Embed
Email

LBO DCF Model

Document Sample
LBO DCF Model
Description

LBO DCF Model - Leveraged Buyout Model

Shared by: M.Danial Idris
Stats
views:
32
posted:
12/31/2011
language:
pages:
40
Leveraged Buyout (LBO) Model



Input Values

*Enter values in yellow cells.



Estimated Cost of Deal: Debt Assumptions:

Curent Stock Price $6.00 $ amt Assumed Debt

Offer Premium 10.00% % Maturity Year

Offer Price Per Share 6.60 $ amt Annual Repayment

No. of Shares outstanding 100,000 nos. Coupon Rate

Equity Purchase Price $660,000 $ amt Average Interest

Optional Prepayment

Existing Debt Retired $185,000 $ amt

Assumed Debt $65,000 $ amt Bank Revolver

Expensed Transaction Costs $2,500 $ amt Coupon Rate

Capitalized Financing Costs $10,888 $ amt Revolver limit

Cash Infusion $27,500 $ amt Undrawn Commitment Fee



Total Funds Requirement $950,888 $ amt Term Loan "A"

Term Years

Annual Repayment

Sources of Funds: Coupon Rate

Excess Cash $5,000 $ amt Average Interest

Debt: Fees Optional Prepayment

Assumed Debt $65,000 $ amt

Bank Revolver $200,888 $ amt 0.75% Term Loan "B"

Term Loan "A" $80,000 $ amt 1.50% Term Years

Term Loan "B" $55,000 $ amt 1.75% Annual Repayment

Senior Notes $65,000 $ amt 2.00% Bullet Year Repayment

Subordinated Notes $40,000 $ amt 2.50% Coupon Rate

Mezzanine Debt $70,000 $ amt 2.75% Average Interest

Seller Notes $25,000 $ amt 0.00% Optional Prepayment

Preferred:

Preferred Stock $60,000 $ amt 2.00% Senior Notes

Equity: Maturity Year

Common - Sponsor Equity $220,000 $ amt Coupon Rate

Management Equity $40,000 $ amt Average Interest

New Equity $25,000 $ amt Optional Prepayment

Total $950,888 $ amt

Subordinated Notes

Maturity Year

Goodwill / Bargain Purchase: Coupon Rate

Equity Purchase Price $660,000 $ amt Average Interest

Add: Years PIK

Existing Goodwill $20,000 $ amt Optional Prepayment

Less:

Net Assets (Book Value) $464,749 $ amt Mezzanine Debt

Fixed Assets (PP&E) Write-up $2,450 $ amt Maturity Year

Identifiable Tangibles Write-up $1,200 $ amt Coupon Rate

Deferred Tax Liability - existing $1,400 $ amt Average Interest

DTL Created on Assets Write-up ($1,278) $ amt Years PIK

Goodwill/(Gain from Bargain Purchase) $211,479 $ amt Optional Prepayment



Seller Notes

Term Years

Annual Repayment

Coupon Rate

Average Interest

Years PIK

Optional Prepayment



Preferred Stock

Preferred Stock Dividend

Years PIK

Pref Stock Retired Year

http://www.globaliconnect.com/excel_models.php

To help us improve this model, please send your feedback to info@globaliconnect.com







Income/BS Assumptions:

Income Statement:

9 select no. Sales Year 1 $1,100,000 $ amt

11.11% % of FV Sales - Annual Increase 10.00% %

4.25% % annual Cost of goods sold 45.00% % of revenue

1 1=Yes 0=No Cost of goods sold - Annual Increase 0.25% %

1 1=Yes 0=No SG&A expenses 14.00% % of revenue

SG&A expenses - Annual Increase 0.50% %

Other expenses 12.00% % of revenue

4.75% % annual Other expenses - Annual Increase 0.15% %

$600,000 $ amt

1.00% % annual Balance Sheet:

Accounts receivable 18.00% % of revenue

Accounts receivable - Annual Increase 5.00% %

8 select no. Inventories 20.00% % of COGS

12.50% % of FV Inventories - Annual Increase 4.00% %

5.50% % annual Prepaids 4.50% % of revenue

1 1=Yes 0=No Prepaids - Annual Increase 2.00% %

1 1=Yes 0=No Other current assets 12.00% % of revenue

Other current assets - Annual Increase 2.50% %

Other long-term assets 4.00% % of revenue

11 select no. Other long-term assets - Annual Increase 0.50% %

4.00% % of FV

60.00% % of FV Accounts payable 15.00% % of COGS plus inventory increase

5.25% % annual Accounts payable - Annual Increase 2.00% %

1 1=Yes 0=No Accrued expenses 6.00% % of revenue

1 1=Yes 0=No Accrued expenses - Annual Increase 1.50% %

Other current liabilities 8.00% % of revenue

Other current liabilities - Annual Increase 1.00% %

9 select no. Capex 10.00% % of revenue

4.25% % annual Capex Start Year 1 in years

1 1=Yes 0=No Capex Interval 1 in years

1 1=Yes 0=No



Other Assumptions:

12 select no. Cash Minimum $50,000 $ amt

4.50% % annual On / Off 1 1=On. 0=Off.

0 1=Yes 0=No

5 enter no. Tax Rate 35.00% %

1 1=Yes 0=No Year 1 2010 year







14 select no. DCF Assumptions:

4.50% % annual Discount Rate (WACC) 7.00% %

0 1=Yes 0=No Discount Rate Range 1.0% %

5 enter no. EBITDA Terminal Value Multiple 6.0x x

1 1=Yes 0=No EBITDA Multiple Range 2.0x x

Perpetuity Growth Rate 3.00% %

Perpetuity Growth Range 0.5% %

7 select no. Net Debt $583,388 $ amt

14.29% % of FV

5.25% % annual

1 1=Yes 0=No

5 enter no.

1 1=Yes 0=No







7.00% % annual

5 enter no.

select no.

