percent compared with 5.35 percent on June 10." The domino effect in Europe
(contrary to the lies by G-Pap) is now in full force and nothing can stop it. Country by
country will now need to be bailed out (for a few months - recall that Greece is
supposedly solvent, yet its CDS are now wider than ever) or be forced to default.
Which brings us to our second point: in a note to clients (attached), Citi's Willem Buiter
goes so far as to say that Europe's current €860 billion bail out facility is insufficient by
more than half, and a new rescue package will promptly need to be created to the tune
of €2 trillion or more. He also slams the ongoing stress tests for the vile, malicious joke
(which just so happens is squarely on Europe's middle class) they are.
In a last ditch attempt to save its country from a sovereign debt
nightmare, Greece has put some of its islands up for sale. A portion of the famous
island of Mykonos is for sale, according to The Guardian. Several other full islands are
for sale at prices ranging from €2 million ($2.46 million) to €15 million ($18.5 million).
The €15 million island is that of Nafsika, which is 1,235 acres in size.
Following the attacks on the Freedom Flotilla in which 9 Turkish citizens
were killed, Turkey has decided to continue severing ties with Israel by canceling the
agreement it signed in 2000 to supply Israel with water for a 20 year period.
The Israel National Newspaper asserted that the annulment of the agreement comes
as a punishment to the Israeli entity for refusing to apologise, conduct an international
investigation or compensate the martyrs ofthe Freedom Flotilla's families.
25
According to the agreement Turkey would sell approximately 1.75 billion cubic
feet of water per year.
The newspaper also maintained that ―The cancelled water project is not the
first sign of Turkey's anger over the Gaza boats incident" adding Turkey has also
recalled its ambassador, and has frozen a plan to supply Israel with natural gas from
Russia using an underwater pipeline‖.
ENGLAND
May BBA Mortgage Approvals up to 36.7K vs. revised 35.9K in April.
The UK announced its new levy yesterday and both France and Germany are
expected to follow suit before next weekend's G20 meeting commences. They are
going to have a lot to discuss. As can be seen in the FT article, many big banks are
surely going to try and move some of their assets to more tax-friendly locations with
Japan and Switzerland being mentioned.
LATIN AMERICA
The results of Argentina‘s debt swap offer exceeded the government‘s
expectations and will help close a chapter on the country‘s record $95 billion default in
2001, Economy Minister Amado Boudou said.
Ecuador faces a ―growth problem‖ and economic expansion won‘t meet the
government‘s 6.8 percent estimate this year because of lower-than-forecast public
spending, central bank President Diego Borja said.
JAPAN
The National Consumer Price Index fell over the year to May 0.9%
compared to a decrease of 1.2% over the year to April and slightly above expectations
around a decrease of 1.1%. National CPI Ex Food, Energy also fell 1.4% for the same
period.
Price figures for Tokyo, over the year to June are, the Consumer Price Index
fell 1.0%, Tokyo CPI ex Food, Energy dropped 1.6% and Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food is
down 1.2%. Tokyo Consumer Price Index (YoY) increase to -0.9% in Jun from -1.4%,
Japanese economy: CPI -1.2% YoY
May Merchandise Trade Balance Total decreases to ¥324.2B vs ¥740.5B.
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND
The balance for the New Zealand's current account resulted into a surplus of
NZD 176 million for the March quarter 2010, Statistics New Zealand said today.
"Rising exports and a fall in the investment income deficit helped reduce New
Zealand's seasonally adjusted current account balance by $1.6 billion in the March
2010 quarter. The deficit is now $1.3 billion." This result exceeded the expectations
that were around a 320 million deficit of current account. This is the first positive result
since Q2 2009.
The Credit Card Spending grew 3.4% in May reaching 229.6 Billion, against
a 0.7% rise the previous month. Domestic cards spending reached 209.7 Billion, while
overseas card spending was around 199 Million. The Credit Card Spending released
by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand measures the total credit card expenditure by
individuals. The level of credit card spending can be used as an indicator of consumer
optimism and is also considered as a measure of economic growth. Normally, a high
reading is positive (or Bullish) for the NZD, while a low reading is negative (or bearish).
26
Australia got its first female prime minister today after the ruling party dumped
Kevin Rudd and installed his deputy as leader.
Julia Gillard will lead the government to elections due within months.
She was unopposed in a vote of the Labor Party‘s 112 lawmakers at a meeting
today, hours after a revolt against Rudd.
―I feel very honored,‘‘ she told reporters.
Rudd did not even stand for reappointment in the vote a signal that he knew his
support had collapsed.
