FINAL_Florida_GOP_Marginals_Jan_30_2012 by CelesteKatz

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									Suffolk University/7NEWS             Likely GOP Primary Voters                       January 28 - 29

Florida Republicans

 AREA
          N=                                                                      500 100%
          South ..........................................   1                    112 22%
          North ..........................................   2                    109 22%
          West ...........................................   3                    149 30%
          East ...........................................   4                    130 26%


 INT00
 Hello, my name is $I and I am conducting a survey for 7NEWS/Suffolk University
 and I would like to get your opinions on some political questions.

 Would you be willing to spend five minutes answering some questions?
          N=                                                                      500 100%
          Continue ....................................... 00                     500 100%

 GENDR
 RECORD GENDER
          N=                                                                      500 100%
          Male ...........................................   1                    250 50%
          Female .........................................   2                    250 50%



 S2. How likely are you to vote in the Republican Presidential Primary on
 Tuesday?
          N=                                                                      500 100%
          Already voted .................................. 1                      162 32%
          Very likely .................................... 2                      338 68%
          Somewhat likely ................................ 3                        0   0%
          50-50 .......................................... 4                        0   0%
          Not very likely ................................ 5                        0   0%
          Not at all likely .............................. 6                        0   0%
          Und/Refused .................................... 7                        0   0%



 S3. Are you currently registered as a Democrat, Republican, Unenrolled/
 Independent, something else or are you not registered to vote?
          N=                                                                      500 100%
          Democrat ....................................... 1                        0   0%
          Republican ..................................... 2                      500 100%
          Unenrolled/Ind ................................. 3                        0   0%
          Other .......................................... 4                        0   0%
          Not registered ................................. 5                        0   0%



 S4. What is your age category?
          N=                                                                      500 100%
          18-34 YRS ......................................   1                     43   9%
          35-44 YRS ......................................   3                     57 11%
          45-54 YRS ......................................   4                    113 23%
          55-64 YRS ......................................   5                     97 19%
          65-74 YRS ......................................   6                     86 17%
          75+ YRS ........................................   7                     93 19%
          Refused ........................................   8                     11   2%



 S5. For statistical purposes only, can you please tell me what your ethnic
 background / ancestry is?
          N=                                                                      500 100%
          White/Caucasian ................................ 1                      446 89%
          Black/African-American ......................... 2                        4   1%
          American Indian/Alaska Native .................. 3                        5   1%
          Asian .......................................... 4                        0   0%
          Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific Islander ......... 5                        0   0%
          Hispanic/Latino ................................ 6                       43   9%
          Other .......................................... 7                        2   0%
          Don't know(DO NOT READ) ........................ 8                        0   0%




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Suffolk University/7NEWS            Likely GOP Primary Voters                         January 28 - 29

PRE6
There will be nine Republican candidates listed on the Florida ballot.
However, there is a much smaller group that has participate in the televised
debates.
         N=                                                                        500 100%
         Continue ....................................... 1                        500 100%



Q6. If the Republican Primary for President of the United States were held
today and the candidates were {alphabetical} Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt
Romney, or Rick Santorum for whom will you vote or toward whom would/did you
LEAN at this time - Gingrich, Paul, Romney, or Santorum?
         N=                                                                        500 100%
         Newt Gingrich .................................. 1                        135 27%
         Ron Paul ....................................... 2                         43   9%
         Mitt Romney .................................... 3                        236 47%
         Rick Santorum .................................. 4                         61 12%
         Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 5                         25   5%



Q7. How important were the debates in your decision - very   important, somewhat
important, not very important, or not at all important?
         N=                                                                        475 100%
         Very important .................................    1                     152 32%
         Somewhat important .............................    2                     191 40%
         Not very important .............................    3                      68 14%
         Not at all important ...........................    4                      57 12%
         Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................    5                       7   1%



Q8. Of the 4 candidates, who do you feel would do the best   job of immigration
reform - Gingrich, Paul, Romney, or Santorum?
         N=                                                                        500 100%
         Newt Gingrich ..................................    1                     127 25%
         Ron Paul .......................................    2                      32   6%
         Mitt Romney ....................................    3                     174 35%
         Rick Santorum ..................................    4                      50 10%
         Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................    5                     117 23%



Q9. Of the 4 candidates, who do you think can best fix the   economy - Gingrich,
Paul, Romney, or Santorum?
         N=                                                                        500 100%
         Newt Gingrich ..................................    1                     116 23%
         Ron Paul .......................................    2                      30   6%
         Mitt Romney ....................................    3                     248 50%
         Rick Santorum ..................................    4                      42   8%
         Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................    5                      64 13%



Q10. Of the 4 candidates, who ran the most negative campaign - Gingrich, Paul,
Romney, or Santorum?
         N=                                                                        500 100%
         Newt Gingrich .................................. 1                        187 37%
         Ron Paul ....................................... 2                         17   3%
         Mitt Romney .................................... 3                        157 31%
         Rick Santorum .................................. 4                          7   1%
         Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 5                        132 26%




Q11. Of the 4 candidates, who ran the best campaign - Gingrich, Paul, Romney,
or Santorum?
         N=                                                                        500 100%
         Newt Gingrich .................................. 1                         74 15%
         Ron Paul ....................................... 2                         39   8%
         Mitt Romney .................................... 3                        176 35%
         Rick Santorum .................................. 4                         95 19%
         Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 5                        116 23%




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Suffolk University/7NEWS            Likely GOP Primary Voters                      January 28 - 29


Q12. Are you satisfied with the Republican candidates running for the
nomination?
         N=                                                                     500 100%
         Yes ............................................ 1                     275 55%
         No ............................................. 2                     194 39%
         Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 3                      31   6%



Q13. Would you like to see a new Republican candidate enter the race?
         N=                                                                     500 100%
         Yes ............................................ 1                     199 40%
         No ............................................. 2                     272 54%
         Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 3                      29   6%



Q14. Regardless of whom you are personally supporting, who do you think the
next president will be - Barack Obama, Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney,
or Rick Santorum?
         N=                                                                     500 100%
         Barack Obama ................................... 1                     105 21%
         Newt Gingrich .................................. 2                      75 15%
         Ron Paul ....................................... 3                       5   1%
         Mitt Romney .................................... 4                     225 45%
         Rick Santorum .................................. 5                       9   2%
         Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 6                      81 16%


DEMO
THE FINAL TWO QUESTIONS WILL HELP US CLASSIFY YOUR ANSWERS WITH OTHERS TAKING
THE SURVEY
         N=                                                                     500 100%
         Continue ....................................... 1                     500 100%



Q15. Are your values similar to the values of the Tea Party?
         N=                                                                     500 100%
         Yes ............................................ 1                     311 62%
         No ............................................. 2                     137 27%
         Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................ 3                      52 10%



Q16. Would you describe yourself as conservative, moderate   or liberal?
         N=                                                                     500 100%
         Conservative ...................................    1                  354 71%
         Moderate .......................................    2                  130 26%
         Liberal ........................................    3                    9   2%
         Undecided (DO NOT READ) ........................    4                    7   1%




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