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Silgan Holdings

(NASDAQGS: SLGN)





Victor Murthi

Vignesh Murali

Wei Yan





Date Presented: April 27 2010

Screening Process

Energy Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc. (DO)

Materials Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN)

Industrials General Cable Corp. (BGC)

Consumer Discretionary McDonalds (MCD)

Consumer Staples Walgreens (WAG)

Health Care

Financials

Information Technology Jack Henry Associate (JKHY), MEMC Electronic Materials Inc. (WFR)

Telecommunication Services

Utilities





Screening Criteria

1) Industry Classifications: Materials (Primary)

2) Geographic Locations: United States of America (Primary)

3) Market Capitalization [Latest] ($USDmm, Historical rate): is greater than 500

4) TEV/LTM Total Revenues [Latest]: Rank is Less than 26 Relative to Screen Results as of Criterion 3

5) P/LTM Normalized EPS [Latest]: Rank is Less than 26 Relative to Screen Results as of Criterion 4

6) Total Revenues, 5 Yr CAGR % [LTM]: Rank is Less than 26 Relative to Screen Results as of Criterion 5

7) Net Income, 5 Yr CAGR % [LTM]: Rank is Less than 26 Relative to Screen Results as of Criterion 6

8) EBIT Margin % [LTM]: Rank is Less than 6 Relative to Screen Results as of Criterion 7

Presenting – Silgan Holdings Inc.

(NASDAQ: SLGN)

• 23 year old company headquartered in

Stamford, CT. Market Cap $ 2.3 Billion



• One of the top manufacturers and sellers of

metal and plastic consumer goods

packaging products. 2009 revenues :

approx. $ 3 billion



• 3 business segments

Link

▫ Metal and Aluminum Food Containers

(63%) ( largest in US)

▫ Closures ( Lids and Caps ) (20%)

▫ Plastic Containers (17%)





Business OneSource

Industry

• Containers and Packaging Industry

(NAICS: 332431)



• Non-cyclical industry due to

diverse use for products



• Expected to grow 1-2% each year

until 2013 (Datamonitor)

▫ Plastic packaging expected to

grow 3-5%



• Low barriers to entry, buyer is

medium high and yet substitute

products are low





Global Metal, Glass & Plastic Packaging Report. Rep. no. 01992105. Datamonitor, Mar. 2010. Web. 21 Apr. 2010.



Industry Trends

▫ Highly competitive despite slow

growth



▫ Rising costs: High price of raw

materials and production

reducing margins



▫ Niche markets: Customized

packaging for diverse clientele

 Medical goods packaging

expected to grow 5% each

year(Datamonitor)







Global Metal, Glass & Plastic Packaging Report. Rep. no. 01992105. Datamonitor, Mar. 2010. Web. 21 Apr. 2010.



SWOT

Strengths Weaknesses

1. Strong market presence 1. High leverage



2. Good established 2. Declining operating

customer base ( Coke, margins

Campbell soup)

3. Declining market share

Opportunities Threats

1. Strategic Acquisitions 1. Slowdown in US

economy

2. Growing opportunities

in the packaging 2. Higher Competition

industry

3. Environmental Costs

3. Niche markets

Macroeconomic Factors

• Prices of raw materials

Increase in demand for biodegradable plastic as well as

aluminum/ copper have driven up prices and pressured

margins



• Derived Demand

Demand depends on demand for other products such as food

and beverages, medical supplies and chemicals. Demand for

these products are projected to increase in the near-term

future



• Emerging Markets

As industrial activity in developing economies picks up, so

does demand for goods to store and transport raw materials

and finished goods.

Competitor Analysis

Company Name Market Total Revenue Total

Capitalization Debt/Capital %

Bemis Co. Inc.

(NYSE:BMS) 3,280.2 3,514.6 40.5

Greif, Inc.

(NYSE:GEF) 2,608.0 2,835.6 47.2

Sonoco Products Co.

(NYSE:SON) 3,185.2 3,597.3 29.6

Temple-Inland Inc.

(NYSE:TIN) 2,328.0 3,577.0 50.3

Silgan Holdings Inc.