The industry group representing the for-profit superannuation industry has said
it will campaign for an increased goods and services tax.
The Investment and Financial Services Association identified the GST, a
need for population growth, improved regulation and an increased workforce
participation rate among elderly as policy areas a rebranded association would pursue.
Chief executive John Brogden announced the name change from IFSA to
Financial Services Council at a lunch in Sydney today.
"The Financial Services Council will put the GST back on the tax reform
agenda in Australia - it should be increased and/or broadened," Mr Brogden said.
"It is an imperative to replace discretionary and inefficient state taxes."
The value of exports in New Zealand boosted 4.2 billion while imports
reached 3.4 billion resulting into a trade balance surplus of NZD 0.81 billion in May.
"The trade balance was a surplus of $814 million, or 19.4 percent of the value of
exports, in May 2010. This compares with an average May trade surplus of 9.3 percent
of exports for the previous 10 years", Statistics New Zealand said today.
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for Australia
increased 0.1% from a 0.3% increase the previous month. The Conference Board
Coincident Economic Index (CEI) also increased 0.1% in April.
"The Conference Board LEI for Australia increased slightly again in April, but
the strengths among the leading indicators were somewhat less widespread than the
weaknesses this month. Despite the increase in April, the six-month growth in the
leading economic index continued to moderate, to 1.8 percent (a 3.6 percent annual
rate) between October 2009 and April 2010, down from 2.4 percent (a 4.9 percent
annual rate) for the previous six months", the Conference Board said today.
The New Zealand Gross Domestic Product grew by 0.6% in the March
quarter 2010 from a 0.8% increase the previous quarter. The rise succeeds
expectations around a 0.5% increase. Over the year to March 2010, the GDP grew
1.9% slightly above expectations and better than the 0.4% increase over the year to
December 2009.
UNREGISTERED drivers and car thieves are being hunted down by hi-
tech police cars fitted with 360-degree cameras.
The technology is currently being rolled out in NSW and is under trial in South
Australia.
A number of NSW highway patrol vehicles have already been equipped with mobile
automated number plate recognition systems.
Fairfield police officers have used the technology to track down 6750 stolen cars since
December.
The highway patrol cars have also detected 2500 unregistered drivers, 1100 uninsured
vehicles and 240 unlicensed drivers.
27
Fairfield Highway Patrol sergeant Rob Malovic yesterday nabbed three drivers in Surry
Hills during a demonstration of how the vehicle worked.
The technology, based on a similar system in Belgium, can track stationary cars as
well as those in motion up to a speed of 200km/h.
The NSW Government allocated $6 million in this year's Budget to roll-out the
technology in 95 police vehicles over the next two years.
Eight of the camera units were trialled by police across NSW earlier this year.
During the trial, police detected 2914 suspicious vehicles including over 2800
unregistered or uninsured vehicles and more than 173 unlicensed drivers.
A spokesperson for South Australia Police today said it is currently conducting a trial of
the technology, which will finish in September.
"At the trial conclusion, findings will be evaluated and considered," she said.
Hi Bob: Good news.
KRuddy counldn‘t pass the Super Mining TAX.
The ETS (yet) or the Internet filter (yet) but I guess that‘s what Queen Ranga must do.
Oh, a Ranga is a red headed person in Australia. Anyway, tomorrow (24th) should be
interesting. I am hoping they bring down the markets so I can get I little bit more for a
little bit less.
http://wearechangewa.com/
http://stopthefilter.org/
Have a great day. Happy Days,
HEALTH
PREVENTING VISION PROBLEMS
Nutrition for eye health is all over the Internet. Antioxidants, essential fatty acids,
vitamins and herbs are often mentioned. But what do we do with all of that? One entry
said flaxseed will prevent dry eyes and protect your eyes from vision loss. Another
recommendation was to use more omega-3 fatty acids to prevent vision damage from
omega-6 fatty acids. We‘ve all heard about lutein (antioxidant) in vegetables that assist
in eye health. Then there is vitamin A & C, zinc, beta-carotenes and bioflavonoids
(more antioxidants). Don‘t forget the vitamin E to prevent cataracts and macular
degeneration. How does all this work to help our vision? Will it help the masses protect
their vision or can we expect to have over 5 million with low vision, blindness and
various age-related vision problems by the year 2020?