Financing Annual

Costs Amortization

Period (Yrs)

4,500 450 10

1,200 150

963 88

1,300 144

1,000 83

1,925 138

0 0

10,888 1,053

1,200

12,088

Income Statements



Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Year No. 1 2 3 4 5





Net Sales 1,100,000 1,210,000 1,331,000 1,464,100 1,610,510



Cost of goods sold 495,000 545,861 601,948 663,799 732,004



Gross Margin 605,000 664,139 729,052 800,301 878,506



Operating Expenses 286,000 315,665 348,408 384,548 424,438

SG&A expenses 154,000 170,247 188,208 208,064 230,015

Other expenses 132,000 145,418 160,200 176,484 194,423



EBITDA 319,000 348,474 380,644 415,753 454,068



D&A 72,924 85,024 93,898 104,355 117,776



EBIT 246,076 263,450 286,746 311,398 336,292



Interest Expense 32,061 30,500 26,817 22,763 20,734

Existing Debt 2,609 1,228 0 0 0

Bank Revolver 13,533 14,005 14,005 14,005 14,005

Term Loan "A" 4,125 3,491 1,566 0 0

Term Loan "B" 2,830 2,714 2,083 755 0

Senior Notes 2,763 2,763 2,763 1,498 117

Subordinated Notes 1,800 1,881 1,966 2,054 2,147

Mezzanine Debt 3,150 3,292 3,440 3,595 3,756

Seller Notes 1,252 1,127 995 856 709



Other Expenses (Income) (197) (297) 353 (35) (257)

Amortization of Capitalized

Financing Costs 1,053 1,053 1,803 1,515 1,393

(Gain) Loss on Asset Sales (1,250) (1,350) (1,450) (1,550) (1,650)



Net Income before Taxes 214,212 233,247 259,576 288,670 315,814



Income Tax Expense (Benefit) 74,974 81,636 90,852 101,035 110,537



Net Income 139,238 151,610 168,725 187,636 205,284



Dividend 6,700 7,194 7,659 8,245 8,955

Preferred Stock Dividend 4,200 4,494 4,809 5,145 5,505

Common Stock Dividend 2,500 2,700 2,850 3,100 3,450



Net Income to Common Shareholders 132,538 144,416 161,066 179,390 196,329

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

6 7 8 9 10





1,771,561 1,948,717 2,143,589 2,357,948 2,593,742



807,217 890,159 981,623 1,082,485 1,193,710



964,344 1,058,558 1,161,966 1,275,463 1,400,033



468,468 517,067 570,709 629,918 695,271

254,281 281,108 310,765 343,551 379,795

214,187 235,959 259,944 286,367 315,476



495,876 541,492 591,257 645,545 704,761



128,849 101,532 115,822 128,047 149,661



367,027 439,960 475,435 517,499 555,100



16,044 9,827 9,125 6,000 6,000

0 0 0 0 0

14,005 9,827 9,125 6,000 6,000

0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0

97 0 0 0 0

1,625 0 (0) 0 0

317 0 0 0 0



(1,079) (1,179) (121) (1,600) (1,617)



671 671 1,829 450 533

(1,750) (1,850) (1,950) (2,050) (2,150)



352,062 431,313 466,431 513,099 550,716



123,222 150,959 163,251 179,585 192,751



228,840 280,353 303,180 333,514 357,966



9,391 9,591 9,891 9,991 10,291

5,891 5,891 5,891 5,891 5,891

3,500 3,700 4,000 4,100 4,400



219,450 270,762 293,290 323,523 347,675

Balance Sheets



Year Pre-Acq Adj Post-Acq 2010 2011 2012

Year No. 0 1 2 3



ASSETS



Current Assets:

Cash in bank 55,000 22,500 77,500 50,000 50,000 50,000

Accounts receivable 85,000 85,000 198,000 228,690 264,137

Inventories 95,999 95,999 99,000 113,539 130,213

Prepaids 22,000 22,000 49,500 55,539 62,315

Other current assets 45,000 45,000 132,000 148,830 167,806



Total Current Assets 302,999 325,499 528,500 596,598 674,471



Non-Current Assets:

Goodwill 20,000 191,479 211,479 211,479 211,479 211,479

Intangible Assets 950 1,200 2,150 1,971 1,792 1,613

Capitalized Financing Costs 0 10,888 10,888 9,835 8,782 6,979

Other Long-Term Assets 15,000 15,000 44,000 48,642 53,774

PP&E:

Gross PP&E 500,000 2,450 502,450 502,450 612,450 733,450

Capex 0 0 110,000 121,000 133,100

Depreciation (Current) 0 0 72,745 84,845 93,718

Accumulated Depreciation 25,000 25,000 97,745 182,590 276,308

Net PP&E 475,000 477,450 514,705 550,860 590,242



Total Non-Current Assets 510,950 716,966 781,989 821,554 864,086



Total Assets 813,949 228,516 1,042,465 1,310,489 1,418,152 1,538,557







LIABILITIES & EQUITY



Current Liabilities:

Accounts payable 51,800 51,800 74,700 85,741 96,542

Accrued expenses 24,000 24,000 66,000 73,689 82,274

Other current liabilities 22,000 22,000 88,000 97,768 108,620



Total Current Liabilities 97,800 97,800 228,700 257,198 287,436



Deferred Tax Liability 1,400 (123) 1,278 5,873 6,119 6,366

Long-Term Debt:

Existing Debt 250,000 (185,000) 65,000 57,778 0 0

Bank Revolver 0 200,888 200,888 213,470 213,470 213,470

Term Loan "A" 0 80,000 80,000 70,000 56,951 0

Term Loan "B" 0 55,000 55,000 52,800 50,600 28,768

Senior Notes 0 65,000 65,000 65,000 65,000 65,000

Subordinated Notes 0 40,000 40,000 41,800 43,681 45,647

Mezzanine Debt 0 70,000 70,000 73,150 76,442 79,882

Seller Notes 0 25,000 25,000 22,680 20,235 17,659

Total Long Term Debt 250,000 600,888 596,678 526,380 450,425



Total Long-Term Liabilities 251,400 602,165 602,551 532,499 456,791



Total Liabilities 349,200 699,965 831,251 789,697 744,227



Shareholder's Equity:

