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Coordinated Technical Plan (CTP) for the WMO/ESCAP Panel on Tropical Cyclones for the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea

Annual Operating Plan for 2010



Expected Rresult Strategic Goal Activity

ER-1 (Meteorology) 1-a To improve and expand the observing system of 1. Switch the conventional weather stations to

Enhanced capabilities of surface, upper-air, ship, buoy, aircraft, radar and Auotomatic weather Observing station including

Members to produce better satellite observations in the Member countries. dizitizer with GPS time syncronization and real time

forecasts and warnings of data dissemination options.

tropical cyclones and storm 2. Establish Rawin Sode Stations at places covering

surges the meteorological boundary for upper air

observations 3. Establish Dual polarization

doppler radars at coastal belts/suitable places with a

wider coverage with reliable telemetry for having

composit picture at the central forecasting and

warning unit . 4.

Launch ship observations for for improving

1-b To implement and operate adequate Members observing system

1. Develope the second link with another Regional

connection to the WMO Information System (WIS) Telecom Hub(RTH) as redundancy along with the

for operation-critical data exchange through existing one by using Internet Protoco(IP)-Virtual

dedicated telecommunication means of the GTS, Private Network(VPN) on Multi Protocol Lebel

and trough broadband Internet access for Data Switching( MPLS) for regional data exchange.

Discovery, Access and Retrieval service. 2. Utilize the facilities of WIS using broadband

internet.



1-c To increase accuracy, timeliness and usefulness 1. Establish adequate monitoring with modern

of tropical cyclone forecasts and warnings. system,real time data acquisition, processing and

analysis with the introduction of Numerical Weather

Prediction Technique. 2.Enhance

liaison amoung stake holders and endusers for

awareness building and also to promote through

Govt. and related organizations for the capacity

enhancement of local communities for better

resilience . 3.Start using Storm Surge

Model ( Referance: IIT storm surge model)during

tropical cyclone. 4. Capacity

enhancement on storm surge modelling with the

assessment of coastal inandation report for overall









1

1-d To extend the operational use of ensemble 1. Develope capacity for the operational use of

prediction techniques and probabilistic forecasts forensamble prediction techniques and issuance of

more effective disaster risk assessment and probabilistic forecasts for all sectors for planning

management. and taking decission regarding disaster

prepardeness.

2. Encourage uses of probabilistic forecast and

awareness build up though workshops and seminars

1-e To upgrade the computing facility of RSMC New for decission making.

Delhi and NMSs so as to facilitate efficient data

processing and data assimilation from different

observing systems/platforms to suit the national and

regional needs.

1-f To establish a regional storm surge watch 4. Improve the coastal floods forecasting and

scheme to provide Members with the storm-surge warning capacities through a collaboration among

advisories including daily marine processed data and forecasters involved in coastal inundations

information they require for real-time uses forecasting , Marine Meteorologists and

Hydrologists;









ER-2 (Hydrology) 2-a To improve regional cooperation in real time Develope and implement regional information

Enhanced capabilities of monitoring and exchange of relevant data and exchange strategy during 2009- 2010

Members to provide better information, derived (forecasting) products and

hydrological forecasts and technical expertise related to hydrological hazards

assessments

Organise regional workshops on data transmission

mechanisms with special reference to water related

hazards and sharing information through PTC web

site;



Collaborate with Commission for Hydrology (CHy)

and Working Group on Hydrology of RA-II









2

2-b To improve flood forecasts and warnings Develope delta hydraulic models for river forecasting

particularly in deltaic and coastal areas by coupling by coupling MIKE 11 (or any other model being used

meteorological storm surge forecasts with river flow in the countries) with the storm surge forecasts for at

forecasting by least one river delta in each country





Developing/application of coastal flood models and

assocazted flood hazard and risk maps in the line as

mentioned above





Organise workshops for enhancing the capabilities of

the countries





2-c To enhance regional capabilities relating to flood Undertake flood hazard mapping at least in one

hazard mapping in delta and coastal regions through major delta/coastal area in each country during the

continued interaction with the user agencies. next five years



Organise workshops for capacity building





Collaborate and share experiences with Typhoon

Committee



2-d To improve management of water resources,

including assessment of surface and ground water

resources in relation to tropical cyclones;





ER-3 (DPP) 3-a To improve regional cooperation in policies and Sharing of information, experiences and technology

Enhanced capabilities of strategies on DPP, especially those related to on DPP for strengthening the capacity by conducting

Members to promote tropical tropical cyclones. workshops, trainings and exchanging programmes

cyclone disaster resilient among the Members.

communities through providing

guidance on multi-hazard early

warning dissemination and

response machanism









3

guidance on multi-hazard early

warning dissemination and

response machanism

3-b To promote regional information system to By establishing regional and national database on

support development of policies and strategies on disaster information and best practices on DPP from

DPP at the regional level as well as at the national 2009 onward

level.