(NASDAQ: SLGN) 2,421.6 3,066.8 54.3

Competitor Analysis

Greif, Inc:



• A global producer of industrial packaging products.



• The Company operates in three business segment: Industrial

Packaging; Paper Packing: and Land Management.



• In July 2009, the company completed the acquisition of Ennis

Containers, Inc.

Competitor Analysis

Sonoco Products Company, Inc:



Provides industrial and consumer packaging products, and

packaging services in North and South America, Europe,

Australia, and Asia.



The Company operates in four segments: Consumer

Packaging, Tubes and Cores/Paper, Packaging Services

Competitor Analysis

Bemis Company, Inc:



• Manufactures and sells flexible packaging products and

pressure sensitive materials in the United States, Canada,

Mexico, South America, Europe, and Asia.



• The company operates in two segments, Flexible Packaging

and Pressure Sensitive Materials.

Competitor Analysis

Temple-Inland, Inc:

• Manufactures and sells corrugated packaging and building

products primarily in the United States and Mexico.



• The Corrugated Packaging segment serves customers

operating in the food, beverage, paper, glass containers,

chemical, appliance, and plastics industries.



• Temple-Inland’s Building Products segment offers various

products, including lumber, gypsum wallboard, particleboard,

medium density fiberboard, and fiberboard.

Ratio analysis

Profitability Leverage Efficienc

y

Gross Net Total EBIT / Total

Company

Margin Income ROE % ROA % Debt/Capi Interest Asset

Name

% Margin % tal % Exp. Turnover

Bemis Co. Inc.

19.9 4.2 9.3 5.6 40.5 7.3 0.9

Greif, Inc.

20.7 5.6 15.2 6.9 47.2 5.4 1.0

Sonoco

Products Co. 18.5 4.2 12.0 5.7 29.6 6.8 1.3

Temple-

Inland Inc. 13.6 5.8 27.8 4.4 50.3 4.5 0.6

Peer Average

18.2 5.0 16.1 5.7 41.9 6.0 1.0

Silgan

Holdings Inc. 15.0 5.2 26.3 8.6 54.3 6.0 1.3

Ratio analysis

Growth Liquidity



Net Income, Total Avg. Cash

Company Quick Ratio Current

1 Yr Growth Revenues, 1 Conversion

Name FQ Ratio FQ

% Yr Growth % Cycle

Bemis Co.

Inc. (11.4) (7.0) 2.9 3.8 48.8

Greif, Inc.

(6.9) (21.5) 0.9 1.8 39.0

Sonoco

Products Co. (8.0) (12.7) 0.8 1.2 32.3

Temple-

(7.0)

Inland Inc. (7.9) 1.0 2.1 73.7

Peer

(8.32)

Average (12.3) 1.4 2.2 48.5

Silgan

Holdings

27.5 (1.7) 1.2 2.2 68.0

Inc.

Relative Valuation



P/Sales TEV/EBITDA TEV/EBIT Trailing P/E Trailing P/B







Min 52.22 35.34 36.01 47.61 32.42

Mean 63.46 49.30 49.34 63.48 63.23



Max 75.51 72.57 70.51 91.04 52.49









Price Range : $32.42 – $91.04

DuPont Analysis

DuPont ROE Financial leverage Asset turnover

0.4

6 1.8

0.35 1.6

0.3 5

1.4

0.25 4 1.2

0.2 1

3

0.15 0.8

0.1 2 0.6

0.4

0.05 1

0.2

0

0 0

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009





Operating margin Interest burden Tax burden

0.1 0.86 0.68

0.84

0.095 0.66

0.82

0.8 0.64

0.09

0.78 0.62

0.085 0.76

0.74 0.6

0.08 0.72 0.58

0.075 0.7

0.56

0.68

0.07 0.66 0.54

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

DCF Valuation - Revenue



• Metal Food container

▫ “Cash cow”, growing at 5-year CAGR of 3.5%

▫ Count for 66% of revenue, organic growth is mature but it

able to past on raw material cost to customers

▫ Projected to grow at 5-year CAGR of 3.5%



• Closure

▫ Grow through acquisition, with CAGR of 17.18%

▫ Organic grow is around 12%, projected to be decreasing to

8% over 5 years period.