Preferred Stock 0 60,000 60,000 64,200 68,694 73,503

Common Equity 440,000 (155,000) 285,000 285,000 285,000 285,000

Retained Earnings 24,749 (27,249) (2,500) 130,038 274,454 435,520



Total Shareholder's Equity 464,749 342,500 479,238 628,148 794,023



Total Liabilities & Equity 813,949 228,516 1,042,465 1,310,489 1,417,846 1,538,250







Balance Sheet Check 0 0 0 0 307 307

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

4 5 6 7 8 9 10









49,990 49,990 50,000 50,000 135,480 264,637 354,070

305,078 352,365 406,982 470,064 542,924 627,077 724,274

149,337 171,268 196,421 225,267 258,350 296,291 339,804

69,917 78,447 88,018 98,756 110,804 124,322 139,489

189,201 213,324 240,523 271,190 305,766 344,752 388,707



763,523 865,395 981,943 1,115,277 1,353,324 1,657,079 1,946,346







211,479 211,479 211,479 211,479 211,479 211,479 211,479

1,433 1,254 1,075 896 717 538 358

5,464 4,071 3,400 2,729 900 450 (83)

59,447 65,719 72,652 80,317 88,790 98,157 108,513



866,550 1,012,960 1,174,011 1,351,167 1,546,039 1,760,398 1,996,192

146,410 161,051 177,156 194,872 214,359 235,795 259,374

104,176 117,597 128,669 101,352 115,643 127,868 149,482

380,485 498,082 626,751 728,103 843,747 971,614 1,121,096

632,475 675,929 724,416 817,935 916,651 1,024,578 1,134,470



910,298 958,451 1,013,021 1,113,355 1,218,536 1,335,202 1,454,737



1,673,821 1,823,846 1,994,965 2,228,632 2,571,860 2,992,281 3,401,082









108,708 122,413 137,851 155,242 174,837 196,914 221,789

91,859 102,560 114,508 127,849 142,743 159,373 177,940

120,677 134,072 148,954 165,488 183,857 204,266 226,939



321,244 359,045 401,313 448,579 501,437 560,552 626,668



8,646 20,303 31,978 52,837 106,242 144,024 139,035



0 0 0 0 0 0 0

213,470 213,470 161,545 56,324 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

5,486 0 0 0 0 0 0

47,701 2,147 0 0 0 0 0

83,476 36,121 0 0 0 0 0

14,943 12,081 0 0 0 0 0

365,076 263,819 161,545 56,324 0 0 0



373,722 284,122 193,522 109,161 106,242 144,024 139,035



694,966 643,167 594,836 557,741 607,679 704,576 765,703







78,648 84,153 84,153 84,153 84,153 84,153 84,153

285,000 285,000 285,000 285,000 285,000 285,000 285,000

614,911 811,239 1,030,689 1,301,451 1,594,741 1,918,264 2,265,939



978,558 1,180,392 1,399,842 1,670,604 1,963,894 2,287,417 2,635,092



1,673,524 1,823,559 1,994,677 2,228,345 2,571,573 2,991,993 3,400,795







297 287 287 287 287 287 287

Cash Flows



Year 2010 2011 2012 2013

Year No. 1 2 3 4



Cash flows from operating activities



Net Income to Common Shareholders 132,538 144,416 161,066 179,390



Non-cash adjustments:

Depreciation and amortization 72,924 85,024 93,898 104,355

Amortization of Capitalized Financing Costs 1,053 1,053 1,803 1,515

Increase (Decrease) in Deferred Tax Liability 4,595 247 247 2,280

Accrued Interest Subordinated Notes 1,800 1,881 1,966 2,054

Accrued Interest Mezzanine Debt 3,150 3,292 3,440 3,595

Accrued Interest Seller Notes 1,252 1,127 995 856

Accrued Interest Preferred Stock 4,200 4,494 4,809 5,145



Changes in operating assets and liabilities:

(Increase) decrease in accounts receivable (113,000) (30,690) (35,447) (40,941)

(Increase) decrease in inventories (3,001) (14,539) (16,674) (19,123)

(Increase) decrease in prepaids & other assets (114,500) (22,869) (25,752) (28,998)

Increase (decrease) in accounts payable 22,900 11,041 10,801 12,166

Increase (decrease) in accrued exp & other liabilities 108,000 17,457 19,437 21,642



Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities 121,911 201,933 220,587 243,937



Cash flows from investing activities

Purchase of property & equipment (110,000) (121,000) (133,100) (146,410)

(Increase) decrease in other long-term assets (29,000) (4,642) (5,132) (5,673)



Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities (139,000) (125,642) (138,232) (152,083)



Cash flows from financing activities

Increase (decrease) in Existing Debt (7,222) (57,778) 0 0

Increase (decrease) in Term Loan "A" (10,000) (13,049) (56,951) 0

Increase (decrease) in Term Loan "B" (2,200) (2,200) (21,832) (28,768)

Increase (decrease) in Senior Notes 0 0 0 (59,514)

Increase (decrease) in Subordinated Notes 0 0 0 0

Increase (decrease) in Mezzanine Debt 0 0 0 0

Increase (decrease) in Seller Notes (3,571) (3,571) (3,571) (3,571)

Increase (decrease) in Preferred Stock 0 0 0 0



Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities (22,994) (76,598) (82,355) (91,853)