3-c To improve public awareness of the impacts of Conducting mock drills for evacuation of the affected

tropical cyclones and possible mitigation and people. Publication and distribution of brochures,

response actions through effective communication leaflets and other educational materials and holding

with the media prior to, during, and after tropical workshops for creating awareness among the local

cyclone occurrences. communities. To facilitate awareness through radio

and video programmes on tropical cyclone

preparedness.

3-d To Improve coordination and interaction between Holding regular meetings, undertaking joint

meteorological/hydrological services on the one exercises and preparing emergency directories of

hand and emergency management/disaster Members. Improving telecommunication

response agencies on the other hand through infrastructure and encouraging technical

integrated emergency management, disaster cooperation.

response and preparedness programmes.





3-e To strengthen regional cooperation on DPP Making available disaster preparedness and

information exchange through networking. mitigation information through Internet, web sites

and other means. Preparing directory of websites of

Members.





3-f To improve multi hazard disaster risk Developing and implementing national pilot projects

management, especially those related to cyclone- on cyclone related disaster risk management

related disaster preparedness programmes of the Panel Members. Mainstreaming

such projects as integral part of development plans

over the next five years. .









4

ER-4 (Training) 4-a To arrange training programmes on the use of 1. Assign a group of Meteorological officers

Development of a strategic NWP model products and their application in dedicated only for NWP operation .

approach to capacity building Cyclone (track and intensity) and storm surge 2. Conduct extensive national/international training

with a regional perspective prediction. on NWP model operation and customization.

3. Customize the NWP product with local boundary

conditions and assimination of storm surge data in

the product.

4-b To arrange training programmes on media Organise workshops with media personnel on

coordination during disasters and their effectiveness disaster preparedness and their effectiveness on

on “human response”. human response.



4-c To arrange training programmes on the use of 1. Training on Calibration of doppler radars and

Doppler Weather Radar products in Cyclone assimination of radar data in the NWP model for

forecasting. cyclone forecasting.



4-d To exchange visits of faculty members among Collaboration among member states regarding

Member countries to share their experiences and sharing experince / experties on cyclone & related

expertise on cyclone & related disaster management disaster management aspects.

aspects.

4-e To enhance WMO’s fellowship support on Persue with WMO about long /termshort term

tropical cyclone related programmes. fellowship on Tropical cyclone related programmes.





ER-5 (Research) 5-a To produce regional assessment of the impact of 1. Develope a complete research and development

Enhanced capabilities of climate change on tropical cyclones. cell on weather and climate .

Members to cope with high 2. Chalk out a long term promgam on develoement

impact weather through of human capacity on climate data management and

research climate modelling.



5-b To develop storm surge and river flood coupling Develop sugre model considering the flood both

model over specific river basins for forecasting of from high river flows induced by the storm’s torrential

coastal inundation. rains and the storm surge propelled by the cyclone’s

winds for forecasting of coastal inundation.



5-c To update vulnerability maps for various Preparation of vulnerability map with multi climate

parameters like wind force/peak storm surge etc., hazard index considering the most vulnerable to

based on latest available database. climate change and related hazards such as tropical

cyclones, floods, landslides, droughts, and sea level

rise and to apply information in the application of GIS

for forecasting.









5

ER-6 (Partnership) 6-a To promote exchange of information and data

Enhanced use of forecasts among Members to enhance regional cooperation in

and warnings for tropical meteorology, hydrology, DPP, training and research

cyclones and storm surges for

decision making and

implementation by Members

and partner organizations 6-b To enhance cooperation with other regional

bodies, organizations, service providers and sectors

for more effective provision of the forecasts and

warnings.



6-c To develop proposals of joint projects in the

areas of five components including resource

mobilization



ER-7 (Management and 7.a To improve the coordination and decision Assign a focal poit for each PTC memers with

Governance) making process of the Panel aspecific terms of referance.

Effective management and

functioning of the Panel





7.b To enhance effectiveness in implementation of Instuctions from PTC Secretariat to the member

CTP and AOPs countries from time to time.







7.c To ensure effective and collaborative Conduct workshop and meeting among PTC

relationships among working groups of Meteorology, member countries as and when required.

Hydrology and DPP





7-d To improve coodinated technical planning Monitor and evaluate the activities of mebmer

process as well as monitoring and evaluation countries by a team at regular intervals.









6



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