United States Index of Crime, United States, 1960-1995
Crime Forc-
Index Violent Property ible
Year Population total crime crime Murder rape
1960 179,323,175 3,384,200 288,460 3,095,700 9,110 17,190
1961 182,992,000 3,488,000 289,390 3,198,600 8,740 17,220
1962 185,771,000 3,752,200 301,510 3,450,700 8,530 17,550
1963 188,483,000 4,109,500 316,970 3,792,500 8,640 17,650
1964 191,141,000 4,564,600 364,220 4,200,400 9,360 21,420
1965 193,526,000 4,739,400 387,390 4,352,000 9,960 23,410
1966 195,576,000 5,223,500 430,180 4,793,300 11,040 25,820
1967 197,457,000 5,903,400 499,930 5,403,500 12,240 27,620
1968 199,399,000 6,720,200 595,010 6,125,200 13,800 31,670
1969 201,385,000 7,410,900 661,870 6,749,000 14,760 37,170
1970 203,235,298 8,098,000 738,820 7,359,200 16,000 37,990
1971 206,212,000 8,588,200 816,500 7,771,700 17,780 42,260
1972 208,230,000 8,248,800 834,900 7,413,900 18,670 46,850
1973 209,851,000 8,718,100 875,910 7,842,200 19,640 51,400
1974 211,392,000 10,253,400 974,720 9,278,700 20,710 55,400
1975 213,124,000 11,292,400 1,039,710 10,252,700 20,510 56,090
1976 214,659,000 11,349,700 1,004,210 10,345,500 18,780 57,080
1977 216,332,000 10,984,500 1,029,580 9,955,000 19,120 63,500
1978 218,059,000 11,209,000 1,085,550 10,123,400 19,560 67,610
1979 220,099,000 12,249,500 1,208,030 11,041,500 21,460 76,390
1980 225,349,264 13,408,300 1,344,520 12,063,700 23,040 82,990
1981 229,146,000 13,423,800 1,361,820 12,061,900 22,520 82,500
1982 231,534,000 12,974,400 1,322,390 11,652,000 21,010 78,770
1983 233,981,000 12,108,600 1,258,090 10,850,500 19,310 78,920
1984 236,158,000 11,881,800 1,273,280 10,608,500 18,690 84,230
1985 238,740,000 12,431,400 1,328,800 11,102,600 18,980 88,670
1986 241,077,000 13,211,900 1,489,170 11,722,700 20,610 91,460
1987 243,400,000 13,508,700 1,484,000 12,024,700 20,100 91,110
1988 245,807,000 13,923,100 1,566,220 12,356,900 20,680 92,490
1989 248,239,000 14,251,400 1,646,040 12,605,400 21,500 94,500
1990 248,709,873 14,475,600 1,820,130 12,655,500 23,440 102,560
1991 252,177,000 14,872,900 1,911,770 12,961,100 24,700 106,590
1992 255,082,000 14,438,200 1,932,270 12,505,900 23,760 109,060
1993 257,908,000 14,144,800 1,926,020 12,218,800 24,530 106,010
1994 260,341,000 13,989,500 1,857,670 12,131,900 23,330 102,220
1995 262,755,000 13,862,700 1,798,790 12,063,900 21,610 97,470
1996 265,284,000 13,473,600 1,682,280 11,791,300 19,650 95,770
Motor
Aggravated Larceny- vehicle
Robbery assault Burglary theft theft
107,840 154,320 912,100 1,855,400 328,200
106,670 156,760 949,600 1,913,000 336,000
110,860 164,570 994,300 2,089,600 366,800
116,470 174,210 1,086,400 2,297,800 408,300
130,390 203,050 1,213,200 2,514,400 472,800
138,690 215,330 1,282,500 2,572,600 496,900
157,990 235,330 1,410,100 2,822,000 561,200
202,910 257,160 1,632,100 3,111,600 659,800
262,840 286,700 1,858,900 3,482,700 783,600
298,850 311,090 1,981,900 3,888,600 878,500
349,860 334,970 2,205,000 4,225,800 928,400
387,700 368,760 2,399,300 4,424,200 948,200
376,290 393,090 2,375,500 4,151,200 887,200
384,220 420,650 2,565,500 4,347,900 928,800
442,400 456,210 3,039,200 5,262,500 977,100
470,500 492,620 3,265,300 5,977,700 1,009,600
427,810 500,530 3,108,700 6,270,800 966,000
412,610 534,350 3,071,500 5,905,700 977,700
426,930 571,460 3,128,300 5,991,000 1,004,100
480,700 629,480 3,327,700 6,601,000 1,112,800
565,840 672,650 3,795,200 7,136,900 1,131,700
592,910 663,900 3,779,700 7,194,400 1,087,800
553,130 669,480 3,447,100 7,142,500 1,062,400
506,570 653,290 3,129,900 6,712,800 1,007,900
485,010 685,350 2,984,400 6,591,900 1,032,200
497,870 723,250 3,073,300 6,926,400 1,102,900