Net increase (decrease) in cash (40,083) (307) 0 0



Cash at beginning of year 77,500 50,000 50,000 50,000



Cash available for Bank Revolver 37,417 49,693 50,000 50,000



Added (retired) Bank Revolver 12,583 307 0 0

Cash at end of year 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000









Free Cash Flows



EBIT 246,076 263,450 286,746 311,398

Add: Amortization of non-deductible goodwill & intangibles 0 0 0 0

EBIT (Adj) 246,076 263,450 286,746 311,398

Less: Tax on EBIT (Adj) 86,127 92,207 100,361 108,989

Unlevered Net Income 159,949 171,242 186,385 202,409

Plus: D&A & other non-cash charges affecting EBIT 72,924 85,024 93,898 104,355

Less: Capital Expenditures 110,000 121,000 133,100 146,410

Less: Increase in Net (non-cash) Working Capital 99,601 39,600 47,635 55,254

Less: (Increase) decrease in Deferred Tax (4,595) (247) (247) (2,280)

Unlevered Free Cash Flows (UFCF) 27,868 95,913 99,794 107,380









Debt Repayment



Cash Available for Debt Repayment

Cash at beginning of year 77,500 50,000 50,000 50,000

Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities 121,911 201,933 220,587 243,937

Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities (139,000) (125,642) (138,232) (152,083)

Sub-total 60,411 126,291 132,355 141,853

Minimum Cash Balance 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000

Cash Available for Debt Repayment 10,411 76,291 82,355 91,853



Mandatory Repayment

Existing Debt 7,222 7,222 0 0

Term Loan "A" 10,000 10,000 10,000 0

Term Loan "B" 2,200 2,200 2,200 2,200

Senior Notes 0 0 0 0

Subordinated Notes 0 0 0 0

Mezzanine Debt 0 0 0 0

Seller Notes 3,571 3,571 3,571 3,571

Preferred Stock 0 0 0 0

Sub-total 22,994 22,994 15,771 5,771



Cash Balance (12,583) 53,298 66,584 86,082

Incremental Revolver 12,583 0 0 0

Cash Available for Optional Repayment 0 53,298 66,584 86,082



Optional Repayment

Existing Debt 0 50,556 0 0

Term Loan "A" 0 3,049 46,951 0

Term Loan "B" 0 0 19,632 26,568

Senior Notes 0 0 0 59,514

Subordinated Notes 0 0 0 0

Mezzanine Debt 0 0 0 0

Seller Notes 0 0 0 0

Bank Revolver 0 0 0 0

Sub-total 0 53,604 66,584 86,092



Cash at end of year 50,000 50,000 50,000 49,990







Cash Flow Check 0 0 0 10

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

5 6 7 8 9 10









196,329 219,450 270,762 293,290 323,523 347,675







117,776 128,849 101,532 115,822 128,047 149,661

1,393 671 671 1,829 450 533

11,657 11,675 20,859 53,405 37,782 (4,989)

2,147 0 0 0 0 0

3,756 0 0 0 0 0

709 0 0 0 0 0

5,505 0 0 0 0 0







(47,287) (54,617) (63,082) (72,860) (84,153) (97,197)

(21,932) (25,152) (28,846) (33,083) (37,941) (43,513)

(32,653) (36,769) (41,405) (46,625) (52,503) (59,123)

13,704 15,438 17,392 19,594 22,077 24,876

24,097 26,830 29,874 33,264 37,038 41,240



275,202 286,373 307,757 364,637 374,319 359,163







(161,051) (177,156) (194,872) (214,359) (235,795) (259,374)

(6,272) (6,933) (7,665) (8,473) (9,367) (10,356)



(167,323) (184,089) (202,536) (222,832) (245,162) (269,730)







0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

(5,486) 0 0 0 0 0

(47,701) (2,147) 0 0 0 0

(51,112) (36,121) 0 0 0 0

(3,571) (12,081) 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0



(107,870) (50,348) 0 0 0 0



10 51,936 105,220 141,804 129,157 89,433



50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 135,480 264,637



50,010 101,936 155,220 191,804 264,637 354,070



(10) (51,936) (105,220) (56,324) 0 0

50,000 50,000 50,000 135,480 264,637 354,070









336,292 367,027 439,960 475,435 517,499 555,100

0 0 0 0 0 0

336,292 367,027 439,960 475,435 517,499 555,100

117,702 128,460 153,986 166,402 181,125 194,285

218,590 238,568 285,974 309,033 336,374 360,815

117,776 128,849 101,532 115,822 128,047 149,661

161,051 177,156 194,872 214,359 235,795 259,374

64,071 74,270 86,067 99,710 115,483 133,717

(11,657) (11,675) (20,859) (53,405) (37,782) 4,989

122,901 127,665 127,426 164,192 150,925 112,395









49,990 49,990 50,000 50,000 135,480 264,637

275,202 286,373 307,757 364,637 374,319 359,163

(167,323) (184,089) (202,536) (222,832) (245,162) (269,730)

157,870 152,274 155,220 191,804 264,637 354,070

50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000

107,870 102,274 105,220 141,804 214,637 304,070







0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

3,571 3,571 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

3,571 3,571 0 0 0 0



104,298 98,703 105,220 141,804 214,637 304,070

0 0 0 0 0 0

104,298 98,703 105,220 141,804 214,637 304,070







0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

5,486 0 0 0 0 0

47,701 2,147 0 0 0 0

51,112 36,121 0 0 0 0

0 8,509 0 0 0 0

0 51,926 105,220 56,324 0 0

104,308 98,703 105,220 56,324 0 0



49,990 50,000 50,000 135,480 264,637 354,070







10 0 0 0 0 0

Depreciation & Amortization



Book Depreciation & Amortization: Gross PP&E $500,000

PP&E Write-up $2,450

Fair Value PP&E $502,450

Accumulated Depreciation 25,000

Net PP&E $477,450







Year 2010 2011 2012

Year No. 1 2 3



Existing PP&E (incl Write-up)

