Montgomery County Overall Population Projections
Long-Term Care 2001 2003 2006 2007 2010 2015 2020
in Pennsylvania 758,419 770,037 775,688 776,172 701,959 707,680 711,734
• In terms of total population size, Montgomery County is currently the 3rd largest county in Pennsylvania,
and is projected to remain so in 2020.
MontgoMery County
• In 2006, compared to the other sixty-six counties in Pennsylvania, Montgomery County had the 47th high-
est percentage of its population aged 65 years or older (14.7%) and the 45th highest percentage of people 85
Profile years or older (2.3%).
• In 2020, Montgomery County is projected to have the 29th highest percentage of its population aged 65
years or older (20.0%) and the 16th highest percentage of its population aged 85 years or older (3.7%).
Montgomery County Montgomery County
Nursing Home Residents Nursing Home Beds
2001 2003 2006 2007 2001 2003 2006 2007
5,868 6,841 6,258 6,873 6,661 7,331 6,798 7,510
• Compared to the other sixty-six counties in Penn- • Among Pennsylvania counties, Montgomery
sylvania, Montgomery County had the 3rd highest County currently has the 2nd highest number of
number of people living in skilled nursing facilities in skilled nursing beds.
2007. • Of the 64 nursing homes operating in Montgomery
• The number of people living in skilled nursing fa- County during 2007, 29 were owned by a for-profit
cilities located in Montgomery County has increased company. This percentage (45.3%) is slighty lower
constant over the past 7 years. The county-wide occu- than the state-wide percentage (48.0%) of nursing
pancy rate in nursing homes increased from 88.1% in homes owned by a for-profit company.
2001 to 91.2% in 2007. The 2007 state-wide average
nursing home occupancy rate was 89.3%.
Pennsylvania Nursing Home Legend
Capacity Per Elderly
Highest 2nd 3rd Lowest
Quartile Quartile Quartile Quartile
• Currently, Montgomery County’s skilled nursing capac-
ity per number of elderly residents (people 65 years of age
or older) is 6.6 beds per 100 elderly residents. In terms of
skilled nursing capacity per elderly, Montgomery County
ranks 6th amongst all Pennsylvanian counties.
• The state-wide average in 2007 among Pennsylvania’s
Funding Provided by the Graduate School of Public sixty-seven counties was 4.9 skilled nursing beds per 100
Health at the University of Pittsburgh elderly.
Montgomery County Pennsylvania Personal Care Home Discussion
Personal Care Home Residents Capacity Per Elderly • Although the number of elderly people living
2001 2003 2006 2007 in Pennsylvania has continued to increase over
2,845 2,885 3,012 2,884
the past 7 years, the number of people living
in skilled nursing facilities and personal care
• Compared to Pennsylvania’s other counties, homes has remained fairly stable.
Montgomery County had the 3rd most people • While the state-wide number of nursing
living in personal care homes in 2007. homes and personal care homes has declined
• The number of people living in personal care over the past 7 years, the occupancy rate in
homes located in Montgomery County has re- these facilities has increased.
mained constant over the past seven years, and • The state-wide supply of home-and-commu-
the county-wide occupancy rate in personal care nity based health services has expanded, but
homes has decreased from 72.7.8% in 2001 to whether there is sufficient local capacity to
66.3% in 2007. The 2007 state-wide average provide the appropriate level of services to a
personal care home occupancy rate was 69.2%. growing elderly population is of great concern.
Legend
• Policy-makers at the county and state-level
Montgomery County should carefully consider whether the financ-
Personal Care Home Beds Highest 2nd 3rd Lowest ing of long-term care services and the supply of
Quartile Quartile Quartile Quartile
long-term care providers is adequate to ensure
2001 2003 2006 2007 the well-being and safety of Pennsylvania’s
• Montgomery County (3.7 beds per 100 residents
3,913 4,160 4,286 4,350 residents over the coming decade.
65+) is slightly higher than the state-wide aver-
• In 2007, Montgomery County had the 3rd age (3.6 beds per 100 residents 65+) in terms of Next Steps
largest capacity of personal care home beds in personal care home market penetration in 2007. It • We will continue to monitor the supply and
the state. ranks 30th amongst all 67 Pennsylvanian counties distribution of long-term care facilities across
• Of the 57 personal care homes operating in in terms of highest personal care home capacity the state of Pennsylvania over time.
Montgomery County during 2007, 27 were per elderly. • We will expand our analysis to include other
owned by a for-profit company. This percentage • Montgomery County’s capacity per elderly long-term care services based upon the avail-
(47.4%) is lower than the state-wide percentage resident has increased (3.5 beds per 100 elderly ability of data.
(72.9%) of personal care homes operated by a residents in 2001), while the state-wide county • We will publish additional projections of the
for-profit company. average has experienced a decline from 4.1 supply of long-term care facilities using sophis-
beds per 100 elderly residents in 2001. ticated simulation techniques.
We welcome comments and questions related to this brochure.
Please feel free to contact us:
Michael Lin, MSPH, PhD linm@pitt.edu, Wesley M. Rohrer, MBA, PhD wmrun@pitt.edu,
Taeyoung Park, PhD tpark@pitt.edu, Vishal Goyal, BBA vig15@pitt.edu