542,780 834,320 3,241,400 7,257,200 1,224,100
517,700 855,090 3,236,200 7,499,900 1,288,700
542,970 910,090 3,218,100 7,705,900 1,432,900
578,330 951,710 3,168,200 7,872,400 1,564,800
639,270 1,054,860 3,073,900 7,945,700 1,635,900
687,730 1,092,740 3,157,200 8,142,200 1,661,700
672,480 1,126,970 2,979,900 7,915,200 1,610,800
659,870 1,135,610 2,834,800 7,820,900 1,563,100
618,950 1,113,180 2,712,800 7,879,800 1,539,300
580,510 1,099,210 2,593,800 7,997,700 1,472,400
537,050 1,029,810 2,501,500 7,894,600 1,395,200
Crime Forc-
Handguns/ Total Guns/ Index Violent Property ible Aggravated
Year 1000 pop. 1000 pop. total crime crime Murder rape Robbery
1960 105.4 430.6 1887.207273 160.8604 1726.325 5.080213 9.586045 60.13724
1961 106.6 434.6 1906.094255 158.1435 1747.945 4.776165 9.410247 58.29217
1962 108.3 439.3 2019.798569 162.302 1857.502 4.591675 9.447115 59.67562
1963 110.3 444.8 2180.302733 168.169 2012.118 4.583968 9.36424 61.79337
1964 112.6 451.8 2388.080004 190.5504 2197.54 4.896909 11.20639 68.21666
1965 116.5 462.4 2448.973265 200.1747 2248.793 5.146595 12.09657 71.66479
1966 121.5 475.5 2670.828732 219.9554 2450.863 5.644864 13.20203 80.7819
1967 128.8 491.7 2989.714216 253.1842 2736.545 6.198818 13.98786 102.7616
1968 139.7 513.1 3370.227534 298.4017 3071.831 6.920797 15.88273 131.8161
1969 146.8 532 3679.966234 328.659 3351.292 7.329245 18.45718 148.3973
1970 153.2 548.7 3984.544063 363.5294 3621.025 7.872648 18.69262 172.1453
1971 160.1 567.3 4164.74308 395.9517 3768.791 8.622195 20.49347 188.0104
1972 168.7 587.7 3961.388849 400.9509 3560.438 8.966047 22.49916 180.7088
1973 175.9 610.3 4154.423853 417.3962 3737.032 9.359021 24.49357 183.0918
1974 184.9 627 4850.420073 461.096 4389.334 9.796965 26.20724 209.2794
1975 192.8 657.1 5298.511665 487.8428 4810.674 9.623506 26.31801 220.7635
1976 200.8 678.5 5287.316162 467.8164 4819.504 8.74876 26.59101 199.2975
1977 208.1 696.7 5077.612189 475.9259 4601.723 8.838267 29.35303 190.73
1978 215.3 715.6 5140.351923 497.824 4642.505 8.970049 31.00537 195.7865
1979 219.2 720.9 5565.450093 548.8576 5016.606 9.750158 34.70711 218.4017
1980 227.5 737.9 5950.008339 596.6383 5353.335 10.22413 36.82728 251.0947
1981 237.2 755.1 5858.186484 594.3023 5263.849 9.827795 36.00325 258.7477
1982 245.6 769.3 5603.669439 571.1429 5032.522 9.074261 34.02092 238.898
1983 251.6 779.6 5175.03558 537.689 4637.342 8.252807 33.72923 216.5005
1984 257.5 791.6 5031.292609 539.1645 4492.12 7.914193 35.6668 205.3752
1985 262.4 801.3 5207.087208 556.5888 4650.498 7.950071 37.14082 208.5407
1986 266.3 808.6 5480.365195 617.7155 4862.637 8.549136 37.93809 225.148
1987 271.6 819.4 5550 609.696 4940.304 8.258012 37.43221 212.6952
1988 278.3 831.5 5664.240644 637.1747 5027.074 8.413105 37.62708 220.8928
1989 285.2 844.7 5740.999601 663.0868 5077.929 8.661008 38.06815 232.9731
1990 290.7 853.3 5820.275579 731.8286 5088.459 9.424636 41.2368 257.0344
1991 295.2 859.4 5897.801941 758.1064 5139.684 9.794708 42.26793 272.7172
1992 302.9 870.7 5660.219067 757.5093 4902.698 9.314652 42.75488 263.6329
1993 313.9 887 5484.436311 746.7857 4737.658 9.511144 41.1038 255.8548
1994 325.2 905 5373.529333 713.5526 4660.004 8.961324 39.26389 237.7459
1995 5275.903408 684.5883 4591.311 8.224392 37.09539 220.932
1996 5078.934274 634.143 4444.784 7.407156 36.10093 202.4434
Motor
Aggravated Larceny- vehicle
assault Burglary theft theft
86.05692 508.6348 1034.668 183.0215
85.66495 518.9298 1045.401 183.6146
88.58756 535.2289 1124.826 197.4474
92.42743 576.3915 1219.102 216.6243
106.2305 634.7147 1315.469 247.3567
111.2667 662.7017 1329.33 256.7614
120.3266 720.9985 1442.917 286.9473