Beginning Amt Remaining Life Salvage

Class 1 $90,000 12 $900 7,425 7,425 7,425

Class 2 85,000 10 800 8,420 8,420 8,420

Class 3 60,000 8 600 7,425 7,425 7,425

Class 4 242,450 6 600 40,308 40,308 40,308

477,450 2,900 63,578 63,578 63,578



Capex

Year Capex Useful Life Salvage

1 $110,000 12 9,167 9,167 9,167

2 121,000 10 0 12,100 12,100

3 133,100 15 0 0 8,873

4 146,410 14 0 0 0

5 161,051 12 0 0 0

6 177,156 16 0 0 0

7 194,872 15 0 0 0

8 214,359 15 0 0 0

9 235,795 12 0 0 0

10 259,374 12 0 0 0

1,753,117 0 9,167 21,267 30,140



Computed Depreciation 72,745 84,845 93,718

Manual Depreciation 40,000 40,000 40,000



Total Book Depreciation 72,745 84,845 93,718



Period (Yrs)

Amortization of Intangibles (incl Write-up) 12 179 179 179

Impairment of Goodwill 0 0 0

Total Cost ($)

Amortization of Capitalized Financing Costs 10,888 1,053 1,053 1,803

Bank Revolver 450 450 450

Term Loan "A" 150 150 900

Term Loan "B" 88 88 88

Senior Notes 144 144 144

Subordinated Notes 83 83 83

Mezzanine Debt 138 138 138

Seller Notes 0 0 0

Tax Depreciation & Amortization: Tax PP&E $415,000









Existing PP&E (Tax)

Beginning Amt Remaining Life Salvage

Class 1 $130,000 12 $900 10,758 10,758 10,758

Class 2 105,000 10 800 10,420 10,420 10,420

Class 3 95,000 8 600 11,800 11,800 11,800

Class 4 85,000 6 600 14,067 14,067 14,067

415,000 2,900 47,045 47,045 47,045



Capex

Year Capex Useful Life Salvage

1 $110,000 12 9,167 9,167 9,167

2 121,000 8 0 15,125 15,125

3 133,100 15 0 0 8,873

4 146,410 9 0 0 0

5 161,051 4 0 0 0

6 177,156 16 0 0 0

7 194,872 15 0 0 0

8 214,359 2 0 0 0

9 235,795 12 0 0 0

10 259,374 12 0 0 0

1,753,117 0 9,167 24,292 33,165



Total Tax Depreciation 56,212 71,337 80,210



Period (Yrs)

Amortization of Intangibles (incl Write-up) 15 143 143 143

Amortization of Goodwill 15 14,099 14,099 14,099

Depreciation Method Goodwill & Intangibles Amortization

0 0=SLN 1=Sum of Years 0=Not Deductible 1=Tax Deductible

1 Tax Deductible

Manual or Computed Depreciation

1 0=Manual 1=Computed







2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

4 5 6 7 8 9 10









7,425 7,425 7,425 7,425 7,425 7,425 7,425

8,420 8,420 8,420 8,420 8,420 8,420 8,420

7,425 7,425 7,425 7,425 7,425 0 0

40,308 40,308 40,308 0 0 0 0

63,578 63,578 63,578 23,270 23,270 15,845 15,845









9,167 9,167 9,167 9,167 9,167 9,167 9,167

12,100 12,100 12,100 12,100 12,100 12,100 12,100

8,873 8,873 8,873 8,873 8,873 8,873 8,873

10,458 10,458 10,458 10,458 10,458 10,458 10,458

0 13,421 13,421 13,421 13,421 13,421 13,421

0 0 11,072 11,072 11,072 11,072 11,072

0 0 0 12,991 12,991 12,991 12,991

0 0 0 0 14,291 14,291 14,291

0 0 0 0 0 19,650 19,650

0 0 0 0 0 0 21,615

40,598 54,019 65,091 78,082 92,373 112,023 133,637



104,176 117,597 128,669 101,352 115,643 127,868 149,482

40,000 40,000 40,000 40,000 40,000 40,000 40,000



104,176 117,597 128,669 101,352 115,643 127,868 149,482







179 179 179 179 179 179 179

0 0 0 0 0 0 0



1,515 1,393 671 671 1,829 450 533

450 450 450 450 450 450 450

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

700 0 0 0 0 0 0

144 722 0 0 0 0 0

83 83 83 83 417 0 83

138 138 138 138 963 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Depreciation Method