YOUR EYES
The technical genius that went into the creation of your eyes is a miracle. You have a
series of photoreceptors known as cones and rods that help you to see. The eye itself
is small but it contains 6 million cones to read color and bright light and 125 million
rods to read black and white and dim light. Your eyes are sophisticated enough to
handle the glare of a policeman‘s flashlight in your face and can also pick up on the
single photon of dim light from a distant star. Your vision falters when the rods and
cones fail. What causes them to fail? Science says they fail by not having enough
xanthophylls and rhodopsin (pigments). It is kind-of like having the color copier run out
of toner. The most frequent problem seen is not enough yellow lutein (loo-teen) found
in the cones along with low levels of zeaxanthin (zee-uh-san‘-thin) and
mesozeaxanthin. The rods hold a majority of the purple pigments. When we have
pigment loss or damage in any one area it results in eye problems.
28
MACULAR DEGENERATION
A lot has been reported on this particular vision problem. It affects part of the retina,
which controls sharp central vision. There seems to be two forms of this disease; wet
and dry. Dry macular degeneration is the most common involving fatty deposits under
the light-sensing cells inside the retina. The Wet macular degeneration, although less
common, is more serious to vision loss. It involves the growth of new blood vessels
under the retina that leak, distort vision and creates scar tissue. It is suspected that
this develops with a lack of antioxidants and free-radicals damage the light-sensing
retinal cells or inflame retinal cells causing them to leak and atrophy.
AGE-RELATED EYE DISEASE
We assume that as we age we can expect our vision to decline. Nearly 4% (10 million)
of our aging population will experience macular degeneration. Research from the
National Eye Institute report that zinc and antioxidants play a roll and by providing the
body with adequate nutritional support can reduce the risk by 25%. How much are the
experts recommending in these nutrients? Supplementation of 500 mg of vitamin C,
400 mg of vitamin E, 15 mg of beta-carotene, 80 mg of zinc and 2 mg of copper. In
most cases vision loss is a slow progression and cataracts, macular degeneration and
glaucoma can be slowed especially if caused by diabetic neuropathy.
GLAUCOMA
This is the most common cause for blindness and gives the victim no painful
symptoms. This allows the condition to advance just prior to peripheral vision
disappearing signaling the big red flag. You are dealing with a slow death of the optic
nerve, which carries the visual information from the eye to the brain. Just like most eye
problems it is a slow, gradual progression of disease. This means you will have
opportunity to correct it if you are alert. Don‘t wait for your eye physician to just monitor
the eye pressure to see if it gets worse – change your lifestyle right away. You can
take all the eye drops you want to reduce eye pressure or you can exercise. Research
on glaucoma patients showed that by walking briskly for 40 minutes daily will reduce
eye pressure by 2.5 millimeters within three months. Circulation is a major factor in
regards to degeneration disease. Delivery of nutrition and waste removal is essential
for eye health. Foods that also help maintain the vascular integrity of the blood vessels
are foods with anthocyanosides – a super antioxidant. You will find this level of
antioxidants bright colored berries such as bilberry and Goji berries. Scientists are also
looking into these antioxidants to ward off diabetes and cancer.
NUTRITION FOR EYE CONS AND RODS
Research is linking certain nutritional elements to improving the pigments in the eye
cons and rods. Many pigments are made from carotenes (vitamin A), which also help
protect the eye and help it react appropriately to light.
FEAST FOR THE EYES
The foods that will do the most to promote healthy eyesight will contain the nutrition to
produce the pigments the eyes need (xanthophylls and rhodopsin). You‘ll find
xanthophylls in eggs, kale, spinach, turnip greens, collard greens, romaine lettuce,
broccoli, zucchini, peas, corn and Brussels sprouts. You‘ll find rhodopsin in natural
vitamin A found in eggs yokes and (from ―real‖ butter), beef, elderberries, sweet potato
and carrot juice. Herbs rich in rhodopsin (carotene) are spirulina algae, gotu kola,
29
barley grass, peppermint leaf, senna leaf, uva ursi leaf, alfalfa, nettle leaf and
eyebright herb.
THINGS TO AVOID
Apparently the vitamin A you get in cod-liver oil is not going to promote better vision
because it is not from beta-carotene source. Synthetic vitamin A is also inferior and
should be avoided. They don‘t contain the full-spectrum of nutrition found in the natural
food sources listed above.
SHOCK YOUR EYE DOC
Convenience foods and processed food has depleted nutrition in them and over time
our vision will suffer. If you are challenged to eat right in our modern world you can
buffer yourself with organic plant nutrition and protect your vision. You will find the
super antioxidant nutrition in a handy and healthy snack – Goji Berries. You‘ll want the
wild crafted berry from the Tibet Authority is the finest grade you can buy. Call
Apothecary Herbs for 8 oz. dried Goji Berries just $15.50. Their Body Foundation Food
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nutrients your eyes require plus a fast way to restore circulation and balance eye
pressure. Call for your free product catalog 866-229-3663, International 704-875-8010
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learn more about herbs with Herbalist Wendy Wilson (more information on show times
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products shortens recovery time without antibiotics. Money back guarantee. Call
Apothecary Herbs 866-229-3663 or http://www.thepowerherbs.com.
