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Presentation by the Russian Federation on Mitigation Potentials

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					                                                                       AWG-
Presentation by the Russian Federation at resumed sixth session of the AWG-KP


 Workshop on mitigation potentials, Poznan, 3 December 2008




           Presentation by the
          Russian Federation on
           Mitigation Potentials
                       Mr. Sergey Tulinov




                                                                       AWG-
Presentation by the Russian Federation at resumed sixth session of the AWG-KP


 Workshop on mitigation potentials, Poznan, 3 December 2008

    Russian Federation: statistical data
• GDP per capita (PPP) – $ 13 900
  (42% of OECD average)

• Population – 142.1 million

• Mid-annual temperature − 5.5°C
  ( Iceland is +1.2°C , Sweden is +4°C )

• Energy saving potential – 35 - 40% of current
  consumption level
                                                                            AWG-
     Presentation by the Russian Federation at resumed sixth session of the AWG-KP


             Workshop on mitigation potentials, Poznan, 3 December 2008

                                          Overall GHG emissions in Russia 1990 – 2006 (w/o LULUCF)
   3500


   3000


   2500


   2000


   1500


   1000


    500


                        0
Mln t of
         1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
CO2-eq

Source: Russia UNFCCC NIR 2008




                                                                            AWG-
     Presentation by the Russian Federation at resumed sixth session of the AWG-KP


             Workshop on mitigation potentials, Poznan, 3 December 2008


                                                       Po pulatio n we ig he d He ating De g re e Days (HDD)
                                                                       fo r G8 c o untrie s (C)

                                       60 00
                                                5272

                                       50 00
      Po pulatio n weig he d HDD (С)




                                                           4200
                                       40 00


                                       30 00                                   2750
                                                                                                          2450             2500
                                                                    2300                                           2300
                                                                                                 1950
                                       20 00                                            1600


                                       10 00


                                          0
                                               Rus s ia   Canada   Franc e   Ge rmany   Italy   Jap an   Gre at    USA    av . w/o
                                                                                                         Britain          Rus s ia

         A.Bedritsky
Sources: A.Bedritsky et al. Journal of energy studies. Russia. (in press),
         4th NC Canada
                                                                            AWG-
     Presentation by the Russian Federation at resumed sixth session of the AWG-KP


      Workshop on mitigation potentials, Poznan, 3 December 2008

                                             Po pulatio n we ig he d av e rag e dis tanc e be twe e n 10 majo r
                                                         me tro po lis e s o f G8 c o untrie s (km)
                                              2500
                                    2500



                                    2000
        Ave rag e dis tanc e (км)




                                    1500



                                    1000
                                                         680                                                                720

                                     500                                                                                                333
                                                                   220                   250         210
                                                                               150                             100
                                         0
                                             Rus s ia   Canada    France     Ge rmany    Italy      Japan     Gre at        US A      av. w/o
                                                                                                              Britain                 Rus s ia


         A.Bedritsky
Sources: A.Bedritsky et al. Journal of energy studies. Russia. (in press),
         4th NC Canada




                                                                            AWG-
     Presentation by the Russian Federation at resumed sixth session of the AWG-KP


      Workshop on mitigation potentials, Poznan, 3 December 2008

                                                  Export - Import balanc e in 2005, tons of fue l e q.

                        US A
                                    UK
        Japan
                           Italy
    Ge rmany
      France
      Canada
                                                                                                                              Na tural ga s
       Rus s ia
                                                                                                                              Oil
        China                                                                                                                 Coal
                  India

                                      300         200       100          0        -100       -200      -300          -400      -500           -600


Source: IEA 2005
                                                                           AWG-
    Presentation by the Russian Federation at resumed sixth session of the AWG-KP


         Workshop on mitigation potentials, Poznan, 3 December 2008


     Program of socio-economic development of Russia
        approved by the Government in October 2008
                   (projections for 2020)
  • Increase in energy demand (40–80% from current level)
  • Increase in coal consumption (30% - 62% from current level)
  • Reconstruction or building of new roads (55,000– 82,000 km)
  • Building of new houses (about 1 billion sq.m.)
  • Increase in cement production (88% - 170%)




                                                                           AWG-
    Presentation by the Russian Federation at resumed sixth session of the AWG-KP


         Workshop on mitigation potentials, Poznan, 3 December 2008

         130
                        En e rg y in te n s ity           Fu e l&Ene rgy co ns um ption      GDP           GHG Em is s io ns
         120                  120
                                                  117

         110
                                                           104
         100      100                                                   101
                                                                                    97                                         97
% 1990




                                                                                             92                   91
          90
                                                                                                      87
                                                                                                      85
                                                                                                                  82
          80                                                                                 80                                80
                                                                                                                               77
                               75                                                   74                74          75
                                                                        71          72       73
          70                                               70           71
                                                  68       67
                              66                                                                                               66
                              62                                                             63       64          64
                                                            61          62           62
          60                                      60
                                                  58

          50
               1990     1995            1998            2000       2001        2002       2003     2004      2005        2006
                                                                         AWG-
  Presentation by the Russian Federation at resumed sixth session of the AWG-KP


  Workshop on mitigation potentials, Poznan, 3 December 2008

            DECREE OF THE PRESIDENT OF 4 JUNE 2008,

 SETTING TARGET FOR 40% INCREASE OF ENERGY-EFFICIENCY
                   OF THE NATIONAL ECONOMY BY 2020
        ( the following regulatory acts to be adopted in 2008-2010)
• Introducing efficiency standards in energy-intensive sectors
• Strict restriction on further use of obsolete technologies
• Promoting leading role of public sector
• Labeling of power-intensive goods
• Creating incentives for businesses for efficiency improvements
• Public support for R&D in the area of energy-saving technologies




                                                                         AWG-
  Presentation by the Russian Federation at resumed sixth session of the AWG-KP


  Workshop on mitigation potentials, Poznan, 3 December 2008




             Source: Jiahua Pan, Research Centre for Sustainable Development, Beijing China
                                                                       AWG-
Presentation by the Russian Federation at resumed sixth session of the AWG-KP


Workshop on mitigation potentials, Poznan, 3 December 2008




                                                                       AWG-
Presentation by the Russian Federation at resumed sixth session of the AWG-KP


Workshop on mitigation potentials, Poznan, 3 December 2008




                    THANK YOU

				
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