0 0=SLN 1=Sum of Years









10,758 10,758 10,758 10,758 10,758 10,758 10,758

10,420 10,420 10,420 10,420 10,420 10,420 10,420

11,800 11,800 11,800 11,800 11,800 0 0

14,067 14,067 14,067 0 0 0 0

47,045 47,045 47,045 32,978 32,978 21,178 21,178









9,167 9,167 9,167 9,167 9,167 9,167 9,167

15,125 15,125 15,125 15,125 15,125 15,125 0

8,873 8,873 8,873 8,873 8,873 8,873 8,873

16,268 16,268 16,268 16,268 16,268 16,268 16,268

0 40,263 40,263 40,263 40,263 0 0

0 0 11,072 11,072 11,072 11,072 11,072

0 0 0 12,991 12,991 12,991 12,991

0 0 0 0 107,179 107,179 0

0 0 0 0 0 19,650 19,650

0 0 0 0 0 0 21,615

49,433 89,696 100,768 113,759 220,939 200,325 99,636



96,478 136,741 147,813 146,738 253,917 221,504 120,814







143 143 143 143 143 143 143

14,099 14,099 14,099 14,099 14,099 14,099 14,099

Income Tax Calculation



Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Year No. 1 2 3 4 5





Net Income before Tax 214,212 233,247 259,576 288,670 315,814



Add: Book Depreciation 72,745 84,845 93,718 104,176 117,597

Add: Book (Gain) Loss on Assets Sale 1,250 1,350 1,450 1,550 1,650

Add: Book Impairment of Goodwill 0 0 0 0 0

Add: Book Amortization of Intangibles 179 179 179 179 179

Add: Non-Deductible Expenses 0 0 0 0 0



Less: Tax Depreciation 56,212 71,337 80,210 96,478 136,741

Less: Tax (Gain) Loss on Assets Sale 1,350 1,500 1,600 1,700 1,750

Less: Tax Amortization of Goodwill 14,099 14,099 14,099 14,099 14,099

Less: Tax Amortization of Intangibles 143 143 143 143 143



Pre-NOL Taxable Income 216,582 233,014 258,872 282,156 282,508



Less: NOLs Used 15,500 0 0 0 0



Post-NOL Taxable Income 201,082 233,014 258,872 282,156 282,508

Cash Taxes Payable 70,379 81,555 90,605 98,760 98,880



Total Book Tax 74,974 81,636 90,852 101,035 110,537

Increase (Decrease) in Deferred

Tax Liability 4,595 247 247 2,280 11,657







Beginning NOL Balance 15,500 0 0 0 0

Current Year NOL 0 0 0 0 0

NOLs Used 15,500 0 0 0 0

Ending NOL Balance 0 0 0 0 0









Projected Asset Sales:



Estimated Sale Proceeds 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000



Book Basis of Assets 2,750 3,150 3,550 3,950 4,350

Tax Basis of Assets 2,650 3,000 3,400 3,800 4,250



Book Gain (Loss) on Sale 1,250 1,350 1,450 1,550 1,650

Tax Gain (Loss) on Sale 1,350 1,500 1,600 1,700 1,750





Allocation to Balance Sheet:

PP&E: 1,500 1,700 1,900 2,100 2,300

Other Long-Term Assets 1,250 1,450 1,650 1,850 2,050

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

6 7 8 9 10





352,062 431,313 466,431 513,099 550,716



128,669 101,352 115,643 127,868 149,482

1,750 1,850 1,950 2,050 2,150

0 0 0 0 0

179 179 179 179 179

0 0 0 0 0



147,813 146,738 253,917 221,504 120,814

1,900 2,000 2,200 2,300 2,500

14,099 14,099 14,099 14,099 14,099

143 143 143 143 143



318,706 371,715 313,845 405,150 564,972



0 0 0 0 0



318,706 371,715 313,845 405,150 564,972

111,547 130,100 109,846 141,802 197,740



123,222 150,959 163,251 179,585 192,751



11,675 20,859 53,405 37,782 (4,989)







0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0









6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500



4,750 5,150 5,550 5,950 6,350

4,600 5,000 5,300 5,700 6,000



1,750 1,850 1,950 2,050 2,150

1,900 2,000 2,200 2,300 2,500









2,500 2,700 2,900 3,100 3,300

2,250 2,450 2,650 2,850 3,050

Weighted Average Cost of Capital





Risk Free Rate (Treasury Bill Rate) 5.00% WACC

Market Risk Premium 4.50% 0 = Manual 1 = Computed

Levered Beta 1.20 1 Computed







Estimated Cost of Debt Amount Int. Rate Wtd. Rate Computed WACC

Existing Debt 65,000 4.25% 0.46%

Bank Revolver 200,888 4.75% 1.59% Cost of Debt (Post-Tax)

Term Loan "A" 80,000 5.50% 0.73% Cost of Preferred Stock

Term Loan "B" 55,000 5.25% 0.48% Cost of Equity

Senior Notes 65,000 4.25% 0.46%

Subordinated Notes 40,000 4.50% 0.30% WACC

Mezzanine Debt 70,000 4.50% 0.52%

Seller Notes 25,000 5.25% 0.22%



Total Debt 600,888 4.76%

Post-Tax 3.10%







Estimated Cost of Preferred Stock

Preferred Stock 60,000 7.00%



Estimated Cost of Equity (CAPM)

Total Book Equity 282,500 16.03%









Beta Calculation



Levered Beta 1.20



Pre-Acquisition:

Debt $250,000

Equity $600,000

Preferred Stock $0

Debt/Equity Ratio 0.42

Preferred Stock/Equity Ratio 0.00



Post-Acquisition:

Debt $600,888

Equity $282,500

Preferred Stock $60,000

Debt/Equity Ratio 2.13

Preferred Stock/Equity Ratio 0.21



Tax Rate 35.00%



Unlevered Beta 0.94

Relevered Beta 2.45

WACC Manual

nual 1 = Computed WACC

Computed 8.50%







Computed WACC

Proportion Rate Wtd. Cost

63.69% 3.10% 1.97%

6.36% 7.00% 0.45%

29.95% 16.03% 4.80%



7.22%

Discounted Cash Flow Analysis





NPV of Free Cash Flow



NPV of FCFF @ 6.00% 802,189

NPV of FCFF @ 7.00% 760,040

NPV of FCFF @ 8.00% 720,896







FV of Terminal Value (EBITDA) PV of Terminal Value (E



Terminal Value @ 4.0x 2,819,044 Terminal Value @ 6.00%

Terminal Value @ 6.0x 4,228,567 Terminal Value @ 7.00%

Terminal Value @ 8.0x 5,638,089 Terminal Value @ 8.00%







FV of Terminal Value (Perpetuity) PV of Terminal Value (Pe

2.5% 3.0% 3.5%

Terminal Value @ 6.00% 3,291,577 3,858,906 4,653,167 Terminal Value @ 6.00%

Terminal Value @ 7.00% 2,560,116 2,894,180 3,323,690 Terminal Value @ 7.00%

Terminal Value @ 8.00% 2,094,640 2,315,344 2,585,093 Terminal Value @ 8.00%









Total Enterprise Value

EBITDA Multiple Method Perpetuity Growth Method

4.0x 6.0x 8.0x 2.5% 3.0%

6.0% $2,376,329 $3,163,399 $3,950,468 6.0% $2,640,189 $2,956,982

7.0% $2,193,100 $2,909,629 $3,626,159 7.0% $2,061,474 $2,231,295

8.0% $2,026,659 $2,679,541 $3,332,422 8.0% $1,691,120 $1,793,348







Total Equity Value

EBITDA Multiple Method Perpetuity Growth Method

4.0x 6.0x 8.0x 2.5% 3.0%

6.0% $1,792,941 $2,580,011 $3,367,081 6.0% $2,056,801 $2,373,595

7.0% $1,609,712 $2,326,242 $3,042,771 7.0% $1,478,086 $1,647,907

8.0% $1,443,272 $2,096,153 $2,749,035 8.0% $1,107,732 $1,209,961







Total Equity Value Per Share

EBITDA Multiple Method Perpetuity Growth Method

4.0x 6.0x 8.0x 2.5% 3.0%

6.0% $17.93 $25.80 $33.67 6.0% $20.57 $23.74

7.0% $16.10 $23.26 $30.43 7.0% $14.78 $16.48

8.0% $14.43 $20.96 $27.49 8.0% $11.08 $12.10

PV of Terminal Value (EBITDA)

4.0x 6.0x 8.0x

1,574,140 2,361,210 3,148,279

1,433,059 2,149,589 2,866,119

1,305,763 1,958,645 2,611,526







PV of Terminal Value (Perpetuity)

2.5% 3.0% 3.5%

1,838,000 2,154,793 2,598,304

1,301,433 1,471,254 1,689,596

970,224 1,072,452 1,197,398









Percentage Split of DCF Analysis

ity Growth Method

3.5% EBITDA Multiple Method

$3,400,493 Cash Flow % of TEV: 4.0x 6.0x 8.0x

$2,449,636 @ 6.00% 33.8% 25.4% 20.3%

$1,918,294 @ 7.00% 34.7% 26.1% 21.0%

@ 8.00% 35.6% 26.9% 21.6%

Terminal Value % of TEV:

@ 6.00% 66.2% 74.6% 79.7%

ity Growth Method @ 7.00% 65.3% 73.9% 79.0%

3.5% @ 8.00% 64.4% 73.1% 78.4%

$2,817,105

$1,866,249 Perpetuity Growth Method

$1,334,907 Cash Flow % of TEV: 2.5% 3.0% 3.5%

@ 6.00% 30.4% 27.1% 23.6%

@ 7.00% 36.9% 34.1% 31.0%

@ 8.00% 42.6% 40.2% 37.6%

ity Growth Method Terminal Value % of TEV:

3.5% @ 6.00% 69.6% 72.9% 76.4%

$28.17 @ 7.00% 63.1% 65.9% 69.0%

$18.66 @ 8.00% 57.4% 59.8% 62.4%

$13.35

IRR / Returns Calculation



Exit Year 2018 9



Equity Allocation on Exit Investment Undiluted % Allocation Diluted Allocation



Common - Sponsor Equity $220,000 77.19% 0.00% 63.30% 2,565,957

Management Equity 40,000 14.04% 0.00% 11.51% 466,538

New Equity 25,000 8.77% 2.00% 9.19% 372,661

Subordinated Notes 40,000 N/A 3.00% 3.00% 121,613

Mezzanine Debt 70,000 N/A 5.00% 5.00% 202,688

Preferred Stock 60,000 N/A 4.00% 4.00% 162,150

Management Performance Equity N/A N/A 4.00% 4.00% 162,150



Total 455,000 100.00% 18.00% 100.00% 4,053,757









Cash Flows & IRR Post-Acq 2010 2011 2012 2013

0 1 2 3 4



Subordinated Notes

Initial Investment (40,000)

Cash Interest 0 0 0 0

Repayment 0 0 0 0

Principal 0 0 0 0

Participation on Exit 0 0 0 0

IRR 21.41% (40,000) 0 0 0 0







Mezzanine Debt

Initial Investment (70,000)

Cash Interest 0 0 0 0

Repayment 0 0 0 0

Principal 0 0 0 0

Participation on Exit 0 0 0 0

IRR 20.57% (70,000) 0 0 0 0







Preferred Stock

Initial Investment (60,000)

Cash Dividend 0 0 0 0

Repayment 0 0 0 0

Principal 0 0 0 0

Participation on Exit 0 0 0 0

IRR 18.54% (60,000) 0 0 0 0







Common - Sponsor Equity

Initial Investment (220,000)

Cash Dividend 1,930 2,084 2,200 2,393

Participation on Exit 0 0 0 0

IRR 31.83% (220,000) 1,930 2,084 2,200 2,393







Management Equity

Initial Investment (40,000)

Cash Dividend 351 379 400 435

Participation on Exit 0 0 0 0

IRR 36.22% (40,000) 351 379 400 435







New Equity

Initial Investment (25,000)

Cash Dividend 219 237 250 272

Participation on Exit 0 0 0 0

IRR 35.43% (25,000) 219 237 250 272

Allocation of Exit Proceeds



EBITDA Multiple (Exit Year) 6.0x

EBITDA (Exit Year) 645,545

Exit Year Enterprise Value 3,873,273



Less: Debt 0

Less: Preferred Stock 84,153

Add: Excess Cash 264,637



Equity Value - Allocable Proceeds 4,053,757









2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

5 6 7 8 9 10









0 97 0 0 0 0

47,701 2,147 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 121,613 0

47,701 2,243 0 0 121,613 0









0 1,625 0 (0) 0 0

51,112 36,121 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 202,688 0

51,112 37,747 0 (0) 202,688 0









0 5,891 5,891 5,891 5,891 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 84,153 0