ADVERTIZE YOUR BUSINESS ON NATIONAL RADIO
Take advantage of the spring discount for radio ads ($299/ mo.) on Wendy‘s show
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THE POWER HERBS e-BOOK. By popular demand The Power Herbs e-book is
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to make your own herbal tinctures plus a whole lot more. Go to
http://www.thepowerherbs.com and click on The Power Herb book cover on the right
side of the home page to order. You must have email to order and receive the e-book
download version of The Power Herb book for just $14.99. At this time, we do not offer
this title in hard copy.
RARE ORGANIC GOJI BERRIES – A small percentage of wild crafted organic Goji
Berries full of antioxidants are available form Tibet and Apothecary Herbs has them.
Great for snacks, cereal or salads. Call now and get 8 oz. for just $15.50. Apothecary
Herbs 866-229-3663, International 704-875-8010 http://www.thepowerherbs.com.
30
POWER HERB KIT – contains 13 concentrated herbal liquids for numerous uses and
is a good starter kit and comes in a portable carry case. Call Apothecary Herbs toll free
866-229-3663, International 704-875-8010 or http://www.thepowerherbs.com.
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your pet from kennel cough and other infections with organic Kennel Cough Kit by
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Portuguese Sea Salt® - imported from the traditional salterns (a 2000-year tradition)
along the coast of Algarve, Portugal. Salt crystals are harvested by hand and sun-
dried. This is a true artisan sea salt providing richness as well as a smooth and elegant
flavor to food. 1/2 pound ground unrefined Portuguese Sea Salt® just $8.50 at
Apothecary Herbs 866-229-3663, International 704-875-8010
http://www.thepowerherbs.com.
#10 CANS SURVIVAL FOOD – call Freeze Dry Guy 866-404-3663 or
www.freezedryguy.com.
US – LETTERS & LINKS
From a Fellow Subscriber: [What they are doing unbeknownst to most
professionals is they are stuffing bad commercial real estate into the SBA and USDA
programs, which have nothing to do with real estate. This is going to solve nothing.
Instead of the lenders taking the losses the losses are being transferred to the US
taxpayer so that the large lenders can stay in business. Another scam just like TARP.
Hi Bob:
I love your forecaster.. here is a little tidbit which might tie into what your
hearing from your other ‗patriot‘ banker friends. (yes, there are white hat
bankers)
Of interest today… OTS (office of Thrift Supervision) is basically going through
many of the regional banks making them ‗downgrade‘ all real estate assets to a
―C‘ level asset…. (as it relates to reserves and credit ratings).
This requires the bank to further reserve additional capital.. and lend less.
This seems to be a NEW push by the Obama administration via OTS to further
curtail ‗conventional‘ lending and push the loans into govt. SBA or USDA
programs.
Same goes for Fanny and Freddie … but I don‘t know the ‗govt.‘ game plan on
that will shape out given its residential.. and I don‘t do stuff like that… this is the
commercial side of lending.
The second wave is definitely coming….. I just saw the wave in my meeting
this afternoon with Credit Administration.
All the Best. Prepare for the worst.
31
From a Fellow Subscriber:
Letter to Kitco:
I AM SORRY..BUT I NEED TO WRITE TO YOU TO ASK….WHY IS JON NADLER
STILL FORECASTING FOR YOU GUYS..IS HE A RELATIVE OF THE OWNER…OR
IS HE ALLOWED 300 STRIKES BEFORE HE IS CALLED OUT..I MEAN HERE YOU
ARE ..A SUPPOSED GOLD PROPONENT COMPANY..AND YOU HAVE A
DRIBBLING FOOL IN CHARGE OF YOUR COMMENTARY…I KNOW IF THIS GUY
WAS WORKING IN MY COMPANY…HE WOULD HAVE RECEIVED A PINK SLIP
AFTER HE WAS WRONG FOR 2 STRAIGHT YEARS…..NOW IT IS HOW MANY
YEARS AND COUNTING…..AT WHAT POINT DO YOU SAY TO
YOURSELVES…HEY THIS GUY IS A MORON..WE NEED TO STOP HAVING HIM
BE THE FACE OF OUR COMPANY….UNLESS OF COURSE KITCO IS A FRONT
FOR THE WALL STREET BANKERS….PLEASE TELL ME IT AINT SO…..