130.236 826.5597 1575.837 334.1487
143.7821 932.2514 1746.599 392.9809
154.4753 984.1349 1930.928 436.2291
164.8188 1084.949 2079.265 456.8104
178.8257 1163.511 2145.462 459.8181
188.7768 1140.806 1993.565 426.0673
200.4517 1222.534 2071.899 442.5997
215.8123 1437.708 2489.451 462.2218
231.1424 1532.113 2804.799 473.7148
233.1745 1448.204 2921.284 450.0161
247.0046 1419.808 2729.924 451.9442
262.0667 1434.612 2747.422 460.4717
285.9986 1511.911 2999.105 505.5907
298.4922 1684.141 3167.039 502.1982
289.7279 1649.472 3139.658 474.7192
289.1498 1488.809 3084.86 458.8527
279.2064 1337.673 2868.951 430.7615
290.2083 1263.73 2791.309 437.0803
302.9446 1287.3 2901.231 461.967
346.0803 1344.55 3010.325 507.7631
351.3106 1329.581 3081.306 529.4577
370.2458 1309.198 3134.939 582.937
383.3846 1276.27 3171.299 630.3603
424.1327 1235.938 3194.767 657.7543
433.3226 1251.978 3228.764 658.9419
441.8069 1168.213 3103.002 631.4832
440.3159 1099.152 3032.438 606.0688
427.5854 1042.018 3026.723 591.263
418.3403 987.1553 3043.786 560.3699
388.1915 942.9517 2975.905 525.9269
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.999497
R Square 0.998994
0.998929
Adjusted R Square
2.242899
Standard Error
Observations 34
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 154817.9 77408.95 15387.63 3.48E-47
Residual 31 155.9485 5.030596
Total 33 154973.9
Standard Error t Stat
Coefficients P-value Lower 95%Upper 95% Upper 95.0%
Lower 95.0%
Intercept 2.356153 1.317705 1.788073 0.083543 -0.33133 5.043633 -0.33133 5.043633
HG 1 lag 0.980613 0.014242 68.85229 1.78E-35 0.951565 1.00966 0.951565 1.00966
Crime 1 lag 0.001804 0.000698 2.585055 0.014665 0.000381 0.003228 0.000381 0.003228
Upper 95.0%
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.98569
R Square 0.971585
0.969752
Adjusted R Square
227.7889
Standard Error
Observations 34
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 55000472 27500236 529.9943 1.07E-24
Residual 31 1608522 51887.8
Total 33 56608994
Standard Error t Stat
Coefficients P-value Lower 95%Upper 95% Upper 95.0%
Lower 95.0%
Intercept 388.0809 133.8262 2.899887 0.006805 115.1404 661.0214 115.1404 661.0214
HG 1 lag -1.33481 1.446445 -0.92282 0.363227 -4.28486 1.615234 -4.28486 1.615234
Crime 1 lag 0.996363 0.070885 14.05606 5.41E-15 0.851792 1.140934 0.851792 1.140934
Upper 95.0%
Crime
Handguns/ Index
Year 1000 pop. total
1960 105.4 HG 1 lag Crime 1 lag 1887.207
1961 106.6 105.4 1887.207 1906.094
1962 108.3 106.6 1906.094 2019.799
1963 110.3 108.3 2019.799 2180.303
1964 112.6 110.3 2180.303 2388.08
1965 116.5 112.6 2388.08 2448.973
1966 121.5 116.5 2448.973 2670.829
1967 128.8 121.5 2670.829 2989.714
1968 139.7 128.8 2989.714 3370.228
1969 146.8 139.7 3370.228 3679.966
1970 153.2 146.8 3679.966 3984.544
1971 160.1 153.2 3984.544 4164.743
1972 168.7 160.1 4164.743 3961.389
1973 175.9 168.7 3961.389 4154.424
1974 184.9 175.9 4154.424 4850.42
1975 192.8 184.9 4850.42 5298.512
1976 200.8 192.8 5298.512 5287.316
1977 208.1 200.8 5287.316 5077.612
1978 215.3 208.1 5077.612 5140.352
1979 219.2 215.3 5140.352 5565.45
1980 227.5 219.2 5565.45 5950.008
1981 237.2 227.5 5950.008 5858.186
1982 245.6 237.2 5858.186 5603.669
1983 251.6 245.6 5603.669 5175.036
1984 257.5 251.6 5175.036 5031.293
1985 262.4 257.5 5031.293 5207.087
1986 266.3 262.4 5207.087 5480.365
1987 271.6 266.3 5480.365 5550
1988 278.3 271.6 5550 5664.241
1989 285.2 278.3 5664.241 5741
1990 290.7 285.2 5741 5820.276
1991 295.2 290.7 5820.276 5897.802
1992 302.9 295.2 5897.802 5660.219
1993 313.9 302.9 5660.219 5484.436
1994 325.2 313.9 5484.436 5373.529
325.2 5373.529 5275.903
5275.903 5078.934
#DIV/0! #DIV/0!