• Plastic container

▫ Organic growth is around 5 – 6%. Projected to be stable in

6% range.

DCF Valuation – Income Statements

• Cost of goods sold

▫ Around 87% in the past but decrease to 85% due to increase in

“manufacturing efficiency”, projected to fluctuate from 85% to 86%



• SG&A

▫ Around 4.5% in the past but increase to 5.25% due to currency

translation impact, projected to be around 5%



• Interest expense

▫ Interest coverage ratio is 4.23 in 2005 but increase to 6 in 2009 due to

higher leverage for acquisition. Projected to increase from 6 due to debt

repayment



• Income tax expense

▫ Income tax is projected around 35%

DCF Valuation – Balance Sheets

• Account receivable

▫ Receivable turnover is around 15 – 16, projected to be

stable



• Inventory

▫ Inventory turnover is around 6 – 7, projected to be 6.7



• Net capital investment

▫ Positive number, meaning they have to spend more for

Capex in the future, projected to be -0.5% of revenue

DCF Valuation - WACC

Cost of Capital



Cost of debt Capital structure

YTM of company debt 8.00%

Risk free + premium rate 7.83% Total Value % Weight

Marginal tax rate 35.00% Net debt 813.31 24.4%

Justified cost of debt 7.92% Equity 2,520.00 75.6%

After tax cost of debt 5.14% Total 3,333.31



Cost of equity WACC 10.33%

Risk-free rate 3.83%

Market risk premium 5.00%

Raw (observed) beta 0.498

Cost of equity using beta 6.32%

Market ROE 16.11%

Justified cost of equity 12.00%

DCF Valuation - FCFF

Enterprise value 3,059.380

Less: debt 813.314

Total equity value 2,246.066

Diluted sharesouts. 38.486

Price per share $ 58.36

Market price as of 04/23/2010 $ 65.79

Margin of safety -11.29%



WACC

$ 58.36 9.5% 10.0% 10.5% 11.0% 11.5%

growth rate

Terminal









2.0% 58.87 53.67 49.08 45.01 41.37

2.5% 63.38 57.54 52.44 47.94 43.94

3.0% 68.58 61.97 56.24 51.24 46.82

3.5% 74.65 67.08 60.59 54.97 50.06

5 Year Stock Price

Management Assessment

• Founded in 1987 by current Co-Chairmen of the

Board: Phil Silver and Greg Horrigan.



• Grow through organic growth and acquisitions,

able to increase overall share of the U.S. metal

food container market from approximately 10%

in 1987 to approximately half of the market in

2009



• Communicative in explaining operating result.

Ownership Composition

Portfolio Correlation

SLGN AEO DO JKHY MCD MOS WAG WFR BGC

SLGN 1.00

AEO 0.18 1.00

DO 0.12 0.20 1.00

JKHY 0.32 0.23 0.13 1.00

MCD 0.41 0.04 0.15 0.42 1.00

MOS 0.19 0.09 0.50 0.14 0.29 1.00

WAG -0.05 0.34 0.18 0.07 0.09 0.04 1.00

WFR 0.29 0.24 0.51 0.23 0.21 0.47 0.15 1.00

BGC 0.17 0.38 0.52 0.30 0.32 0.48 0.36 0.57 1.00

Recommendation



• Stable “value” company with clean balance sheet and strong cash

flow.

• Good management experienced in both improving organic growth

and acquisition growth

• Low correlation with other holdings, stock price has been increasing

six fold in the past 5 years.

• Suggestion: watch list.



SLGN AEO DO JKHY MCD MOS WAG WFR BGC Cash

Dollar holdings value $ - $ 27,045.00 $ 4,250.00 $ 10,132.00 $ 14,206.00 $ 10,588.00 $ 178,855.00 $ 9,492.00 $ 5,804.00 $ 221,450.00

Individual weight 0.00% 5.61% 0.88% 2.10% 2.95% 2.20% 37.12% 1.97% 1.20% 45.96%

Yearly port. standard deviation 11.19% Yearly port. expected return 3.92% Sharpe ratio 0.28



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