Criminal Investigation of BP Staged Oil Spill Vital [this is one of the most important
links you will ever view]
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gNW0lkjTxAQ&feature=player_embedded
Gulf Spill: Disaster? Or a Well Organized Plan
http://theintelhub.com/2010/06/18/gulf-spill-disaster-or-a-well-organized-plan/
Obama Administration Knew About Deepwater Horizon 35,000 Feet Well Bore
http://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Obama-Administration-Knew-About-
Deepwater-Horizon-35000-Feet-Well-Bore.html
UFO Hunters Thomas Costello case
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tw2kYG76Fjs&feature=email%20flai
Total Destruction of Western World
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5I196e-Nnc0&feature=related
BP: Gulf of Mexico is beyond a false flag.... [This is one of the most important links you
will ever read]
http://disc.yourwebapps.com/discussion.cgi?disc=149495;article=130855
High Court Injustice - by Stephen Lendman
http://sjlendman.blogspot.com/2010/06/high-court-injustice.html
Stanley Sporkin: BP's Ombudsman Fixer - by Stephen Lendman
http://sjlendman.blogspot.com/2010/06/stanley-sporkin-bps-ombudsman-fixer.html
Madoff funnelled $10bn to friends before caught
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/city-beat/madoff-funnelled-10bn-to-friends-
before-caught/story-fn4xq4zx-1225882598787
The Police State‘s 'Cardinal Rule': The Mundane Must Submit
http://www.lewrockwell.com/grigg/grigg-w153.html
A Brilliant Exposition on the Effectiveness of Nullification
http://www.lewrockwell.com/eddlem/eddlem41.1.html
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House, Senate leaders finalize details of sweeping financial overhaul
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-
dyn/content/article/2010/06/25/AR2010062500675.html?hpid=topnews
Free Sholom Rubashkin!
http://www.lewrockwell.com/anderson/anderson290.html
Too Much Government in the Gulf
http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2538809/posts
Representative Grayson: 85% of Congress funding endless US wars during US
economic crisis
http://www.examiner.com/x-18425-LA-County-Nonpartisan-Examiner~y2010m6d23
Revisiting the Pat Tillman Story, and McChrystal‘s Role
http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/06/23/revisiting-the-pat-tillman-story-and-
mcchrystals-role/?emc=eta1
Jon Krakauer: McChrystal's Explanation For Pat Tillman Cover-up Is "Preposterous"
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/11/01/jon-krakauer-
mcchrystals_n_341545.html?ref=email_share
Mossad assassination attempt on Erdogan
http://translate.google.com/translate?hl=en&langpair=ar%7Cen&u=http://islammemo.c
c/akhbar/arab/2010/06/23/102441.html&rurl=translate.google.com
The Meaning of "Austerity"
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jUmQbf1AyA8&feature=player_embedded
Too Much Government in the Gulf
http://www.lewrockwell.com/paul/paul677.html
Israel funded "terroriost" groups through BCCI
http://truthrocker.livejournal.com/384584.html
Nat Hentoff: Philadelphia man indicted for using right to free speech
https://readingeagle.com/article.aspx?id=228336
Louisiana Police Pull Over Activist at Behest of BP
http://motherjones.com/rights-stuff/2010/06/BP-louisiana-police-stop-activist
Nebraska town bars illegal immigrants from jobs and renting property
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/jun/22/immigration-nebraska-vote-banish-
illegals
Mexican Gangs Maintain Permanent Lookout Bases in Hills of Arizona
http://www.foxnews.com/us/2010/06/22/mexican-gangs-permanent-lookouts-parkland/
OIL-GATE PLOT DEEPENS IN WHITE HOUSE
http://xelanbonn.com/2742/oil-gate-plot-deepens-in-white-house/
33
Abolish unfair tax break for investment managers
http://www.boston.com/bostonglobe/editorial_opinion/editorials/articles/2010/06/24/abo
lish_unfair_tax_break_for_investment_managers/
Could the Right to Rent Stop the Foreclosure Hurricane?
http://www.commondreams.org/headline/2010/06/24-0
Is Al Gore a ―Crazed Sex Poodle?‖
http://www.infowars.com/is-al-gore-a-crazed-sex-poodle/
Israel's sex trade booming
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3062297,00.html
Investors Fly Into Municipal Bonds Like Moths to a Flame
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2010/06/investors-fly-into-municipal-
bonds-like.html
Reports: IAF Landed at Saudi Base, US Troops near Iran Border
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/138231
CIA gives Blackwater firm new $100 million contract
Keiser Report №54: Markets! Finance! Scandal!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1wHHhmj7yXU
FDIC fund's woes deepen
http://wallstreet.blogs.fortune.cnn.com/2010/06/23/fdic-funds-woes-deepen/
High court sides with ex-Enron CEO Skilling
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-
dyn/content/article/2010/06/24/AR2010062402720.html?hpid=topnews
Border Drones? Homeland Security To Use Unmanned Surveillance Aircraft Over U.S.