0 0 0 0 162,150 0

0 5,891 5,891 5,891 252,194 0









2,663 2,702 2,856 3,088 3,165 0

0 0 0 0 2,565,957 0

2,663 2,702 2,856 3,088 2,569,122 0









484 491 519 561 575 0

0 0 0 0 628,688 0

484 491 519 561 629,263 0









303 307 325 351 360 0

0 0 0 0 372,661 0

303 307 325 351 373,021 0

Ratio Analysis



Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Year No. 1 2 3 4 5







Capital Ratios

Debt Ratio 0.7x 0.6x 0.5x 0.5x 0.4x

Total Debt / Book Capitalization 0.6x 0.5x 0.4x 0.3x 0.2x

Total Debt / Equity 1.6x 1.1x 0.7x 0.5x 0.3x







Leverage Ratios

Total Debt / EBITDA 2.1x 1.7x 1.4x 1.1x 0.8x

Total Debt / (EBITDA - Capex) 3.2x 2.6x 2.1x 1.6x 1.2x

Net Debt / EBITDA 1.9x 1.6x 1.2x 0.9x 0.7x

Senior Debt / EBITDA 1.4x 1.1x 0.8x 0.5x 0.5x







Interest Coverage

EBITDA / Total Interest 8.8x 10.0x 12.0x 14.9x 17.3x

EBITDA / Senior Interest 12.3x 14.4x 18.6x 25.6x 32.2x

EBITDA / Cash Interest 12.3x 14.4x 18.6x 25.6x 32.2x



(EBITDA - Capex) / Total Interest 5.8x 6.5x 7.8x 9.7x 11.2x

(EBITDA - Capex) / Senior Interest 8.1x 9.4x 12.1x 16.6x 20.7x

(EBITDA - Capex) / Cash Interest 8.1x 9.4x 12.1x 16.6x 20.7x



EBIT / Total Interest 6.8x 7.5x 9.1x 11.2x 12.8x







Asset Utilization

Total Asset Turnover (Sales) 0.9x 0.9x 0.9x 0.9x 0.9x

Fixed Asset Turnover (Sales) 2.2x 2.3x 2.3x 2.4x 2.5x







Activity Ratios

Inventory Turnover (COGS) 5.1x 5.1x 4.9x 4.7x 4.6x

Accounts Receivable Turnover (Sales) 7.8x 5.7x 5.4x 5.1x 4.9x

Accounts Payable Turnover (COGS & Inv) 7.9x 7.0x 6.8x 6.7x 6.5x

Inventory Holding Period (Days) 71.9 71.1 73.9 76.9 79.9

Days Receivable (Sales) 47.0 64.4 67.6 71.0 74.5

Days Payable (COGS & Inv) 46.4 52.2 53.8 54.8 55.9







Liquidity Ratios

Current Ratio 2.3x 2.3x 2.3x 2.4x 2.4x

Quick (Acid Test) Ratio 1.1x 1.1x 1.1x 1.1x 1.1x







Returns

Return on Equity (ROE) 38.72% 30.19% 25.61% 22.52% 20.02%

Return on Assets (ROA) 13.25% 12.24% 12.27% 12.28% 12.19%







Operating Results

Sales Growth N/A 10.00% 10.00% 10.00% 10.00%

Gross Margin 55.00% 54.89% 54.77% 54.66% 54.55%

EBITDA Margin 29.00% 28.80% 28.60% 28.40% 28.19%

EBIT Margin 22.37% 21.77% 21.54% 21.27% 20.88%

Pre-Tax Profit Ratio 19.47% 19.28% 19.50% 19.72% 19.61%

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

6 7 8 9 10









0.3x 0.3x 0.3x 0.3x 0.2x

0.2x 0.1x 0.0x 0.0x 0.0x

0.2x 0.1x 0.0x 0.0x 0.0x









0.5x 0.3x 0.1x 0.1x 0.1x

0.8x 0.4x 0.2x 0.2x 0.2x

0.4x 0.2x -0.1x -0.3x -0.4x

0.3x 0.1x 0.0x 0.0x 0.0x









22.6x 34.5x 39.4x 54.3x 59.3x

35.4x 55.1x 64.8x 107.6x 117.5x

22.6x 34.5x 39.4x 54.3x 59.3x



14.5x 22.1x 25.1x 34.5x 37.5x

22.8x 35.3x 41.3x 68.3x 74.2x

14.5x 22.1x 25.1x 34.5x 37.5x



16.7x 28.0x 31.7x 43.5x 46.7x









0.9x 0.9x 0.9x 0.8x 0.8x

2.5x 2.5x 2.5x 2.4x 2.4x









4.4x 4.2x 4.1x 3.9x 3.8x

4.7x 4.4x 4.2x 4.0x 3.8x

6.4x 6.3x 6.1x 6.0x 5.9x

83.1 86.5 89.9 93.5 97.2

78.2 82.1 86.2 90.6 95.1

57.1 58.2 59.4 60.6 61.8









2.4x 2.5x 2.7x 3.0x 3.1x

1.1x 1.2x 1.4x 1.6x 1.7x









18.49% 18.91% 17.15% 16.05% 14.81%

12.22% 13.30% 12.63% 11.92% 11.14%









10.00% 10.00% 10.00% 10.00% 10.00%

54.43% 54.32% 54.21% 54.09% 53.98%

27.99% 27.79% 27.58% 27.38% 27.17%

20.72% 22.58% 22.18% 21.95% 21.40%

19.87% 22.13% 21.76% 21.76% 21.23%


Related docs
Other docs by M.Danial Idris
Application for Employer Identification Number
Views: 91  |  Downloads: 5
Sample of Portfolio Optimization
Views: 12  |  Downloads: 0
Job Site Boxes
Views: 3  |  Downloads: 0
18072007-162559
Views: 10  |  Downloads: 0
Form KA 1-1
Views: 15  |  Downloads: 0
By registering with docstoc.com you agree to our
privacy policy

You are almost ready to download!

You are almost ready to download!