Border
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/06/24/border-drones-homeland-
se_n_623713.html?ref=email_share
The Coming U.S. Real Estate Crash
http://www.blacklistednews.com/news-9415-0-13-13--.html
Occupied Palestine: Good News and Bad - by Stephen Lendman
http://sjlendman.blogspot.com/2010/06/occupied-palestine-good-news-and-bad.html
Mass. wins $102m in subprime loan case
34
http://www.boston.com/news/local/massachusetts/articles/2010/06/25/mass_wins_102
m_in_subprime_loan_case/
NJ Gov Christie Puts A Liberal Reporter In His Place!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CFqUg1IMrAA&NR=1
Coburn, DeMint Discuss Secret Bills Passed in Senate
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-KNp4F9ttvY&feature=channel
Ben Bernanke needs fresh monetary blitz as US recover
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/7852945/Ben-Bernanke-needs-fresh-
monetary-blitz-as-US-recovery-falters.html
Tehran declares State of Alert on its Western Border: Iran-US-Israel Drama goes into
Act II
http://globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=19908
The Mafia, orgies with Marilyn and the English link to JFK's assassination
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1289077/The-Mafia-orgies-Marilyn-English-
link-JFKs-assassination.html?ito=feeds-newsxml#ixzz0rvoygQPJ
The US housing horror story is about to get even worse
http://www.moneyweek.com/investments/property/money-morning-us-property-crash-
02516.aspx?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Money%2
BMorning
America's Ticking Debt Bomb: Like Greece, Only Worse - Michael Pento
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wQ0Cwigt950
Congressman Rohrabacher: Almost All House Republicans Think Iraq War Illegal,
Immoral
http://www.prisonplanet.com/congressman-rohrabacher-almost-all-house-republicans-
think-iraq-war-illegal-immoral.html
Reduced overtime stymies Border Patrol
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2010/jun/23/reduced-overtime-stymies-border-
patrol/
Deutsche Bank: U.S. Financial Conditions Just Collapsed Back To Crisis Levels
http://www.prisonplanet.com/deutsche-bank-u-s-financial-conditions-just-collapsed-
back-to-crisis-levels.html
Punishing Turkey
http://original.antiwar.com/giraldi/2010/06/23/punishing-turkey/
From a Fellow subscriber:
Jay Leno...
35
The economy is so bad that ...
Just a little something to make you laugh
The economy is so bad that . . .
I got a pre-declined credit card in the mail.
African television stations are now showing ' Sponsor an American Child' commercials!
I ordered a burger at McDonald' s and the kid behind the counter asked, "Can you
afford fries with that?"
CEO' s are now playing miniature golf.
Exxon-Mobil laid off 25 Congressmen.
My ATM gave me an IOU!
A stripper was killed when her audience showered her with rolls of pennies while she
danced.
I saw a Mormon polygamist with only one wife.
I bought a toaster oven and my free gift with purchase was a bank.
If the bank returns your check marked "Insufficient Funds," you call them and ask if
they meant you or them.
McDonald' s is selling the 1/4 ouncer.
Angelina Jolie adopted a child from America.
Parents in Beverly Hills fired their nannies and learned their children's names.
My cousin had an exorcism but couldn' t afford to pay for it, and they re-possessed
her!
A truckload of Americans was caught sneaking into Mexico.
Motel Six won' t leave the light on anymore.
A picture is now only worth 200 words.
They renamed Wall Street " Wal-Mart Street."
When Bill and Hillary travel together, they now have to share a room.
The Treasure Island casino in Las Vegas is now managed by Somali pirates.
Congress says they are looking into this Bernard Madoff scandal. Oh Great!! The guy
who made $50 Billion disappear is being investigated by the people who made $1.5
Trillion disappear!
And, finally...
I was so depressed last night thinking about the economy, wars, jobs, my savings,
Social Security, retirement funds, etc., I called the Suicide Hotline. I got a call center in
Pakistan, and when I told them I was suicidal, they got all excited, and asked if I could
drive a truck...
By Dylan Ratigan
They Keep Stealing - Why Keep Paying?
The dire straits of the middle class of America has made it near impossible for our
politicians to keep up the pretense that our current government truly works for the
"people." Between the multiple overt and secretive bailouts, the massive bonuses and
the circular use of our tax money to lobby for these continued handouts, you can no
longer hide from the evidence.
When Senator Durbin said "The banks... frankly own this place," you realize it was not
in jest.
Couple this with recent protections handed by the Supreme Court to corporations to
directly influence elections and it can make things seem hopeless for those not on Wall
36
Street or their chosen politicians. Favored CEOs and now even foreign countries get
all the printed money they need, leaving us paying both our bills and theirs.
And now nearly a quarter of all Americans are currently underwater in their mortgage
because of that steadfast honor.
If you are one of them, chances are you didn't do anything wrong. Almost all of you
were not subprime borrowers or speculators, but merely people buying a house that
they thought they could afford at the time. You were just unlucky in that you bought a
house during a time when an outdated Wall Street and their complicit politicians
decided to use housing to regain the income they lost due to the Schwabs and Etrades
of the internet age.
You didn't cause this mess. They did.
Now you are struggling to make the same payments on this mortgage on your now
overpriced home even in light of a crashing economy and massive deflation, all while
the government does everything in its power to help Wall St. keep the bonuses
coming.
Well, it is becoming time to take matters into your own hands... I suggest that you call
your lender and tell them if they don't lower you mortgage by at least 20%, you are
walking away. And if they don't agree, you need to consider walking away.
It probably doesn't feel right to you.
That is because you probably are a good person. But your mortgage is a business
deal, and it is not immoral to walk away from a business deal unless you went in to the
deal with the intention of defaulting.
But somehow, even though the corporations are pumped to exercise their new rights,
former bankers like Henry Paulson, current ones like Jamie Dimon and -- get this --
now even Fannie Mae execs want to keep you from exercising your rights.
But before you let them (or anyone commenting below) force you into paying that
$500k mortgage on a $300k house, ask them if they'll push Jerry Speyer into
"honoring his obligation" by breaking into his $2 billion personal piggy-bank to keep
paying for Stuyvesant Town?
Or how about asking Hank and Jamie to lecture fellow bailed-out CEO John Mack
about how "you're supposed to meet your obligations, not run from them"? Maybe
make him use some of his $50+ million for those buildings he bought in San
Francisco?
And before shaming and punishing American homeowners, did they nag Steve
Feinberg about helping "teach the American people...not to run away" by writing a
check out of his billion-dollar pocket to cover all the stiffed landlords and vendors at
Mervyn's? After all, at least you aren't single-handedly putting 1,100 employees out of
work when you walk on your mortgage.
As part of the deal for your house, your mortgage holder gets interest payments from
you and they also use the note to your house for their capital reserves. In return, they
37
take the risk of a foreclosure. In many states, you paid extra to have a non-recourse
loan where the lender just gets the house back if you stop paying -- your interest rate
would've been much lower if you were held personally liable like a student loan. But if
you still feel bad, then donate the money saved to charity instead of to their bonuses.
And when someone tries telling you why it is so wrong, here are some answers:
- Yes, it might seem selfish, but you are actually going to help fix our country the right
way, through the use of pure capitalism. There are 3 parties involved in your mortgage
-- the mortgage holders, the servicing bank and you. You probably want to stay in your
house. Most of the people who actually own your mortgage also want you to stay in
your house, preferring a mortgage reduction that you keep paying instead of the total
loss of a foreclosure. But the major banks (BofA, Wells Fargo, JP Morgan, Citi, etc.)
that underwrite and service the loans don't care about either of you. They (with the aid
of their government) just care about hiding their true financial condition for long as
possible so they can continue to bonus themselves outrageously. The credible threat
of you walking away from your mortgage en masse is the only market-based solution
that will force these banks to work with the mortgage holders on your behalf.
- No, you will not "hurt" your neighbors -- certainly not near the scale of the banksters.
Chances are someone just as nice will will move in and (unlike you) pay a fair, non-
inflated price for the house. Encourage your neighbors to fight back against the banks
and ask for their own mortgage reductions as well.
- Yes, it might make getting a loan harder for everyone. Considering the spate 0%
down NINJA loans over the past decade, that probably isn't a bad thing.
- Yes, it might hurt your credit. But with time, people bounce back from having
foreclosures on their record. Search online and then talk to a lawyer about the
repercussions, which vary by state.
- No, the banks won't necessarily pass the losses on to customers. They already make
a lot of money. If costs are passed on to every consumer without banks competing on
price, that's a sign of illegal collusion or a monopoly. Let's fix that instead of just letting
banks ruin our lives. They might, however, not all make $145 billion in bonuses next
year doing something fundamentally so easy that it is an unpaid job in Monopoly.
Meanwhile, our captured government has made it clear that they want to further
reward these banksters because there are clearly better ways to "save" the economy
without rewarding those most responsible for the damage.
Instead of claw backs for the past theft and strong financial reform for the future, they
choose to cover-up the gross misuse of our tax money, making our country worse by
helping the criminals on the backs of the most honest.
But thankfully, in this country we still have the tools to fight back and regain our
country. Our vote, our voice, our laws and what we choose to do with every penny we
have that doesn't go to taxes are the benefits of our hard-fought freedom, and in this
battle we must use them all to fight back. It's time for the citizens to once again own
this place.
GOLD – LINKS
38
A LOOK AT GIBSON'S PARADOX AND GOLD
http://richterreport.com/content.php?id=328&menu_id=15&menu_item_id=0
Architecture for a New World Financial System
http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1277238707.php
In which phase of the gold bull market are we?
http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/view/mineweb/en/page103855?oid=106818&sn=D
etail&pid=92730
World's biggest gold coin fetches over 3 million euros
http://uk.news.yahoo.com/22/20100625/ten-uk-austria-gold-coin-5fdf947.html
Now China sources newly mined gold from the USA
http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/view/mineweb/en/page33?oid=106850&sn=Detail&
pid=33
CANADA – LINKS
Gordon Campbell slams CSIS director over foreign-infiltration allegations
http://www.globaltvbc.com/world/Premier+slams+CSIS+over+foreign+infiltration+alleg
ations/3191469/story.html
Gordon Campbell no longer a recall target: Vander Zalm
http://www.globaltvbc.com/Gordon+Campbell+longer+recall+target/3191355/story.html
EUROPE – LETTERS & LINKS
From a Fellow Subscriber: [We saw the bill, and that is what it says. We don‘t know
why this has been stamped on the bill, but we do know that for years Germans have
refused to accept euros printed in other countries. They would only accept bills printed
in Germany. This may be an extension of that effort.]
Hello Bob,
I can't believe my eyes! I just went to the bank to pick up some funds and on
the 50€ Currencies there was a stamp on it on the back side written in dark
letters
"CHANGE" and then the Letter D for Germany!!!
Regards,
GORDON DUFF: ISRAELI AMBASSADOR ADMITS ROGUE OPERATIONS, SPYING
AND WORSE
http://www.veteranstoday.com/2010/06/22/gordon-duff-israeli-ambassador-admits-
rogue-operations-spying-and-worse/
French go on strike over plan to raise retirement age
http://www.boston.com/news/world/europe/articles/2010/06/25/french_go_on_strike_o
ver_plan_to_raise_retirement_age/
ENGLAND – LINKS
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Britain becomes latest to slash budget, freeze salaries
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-
dyn/content/article/2010/06/22/AR2010062202306.html?wpisrc=nl_cuzhead
Budget 2010: From shop floor to trading floor: the effect of VAT rise
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/budget/7850167/Budget-2010-From-
shop-floor-to-trading-floor-the-effect-of-VAT-rise.html
ASIA – LINKS
Asian millionaires' wealth rises by a third
http://www.theage.com.au/business/asian-millionaires-wealth-rises-by-a-third-
20100623-yxy2.html
CHINA
China's chief auditor warns mounting local government debt a risk to economy
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/china-business/7851504/Chinas-chief-auditor-
warns-mounting-local-government-debt-a-risk-to-economy.html
AUSTRALIA – LINKS
Sonray Capital Markets collapse freezes accounts of 3000 clients
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/industry-sectors/broker-collapse-freezes-
accounts-of-3000-clients/story-e6frg96f-1225883309728
Julia Gillard talks to Barack Obama ahead of first cabinet meeting
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/politics/julia-gillard-talks-to-barack-obama-ahead-of-
first-cabinet-meeting/story-e6frgczf-1225884171679
HEALTH – LINKS
Genetically Modified Crops and the Contamination of America's Food Chain
US Supreme Court Lifts Partial Ban on Monsanto's GM Alfalfa
http://globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=19860
Dr. Robert Beck‘s cure for AIDS and other infectious diseases:
http://cancertutor.com/AIDS/Bob-Beck.htm
NEXT ISSUE
Wednesday 6/30/10
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